Caribbean Producers (CPJ) returns to the TOP10 after a long period of absence, following the fall out of Berger Paints from the Main market Top10, even as CPJ earnings are based on June 2023 full year earnings with the company is yet to release these results.
Preliminary projection indicates earnings of $2.50 per share for the 2024 fiscal year that would put the stock into the third position on the TOP10 list. Until the full year results are in, the estimate for the 2023 year is used.
The Main and Junior markets closed the week with moderate changes in market indices, with a slight fall in the Junior Market and a modest increase in the other.
The Main and Junior markets closed the week with moderate changes in market indices, with a slight fall in the Junior Market and a modest increase in the other.
The Junior Market had one stock rising 10 percent and two falling 12 and 10 percent, with more modest changes in most of the rest. The Main Market had one stock climbing 10 percent and one falling 6 percent as the largest movers.
Caribbean Cream the leading mover in the Junior Market ICTOP10, climbed 10 percent to $4.15, followed by Edufocal rising 4 percent to $1.45. Iron Rock Insurance was the worst performer, falling 12 percent to $2.10 and was followed by general Accident, down 10 percent to $4.43, while Caribbean Assurance Brokers slipped just 4 percent to $2.87.
Berger Paints rose 10 percent to $7.76 in the Main Market, followed by Guardian Holdings with a 4 percent rise to $439.80, JMMB Group also gained 4 percent to close the week at $28.79, but 138 Student Living fell 6 percent to $4.35 and Caribbean Cement fell 4 percent to $50.
Investors should note that Margaritaville is listed on both the Main and USD markets, with similar values.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.2, well below the market average of 12.6. The Main Market TOP10 is projected to have an average of 322 percent, to May 2024, based on 2023 forecasted earnings.
The 2most highly valued Main Market stocks, representing 26 percent of the Main Market, are priced at a PE of 15 to 100, with an average of 31 and 20 excluding the highest PE ratios, with a PE of 23for the top half and 17excluding the stocks with the highest PEs.
The Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.4 compared with the market at 10.7. There are 10 stocks representing 21 percent of the market, with PEs from 15 to 38, averaging 20, well above the market’s average. The top half of the market has an average PE of 15, possibly the lowest fair value for Junior Market stocks currently, and is projected to rise by 271 percent to May 2024.
The divergence between the average PE ratio of the Main and Junior Markets and the overall market valuation are important indicators of the likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks.
The markets are not bullish, but there continue to be cases of slow upward movements in some prices as investors respond to some recent attractive results, leading them to quietly nibble away at a number of stocks, gradually reducing the supply of a number of them that are attractively priced. The list includes, Access Financial, AMG Packaging, Everything Fresh, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Cream, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Lasco Distributors and Lasco Manufacturing, Main Event and Transjamaican Highway.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market, but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks will likely deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2024 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Archives for August 2023
CPJ returns to ICTOP10
Lasco Manufacturing continues on growth path
Lasco Manufacturing‘s performance for the June 2023 quarter was subdued, with pretax profit rising a respectable 28 percent to $721 million and by 27 percent after tax to $526 million versus $414 million in 2022 from revenues of $2.83 billion, 7 percent more than 2022 sales of $2.6 billion, but that was slower growth than the profit for the 2023 fiscal year that jumped 37 percent after tax to $2 billion from revenues that rose 19 percent to $11.24 billion.
The 2023 full year results reflect a greater level of rebound from the declines suffered following the fallout in the economy as a result of the advent of covid-19 and, in particular, the fallout in the global market with higher input costs that flowed from supply disruptions as well as tourism sector that were still recovering during the 2023 fiscal year that ended in March.
Helped by a reduction in the cost of inputs, the cost of goods sold rose well below the growth in revenues by just 3 percent to $1.76 billion from $1.7 billion in 2022 and gross profit rose 19 percent to $1.07 billion from $898 million. Administrative costs rose 8 percent from $332.4 million to $360 million. Depreciation slipped 2 percent to $66.7 million, while finance cost was negligible at just $3 million.
The operations generated gross cash flow of $775 million, which grew to $960 million after movements in working capital.
Current assets ended the period at $9 billion inclusive of trade and other receivables of $2.77 billion, down from $3.35 billion in 2022 and Investment and bank balances of $4.1 billion, up from $1.8 billion in 2022.
Current liabilities ended the period at $1.68 billion. Net current assets ended the period at $7.38 billion, up from $5.25 billion in 2022.
At the end of June, shareholders’ equity amounts to $11.65 billion, up from $9.5 billion in 2022, with borrowings at just $122 million.
Earnings per share for the quarter was 13 cents, while a dividend of 12 cents per share was paid in July, totalling $490 million. The company usually pays one dividend per annum, so this is likely to be the last payment until 2024, but with profits on the rise, the next payment seems set to be increased.
IC Insider.com computation projects earnings of 70 cents per share for the fiscal year ending March 2024, with a PE of 7.4 times the current year’s earnings based on the price of $5.35, the stock traded recently on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market. The PE compares favourably with an average of 11 for the Junior Market, an indication that the stock price will be heading higher going forward. Net asset value ended the period at $2.83, with the stock selling at just under twice book value.
Trading skids on JSE USD Market
Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange US dollar market ended on Friday, following a 72 percent fall in the volume of stocks changing hands with a 56 percent lower value than on Thursday, resulting in four securities being traded, compared to six on Thursday with one rising and three declining.
