Republic is going higher soon

Trinidad’s Republic Financial Holdings should be heading higher on Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange, sooner than many investors may think.
One reason is that the financial powerhouse, just posted pretty strong results, with profit before taxation rising a healthy 22 percent, to $490 million in the March quarter and a still respectable 14 percent for the half year. Increased taxation wiped out a bit a of the top line gains leaving profit at 3 percent higher for the quarter at $333 million and an increase of 4 percent at $694 million, for the half year. The improvement arose from slightly lower cost in the current year than for the previous one and an overall 8 percent increase in net income for the quarter to $1.17 billion from $1.08 billion in 2017 and 4 percent rise year to date to $2.34 billion. Earnings per share rose to $4.02 for the half year from $3.90 and compares favourably with $7.75 million reported for the fiscal year to September 2017 and gives it a PE around 12 on 2018 full year earnings and Friday’s closing price of $101,
Improvement was generated by the bank in Ghana, where that subsidiary moved from a small loss of just over $1 million to a profit of $68 million and the Cayman Islands’ operations that moved from a profit of $82 million to $113 million. Barbados also should marked improvement with profit of $149 million compared to $111 million before.
Helping the performance is increased lending, with loans rising from $34.4 billion at March 2017 to $37.4 million in 2018, a solid 9 percent increase.
The other factor why the stock price is set to move, is that the it peaked at $122 in 2014 and slid downward since and seems to have found a bottom. Added to that, is a wedge formation showing in a technical chart of its price movement that seems set to steer the price upwards in the months ahead.
IC Insider.com would normally give the stock a BUY RATED accolade, concerns linger about the Trinidad economy from which it earns the vast majority of income and profit, and what is seen as an overvalued currency.

Note that all prices are in Trinidad & Tobago dollar.

John Burbank for Destination Experience

John Burbank

Hedge Fund Investor, John Burbank for is slated to be one of the presenters Destination Experience annual Jamaica conference.
Destination Experience announced speaker, John Burbank, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Passport Capital for their upcoming Visionaries’ Summit, May 17-19 2018 in Kingston. Burbank founded Passport in 2000 with less than $1 million and shot to fame based on his lucrative bet against subprime mortgages in 2006 ahead of the global financial crisis. His fund made 220 percent the following year, as global markets were in their slow drift towards collapse. Passport Capital’s assets hit a peak of about $5 billion before a globally challenging period for hedge funds in 2017. As the Wall Street Journal describes him, “he made his name buying up credit default swaps ahead of the financial crisis, resulting in a more-than 200% gain for his main fund in 2007. That year, he made $370 million personally, Forbes estimated.”
They have now shifted their primary focus to cryptocurrencies while also operating their Special Opportunities Fund. Burbank is very bullish on cryptocurrencies in the future, and has taken a substantial position in Overstock.com (NASDAQ:OSTK) and counterpart tZero, which raised US$100 million in presale for its US$250 million ICO this year. Overstock has vociferously embraced cryptocurrency in recent times and is run by Dr. Patrick Byrne, its Founder and Chairman. Byrne attended The Destination Experience Visionaries’ Summit in 2017 and predicted a boom in cryptocurrencies that ensued that year in his presentation. Those who bought into his vision made tremendous returns. Burbank is also a strong advocate of the potential embedded within crypto-assets and anticipates that Blockchain technology is going to drive rapid change in every macro sector in the world.
Burbank’s wealth of experience in macroeconomic analysis and quantitative tools, as well as his experiences in exploring crypto-assets stand to offer significant value to our financial services sector.

JSE main market climbs on Friday

Stocks closed much higher on the Jamaica Stock Exchange main market on Friday than on Thursday as the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index increased by 96.51 points to 325,799.33 and the JSE Index advanced by 87.93 points to 296,840.01.
At the close, 25 securities traded, compared to 26 on Thursday and ended with the prices of 7 stocks rising, 11 falling and 8 trading firm, in the main and US dollar markets.
At the close of trading, Kingston Properties gained $1.39 to $6.64, Kingston Wharves fell $1.45 to $48.05, NCB Financial rose $2 to $97 after the banking group posted increased profit for the six months to March and Portland JSX jumped $1.89 on positive year end results.
Main market activity ended with 22,131,577 units valued at $314,568,605 compared to 6,955,242 units valued at over $271,269,169 on Thursday. At the close of trading Wisynco Group ended with 8,307,655 units and accounted for 37.54 percent of the day’s volume followed by Ciboney Group with 7,063,873 units and 31.92 percent of the volume and Sagicor Group closed with 4,907,816 units and 22.18 percent of the day’s volume.
Trading resulted in an average of 922,149 units valued at an average of $13,107,025 for each security traded. In contrast to 289,802 units valued at an average of $11,302,882 on Thursday. The average for the month to date is 723,010 shares with a value of $5,999,413 and previously 713,135 shares with a value of $5,603,629.

