Junior Market climbs 7% in January

After climbing 36.88 points on Monday, 45.59 points on Tuesday the Junior Market jumped 76.21 points to close at 2,922.21 to be up 7 percent for the year to date. Much of the gains have to do with some recovery in the prices of two largest Lasco companies.
At the close of market activities on Wednesday, 25 securities changed hands, resulting in an exchange of 4,216,943 units valued at $15,584,380 compared to 8,181,768 units valued at $31,174,089 from 22 securities changing hands, on Tuesday. GWest Corporation accounted for 71 percent of the volume traded for the day. Market activities ended with the prices of 11 securities that advanced, 12 declined and 2 remained unchanged.
Trading ended with an average of 168,678 units for an average of $623,375 in contrast to 371,899 units for an average of $1,417,004 on Tuesday. For the month to date an average of 122,386 shares valued at $489,704 and previously, an average of 119,907 shares valued at $482,228. December closed with an average of 568,732 units valued at $3,447,957 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator|At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 2 stocks ending with the bid higher than the last selling price and 5 with lower offers.
At the close of the market, Access Financial jumped by $5.90 and closed at $48, with a mere 220 shares trading, AMG Packaging ended with a loss of 2 cents at $2, with 20,000 stock units, Caribbean Cream ended trading with a loss of 5 cents at $5.51, with 106,425 shares, Caribbean Producers finished trading with a loss of 20 cents at $4.30, with 30,500 units, Consolidated Bakeries closed with a loss of 2 cents at $1.98, with 103,000 shares. Dolphin Cove finished 62 cents higher at $17, with 59,647 stock units, Eppley settled $1.50 higher at $12.50, with 6,200 units, but only after it traded at a 52 weeks’ low of $9.50. Express Catering ended trading with a loss of 5 cents at $4.50, with 29,503 shares, FosRich Group traded with a loss of 5 cents at $2.50, with 114,890 shares. GWest Corporation closed with a loss of 5 cents at $3.20, with 2,982,117 stock units, Honey Bun ended 44 cents higher at $5, with 21,000 units, Jamaican Teas settled with a loss of 5 cents at $4.60, with 37,143 shares, Jetcon Corporation ended trading with a loss of 30 cents at $4.50, with 43,328 stock units. Key Insurance traded 30 cents higher at $3.55, with 16,000 units, Knutsford Express closed $1 higher at $15, with 1,200 shares, Lasco Distributors ended 20 cents higher at $4, with 53,444 shares, Lasco Financial gained 4 cents to close at $5.15, with 112,729 stock units. Lasco Manufacturing finished 10 cents higher at $4.40, with 242,450 units, Main Event settled with a rise of 20 cents at $5.70, with 3,143 shares, Paramount Trading traded at $3.40, with 6,921 shares, Stationery and Office finished trading at $5.05, with 180,026 stock units. Sweet River closed with a loss of 5 cents at $3.80, with 30,000 units and tTech ended with a loss of 5 cents at $5.95, with 917 shares. In the junior market preference segment, Eppley 8.25% concluded trading with a loss of 5 cents at $5.40, with 8,940 units and Eppley 9.5% finished 64 cents higher to a 52 weeks’ high of $7.89, with 7,200 shares.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Junior stocks set for strong 2018

IC Insider.com Junior Market TOP 10 stocks for 2018

Junior market stocks performed better than main market stocks in 2017 but that performance does not show in the gains in the market indices of both markets.
The Junior Market rose just 5.3 percent at the end of the year, down from a high of 31 percent in May.
The pull back of the index from its peak pushed the market into very negative technical readings. The first negative is a head and shoulder pattern, then the deadly cross where the short and medium term moving averages have fallen below the long term moving average and to that is an examination of the potential gains for individual stocks show that more two third of them are valued around or above the market average for 2017 earnings. That means that there is not much ammunition left to seriously push this market much higher based on 2017 profit out turn. Weighting down on the juniors is a series of company results that are not reflected positive price driven data.

General Accident could be a leader in the Junior Market in 2018 as they benefit from higher premium rates.

