Carreras & Medical Disposable lead TOP 10

The past week saw significant fluctuations in prices of several stocks, leading to notable declines in the market indices of the Junior and Main Market and resulting in some changes in the TOP 10 stocks.
The Junior Market lost General Accident and Lasco Distributors and welcomed back Jetcon Corporation and Dolphin Cove. In the JSE Main Market, the price of NCB Financial fell to $190, with the stock edging out Pulse Investments in the process.
The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 21.1 and the Junior Market 14.2, based on current 2019 earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 9.2 with the Main Market at 11.1.
The targeted average PE ratio is 25, with several stocks trading at that level or just under, in 22 times region, currently. The TOP 10 shares now trade at a discount of 35 percent of the average for Junior Market and Main Market stocks trade at a discount of 47 percent to the overall market.
The average projected gain for the IC TOP 10 stocks is 177 percent for the Junior Market and 129 percent for the JSE Main Market, based mostly on 2019 earnings.
The top three Junior Market stocks are Medical Disposables with projected gains of 257 percent, followed by Main Event with 232 percent and Jamaican Teas is in the third spot with 187 percent likely capital gain, with the price pulling back from $7.40 at the start of the week to $6.98 at the close. During the week, Jamaican Teas announced a three for one stock split, subject to approval by shareholders.
During the week, Sygnus Credit Investments US dollar-based stock that surged to number one spot on the Jamaican Stock Exchange Main Market at the end of the prior week climbed to 18 US cents and moved to the sixth position. Carreras now leads the TOP 10 Main Market stocks with projected gains with 176 percent, followed by Radio Jamaica in the number two spot, with 166 percent and Berger Paints with 152 percent.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March this year. Forecasted earnings and PE ratio for the current fiscal year are in determining potential gains. The stocks are ranked in the order of likely increases, with the highest-ranked, being the most attractive. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on.

Main Event & Sygnus lead IC TOP 10

Main Event revenues are growing strongly.

Entertainment event planners, Main Event and Sygnus Credit Investments US dollar-based stock surged to number one spot on the Junior and Main markets of the Jamaican Stock Exchange in a week with just one change to the TOP 10 lists.
Dolphin Cove’s price moved to $11.90 and the stock moved out of the Junior Market TOP 10 and is replaced by General Accident with the stock price falling to $6.45.
The Jamaica Stock Exchange got some price changing news during the past week. Jamaican Teas announced that the directors would be meeting to consider increasing the share capital and a sub-division of the companies issued shares. That news created added interest in the stock, driving the price from $6.58 to close the week at $7.40. Pulse Investments announced expansion into residential real estate development for sales and the retention of some units. The stock was added to the Main Market TOP 10 in 2019 and is on the verge of moving out, with increased buying interest. KLE Group announced the buy-out of the Tacks and Records restaurant in Montego Bay that will add significantly to revenues and boost profitability. KLE is one to watch. Proven Investments announced another stock offering, this time to the wider public. The move with help to boost broader interest in the stock as it pulls in new shareholders.
The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 21.2 and the Junior Market 14.4, based on current 2019 earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 8.9 with the Main Market at 10.9.
The targeted average PE ratio is 25, with several stocks trading at that level or just under, in 22 times region, currently. The TOP 10 companies now trade at a discount of 38 percent of the average for Junior Market and Main Market stocks trade at a discount of 49 percent to the overall market.
The average projected gain for the IC TOP 10 stocks is 187 percent for the Junior Market and 135 percent for JSE Main Market, based mostly on 2019 earnings.
The top three Junior Market stocks currently are by Main Event with projected gains of 305 percent, followed by Medical Disposables with 257 percent and CAC 2000, with 188 percent likely capital growth.
Sygnus US dollar-denominated stock, holds on to the lead of Main Market stocks with projected gains with 186 percent, followed by Carreras in the number two spot, with 171 percent and Berger Paints with 165 percent.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March this year. Forecasted earnings and PE ratio for the current fiscal year are in determining potential gains. Possible gains for each stock are ranked, with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on.

tTech & Honey Bun leaves IC TOP 10

Lumber Depot is back in TOP 10 with the price at $1.50.

