Sagicor Real Estate X Fund has been selling significantly above its IPO price of $5 and has since risen by 40 percent to $7, making it one of the better performing stocks on the local stock market since listing.
Of import is the seasonality of the hotel operations—high income and profits in the period between December and April, July and August, and lousy in the other months, which are usually loss making months. Sagicor Real Estate X Fund had assets of $9 billion at the end of September and net book value of $6.09. The stock price is $7, for a near 20 percent premium, which is well over the market.
The fund with 1,495,336,750 shares issued, boasts a very high PE ratio of 12, which is far greater than the other stocks in the market, and without the growth prospects of the vast majority of them. In a market that values stocks based on earnings generating cash flow, the valuation placed on the fund is even higher than the PE suggests and may be as high as a PE of 30. But that is the value that would be placed on a company
growing profits at 30 percent per annum. Earnings growth will not be there to drive the stock price compared to many of the quality listed stocks. The stock is now being valued on hype not reality.
The Sagicor Real Estate X Fund has a number of hotels, but many hotels have been notorious for not being highly profitable. There is also a great level of seasonality in performance in the sector. Income from other local properties will be steady as
most are rented on a long term basis.
The company has strategically invested in the Sigma Real Estate Portfolio, which holds a mix of hotels, commercial, industrial and warehousing properties. At this time, the only investment for the Fund is the units in the Sigma Real Estate Portfolio.
The Fund is 67.7 percent owned by the Sagicor Pooled Pension Investment Funds, which are administered by Sagicor Life Jamaica and is listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange.