Another record close for Jamaican stocks

Rose Hall hotel a  Sagicor Real Estate Fund, property. The stock closed at a new high on Wednesday.

The Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange finished at another new record close of 304,331.28 for the all Jamaica Composite Index on Wednesday. The main and US dollar markets closed with 27 securities changing hands, of which 12 advanced and 5 declined.
In the main activity, Barita Investments closed at $8, with 720 units changing hands, Berger Paints settled 10 cents higher at $11.60, with 72,142 shares, Caribbean Cement finished at $27.50, with 700 units, Carreras settled with a loss of 40 cents at $11.50, with 456,367 stock units, Ciboney Group ended with a loss of 1 cent at $0.18, with 9,835 shares traded. Grace Kennedy ended 50 cents higher at $42.50, with 7,396 units, Jamaica Broilers closed trading 50 cents higher at $18.50, with 18,060 stock units, Jamaica Producers gained 40 cents to end at $16, with 13,000 shares traded, Jamaica Stock Exchange ended trading with a loss of 5 cents at $7.20, with 4,000 units, JMMB Group finished trading at $27, with 180,823 units. Mayberry Investments finished trading 11 cents higher at $4.21, with 200 stock units, 1834 Investments concluded trading 10 cents higher at $1.35, with 3,110 units, PanJam Investment finished 60 cents higher at $38.60, with 485 shares, Portland JSX settled 25 cents higher at $9, with 4,760 units, Radio Jamaica ended trading at $1.15, with 688,353 stock units changing hands. Sagicor Group closed with a loss of $1.50 at $38.50, with 385,734 shares, Sagicor Real Estate Fund closed 75 cents higher at a 52 weeks’ closing high of $14, with 35,500 units, Scotia Group settled $1 higher at $53, trading 35,890 shares, Seprod exchanged 24,500 stock units at $30 nd Supreme Ventures ended trading at $12, with 33,492 stock units. In the main market preference segment, JMMB Group finished trading at $1.15, with 262,000 stock units, Sagicor Bank A preference share traded 1,350 units at $1.05 and the B share saw 9,000 units trading at $1.
In the US dollar market segment, JMMB Group 6% preference share finished at $1.10, with 10,000 shares Productivity Business traded 550 shares at 60 US cents, Proven Investments closed with 483,576 units trading at 23.5 US cents and Sterling Investments traded just 100 shares at a 52 weeks’ high of 12 US cents after rising 1 cent.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Access & NCB in TOP 10

NCB Financial Group enters TOP 10

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange closed at new record high on Friday, the seond week in a row that it doing so and in the process the all Jamaica Composite Index broke the 300,000 mark for the first time.
While the main market is making new highs, with gains of 43 percent for 2017, the junior market with gains of 30 percent at its peak this year, is now up just 12 percent for the year to date. Access Financial returned to the Junior Market list and NCB Financial to the main market list even as the latter price moved back to $91 at the end of the week and with just 33,603 units being offered for sale.
Suspension of the trading in Berger Paints shares is expected lifted on Tuesday, October 17. At the time of this report, no information was available on the level of take up of the buyout offer for the minority of the company’s shares by Ansa Coatings. The stock that traded at $11.25 when trading was suspended, should climb with the March 2018 full year’s earnings should hit $2.30 per share.
Investors continue to switch attention from Junior Market, to main market stocks, with the latter having pierced resistance around 300,000 points on the all Jamaica Composite Index could now be heading much higher as it moves on to the next major resistance at 360,000 point range on or before the end of the year.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for the Junior Market Top stocks is at 7.9 and a PE at 7.1 for the main market TOP 10. The average PE for the overall main market trades at 13.5 and 13.1 for Junior Market, based on 2017 estimated earnings.
At the close of the week, IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 40 percent to the average of the market for Junior Market Top stocks and it remains at 47 percent for the main market.

Jamaican stocks shooting for the stars

NCB could push JSE into breakout territory soon.

The JSE All Jamaican Composite Index raced to a record close of 300,363.16 on Friday, just around resistance level.
The market seems poised to break through the above level sooner than later.
This resistance is a short term one, going back to 2014, when the market started to move up within the channel shown in the accompanying chart. The market made a number of attempts to break out but was constrained by the upper resistance line. It is now making the second attempt to do so within a month and could finally do that, this coming week if NCB Financial makes its final attempt to really move higher in line with its fundamentals, with full year results that should at least reach $9 per share and the announcement of a big final dividend payment, just a few weeks away. Supporting the upward move is the shortage of the stock with only 33,603 units offered for sale at the close of the market on Friday. At the same time the stock trades in Trinidad at J$100.