Jamaican stocks are off to a positive start for 2020, with the JSE all Jamaica Composite Index rising 2,715.02 points and Junior Market adding 29.23 points in two days.
This year’s movements are much stronger than for the same period in 2019 when the All Jamaica Index rose 796.77 points and the Junior Market gained 14.52 points.
Word reaching IC Insider.com is that the prospectus for the Initial Public Offer for Caribbean Assurance Brokers should be out in a matter of days, but it could be as early as Monday.
At the close of the market this past Friday, the Junior Market had two new listings while the Main Market listings remained unchanged. Lasco Distributors and Lumber Depot that fell to $1.50, reentered the TOP 10, replacing Honey Bun that closed the week at $8.49 and tTech that ended the week at $5.50.
The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 21.2 and the Junior Market 14.6, based on current 2019 earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 9.4 with the Main Market 10.2.
The targeted average PE ratio is 25, with several stocks trading at that level or just under, in 22 times region, currently. The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 37 percent of the average for Junior Market and Main Market stocks trade at a discount of 48 percent to the overall market.
The average projected gain for the IC TOP 10 stocks is 177 percent for the Junior Market and 132 percent for JSE Main Market based mostly on 2019 earnings.
The top three Junior Market stocks currently are Medical Disposables with projected gains of 257 percent, followed by Main Event with 246 percent and Jamaican Teas with 204 percent likely capital growth.
Radio Jamaica still holds on to the lead of Main Market stocks with projected gains with 178 percent, followed by Carreras in the number two spot, with 174 percent and Sygnus US dollar-denominated stock, with 167 percent.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Forecasted earnings and PE ratio for the current fiscal year are in determining potential gains. The projected increase for each stock is ranked, with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on.

Lousy 2019 for Junior Market stocks

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Junior Market trades

Junior Market did not end 2019 with glory splashed all over it with the market for small and medium-size companies, gaining just 3.1 percent in 2019, down from 18.8 percent in 2018 and 24.3 percent in 2017.
While the premier stocks rose appreciably in 2019, stocks on the Junior Market faltered in its performance in 2019, with the price of only one stock listed on the market at the end of 2018 doubling in value in 2019 and another coming close, with a rise of 97 percent. The Junior Market that saw a half of its listings declining in the year had just four stocks gaining over 100 percent. Three new listings in the Junior Market occupied the top three positions.  Fontana, pharmacy operators, was the top performer and closed the year at $7.30 with a rise of 288 percent on the expectation that the new store at Waterloo Road that opened in the December quarter, will boost income and profit in the 2020 fiscal year. The second-best performer, the advertising and production company – Limners and Bards, was listed in summer and delivered a 200 percent increase for investors who bought the stock at the IPO stage. The recently listed MailPac Group, with gains of 111 percent from the IPO price of $1 took up the number three position.
Honey Bun fresh from the expansion of its bakery operations and a 20.4 percent growth in revenues in the September quarter and profit after tax rising 67 percent for the full 2019 fiscal year, doubled in price with a 103 percent increase. Elite Diagnostic is the sole Junior Market stock from the 2018 TOP 10 to remain in the TOP 10 in 2019. tTech 6th worse performer in 2018, made it to the 2019 Top 10 in the eight position. Jetcon Corporation, the number 9 worse performer and GWest Corporation at number 10 in 2018 again ended in the worse ten performing stocks in 2019, in fourth for GWest and 10th position for Jetcon.
One major reason for the divergence for the performances of the Main Market and the Junior Market is to be found it the valuation multiple for both markets.
While both markets close 2018, with PE ratios around 16 times 2018 earnings the market moved decidedly in different paths with Main Market stocks approaching PE ratio around 20 leaving the Junior Market at just over 14.

Gains fin the Junior Market peaked at 12.8% on August 14 and drifted down since.

