Lumber back in ICTOP10

Markets keep bouncing around with no clear direction and could be weight down by a number of factors, including rising interest rates as Bank of Jamaica starts its tightening of the financial market, Barita Investments APO that will drain or divert funds from secondary trading of other stocks and the absence of any other major news that could move stock prices meaningfully. Against this background, there was little movement in and out of the ICTOP10 listings this past week.
Lumber Depot moved back into the ICTOP10 with the price pulling back under $3 and replaced tTech that enjoyed a price bounce from $4.20 last week to $4.50 this past week.
Elsewhere, in the Junior Market, Dolphin Cove rose $1 to $10.15 and Stationery and Office Supplies rose 85 cents to $6.60 and in the Main Market, Berger Paints rose $1.19 to $13.74, JMMB Group fell 76 cents to $35.74, Guardian Holdings dropped $19 to $590 and Grace Kennedy lost $2 to end at $100 as demand for the stock seems lukewarm at this stage of the market, with the third quarter results being a month and a half away and Sygnus Credit Investments rose 84 cents to $16.
The top three Main Market stocks are, Berger Paints followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 212 to 257 percent for the three, versus last weeks’ 202 to 290 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident and Medical Disposables, with all three having the potential to gain between 224 percent and 291 percent, which is similar to last week.
This past week, the average gains projected for the Junior Market, moved from 209 percent to 197 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 170 percent to 173 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 12 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the historical average of 17, for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 trades at a PE of 6.9, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s PE and the potential to rise 67 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16, a little distance from 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 23 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 29 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6, with a 52 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
ICTOP10 stocks are not intended to be a selection of the best stocks in the market but ones that are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen months period. ICInsider.com ranks stocks to filter out the bigger winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potentially huge winners, helping to keep out emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes being made.
 IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

tTech in, Jetcon out of ICTOP10

In a week when the Junior Market slipped just one percent after 32 points fall and the Main Market nearly 4,000 points for a fall of just under one percent, there was little change to the ICTOP10 listings, but change there was.
Jetcon Corporation came into the TOP10 in the prior week and enjoyed a modest pickup from 91 cents and is overtaken by tTech after the price fell from $4.70 last week to $4.20 this past week.
The highlights for this past week are Future Energy Source, Sygnus Credit Investments, after posting full year profit, Radio Jamaica, with Lumber Depot coming into focus,  Fontana, Scotia Group and Jamaica Broilers that all released quarterly results with differing outcomes.
Following the release of outstanding first quarter and full year results last week, Sygnus Credit Investments announced a dividend of 0.262 of a US cent payable on October 15, but the stock price pulled back from $16.30 last week to $15.16. Radio Jamaica made some recovery to close the week at $3.58, up from $3.17. The company also announced a 2 cents dividend to be paid in mid-October, but the stocks appear to stay below $4 for a while, with demand currently weak above $3.50.
Elsewhere, Future Energy Source, a former ICInsider.com BUY RATED stock that underwent a sharp pullback last week to $2.05 rose this past week to $2.51 as buying interest remains strong. Lumber Depot sits just below the ICTOP10 Junior Market stocks, after posting strong first quarter results that rose 140 percent over the 2020 first quarter, with ICInsider.com projecting earnings now at 35 cents per share, up from 27 cents previously, for the current year and the potential for the price to double into early 2022. Fontana reported increased earnings of $512 million, up from $277 million with earnings per share of 41 cents, just 4 cents below ICInsider.com forecast. Jamaica Broilers posted lower first quarter profit of $275 million, down from $383 million as the Jamaican and Haitian segments posted lower profits, but the USA segment enjoyed an 84 percent jump.  Scotia Group reported profit of $2.8 billion an increase of 81 percent over the depressed 2020 third quarter and slightly more than the $2.7 billion generated in the April quarter, the group seems on target to earn around $3.50 per share for the year.
The top three Main Market stocks are, Berger Paints followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 202 to 290 percent, versus last weeks’ 209 to 286 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by Medical Disposables and General Accident. All three have the potential to gain between 224 percent and 291 percent, compared to 233 and 275 percent last week.
This past week, the average gains projected for the Junior Market rose from 198 percent to 209 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 173 percent to 170 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 11.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 trades at a PE of 6.6, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s PE and the potential to rise 77 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16, a little distance from 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 19 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 25 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.7, with a 52 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
ICTOP10 stocks are not intended to be a selection of the best stocks in the market but are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. ICInsider.com ranks stocks to filter out the bigger winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potentially huge winners, helping to keep out emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes being made.  IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Sterling back in ICTOP10 Wisynco out

