MailPac drops out of IC TOP 10

Newly listed MailPac Group more than doubled in price, trading as high as $2.60 but closed the week at $2.22 at the end the past week and dropped out of the TOP Junior Market listing.
IC Insider.com has upgraded the average targeted PE to March 2020 based on the valuation of more than 22 times earnings, that the market has placed on several stocks currently.
 Honey Bun also jumped ship after posting strong growth with full-year results showing profit rising 67 percent to hit $157 million from a 17 percent rise in revenues to $1.54 billion. The stock closed at $8, up from $7 last week, but traded at a record high of $9.20 on Friday. Honey Bun entered the TOP 10 in the first week in October at $6.15 and left with a gain of 30 percent, but it still has more gains ahead of it. tTech price fell to $5.35 and re-entered the TOP 10 along with Caribbean Flavours, with its price dropping from $17.90 last week to close at $15.64 to return to the TOP 10.  PanJam Investment moved into the JSE Main Market Top 10 at the expense of Stanley Motta.
The past week was generally good for stocks as the JSE Main Market rose 4,691 points and the Junior Market climbed 89 points. The Junior Market movement was partially helped by the steep rise in the price of MailPac, from the IPO price of $1. Importantly, the Junior Market has made a sharp break out of a downward sloping channel that started after the market peaked in Mid-August. It now seems to be heading higher, with a healthy break out of the channel.
IC Insider.com has upgraded the target PE ratios to 25 with several stocks trading at that around 22 currently. The average projected gains for the IC TOP 10 stocks are 187 percent for Junior Market stocks and 145 percent for JSE Main market Top 10 shares.
Medical Disposables lead the top three Junior Market stocks with projected gains of 246 percent, followed by Main Event with potential profits of 189 percent and Jamaican Teas with 189 percent.
Berger Paints is the new lead stock with projected gains of 126 percent, followed by Carreras in the number two spot with projected growth of 122 percent and Radio Jamaica with likely increases of 111 percent is next.
The JSE Main Market closed the week, with an overall PE of 21.5 and the Junior Market at 14.6, an improvement over the previous week’s 14.2, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 8.9 from 8.7 last week with the Main Market PE at 10.5.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 39 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and JSE Main Market stocks trade at a discount of 51 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year, are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Possible values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

MailPac set to jump

MailPac shares were listed on Wednesday and closed at $1.32 for a rise of 32 percent, with less than 49,373 units traded.
The most recent information has the highest buying price at $1.72 for 305,000 shares, followed by 73,247 shares at $1.70 a lot of 26,388 units at $1.51 and 300,001 units at $1.50. At $1.49, there is buying for 60,357 units and at $140 to buy 4.37 million.
Selling starts at $1.35 with 24,092 shares, followed by 21,227 units at $1.44 and 21,227 at $1.45, with a total of 82 offers posted so far.
Trading in the early trading session on Thursday resulted in just 56,620 units changing hands at $2.10 at a PE ratio of 15. The maximum price that it can trade at for the day is $2.18. With the price movement to date, the stock has moved out of the IC Insider.com TOP 10 list.

Big jump in Honey Bun profit

Another major milestone in Honey Bun’s brief history of listing on the JSE Junior Market was reached at the end of the 2019 fiscal year, ending in September, with record revenues and profit.
The full-year results show pretax profit rising 73 percent to $183 million versus $106 million in 2018 and profit after tax rising 67 percent to hit $157 million from a 17 percent rise in revenues to $1.54 billion. Revenues grew even faster in the final quarter by 20.4 percent improvement over the 18.9 that revenues grew in the third quarter over 2018.
The results benefited from improved efficiency with cost sales rising well below the growth in revenues, with input cost increasing 12 percent for the year, driving gross profit margin to 48 percent, an improvement from the 46 percent in 2018. Selling and Distribution expenses rose 16 percent to $250 million from $214, Administrative Cost excluding depreciation rose 18 percent $284 million from $249 million.
Earnings per share rose to 33 cents in the just concluded year from just 18 cents in 2018. Importantly, the company is on the way to earn 70 cents per share for 2020 for a profit of $335 million and should go on to earn $1 per share or $490 million in 2021 and $1.30 or $600 million in the following year when the tax concession for half the regular rate ends.