Interest rates, in Jamaica, fell again in 2019, with Treasury bill rates that started the year at just over two percent falling to 1.5 percent by year-end. This single move would have encouraged institutional investors to switch focus from money market instruments to stocks. The stocks they would have gone into would be the more established Main Market stocks rather than Junior Market ones. Added to that factor, is the fact the with increased IPOs into the market many individual investors sold stocks to buy into the new issues, leaving less money available for previously listed stocks.

Two new IC TOP 10 listings

With the final days of 2019 draws to a close, investors looking back must ponder how the JSE Main Market stocks outperformed the Junior Stocks by a considerable margin, by growth in the market indices and the number of shares with triple-digit gains.
At the end of the week, JSE Main Market stocks gained 33 percent to just 4 percent for the Juniors as six Main Market stocks more than doubled compared to only three Junior stocks.
The Junior Market had Lasco Distributors and Paramount Trading entering the TOP 10 last week. Still, they were replaced this week, by Honey Bun and tTech, in at number 9 and 10 positions, respectively. There were no changes to the TOP 10 listing for Main Market stocks.
The targeted PE ratio is now 25, with several stocks trading at that level or around 22 currently. The average projected gains for the IC TOP 10 stocks are 172 percent for Junior Market and 152 percent for JSE Main market Top 10 stocks.
The top three Junior Market stocks currently are Medical Disposables with projected gains of 257 percent, followed by Main Event with a potential increase of 227 percent and Jamaican Teas with 223 percent likely capital growth.
Radio Jamaica is still the leading Main Market stock, with an expected increase of 213 percent, even with the price moving up from $1.85 to $2. Pulse Investments is in at the number two spot with a projected increase of 201 percent and Sygnus US dollar-denominated stock, with likely gains of 186 percent, is next.
The JSE Main Market closed the week, with an overall PE of 20.5 and the Junior Market at 14.5, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 9.4 with the Main Market PE at 10.2.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 35 percent of the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 50 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Forecasted earnings and PE ratio for the current fiscal year are in determining potential gains. Possible gains for each stock are ranked in descending order, with the highest-ranked being the most attractive. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on.

Sygnus US$ stock hits IC TOP 10

The JSE Main Market TOP 10 had just stock leaving with Sygnus Credit Investments Jamaican dollar listing replaced by the US dollar listed stock, with the price of the latter at 14 US cents or just under J$19 equivalent.
The Sygnus Jamaican quoted stock climbed to a record high of $30 on Friday, but ended at a record closing high of $27 at the end of trading and moved down to 12th spot in the overall market ranking.
The recently listed Lumber Depot closed trading at $1.91 on Friday and moved out of the TOP Junior Market listing. Also, leaving the TOP 10 was Honey Bun, with the price rising to $8.39 with a limited supply of the stock.
Coming into the Junior Market listing, are Lasco Distributors and Paramount Trading as investors beat down their prices.
The targeted PE ratio is now 25, with several stocks trading at that level or around 22 currently. The average projected gains for the IC TOP 10 stocks are 179 percent for Junior Market and 154 percent for JSE Main market Top 10 shares.
The top three Junior Market stocks currently are the Main Event with projected gains of 243 percent, followed by Medical Disposables with a potential increase of 238 percent and Jamaican Teas with 220 percent likely capital growth.
Radio Jamaica still holds on to the lead for Main Market stocks, with an expected increase of 236 percent, followed by Pulse Investments in the number two spot with projected growth of 205 percent and Sygnus US dollar-denominated stock with likely gains of 186 percent, is next.
The JSE Main Market closed the week, with an overall PE of 20.6 and the Junior Market at 14.3, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 9.1 with the Main Market PE at 10.1.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 36 percent of the average for Junior Market stocks and the Main Market stocks trade at a discount of 51 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year, are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Forecasted values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in securities included in the commentary.

Limners & Bards revise EPS

Kimala Bennett, Chief Executive Officer of The Lab.

