NCB leads JSE to 8,028.94 points rise

NCB Financial closed at a record $107 on Friday, pushing a stock split one step closer.

 NCB Financial surged to a new record of high of $107 and along with 9 other stocks and pushed the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index by 8,028.94 points to a record close of 313,990.54 for a 49 percent gain in 2017.
The JSE Index to jumped 7,315.27 points to a record close of 286,080.89 on a day when two new record close was achieved by two securities. Trading picked up from Thursday’s low levels with 5,159,785 units valued at $78,990,902 trading compared to 3,438,708 units valued at $30,094,508 on Thursday.
Trading on the Main Market settled with 21 securities changing hands, of which 10 advanced, 6 declined and 5 traded firm. The US dollar market had 3 securities trading with one suffering a decline. Volume traded in this market was 141,361 units valued at US$80,724 and the US dollar Index fell 2.29 points to 183.01.
Sagicor Real Estate Fund closed at a new high of $15 after rising 99 cents, trading 3,630,842 units while Berger Paints closed at $14, but attempts were made to trade it as high as $17.50 but the price exceeded the 30 percent limit it could trade at for the day. Trading closed with bids to buy Berger ranging from a low of $11.02 to a high of $14 to purchase 259,773 shares, 204,458 units are on sale from a low of $16.75 for 41,583 units to most at $22 for 89,388 shares.
Trading ended with an average of 245,704 units for an average of $3,761,472 in contrast to 132,258 units for an average of $1,157,481 on Thursday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 1,667,082 units valued at $22,952,418 and 1,765,920 units valued at $24,286,888, previously. In contrast, September closed with average of 536,395 units at $1,905,441 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading in the main and US dollar markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows a strong reading of 11 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and only 1 with a lower offer.

Bulls take charge of Exchange Place

Bulls at large in down town Kingston again

The Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange closed at another record on Friday with 21 securities changing hands in the main market and 3 in the US dollar market and 22 in the Junior Market.
At the close, the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index jumped 8,028.94 points to a record close of 313,990.54 and the JSE Index to surged 7,315.27 points to 286,080.89. The Junior Market rose 48.58 points to end the week at 3,034.13. The US dollar Index fell 2.29 points to 183.01.

Friday’s move pushed the market outside of the medium term channel it has been trading in since 2014 and if the price of NCB holds, the break out for the market will be significant as it move on to the 360,000 points level.
NCB Financial traded at a new record of $107 and is ahead of the $102 it traded at in Trinidad on Friday, up until today it trailed the price of J$100 it was trading at in the twin island state. Berger Paints traded at $14, after news broke on Thursday that only 6.6 million shares were sold by minority shareholders to Ansa Coating following the company’s mandatory offer of $10.88 per share. Attempts were made to trade it as high as $17.50 but the price exceeded the 30 percent limit it could trade at for the day and was cancelled at the close of the market. Trading closed with bids to buy Berger ranging from a low of $11.02 to a high of $14 to purchase 259,773 shares, 204,458 units are on sale from a low of $16.75 for 41,583 units to mostly 89,388 at $22.
For the year to date, the All Jamaican Composite Index is up 49.4 percent and the JSE Index 48.8 percent.
In the foreign exchange market at midday dealers bought US$13,372,228 at J$127.31 and sold US$11,367,821 at J$127.74.

Another record close for Jamaican stocks

Rose Hall hotel a  Sagicor Real Estate Fund, property. The stock closed at a new high on Wednesday.

The Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange finished at another new record close of 304,331.28 for the all Jamaica Composite Index on Wednesday. The main and US dollar markets closed with 27 securities changing hands, of which 12 advanced and 5 declined.
In the main activity, Barita Investments closed at $8, with 720 units changing hands, Berger Paints settled 10 cents higher at $11.60, with 72,142 shares, Caribbean Cement finished at $27.50, with 700 units, Carreras settled with a loss of 40 cents at $11.50, with 456,367 stock units, Ciboney Group ended with a loss of 1 cent at $0.18, with 9,835 shares traded. Grace Kennedy ended 50 cents higher at $42.50, with 7,396 units, Jamaica Broilers closed trading 50 cents higher at $18.50, with 18,060 stock units, Jamaica Producers gained 40 cents to end at $16, with 13,000 shares traded, Jamaica Stock Exchange ended trading with a loss of 5 cents at $7.20, with 4,000 units, JMMB Group finished trading at $27, with 180,823 units. Mayberry Investments finished trading 11 cents higher at $4.21, with 200 stock units, 1834 Investments concluded trading 10 cents higher at $1.35, with 3,110 units, PanJam Investment finished 60 cents higher at $38.60, with 485 shares, Portland JSX settled 25 cents higher at $9, with 4,760 units, Radio Jamaica ended trading at $1.15, with 688,353 stock units changing hands. Sagicor Group closed with a loss of $1.50 at $38.50, with 385,734 shares, Sagicor Real Estate Fund closed 75 cents higher at a 52 weeks’ closing high of $14, with 35,500 units, Scotia Group settled $1 higher at $53, trading 35,890 shares, Seprod exchanged 24,500 stock units at $30 nd Supreme Ventures ended trading at $12, with 33,492 stock units. In the main market preference segment, JMMB Group finished trading at $1.15, with 262,000 stock units, Sagicor Bank A preference share traded 1,350 units at $1.05 and the B share saw 9,000 units trading at $1.
In the US dollar market segment, JMMB Group 6% preference share finished at $1.10, with 10,000 shares Productivity Business traded 550 shares at 60 US cents, Proven Investments closed with 483,576 units trading at 23.5 US cents and Sterling Investments traded just 100 shares at a 52 weeks’ high of 12 US cents after rising 1 cent.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Major stocks surge to new record

NCB helped push JSE to record close on Tuesday.

The JSE All Jamaican Composite Index made another big move in another attempt in breaking away from resistance around the 300,000 points levels, advancing by 2,135.19 points to close at 302,498.35 The JSE Index advanced by 1,945.40 points to a record close of 275,610.21.
NCB Financial with 611,333 units trading jumped to $93 at the close, along with Scotia Group that traded just 9,271 units to close higher at $52 were two of the main contributors to the day’s rise in the market indices.
The Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange finished trading on Tuesday with 23 securities changing hands, 12 advanced, 4 declined and 7 traded firm with 4,504,312 units valued at 68,391,852 compared to 94,545,441 units valued at 1,119,081,050 on Thursday. In the US dollar market, trading just 1 security accounted for 102,838 units with a value of $24,009 and the JSE US dollar Equities Index closing with a modest loss of 0.70 points to 183.66.
Trading ended with an average of 142,884 units for an average of $3,108,721, in contrast to 204,741 units for an average of $3,108,721 Friday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 2,085,099 units valued at an average of $28,710,794 and 2,279,320 units valued at $31,266,958 previously. In contrast, September closed with average of 536,395 units at $1,905,441 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading in the main and US dollar markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 10 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 with lower offers.
Berger Paints resumed trading but with ne official report on the out turn of the acceptance of the offer by investors, the stock closed at $11.50 after 248,769 units were traded.

Another reord close for JSE

The Jamaica Stock Exchange all Jamaica Composite Index close at yet another record with a rise of 2,135.19 points to 302,498.35 on Monday.
The JSE Index jumped 2,198.62 points to close at 285,647.03 as NCB Financial closed at $91 with 611,333 shares changing hands. Berger Paints resumed trading with 248,769 shares changing hands as the price closed at $11.50 and Scotia Group rose to close at $52.

with todays close and NCB Financial closing with limited supply, the market could be moving away from the recent short term resistance and heading for the next at 360,000 points.

6M Berger shares taken up?

Trading in Berger Paints shares are now trading after trading was suspended two Thursdays ago.

Trading has resumed in Berger Paints after it was suspended ahead of the closing date for the offer by Ansa Coatings to acquire the minority shares at $10.88.
Trading took place between $11 and $11.50 with 213,774 units changing hands. So far the company has not released information on the number of shares that were offered as a result of the offer. IC Insider.com gathers that the take up is around 6 million units, if so it would represent around 3 percent of the issued capital of the company.
this would be in keeping with some of the to minority shareholders coming out publicly against the offer price and with more than 31 percent of the holdings held by entities that were not in support of the offer.

