Another quiet week for IC TOP 10

For a second consecutive week, there were no changes in the companies on the IC TOP 10 listings, with the markets going sideways and little or no significant price moving news.

Barita public stock offer pulled money away from other JSE stocks.

The Jamaica Stock Exchange market activity was negatively affected by funds diverted away from the as investors moved money into the successful Barita Investments issue of new shares. The Issue closed on Wednesday gone and was upsized to $13.5 billion, resulting in a more than doubling of the issued shares from $10.88 billion to $24.38 billion and the overall equity capital to $28.74 billion.
The past week that saw the local market trading in a narrow range, with the Junior Market closing slightly down for the week after ending the previous week at the highest point since August 28 and the Main Market had the highest weekly close since the end of August.
The top three stocks in each market saw no change in ranking, leaving the top three Junior Market stocks, with the potential to gain between 292 to 695 percent by March 2021. Caribbean Producers heads the list, followed by Lasco Financial and Elite Diagnostic. The focus on all three is on the 2021 fiscal year results projected to show recovery from the 2020 financial year final numbers. The top three Main Market stocks, with expected gains of 204 to 228 percent, are Radio Jamaica, followed by Berger Paints, with the price rising 7 percent during the week and JMMB Group.
This week’s focus – Tropical Battery issue for 325 million ordinary shares at $1 each of with up to 187.5 million units reserved for priority applications, opens Tuesday, September 22, with the scheduled closing of September 30, subject to the right of the Company to close it earlier. With earnings per share around 7.7 cents, the stock is priced around a PE ratio of 13 times 2020 earnings, leaving little or no room for short term gains as it is priced 19 percent above the market average.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on the profits of companies reporting full year’s results, from now to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level, indicating the potential gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 15.3 and the Junior Market 11, based on IC Insider.com’s projected 2020-21 earnings. The average PE ratio of the Junior Market has been slowly rising, with better profit opportunities than the Main Market and narrowing the gap. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere six at just 55 percent to the average of the overall Junior Market. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 8.2 or 54 percent of the PE of the overall market.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 280 percent, and 151 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings, indicates potentially more significant gains in the Junior Market than in the Main Market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2021 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on possible gain for each Company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year.  Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Scotia jacks up credit loss by 344%

In the July quarter, Scotia Group jacked-up expected credit loss provision by 344 percent from $582 million in the 2019 period to $2.6 billion due to the impact of the 2020 COVID 19 virus has on several businesses in Jamaica and, notably, the banking sector, resulting from lower business activity since March.  

Scotia Group increased loan loss provision by 344% in the July quarter.

The big July quarter, the increase comes after the banking group hiked the provision by a hefty 264 percent to $1.77 billion in the April quarter, from $487 million in the April 2019 quarter and $895 million in the January 2020 period.
The Group’s total expected credit loss provision for loans in July 2020 amounts to $8.1 billion, while nonperforming loans amount to $4.9 billion compared to $3.8 billion last year and $5 billion at the end of April.
Loans advanced to customers stood at $221 billion at the end of July, a growth of 12 percent year over year, but declined modestly from $223 billion at the end of April, the result of the increased credit loss provisioning and no new net loans granted.
While the bank increased the provision for expected credit loss sharply in the quarter, the stabilization of nonperforming loans at the April levels may be an indication that there may be no need for heavy provisioning in the next few quarters. If the nonperforming loans hold around current levels, it could help in returning profit to more normal levels, compared to a profit after tax that declined sharply by 63 percent for the July quarter to $1.55 billion, from $4.2 billion in 2019.
At the close of trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange, Main Market to stock gained 50 cents in ending at $50.50.

Quiet week for IC TOP 10

The past week was quiet for IC TOP 10 listings, resulting in no change to the list at the end of the week that saw the local market trading in a narrow band and the Junior Market closing at the highest point since August 28 and the Main Market since the end of August.

Scotiabank profit drops in Jamaica.