Th all Jamaica Composite Index trades jsut at resistance and is itching to break out of the channel going back to 2014.

The market decisively broke through the long term resistance of 280,000 points, starting in Mid-September. The resistance line can be traced back to late 1994 and the then 2015 peak, signaling that a big move is ahead as there are no major resistance until the 360,000 market and then 505,000 depending on the pace of the market move.
The technical indicators point to a market that is clearly heading higher with the fundamentals lending support to the technical. The all Jamaica Composite Index has decisively broken through the long term resistance of 280,000 points, starting in Mid-September and heading to higher highs.
The fundamental factors include and growing economy, interest rates that are declining, low inflation, business and consumer confidence that are at record highs, employment on the rise, construction, tourism and the mining sectors growing and likely to have some direct impact on listed companies.

The market decisively broke through the long term resistance of 280,000 points, starting in Mid-September and now has no long term barrier to push much higher.

Bank leading is climbing well above the rate of inflation a good indicator for pickup in economic activities. Government fiscal operations are running with a surplus currently. The wayward Jamaica dollar seems to be tamed with the currency now at a slightly lower value than at the end of 2016. Importantly, there are few areas that can now compete well with the stock market.
Also supporting the rise higher is the fact that the average PE ratio of the main market is over 13, with the top half selling at 16.5, with more than half of the market priced 11 times and below, suggesting big gains ahead for underpriced stocks. The list includes big capitalized stocks such as Caribbean Cement, Grace Kennedy, Jamaica Broilers, JMMB Group, Sagicor Group, NCB Financial and Scotia Group.

Banks push JSE to new high – Friday

Stocks surged higher, at the close of trading on the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Friday with the market ending at record closing levels as JMMB Group NCB Financial and Scotia Group record strong gains, pushing the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index to a record close of 300,363.16.
Trading on the main market ended with 22 securities changing hands, 7 advanced, 6 declined and 11 traded firm with 4,504,312 units valued at $68,391,852 compared to 94,545,441 units valued at $1,119,081,050 on Thursday. In the US dollar market 425,898 units traded for a value of US$102,239 for two securities.
In market activity, volumes are those trades for the day and the closing prices are those at which the last trade took place. At the close on market activity, Barita Investments ended trading with a loss of $1 at $8, with 40,452 stock units trading, Cable & Wireless finished at $1.10, with 42,361 units, Caribbean Cement settled 54 cents higher at $26.55, with 3,000 shares, Carreras closed at $12, after 462,635 stock units changed hands, Grace Kennedy closed with a loss of 5 cents at $42.75, with 12,005 shares. Jamaica Broilers ended with a loss of 5 cents at $17.95, with 1,858 units, Jamaica Producers ended trading at $16, with 2,278 stock units, Jamaica Stock Exchange concluded trading $1.20 higher at $7.20, with 1,064,940 shares switching owners, JMMB Group finished $3 higher at $26, after trading 21,667 units, Mayberry Investments ended trading with a loss of 40 cents at $4.10, with 15,378 shares. PanJam Investment ended with a loss of $3.48 to $38.52, with 9,732 units, Portland JSX ended trading after falling 50 cents to an all-time low of $8.50, with 50,000 stock units after the company reported a loss for the six months to August of US$221,251. Radio Jamaica settled at $1.15, trading 10,100 shares, Sagicor Group traded with a loss of $1.49 cents at $38.51, with 7,700 units changing hands, Sagicor Real Estate Fund finished trading 4 cents higher at $13.25, with 19,700 stock units, after it traded at an all-time high of $15. Salada Foods closed at $8.50, with 350,000 shares, Scotia Group ended $3.08 higher at $50.98, with 414,399 stock units, Seprod traded 339 units at $30 and Supreme Ventures finished 37 cents higher at $11.85, with 130,790 shares.
In the main market preference segment, Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.5%, ended trading 700,000 shares at $2 and JMMB Group 7.5% ended 1 cent higher at $1.15, with 870,000 stock units changing hands.
In the US dollar market segment, Productivity Business traded 5,898 shares at 57.5 US cents and Proven Investments closed with 420,000 units trading at 23.5 US cents.

