Grace, Proven, Access & Iron Rock in TOP 10

Grace Kennedy HQ


Decline in the prices of three stocks during the week and gains by others resulted in changes to the IC Insider.com TOP 10 list this week.
Grace Kennedy pulled back to $59.50 and Proven Investments down to 21 US cents and Access Financial falling, with the offer at $45.50 and Iron Rock declining to $4.50 moved into the top stock list, taking the place of Sagicor Group that moved up to $42.55 and Salada Foods that moved up to $24.95 in the main market, while Caribbean Cream that fell to $6.16 to enter last weeks’ list moved up in price to $7.68 and with a slight downgrade to earnings to 65 cents per share, fell out of the top list and Caribbean Producers climbed to $7 and is also out.
The main hit new historical highs on Friday resulted in the overall PE for the main market rising to 16.3 up from 15.8 from the previous week, the PE of the Junior market remained unchanged at 15.8.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 9.5 and the main market PE is now 9.9, marginally higher than the prior week’s level, as the market continues to see an upward revaluation of the multiple.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 40 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 39 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

Kremi surges to top IC TOP 10

Caribbean Cream outlet in Kingston.

Investors pushed Caribbean Cream down to $6.16 on Friday to surge to the top of the list this week, while Stanley Motta was pushed down to $4.50 to reenter this Top 10 stock list.
JMMB Group jumped sharply to close at a new record high of $37 on Friday and was pushed out of the top tier main market list while Iron Rock shot to a record $5 and dropped out of the Junior Market listing. The market could be making a big mistake with Stanley Motta that is clearly undervalued. IC Insider.com upgraded Caribbean Cream earnings to 85 cents from 70 cents with a sharp fall in the price of milk solids since May by nearly 24 percent that should cut the direct input cost of producing ice cream.
Gains in the two markets are driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior and main market, both rising to 15.8 as of Friday, up from just over 15 last week, as the valuation multiple grows with historically low interest rates and high liquidity abounding in the financial market.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 9.2 and the main market PE is now 9.4, just marginally lower than the prior week’s level, even as the market continues to see an upward revaluation of the multiple.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 42 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 40 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

JMMB & Honey Bun now in IC TOP 10

Honey Bun and Medical Disposables are in this week’s Top 10 Junior Market stocks replacing Main Event and CAC2000. In the main market, Sygnus Credit and JMMB Group are back in the top tier stocks and out goes Stanley Motta and Sterling Investments.
Sterling Investments, a very long time TOP 10 listing hit a record $22.50 this past week, as investors continued to applaud the recently announced 3 for 1 stock split. In the Junior Market, CAC2000 closed at $15 and ended trading with no stock on offer. The stock seems poised for stock split, to create more liquidity and is set to trade higher this week with buying orders in for 139,000 shares at $15. The price of Stanley Motta climbed to $5.27 during the week from $4.81 in the previous week and exited the main market list.
Barita Investments and Berger Paints, long time TOP 10 listees, moved up in price during the week but still remain in the listing at position 7 and 9 respectively and could be out by the end of this week, if current demand continues.
Gains in the two markets are driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior Market rising to 15 and the main market to 15.3 as the valuation multiple grows with historically low interest rates and high liquidity abounding in the financial market.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks, average 9.3, similar to last week’s level, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher, the main market PE is now 9.5, up from 9.1 last week, for the top stocks.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 38 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be, at 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 38 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

Main Event & Stanley Motta in IC TOP 10

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Main Event returns to IC TOP 10.