One Honey Bun’s Products.

The company is benefitting from a capital expenditure of $330 million spent over the last two years to expand the factory and bring manufacturing under one location as well as an expansion of product range. The operations generated gross cash flow of $230 million up from $145 million in 2018.
Shareholders’ equity climbed to $741 million from $618 million. Current assets increased from $209 million to $353 million with net current assets ending at $185 million from $89 million in 2018. Cash and cash equivalents stood at $193 million, up from $100 million, but the company has Investments of $92 million comprising quoted shares and money market instruments treated as non-current assets.
The company manufacture and distributes baked products for the local and export markets.
The stock receives the IC BUY RATED seal of approval. The stock traded at $7 on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market for a PE of 10.

Continued stability for IC TOP 10

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With the closing of the two initial public offers of MailPac Group and Lumber Depot last week, things started to return to more normally in the market this past week with the two main markets recording net gains for the week.
At the close of a week when the JSE Main Market put on125 points and the Junior Market rose 46 points there was minimal change to the IC TOP 10 list this week with just one change as Fontana returns to the top flight after a brief absence, replacing Caribbean Flavours with the price jumping to $17.90 on Friday. One important development at the end of the week was the release of full-year results, for Honey Bun, with profit rising 67 percent to hit $157 million from a 17 percent rise in revenues to $1.54 billion. Importantly, the company is on the way to earn 70 cents per share for 2020.
The average gains for the IC TOP 10 stocks are 136 percent for Junior Market stocks and 96 percent for JSE Main market Top 10 stocks.
The top three Junior Market stocks, is now led by Main Event with projected gains of 183 percent, followed by MailPac Group with 180 percent and Medical Disposables with potential gains of 167 percent.
Radio Jamaica remains the lead stock with projected gains of 186 percent, followed by Pulse Investments in the number two spot with projected growth of 138 and Berger Paints with likely gains of 120 percent and percent is next.
The JSE Main Market closed the week with the overall PE of 19 up from 18.8 and the Junior Market at 14.2, an improvement over the previous week’s 13.8, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 18.7 from 7.8 last week with the Main Market PE at 10.6 up from 10.4.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 39 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 44 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year, are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

Greater stability for IC TOP 10

NCB Financial is back in IC TOP10

The past week saw the initial public offers for Mailpac Group and Lumber Depot coming to the market with both being fully subscribed.
There were just two changes to the IC TOP 10 list of stocks at the end of the week. NCB Financial makes it back into the TOP 10 at the expense of JMMB Group that rose in price to $46 while the Junior Market TOP 10 welcomed Dolphin Cove while saying goodbye to Fontana.
The top three Junior Market stocks, is now led by CAC 2000 with projected gains of 200 percent, followed by MailPac Group with 180 percent and Main Event, with potential gains of 179 percent.
Radio Jamaica remains the lead stock with projected gains of 170 percent, followed by Pulse Investments in the number two spot with projected growth of 127 and Berger Paints with likely gains of 116 percent and percent is next.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE of 18.8 and the Junior Market at 13.8, based on the current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7.8 with the main market PE at 10.4.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 43 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 45 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

Major shakeup in IC TOP 10

The past week saw the release of quarterly results by several companies and that helped in reshaping IC TOP 10 list of stocks for the coming week. The Junior Market TOP 10 has 5 changes and the main market just one.
Earnings downgrades and the announcement of new initial public offers were the main factors that resulted in the changes.
Mailpac Group and the Lumber Depot released prospectuses this past week, with both making it into the Junior Market TOP 10 list. Other notable changes to the Junior Market list are Caribbean Flavours, Fontana and Honey Bun that reentered the top list after weeks of absence. Dropping from the list are Iron Rock Insurance, Caribbean Producers and tTech, all of which suffered earnings downgrade.
Mailpac Group released its prospectus to sell 500 million shares at $1 each with earnings of 14 cents per share for a PE of 7 and potential gains of 180 percent. The Lumber Depot released its prospectus on Friday with a projected profit of $82 million or 16 cents per share.
JMMB Group released substantial gains in the half-year results that helped to propel it into the main market TOP 10 at the expense of Seprod. The latter suffered an earnings downgrade following the release of the nine months results.
 The top three Junior Market stocks, is now led by Main Event with projected gains of 201 percent, followed by Medical Disposables with 186 percent and by new entrant MailPac Group, with a potential increase of 180 percent.
Radio Jamaica
remains the lead stock with projected gains of 170 percent, followed by Pulse Investments in the number two spot with projected growth of 144 and Carreras with a likely increase in the stock price of 117 percent and percent is next.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE of 17.6 and the Junior Market at 13.8 from 12.1, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 8.1 with the main market PE at 10.5.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 42 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 40 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