JSE closes 1,000 points shy of 300,000

The market made another run at the 300,000 mark on the All Jamaican Composite Index on Monday, but fell just under 1,000 points shy, with the index ending at 299,091.16 points as the investors continued their bullish attack on a limited set of stocks.
The Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange ended with 23 securities changing hands, 9 advanced, 12 declined and 2 traded firm with 310,999,356 units valued at $2,974,897,171 as Supreme Ventures accounted for 307 million units. One stock traded in the US market resulting in the price rising on small volume.
In market activity, volumes are those trades for the day and the closing prices are those at which the last trade took place. In the main activity, Barita Investments concluded trading 24 cents higher at $8, with 10,673 units changing hands, Cable & Wireless rose 2 cents to $1.02, with 126,398 shares, Caribbean Cement ended at $28, with just 144 units, Carreras ended trading with a loss of 2 cents at $13.48, with 252,898 stock units changing hands, Grace Kennedy finished with a loss of 40 cents at $43, in trading 38,318 units. Jamaica Broilers settled with a loss of 50 cents at $18, while exchanging 8,266 stock units, Jamaica Producers concluded trading with a loss of 80 cents at $15.20, with 6,459 shares, Jamaica Stock Exchange finished 10 cents higher at $7.70, with 27,315 units, JMMB Group traded 89 cents higher at $26, with 36,897 stock units, Kingston Properties settled with a loss of 5 cents at $7.15, with 2,000 units, Kingston Wharves finished 75 cents higher at $30.75, with 20,539 shares. Mayberry Investments exchanged 9,218 stock units at $4.50, property company, 138 Student Living finished 1 cent higher at $5.41, with 2,700 shares, PanJam Investment shed $1 to end at $43, with 11,244 stock units, Pulse Investments traded with a loss of 2 cents at $1.80, trading 69,750 shares, Radio Jamaica settled with a loss of 9 cents at $1.11, with 87,688 units. Sagicor Group jumped $4.99 to a record $39.99, with 52,394 shares, Sagicor Real Estate Fund closed with a loss of 8 cents at $13, after trading 3,100,000 units, Scotia Group fell 96 cents to $50, with 91,270 stock units, Seprod settled with a loss of $1.50 at $28.50, with 8,160 shares and Supreme Ventures finished with a loss of 60 cents at $9.50, with 306,999,685 stock units changing hands. In the main market preference segment, JMMB Group closed at $1.15, with 600 units and in the US dollar market Productive Business Solution rose 0.25 US cents in trading 2,300 units to close at 60 US cents.

Big run for Jamaican stocks coming

JSE Main market showing next major resistance around the 360,000 point level on the al Jamaica Index

The current state of the Jamaican stock market in one of contrast with the main market hitting 5 days of record close and with gains of 40 percent for the year to date and Junior Market that was up 31 percent in May is now up just 14 percent.
With stability present in the forex market for the Jamaican dollar, lower interest rates being paid on money market funds and with business confidence at record high levels, funds are now moving into the main market stocks with less interest being shown in the Junior Market.
Prices in the US dollar market have come off, after the index was up 63 percent at 268.73 points in February, up from 164.50 at the start of the year, but it is only up 12 percent now with the index at 184.86 points at the close of trading on Friday.

Jamaica Main market stocks itching to break out of channel that stretches back to 2014

The Junior Market was driven up by excessive buying that drove a number of the stocks to excessive valuations which the market has been correcting for, resulting in the sharp pull back from the all-time high, even then there are some that are still overvalued based on the average valuation of other stocks. The market still has several undervalued stocks but the focus on the bigger and more liquid main market is sucking some energy from the junior ones.
Based on estimated 2017 earnings, the average PE of the junior and main markets are just over 13 times earnings. The main market has more than half of the market trading below this level. Included in the list are Berger Paints with a PE of just 5, Caribbean Cement at 6, Jamaica Broilers 7, JMMB Group at 8, Grace Kennedy, NCB Financial and Sagicor Group at 10. The market has Jamaica Producers selling at 32 times 2017 earnings and Kingston Wharves at 27 times earnings with Kingston Properties at a rich 36 times and are clearly overvalued currently. Jamaica Stock Exchange and 138 Student Living at 22 are well ahead of the market average.

Junior Market under pressure, testing support around 2,900 points.

In the Junior Market Medical Disposables is priced at 6 times earnings, General Accident 6, Caribbean Producers 7, Stationery and Office Supplies, Caribbean Cream and Main Event at 10. Just under half of Junior Market stocks are trading blow the market average with about 25 percent well above the average.
Technical reading| The main market broke through major resistance for the second time since September at 290,000 points, that has its genesis in 1992 and connecting in 2005. The market faces some short term resistance around 300,000 points which should be broken through before long ahead of moving to the next sort term resistance around 360,000 points with 505,000 on the all Jamaica Index, the next big stop. The market has been trading in a distinct upward sloping channel from mid-2014 until now and seems set to break out and move higher.
The Junior Market chart is a big contrast to that of the main market.