Main Event fell to $5.50 on Friday and climbed back into the Junior market IC TOP 10 stock listing, while Recently listed Stanley Motta climbed on board the main market list.
Moving on out of the top 10 are JMMB Group with a rise in the bid price to $32.70 and Caribbean Cream that closed the week at $7.90, from $6.50 last week. Both are worth watching for more gains in the coming week. Barita Investments and Berger Paints long time TOP 10 listees, moved up in price during the week but still remain in the list but could be out by the end of the coming week if current demand continues.
During the past week, the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, racked up more record closes but pulled back on sharply on Thursday and Junior market hit new highs during the week but dropped sharply on Friday due mainly to Lasco Distributors falling to $3.35 and Express Catering dropping to $6.40 before rebounding at the close.
Gains in the two markets are driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior Market rising to 14 and the main market to 14.5 as the valuation multiple grows with historically low interest rates and high liquidity abounding.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 9.3 up from 8.9 last week, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher and the main market PE is now 9.1, up from 8.8 last week, for the top stocks.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 35 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 38 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

3 new additions to IC TOP 10 stocks

Main Event is back in TOP 10.

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, racked up 6 consecutive days of record close on Friday, while the Junior market closed the week just 63 points short of the record close in 2017.
The gains in the two markets is driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior Market rising from to 13 and the main market from 13.7 last week to 13.7 and 14 respectively, this week. Recent movement in the PE suggest that average PE for the market will end 2018 around 18 and 20 by the end of January as conditions continue to favour stocks as the preferred investment of choice along with real estate.
The Top 10 has three changes at the end of the week as movement in prices was the sole factor influencing the change. Caribbean Producers and Main Event dropped sharply in price on Friday and reentered the top list. While Caribbean Producers declined due partially to lower full year’s profit than was expected butt should recover as improved results for the 2019 fiscal year should be enhance with efficiency improvements, the sharp decline in the price from $7 to $5.20 of Main Event on modest volume of less than 7,000 shares is unclear, except for a bid gap between where some demand was and the offers. Access Financial and Fosrich Group dropped out of the Junior Market TOP 10 after rising in price and Sygnus Credit Investments having risen by 50 cents to $12.50 regained enough ground to be pushed out of the top list and allowed Berger Paints to return to the list.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 8.7 up from 8.5 last week, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher. The latest valuation compares to an average PE for the overall market of 13.7, based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE is now 8.5 and is the same level as last week, for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 14.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 36 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 39 percent to the market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

Access, Fosrich, JMMB now in IC TOP 10

Both the Jamaica Stock Exchange, main and Junior markets reached higher levels during the past week, with the main market hitting a series of new record highs. The coming weeks should see more gains as investors seek out opportunities as fixed interest returns have tanked.
The Top 10 has 3 changes, with Medical Disposables and Caribbean Producers moving out and making space for Access Financial and Fosrich Group in the Junior Market and JMMB Group coming in for is Berger Paints, with the latter jumping to $21.50 by the end of the week from $18 the week before.
Access Financial produced decent June quarter results with profit rising 16 percent to $217 million from $188 million for the 2017 quarter. The company is in the process of another acquisition, this time overseas, this should continue to help boost profit going forward. Fosrich posted good second quarter results and is on target to reach IC Insider.com’s forecasted earnings of 30 cents per share. Fosrich too, could be making an acquisition later this year, or early 2019, unofficial, but credible reports suggest. JMMB Group posted good first quarter results with a 59 percent increase in net profit. Some of the strong gains came from the relatively sharp fall in the value of the Jamaican dollar in the period that is not expected to continue.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks average 8.5 up marginally from 8.4 last week, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher. The latest valuation compares to an average PE for the overall market of 13, based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE is now 8.5 and is up from 8, last week, for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 13.7, a clear indication of the level of potential gains that can be made by owning these stocks. Work done by IC Insider.com suggests that the PE ratio is likely to end 2018 around 16 to 18 times earnings, as investors continue to upgrade the multiple they are prepared to pay for stocks, which would lift prices sharply over the next several months from current levels. The latest government bond offer with a 4.58 years tenor, was heavily oversubscribed, resulting in rates dropping to 3.95 percent, suggesting that investors are satisfied that the economic policies will continue to lead to low inflation for a considerable time. These rates suggest more funds will be going into stocks as liquidity remains high in the financial system.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 35 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 38 percent to the market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