Sterling Investments returns to the ICTOP10 Main Market listing as Wisynco fell out of, following earnings downgrade to $1.20 per share for the current year, with the company posting 83 cents per share for the year to June.
The highlights this past week is the increased interest in Sygnus Credit Investments that drove the price up nine percent after posting outstanding full year results during the week, and the sharp pullback in the price of Radio Jamaica, with the price ending at $3.17, down from last week’s $4.40. By early next week, Radio Jamaica should announce the amount of dividend to be paid and the date of payment.
Elsewhere, Future Energy Source, a former ICInsider.com BUY RATED stock that enjoyed strong buying interest that pushed the price to a high of $3.40, saw a sharp pullback to end the week at a more palatable $2.05.
The top three Main Market stocks are Berger Paints, with the potential to gain 273 percent, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 209 to 286 percent for the three, versus last weeks’ 214 to 273 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by Medical Disposables and General Accident. All three have the potential to gain between 235 percent and 275 percent, compared to 217 and 283 percent last week.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market rose from 191 percent to 198 percent and Main Market stocks from 168 percent to 173 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 11.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 trades at a PE of 6.9, with a 39 percent discount to the PE of that market and the potential to rise 61 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 15.6, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 22 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 28 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6, with a 51 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
The ICTOP10 stocks are not intended to be the best stocks in the market but are most likely to be the biggest winners within a fifteen-month period. ICInsider.com ranks stocks to filter out the bigger winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially huge winners and helping to keep out emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes being made.
ICTOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

RJR drops to 10, Proven & Jetcon join TOP10

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The highlights this past week is that after one week back in the ICInsider.com TOP10 list, Dolphin Cove’s price surged from $9.86 to the week’s high of $12.50 for a rise of 27 percent but closed the week at $11.60 for a healthy 18 percent gain for the week.

Dolphin Cove’s price bounced last week.

RJR just held on to the TOP 10 with a gain of 135 percent for the year to date, but the stock that is trading with good volume traded as high as $4.78 during the week.
Proven Investments joins the Main market TOP10 and replaces Scotia Group while Jetcon Corporation price dipped to 91 cents and replaces tTech, with the price rising to $4.79 from $4.40 last week. Elsewhere, Future Energy Source, one of ICInsider.com BUY RATED stocks when the IPO came to market in April, gained 311 percent to date, but with projected earnings of 13 cents per share and the price at $3.29, the PE is a rich 25 times earnings and seems overpriced based on prices of other Junior Market stocks. Radio Jamaica, as previously suggested by ICInsider.com, the directors will be meeting on September 6 to consider a dividend payment.
The charting of the Junior and Main Market indices shows early signs of the markets bouncing from the mild summer correction. We may be seeing early signs of a longer term rebound, with the Main and Junior Markets closing at the highest levels this week since July 23.
Outside the Junior and Main markets TOP10, investors should keep an eye on AMG Packaging and Sterling Investments.
The top three Main Market stocks are Berger Paints, with the potential to gain 273 percent, followed by Guardian Holdings and JMMB Group, with expected gains of 214 to 273 percent for the three, versus last weeks’ 202 to 277 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident and Lasco Financial. All three have the potential to gain between 217percent and 283 percent, compared to 227 and 268 percent last week. Stationery and Office Supplies closed the previous week at $5.75 to sit at number 2 in the Junior Market list enjoyed a bounce in price to $6.50 and moved down to the 8th  spot this week.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market dropped from 207 percent to 191 percent and Main Market stocks from 172 percent to 168 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 11.8 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the historical average of 17 for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7, with a 40 percent discount to the PE of that market and the potential to rise 69 percent to march next year, based on an average PE of 20.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 15.6, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 12 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 28 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.7, with a 50 percent discount to that market’s average PE, well off the potential of 20.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best stocks in the market but are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
 IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

