JSE main market sharp rise – Monday

C&W was Monday’s leading trade with the price rising at the close.

Trading in the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange closed on Monday with 24 securities changing hands, with 2 trading in the US dollar market. The main market indices rose sharply with 12 stocks advancing and 7 declining based on last traded prices in both markets.
The All Jamaica Composite Index jumped 1,994.33 points to close at 255,338.83, the JSE Market Index climbed 1,783.28 points to finish at 232,692.82.
In market activity, Cable and Wireless was the dominant trade on Monday with gains of 8 cents, closing at $1.35 with 4,252,222 units trading, Barita Investments closed at $6.85 trading 8,000 units, Berger Paints gained 39 cents to close at $11.89 with an exchange of 6,644 units, Caribbean Cement closed at $33 trading 28,862 shares. 1834 Investments lost 30 cents to close at $1.50 with 179,616 shares changing hands, Grace Kennedy advanced 82 cents to $41.67 with an exchange of 139,325 units, Jamaica Broilers closed higher at $16.25 with gains of $1.75 trading 17,260 shares, Jamaica Producers closed with gains of 76 cents to $18 with 16,235 units changing hands, Jamaica Stock Exchange slid 80 cents to close at $10 with 88,704 shares traded. JMMB Group advanced $2.39, closing at a 52 weeks’ closing high of $22.89 with an exchange of 37,142 units, Kingston Wharves gained $2.48 to close at $31 trading 7,683 units, Margaritaville Turks added 1 US cent to close at 36 US cents trading 746 shares, National Commercial Bank closed higher at $62.80, gaining $1.80, after swapping 18,090 shares, 138 Student Living closed at $4.60 with gains of 10 cents and 50,000 shares changing hands. Pan Jamaican ended trading at $39.50, advancing 50 cents with an exchange of 6,900 shares, Pulse Investments closed at $6.80 with 417 shares changing hands, Radio Jamaica closed at $1.90 trading 10,707 units. Sagicor Group closed lower at $35, losing 20 cents with trades of 102,185 units, while Sagicor Real Estate fund lost 20 cents to close at $11.30 with an exchange of 7,249 units. Scotia Group was down 10 cents, closing at $39 having traded 233,584 shares, Scotia Investments closed at $41, adding 1 cent trading 150 units, Supreme Ventures closed at $5.50 with an exchange of 35,482 shares, Proven Investments closed at 30 US cents, losing 2 US cents trading 51,537 ordinary shares, Jamaica Money Market Broker 7.5% preference share closed at $2.06 with 23,497 units changing hands and JMMB Group 7.5% preference share closed at $1.07 with trades of 100,000 units.

Juniors index inch higher on Monday

Caribbean Flavours traded at a new high of $13.50 on Monday.

The junior market inched higher at the close of trading on Monday, to close at 3,101.51 points after climbing a mere 5.05 points. the market closed with 24 securities changing hands, compared to 19 on Friday.
At the market’s close, 11 stocks rose while 8 declined as trading ended with 2,642,818 units valued at $15,747,182 passing through the market, compared to 5,212,444 units valued at over $33,772,710, on Friday. At the close 6 stocks had bids higher than their last sale prices and 2 with lower offers, than the last sale, while 1 stock closed at new 52 weeks’ high while one traded at an intraday high.
An average of 110,117 units with an average value of $656,133 traded, compared to of 274,339 units with an average value of $1,777,511 on the previous trading day. The average volume and value for the month to date ended at 272,597 units and $1,690,274 compared to 285,096 units and $1,759,823 to the previous day. The average volume and value for January, ended at 165,547 units and $884,749.
At the close of trading, AMG Packaging dropped $3.99 and closed at $24.01 with 4,835 units changing hands, Blue Power closed at $50.25 after gaining 24 cents with just 100 shares trading, Cargo Handlers lost 43 cents in trading 180 units, to close at $24.07, Caribbean Cream closed trading with 30,640 units at $8, after gaining by 75 cents. Caribbean Flavours rose $1 in trading 1,500 units to end at a new 52 weeks’ high of $13.50, Caribbean Producers closed trading with 46,522 units being exchanged at $4.60 for a loss of 5 cents, Consolidated Bakeries traded 50,000 shares, to close 5 cents higher at $4.05, C2W Music traded 6,683 units and fell 11 cents to 39 cents. Derrimon Trading ended at $7.20 with 38,400 shares changing hands, General Accident closed trading with 6,000 shares while rising 12 cents to end at $4.12, Honey Bun closed with 4,672 shares changing hands to end at $7, Jamaican Teas traded 3,031 shares to close at $8 after gaining by 18 cents. Jetcon Corporation closed trading $1 higher with 390,520 shares being exchanged to end at $11, Key Insurance traded 9,524 units, to close with a loss of 1 cent, at $2.89, KLE Group rose 20 cents and ended with 181 units changing hands, at $2.70, Lasco Distributors ended trading 110,000 units to close at $7.30, after adding 30 cents. Lasco Financial traded 412,200 shares changing hands, to end at $4.70, Lasco Manufacturing with 1,448,197 units changing hands, closed with a gain of 30 cents at $5, Main Event had 59,631 shares changing hands to close at $4.80. Medical Disposables lost 40 cents and closed at $7 with 4,704 shares changing hands, tTech gained 90 cents and closed trading with 513 units changing hands at $7.90, Eppley 9.5% preference share, ended with 300 units changing hands at $6.01 after falling by 2 cents and Eppley 10% preference share, ended with 300 units trading at $6.85.