Following IC Insider.com’s report that the earnings per share (EPS) for Limners & Bards were incorrect, the audited accounts of the company are now revised to reflect the EPS the article suggested they should be.
The revised audited reports now state that the calculation of earnings per stock unit is based on the profit after taxation and the weighted average number of stock units in issue during the year. Net profit attributable to shareholders of $94,746,238 in 2019, $62,313,858 in 2018. The weighted average number of ordinary stock units is 803,836,715 in 2019 and 756,552,202 in 2018, resulting in Basic and diluted earnings per stock unit of12 cents in 2019 and 8 cents in 2018.
The original audited financial statements showed the basic and diluted earnings per stock unit at 10 cents for the 2019 fiscal year and 7 cents for 2018 based on the weighted average of ordinary stock units 945,690,252 in each year.
IC Insider’s report on Tuesday stated that “Limners and Bards released full-year results with profit after taxation of $95 million, up by an impressive 52 percent from the $62 million earned in 2018 from healthy gains in revenues, with earnings per share (EPS) works out at 12 cents for 2019 and 8 cents for 2018.”
The company’s operating revenues grew 31 percent to $632 million from $483 million in 2018, with the last quarter growing a stunning 58 percent to $146 million, generating income just below the $152 million generated in the July quarter and profit before tax of $18 million versus $16.5 million in the July quarter. While revenues for the year rose 31 percent, direct cost rose at a slower pace, resulting in the gross profit climbing 39.4 percent over 2018 as gross profit margin rose to 36 percent compared to 33.7 percent in 2018. Administrative cost rose well ahead of revenue growth with a 41 percent increase over 2018, but the full-year increase is below a 70 percent surge in the July quarter while the fourth quarter saw a rise of 39 percent over 2018, is in line with the full-year increase.
In a statement accompanying the nine months results, Chairman, Steven Gooden and Kimala Bennett, Chief Executive Officer stated, “Administration expenses increased by $23.737 million, or 42 percent, which represent 16.63 percent of revenue for the nine months compared to 14.60 percent to the corresponding period ended July 31, 2018. These increases are primarily attributable to staff costs (due to increase work volume), subcontractors (on retainer contracts), depreciation charges and security costs”.
The company reports on three segments comprising Production, Media and Agency. For 2019 Production generated earnings of $226 million and profit of $100 million while Media raked in $292 million but ended with just $40 million in profit and agency the most profitable brought in $114 million and delivered $85 million in net income.
The company ended the year with cash and equivalent of $292 million with shareholders’ equity of $356 million, up from $123 million in 2018. Borrowings stood at $50 million with payables of $83 million and current assets of $387 million.
IC Insider.com forecast earnings per share of 20 cents for 2020 that puts the PE ratio at 15 with the stock closing trading at $3 on Tuesday on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange and is a stock to be watched into 2020.

Auditors spoil good Lab results

Limners and Bards released full-year results with profit after taxation of $95 million, up by an impressive 52 percent from the $62 million earned in 2018 from healthy gains in revenues.
Earnings per share (EPS) works out at 12 cents for 2019 and 8 cents for 2018. Operating revenues rose 31 percent to $632 million from $483 million in 2018, the last quarter grew at a stunning 58 percent to $146 million, just below the $152 million generated in the July quarter and profit before tax of $18 million versus $16.5 million in the July quarter.
Auditors are required to check records of companies and ensure that they accord with various regulations and the financial statements which they audit and certify are free form errors and misstatements.

Kimala Bennett, Managing Director of The Lab.

The Limners and Bards financials is the latest report to indicate that there is a problem with the industry and that a number of the players are eroding the confidence investors have it the financial reports they certify. To be fair to the company auditors, they are not solely to blame. Management, including the directors, is also responsible for preventing financial with errors going out to the public, as they also have to sign off on the financials.
The computation of earnings per share is an area of problem for some of the smaller audit firms. In the past, there are instances where the calculation is wrong when there are stock splits and new share issues.
According to the Limners and Bards financial statements, the basic and diluted earnings per stock unit is 10 cents for the 2019 fiscal year and 7 cents for 2018 based on the weighted average of ordinary stock units 945,690,252 in each year. That is entirely wrong.  What are the facts? The company had 756.55 million shares in issue before the sale of 189,138,050 shares to the public in July this year with the company listing on the stock exchange on July 26. The EPS computation for 2018 is to be based on 756.6 million shares and for 2019, just over 800 million units. The company’s stock closed trading on Monday at $2.78 for a PE of 21 times 2019 earnings before tax and 14 times 2020 earnings of 20 cents per share.