The reports include, Paramount Trading with strong rise in revenues for the November quarter but lower profits as administrative cost rise Caribbean Cream enjoyed a strong 18 percent increase in revenues but that could not overcome a rise in administrative and direct cost in the November quarter, resulting in profit falling from $19 million in 2016 to less than $1 million in 2017 and helped to push six months profit to $71 million versus $137 million in 2016. AMG Packaging revenues jumped 24 percent in the quarter to November but increased cost wipe the sales gains away and more to leave a profit of $10 million versus $18 in the prior year period.
Express Catering is continuing to deliver strong increased earnings but the stock is already well priced and so too is Knutsford Express at which revenues rose by 18 percent in the November quarter but at a slower pace than in the prior year. For the August quarter and profit grew by just 15 percent, with half year earnings per share coming in at 19 cents, full year earnings should come close to 50 cents but the stock is already a high price relative to the overall market.
The positives in the market is that the 45 days moving average is now over stretched and should enjoy some rebound sooner than later. Looking fully at 2018 thinks appear brighter with IC Insider.com pointing to 14 stocks including the IPO, Elite Diagnostics that could double in price and around 8 that could gain over 50 percent.

Elite Diagnostics could be in the Junior Market TOP 10 by the end of 2018.

Based on projected earnings for 2018, the average PE ratio suggests that Junior Market stock prices should grow by 36 percent. Technical readings have the junior market moving to 3,900 points, 43 percent higher than the end of 2017, before major resistance sets in.
The Top 10 Junior market stocks are taken from those listed at the start of 2018. The list therefore excludes Elite Diagnostics which should end in the top of 2018 best Junior Market stocks at the end of the year.
The list comprise some 2017 under performers, insurance companies that should benefit from increased premium income and in the case of Key Insurance reduced administrative cost. Paramount Trading is adding new product lines that should not only boost top line but with bottom-line growth, while Caribbean Producers and Dolphin Cove will benefit from the strong growth in tourism.

Barita is back VM Investments out – TOP 10

There is only one change to the TOP 10 lists, since we last reported on it, with Victoria Mutual Investments rising to more than $4 from the IPO price of $2.45, after listing in December and is replaced by Barita Investments.
Junior market stocks show some noted position change due to price movements. Key Insurance slipped in price to move atop that list, while Jamaican Teas gained and moved into the second half of the listing. CAC2000 posted results that were just 2 cents lower than IC Insider.com’s forecast of 80 cents, with the price climbing to $7.31 at close of the week and should really be going higher based on those numbers. Access Financial climbed back to $42, pushing it to the bottom of the list.
Former TOP 10 listing, Main Event reported a 79 percent jump in earnings for 2018, to 38 cents per share before taxation, the price may bounce about for a while around the $6, until it is clear that 2018 earnings should hit 55 cents per share.
With the Initial Public offerings (IPOS) out of the way, more life returned to the secondary market this past week with the main market enjoying buoyant volumes and the Junior Market recording some recovery with more buying interest.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended at 8.6 and 8.4 for the main market TOP 10. The average PE for the overall main market is 15 and 13.6 for the Junior Market, based on 2017 estimated earnings.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 37 percent to the average of the market for Junior Market Top stocks and 44 percent for the main market.
Market Watch| Investors should still keep a keen eye on Caribbean Cement for which supply seems to be declining and word that the company is close to an agreement in refinancing the leased assets that is expected to result in major savings in cost for 2018 onwards. FosRich and GWest Corporation, pulled back from their highs this past week with FosRich hitting $2.50 in trading on Friday, this one could see some rebounding but GWest Corporation could decline some more. Others to be watched are, CAC2000, General Accident, Cable & Wireless, NCB Financial, Berger Paints, JMMB Group, Main Event, Lasco Financial, Paramount Trading and Stationery and Office. Wisynco pulled back this past week to $10.80 and may well trade around this level for a while with a PE of 15 times 2018 earnings, as profit taking continues.