NCB closed $2 higher on Friday.

In contrast, March closed with an average of 626,526 units with an average value at $20,492,207 for each security traded.
Trading in the US dollar market, ended with Proven Investments falling 3 cents to 22 US cents trading 183,095 units on Friday and leaving the Market index down 13.44 points to 164.44.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 11 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 1 closing with a lower offers.
For more details of market activities see – Trading on JSE main market elevated – Friday.

Trading elevated on JSE main market – Friday

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Bulls may be lurching to pounce on Jamaican stocks.

Trading on the Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Friday ended with 24 securities changing hands, resulting in 22,131,577 units valued at $314,568,605 trading leading to a rise in the market indices.
The main market closed with 9 securities rising, 8 declining and 7 trading firm, as the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index increased by 727.45 points to 326,526.78 and the JSE Index advanced 662.79 points to close at 297,502.80.
In market activity, Barita Investments lost 25 cents and closed at $10, with 11,890 shares, Berger Paints ended at $19.05, with 25,531 stock units, Carreras concluded trading at $10.60, with 415,364 units, after rising 25 cents, Caribbean Cement lost 1 cents and finished at $37.99, with 7,555 shares, Ciboney Group fell 3 cents to 10 cents with 7,063,873 shares trading. Grace Kennedy ended trading at $49, with 32,450 shares, Jamaica Broilers traded with a rise of 50 cents at $21, exchanging 44,397 stock units, Jamaica Producers climbed 49 cents and finished trading 8,514 units at $16.99, Jamaica Stock Exchange closed at $6.85, with 51,818 shares. JMMB Group gained 48 cents and ended at $26.98, with 77,600 shares, Kingston Properties spiked $1.39 to conclude trading at $6.64, with just 840 shares, Kingston Wharves finished with a fall of $1.45 to $48.05, trading 100,791 stock units, Mayberry Investments settled at $6.02, with 82,641 units changing hands. NCB Financial Group ended trading with a rise of $2 to $97, with 92,006 shares, with investors responding positively to the six months results. Portland JSX jumped $1.89 and ended at $10.40, with 82,924 units after the company posted a profit for 2018. Pulse Investments concluded trading at $1.79, with 1,085 shares, Sagicor Group settled at $37.60, with a rise of 10 cents after 4,907,816 shares traded and Sagicor Real Estate Fund settled at $15, with 20,000 shares. Scotia Group lost 50 cents to trade at $50, with 202,000 units, Seprod fell 77 cents and finished trading at $34.23, with 58,738 shares, Supreme Ventures lost 18 cents and ended at $11.57, with 297,625 shares, Victoria Mutual Investments concluded trading at $4.20, after losing 10 cents with 227,874 stock units and Wisynco Group finished at $10.69, up 19 cents with 8,307,655 units changing hands. In the main market preference segment, JMMB Group 7.5% finished at 99 cents, with 10,590 stock units changing hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place. For more details of market activities, see “JSE main market climbs on Friday.”