Lumber Depot set to leave IC TOP 10

Newly listed Lumber Depot traded for the first time after listing on Friday to close at $1.59, up 32.5 percent from the IPO issue price of $1.20. The stock remains in the TOP Junior Market listing at 6th position from third, last week, but may not be in it much longer.
 Honey Bun that jumped ship at the end of the prior week, returns to sit at 10th spot with the fall of tTech while the JSE Main Market welcomed back Stanley Motta to the TOP 10 at the expense of NCB Financial.
IC Insider.com has upgraded the target PE ratios to 25 with several stocks trading at that around 22 currently. The average projected gains for the IC TOP 10 stocks are 187 percent for Junior Market stocks and 145 percent for JSE Main market Top 10 companies.
The top three Junior Market stocks are Medical Disposables with projected gains of 252 percent, followed by Main Event with a potential appreciation of 246 percent and Jamaican Teas with 233 percent.
Radio Jamaica holds the lead of Main Market stocks with projected gains of 238 percent, followed by Carreras in the number two spot with projected growth of 168 percent and Pulse Investments with likely increases of 167 percent is next.
The JSE Main Market closed the week, with an overall PE of 20.8 and the Junior Market at 14.9, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 9.1 with the Main Market PE at 10.4.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 39 percent of the average for Junior Market stocks and Main Market stocks trade at a discount of 50 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year, are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Future values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

MailPac drops out of IC TOP 10

Newly listed MailPac Group more than doubled in price, trading as high as $2.60 but closed the week at $2.22 and dropped out of the TOP Junior Market listing.
IC Insider.com has upgraded the average targeted PE to March 2020 based on the valuation of more than 22 times earnings, that the market has placed on several stocks currently.
 Honey Bun also jumped ship after posting strong growth with full-year results showing profit rising 67 percent to hit $157 million from a 17 percent rise in revenues to $1.54 billion. The stock closed at $8, up from $7 last week, but traded at a record high of $9.20 on Friday. Honey Bun entered the TOP 10 in the first week in October at $6.15 and left with a gain of 30 percent, but it still has more gains ahead of it. tTech price fell to $5.35 and re-entered the TOP 10 along with Caribbean Flavours, with its price dropping from $17.90 last week to close at $15.64 to return to the TOP 10.  PanJam Investment moved into the JSE Main Market Top 10 at the expense of Stanley Motta.
The past week was generally good for stocks as the JSE Main Market rose 4,691 points and the Junior Market climbed 89 points. The Junior Market movement was partially helped by the steep rise in the price of MailPac, from the IPO price of $1. Importantly, the Junior Market has made a sharp break out of a downward sloping channel that started after the market peaked in Mid-August. It now seems to be heading higher, with a healthy break out of the channel.
IC Insider.com has upgraded the target PE ratios to 25 with several stocks trading at that around 22 currently. The average projected gains for the IC TOP 10 stocks are 187 percent for Junior Market stocks and 145 percent for JSE Main market Top 10 shares.
Medical Disposables lead the top three Junior Market stocks with projected gains of 257 percent, followed by Main Event with potential profits of 246 percent and Lumber Depot with 233 percent.
 Radio Jamaica is the lead stock with projected gains of 247 percent, followed by Pulse Investments in the number two spot with a projected growth of 164 percent and Carreras with a likely increase of 111percent is next.
The JSE Main Market closed the week, with an overall PE of 21.5 and the Junior Market at 14.6, an improvement over the previous week’s 14.2, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 8.9 from 8.7 last week with the Main Market PE at 10.5.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 39 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and JSE Main Market stocks trade at a discount of 51 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year, are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Possible values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.