TOP 10 stocks – Watch for Wisynco

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Wata produced by Wisynco

Movement in the TOP 10 lists, resulted in just one move out, while some changed positions notably on the list. Main Event was the sole stock dropping from the top list leaving room for Caribbean Cream to move in.
With the Initial Public offerings (IPOS) out of the way, more life returned to the secondary market this past week with the main market gaining strongly but Junior Market stocks continue to struggle but helped by gains in price of two new listings.
The year ahead will see a number of changes to the TOP listings with several of the current listing carrying over. Only ISP Finance so far is showing as a new likely TOP 10 listing for 2018 in the Junior Market. The main market list is likely to see about 4 new entrants for 2018, with Cable & Wireless, Barita Investments, Palace Amusement and Wisynco depending on when it list, joining the top stocks. Radio Jamaica sits just below the TOP 10 and could well squeeze into the 10 by the start of 2018. Profit results for the fourth quarter, are likely to impact prices of most stocks as the information will provide important fuel for price movements.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended at 7.9 and 8.2 for the main market TOP 10. The average PE for the overall main market is 14.2 and 13.4 for the Junior Market, based on 2017 estimated earnings.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 41 percent to the average of the market for Junior Market Top stocks and 42 percent for the main market.
Market Watch| Investors should still keep a keen eye on Caribbean Cement for which supply seems to be declining with the focus on refinancing of leased assets that is expected to result in major savings in cost for 2018 onwards. FosRich and GWest Corporation, the recent IPOs, started trading on the Junior Market last week with strong gains so far, they should be watched in the few trading days left for the year, to glean further directions as both are now richly priced. Others to be watched are, General Accident, Cable & Wireless , NCB Financial, Berger Paints, JMMB Group, Main Event, Lasco Financial, Paramount Trading and Stationery and Office. Wisynco could start trading this week and is expected to create some excitement with the issue more about twice oversubscribed.

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TOP 10 stocks – Watch FosRich on Tuesday

With the Initial Public offerings (IPOS) out of the way, more life returned to the secondary market this past week resulting in some changes to the TOP 10 lists.
Initial Public offerings for 2017 now seem to be over until they reappear in January, with Sygnus Capital Investments planning to be out of the block early. Others that were prepared to go in December could come to market in January, the start of what now appears to be another interesting year for local stocks. Coming Tuesday in the wider market, FosRich Group, the recent IPO will list and start trading on the Junior Market.
Prior to the past week, the focus on IPOs negatively affected trading in the secondary market with the Junior Market giving up almost all the gains make in the first half of the year and is still trading close to the low for the year.
The past week ended with Main Event as the only new entrant into the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks, with Blue Power leaving, as the price rose back to the $44. Sagicor Group returns to the Main Market list pushing out Pulse Investments. Interestingly, General Accident jumped to $3 by week end with limited supplies and slipped to number 2 on the list.
Investors should bear in mind that as the year closes, there will be changes to the TOP list for 2018, with a number on the current list, expected to repeat, but there will be new ones.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended at 8.1 and a PE of 8.2 for the main market TOP 10. The average PE for the overall main market is 14.2 and 12.8 for the Junior Market, based on 2017 estimated earnings.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 36 percent to the average of the market for Junior Market Top stocks and 44 percent for the main market.
Market Watch| The two markets seem to have found support this past week after retreating sharply over the prior two weeks. Investors should still keep a keen eye on Caribbean Cement for which supply seems to be declining fast and a focus on refinancing leased assets is expected to result in major savings in cost for 2018 onwards. FosRich, the recent IPO that starts trading on the Junior Market on Tuesday, General Accident, Cable & Wireless that appears scarce under $1, NCB Financial, Berger Paints, JMMB Group, Main Event, Lasco Financial, Paramount Trading and Stationery and Office.

VM Investments in TOP 10

VM Investments press conference for launch its IPO. from left is Michael McMorris – Chairman of VMBS, Courtney Campbell Group CEO, Devon Barrett CEO of VMIL and Janice McKenley – Group Chief Financial Offer.

