Junior Market at new record close – Thursday

A new record high for the JSE Junior Market.


The record-breaking run by the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange resumed, in trading on Thursday, with the market index rising 39.90 points to end at a record close at 3,580.44 pushing the gain for the market in 2019 to 10 percent.
The Junior Market closed with 31 securities changing hands, down from 35 on Wednesday, as prices of 9 securities rose, 9 declined and 13 remained unchanged.
At the close, three stocks traded at intraday highs but backed off at the close. General Accident closed at a high of $5.41, Indies Pharma traded at a high of $4.10 but dropped back to $3.30 and Lasco Financial traded at a 52 weeks’ high of $6.56 and ended at $6.50 at the close.
Market activities resulted in an exchange of 4,594,972 units valued at $22,321,171 compared to 7,903,203 units at $35,396,687 on Wednesday.
Trading ended with an average of 139,242 units at $676,399 for each security traded, in contrast to 225,806 units for $1,011,334 for each security traded on Wednesday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 181,805 units valued at $823,437 for each security and previously 195,575 valued at $871,008 for each security traded. July ended with an average of 138,412 units with a value of $563,215 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows four stocks closing with bids higher than their last selling prices and one closed with a lower offer.
Stocks ending with price changes| AMG Packaging closed 5 cents higher at $2.30, with 11,920 stock units trading, Blue Power decline 50  cents in trading of 20,612 units at $9.50, Caribbean Cream closed trading of 144,938 units and gained 75 cents to end at $4.95, Caribbean Producers lost 1 cent to close at $4.79 with 121,182 stock units changing hands. Consolidated Bakeries dipped 10  cents in trading of 24,773 units at $2.40. Derrimon Trading fell 25  cents in trading of 85,689 units at $2.75, Everything Fresh climbed 23 cents and exchanged 201,811 shares at $1.81. Fosrich Group closed trading of 3,500 units and gained 32 cents to end at $4.93, Fontana shed 20 cents trading of 598,550 units o end tat $8.30. GWest Corporation ended trading of 64,760 shares, after rising 6 cents to close at $1.40, Honey Bun climbed 60 cents and exchanged 464,000 shares at $6. Indies Pharma lost 41 cents in trading 151,509 shares to close at $3.30 after trading at 52 weeks’ intraday high of $4.10, Jamaican Teas declined $1.10 trading of 172,919 units to close at $6.85, Limners and Bards ended market activity exchanging 1,029,798 shares to close at $3.70 after falling 24 cents. Lasco Distributors closed 29 cents higher at $3.75, with 557,503 stock units trading, Medical Disposables climbed $1 to settle at $8 with 17,000 shares changing hands. Main Event fell 50 cents trading of 48,978 units at $6.50 and tTech closed trading of 53,772 units and gained 50 cents to end at $6.50 after investors responded positively to half-year results showing a 62 percent rise in the second-quarter results to $15.7 million.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Richard Byles next BOJ governor

BOJ interest rate & cash reserves cut will help push demand in the economy.

Word reaching IC Insider.com is that the next Governor of Jamaica’s central bank will be the past CEO of Sagicor Group, Richrad Byles.
Byles has a bachelors degre in economics from the University of the West Indies and a Master degree  in National Development and Planning from the University of Bradford. He is widely accepted to have played a major role in transforimng both the PanJam group and Sagicor Group.
Bryan Wynter who serves as the current governor of the central bank demits office later this year.

Wisynco to distribute JP Snacks

An announcement is set for today, that the  Wisynco Group has picked up the distribution of certain Jamaica Producers’ products.
A check with a spokesperson for Wisynco indicated that they could not confirm the distribution agreement. It is unclear whether the new distribution agreement is only for the Jamaican market or if it includes other markets as well.
Other sources had indicated the distribution was for Tortuga Rum Cake Jeffery Hall, Managing Director of Jamaica Producers 62 percent shareholders in Tortuga International Holdings manufacturers of the rum cake, told IC Insider.com that the distribution of Rum cake remains with Select Brands who have indebt knwoledge of the market for the Rum Cake. Tortuga International had revenues of $879 million in 2018 according to the group’s audited accounts and was negatively affected by hurricane in the region, Hall stated.
Wisynco confirmed that the company are now distributors of packaged sugar for the Pan Caribbean sugar company in Frome as well as Appleton Sugar factory. Seprod is also said to be co distributors as well for the pacaked Appleton sugar.

How the east was won?

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Annmarie Vaz winner of the East Portland seat.