The top three stocks in each market saw no change in ranking, leaving the top three Junior Market stocks, with the potential to gain between 292 to 695 percent by March 2021. Caribbean Producers heads the list, followed by Lasco Financial and Elite Diagnostic. The focus on all three is on the 2021 fiscal year results, projected to show recovery from the 2020 financial year final numbers. The top three Main Market stocks, with expected gains of 205 to 264 percent, are Berger Paints followed by Radio Jamaica and JMMB Group. All three suffered declines during the week.
This week’s focus: Scotia Group reported a net income of $5.56 billion for the nine months ending in July, compared to $9.79 billion for the corresponding 2019 period. Overall, loans advanced, grew 12 percent mainly due to the strong performance of the Commercial Banking unit, increasing 24 percent versus the prior year. Retail loan grew 5 percent year over year, driven by strong mortgage growth of 16 percent. Total revenues, excluding expected credit losses for the nine months, ended July at $32.1 billion, a reduction of $1.7 billion or 5.1 percent, compared to 2019. For the July 2020 quarter, gross revenues fell from $12.4 billion to $11 billion, with non-interest income contributing $1.1 billion to the decline. Administrative and other expenses were essentially flat at $5.8 billion year over year, a $2 billion increase in provision for expected loan loss helped push profit down in the quarter, to $1.55 billion from $4.2 billion in 2019. Notably, while loans amounting to $221 billion at the end of July grew 12 percent year over year, loans declined modestly from $223 billion at the end of April, the result of the increased credit loss provisioning.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on the profits of companies reporting full year’s results, from now to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level, an indication of the potential gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 15.1 and the Junior Market 10.9, based on IC Insider.com’s projected 2020-21 earnings. The average PE ratio of the Junior Market has been slowly rising, with better profit opportunities than the Main Market and narrowing the gap. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 6 at just 55 percent to the average of the overall Junior Market. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 8.2 or 54 percent of the PE of the overall market.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 279 percent, and 153 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings, an indication of potentially, greater gains in the Junior Market than in the Main Market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2021 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gain for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year.  Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Lasco is back in IC TOP 10

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Lasco Distributors and Medical Disposables are back in the Junior Market IC TOP 10 while there are no changes to the Main Market IC TOP 10 listing.
Stationery and Office Supplies and Jetcon Corporation dropped out of the Junior Market list, the former earning, was revised down for 2020, with the loss incurred in the June quarter while Jetcon price inched up, to be squeezed out of the top stocks.
The top three stocks in each market saw little change in ranking, leaving the top three Junior Market stocks, with the potential to gain between 292 to 695 percent by March 2021. Caribbean Producers heads the list, followed by Lasco Financial and Elite Diagnostic, the focus on all three is on the 2021 fiscal year results that are projected to show recovery from the 2020 financial year final numbers. The top three Main Market stocks, with expected gains of 205 to 264 percent are Berger Paints followed by Radio Jamaica and JMMB Group, all three suffered declines during the week.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on the profit of companies reporting full year’s results, from now to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level, an indication of the potential gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 15 and the Junior Market 10.8, based on IC Insider.com’s projected 2020-21 earnings. The average PE ratio of the Junior Market has been slowly rising, with better profit opportunities than the Main Market and narrowing the gap. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 6 at just 56 percent to the average of the overall Junior Market. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 8.1 or 54 percent of the PE of the overall market.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 279 percent, and 157 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings, an indication of potentially, greater gains in the Junior Market than in the Main Market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2021 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gain for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year.  Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Another big IC TOP 10 winner

After a record run this past week, Epply hit a record high of $23, but closed at $22 and leaped out of the Main Market IC TOP 10 listing, with a gain of 80 percent from the end of March, when the stock went into the TOP 10 for 2020.
During the past week, companies continued the release of midyear results, with little impact on the market. Jamaica Broilers released decent first-quarter results to the end of July, with a slight improvement in after-tax profit, with operating profit rising 25 percent on lower revenues. Wisynco Group full-year audited financials showed modest gains in profit while Blue Power profits jumped 41 percent. Of the three, only Jamaica Broilers is in the TOP 10. At the close of the week, Medical Disposables dropped out of the Junior Market listing and replaced by Jetcon Corporation. NCB Financial returns to TOP 10 and now sits at the bottom of the list, having replaced Eppley.
The top three stocks in each market saw little change in ranking, leaving the top three Junior Market stocks, with the potential to gain between 300 to 676 percent by March 2021. Caribbean Producers heads the list, followed by Lasco Financial and Elite Diagnostic, the focus on all three is on the 2021 fiscal year results, projected to show recovery from the 2020 financial year final numbers. The top three Main Market stocks, with expected gains of 205 to 264 percent, are Berger Paints followed by Radio Jamaica and JMMB Group, all three suffered declines during the week.
This week’s focus: Jamaica Broilers revenues declined 5 percent in the July quarter to $12.6 billion from $13.26 billion in the prior year. Operating profit rose 25 percent to $851 million from $679 million in the prior year, with profit after taxes rising moderately from $361 million to $383 million. A significant fall in administration and other expenses was the main contributor to the improved profit performance by adding $375 million to the results with a decline in cost from $2.28 billion down to $1.9 billion, while other income added nearly $200 million to the increase as well after gross profit had declined by $377 million to hit $2.95 billion. Earnings per share rose to 41 cents.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, from now to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level, an indication of the potential gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 15 and the Junior Market 10.5, based on IC Insider.com’s projected 2020-21 earnings. The average PE ratio of the Junior Market has been slowly rising, with better profit opportunities than the Main Market and narrowing the gap. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 5.7 at just 54 percent to the average of the overall Junior Market. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 8 or 54 percent of the PE of the overall market.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 291 percent, and 161 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings, an indication of potentially greater gains in the Junior Market than in the Main Market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2021 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gain for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year.  Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