RJR down to 7 spot, Dolphin joins ICTOP10

Dolphin Cove returns to the ICInsider.com TOP10 list after a very long absence. The company’s half year results show a major upturn in fortunes, with prospects of good full year results. The stock replaces CAC2000 that slipped out of the top list.
Dolphin Cove reported a profit of US$1.24 million in the June quarter or 49 cents in Jamaican currency, thus wiping out the first quarter loss of US$155,000 and seems on target to generate around $3.3 million in profit for the year.
Last week’s number one Main Market stock – RJR, dropped to position 7 this week, with the price jumping to $3.50 from $2.25 last week. It could be out of the TOP10 next week if buying interest continues to come into the market, with the stock gaining 60 percent for the week and a respectable 91 percent for the year to date. That is not a bad performance for a stock sold for $1.10 in December last year and one that not many investors looked at until recent results were released. Interestingly, while many investors looked elsewhere, the smart money was laser focused on the future and the boom in revenues that was to come from growth in various areas of the economy that would increase advertising spend and push quarter profits to record levels. The smart money bought 52 million shares on April 6 last year, at an average of $1.33. On April 13, 95.4 million units were picked up and 67.7 million on April 27 at $1.26. The next big buy was August 17th, with 10 million units at $1.30 and 0n October 19 with 20 million units.
Outside the Junior and Main markets TOP10, investors should watch AMG Packaging and Sterling Investments.
After more than a year and a half at the top of the ICTOP10 listing Radio Jamaica finally broke lose this week, with the price hitting new daily 52 weeks’ highs and ended at $3.50 on Friday. The top three Main Market stocks are now headed by Berger Paints, with the potential to gain 277 percent, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 202 to 277 percent for the three, versus last weeks’ 200 to 300 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by Stationery and Office Supplies that fell on Friday to $5.75, from $7.43 last week and General Accident, with all three having the potential to gain between 221 percent and 295 percent, compared to 256 and 336 percent, last week.
Last week, a few companies’ profit results were highlighted; one that was not and came out with less than exciting profit numbers is Elite that is top of the Junior Market listing. The company came to the market with much promise but has failed to deliver on its promise. A close assessment of the June results shows an increase in revenue in each quarter in the last fiscal year over the prior quarter, suggesting that if the trend continues, the current fiscal year should see a big rise in revenues and profits. The paying of a dividend that is greater than the reported profit for the last fiscal year is an indication that things are likely to be better in the current year. The other factor is that EBITA is strong with a fairly stable depreciation charge of 20 percent of revenues.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market moved from 193 percent to 207 percent and Main Market stocks from 180 percent to 172 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 11.4 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 15.6, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6, with a 41 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best in the market but are likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
 IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Is Barita really worth as much as JMMB?

Barita Investments headquarters

JMMB Group reported profit at $1.7 billion, for the quarter ending June this year, with comprehensive income, a better measure of assessing management performance, of $3 billion. Barita Investments reported profit and comprehensive income of $1.6 billion, almost 50 percent less than JMMB’s comprehensive income and yet Barita’s shares are selling 2.6 times that of JMMB and the market value is 32 percent greater.
Barita has 1.085 billion shares issued to investors, with total assets of $84.5 billion and shareholders’ equity of only $30 billion. JMMB Group has 1.9 billion shares issued almost twice that of Barita and assets of $545 billion and shareholders’ equity of $63 billion, more than twice that of Barita, but the market has placed a higher value on the much smaller company.
At the close of trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Wednesday, the market value for Barita is $99 billion and JMMB $75 billion, nearly 25 percent less than Barita. Why is the market pricing Barita at a steep premium to JMMB? Barita has only a small percentage of its stock in the public’s hands and therefore is enjoying a scarcity premium, while JMMB is far more liquid with more shares in the public’s hands.
ICInsider.com TOP10 selection revealed over the years is that most investors appear to chase momentum and popular stocks of the day than invest in stocks that are likely to be big winners down the road.
Seeking relevant and credible information for proper investment decisions is not an area of focus for many. Radio Jamaica is a case in point. The stock has been in the upper level of the Top 10 for the better part of a year and a half, with investors being fed with lots of information to inform them of the big run that was and is still ahead of them. They would not buy into it until the company released full year results in July and even then, only a few bought into what is now unfolding and reflected in the huge rise in the first quarter results. There is a huge demand for the stock that is not easy to find at current pricing levels.