A total of 109,502 shares were exchanged for US$16,272 compared to 389,899 units at US$37,298 on Thursday.
Trading averaged 27,376 shares at US$4,068 compared with 64,983 units at US$6,216 on Thursday, with a month to date average of 51,787 shares at US$3,757 compared with 52,601 units at US$3,747 on the previous day. July ended with an average of 95,306 units for US$2,965.
The US Denominated Equities Index fell 2.01 points to end at 238.19.
The PE Ratio, a measure used in computing appropriate stock values, averages 8.7. The PE ratio is computed based on the last traded price divided by projected earnings done by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending between November 2023 and August 2024.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows no stock ending with a bid higher than the last selling price and one with a lower offer.
At the close, MPC Caribbean Clean Energy declined 4 cents to 53 US cents, with investors exchanging 292 shares, Proven Investments gained 0.2 of a cent and ended at 14.8 US cents in exchanging 108,621 stocks, Sygnus Credit Investments dipped 1.43 cents to 9.06 US cents, with 477 stock units changing hands and Transjamaican Highway dropped 0.05 of a cent in closing at 1.7 US cents in an exchange of 112 units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Trading drops on Trinidad stock market
Trading ended on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange on Friday, with the volume of stocks traded skidding 91 percent and the value diving 75 percent below Thursday’s levels, resulting from trading in 22 securities compared with 21 on Thursday, with five stocks rising, six declining and 11 remaining unchanged.
Investors exchanged 140,206 shares for $3,469,318 versus 1,636,883 stock units at $13,787,664 on Thursday.
An average of 6,373 units were traded at $157,696 compared with 77,947 shares at $656,555 on Thursday, with trading month to date averaging 15,398 units at $211,376 compared to 16,044 units at $215,222 on the previous day. The average trade for July ended at 36,525 shares at $302,493.
The Composite Index rallied 5.95 points to end at 1,222.95, the All T&T Index dropped 2.38 points to finish at 1,858.43, the SME Index ended at 69.28 and the Cross-Listed Index advanced 2.08 points to 75.98.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close, Agostini’s ended at $68 in an exchange of 783 shares, Angostura Holdings climbed 23 cents to $22.98 after a transfer of 10 units, Ansa McAl remained at $54.40 and closed with 17,580 stocks being traded. Calypso Macro Investment Fund gained 20 cents to close at $22 after exchanging 11 stock units, First Citizens Bank ended at $49, with 521 stocks crossing the market, FirstCaribbean International Bank ended at $7 with investors trading 1,408 shares. GraceKennedy shed 1 cent to close at $3.34 in an exchange of 450 units, Guardian Media declined 15 cents in closing at $2 in switching ownership of 4,132 stock units, JMMB Group rallied 4 cents to $1.34 with a transfer of 26 units. L.J. Williams B share ended at $2.59, with 990 stocks changing hands, Massy Holdings skidded 2 cents to end at $4.68 with traders dealing in 10,458 stock units, National Enterprises remained at $3.75, with 1,779 shares crossing the exchange. NCB Financial rose 25 cents to close at $3.25 with stakeholders exchanging 2,891 shares, One Caribbean Media gained 9 cents to close at $3.74, with 26,000 units crossing the market, Point Lisas ended at $3.60 after an exchange of 334 stock units. Prestige Holdings remained at $7.85 with investors dealing in 500 stocks, Republic Financial fell 5 cents to $125.95 as investors exchanged 13,719 stocks, Scotiabank ended at $74 while exchanging 309 stock units. Trinidad & Tobago NGL lost 10 cents in closing at $14.90 with investors swapping 8,773 stock units, Trinidad Cement remained at $3.10 after an exchange of 21,830 shares, Unilever Caribbean ended at $11.99 with investors transferring 1,035 shares and West Indian Tobacco skidded 10 cents to close at $11, with 26,667 stock units clearing the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Stocks slipped on JSE USD Market
Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange US dollar market ended on Thursday, with the volume of stocks changing hands rising 756 percent, valued 158 percent more than on Wednesday, resulting in six securities traded, compared to six on Wednesday with one rising, three declining and two ending unchanged.
A total of 389,899 shares were traded for US$37,298 compared to 45,555 stock units at US$14,460 on Wednesday.
Trading averaged 64,983 shares at US$6,216 versus 7,593 units at US$2,410 on Wednesday, with a month to date average of 52,601 shares at US$3,747 compared with 51,949 units at US$3,617 on the previous day. Trading in July ended with an average of 95,306 units for US$2,965.
The US Denominated Equities Index dipped 1.20 points to close at 240.16.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute stock values, averages 8.9. The PE ratio is calculated based on the last traded price divided by projected earnings done by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending between November 2023 and August 2024.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows no stock ended with a bid higher than the last selling price and two with lower offers.
At the close, First Rock Real Estate USD share remained at 4 US cents in an exchange of 4 shares, Margaritaville climbed 0.4 of a cent in closing at 11.5 US cents in trading 100,001 stocks, MPC Caribbean Clean Energy declined 8 cents to 57 US cents and closed with an exchange of 682 units. Proven Investments shed 0.2 of a cent to end at 14.6 US cents, with 157,209 stock units changing hands, Sygnus Credit Investments fell 0.31 of a cent to 10.49 US cents, with 1,734 units being traded and Transjamaican Highway ended at 1.75 US cents with traders dealing in 130,269 stocks.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.