Junior Market at record high

The Junior Market is trading at record high at the start of Monday trading at 3,700.02 points after surging 114.27 points and exceeding the record close of 3,662.94 points on August 14, 2019.

New record high for the JSE Junior Market.

The JSE Main market All Jamaican Composite Index jumped 3,232.66 points to trade at 442,490.38 within 25 minutes of the opening.
In trading Access Financial Services is up by $1 to $26, Caribbean Insurance Brokers rose 24 cents $2.90, Dolphin Cove gained to $1 to $23, Fosrich was up 21 cents to $14.44, Fontana gained 33 cents to $8, Lasco Distributors rose 12 cents to $3.25, Lasco Financial is up 21 cents to $3.27 followed by Lasco Manufacturing is up 38 cents to $4.98. Main Event rose 50 cents to $4.50, Paramount Trading rose 21 cents to $1.62 and SSL Venture Capital rose 41 cents to $1.69 following news of a proposed acquisition of 79 percent of the company’s shares.
In the Main Market, Caribbean Producers rose 61 cents to a new high of $16.50 and NCB Financial put on $2.13 to $130.
The Junior Market rise conforms to ICIsider.com report that the market was poised to make a big break from the consolidation around the 3,300 points mark and head to over 4,000 points.

Remittances on track to exceed US$3.5B

Remittances inflows to Jamaica surged to US$3.18 billion for the first 11 months of 2021 after pulling in US$274.5 million in November, an increase of 15.6 percent or US$37 million over the comparative period in 2020, data out of the Bank of Jamaica shows.
The performance for November puts the total intake for 2021 above the US$2.9 billion hauled in for January to December 2020. The outturn for 2021 seems set to exceed $3.5 billion for the year when the final numbers are tallied for December.
Based on the performance to date and the consistency of the monthly increase the 2021 inflows seem set to exceed by $1.1 billion the inflows of US$2.406 billion the country received in 2019 and just over $600 million more than the total for over 2020.
Data show Jamaica receiving around $2 billion more inflows in the last two years over and above the trend up to 2019. Between 2007 and 2019 inflows grew around US$1 00 million per annum, with no growth in inflows in 2015, 2017 and 2018. The increase in 2020 and 2021 broke the trend of low growth experienced since 2007.
Persons within the financial sector attribute the increased flows to a number of factors including many Jamaica who lives abroad buying real estate and contributing to the building boom in Jamaica others are of the view that the transfer of funds by the government’s fiscal stimulus to individuals, primarily in the United States is also a big contributor.

Junior Market investors having a blast

With just two weeks of the new year, Junior Market stocks are hot with the market index gaining just 1.2 percent year to date, but the index does not give a full picture of what is happening. In 2021 the market index rose just under 30 percent, already the gains in four stocks now exceed that performance.
AMG Packaging hits a 52 weeks intraday high of $3.90 last week is up a stunning 55 percent to the end of the week at $3.40. The company reported a 146 percent rise in profit for their first quarter and the price is expected to surge this week. KLE Group is up 42 percent with the price being driven by the expectation that the company will pull in a tidy sum by ICInsider.com estimate could be $50-100 million from their north coast joint venture development during the course of the year. Newly listed Spur Tree Spices is up 32 percent on its first day of listing. With demand for the stock around 150 million units on the bid above $1.30 to $1.32 on Friday just before the close, with very little supply up to $2, so far, investors can expect to see another big hike in this stock’s price. Caribbean Brokers is up 27 percent on top of the 27 percent rise in late 2021 following the release of a big jump in profits over 2020 for the nine months to September. Dolphin Cove is up 27 percent to Friday at $19.05 but the stock traded up to $23.50 in the past week and is expected to rise sharply higher in 2021 as revenues and profits recovery as the tourism trade bounces back strongly in 2021 to match 2019 numbers or close to them.