Anne Marie Vaz increased her party’s support by a stunning 58 percent, over the JLP’s haul in the 2016 General Election to win the East Portland by-election on Thursday with just 11 votes less than 10,000.
At the same time, Damion Crawford only pulled out 5 percent more votes than was polled for the PNP, in 2016. The story gets increasing bad for the PNP and it is not just in this election. The writing was on the wall for years but poor candidature, by the JLP lent the view to many onlookers, that East Portland was safe PNP territory. The 2007, results with the PNP winning by less than 800 votes, should have sent a clear warning to them that things were changing rapidly.
In this latest election, the number of new voters on the list, grew by 5.6 percent, but Crawford’s increase of 4.8 percent was less than the rise in registered voters. Looked at differently, he picked up just 354 votes more than in the 2011 elections or only 3.8 percent more. On a net basis, he garnered only approximately 25 percent of new voters, while Vaz got 75 percent. This is consistent with a pattern seen island wide since 1993 and is one that is not likely to change, anytime soon.
The Labour party was able to get out their 8,000 voters of 2011 and add 24 percent more voters to it, in addition to commandeering the vast majority of new voters, the vote tally at the end of the preliminary count suggests.
The results on the surface is a major about turn for the seat. Closer examination of the numbers for a longer period tells a clear tale. The huge 2019 increase is due to a below performance for the JLP in the 2016 elections, when the votes by the party sank by a hefty 22 percent and  well against the national trend. The trend since the 1993 elections, suggests that the natural growth in party support should have seen them polling over 9,700 votes, just below the numbers she got in the latest polls.
The data also points out that the trend is indicating that the JLP should have polled around 2,000 more votes than they did, this time around.  Those voters are there in their corner based on the growth in support, reflected in the average gains in votes cast in prior elections. This bit of information is also reflected in public opinion voting survey data.

Some impressive profit results

The latest set of listed companies to report financials show an array of impressive profits for a number of them, turn around situation in one and flat results for a few.

C&W reported a small loss of $138M for 2017 before tax.

Cable and Wireless reported a very small loss for 2017 down sharply from a billion loss in 2016 and is about to break out into a highly profitable period starting in 2018. The company that has chalked up accumulated losses of more than $48 billion reported losses of only $138 million before tax for 2017, and just $383 million after tax, flowing from a 9 percent rise in revenues to $27 billion with a big rise in mobile revenues by 54 percent to $15 billion while interest cost at $5.2 billion the company lost the year, down from a loss of $1.4 billion in 2016. With the sharp fall in interest rates locally interest cost should drop by around $2 billion in 2018 and plunge the company into an excellent profit position with continued growth in revenues. Unfortunately, the parent company wants to take over the company at a low price, after local shareholders have suffered losses for many years at just the stage when good times seem to be returning.
Newly listed FosRich Group posted an 81 percent increase in profit to $55 million and earnings per share of 14 cents from revenues that fell 9.5 percent to $1.05 billion, but helped by other income of $42 million comprising mostly interest and foreign exchange gains.
Jamaica Producers enjoyed strong gains in operating profits with an increase of 77 percent to $662 million after adjusting the 2016 results for non-recurring gains of $3.7 billion. Operating income for the year was up an impressive 34 percent resulting in gross profit rising from $3.24 billion to $5.14 billion. Earnings per share came in at 59 cents.
Stationery and Office Supplies that listed in August last year enjoyed a 29 percent bounce in revenues for the full year and 37 percent rise in the December quarter to record full year revenues of $906 million and a 78 percent rise in profits to $83 or earnings per share of 38 cents.
Kingston Wharves profit climbed 18 percent from $1.29 billion to $1.63 billion for 2018 from revenues that moved from $5.41 billion to $6.37 billion for a rise of 28 percent and ended with earnings per share of $1.14.
Grace Kennedy continues to struggle to increase profits ended 2018 with flat results of $4.15 billion versus $4.12 billion in 2016. The 2016 figures and one off gains that makes the 2018 better that it appears on the surface. Revenues rose from $88.3 billion to $92 billion in 2018 and other revenues slipped from $2.38 billion to $2.1 billion. The group reports $4.15 in earnings per share.

FosRich profit rose 77% for 2017.

Supreme Ventures reports earnings per share at $44 cents from profits that are virtually flat with 2016 results coming from a 25 percent rise in revenues to $56.2 billion. Profit for the year ended at $1.197 billion from $1.178 billion. The 29017 suffered from write off of assets and impairment amounting to $484 million while repairs and maintenance rose by $110 million.
The 2017 listed Victoria Mutual Investments reports a 9 percent rise in profits to $346 million from a 19 percent rise in net income of $966 million and produced earnings per share of 29 cents.

Elite IPO fully subscribed

Elite Diagnostics could be in the Junior Market TOP 10 by the end of 2018.

Word reaching IC Insider.com from usually reliable sources, is that the much delayed Initial Public Offer for Elite Diagnostics was oversubscribed before the revised prospectus was posted on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Monday. 

The company is issuing just over 70 million shares at a price of $2 each and a PE ratio around 9 times estimated 2018 earnings and just under 6 times 2019 estimated earnings. The shares were to have officially opened on Monday January 22, but was put off until Wednesday 24, following amendment to include depreciation that was omitted from interim results to September, and then was pulled to correct errors in the interim results balance sheet and cash flow statement. The issue will now officially open on Monday February 5 and is expected to list on the Junior Market of the stock exchange that will see profit being tax free for 5 years and at half the regular rate for the second 5 years. Brokers for the issue are NCB Capital Markets and Sagicor Investments.