Big Apartment complex for South Avenue

20 South Avenue just a few minutes walk to the heart of Half Way Tree square in Kingston, the former home of pre-owned car dealership operated by now Minister of Government, Daryl Vaz, is to be home to a major multi story apartment development.
The complex comprising what now looks like a ten story building, will include regular apartments and penthouses on 9 floors. IC Insider.com’s source states that the development comprises 90 apartments with Virtuoso being the architect who did the design. The property is owned by Commercial Centre Limited that is connected with Tewani Enterprises.
The property is currently screened off from prying eyes, but is decked out by a bright orange coloured crane for all to see, leading many to wonder what was going to be built on the site.
The property is within walking distance of one of the prime shopping areas in Kingston, including the popular Mega Mart store with it wide offerings. The project is being officially launched on Thursday.
The prices for the units are bound to set the standards for other new properties to be priced at within the Kingston area. The units come at a time when there has been some amount of stability in the value of the Jamaican dollar and low interest rates be paid on investments and could attract funds leaving these low yielding investments for a higher returns.

Increased FX cost for Jamaican banks

Bank of Jamaica announced changes to the cash reserves and liquid assets that deposit-taking institutions are required to hold against foreign currency liabilities effective March 1.
According to the central bank the change will see a three percentage points increase to the current requirement. The adjustment will be in two steps, beginning with an increase of two percentage points on the first business day in March 2017, with the remaining one percentage point will be effected on the first business day in April 2017.
The adjustment is aimed at reducing the incentive to hold foreign currency liabilities.
No change is being made to the reserve requirements applicable to Jamaican dollar prescribed liabilities.
During the last three months of 2016, Bank of Jamaica gradually increased the cash reserves and liquid assets requirements for foreign currency liabilities in the banking system to bring them in line with the reserve requirements for Jamaican dollar liabilities. This removed the bias in the structure of the reserves requirements that favoured foreign-currency deposits.
At December 2016, the cash and liquid assets reserve requirements were twelve per cent (12%) and twenty-six per cent (26%), respectively, for both foreign currency and Jamaican dollar liabilities. Remuneration for foreign currency cash reserves was also discontinued, bringing it into conformity with the treatment for Jamaican dollar cash reserves.
The net effect is that it will cost banks more to hold foreign currency than before and is likely to drive up lending rates for foreign currency loans. Depositors will most likely see a dip in the interest they currently earn on foreign exchange deposits. The move will mean more funds will be available in the market for either the build-up of the country’s reserves or a further strengthening in the value of the Jamaican dollar. Real estate and stocks will definitely benefit from the changes as well.
The change come partially, as commercial banks accumulated large pool of surplus foreign currencies since mid-2016, forcing the central bank to issue bands to pull the funds out of the system, as well as the fact that Jamaican have increasingly been dollarizing their financial activities.