5.5m Pulse shares trade – Wednesday

Kingsley Cooper Chairman of Pulse

Pulse Investments traded more than 5.4 million shares in trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Wednesday out of a total of 12,393,354 units trading in the main and US dollar markets as the main market indices dived more than 2,690 points.
The volume of Pulse shares traded, is significant as it represents an unusually large amount that is out of line with normal trading levels for that company.
At the close on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Wednesday, the All Jamaican Composite Index dropped 2,954.25 points at 331,380.70, while the JSE Index dived 2,691.66 points to 301,925.23.
Stocks with major price changes are, Grace Kennedy down 74 cents to $52.26, NCB Financial falling 84 cents to $98.06, PanJam Investment dropping $4.77 to $52.80, Scotia Group down $1.60 to end at $50.40, Seprod dropping $3.40 to $31.60, Supreme Ventures rising $1 to $15 and Sterling Investments up $1 to $11.50.
At the close of market activity, 12,367,754 units valued at $115,843,551 changed hands compared to 6,586,973 units valued at $111,180,207, on Tuesday.
The other companies with major volume traded were, Wisynco Group with 1,408,344 units, accounting for just over 11 percent of the volume traded, followed by Jamaica Producers with 1,268,622 units or just over 10 percent of the main market volume, JMMB Group 7.5% preference share exchanged 1,151,126 shares and Sygnus Credit was next with 691,887 units.
Market activities in the main and US dollar markets resulted in 25 securities trading of which 8 advanced, 11 declined and 5 closing unchanged, compared to 28 securities trading on Tuesday.
In the US dollar market, 25,600 units traded valued at $2,816 with Sygnus Credit being the sole stock trading to end at 11 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index closed unchanged at 155.49.
Trading resulted in an average of 515,323 units valued at an average of $4,826,815 for each security traded, in contrast to 253,345 units valued at an average of $4,276,162 on Tuesday. For the month to date 232,741 units traded with an average value of $5,302,373 and on the previous day 218,900 units traded with an average value of $5,326,971 on average. May closed with an average of 589,414 shares with a value of $16,532.367, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 10 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and none closing with a lower offer.

PanJam jumps $5 to record high on Tuesday

Pan Jam office building in Kingston Jamaica.

PanJam Investment jumped $5.07 to a record high of $57.57, in trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Tuesday, but the market indices dropped more than 1,000 points.
At the close on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Tuesday, the All Jamaican Composite Index declined by 1,192.30 points to 334,334.95 while the JSE Index fell 1,086.32 points to 304,616.89.
Stocks with major price changes are, Carreras with a fall of $1 to $9, Grace Kennedy down $1 to $53, Portland JSX up 75 cents to $9.80, Salada Foods falling $2.50 to $10, Scotia Group rising 50 cents to end at $52, Supreme Ventures dropping $1.10 to $14 and Sygnus Credit rising 50 cents to $13.50.
At the close of market activity 6,586,973 units valued at $111,180,207 changed hands compared to 4,037,181 units valued at $55,669,184, on Monday.
Trading volume was dominated by Wisynco Group with 2,466,837 units, accounting for 37.45 percent of the volume traded, followed by Mayberry Investments with 835,956 units or just 12.69 percent of the main market volume and Carreras with 613,398 stock units or 9.3 percent.
Market activities in the main and US dollar markets resulted in 25 securities trading of which 7 advanced, 10 declined and 11 closing unchanged, compared to 30 securities trading on Monday.
In the US dollar market, 210,958 units traded valued at $38,935 with Margaritaville trading with 7,958 shares at 19.95 US cents compared to 20 US cents previously and Proven Investments traded 203,000 units at 20 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index dropped 6.30 points to close at 155.49.
Trading resulted in an average of 253,345 units valued at an average of $4,276,162 for each security traded, in contrast to 168,216 units for an average of $2,319,549 on Monday. For the month to date 216,970 units traded with an average value of $5,389,348 and on the previous day 219,629 units traded with an average value of $5,567,307 on average. May closed with an average of 589,414 shares with a value of $16,532.367, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 8 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 1 closing with a lower offer.