Wigton Wind farm should list on the JSE main market in early 2017 with a large capitalization

While the latter is clearly heading higher with new highs being created, the Junior Market index is flashing negative signals. The market has formed a head and shoulder pattern which is a negative signal and the short term 45 days moving average has broken through both the medium term 200 days moving average and longer term moving averages. The market has broken through the channel that it has been trading in since late 2015. There appear to be support around the 2,900 points level but it could go down to 2,800 points where the next support is and it will left to be seen 2,900 points will be the floor ahead of third quarter results that could change the course of the movement.
With just over 2 months for the year to end investors should start to have an eye open for major factors that could make big differences to earnings in 2018 when making investment assessment now. Some of these are, more reduction in interest rates, continued strong foreign exchange growth, low inflation, increased construction activity, increased activity in the tourism sector and of course the potential for several new listings to come to market between now and then. IC Insider.com is aware of 8 such potential listings. The list include, Wigton Wind Farm, Jamaica Public Service as a result of Government of Jamaica’s planned sale of its 20 percent share in the company, Neveast Stationery, KIW International, a relatively new business in Montego Bay and a large manufacturing business, operating out of St Catherine.

Sagicor out C&W in TOP 10

JMMB Group Traded at a new high of $27.99 on Friday.

In a week when Jamaica Stock Exchange main market closed at record high each day, JMMB Group that IC Insider.com said was itching to rise, surged to an intraday high of $27.99 and ended at a record close of $25.11 but still remains in the TOP 10 Main market stocks.
Cable and Wireless is the only new entrant to the listings, just edging out Sagicor Group in the main market, there were no new change to the Junior Market list. With the company now clearly in the profit lane things should be getting even better in 2018 making it a long term investment proposition. Barita Investments came in for increased selling in late September and still remains under pressure with limited buying interest, as investors await details of the offer from Cornerstone, to acquire majority shares in the company. This could be a case of investors missing the bus by waiting, with the net asset value at $7 as of June this year and the price just 10 percent above.
Trading in shares of Berger Paints was suspended on Thursday with resumption scheduled for October 17, the stock has been trading ahead of the price of $10.88 offered by Ansa Coatings and should be trading in the $20 region, and is clearly one for the future with growth taking place in the construction sector. All indications suggest that very few shareholders will take up the offer when it closes at the end of Monday.
Investors appear to have switched attention from Junior Market to main market stocks, with the latter seemingly set to break through short term resistance around 300,000 points on the all Jamaica Index on the way to the next major resistance at 365,000 point range.
The average PE ratio for the Junior Market Top stocks is at 7.7 and a PE at 7.1f or the main market TOP 10. The average PE for the overall main market trades at 13.6 and 13.2 for Junior Market, based on 2017 estimated earnings.
At the close of the week, IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 42 percent to the average of the market for Junior Market Top stocks and it remains at 48 percent for the main market.

TOP 10 – SOS & Barita back in

The recently listed Stationery and Office Supplies is back in the Junior Market Top 10 stocks along with CAC 2000 with the price falling to $6.50 while Barita Investments with a fall in price to $8 is back in the Main market list.
Barita Investments has come in for increased selling and limited buying as investors await details of offer from Cornerstone for the majority of the company’ shares.
Investors should keep an eye on Berger Paints this week, as investors could push this one higher as they sense the continuation of listing for the stock and a bounce when offer by Ansa Coatings closes early in October. JMMB Group is itching to rise with limited supply and guarded buying.
The average PE ratio for the Junior Market Top stocks is at 7.7 and the PE for the main market TOP 10, ends the week at 6.8. The average PE for the overall main market trades at 13.1 and 13.4 for Junior Market, based on 2017 estimated earnings.
At the close of the week, IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 43 percent to the average of the market for Junior Market Top stocks and it remains at 48 percent for the main market.

JSE main market slips – Monday

Scotia Group dropped $3 to $46.