Broilers and Kremi now TOP 10ers

The past week saw much changes in the main and junior markets as prices gyrated up and down, for several of the stocks. Some of the highly valued stocks, declined in value as some investors took profit from the sharp rise since the start of 2017, for a number of stocks.
In the TOP 10 junior market selection, Caribbean Flavours (CFF) rose 24 percent to $12.44 during the week and moved out of the list, with the bid at $12.50, making space for Caribbean Cream, now occupying ninth spot. CFF sits just outside the top tier of junior market stocks and could well reenter at the end of next week. ISP Finance moved to a new high of $10.10 on the bid, having traded during the week at record high of $10 and no longer sits on the number 1 spot. Key Insurance suffered a setback with a big 2016 fourth quarter loss of $136 million, coming from increased insurance claim provisioning of $433 million for the quarter and $1 billion for the full year. Hopefully, that is now behind them, clearing the way for 2017 to deliver what the company seems capable of doing. tTech pulled back in price, to sit at a more comfortable $7, after some selling came in for the stock. Access Financial climbed to a new all-time high of $35, helped by strong nine months results and lack of supply of stocks for sale.
Scotia Investments climbed to $41.19 during the week, from $38 the previous week and exited the TOP 10 main market stocks. The move made space for Jamaica Broilers that lost value during the past week, falling from $16.25 at the start of the week, down to a more attractive $14.50, with an increased forecast of $2 earnings per share for the 2018 fiscal year starting May, this year. The week saw more interest in Radio Jamaica and JMMB Group, the latter trading at $23 on Friday, but closed lower by the end of trading, helped by net profit rising 55 percent to $2.68 billion, for the nine months to December last year. Earnings per share for the nine months came out at $1.63 and 39 cents for the December quarter.

Juniors index jumps sharply on Friday

Lasco Financial Services stock closed at a new high of $35 on Friday.

The junior market bounced back in trading on Friday, to close at 3,096.46 points after climbing 68.71 points as 19 securities changed hands, compared to 21 on Thursday with less stocks rising than falling.
In spite of the sharp gain in the index only 5 stocks rising while 9 declined with Access Financial jumping $3.75. Trading ended with 5,212,444 units valued at over $33,772,710 passing through the market, compared to 5,009,146 units, valued at $26,375,749, on Thursday. At the close 5 stocks had bids higher than their last sale prices and 5 with a lower offer, than the last sale, while 2 stocks closed at new 52 weeks’ high.
An average of 274,339 units with an average value of $1,777,511 traded, compared to of 238,531 units with an average value of $1,255,988 on the previous trading day. The average volume and value for the month to date ended at 285,096 units and $1,769,823 compared to 285,992 units and $1,769,183 to the previous day. The average volume and value for January, ended at 165,547 units and $884,749.
At the close of trading, Access Financial Services surged $3.75 to a 52 weeks’ high of $35 in trading 3,500 units, AMG Packaging jumped $3.50 and closed at $28 with 242 units changing hands, at the close the stock was offered at $25 to sell 150 units, Cargo Handlers traded 8,054 units, to close at $24.50. Caribbean Cream closed trading with 104,586 units at $7.25, after falling by 75 cents, Caribbean Producers closed trading with 16,011 units being exchanged at $4.65, Consolidated Bakeries traded 526,000 shares, to close at $4. General Accident closed trading with 162,398 shares while falling 15 cents to end at $4, Honey Bun closed with 422,790 shares changing hands to end with a loss of 50 cents at $7, Jamaican Teas traded 4,358 shares to close at $7.82 after declining by $1.18. Jetcon Corporation closed trading with 244,231 shares, to end with a loss of $1 at $10. Key Insurance traded 56,000 units, to close with a loss of 10 cents, at $2.90, KLE Group lost 20 cents and ended with 42,816 units changing hands at $2.50, Lasco Distributors ended trading with 2,841,405 units changing hands to close at $7. Lasco Financial rose 20 cents with 149,488 shares changing hands, to end at a 52 weeks’ high of $4.70, Lasco Manufacturing with 62,296 units changing hands, closed with a gain of 19 cents at $4.70, Main Event gained 19 cents in trading 420,952 shares to close at $4.80. Medical Disposables lost 10 cents and closed at $7.40 with 34,000 shares changing hands, Paramount Trading closed at $3.80 with 77,959 shares changing hands and tTech lost $1 and closed trading with 35,358 units changing hands at $8, at the close investors offered 806,448 units for sale at $7.90.

Jamaica stock market index up but

Stocks indices gained at the close of trading on the Jamaican Stock Exchange on Friday, but with declining stocks overpowering advancing ones 2 to 1 in the overall market based on last traded prices. The market closed with trading in 45 securities and ended with 11 stocks rising and 24 falling.
At the close 5 stocks gained and 9 declined from the junior market as 6 securities ending at new 52 weeks’ closing highs and one trading at an intraday high. The Jamaican Stock Exchange uses the average price as the closing market price as well as in computing the movement in the market indices, accordingly, the JSE reported that 21 stocks advanced and 16 declined.
The All Jamaica Composite Index rose 741.30 points to close at 253,344.50, the JSE Market Index gained 662.86 points to finish at 230,909.54 and the JSE combined index jumped 1,322.69 points, to close at 245,952.78.
Trading was quite steady compared with the previous day with 8,815,422 units valued at $83,003,765, having changed hands, compared to 8,545,755 units valued at $87,407,183 changing hands on Thursday. The junior market accounted for 5,212,444 units valued at over $33,772,710 of those trading.
The average trade for the day in the main market ended at 122,952 shares compared to an average of 95,844 units on Thursday. For the month to date, an average of 138,735 shares compared to an average of 154,517 units up to the prior trading day. January ended with an average of 592,602 units.
The junior market ended trading with an average of 274,339 units with an average value of $1,777,511 traded, compared to of 238,531 units with an average value of $1,255,988 on the previous trading day. The average volume and value for the month to date ended at 285,096 units and $1,769,823 compared to 285,992 units and $1,769,183 to the previous day. The average volume and value for January, ended at 165,547 units and $884,749.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 8 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 6 with lower offers.

