JSE major plunged over 6,000 points – Monday

The JSE all Jamaica Composite Index fell more than 6,600 points.

Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange main market ended with the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index nose diving 6,685.29 points to close at 319,402.41 and the JSE Index plunging 6,091.06 points to 291,011.70.
At the close with only 28 securities traded versus 29 on Friday. Trading ended with the prices of 8 stocks rising, 10 falling and 10 trading firm, in the main and US dollar markets.
Despite the sharp fall in the market indices, at the close of trading, Palace Amusement with a rise $1 to end at $751, was the sole stock to record price movement around $1 or more.
Main market activity ended with 5,325,114 units valued at $49,013,254 compared to 5,136,325 units valued at over $124,111,209. Ciboney Group accounting for 54 percent of the volume traded with 2,879,740 units followed by Jamaica Broilers with 703,300 units amounting to 13.21 percent.
Trading resulted in an average of 190,183 shares valued at $1,750,473, for each security traded, compared to 190,234 shares valued at $4,596,711 on Friday. The average for the month to date is 1,056,536 shares with a value of $5,441,440 and previously 1,240,308 shares with a value of $6,425,698. In contrast, March closed with an average of 626,526 units with an average value at $20,492,207 for each security traded.
The US dollar market closed on Friday with 8,891 units valued at US$1,956 as Proven Investments was the sole stock traded and ended unchanged at 22 US cents, leaving the market index unchanged at the close at 173.30.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 8 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 with a lower offers.
For more details of market activities see – JSE trading value falls sharply – Monday

Junior Market softness continues – Monday

The Junior Market slipped again on Monday by 17.10 points to close at 2,935.86 after an adverse advance, decline ratio 1 to 2.
At the close of market activities, only 15 securities changed hands compared 20 securities changing hands on Friday. The prices of just 3 stocks advanced, 6 declined and 6 remained unchanged.
Trading ended with an exchange of 3,553,595 units valued at $11,612,887 compared with 1,131,667 units valued at $5,121,527.
Market activity ended with an average of 236,906 units for an average of $774,192 compared to an average of 56,583 units for an average of $256,076 on Friday. The average volume and value for the month to date, amounts to 204,255 units at $846,336 compared to 198,056 units at $860,035 on the prior trading day. March closed with an average of 149,999 units valued at $623,819, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator|At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows just 6 stocks ending with bids higher than the last selling prices and 8 with lower offers, suggesting the continuation of fluidity in price changes.
At the close of the market, AMG Packaging ended with a loss of 5 cents at $2, with 68,891 stock units traded, Dolphin Cove lost 10 cents to close at $17, with 6,600 stock units, Elite Diagnostic settled 5 cents higher at $3.35, with 32,504 units, Express Catering traded with a loss of 5 cents at $5.25, with 178,721 shares, FosRich Group finished trading at $2.50, with 8,383 shares. Honey Bun concluded trading at $4.65, with 1,000 shares, Iron Rock finished at $3, with 8,060 shares, Jetcon Corporation traded at $4.10, with 13,000 units, Key Insurance finished trading with a loss of 82 cents at $3.03, with 2,950,680 shares. Knutsford Express ended at $14, with 12,199 shares, Lasco Distributors concluded trading 5 cents higher at $4.10, with 196,900 stock units, Lasco Financial finished 68 cents higher at $5.63, with 1,747 units, Lasco Manufacturing fell 14 cents to $4, with 34,493 shares trading, Paramount Trading finished trading with a loss of 2 cents at $3.08, after exchanging 24,271 stock units and Stationery and Office closed at $5.55, with 16,146 units changing hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