MailPac Group IPO gains IC buy rating

Mail Pac Group and shareholders are selling 500 million shares at $1 each to raise $500 million with the offer opening on November 22. Applications from the general public must be for a minimum of 10,000 shares.  
The general public will be allowed to purchase just 6 percent or 150 million of the total issued share capital of 2.5 billion units that will be issued, following the close of the issue.
MailPac Group was formed late in 2019 and acquired Mailpac Services Limited and Mailpac Local Limited from Norbrook Equity Partners, majority shareholders, to amalgamate both logistics platforms into one operating business.
Profit is expected to reach $282 million in the 12 months to December this year based on results of the business operations for 2019 and will result in 14 cents earnings per share and a PE ratio of just seven times 2019 earnings and compares favourable with the average for the Junior Market of over 12 .5.
The company projects a profit of $317 million in 2020, but IC Insider.com is forecasting $356 and 14 cents per share. The stock receives the coveted IC Insider.com Buy Rated grading, with the price doubling by 2020.
The company enjoyed growth in revenues of 12.2 percent in 2017 and 25.7 percent in 2018 and 28.8 percent for the first half of 2019.
Before the acquisition mentioned above, the businesses in 2018 grew revenues to $969 million and $851 for the first three-quarters of 2019. Net income for the same periods was $213 million and $203 million, respectively. Mailpac Local Limited operated for seven months in 2018.
The Company intends to apply to the JSE for listing on the Junior Market subject raising at least $495 million. Proceeds are for general corporate purposes, including working capital and capital expenditure re and to settle existing debt obligations the selling shareholder assumed on behalf of the Company.
According to the company, Mailpac Services offers over 20 years of expertise in e-commerce fulfillment. With a rapidly growing client base of over 50,000 consumers in Jamaica, the business, a technological fulfillment platform for anyone shopping online. MGL’s core offering provides clients with physical addresses in Miami, Florida, where they can receive all goods purchased from international providers. Deliveries to the 55,000 square foot Florida warehouse are flown to Jamaica by a third-party cargo plane. MGL clears all items and delivers them to the customers at their homes or businesses or customers may collect packages at any of the company’s eleven stores islandwide.
The directors of the company are Khary Robinson, Executive Chairman, Mark Gonzales Executive Director & CEO, Garth Pearce Director, William Craig Independent, Non-Executive Director Tracy-Ann Spence Independent, Non-Executive Director. In the interest of good corporate governance, the board would do well to appoint an independent non-executive director as the chairman.

Lasco Manufacturing 6-month profit up12%

With its best performance in the last five years with a 92 percent jump in profit to $1 billion in 2019 financial year, Lasco Manufacturing went on to increase profit a mere 5.5 percent in the September quarter from weak sales growth.
The improvement in profit emanated from increased efficiency than from increased sales.
Sale revenues fell slightly for the quarter to $2.06 billion from $2.066 billion in the 2018 period and rose 1.3 percent for the six months to $3.85 billion from $3.80 billion in 2018.
Profit grew to $280 million from $265 million in the quarter and 12 percent for the six months to September to $563 million from $503 million in 2018. Second-quarter profit declined compared to the June quarter when the company posted $283 million after-tax.
Improvements in operations led to gross profit margin in half the year rising to 37 percent from 35 percent in 2018 as the cost of sales fell 3 percent in the quarter and 2 percent for the year to date. Operating profit slipped slightly in the quarter, to $359 million from $364 million but jumped 7 percent for the year to date, to $714 million from $667 million in 2018, as Administrative expenses rose much faster than sales and gross profit.  Administrative expenses increased 14 percent to $392 million in the quarter and 11 percent in the half-year to $722 million. Finance cost declined in the quarter to $ 22 million from $32 million in 2018 and from $64 million to $54 million for the six months. Provision for profit tax fell from $66 million to $57 million in the quarter, with the half-year ending at $98 million versus $100 million in 2018.