Spur Tree Spices lists on Friday on the JSE

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Shares of Spur Tree Spices will list on Friday on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange following the successful Initial Public Offering said to have attracted applications from more than 5,000 investors and raised $335.4 million before expenses for the company.
The company indicated that the issue attracted $1.3 billion and was 6 times oversubscribed. Proceeds will be used to pay listing expenses, with the remainder to be used for the repayment of debts of $170 million and to facilitate business expansion.
The listing, the second such listing on the Junior Market since the start of 2021 will bring the total stocks on the exchange to 42. A few others are expected to follow in short order as new offerings are made to the public early in 2022.
Earnings per share for Spur Tree should end the year at 11.5 cents before taxation at a PE of 8.7 times earnings, below the market average of 14.4 currently, with a high degree of oversubscription, the PE ratio will jump on Friday and into next week. IC Insider.com projects 18.5 cents earning for 2022 from a profit of $300 million at a PE of 5.4 times 2022 profit.

12% allotment for Spur Tree shares

The staff at Spur Tree Spices lost a golden opportunity to make money from the company they worked for leaving a portion of the 10 million shares on the table for others to take up at a very low price that will likely double in rice sooner than later.
GK Capital Management released to the public the basis of allotment of the successful Spur Tree Spices Initial Public Offer of 335.4 million shares on Thursday.
Applicants in the staff key partner reserve pools will receive 100 percent of their application with the balance of the shares in these pools that were not applied for will become available for the General Public Pool Applicants, who will receive up to the first 10,000 shares plus a pro-rata allocation of approximately 11.76 percent of the excess shares for which they applied.
The prospectus indicated that allocation and refunds will take place within ten days of closing and trading in the shares no more than five business days after the Jamaica Stock Exchange approves the admission of shares to the Junior Market.
“It is the intention of the Company to apply to the JSE for admission of the Ordinary Shares to the Junior Market and to make such application immediately following the closing of the Invitation,” the prospectus stated.

Rule changes likely for Trinidad Stock Exchange

Many investors are concerned about the long held view that the trading of odd lots should not be used to set stock prices but this practice was changed by Jamaica Stock Exchange in recent years along with the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange (TTSE).
Well the TTSE is currently, redrafting rules to enhance the speed and transparency of transactions and trades. According to a release from the TTSE, “the revisions are taking place under the guidance of the Trinidad and Tobago Securities and Exchange Commission and will be available for public review when completed, the Exchange disclosed.”
The revisions are expected to tighten regulation of companies listed on the TTSE, securities traded on behalf of investors, which is hoped will help boost public confidence in the role and function of trading on the capital market.
The main revisions to the Rules include proposed amendments to Disclosure Rules of listed companies which will be clarified further and possible violations will be included in the scope of self-regulatory supervision.
Proposed Changes to the Closing Price Methodology will restrict small volume trades from being included in the calculation of the day’s closing price and the proposed adjustment to the settlement period will reduce the settlement period from three business days.

JSE starts New Year with a bullish tone

Investors kept up the bullish stance in trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on the first trading day of the year with the All Jamaican Composite Index surging 8,895.04 points to 447,223.41, up from 438,328.37 at the close on Friday, with the Junior Market index(AJI) rising 45.88 points to 3474.18 from 3,428.30 on Friday.
By 10 am, the AJI had slipped down to 445,676.67 and the Junior Market index pulled back to 3,470.99.
On the Junior Market, Dolphin Cove jumped from $15 on Friday to $16.90 after trading 77,539 shares, Cargo Handlers dropped from $8.25 on Friday to $7.01 and MailPac fell from $3.78 to $3.50 and In the Main Market, NCB Financial fell from the last sale price of $128.70 to $125.