TTSE closed Monday with 2 gains & 3 losses

Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Monday with just 2 stocks advancing, 3 declining and 7 remaining unchanged as was the case on Friday and with the same number of securities trading as well, at 12.
Trading volume remained low, with 110,825 shares valued at $2,261,343 changing hands, compared to 293,550 shares valued at $2,488,584 on Friday.
At close, the Composite Index lost 1.41 points on Monday to 1,259, the All T&T Index fell 0.78 points to 1,699.62, while the Cross Listed Index declined 0.28 points to close at 110.37.
IC bid-offer Indicator|At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows the market continuing to be weak as it closed with only 1 stock ended with the bid higher than the last selling price and 7 with lower offers, an indication of the continuation of a weak market currently.
Gains| Clico Investments concluded trading and rose 1 cent to settle at $20.16, with 1,828 units and One Caribbean Media added 4 cents and completed trading at $12.48, with 1,400 stock units changing hands.
Losses|
First Citizens ended trading 19 cents lower and ended at $32.51, after exchanging 1,263 shares, NCB Financial Group concluded trading with a loss of 5 cents at $6.20, after exchanging 24,363 shares and Trinidad & Tobago NGL traded with a loss of 21 cents at $27.50, after exchanging 20,792 shares.
Firm Trades| Guardian Holdings concluded trading at $16, after exchanging 19,574 shares, JMMB Group ended trading at $1.86, with 400 stock units changing hands, National Enterprises settled at $9.75, with 737 units, Prestige Holdings concluded trading at $10.01, after exchanging 2,500 shares, Republic Financial Holdings finished trading at $101.58, with 8,289 stock units changing hands, Sagicor Financial settled at $7.80, with 29,429 units and West Indian Tobacco concluded market activity at $88.55, after exchanging 250 shares.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

BFXITT deepening FX market – BOJ Governor

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Governor of Jamaica’s central bank, Brian Wynter


After introducing B-Fxitt in July last year, an auction system that offers US dollars for sale to authorized dealers by Bank of Jamaica that helped to smooth out flows in the market. The central bank will for the first time be buying funds from the market this week.
The first such auction will be on Wednesday this week, in which they are offering to buy US$5 million. The following week, the central bank of offering to purchase US$12 million and US$15 million the week following.
For a market that many Jamaicans view suspiciously any change or introduction of something new is often greeted with cynicism and viewed as a political tool to stave off public outcry about devaluation. Jamaicans have seen and felt the full impact of devaluation of the local currency in the driving up of prices and making it difficult for them to meet their needs. Changes that make it appear that the system is being manipulated to make believe things are better than they are, are viewed suspiciously. Devaluation is seen as a tool that favours the moneyed class and against the masses. The truth is that the country has never been adequately informed on the reasons and requirements for keeping the currency relatively stable, even as it is subject to market forces.

The rate of exchange between the Jamaican$ & the US$. The rate has fallen below the 120 moving average again.

Last year, the local dollar lost value in which it required more than 131 Jamaican dollars to buy one US dollar. The B-Fxitt auction system made funds available to the market based on an announcement of amounts to be auctioned over a four weeks’ period. The local dollar started to appreciate some times after the introduction of the new system until the end of the year, even as Bank of Jamaica stopped selling at the end of November. Having reached J$125 to the US dollar by the end of 2017, buying pressure saw it rising to more than $128 in March. After BOJ had two auctions in the month amounting to US$40 million in total, the rate has fallen back to just over J$125 to the US dollar, last week.
“We decide on the amounts to be auctioned based on market intelligence. This is based on information as to supply and demand provided by dealers and their clients. The central bank analyses the data to assess liquidity in the system,” the governor of the Central bank stated in a briefing on Friday explained how they determine the amounts to be auctioned. The governor further stated that the “feedback provided a loop of information for both the BOJ and dealers” in assessing demand and supply.

Jamaica’s Central Bank is offering to buy US$5M in its weekly FX auction during the week.

Wynter said that the country’s current account is running at a small deficit which is sustainable as it relates to capital movements which are funded. For 2018, the current account is expected to grow above what was originally expected, due mostly to increase in capital spending, by the private sector.
“The country had better start getting used to the two way movement that we have seen since last year,” Wynter states. For him the, strong fiscal performance and the government’s commitment to maintaining it is critical to maintaining the balance. Added to that is the increased confidence within the wider society about the economy. The two way movement within a short time frame must be causing sleepless time for people holding US dollars as they are unsure what the rate will be from time to time. Wynter is of the view that the changes make by the central bank are already reducing the dollarization in the system. The governor sees more of that taking place going forward as investors look locally to other better paying investments options.
There will be more reduction in the surrender requirements of the central bank. The bank cut 10 percentage points between late last year and this year. Wynter indicates that another reduction is coming in the current quarter and ultimately there will be no more surrender requirements with BOJ using their auction system to buy and sell in the future. The change here makes more funds available in the foreign exchange market.
Going forward, the market will be deeper, provide more choices and greater liquidity Wynter stated.

Kremi in tTech out of TOP 10 stocks

 

Caribbean Cream outlet in Kingston.