Access & NCB in TOP 10

NCB Financial Group enters TOP 10

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange closed at new record high on Friday, the seond week in a row that it doing so and in the process the all Jamaica Composite Index broke the 300,000 mark for the first time.
While the main market is making new highs, with gains of 43 percent for 2017, the junior market with gains of 30 percent at its peak this year, is now up just 12 percent for the year to date. Access Financial returned to the Junior Market list and NCB Financial to the main market list even as the latter price moved back to $91 at the end of the week and with just 33,603 units being offered for sale.
Suspension of the trading in Berger Paints shares is expected lifted on Tuesday, October 17. At the time of this report, no information was available on the level of take up of the buyout offer for the minority of the company’s shares by Ansa Coatings. The stock that traded at $11.25 when trading was suspended, should climb with the March 2018 full year’s earnings should hit $2.30 per share.
Investors continue to switch attention from Junior Market, to main market stocks, with the latter having pierced resistance around 300,000 points on the all Jamaica Composite Index could now be heading much higher as it moves on to the next major resistance at 360,000 point range on or before the end of the year.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for the Junior Market Top stocks is at 7.9 and a PE at 7.1 for the main market TOP 10. The average PE for the overall main market trades at 13.5 and 13.1 for Junior Market, based on 2017 estimated earnings.
At the close of the week, IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 40 percent to the average of the market for Junior Market Top stocks and it remains at 47 percent for the main market.

All Jamaica cracks 300,000 for first time

Jamaica Stock Exchange all Jamaica Index closes above 300,000 on Friday.

The JSE All Jamaican Composite Index surged 5,376.82 points to close above the 300,000 points level for the first time, as JMMB Group, NCB Financial and Scotia Group recorded strong gains and pushed the index to a record close at 300,363.16.
The JSE Index jumped 4,898.89 points to close at a record 273,664.81 and in the US dollar market the USD Equities Index closed at 184.36.
Come Tuesday, when trading resumes it will be interesting to see how NCB trades since the stock closed at the equivalent of $100 in Trinidad on Thursday. At the close on Friday, there were only 33,603 units on offer for the stock. A break out of NCB is likely to see the market moving decisively away from the resistance, around the 300,000 points level. On Tuesday, Berger Paints that was suspended pending the closure of the Ansa Coating mandatory buyout offer, at the end of the day there were information on the out-turn of the offer.
Trading on the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange finished on Friday with 22 securities changing hands, 7 advanced, 6 declined and 11 traded firm with 4,504,312 units valued at $68,391,852 compared to 94,545,441 units valued at $1,119,081,050 on Thursday. In the US dollar market 425,898 units traded for a value of US$102,239 for two securities.
Trading ended with an average of 204,741 units for an average of $3,108,721 in contrast to 4,110,671 units for an average of $48,655,698 on Thursday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 2,279,320 units valued at $30,989,186 and an average of 2,498,747 units at $34,245,233, previously. In contrast, September closed with average of 283,480 units at $3,630,990 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading in the main and US dollar markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 7 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 with lower offers.

Stinking Berger behaviour

There are some strange and shocking developments regarding the offer by Ansa Coatings International to purchase the minority shares in Berger Paints Jamaica.
First the directors in recommending that shareholders accept the offer made critical claims that are not back up by facts and they offer no information to support same. Secondly, the shares have been suspended in questionable manner and without adequate reasons.
The directors in recommending that shareholders accept the offer said,” in your directors view, it is highly likely that acceptance of the offer will take the aggregate holdings of ACI beyond 80 percent. Under the rules of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, where one shareholder either individually or collectively with concert parties holds more than 80 percent of the listed shares of a company, the stock exchange has the right to de-list such company. In fact the offeror has made it clear its intention to delist the Berger Shares.” The directors’ recommendation goes on to quote ACI statement that they will seek delisting if they acquire an additional 29 percent of the shares. “It is therefore clear that Berger Jamaica shares will in all probability be delisted from the JSE,” the directors’ statement concluded.
According to the directors, Ansa Coatings International controls 51.01 percent of the issued Berger Jamaica’s shares and as a result of this Offer, its holding will most likely exceed 75 percent.
It seems that for the recommendation to shareholders to be substantially based on the “highly likely that acceptance” taking the holdings of ACI beyond 80 percent and most likely exceed 75 percent, is highly flawed. Where did the directors get that information from and why did they not disclose the source in the recommendation. Why they did not think it appropriate to disclose the interim results figures up to August in the report?
At $10.88 per share, Berger is priced at 5 times the current years’ earnings against more than 13 for the main market, on what basis could it be regarded as a fair price?
The situation gets more curious and raises a huge question, is someone is trying to manipulate shareholders in giving away their shares at less than a fair price? That is the only conclusion to be arrived at, when without notice, the shares of Berger were without notice, suspended by the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Thursday, October 5, 2017 and is to remain suspended to Friday, October 13, 2017. According to a release late on Thursday, “this is to facilitate the processing of the transaction in respect to shareholders of the Company who have agreed to sell their shares to Asna Coating, as a part of their Takeover Bid of Berger.” That of course is a load of crap. Trading shares of Desnoes and Geddes a much bigger company was never suspended when Heineken acquired the minority shares in 2016, Hardware and Lumber shares were never suspended either, nor was Scotia Investments’ in Scotia Group’s recent acquisition of the minority shares. Why is there a need to prevent Berger shareholders who want to trade the shares if they so desire? Worse why is there need to suspend it beyond Monday?
The capital market cannot prosper as well as it should if the above abuses continue to take place without corrective action being taken. The Jamaica Stock Exchange and the Financial Services Commission should have intervened when the directors’ recommendation included information that was not backed up by facts and should have intervened and prevented the unwarranted suspension of trading in the company’s shares.