15 Junior Market stocks rise – Friday

A total of 15 securities rose on and only 4 fell on the Junior Market Index on Friday leading to a 22.8 4 points rise to close at 2,98.984 as 25 securities changed hands, up from 24 on Thursday.
Market activities closed, resulting in an exchange of 3,098,900 units valued at $16,170,025 as trading ended with the prices of 6 securities remaining unchanged.
Market activity ended with an average of 53,390 units for an average of $241,171 in contrast to 129,121 units for an average of $673,751 on Thursday. The average volume and value for the month to date, amounts to 125,902 units at $524,081 compared to 130,788 units at $543,145 on the prior trading day. March closed with an average of 149,999 units valued at $623,819, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator|At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows just 1 stock ending with the bid higher than the last selling price and 2 with lower offers.
At the close of the market, Access Financial closed at $47, with 500 shares, AMG Packaging ended 1 cent higher at $1.97, with 190,883 stock units, Blue Power concluded trading 2 cents higher at $36.85, with 15,000 units, Cargo Handlers settled with a rise of 30 cents at $10, with 1,500 shares, Caribbean Cream  ended trading 65 cents higher at $5.65, with 19,518 shares. Caribbean Producers finished trading at $5.40, with 3,720 units, Consolidated Bakeries closed at $1.95, with 108,300 shares, Dolphin Cove fell 1 cent at $17, with 1,626 stock units, Elite Diagnostic rose 5 cents $3.25, with 118,377 units. Express Catering traded 25 cents higher at $6, with 183,244 shares, after it traded at an intraday high of $6.05. FosRich Group finished trading at $2.35, with 31,770 shares, General Accident added 16 cents to end at $3.17, with 93,600 stock units, GWest Corporation ended with a loss of 2 cents at $2.45, exchanging 72,159 units. Iron Rock finished at $3.50, with 2,000 shares, ISP Finance settled $2.19 higher at $17.20, with 5,000 shares, Jetcon Corporation gained 14 cents at $4.30, with 111,436 units, Knutsford Express ended with a rise of 5 cents to $14, with 2,500 shares. Lasco Distributors concluded trading at $4.10, with 50,000 stock units, Lasco Financial finished 15 cents higher at $5.65, with 82,424 units, Lasco Manufacturing rose 34 cents to $4.49, with 13,118 shares, Main Event ended trading with a loss of 38 cents at $6.62, with 21,094 shares. Medical Disposables traded 50 cents higher at $5, with 375 shares, Paramount Trading finished trading with a loss of 3 cents at $3.05, while 5,700 stock units changed hands, Stationery and Office closed 1 cent higher at $5.99, with 200,458 units and tTech concluded trading after rising 21 cents to $6, with 460 shares changing hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Supreme Ventures Q1 profit jumps 49%

Profit jumped a sharp 49 percent in the quarter to March, to $618 million for Supreme Ventures from $416 million in 2017 from Sale revenues that rose 14 percent for the quarter, to $15.3 billion from $13.4 billion in 2017.
Improvement in profit margin in the in the quarter rose to 11 percent from just 6 percent in the 2017 to deliver a strong 40 percent in jump in gross to $1.7 billion, as operating cost climbed 12 percent, to $13.6 billion compared to the similar quarter in 2017.
Administrative and other expenses rose 34 percent to $903 million in the quarter from $674 million in 2017. Finance cost rose 76 percent in the quarter to $15.5 million from $8.8 million in 2017.

Supreme Ventures traded at $11.75 on the JSE on Friday.

Segment results showed mixed fortunes with Lottery showing sharp improvement in profit from $556 million to $796 million Gaming moved from a profit of $21 million to a loss of just 42 million. Horse racing losses more than doubled to $40 million from $19 million Sports betting loss fell to just $3.7 million and Pin Codes profit fell from $32 million to $23 million.
Earnings per share rose to 23.5 cents for the quarter, from 16 cents in the 2017 quarter.
Gross cash flow brought in $686 million but addition to fixed assets offset by loan inflows, tax payment and of $443 million and paying $527 million dividends led to a small net cash outflow leaving cash and equivalent at $2.25 billion.
At the end of March, shareholders’ equity stands at $3.2 billion with borrowings at just $504 million. Current assets ended the period at $5.7 billion well over current liabilities of $2 billion.
The stock traded at $11.75 on the Jamaica Stock Exchange with a PE ratio of 12 times 2018 earnings.