Initial Public offerings were all the rage in Jamaica Stock Market this past week, with three IPOS opening and closing during the week all being oversubscribed and one new one coming to market to open on Monday and expected to close on the same day.
The focus on IPOs negatively affected trading in the secondary market with the Junior Market giving up almost all of the gains make in the first half of the year. The week ended with no movement in and out of the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks but VM Investments is a new one in the Main Market list along Pulse Investments that returned with a fall in the stock price during the week, and out goes Wisynco and Sagicor Group.
As indicated last week, the bulk of Wisynco’s gain should come in the latter part of 2018, based on current operations that should deliver earnings of 70 cents for the current year and $1 for the next fiscal as the company continues to recover from the ravages of the fire back in 2016. Much is expected from VM Investments that is priced to bounce well. Investors ought to bear in mind that that has the year closely, they will be changes to the TOP list for 2018, quite a number on the current list are expected to repeat in 2018.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended the week at 7.9 and a PE of 8 for the main market TOP 10. The average PE for the overall main market is 14.1 and 12.6 for the Junior Market, based on 2017 estimated earnings.
At the close of the week, discount for both the main and Junior markets have virtually merged, with the IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trading at an average discount of 44 percent to the average of the market for Junior Market Top stocks and 46 percent for the main market.
Market Watch| The two markets retreated sharply over the past two weeks and broken through support levels with some individual stocks pulling back and pushing the market index down markedly, but the main market seems to have found a bottom and may be on the way up now that the major IPOs are closed. The junior market could be going through a consolidation phase for a while, at least that is what the market seems to be suggesting.
Investors should still keep a keen eye on Caribbean Cement for which supply seems to be declining fast, Cable & Wireless that appears scarce under $1, NCB Financial, Berger Paints, JMMB Group, Main Event, Lasco Financial, Paramount Trading and Stationery and Office.

Juniors rise as 8 stocks gained & 9 fell

Trading on the Junior Market on Monday saw the Index advancing 36.34 points to close at 2,725.07 to break the losing streak of last week 22 securities changing hands resulting in the prices of 8 securities advanced, 9 declined and 5 remained unchanged.
Trading concluded with an exchange of 5,603,665 units valued at $19,432,637 compared to 1,300,855 units valued at $5,472,573 on Friday from 24 securities trading.
When trading ended the average security ended with 254,712 units for an average of $883,302 in contrast to 54,202 units for an average of $228,024 on Friday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 150,098 units valued at $541,417. In contrast, November closed with average of 107,477 units valued at $545,989 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 2 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 4 with lower offers.
At the close of the market, Access Financial closed with a jump of $6.30 to end at $40.30, with 2,000 shares trading, AMG Packaging fell 9 cents to $2.90, with 12,202 stock units, Blue Power concluded trading with a loss of 5 cents at $36.95, with 1,124 units, Caribbean Cream finished 1 cent higher at $5.50, with 11,500 shares, Caribbean Flavours settled at $11, with 22,805 shares, Caribbean Producers traded 14,000 units at $4.20. Consolidated Bakeries finished 10 cents higher at $1.90, with 7,000 shares, Express Catering ended 1 cent higher at $4.01, with 173,916 stock units, Eppley concluded trading at $10, with 1,600 units, General Accident finished 20 cents higher at $2.70, with 135,510 shares, Honey Bun settled with a loss of 5 cents at $3.85, with 1,000 shares. Jamaican Teas traded 10 cents higher at $3.90, with 20,000 units, Jetcon Corporation finished trading 15 cents higher at $4.50, with 21,500 shares, Key Insurance ended with a loss of 19 cents at $3.80, with 1,052,631 stock units, Lasco Distributors settled with a loss of 5 cents at $4.35, with 161,720 shares, Lasco Financial ended trading with a loss of 15 cents at $5, with 280,086 stock units, Lasco Manufacturing traded at $3.50, with 76,003 units, Medical Disposables finished trading with a loss of 10 cents at $4.95, with 1,722 shares. Paramount Trading concluded trading at $3.09, with 3,550,825 units, Stationery and Office ended trading with a loss of 5 cents at $5, with 41,723 stock units and tTech finished trading with a loss of $1 at $6, with 5,000 shares. In the junior market preference segment, Derrimon Trading preference shares ended with 9,798 units changing hands with a gain of 15 cent at $2.15.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Jam Teas, Blue Power & Wisynco in TOP 10