Scotia Group.

The message from the market is that out of favour, stocks are the last to get a following, but the ones that are likely to deliver huge gains. There is the case of Salada Foods, where investors are buying the stock at 40 times earnings when the market is nowhere near that level, while they ignore JMMB Group, for example with PE less than 10.
Investors were treating Barita Investments in the same manner as JMMB is now when Barita was on IC TOP 10 until sometime after the switch in majority ownership to Cornerstone, but few would buy into what was a terrible undervalued stock with much promise.
JMMB enjoyed a big bounce in its June quarter earnings that saw profit 123 percent from $769 million in 2020, but those results were down 31 percent from the $1.1 billion generated in 2019 that makes the 2021 first quarter results so outstanding, as it is up 54 percent over the 2019 results.
Profit for Barita is up 62 percent from $990 million earned in the June quarter of 2020 and up 76 percent over the June 2019 quarter earnings of $910 million.
Interestingly, Scotia Group is worth just 24 percent more than Barita. If Barita gets investors to subscribe to the 240 million shares in the upcoming IPO and the stock price holds at the current level after the issue closes, Barita market value would surpass that of Scotia.

CAC hits ICTOP10 as RJR stuns market

The leading Main Market ICInsider.com TOP10 listed Radio Jamaica stuns the market this week with blow out first quarter profit of $110 million that compares well with $171 million reported in the last fiscal year, profit could be higher but for a near $70 million provision for bad debt and would have put the result close to our first quarter profit forecast of it beating 2021 full year results.
The bad news is that many persons ignore ICInnsider.com’s forecast of great things to come from the company, with many chasing after it on Friday after the release of the results on Thursday. Some readers bought into the vision but not all. The good news is that, with projected earnings of 45 cents per share, there is much room for this stock to run. The other good news is that there is much more to be gained by owning the stock as the company completes projects that will boost revenues and grow profits in the years to come.
The last dividend paid was 2 cents in July of 2019; before that, 2 cents in September 2016 and 10 cents in September 2015, although profit was only 9 cents per share. A dividend seems due for September this year, and with profits up in the 2021 fiscal year and year to date, shareholders could be looking at an early Christmas present.
The RJR results came close to the end of earning season for the June quarter and stimulated strong buying in the stock, with 9.2 million shares changing hands on Friday, the highest since 8.25 million units were traded on the 19 of July, the second trading day after the company released full year’s results to March. Interest has been building in the stock from the full year release and could get stronger as ICInsider.com gathers that there is good buying interest in it.  
With those strong results and the promise of 45 cents per share to be earned for this year and 80 cents in the next year, one would be forgiven if they felt that RJR should be dislodged from the ICTOP10 listing. Well, the top three Main Market stocks are headed again by Radio Jamaica, but the potential gains rose from 296 percent to 300 percent, even as the price moved up to a 52 weeks’ closing high of $2.25 from $2.02 last week, due to upgrading in the earnings to 45 cents per share or $1.1 billion. RJR is followed by Berger Paints, with earnings per share upgraded to $2.45 and JMMB Group, with expected gains of 200 to 300 percent for the three, versus last weeks’ 191 to 296 percent.
CAC2000, a stock with little focus from investors replaces Jetcon Corporation in the Junior Market ICTOP10. Investors should keep watch on CAC2000, with the strong growth in the construction sector that could benefit them.
The PE Ratio of the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks trade at a 44 percent discount to the market average and Main Market stocks 54 percent, indicating the potential gains in these stocks compared with many of those outsides of them.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 221 percent and 295 percent compared to 256 and 336 percent, last week. Medical Disposables reported vastly improved revenues and profit for the June quarter even without reporting any income from acquiring the 60 percent majority ownership in Cornwall Enterprises. The price of General Accident has languished from last year, even as expansion pointed to improved results for them. They reported a profit of $166 million for the June quarter and $202 million for the half year with EPS of 16 cents and 20 cents respectively, putting them in line to exceed 60 cents for the full year with the last quarter usually the period with highest profits. Caribbean Brokers recorded increased revenues as well as increased expenses, some to promote products. Losses increased in the June quarter and half year, but late 2020 was the period that profit was reported. JMMB Group reported improved June results that more than doubled over 2020 even as cost rose faster than revenues.
This past week, the average gains projected for the Junior Market moved from 218 percent to 193 percent and Main Market stocks to 180 percent from 175 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 12.6 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17, for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.3, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.5, with a 46 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 38 percent and requires a rise of 63 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.9, just 54 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best in the market but are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
 IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report. 