Big run for Jamaican stocks coming

JSE Main market showing next major resistance around the 360,000 point level on the al Jamaica Index

The current state of the Jamaican stock market in one of contrast with the main market hitting 5 days of record close and with gains of 40 percent for the year to date and Junior Market that was up 31 percent in May is now up just 14 percent.
With stability present in the forex market for the Jamaican dollar, lower interest rates being paid on money market funds and with business confidence at record high levels, funds are now moving into the main market stocks with less interest being shown in the Junior Market.
Prices in the US dollar market have come off, after the index was up 63 percent at 268.73 points in February, up from 164.50 at the start of the year, but it is only up 12 percent now with the index at 184.86 points at the close of trading on Friday.

Jamaica Main market stocks itching to break out of channel that stretches back to 2014

The Junior Market was driven up by excessive buying that drove a number of the stocks to excessive valuations which the market has been correcting for, resulting in the sharp pull back from the all-time high, even then there are some that are still overvalued based on the average valuation of other stocks. The market still has several undervalued stocks but the focus on the bigger and more liquid main market is sucking some energy from the junior ones.
Based on estimated 2017 earnings, the average PE of the junior and main markets are just over 13 times earnings. The main market has more than half of the market trading below this level. Included in the list are Berger Paints with a PE of just 5, Caribbean Cement at 6, Jamaica Broilers 7, JMMB Group at 8, Grace Kennedy, NCB Financial and Sagicor Group at 10. The market has Jamaica Producers selling at 32 times 2017 earnings and Kingston Wharves at 27 times earnings with Kingston Properties at a rich 36 times and are clearly overvalued currently. Jamaica Stock Exchange and 138 Student Living at 22 are well ahead of the market average.

Junior Market under pressure, testing support around 2,900 points.

In the Junior Market Medical Disposables is priced at 6 times earnings, General Accident 6, Caribbean Producers 7, Stationery and Office Supplies, Caribbean Cream and Main Event at 10. Just under half of Junior Market stocks are trading blow the market average with about 25 percent well above the average.
Technical reading| The main market broke through major resistance for the second time since September at 290,000 points, that has its genesis in 1992 and connecting in 2005. The market faces some short term resistance around 300,000 points which should be broken through before long ahead of moving to the next sort term resistance around 360,000 points with 505,000 on the all Jamaica Index, the next big stop. The market has been trading in a distinct upward sloping channel from mid-2014 until now and seems set to break out and move higher.
The Junior Market chart is a big contrast to that of the main market.

Wigton Wind farm should list on the JSE main market in early 2017 with a large capitalization

While the latter is clearly heading higher with new highs being created, the Junior Market index is flashing negative signals. The market has formed a head and shoulder pattern which is a negative signal and the short term 45 days moving average has broken through both the medium term 200 days moving average and longer term moving averages. The market has broken through the channel that it has been trading in since late 2015. There appear to be support around the 2,900 points level but it could go down to 2,800 points where the next support is and it will left to be seen 2,900 points will be the floor ahead of third quarter results that could change the course of the movement.
With just over 2 months for the year to end investors should start to have an eye open for major factors that could make big differences to earnings in 2018 when making investment assessment now. Some of these are, more reduction in interest rates, continued strong foreign exchange growth, low inflation, increased construction activity, increased activity in the tourism sector and of course the potential for several new listings to come to market between now and then. IC Insider.com is aware of 8 such potential listings. The list include, Wigton Wind Farm, Jamaica Public Service as a result of Government of Jamaica’s planned sale of its 20 percent share in the company, Neveast Stationery, KIW International, a relatively new business in Montego Bay and a large manufacturing business, operating out of St Catherine.