Record remittance inflows for Jamaica


Remittance inflows into Jamaica slipped by a mere half of one percent to US$294.2 million in April this year, down by just US$2.3 million from April 2025, but remain at record levels for the year to date.

Remittance inflows for January to April 2026 continued the positive monthly trend since November last year. Flows to Jamaica amounted to a record US$1.1536 billion, 3.2 percent over the corresponding period in 2025, with earnings of US$1,118 billion.   

The United States of America continues to be the primary source market, accounting for 68.8 per cent of total remittance inflows, with the United Kingdom contributing 11.1 percent, Canada 8.5 percent, and the Cayman Islands 6.4 percent.

Record remittance inflows for January


Remittance inflows to Jamaica increase of US$13 million or a solid 5 percent in total remittance inflows to a record for the first month of the year, with January 2026 hitting US$273.2 million up from January 2025, data out of the Bank of Jamaica show.

In 2025 total inflows to the country rose by 3.84 percent to US$3.486 sit just under the record haul of US$3.497 billion in 2021. This year’s increase is lower than the 5.7 percent rise for January last year, 5.6 percent in May, 14.3 percent in November and 12.1 percent in December of 2025.

If total remittances remained flat for the rest of 2026, the country will end with record inflows for the year of just under US$3.5 billion.  

BOJ cuts ON rate to 5.50%


Bank of Jamaica cuts the overnight rate to 5.5 percent from 5.75 percent effective tomorrow, the reduction is the second cut in just under a year. The rate was last cut on 21 May last year, by 25 basis points from 6 percent to 5.75 percent.  

Bank of Jamaica announced that, effective 24 February 2026, the rate offered on overnight balances on the current accounts of deposit-taking institutions, the policy rate, will be reduced by 25 basis points from 5.75 percent per annum to 5.50 per cent per annum. 

In a release by the central bank they stated “in the context of the improved inflation outturn and outlook, the Committee decided unanimously to: (i) reduce the policy rate (the rate offered to deposit-taking institutions (DTIs) on their current account balances at BOJ) by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent per annum, effective 24 February 2026; and (ii) remain proactive in preserving relative stability in the foreign exchange market.”

The inflation forecast takes into account an improved outlook for key domestic macroeconomic indicators. After possible temporary breaches of the upper limit of the inflation target over the June and September 2026 quarters, inflation is now projected to return to the 4 to 6 percent target range by the end of the December 2026 quarter. This earlier-than-previously-anticipated return to target reflects a moderation of the Bank’s forecast for later (or second-round) price increases. In addition, private sector expectations of future inflation (inflation expectations), a key driver of headline inflation, are forecast to fall to normal levels over the near term. The current account of Jamaica’s balance of payments is, however, projected to record higher deficits over the near term as the economy rebuilds from the Hurricane Melissa fallout, but the international reserves remain healthy and are projected to improve further. The forecast also considers the direct impact of the recently announced tax package.

Jamaica’s murders at 300 in 2026


Jamaica continues to experience a remarkable reduction in crime, with 33 murders for January. this year. The country is averaging slightly more than one killing per day—a sharp 55 percent decline compared to the same period in 2025, putting the country on track to hit 300 for 2026, the lowest in 50 years.

The decline in 2026 continues momentum from 2023, which accelerated into 2025, when Jamaica recorded under 673 total murders for the year, a 42 percent drop from 2024 and the lowest count in decades. For years, Jamaica exceeded 1,000 annual murders, and as high as 1,683 in 2009 and 1,647 as far back as 2017. The reduction in crime since 2023 makes this transformation historic, with a positive impact on the wider economy.
Over the past two weeks, murders dropped below one a day, with just 6 murders in the past week, and 5 the previous one.
2026 Forecast: At the current trend, Jamaica is on track to record around 300 murders for the year, potentially the lowest since 1975 when murders ended at 266.
The decline that puts murders on track for 300 this year has positive implications for a boost to the country’s economic growth, with fewer resources having to be deployed on security, providing a notable boost to the entertainment industry and greater appeal and  attractiveness for the tourism industry and other sectors related to it. Some of these benefits will take some time to manifest.

Jamaica’s inflation cools


Jamaica experienced a dramatic inflation spike in late 2025, driven primarily by the effects of Hurricane Melissa on reducing agricultural production and increasing prices. The Consumer Price Index rose by 2.4 percent, in November, with the pace slowing to 1.3 percent in December, as agricultural supplies slowly returned to more normal levels.

November’s 2.4 percent monthly rise was the highest since September 2013, with 2.8 percent and matched the August 2024 increase following Hurricane Beryl. Hurricane Melissa, which struck on October 28, severely disrupted agricultural production and infrastructure. Food prices surged 6.0 percent in November, with vegetables, tubers, and plantains jumping 19.1 percent, while fruits and nuts increased 8.8 percent. Inflation in this category, in December climbed at a much slower pace of 2.1 percent, with vegetables, tubers, and plantains jumping 4.5 percent, while fruits and nuts increased 5.6 percent.

By year-end, point-to-point inflation reached 4.5 percent, with food inflation accelerating to 7.1 percent year-over-year. Housing and utility costs also contributed, rising 3.5 percent annually. Despite these pressures, inflation climbed from 2.9 percent in October to 4.3 percent in November and 4.5 percent in December, remaining well within the central bank’s target range of 4-6 percent.