 

General Accident is back in IC TOP 10

General Accident released six months’ results at the top of the week, but the market did not like it, with falling premium and profit in the June quarter leaving the stock price languishing at $6.40, having closed the prior week at $7.20. The fall elevating it back into the Junior Market TOP 10, with Lasco Distributors dropping out, while there was no change to the main market list.
Noticeable changes in the TOP 10, during the week, was a $3.90 rise in the price of Scotia Group to end at $48. Grace Kennedy slipped 99 cents to close at $56.01, Jamaica Broilers lost $3 to close at $23 and Access Financial rose 98 cents to last trade at $23.50 and closed, with the bid at $24.
The top three stocks in each market saw little change in ranking, leaving the top three Junior Market stocks, with the potential to gain between 258 to 692 percent by March 2021. Caribbean Producers heads the list, followed by Lasco Financial and Elite Diagnostic, the focus on all three is on the 2021 fiscal year results that are projected to show recovery from the 2020 financial year final numbers.
The top three Main Market stocks, with expected gains of 188 to 223 percent, are Berger Paints followed by Radio Jamaica and JMMB Group.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on the profits of companies reporting full year’s results, from now to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level, an indication of the potential gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 15 and the Junior Market 10.6, based on IC Insider.com’s projected 2020-21 earnings. The average PE ratio of the Junior Market has been slowly rising, with better profit opportunities than the Main Market and narrowing the gap. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere six at just 56 percent to the average of the overall Junior Market. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 8.1 or 54 percent of the PE of the overall market.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 277 percent, and 153 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings, an indication of potentially more significant gains in the Junior Market than in the Main Market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2021 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on possible gain for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year.  Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Kremi back in IC TOP 10

In a week when several companies released quarterly results, few had any positive information to move prices forward. Against this development, some stocks pulled back a bit, flowing from weaker than expected results. Last week’s drop out candidate,

Caribbean Cream posted big gains in profit in Q1.

Caribbean Cream, closed the week at $4.10, to return to the Junior Market TOP 10, at the expense of Mailpac Group. There were no changes to the main market list.
The Mailpac Group operations enjoyed a 33 percent rise in revenues for the six months to June and a 36 percent increase in profit over the similar period in 2019. Flowing from those results, IC Insider.com revised the earnings per share down to 20 cents, thus reducing the potential gain based on 2020 earnings, moving it out of the top listing.
The top three stocks in each market saw little change in ranking, leaving the top three Junior Market stocks, with the potential to gain between 281 to 676 percent by March 2021. Caribbean Producers heads the list, followed by Lasco Financial and Elite Diagnostic, the focus on all three is on the 2021 fiscal year results, that are projected to show recovery from the 2020 financial year final numbers.
The top three Main Market stocks with expected gains of 189 to 223 percent are Berger Paints followed by Radio Jamaica and JMMB Group.
This week’s focus: 138 Students Living reported a 44 percent increase in revenues to hit $334 million from $223 million in the June 2019 quarter and a 60 percent rise in the nine months to $1.09 billion. The company moved from a loss of $17 million in the 2019 third quarter to a profit of $132 million in 2020 and from a loss of $60 million in the nine months to June, to a profit of $402 million. Operating cost fell in both periods compared with the 2019 cost. The big problem is that the company continues the extremely poor practice of not showing operating and administrative expenses separately, making it impossible to see what gross margins are. The significant increase in profit is due to claims made on the University going back to 2019, which are booked in the current year that distorts earnings from ongoing operations. While earnings per share for the quarter is an attractive 32 cents and year to date 97 cents. Earnings from ongoing operations suggest that the full year’s results should be in the order of 40 cents after a regular tax charge.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on the profits of companies reporting full year’s results, from now to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level, an indication of the potential gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 15.2 and the Junior Market at just 10.9, based on IC Insider.com’s projected 2020-21 earnings. The average PE ratio of the Junior Market has been slowly rising, reflecting better profit opportunities in the Main Market and narrowing the gap. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages a mere 5.9 at just 54 percent to the average of the overall Junior Market. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 8.2 or 54 percent of the PE of the overall market.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 278 percent, and 152 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings, an indication of potentially more significant gains in the Junior Market than in the Main Market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2021 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on possible profit for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year.  Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Profit jumps 69% at Lasco Distributors