Trading on JSE’s main market sinks – Monday

Trading activity on the main market ended on Monday as 25 securities changed hands, leading to 3,323,821 shares valued at $32,670,539 changing hands, with the prices of 7 stocks rising, 11 declining and 7 trading firm.
At the close of the market the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index dipped 36.79 points to 312,175.12 and the JSE Index lost 33.52 points to 284,426.84.
In main market activity, Barita Investments ended at $8, with 1,774 stock units, Cable & Wireless concluded trading at $1.35, with 22,165 units, Carreras finished with a loss of 1 cent at $11.29, with 47,138 shares, Caribbean Cement settled with a loss of 10 cents at $32.50, with 4,300 shares, Ciboney Group ended trading at 22 cents, with 800 shares. Grace Kennedy traded with a loss of 60 cents at $42.50, with 15,000 stock units, Jamaica Broilers finished trading 50 cents higher at $18.50, with 15,969 units, Jamaica Producers closed with a loss of $1 for the second day in a row, to close at $15, with 3,000 shares, Jamaica Stock Exchange ended with a loss of 35 cents at $6.65, with 8,489 shares. JMMB Group concluded trading with a loss of $1 at $24, with 12,937 shares, Kingston Wharves settled with a loss of 50 cents at $33, with 2,685 units, Mayberry Investments ended trading 10 cents higher at $5.85, with 419,093 shares, NCB Financial Group traded 85 cents higher at $100.85, with 88,617 shares. 1834 Investments finished trading at $1.20, with 11,700 shares, PanJam Investment ended 50 cents higher at $40.50, with 2,405 units, Portland JSX concluded trading at $11, with 814 shares, Pulse Investments finished 5 cents higher at $2, with 214,000 shares. Radio Jamaica settled with a loss of 5 cents at $1.05, with 18,744 shares, Sagicor Group ended trading at $35.20, with 7,022 stock units, Sagicor Real Estate Fund ended trading with a loss of 20 cents at $14, with 42,280 shares. Salada Foods traded 5 cents higher at $12.55, with 100 units, Scotia Group finished trading with a loss of 95 cents at $50.05, with 4,487 shares. Supreme Ventures concluded trading at $11.50, with 254,605 stock units, Victoria Mutual Investments finished with a loss of 11 cents at $4.01, with 1,225,416 units and Wisynco Group settled 25 cents higher at $10.45, with 900,281 shares.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place. For more details of market activities, see “JSE main market slipped – Monday.”

JSE just below resistance at 190,000 points

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange surged to a new high at 12.30 pm on Friday with the all Jamaica Composite index jumping 8,505.30 points to a record 289,062.69 while the main market index rose 7,749.29 points to a record 263,368.84.
The Combined Index jumped 7,344.21 points to a record 276,121.30 as market sentiments suggest that the market may be at an early stage of a major bull run. The junior market that slipped 1.95 points at 11am is now up 18.94 to 3,117.84 while the US dollar market index that was unchnaged at 182.58 in the morning session is now up4.60 to 187.18.
Scotia Group is a mjor contributor to the big market gain with the privce jumping to $52 and only 389 units are now offered at $52. Supreme Ventures traded at a new high of $12.90 but sits at $12.50 with half an hour of trading to go.

Huge improvement at Jamaica Producers

Jamaica Producers at $14.50, currently.

Jamaica Producers made huge improvement in its operations, with strong gains in operating profit, helped by consolidation of Kingston Wharves but more importantly major gains from its other core business.
The company reported profit attributable to shareholders of $158 million for the second quarter to June and $251 million for the half year to June, 2017.
The results flowed from revenues of $7.4 billion up from $4.6 billion in 2016 for the half year and $4 billion for the quarter, up from $2.4 billion in 2016. In 2016 the group’s share of Kingston Wharves was treated as an associate as such the revenues for 2016 does not include that for wharf as is the case in 2017.
The results translate to 14 cents per share for the quarter and 22 cents for the half year and should end around 50 cents for the year. With a stock price of $14.50 the market value is a very rich 29 times earnings.

C&W reports profit

Jamaica’s telecom provider, Cable & Wireless, is reporting profit from operation in the June quarter this year, compared to a loss in the same period in 2016.
The company enjoyed an 11 percent rise in revenues helped mainly by a 22 percent increase in mobile revenues to generate $6.8 billion in revenues up from $6 billion in 2016 and profit of $222 million versus a loss of $695 million in the June quarter of 2016. Operating cost fell to $4.24 billion from $4.5 billion in the 2016 quarter to generate profit before finance cost of $1.59 billion. For the six months, revenue of $13.2 billion was generated with a loss of $311 million compared to a profit of $1.1 billion in 2016 from revenues of $11.85 billion.
Subsequent to the quarter the company announced a series of price increases that is set to boost revenues and help the bottom-line. the stock closed on Friday on the Jamaica Stock Exchange at $1.07. The latest information makes this stock one to watch next week.