In a week of big price movements in the market three new stocks moved into the TOP 10 at the close of the last week. Wisynco that IPO debut this week just makes it into the main market TOP 10, suggesting there should be some gains ahead.
The bulk of Wisynco’s gain should come in the latter part of 2018 based on current operations that should deliver earnings of 70 cents for the current year and $1 for the next fiscal. Blue Power slipped in price to re-enter the top Junior Market list while Jamaican Teas rose based on fall in price and estimated earnings for 2018 fiscal year. Out of the TOP 10 Junior Market, are Derrimon Trading and Main Event that rose to $6. Wisynco pushed Pulse Investments out of the main market TOP 10.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks dropped sharply from 9.2 last week to at 8.1 and a PE at 8.5 for the main market TOP 10. The average PE for the overall main market is 14.3 and 12.9 for Junior Market, based on 2017 estimated earnings.
At the close of the week, discount for both the main and Junior markets have virtually merged, with the IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trading at an average discount of 42 percent to the average of the market for Junior Market Top stocks and 43 percent for the main market.
Market Watch| The two markets retreated sharply and broken through support levels with some individual stocks pulling back and pushing the market index down markedly. This week the focus could be on the three IPOs that opening in days.
Investors should still keep a keen eye on Caribbean Cement for which supply seems to be declining fast, Cable & Wireless that appears scarce under $1, NCB Financial, Berger Paints, JMMB Group, Main Event, Lasco Financial, Paramount Trading and Stationery and Office.

Derrimon out Kremi is back in TOP 10

Derrimon Trading reentered the TOP 10 last week but has spent just one week rising during the week from $6.50 to $8 and is replaced by Caribbean Cream, the only new entrant to the TOP list.
Jamaica Broilers slipped to $17.50 during the week and moved to the top of the main market listing with Berger Paints moving to Number 3 position having closed at $16.50 on Friday while Salada Foods rose to $10 and fell to 7th spot.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks is at 9.2 and a PE at 8.6 for the main market TOP 10. The average PE for the overall main market is 14.7 and 14.4 for Junior Market, based on 2017 estimated earnings.
At the close of the week, IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 34 percent to the average of the market for Junior Market Top stocks and 42 percent for the main market.
Market Watch| The two markets have retreated to be testing support and some individual stocks seem to be more in a mood for profit taking than wanting to move much higher currently, as such stocks may not gain much during the week ahead, but that is difficult to know. Investors should nevertheless keep a keen eye on Caribbean Cement for which supply seems to be declining fast, Cable & Wireless that appears scarce under $1, NCB Financial, Berger Paints, JMMB Group, Main Event, Lasco Financial, Paramount Trading and Stationery and Office.

Derrimon & Main Event in TOP 10

Main Event moved into the top list of Junior market stocks along with Derrimon Trading, this week, replacing Jamaican Teas and Caribbean Cream that entered the list last week and Pulse Investments and Sagicor Group are in the Main market listing.
Main Event fell back to $5.50 at the end of the past week, from $5.75, the week before, to reenter the list, while Jamaican Teas came in for some buying that lifted the price slightly, to $4.10, to see it leaving. Radio Jamaica is removed from the list as six months’ results suggest that earnings will be hard pressed to exceed the 6 cents reported for the 2017 fiscal year. Also out is Cable & Wireless, with nine months’ results suggesting lower profit than originally projected for the full year to December.
Derrimon Trading reported net profit for this three months to September from core business, jumping 56 percent to $27 million over the $17.5 million reported for the corresponding period in 2016. The consolidated net profit for the nine months was $132 million, up 22 percent over the corresponding period in 2016. Earnings per share amounted to 48 cents for the nine months and seems on track to end the year at 60 cents.
On Friday Lasco Financial, a former TOP 10 stock, hit a new record high of $6.60 following the reported profit that more than doubled in the September quarter to $100 million and up 63 percent to $167 million for the six months as well as from news of the acquisition of CrediScotia operations.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks is at 9 and a PE at 8.5 for the main market TOP 10. The average PE for the overall main market is 15 and 14 for Junior Market, based on 2017 estimated earnings.
At the close of the week, IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 35 percent to the average of the market for Junior Market Top stocks and 43 percent for the main market.
Market Watch| Investors should keep a keen eye for Caribbean Cement, Cable & Wireless that appears scarce under $1, NCB Financial, Berger Paints, JMMB Group, Lasco Financial, Paramount Trading, Derrimon Trading and Stationery and Office.