Profit at Lasco Distributors before tax soared by 69 percent to $317 million from a combination of higher revenues and lower administrative and other costs, but with a lower profit margin.
The company reported $187 million in profit before tax for the 2019 quarter. After-tax profit increased 57 percent from $164 million in 2019 to $258, from sales revenues that rose 8.44 percent to $4.7 billion.
Direct costs moved 10 percent from $3.5 billion to $3.8 billion and gross profit rose only 4 percent from $865 million to $896 million.
Other income jumped to $73 million from $53 million, while operating expenses fell 10 percent to $651 million from $725 million.
“During the period, there was an increase in our canned food products flagship – Lasco food, drink and pharmaceutical products. However, there has been a significant reduction in sales of beverage products due to closures of schools, hotels and social gatherings,” the Chairman, Lascelles Chin, noted in his report to shareholders.
Cash from operating activities was up to $1.2 billion from $26 million in 2019, contributing to the sharp improvement was a reduction in inventories, receivables and increased payables. At the end of June 2020,

Lasco’s ICool drinks.

shareholders’ equity stood at $5.8 billion compared to $5.4 billion in June 2019 and $5.7 billion at the end of the fiscal year ending March 2020. Total current assets stand at $7.5 billion inclusive of cash funds of $2.5 billion, receivables of $2.5 billion and inventories of $2.4 billion, while Current liabilities stood at $3.96 billion. The company has long-term borrowings of $9 million, with short term debt being a mere $76 million.
The company’s shares were listed on the Junior Market in October 2010, resulting in a tax concession of 10 years, which expires during the current fiscal year.
Earnings per share came out at 7 cents for the quarter and IC Insider.com is forecasting 40 cents per share for PE of 7.6 times earnings with the stock trading on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange at $3.05.

115% gain for IC TOP 10 winner

Caribbean Cream rose 115 percent from the end of June to the closed of the week, with the price ending at $5.30, up from $4, last week and along with General Accident that closed the week at $7.50 and gained 70 percent since the start of May, are out of the TOP 10. That is why it pays to follow IC Insider.

Caribbean Cream gained 115% since the end of June

The two stocks sit just outside the TOP 10 with good potential to make further gains in the weeks and months ahead.
Coming back to the IC Junior Market TOP 10 are Lasco Distributors and Mailpac Group. Lasco Distributors profit is revised to 40 cents per share, for the current fiscal year, from 38 cents previously. The stock trades at a PE of 8 times earnings compared, with the average Junior Market PE over 11 and provides investors with the potential for substantial gains.
There was no change in the Main Market TOP 10 list for the week that saw the Main Market slipping modestly for the past week, while the Junior Market continued to inch higher, with a few points for the week, on top of gains in the previous two weeks.
The top three stocks in each market saw little change in the rankings, leaving the top three Junior Market stocks, with the potential to gain between 239 to 685 percent by March 2021. Caribbean Producers heads the list, followed by Lasco Financial and Stationery and Office Supplies.
The top three Main Market stocks, with expected gains of 191 to 223 percent, are Berger Paints followed by Radio Jamaica and JMMB Group.
This week’s focus: Former IC TOP 10 candidate, Barita Investments reported strong results for the third quarter and nine months to June with profit after tax hitting $991 million in the latest quarter, up modestly from $911 million in 2019 and for the nine months profit of $2 billion, up from $1.4 billion in 2019. Earnings per share ended the third quarter at $1.21 and $2.45 for the year to date. The broker house seems set to come close to IC Insider.com projection for the full year of $3.75. The company declared a dividend of $2.216 per share payable on October 7, with an Ex-dividend date, of September 21.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on the profits of companies reporting full year’s results, from now to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level, an indication of the potential gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 15.1 and the Junior Market at just 11.1, based on IC Insider.com’s projected 2020-21 earnings. The average PE ratio of the Junior Market has been slowly rising better profit opportunities the Main Market and narrowing the gap. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages a mere 6.4 at just 58 percent to the average of the overall Junior Market. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 8.3 or 55 percent of the PE of the overall market.
The average projected gain for the IC TOP 10 stocks is 257 percent, for the Junior Market and 149 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings, an indication that there is the potential to make greater gains in the Junior Market than in the Main Market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2021 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gains for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year.  Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Lasco out Medi Disposables back in IC TOP 10