JSE makes gains on Monday

At the close on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Monday, the All Jamaican Composite Index rose 867.41 points to 335,527.25 while the JSE Index gained 790.30 points to 305,703.21.
Stocks with major price changes are, Berger Paints with a fall of 90 cents to $21.10, Grace Kennedy rising by $1 to a record $54, JMMB Group rising $1.20 to $29, NCB Financial lost 90 cents to close at $99, Salada Foods fell $1.75 to $12.50, Scotia Group lost 50 cents to end at $51.50 and Supreme Ventures dropped 90 cents to $15.10 and Sygnus Credit fell 50 cents to $13.
At the close of market activity, 4,037,181 units valued at $55,669,184 compared to 19,346,217 units valued at $306,929,810 changed hands, on Friday.
Trading volume was dominated by JMMB Group 7.50% preference share with 1,618,000 units that accounted for 40.08 percent of the main market volume followed by Carreras with 677,448 stock units or 16.78 percent and Scotia Group with 363,434 shares.
Market activities in the main and US dollar markets resulted in 25 securities trading of which 7 advanced, 10 declined and 8 traded firm, compared to 30 securities trading on Friday.
In the US dollar market, 16,300 units valued at US$1,793 traded with Sygnus Credit Investments ended trading with 16,300 units at 11 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index lost 0.84 points to close at 161.79.
Trading resulted in an average of 168,216 units valued at an average of $2,319,549 compared to 691,163 units valued at $10,961,779 on Friday. For the month to date 216,970 units traded with an average value of $5,389,348 and on the previous day 219,629 units traded with an average value of $5,567,307 on average. May closed with an average of 589,414 shares with a value of $16,532.367, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 9 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 1 closing with a lower offer.

Sygnus Credit IPO rakes in $3.8B

Some 3,200 applications with more than $3.8 billion chased after the Sygnus Credit Investments offer of 90,909,091 ordinary shares preliminary data out of the company is indicating.
The company went to market to raise J$1.3 million but have the option to upsize the amount it takes in case of over subscription of the offer.
The offer is expected to close on the Wednesday May 16 received applications from Jamaicans and persons from overseas including the wider Caribbean, IC Insider.com was informed. The company is likely to take up approximately 60 percent of the excess demand in keeping with the clause in the Prospectus that gave them the right to up lift the take in case of an oversubscription.
With the level of oversubscription, the total issued shares that was projected to be just over 250 million units should end up at just over 300 million ordinary shares.
Sygnus Credit Investments is a specialty private credit investment company, dedicated to providing non-traditional financing to medium-sized firms across the wider Caribbean region. These companies typically have revenues between US$5 million and US$25 million.
The investment objective of the Company is to generate attractive risk adjusted returns with an emphasis on principal protection, by generating current income, and to a lesser extent capital appreciation, through investments primarily in Portfolio Companies using private credit instruments.
The capital structure of the company and the choice of investing funds will tend to result in a return closer to fixed interest levels, but likely higher than some bank lending rates, in the short to medium term as such investors should be looking for steady growth but relatively high dividend payments in the medium term. The falling interest rates on Jamaican dollar money market instrument will make the dividend payment very attractive source of income.
The company intends to pay out up to 85 percent of its net income as dividends to shareholders, payable on a quarterly basis. The target dividend yield is over 7 percent on the IPO price.
At December 2017, SCI had US$16.7 million in assets and generated net profits of US$660,855. The value of investment in Portfolio Companies was US$11.6 million, generating a yield of 10.3 percent.
Earnings for 2019 fiscal year could be around J$1-1.2 per share and that could see the stock trading between $15 and $20 within twelve months. Returns could be greater if they use borrowed funds to meet some of the demand they have for funding.
The Company currently has a robust pipeline of US$31.4 million in deals to finance, of which US$3.2 million has been approved, US$12.3 million has been mandated and US$15.9 million are at various stages of prospecting.