Modest price changes on TTSE – Tuesday

Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange Head Quarters

All three main indices of the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange, closed higher on Tuesday, with the Composite Index fell 0.52 points to 1,218.30, the All T&T Index rose 0.89 points to 1,690.25, while the Cross Listed Index shed 0.27 points to close at 100.33.
At close, 16 securities changed hands, with the price of 3 rising, 3 declining and 10 remaining unchanged, against 11 trading on Friday.
The market ended trading of just 562,645 shares valued $7,567,683, compared to 116,235 shares valued $1,984,887 changing hands on Friday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading closed with 2 stocks ending with higher bids than the last selling prices and 3 with lower offers.
Stocks closing with gains|Sagicor Financial advanced 5 cents and ended at $7.75, with 10,750 stock units changing hands, Trinidad Cement gained 6 cents and settled at $2.86, after exchanging 13,255 shares and West Indian Tobacco closed 10 cents higher at $88.55, with 1,946 units trading.
Stocks closing with losses| JMMB Group fell 5 cents and finished at $1.60, after exchanging 205,278 shares, One Caribbean Media fell 1 cent and closed at $12.10, after exchanging 1,980 shares and Trinidad & Tobago NGL lost 10 cents in completing trading of 1,500 shares to close at $29.15.
Stocks trading with no price change|Angostura Holdings concluded trading at $15.75, with 1,000 stock units changing hands, Ansa Mcal closed at $56 trading 25,385 units, Ansa Merchant completed trading at $38, after exchanging 3,774 shares, Clico Investments ended at $19.90, with 1,505 stock units changing hands, First Caribbean International Bank concluded trading 11,600 units at $8.50, First Citizens concluded trading at $32.60, after exchanging 1,365 shares, Grace Kennedy closed at $2.70, with 200,000 stock units changing hands, Massy Holdings closed at $47.20, after trading 30,521 shares, Prestige Holdings closed at $8 after trading 5,000 units and Scotiabank ended at $64.94, trading 47,786 units.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Split & rights issues for Sterling

Sterling Investments coming with split and rights issue.

Sterling Investments is considering a 5 for 1 stock split and a rights issue of ordinary shares to existing shareholders.
The company will hold an Extraordinary General Meeting at the Knutsford Court Hotel, on October 8, to consider the an increase in the authorized share capital by the addition of 1,850,000,000 ordinary shares and to approve the issue up to 2,000,000,000 ordinary shares currently un-issued, by way of a Rights Issue, on terms to be decided by the directors, including the number and price of the shares.
November 14 is the expected date for the commencement of the rights issue, Yanique Leiba-Ebanks advised IC Insider.com.
“Proceeds of the rights will be used to fund private equity and investment in some local stocks. We have been participating in IPO share issues that have done well for the fund,” Leiba-Ebanks said. So it will be more of that, going forward along with the focus on leveraged fixed income investments.

Yanique Leiba-Ebanks – AVP Pensions & Portfolio Investments
Sterling Asset Management

The issues were necessary as the company has just under 300 shareholders with limited interest in trading the stock by the general public. The company was encouraged recently to split the stock and issue more shares to broaden the shareholdings to provide a platform for more liquidity for the stock that trades infrequently.
Sterling’s fortunes will be boosted with net profit that grew by 20.5 percent in the 2018 half year, to $52 million and $27 million in the June quarter, from $25 million, in the similar period in 2017. Sterling has 59.15 million shares issued and enjoyed earnings of 87 cents for each share for the half year.
Others to expect splits from are, Barita Investments and they could well have a rights issue to fund acquisitions and other expansion and new products such a margin facilities. CAC2000 with the stock price rising into the mid-teens, Stationery & Office Supplies with the stock price expected to be priced in the teens sooner or later is expected to split by 2019. At the annual general meeting held earlier this year, shareholders were informed that the board had be looking at it but no decision was make. Access Financial directors and NCB Financial indicates that they don’t see any benefit to their company in doing a split but it only a matter of time that they will be forced to, the same applies to Palace Amusement. Some investors are of the view that with Derrimon Trading splitting  when the stock got in the teens that Caribbean Flavours is likely to follow. Investors should not ignore the possibility of Berger Paints and ISP Finance joining the queue in the near future.