Jamaican stocks enjoy gains on Thursday

Stocks mostly gained at the close of trading on the Jamaican Stock Exchange on Thursday as 51 securities changed hands in the overall market, ending with 21 stocks rising and 17 falling. At the close 7 stocks gained and 6 declined from the junior market as 3 securities ending at new 52 weeks’ closing highs.
The All Jamaica Composite Index rose 358.25 points to close at 252,603.20, the JSE Market Index gained 320.34 points to finish at 230,246.68 and the JSE combined index lost 207.72 points, to close at 244,630.09.
At the close, 8,545,755 units valued at $87,407,183 changed hands, compared to 14,119,849 units valued at $235,690,329 changing hands on Wednesday. The junior market accounted for 5,009,146 units valued at over $29,141,927 of those trading.
The average trade for the day in the main market ended at 95,844 shares compared to an average of 237,979 units on Wednesday. For the month to date, an average of 154,517, shares compared to an average of 213,191 units up to the prior trading day. January ended with an average of 592,602 units.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 7 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 5 with a lower offers.
In market activity, Barita Investments lost 38 cents to close at $7.52 trading 2,755 units, Berger Paints closed at $11.50, for a loss of 50 cents with 18,356 shares changing hands, Cable and Wireless gained 2 cents to close at $1.30 with an exchange of 809,255 units, Caribbean Cement closed at $33 trading 10,032 shares. Carreras closed at $69 with trades of 1,135 units, 1834 Investments lost 10 cents, closing at $2 with 168,582 shares changing hands, and Grace Kennedy closed at $41, gaining $1 with an exchange of 87,622 units. Jamaica Broilers closed $2 higher to $16 trading 20,237 shares, Jamaica Producers lost 55 cents and closed at $17.45 with 97,629 units changing hands, Jamaica Stock Exchange added 1 cent to close at $10 with 444,930 shares traded, JMMB Group advanced 50 cents, in closing at $20 with an exchange of 444,930 units. Kingston Wharves rose to $31 with a gain of $2.99 trading 30,200 units, Margaritaville Turks lost 4 cents and closed at 35 US cents trading 4,500 shares, Mayberry Investments lost 33 cents to close at $5.40 with 9,000 shares changing hands and National Commercial Bank closed at $63, losing $1, after exchanging 95,008 shares. 138 Student Living closed at $4.50 with 500,000 units traded, Pan Jamaican ended trading at $40.75 with a loss of 25 cents and an exchange of 67,789 shares, Portland JSX gained 2 cents to close at $10.53 with an exchange of 4,000 shares. Pulse Investments closed at $6.90 with gains of 40 cents and 12,000 shares changing hands, Radio Jamaica lost 2 cents and closed at $1.90, trading 58,396 units, Sagicor Group climbed to a 52 weeks’ high of $35.57, gaining 57 cents with trades of 34,750 units, Sagicor Real Estate fund closed at $11.50 with an exchange of 45,615 units. Salada closed at $9.24 trading 2,990 shares, Scotia Group slid to $39.50 with a loss of $1.50 having traded 45,086 shares, Scotia Investments added 99 cents to close at $40.99 trading 11,500 shares. Supreme Ventures closed at $5.70, with trades of 92,605 units, Proven Investments closed at 32 US cents trading 355,925 ordinary shares and JMMB Group 7.5% preference share, lost 1 cent with trades of 178,840 units to close at $1.09.