Trading activity picks up on TTSE – Friday

Market activity on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange ended on Friday with trading in 16 securities against 12 on Thursday, with 5 advancing, 3 declining and 8 remaining unchanged.
Trading ended with 833,223 shares at a value of $20,721,197 compared to 386,288 shares at a value of $3,996,908 on Thursday.
At close of the market the, Composite Index rose 0.48 points on Friday to 1,230.21, the All T&T Index gained 2.77 points to 1,696.97, while the Cross Listed Index declined 0.26 points to close at 102.75.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows the market continuing to be weak as it closed with 3 stocks ending with higher bids than the last selling prices and 4 with lower offers, an indication of the continuation of a weak market currently.
Gains| Guardian Holdings added 29 cents and completed trading at $15.30, after exchanging 22,885 shares, NCB Financial Group increased 5 cents and settled at $5.55, after trading 54,745 shares, Republic Financial Holdings rose 1 cent and concluded market activity at $101.59, with 8,656 stock units changing hands, Scotiabank closed with a gain of 26 cents and completed trading at a 52 weeks’ high of $63.01, after exchanging 50,000 shares and Trinidad & Tobago NGL gained 5 cents and ended at $27.90, with 106,860 units changing hands.
Losses| Ansa Mcal ended trading 1 cent lower at $59.79, with 75,100 units, JMMB Group concluded trading with a loss of 10 cents at $1.80, with 101,555 stock units changing hands and One Caribbean Media traded with a loss of 3 cents and concluded at a 52 weeks’ low of $12.40, with 100,000 stock units changing hands.
Firm Traded| Ansa Merchant completed trading at $40, after exchanging 147 shares, Clico Investments ended at $20.15, with 41,200 units, First Citizens settled at $32.55, after exchanging 3,208 shares, National Enterprises ended at $9.65, with 1,400 units, National Flour completed trading at $1.80, in exchanging 9,602 shares, Prestige Holdings completed trading at $10.01, with 4,000 shares, Sagicor Financial ended at $7.80, with 202,395 units and West Indian Tobacco concluded trading at $88.55, with 51,470 stock units changing hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

More recovery for Jamaican$ – Friday

The Jamaica dollar gained further ground at the close of foreign currency trading on Friday against the US and the Canadian dollars and the euro as volumes increased over the previous week.
Dealers bought US$201 million in all currencies, up from US$191 million bought in the previous week and sold US$217 million, compared to US$210 million in the prior week. Actual US dollar purchases by dealers amounted to US$178 million from US$166 million in the prior week and sold US$190 million including US$15 sold to Bank of Jamaica in the BFXITT auction, compared to US$184 million previously.
Inflows of all currencies amounted to the equivalent US$35.26 million compared to US$34.79 million bought on Thursday and sold US$37.86 million compared to US$31.28 million sold on Thursday.
At the close of foreign currency trading, dealers sold US$29.69 million, 4 cents less than on Thursday with the US dollar selling rate closing at J$125.53, compared to J$125.57 in the sale of US$27.16 million on Thursday. Purchases of the US currency by dealers, amounted to US$29.47 million, with the average rate dropping 55 cents to $123.75, compared to US$32.90 million, with the average rate of $124.30 on Thursday.
At mid-day on Friday dealers purchased US$8.2 million at an average rate of J$124.37 and sold $7.46 million at an average of J$125.44. At mid-day on the previous trading day, dealers purchased US$12.17 million at an average rate of J$124.70 and sold $7.66 million at an average of J$125.49.
The Jamaican dollar closed trading, with the selling rate for the Canadian dollar, declining to J$100.96 from J$101.70 at the close on Thursday. The selling rate for the British Pound rose to J$174.7 from J$173.57 previously and the euro fell versus the Jamaican dollar to J$152.09 to buy the European common currency, versus the prior selling rate of J$152.63.

Sygnus Credit priced for a bounce

Sygnus Credit Investments is offering 90,909,091 ordinary shares in two classes in the the company at J$13.72 for shares denominated in Jamaican dollar and 11 US cents for the US dollar ordinary shares. 