RJR Q1 profit hits the roof

We boldly predicted that profit at Jamaica’s leading media house – Radio Jamaica, would exceed the full 2021 fiscal years’ earnings of $171 million and stun the market with the full year’s profit on the way to just under $1 billion. We messed up but we were darn close, with the first quarter numbers, but now expect full year’s results to beat the original forecast and end up over $1 billion. 
We projected revenues of $1.465 billion and they delivered $1.449 billion in the quarter. Our forecast for TV revenues was $626.344 million, they reported $639.377. Radio revenues came in at $199.605, somewhat higher than ICInsider.com’s projection of $184.05 and the print division delivered $610,217 million versus ICI’s forecast of $635,697. Other income amounts to $29 million versus IC forecast of $19 million.
RJR added approximately $70 million in provision for bad debt that to drive up administrative expenses above the recent trend thus producing a profit to $110 million in the quarter, a level never before done by them in the quarter. In achieving this performance, operating revenues surged 34 percent to $1.42 billion from $1.06 billion in 2020 and beating 2019 June quarter, with revenues of $1.36 billion.
Profit margin in the quarter rose to 65 percent from 64 percent in the 2020 quarter as direct input cost climbed 28 percent to $494 compared to $385 million in 2020 for the year’s quarter. The effect, operating profit rose 37 percent to $926 million from $675 million.
Sales expenses climbed by 6.5 percent to $243 million from $228 million in 2020. Administrative expenses rose 25 percent to $362 million from $290 million. Other operating expenses rose 14.5 percent and ended at $190 million from $166 million in 2020. Finance cost increased to $12 million from $11 million in 2020. Corporation taxes amount to $37 million and just $284,000 in 20.20

TVJ one of RJR’s subsidaries

The chief Executive officer Gary Allen and Chairman Joseph Matalon, in their report, accompanying the quarterly attribute the improved results to “cost cutting and improved income generation with “increased advertising revenues across all divisions, the continued collaboration with the Ministry of Education and the staging of ISSA/GraceKennedy boys and girls championship”.
Gross cash flow brought in $227 million but growth in receivables, inventories and increased payables resulted in an additional increase of funding of $120 million, addition to fixed assets and loan payment used up funds and created an overall net outflow of $119 million thus reducing the opening cash balance of $725 million to reflect the cash on hand at the end of the quarter. At the end of the quarter, Current assets ended at $2.34 billion including cash of $606 million and receivables of $137 billion, Payables amount to $1.29 billion and net current assets at $1.05 billion. Shareholders’ equity stands at $2.6 billion with borrowings at just $399 million.
Earnings per share came out at 4.5 cents. ICInsider.com forecasts earnings of 45 cents per share for the current year and 80 cents per share for 2023. The stock traded at $2.15 on the Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Thursday with a PE ratio of 5 times, current earnings well below the average of 16.3 currently for the Main Market. The stock remains ICInsider.com BUY RATED.

Rebound for Stationery & Office Supplies

Stationery & Office Supplies is enjoying a strong rebound from the COVID-19 afflicted 2020 financial year, with profit swinging from a loss of $22 million in the June 2020 quarter to a small profit of $3 million in the 2021 second quarter and well off from a profit of $34 million in the 2019 June Quarter.