Lasco Distributors rose from $2.85 to close at $3.25 after the company posted a 57 percent rise in first-quarter profit and Medical Disposables returns with the stock finding support just under $5 this past week after posting disappointing full-year results at the end of the prior week.
There was no change in the Main Market TOP 10 list for the week that saw the Main Market remaining relatively stable for the past week, while the Junior Market rose 35 points for the week on top of gains in the previous week.
Although Lasco Distributors is out of the TOP 10, investors should expect to see more gains, with the EPS of 38 cents for this fiscal year, as the stock trades at 8.7 times earnings compared with 11.2 for the Junior Market. Caribbean Cream reported good first-quarter results, suggesting a significant increase in full-year profits. The stock closed the week at $4, up from $3.65, and is poised for more gains in the weeks to come. There are limited offers to sell the stock while buying interest has picked up.
The top three stocks in each market saw little change in the rankings, leaving the top three Junior Market stocks, with the potential to gain between 239 to 695 percent by March 2021. The first is Caribbean Producers, followed by Lasco Financial and Stationery and Office Supplies.
The top three stocks in the Main Market, with expected gains of 182 to 233 percent, are Berger Paints followed by Radio Jamaica and JMMB Group.

Grace Kennedy new headquarters in downtown Kingston

This week’s focus: Grace Kennedy posted revenues of $56.5 billion, up 10 percent over the corresponding period of the prior year. Profit before tax was $4.5 billion, reflecting a 53 percent improvement over the same period in 2019. Net Profit after tax increased 36.5 percent to $2.75 billion after minority interest, with earnings per stock unit for the period of $2.77. The result to date is outstanding, projected earnings for 2021 is over $11 per share, putting the stock in the category of one of the best buys in the Main Market currently. IC Insider.com has upped its forecast for 2020 per share to $7.25, with a PE ratio of 8 at the closing stock price of $57.
QWI Investments just released its June quarter results, with a loss of $461 million for the year to date and a profit of $115 million in the latest quarter. The company’s portfolio comprises a mix of stocks mainly in Jamaica and the USA, with a smattering in Trinidad. At the end of July, the net asset value (NAV) continued to increase and ended the month at $1.06, up 11.5 percent from 95 cents at the end of March this year. The performance beats the JSE Main Market index that is down 2.5 percent over the same period and the JSE Combined Index down one percent for the same period. The NAV growth that reflects changes to the investment value plus dividend income after expenses is just behind the JSE Junior Market index that is up 12.4 percent over the same period. The stock price closed at 73 cents on the local market on Friday, at a steep discount of 41 percent to the net asset value.
Access Financial reported a first-quarter profit after tax to June of $33 million, compared to $165 million for the similar period in 2019 after additional provision for loan losses amounting to $67 million and loan write-off of $38 million. Income slipped as loans contracted, but the cost in some areas fell. The company is sound and is poised to return to higher levels of profit, and could even reverse some of the loan loss provisions going forward.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on the profits of companies reporting full year’s results from now to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level an indication of the potential gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 14.9 and the Junior Market at just 11.2, based on IC Insider.com’s projected 2020-21 earnings. The average PE ratio of the Junior Market has been slowly rising and narrowing the gap, with the Main Market as investors see better profit opportunities in this sector. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages a mere 6.3 at just 56 percent to the average of the overall Junior Market. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 8.1 or 55 percent of the PE of the overall market.
The average projected gain for the IC TOP 10 stocks is 261 percent, for the Junior Market and 153 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings, an indication that there is the potential to make greater gains in the Junior Market than in the Main Market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2021 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gain for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.