IPO gifts for Christmas and early New Year

The current year 2021 has not been a bumper one for initial public offerings in Jamaica, all of that could change as Santa has one or two gifts on his sleigh to deliver either a few days before Christmas or just after.
Word on the street is that investors should save some of the money earmarked for Christmas gifts and prepare for two Initial Public offerings that could hit the road ahead of Christmas and just ahead of the New Year.
The year is closing fast saw one outstanding offer returning a bid payoff for investors as the Junior Market listed Future Energy Source there were a few in the Main market but they failed to generate any excitement for investors.
ICInsider.com previously reported that the initial public offer of shares in Jamaica Fibreglass Products is expected to come to the Jamaican capital market in October, our source advises, with Spur Tree Spices to come shortly after. We said then that, “Jamaica Fibreglass Products produces fiberglass-based furniture and beddings, with revenues said to be in the region of $600 million, is expected to raise approximately $250 million for expansion purposes. The prospectus of the Metry Seaga-owned company is said to be at an advanced stage of preparation and should be moving through the various stages for approval soon.”
“Spur Tree Spices, with revenues, said to be just over $1 billion, should also be coming in October, if all goes well, intending to pull in $250 million. GK Capital are brokers of the two issues that are slated to list on the Junior Market.”
Various issues seem to have delayed both of the above but the various issue may have been dealt with and the runway is said to be cleared for flights to take off sooner than later.
These two are not the only ones coming. Word is that Mayberry Investments has a few potential IPOs with one or two at advanced stages of readiness to hit the market in 2022. IC Insider.com gathers that one is an IPO to raise around $200 million in the educational line of business and one is for an existing listed company for a fresh capital raise.  There are some regulatory issues regarding the structure of reserve shares for the initial public issue, with the FSC is now proposing that the vast majority of an issue must be made to the general public, thus severely limiting the percentage that can be kept for select clients. It is a move intended to squelch the many concerns of investors of being shut out of getting reasonable amounts of issues.
In October this year, the social learning portal Edufocal disclosed that they signed an agreement to engage Mayberry Investments in a move to raise capital. ICInsider.com gathers that the effort will likely bear fruit early in the New Year. The government of Jamaica’s intention to divest their 20 percent holding in JPS is at a fairly advanced stage and could be early in 2022, but that investment could be fraught with potential dynamite for small investors.
Keep watch, they all could be closer than you think.

Continued improvement in tourist arrivals

Stopover visitor arrivals to Jamaica jumped 39.5 percent to 970,435 for the first nine months of 2021, from 695,721 in the first nine months last year and is 52 percent below the 2,020,508 stopovers arrivals in the first nine months of 2019.

Tourism is Jamaica’s bouncing back.

September quarter arrivals grew to 437,890 from 114,402 last year but are 30.5 down on the 629,825 in 2019, a significant improvement over the 45.6 percent drop in the June quarter over 2019.
Preliminary data show that the improvement in arrivals continued into October and November, with the latter figures suggesting that the decline against 2019 is now down to just 22 percent.
For Jamaica, stopover arrivals in September this year fell 30.4 percent to 100,654 from 144,583 in September 2019 but are 251 percent ahead of the 28,648 arrivals in September last year, shortly after the industry reopened to international visitors. Data from the Jamaica Tourist Board show that the September numbers are 34.4 percent lower than the 153,360 stopovers in August.
Unfortunately, the Jamaica Tourist Board continues the bad practice of not releasing arrivals numbers to the public on a timely basis. Accordingly, neither October nor November numbers are yet released. The tourist board should move to a two-pronged approach to releasing the data. First, they should provide the country with the arrival numbers and later release the report as they currently do.

500,000 Jamaicans Vaccinated

More than half a million Jamaicans have been fully vaccinated up to Wednesday of this week. according to data put out by the Ministry and Health, 65,726 persons have had Single Dose and 433,036 received the second dose bringing the total to 500,046 persons.
A total of 1,086,928 total Doses have been administered leaving 153,099 persons to get additional shots. according to the data on the ministry’s website 4,328 shots were administered on Wednesday, with the total up to Tuesday being 1,086,928 shots in total. at the end of October, just 378,054 persons were fully vaccinated resulting in 131,992 being fully vaccinated in less than a month at a monthly rate of 165,000. byAt this pace by the end of the year, fully vaccinated persons could close to 700,000 or close to 30 percent of the eligible population.
Fully vaccinated persons represent approximately 24 percent of the eligible population.