Stationery & Office Supplies Montego Bay

Profit rose over 168 percent year on year for the first 6 months of 2021, from $21.8 million in 2020 to $58.4 million.
Sales surged 76 percent in the June quarter to $238 million from the 2020 covid-19 battered quarter and 17 percent for the half year to $551 versus $472 million in the 2020 period. While making a good recovery, this year’s revenues trail that of 2019 by some degree. Revenues in June 2019 quarter were 24 percent higher at $295 million and for the half year, 15 percent greater than the $633 million generated in 2019.
The cost of goods sold rose 61 percent in the quarter to $117 million and 7 percent for the half year to $261 million. Gross profit margin rose to 51 percent in the quarter, with gross profit of $120 million up from 46 percent in 2020, with gross profit of $63 million. For the half year, gross profit margin rose to 53 percent from gross profit of $290 million up from 46 percent in 2020, with gross profit of $228 million.
Administrative and general expenses rose 54 percent to $82 million from $55 million in 2020 during the June quarters and climbed a milder 16 percent to $163 million from $141 million for the six months period. Selling and promotional costs rose from $14.6 million in the June 2020 quarter to $22 million and moved from $38 million for the six months in 2020 to $43 million in 2021.
Depreciation, amortisation and impairment charges were slightly down in the quarter at $8.2 million versus $8.7 million in 2020 and $16.5 million compared to $17.8 million for the half year. Finance and foreign exchange cost accounted for $5.2 million in the quarter versus $6.4 million in 2020 and $10 million in the six months period this year, from $12 million in 2020.
“History has shown that SOS’s second quarter is normally the slowest period during the year, but even though we continue to suffer through the Covid-19 virus and all of the issues that come along with it, SOS was able to post a profit, with significant improvements compared to the second quarter of 2020. These are good indicators that Jamaica’s economy is continuing to rebound and as we progress through the summer months, we will see the return of children to school which will also help improve the sales of SEEK back to school products in the market,” stated David McDaniel, Managing Director and Marjorie McDaniel, Chief Administrative officer in their joint commentary of the results.
Earnings per share for the second quarter for 2021 amount to one cent and 23 cents for the half year. ICInsider.com projects full year earnings at 85 cents per share and $1.50 for 2022. The stock traded at $7.50, with a PE of 9, based on 2021 earnings and that compares favourably with the market average PE of 12.4.
The company remains in a healthy financial position at the end of half year period. At the end of June, shareholders’ equity stood at $668 million, with long term borrowings at $114 million and short term borrowings at $39 million. Gross cash flow amounts to $89 million but, with growth in working capital and repayment of loans, the company ended the half year with net negative flows of $6 million. Current assets stood at $509 million, including inventories of $276 million, trade and other receivables of $102 million, and cash and bank balances of $91 million. Current liabilities ended at $126 million, with net current assets ending at $382 million.

More changes in ICTOP10 picks

Scotia Group headquarters

Scotia Group’s stock price slipped during the week from $42 at the end of the previous week and closed trading at $39.50 Friday and pushing it back into the Main Market ICTOP10 listing and in the process displaced Sterling Investments that reentered the list last week, these were the only changes in and out of the ICTOP10.
More mid-year results were released during the week but had little or no effect on prices as the markets seemed to have suffered from mediocre demand by investors, but there appears some added interest in Caribbean Cement and GraceKennedy.  
The PE Ratio of the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks trade at a 47 percent discount to the market average and Main Market stocks 54 percent, indications of the potential gains in these stocks compared with many of that are outside.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, continue to be Elite Diagnostic, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 256 percent and 336 percent compared to 221 and 287 percent, last week. Medical Disposables continues the addition of new products to its portfolio that will add revenues and profit going forward. The acquisition of the 60 percent majority ownership in Cornwall Enterprises, will result in economies of scale and an expanded portfolio to market nationally to an expanded clientele.
The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 191 to 296 percent, versus last weeks’ 184 to 296 percent. The Top10 Main Market leader Radio Jamaica continues to enjoy buying interest that is whittling away the supply of stocks on offer in the market. A barrage of new results are due this coming week as the final reporting day for the period will be Saturday this coming week.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market, moved from 207 percent last week, back to 218 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 175 percent from 173 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 12.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17, for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.3, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.5, with a 54 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 38 percent and requires a rise of 63 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.5, just 53 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best stocks in the market but ones that are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen months period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
 IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.