Juniors retreat sharply on Thursday

Medical Disposables added 60 cents and closed at $7.50′

The junior market retreated sharply in trading on Thursday, to close at 3,027.75 points after falling 48.96 as 21 securities changed hands, compared to 25 on Wednesday with the prices of 7 stocks rising and 6 declined.
The market closed ending with 5,009,146 units valued at over $29,141,927 passing through the market, compared to 6,418,006 units, valued at $39,202,136, on Wednesday. At the close, 5 stocks had bids higher than their last sale prices and 1 with a lower offer, than the last sale while 1 stock closed at new 52 weeks’ high.
An average of 238,531 units with an average value of $1,255,988 traded, compared to of 377,530 units with an average value of $754,627 on the previous trading day. The average volume and value for the month to date ended at 285,992 units and $1,758,206 compared to 290,307 units and $1,803,862 to the previous day. The average volume and value for January, ended at 165,547 units and $884,749.
At the close of trading, AMG Packaging closed at $24.50 with 7,859 units changing hands, Blue Power closed with 3,000 shares changing hands at $50.01, Cargo Handlers rose 10 cents while trading 7,456 units, to close at $24.50. Caribbean Cream closed trading with 7,153 units at $8, Caribbean Producers fell 18 cents in trading 17,802 units at $4.65, Consolidated Bakeries traded 681,057 shares with a rise of 20 cents, to close at $4. Derrimon Trading ended at $7.20 with 10,000 shares changing hands, General Accident closed trading with 24,861 shares at while falling 5 cents to end at $4.15, Honey Bun closed with 384,852 shares changing hands to end with a loss of 50 cents at $7.50, Jamaican Teas traded 62,765 shares to close at $9 after declining by 33 cents. Jetcon Corporation closed trading with 460,473 shares, to end at a closing high of $11. Key Insurance traded 1,077 units to close with a gain of 2 cents at $3, KLE Group lost 30 cents and ended with 1,500 units changing hands at $2.70, Knutsford Express traded just 4,000 shares and gained $1.49 in closing at $26. Lasco Distributors ended trading with 469,944 units changing hands to close at $7, Lasco Financial rose 27 cents with 819,651 shares changing hands to end at $4.50, Lasco Manufacturing with 1,086,082 units changing hands, closed with a loss of 44 cents at $4.51. Main Event traded 592,737 shares to close at $4.51, after trading at $4.80, Medical Disposables added 60 cents and closed at 52 weeks’ high of $7.50 with 334,877 shares changing hands. Paramount Trading rose 20 cents and closed at $3.80 with 25,500 shares changing hands, Sweet River ended with 10,000 units changing hands at $3.50 and tTech closed trading with 500 units changing hands to end at $8.

Scary data pushing some stocks

Overvalued Cargo Handlers, rated a buy by Barita.

Investors have been acting strangely of late, buying a few stocks at inflated valuation that are well ahead of anything in the market. There are just no logical explanations for it. It is downright dangerous for some investors, who seem set to get badly burnt.
IC Insider.com attempted to get an understanding of this unusual development of scary PE ratios. One possible clue came from two seasoned investors. One bought shares in Jamaica Stock Exchange (JSE) on the assumption that the PE was only 4, he was unaware that the earnings per share, last reported by the company, was not adjusted for the 5 to 1 stock split. The other investors pointed out that Cargo Handlers was selected by Barita Investments as the top junior market stock for 2017. That is a strange selection as research going back to the early years of the JSE, shows that only around 20 percent of top 10 stocks ends in the top 10 in the subsequent year, in very bullish periods, even less do so. A look at Barita’s stock market update chart, shows the Cargo Handlers having a PE of just 11.47 with earnings of $2.18, but the earnings is well ahead of the 43 cents the company reported for 2016. The PE for the stock, based on 2016 earnings is near 60 and 46

Jamaica Producers is one of the company’s that investors seem to be pushing the price, based on pre-bonus earnings.

times, IC Insider’s 2017 projection, making it the richest priced stock on the market.
Cargo Handlers may not be the sole stock that investors seem to be ignoring the effect of stock split on values. Barita shows JSE with a PE of 12.5 with earnings of $1.02, thankfully there is no recommendation for this one. Jamaica Producers is shown with a PE of 6.52 from earnings of $3.02, with a buy recommendation. Producers earnings are at best inflated with one off items, with them earning at the above level highly unlikely, as such the stock boast a PE of 40 times 2017 earnings. Pan Jam Investment is shown with earnings per share of $3.97 and a PE of 10.08. The only problem is that Pan Jam earnings for the nine months from continuing operations for 2016, is in the order of $1.92 making reaching the Barita’s earnings forecast challenging.
When the quarterly reports start coming in with adjusted earnings, it could be a huge disappointment and wake up call for some investors. It just does not seem smart for investors to be buying stocks that are valued well ahead of the market and expect to beat the market, unless there are huge increased profits down the road.