Caribbean Cream jumped into the Junior Market TOP 10 replacing tTech that reentered last week but enjoyed a bounce in price to be edged out for this week.
There was no new entrant to the main market list, even as that market recorded three days of record close during the shortened week. Market activity in the main market is pointing to a big break out for stock prices while the Junior Market is flexing to rise having hit a one year low in early December last year.
The most notable change was the $250 fall in the price of Palace Amusement down to $750 from $1,000 last week even as the big money making movie Black Panther continues to draw large crowds after nearly two months of showing and seems set to ensure that revenues and profit for the year to June is the highest by far in the company’s history.
Berger Paints made gains and Barita Investments slipped in price and swapped the top two positions by the end of the week. In the Junior Market, Jamaican Teas moved up to $5.30 from $4.75 at the end of the prior week but still sits in at number 4 on the list.
Caribbean Cream recorded strong revenues gain in the year to February but enjoyed lower profit up to November as input cost rose negated the revenues rise. A major part of the input cost well sharply in price since peaking in 2017 and should help restore gross profit margin going forward. This is one to be watched going forward along with Radio Jamaica where reports are that advertising picked up nicely for the March quarter, from a slow December quarter and may be pointing to improvement for 2018 onwards, with increasing economic activity taking place, leading to increased sales and profits for many of the advertisers.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended at 6.2 compared to an average PE for the overall main market is 10 based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE is 6.5 for the top stocks compared to a market average of 12.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 38 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 47 percent to the market.

Profit drops a whopping 85% at Unilever

Unilever’s huge drop

The Trinidad based Unilever Caribbean ended 2017 with a profit, but it was not the greatest year for the company. Profit fell 72 percent in the December quarter, to TT$3.5 million from TT$12.4 million in 2016.
For the year to December, profit dropped 85 percent from TT$71.7 million in 2016 to TT$10.7 million.
Sale revenues fell 27.5 percent for the quarter, to TT$113.7 million from TT$157 million and declined 18 percent for the year, to TT$464 million from TT$566 million in 2016. The fall in fortunes resulted from pressures in the home country the results of a continuing recession and shortage of foreign exchange. In the second half of the year, the company faced added pressure from the damaged and dislocation caused by hurricanes that affect several countries in the Eastern Caribbean. Corporate taxation fell 54 percent to TT$8.7 million for the year compared to TT$18.8 million in 2016.
Revenues reached a high of $588 million in 2014, dipped to $549 million in 2015, recovered a bit in 2016 to $566 million before falling sharply in 2017. Profit peaked at $70 million in 2013 dropped sharply in 2014 to just over $47 million in 2015 and $42.5 in 2016
Gross profit margin in the final quarter, declined to 35 percent from 38 percent in the 2016 and 36 percent for both the year, compared to 40 percent for 2016. The effect, gross operating profit declined 33 percent in the quarter to TT$40 million from TT$60 million but fell 27 percent for the year to TT$166 million from TT$228 million in 2016.
Administrative expenses rose 7 percent to TT$7.6 million in the quarter and increased just 1 percent in the year, to TT$29.5 million. Selling and distribution expenses declined by 31 percent to TT$21.7 million in the last quarter and was down 16 percent to $115 million for the year. The company suffered a loss of TT$1.7 million on disposal of fixed assets in the December quarter and TT$1.9 million for the ear.
Gross cash flow brought in TT$30 million but a TT$43 million addition to fixed assets and paying TT$13 million in dividends more than wiped out to inflows reducing the cash funds from TT$57 million to TT$32 million at the end of the year.
At the end of December, shareholders’ equity stood at TT$234 million with no borrowings. Receivables stood at TT$111 million and Payables at TT$86 million.
The capital spend will has boosted plant capacity and improved efficiency and is expected to drive domestic and export sales. The company now earns 45 percent of its revenues from exports. A part of the plan is new detergent formulations that will be offered in 17 markets, in the region, the company stated.
Earnings per share came out at 13 cents for the quarter and 40 cents for the year. The stock traded at TT$32 on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange with a PE ratio of 80 times 2017 earnings and net asset value is TT$8.92 resulting the price to book value being 3.6 times.

The huge stock market blast is coming soon

Bulls may be lurching to pounce on Jamaican stocks.