The issues are to be partially underwritten up to the equivalent of US$5 million by Sagicor Investments. If all shares are taken up in the IPO there will be 250,178,614 ordinary shares issued. The prospectus list the current yield on the portfolio of invested funds at 10.3 percent. In the event that of oversubscriptions, the issuer has the right to upsize the amount to be accepted.
Subscription list opens 9 am on May 2 and is scheduled to close on May 16 if not closed earlier.
The capital structure of the company and the choice of investing funds will tend to result in a return closer to fixed interest levels, but likely higher than some bank lending rates, in the short to medium term as such investors should be looking for steady growth but relatively high dividend payments in the medium term. The falling interest rates on Jamaican dollar money market instrument will make the dividend payment very attractive source of income.
Sygnus Credit Investments is a specialty private credit investment company, dedicated to providing non-traditional financing to medium-sized firms across the wider Caribbean region. These companies typically have revenues between US$5 million and US$25 million.
The investment objective of the Company is to generate attractive risk adjusted returns with an emphasis on principal protection, by generating current income, and to a lesser extent capital appreciation, through investments primarily in Portfolio Companies using private credit instruments.
In 2017, the Company raised US$16 million in equity from 44 investors, with more than half the capital raised from institutional investors. The top 5 largest institutional holders invested $8.5 million and owns 52.9 percent of the Issued Shares. The fund raised was used to capitalize the company and invest in Portfolio Companies. The targeted investment types include bilateral notes and bonds, preference shares, asset backed debt, mezzanine debt, convertible debt and other forms of structured private credit instruments. These types of financing are typically more aligned with the growth and expansion plans of Portfolio Companies.
The company intends to pay out up to 85 percent of its net income as dividends to shareholders, payable on a quarterly basis. The target dividend yield is over 7 percent on the IPO price.
At December 2017, SCI had US$16.7 million in assets and generated net profits of US$660,855. The value of investment in Portfolio Companies was US$11.6 million, generating a yield of 10.3 percent.
Sygnus Capital Management, the Investment Manager, seeded SCI with US$540,000 and owns 3.4 percent of the issued shares. In total, Sygnus Capital Management and Sygnus related parties invested US$1.04 million and owns 6.5 percent of the Issued Shares.
Earnings for 2019 fiscal year could be around J$1-1.2 per share and that could send the stock to between $15 and $20 within twelve months. Returns could be greater if they use borrowed funds to meet some of the demand they have for funding. According to Jason Morris they intend to use borrowed funds once they have used up the equity now being raised. Book Value per Share was 10.5 US cents at the end of 2017.
Thirty-eight-point-nine percent of the fair value of the Company’s investment in Portfolio Companies was denominated in Jamaican dollars. For the period ending December 31, 2017, appreciation of the Jamaican dollar versus the US dollar resulted in Net Foreign Exchange Gains of US$247,705, this gain which flows through the income statement, may be reversed in future periods, and may affect Net Profit.
The Company currently has a robust pipeline of US$31.4 million in deals to finance, of which US$3.2 million has been approved, US$12.3 million has been mandated and US$15.9 million are at various stages of prospecting.

JSE main market ekes out modest rise – Thursday

Stocks closed slightly higher on the Jamaica Stock Exchange main market on Thursday than on Wednesday with the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index increasing 96.51 points to 325,799.33 and the JSE Index rising 87.93 points to 296,840.01.
At the close, 26 securities traded, compared to 26 on Wednesday and ended with the prices of 7 stocks rising, 11 falling and 8 trading firm, in the main and US dollar markets.
At the close of trading, JMMB Group fell 75 cents to $26.50, Kingston Wharves jumped $3.50 to $49.50, NCB Financial Group ended with the day’s highest volume with a loss of $1.50 to $95 and Scotia Group lost $1.49 to end at $50.50.
Main market activity ended with 6,955,242 units valued at $271,269,169 changing hands compared to 14,655,576 units valued at $227,353,346 on Wednesday. At the close of trading, NCB Financial Group ended with 2,259,648 units representing 32.49 percent of the day’s volume, followed by Ciboney Group with 1,630,930 units and 23.45 percent of the volume traded and Wisynco Group closed with 1,609,916 units, accounting for 23.15 percent of the overall volume.
Trading resulted in an average of 289,802 units valued at an average of $11,302,882 for each security traded. In contrast to 563,676 units for an average of $8,744,359 on Wednesday. The average for the month to date is 713,135 shares with a value of $5,603,629 and previously 735,222 shares with a value of $4,951,259. In contrast, March closed with an average of 626,526 units with an average value at $20,492,207 for each security traded.
Traded in the US dollar market ended with 14,950 units valued at $4,941 as Productivity Business increased 2 cents and ended at 58 US cents with 4,400 shares traded and Proven Investments rose 1 cent to 23 US cents trading 10,500 units. The Market rose 5.71 points to close at 177.88.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 9 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 4 with lower offers.
For more details of market activities see – JSE main market volume remains elevated – Thursday.

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