Who is Odene James?


Listed companies, many of which pride themselves on good corporate policies, should do better in speaking to investors. Ms. James has been added to the list of directors of Caribbean Assurance Brokers, effective October 1.
Why did the company not advise the public about who she is? This is terrible. Let’s be fair, this is not the only company to have failed to advise investors of the credentials of new appointments. A quick review of the internet reveals very little about her credentials.

Voter turnout projected at around 46%


Voter turnout in Jamaica’s 2025 General Elections is set to be just under 50 percent, data up to 11 this morning suggests, with just over 306,000 or 15 percent of registered voters having voted up to then, the Director of Elections at the Electoral Office of Jamaica, confirmed.

ICInsider.com projects turnout around 50 percent, with 46 percent the most likely outcome. In 2016, some 289,000 or 16 percent of the 1,824,412 registered voters cast their votes by 11:30 am and at 3 PM, 728,670 votes were polled, accounting for 39.94 percent of the votes cast, with a final tally of 882,389 for a 48.4 percent outcome.
By 11 AM in 2020, a total of 313,799 or 16.4 percent votes were cast and ended at 37.9 percent for a total of 724317 out of 1,913,410 registered.
Based on the 2016 counts and the votes in the early morning session on Wednesday, it indicates a likely votes around one million votes between 46 and 50 percent.

Jamaica’s murders to plunge to 660 in 2025


Murders in Jamaica declined by 37.7 percent for the year to May 2 this year, according to data released by the Jamaican Constabulary Force, with 236 murders committed compared to 379 during the same period last year.

The red line represents movements in murders and the yellow line unemployment rate

The rate of murders is now two per day on average, with a reduction of one per day. The trend puts the likely outcome for the year around 660 murders and would represent a sharp reduction from 1,141 recorded in 2024 and the fourth consecutive year of decline. If achieved, it would be the lowest year since 1994 with 690 murders.

This year’s reduction would place Jamaica around 24 per 100,000 population, in the mid-range of Latin American and Caribbean countries, in line with Venezuela’s per capita murder rate. The country would move down from the number 3 highest in 2024, but still ahead of Belize, 21.7, Costa Rica, 16.6, the Dominican Republic at just 9 and Guyana at 14.

While a lot of credit is being given to the security forces for the reduction over the past four years, not much is being said for the contribution of an improving economy and critically, the historically low unemployment and the role this is playing in assisting the fight against crime. 

The data is clear, Jamaica’s crime rate worsened with the high levels of unemployment in the period from 1979 to 2019, when unemployment and that for youth jumped sharply. The attached chart shows the relations between the two, with years of change in murders lagging that of unemployment.

More decline in Jamaican interest rates


At the most recent Bank of Jamaica auction for Certificate of Deposits (CDS) on Wednesday, interest rates averaged 5.99 percent, following an offer of $39 billion, the average rate is fractionally lower than the Central Bank’s Overnight (ON) rate of 6 percent, a signal that the BOJ will cut it ON rate when they meet in February.

A total of 326 bids were received by the central bank amounting to $62.42 billion, with rates ranging from 7.98 percent down to 5.5 percent. The highest submitted bid had a rate of 7.90 percent, but the highest rate obtained by successful investors was 6.2 percent. Today’s rate is up from 5.94 percent at last week’s auction when only $6.5 billion was offered, with bids of just over $32 billion.

At the end of the auction the total amount of 30 days CDs that are outstanding amounts to $126.5 billion and is down from $129.5 billion last week.  

Trading falls but JSE USD Market rises

Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange US dollar market ended on Wednesday, with the volume of stocks changing hands declining 75 percent, valued 85 percent lower than on Tuesday, resulting from trading in seven securities, compared to four on Tuesday with one rising, two declining and four ending unchanged.
A total of 73,498 shares were traded for US$5,221 compared to 296,100 units at US$34,738 on Tuesday.
Trading averaged 10,500 units at US$746, versus 74,025 shares at US$8,685 on Tuesday compared to trading in—October with an average of 47,977 units for US$4,392.
The US Denominated Equities Index advanced 3.00 points to finish at 229.02.
The PE Ratio, a measure used in computing appropriate stock values, averages 8.8. The PE ratio is calculated based on the last traded price divided by projected earnings done by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending between November 2023 and August 2024.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ended with a bid higher than the last selling price and one with a lower offer.
At the close, First Rock Real Estate USD share ended at 4.37 US cents, with 640 units crossing the market, Margaritaville remained at 12.7 US cents after trading 1,411 stocks, Proven Investments ended at 15.5 US cents closed with an exchange of 1,372 shares. Sterling Investments advanced 0.26 of a cent in closing at 1.96 US cents in an exchange of 50,816 stocks, Sygnus Credit Investments declined 0.12 of a cent to close at 8.56 US cents with investors transferring 162 shares and Transjamaican Highway remained at 1.65 US cents after exchanging 17,297 units.
In the preference segment, JMMB Group 5.75% shed 5 cents in closing at US$1.95 after 1,800 stocks passed through the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.