Trading on the Main and US dollar market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange ended with an almost even advance decline ratio resulting in the market indices slipping in a shortened trading session that commenced in the afternoon after the regular closing time had passed.
The volume of securities trading and the days last traded price are, Barita Investments that ended with a loss of 25 cents at $7.75, with 6,700 shares. Berger Paints concluded trading with a loss of 75 cents at $11.25, with 7,256 units, Cable & Wireless ended with a loss of 4 cents at $1, with 170,543 stocks changing hands, Carreras finished 50 cents higher at $11.50, with 464,114 units, Grace Kennedy finished $1.45 higher at $43.50, with 5,737 shares, Jamaica Broilers ended 50 cents higher at $17.50, with 39,878 stock units, Jamaica Producers concluded trading at $15, with 13,350 shares, JMMB Group finished 70 cents higher at $22.70, with 41,657 units, Kingston Properties finished at $7, with 2,000 shares, Kingston Wharves dropped $2.22 trading 18,341 shares to end at $28.51. Mayberry Investments traded with a loss of 50 cents at $4.10, with 2,138 units, NCB Financial fell 92 cents to $86.88 with 73,643 units changing hands. 1834 Investments ending at $1.40, with 93,917 stocks, PanJam Investment traded with a loss of 50 cents at $35, with 146,100 units, Portland JSX traded at $9.30, with 2,450 shares, Pulse Investments closed 9 cents higher at $1.80, with 7,701 stock units, Radio Jamaica closed at $1.12, with 49,263 units, Sagicor Group settled with a loss of 40 cents at $34, with 55,255 shares, Sagicor Real Estate Fund concluded trading 50 cents higher at $11.50, with 7,480 shares. Scotia Group dropped $3 to $46, with 44,994 stock units changing hands, Scotia Investments concluded trading 1 cents higher at $35.51, with 2,900 units, Supreme Ventures ended 9 cents higher at $11.09, with 699 shares.
In the main market preference segment, Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.5% preference share traded at $2, with 232,000 units and JMMB Group 7.5% preference share closed at $1.19, with 503,100 shares.
In the US dollar market, Margaritaville traded just 100 units at 30 US cents, Productive Business Solution US ordinary shares lost 3 cents and closed at 62 US cents trading 750 units, Proven Investments US ordinary share closed at 23.99 US cents, after rising 1.99 US cents in exchanging 99,223 units.

570,000 Berger shares snapped up

Berger Paints traded 570,000 shares on Friday and closed at $12.

Investors snapped up more than 570,000 units of Berger Paints’ shares pushing the price to $12 at the close, as more news came to the public that Ansa Coatings is highly unlikely to get enough shares to force a delisting of the company from the Jamaica Stock Exchange based on the offer, of $10.88 per share.
The JSE market indices rose on Friday as Scotia Group recovered some ground with 9 other stocks posting gains even as 11 fell in value.
At the close of market activity, Barita Investments closed with a loss of 15 cents at $8 with 323 units trading, Berger Paints added 75 cents to close at $12 with 572,833 shares changing hands, Cable and Wireless closed at $1.04, gaining 3 cents with 13,270 units, Caribbean Cement closed with a loss of 30 cents at $25.50 with 67,941 shares, Carreras gained 20 cents, and closed at $11 with 417,758 units, Grace Kennedy traded $1.45 lower, to $42.05 with 35,700 units. Jamaica Broilers advanced $1.25 to $17 exchanging 28,943 shares, Jamaica Producers declined by $1, closing at $15 with 6,650 units, Jamaica Stock Exchange closed at $6.50 with 4,960 stock units, JMMB Group closed at $22, after falling $1 in trading 148,514 shares. Kingston Wharves with 100 units traded rose $1.23 to $30.73, Mayberry Investments lost 9 cents, closing at $4.60 with 31,800 shares, NCB Financial Group traded 70 cents lower to $87.80 with 90,395 shares, 1834 Investments lost 4 cents to close at $1.40 with 30,000 shares. PanJam Investment dropped $3.50 to $35.50 with 22,813 stock units, Pulse Investments closed at $1.71, gaining 6 cents with 126,500 shares, Radio Jamaica closed at $1.12 trading 72,310 shares, Sagicor Group gained 40 cents, and ended at $34.40 with 15,770 shares, Sagicor Real Estate Fund gained 39 cents, closing at $11 with 1,850 units, Scotia Group closed $2.90 higher at $49 while exchanging 58,409 shares, Scotia Investments fell $1.50, closing at $35.50 with 1,412 units, Seprod with gains of $1, ended at $34 with 1,000 units, Supreme Ventures closed at $11, having gained 15 cents with 50,150 shares changing hands. Productive Business Solution US ordinary shares closed at 65 US cents trading 1,920 units, Proven Investments US ordinary shares closed at 22 US cents, after losing 1.99 US cents in exchanging 241,067 units and JMMB Group 7.5% preference share closed traded at $1.19 with 171,913 units.