Lasco Manufacturing products

Gross cash flow brought in $791 million, but receivables and reduction in trade payables used up $697 million, $250 million went to pay dividends and $214 million as repayment of loans. Lasco invested $275 million in what is stated to be a long term investment in stocks these and other payments left cash generated at a negative $517 million, leaving liquid funds on hand at $401 million. At the end of September, shareholders’ equity stood at $6 billion, with the current portion of long-term loans at $484 million and long-term liability at $807 million. Current assets ended the period at $3.6 billion inclusive of trade and other receivables of $2 billion, cash and bank balances of $401 million and current liabilities ended the period at $1.4 billion.
With limited growth in sales from existing products, the company is expanding factory and warehousing facilities. “Capital investments being undertaken in a new warehouse facility and build-out of the expansion of the Dry Blend plant at White Marl,” Managing Director, James Rawle reported to shareholders in his commentary on the quarterly.
The company paid a dividend of 6.1 cents on June 28, amounting to $250 million, 61 percent greater than dividends paid out in 2018. The dividend yield was just 1.5 percent, with the stock price just over $4 on the record date in June.
Earnings per share came out at 7 cents for the quarter and 14 cents for the six months and should be in the 30-35 cents region for the full year. The stock last traded at $5.25 on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Friday with a PE of 14.

Two new entries to IC TOP 10

Back in IC TOP 10

The vast majority of listed companies on the Jamaica Stock Exchange will be releasing quarterly results by the end of the week and that could result in significant price movements for some. The major moves should apply mostly in the Junior Market that has several undervalued stocks.
The main market TOP 10 has two new additions this week with Pulse Investments surging back into the list with robust first-quarter results, suggesting that profit for the year could reach 50 cents per share.  Scotia Group also returned to the top flight while Eppley and Proven Investments exited the listing. There was no change to the Junior Market TOP 10 list.
The top three Junior Market stocks continue to be led by Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 254 percent, followed by Iron Rock Insurance with a potential rise of 232 percent and Main Event with 221 percent.
Radio Jamaica remains the lead stock with projected gains of 170 percent, followed by Carreras in the number two spot with likely increases of 106 percent and Berger Paints with projected growth of 95 percent is next.
The main market closed the week with the overall PE of 17.6, up from 17.2 and the Junior Market at 12.1 from 11.8, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7.5, with the main market PE at 10.6.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 38 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 40 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. The increased values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.
This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

Main Event leaps into IC TOP 10

Main Event revenues growing nicely profit stalls.

Overall price movement on the Jamaica Stock Exchange was steadier ahead of the month-end but some stocks recorded notable price movements as the JMMB Group APO remained opened.
Main Event shot into the Junior Market TOP 10 list this week in the number 3 position with a switch to earnings for 2020 fiscal year. The company came under selling pressure recently with profit declining in the July quarter although revenues climbed a strong 29 percent over the outturn for the similar quarter in 2018. The company managed to record a modest increase in its nine months profit with earnings per share of 36 cents. If the growth in revenues maintains the trend for 2019 in 2020 and management controls cost that was out of line in 2019, then the company should go on to record a strong increase in profit in the 2020 fiscal year that starts this month.
Honey Bun returns to the Junior Market TOP 10 stocks while Caribbean Flavours and Access Financial with an earnings downgrade, following release of the six months results, are out of the IC TOP 10. Over in the main market, Eppley moved in at the expense of Scotia Group with the price climbing to $58.99 on Friday.
The top three Junior Market stocks, continue to be led by Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 237 percent, followed by Iron Rock Insurance with potential gains of 233 percent followed by Main Event with 226 percent.
Radio Jamaica remains the lead stock with projected gains of 176 percent, followed by Carreras in the number two spot with likely gains of 128 percent and Jamaica Broilers with projected growth of 107 percent is next.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE of 17.8, up from 17.2 and the Junior Market at 12.1 from 11.8, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7.8 with the main market PE at 10.7 from 10.8 for the previous week.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 37 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 38 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.