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange hit three new record closing highs this past week and is showing signs of climbing higher, much higher in fact.
That is a development that the general public is unaware of and smart investors cant take advantage of to make big gains in the months and probably years ahead.
The market has never had all the stars as lined up as they are now. Low Interest rates, the lowest on record in Jamaica, low inflation rate, a fluid foreign currency market. Liquid Jamaican dollars, of which the Governor of the country’s central bank Bryan Wynter, puts at $50 billion within the Banking sector. But it get even better. According the Wynter, interest rates are likely to go down some more as the high liquidity situation dictates it. The Jamaican dollar has been trading within a band of J$125 to 130 to the US dollar, a situation Wynter sees as likely to be the norm for sometime to come. Wynter who was speaking at special briefing on Friday, indicated that Jamaicans had better start getting used to this new development as there is enough foreign currency available in the system. A development which he things the new foreign exchange auction B-Fxitt, that the central bank manages has helped to foster with much more transparency in the market aided by market intelligence by both buyers and sellers as well as the central bank. But the new B-Fxitt is not the only factor at play. Not only that, according to the governor even as the bank cut the compulsory take form dealers by 10 percentage points, BOJ has not suffered lower intake as a result of increased flows, some of which Wynter attributes to the selling of US dollars by locals to go into more profitable form of local investments. Government’s tight fiscal discipline has gone a long way to creating and environment of stability within the economy and among the business sector.
Unbeknown to many, is the increased spending by government in March, well above what was originally planned. For investors this means more money in the hands of consumers, more sales and profit for listed companies, that now seems to be showing up in the coffers of corporate Jamaica.
So where is the stock market in all of this? The junior market is up 8 percent year to date, but main market stocks have just crawled a mere 3 percent, the latter wont being performing so poorly much longer. This short term chart shows two channels that the market is trading within. The market is trading closer to the upper resistance line shown in red. The lower blue line has been steering the market slightly side wards with an upward bias. A very important feature, which is not shown in the attached chart, is an extremely bullish formation shown on a longer term chart. That chart shows the market now caught up in a wedge formation with the top being around 335,000 points using the all Jamaica Composite index. With the recent market moves, it appears that the wedge is going to give way and herald a huge rise upwards in the market and that in going to happen within a few weeks, probably after first quarter results are released starting in late April.

Another record close for JSE on Friday

Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange main market ended at a another record close, with JSE All Jamaican Composite Index increasing by 763.78 points in a record closing high of 326,087.70 and the JSE Index gaining 695.89 points to a record closing high of 297,102.76.
At the close with only 28 securities traded versus 29 on Thursday. Trading ended with the prices of 7 stocks rising, 12 falling and 9 trading firm, in the main and US dollar markets.
Securities closing with sizable price changes include, Grace Kennedy lost $1 to end at $48, Kingston Wharves declined by $1 to $39, Palace Amusement dropped $150 on top of the $200 fall on Thursday to end the week at $750 and Scotia Group fell $1.50 to $52.
Main market activity ended with 5,136,325 units valued at over $124,111,209 compared to 11,332,892 units valued at over $423,780,603. JMMB Group closed trading with 1,575,126 units accounting for 30.67 percent of the overall market volume followed by Carreras with 819,568 units or 15.96 percent of total volume traded and Jamaica Broilers Group with 550,887 units with 10.73 of traded volume.
Trading resulted in an average of 190,234 shares valued at $4,596,711, for each security traded, compared to 419,737 shares valued at $15,695,578 on Thursday. The average for the month to date is 1,240,308 shares with a value of $6,425,698 and previously 1,510,327 shares with a value of $7,058,809. In contrast, March closed with an average of 626,526 units with an average value at $20,492,207 for each security traded.
The US dollar market closed on Thursday with 109 units valued at just US$24 as Proven Investments was the sole stock traded and ended unchanged at 22 US cents, leaving the market index unchanged at the close at 173.30.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 6 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 with a lower offers.
For more details of market activities see – JSE trading levels fall on Friday

JSE trading levels fall on Friday

Trading levels dipped sharply lower on Friday, compared to Thursday with a volume of 5,136,325 units valued at $124,111,209, down from the 11,332,892 units traded for $423,780,603 on the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange.
The main market closed with 27 securities changed hands, with 7 rising, 12 falling and 8 trading firm leading to the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index climbing 763.78 points to a record close of 326,087.70. The JSE Index rose 695.89 points to a record closing high of 297,102.76.
In market activity, Barita Investments closed at $9, with 4,191 shares trading, Berger Paints ended trading 84 cents higher at $17.95 with 1,818 stock units changing hands, Cable & Wireless concluded trading after gaining 5 cents, to end at $1.25 with 233,216 units, Carreras finished with a loss of 10 cents at $10.70, with 819,568 shares. Caribbean Cement lost 10 cents to end at $37.90, with 8,132 shares, Grace Kennedy lost $1 to close at $48, with 63,016 stock units, Jamaica Broilers closed at $20, trading 550,887 shares, Jamaica Producers finished trading with a loss of 20 cents at $15.30, in exchanging 4,241 units. JMMB Group fell 50 cents to $26, trading 1,575,126 shares, Jamaica Stock Exchange closed trading at $7, with 196,327 stock units, Kingston Properties ended market activity at $6.64, with 1,360 shares. Kingston Wharves concluded trading with a loss of $1 at $39, with 3,100 shares, NCB Financial Group settled 40 cents higher at $97.50, with 277,542 units, 1834 Investments ended trading at $1.20, with 489,668 shares, 138 Student Living finished at $5.50, with 1,630 stock units, Palace Amusement traded with a loss of $150 at $750, with 252 shares. PanJam Investment closed trading at $43, with 3,559 shares, Pulse Investments ended at $1.70, with 2,300 units, Radio Jamaica concluded trading at $1.05, with 22,798 shares, Sagicor Group finished 60 cents higher at $37.60, with 46,511 shares and Sagicor Real Estate Fund fell 2 cents to $15.28, with 11,296 units. Scotia Group ended trading with a loss of $1.50 at $52, while exchanging 436,897 stock units, Seprod traded 80 cents higher at $35, with 12,757 units, Supreme Ventures closed with a loss of 40 cents at $11.50, after 30,705 shares changed hands, Victoria Mutual Investments ended 37 cents higher at $4.38, with 151,100 shares. Wisynco Group concluded trading with a loss of 16 cents at $10.20, with 158,328 stock units and in the main market preference segment, Proven Investments 8.25% traded at $5.15, with 30,000 shares changing hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place. For more details of market activities, see “Another record close for JSE on Friday.”

9 Junior Market stocks up 5 down – Friday

The Junior Market slipped again on Friday by 5.49 points to close at 2,952.96 even as advancing stocks beat out declining stocks by almost a 2 to 1 ratio.
At the close of market activities, more securities traded than the day before but with lower volume as 20 securities changed hands. The prices of 9 advanced, 5 declined and 6 remained unchanged, compared 17 securities changing hands on Thursday.
Trading ended with an exchange of 1,131,667 units valued at $5,121,527 compared with 2,627,003 units valued at $9,951,186.
Market activity ended with an average of 56,583 units for an average of $256,076 compared to an average of 154,530 units for an average of $585,364 on Thursday. The average volume and value for the month to date, amounts to 198,056 units at $860,035 compared to 246,012 units at $1,064,766 on the prior trading day. March closed with an average of 149,999 units valued at $623,819, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator|At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows just 6 stocks ending with the bid higher than the last selling price and 7 with lower offers, suggesting the continuation of fluidity in price changes.
At the close of the market, AMG Packaging ended 5 cents higher at $2.05, with 41,930 stock units changing hands, CAC 2000 finished with a loss of 69 cents at $8.01, with 12,000 shares, Caribbean Flavours traded at $11, with 7,300 stock units, Caribbean Producers finished trading at $5, with 455,060 units, Dolphin Cove finished at $17.10, with 600 stock units trading. Elite Diagnostic settled with a loss of 1 cent at $3.30, with an exchange of 81,202 units after trading earlier in the session at a record high of $3.45. Express Catering traded 5 cents higher at $5.30, with 58,020 shares, FosRich Group finished trading at $2.50, with 24,058 shares, Jetcon Corporation traded with a loss of 5 cents at $4.10, while trading 37,746 units. Key Insurance finished trading with a loss of 15 cents at $3.85, with 47,669 shares, KLE Group closed 3 cents higher at $2.53, with 3,529 shares, Knutsford Express ended at $14, with 300 shares, Lasco Distributors concluded trading 5 cents higher at $4.05, with 136,039 stock units. Lasco Financial finished with a loss of 75 cents at $4.95, with 59,950 units, Lasco Manufacturing settled 15 cents higher at $4.14, with 104,000 shares, Main Event ended trading at $6, with 500 shares, Medical Disposables traded 10 cents higher at $5.10, with 1,798 shares. Paramount Trading rose by 2 cents to end at $3.10, with 21,265 stock units, Stationery and Office closed 5 cents higher at $5.55, with 27,209 units and tTech concluded trading 2 cents higher at $5.99, with 11,492 shares changing hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.