JSE main market retreats on Monday

The Jamaica Stock Exchange main market closed, with the All Jamaica Composite Index losing 2,368.58 points to 384,215.16 and the JSE Index dipping 2,158.04 points to 350,063.47.
Market activities resulted in 32 securities trading, including 3 in the US dollar market compared to 31 securities trading on Friday. The prices of 10 stocks rose, 11 declined and 11 closed, unchanged.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Choice bid-offer indicator reading is very strong for continuation of the market’s rally and shows 8 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and only 1 closing with a lower offer.
The main market ended with 2,957,550 units valued at over $67,644,851 compared to 10,467,731 units valued at $82,276,433 changing hands on Friday.
The day’s volume was led by, Wisynco Group with 1,164,093 units and 39.4 percent of the day’s volume and Scotia Group with 243,253 units.
Trading resulted in an average of 101,984 units valued at over $2,332,581, in contrast to 348,924 shares valued at $2,742,548 on Friday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 360,577 shares valued $4,034,759, compared to 376,915 shares valued $4,149,025 traded on the immediately preceding trading day. August closed, with an average of 224,564 shares valued at $4,310,285, for each security traded.
In the main market activity, Barita Investments lost $1.50 to close at $17 trading 23,551 shares, Grace Kennedy lost 83 and finished trading 94,795 shares at $57.17, Jamaica Broilers dived $5.44 in trading 68,512 stock units, to close at $27.05, Jamaica Producers gained $2.45 and finished trading 23,000 units at $27, Kingston Wharves declined $3.50 and finished at $69, with 7,519 stock units changing hands, Mayberry Investments gained 80 cents and settled at $8.80, exchanging 5,632 units, NCB Financial Group climbed $4.92 and ended trading of 157,027 shares at $115.02, Sagicor Group gained 50 cents to settle at $38.50, in the exchange of 162,322 shares, Salada Foods ended trading 100 stock units and rose $1 to end at $19. Scotia Group lost $1 in trading 243,253 units at $62.01, Sygnus Credit Investments traded just 2,350 shares but lost 95 cents to close at $12.05, Supreme Ventures fell 45 cents and ended at $16 with an exchange of 81,842 shares and Victoria Mutual Investments rose 25 cents and concluded trading 101,842 stock units at $3.89.
Trading in the US dollar market closed with 39,200 units valued at $14,546 as JMMB Group 6% preference share rose 1 cents completed trading of 10,000 at $1.06, Proven Investments traded 7,500 at 22 US cents after falling by 1 cent and Sygnus Credit Investments USD Ordinary share traded 21,700 units losing 1 cent at 11 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index lost 4.92 points to close at 162.02.

Junior Market recovers 71 points on – Monday

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The Junior Market Index recovered 71.51 of the 136.58 points lost on Friday, to close at 33,371.24, on Monday as 7 securities rose to a decline of 9.
At the close of trading 9 securities ended the prices closing unchanged from 23 securities changing hands, compared to 29 on Friday. Investors exchanged 2,563,014 units valued at $10,430,621, compared to 27,838,500 units valued at $164,750,850 on Friday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading had 7 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices, 5 closed with lower offers.
Trading closed with an average of 111,435 units for an average of $453,505 in contrast to 959,948 units for an average of $5,681,064 on Friday. Trading for the month to date averages 518,389 units for an average of $3,054,135 and on the prior trading day, an average of 541,966 units for an average of $3,204,801. Trading in August, averaged 244,613 units at $1,348,298 for each security traded.
At the close of trading, AMG Packaging ended with a loss of 1 cent at $1.94, in exchanging 117,200 stock units, Blue Power climbed 59 cents to $6.99, with 70,243 units changing hands, Cargo Handlers settled at $15, trading 12,189 shares, Caribbean Flavours with a loss of $1.10 in trading 3,757 stock units at $16.90, Caribbean Producers finished trading 13,662 units and rose 10 cents to $6.10. Derrimon Trading ended at $2.80, with 75,428 shares, Dolphin Cove concluded trading with a loss of 50 cents at $16.50, with 500 shares, Elite Diagnostic finished with a loss of 4 cents at $3.12, with 66,264 stock units, Everything Fresh closed trading of 163,250 changing hands shares at $2.10, Express Catering lost 21 cents to close at $8, trading 65,806 shares. General Accident finished trading 10 cents higher at $4, with 1,989 shares changing hands, Honey Bun ended at $4, in exchanging 15,000 units, Indies Pharma lost 39 cents and closed with 1,269,841 shares changing hands to close at $3.50, Jamaican Teas settled trading of 25,350 shares at $5, Jetcon Corporation ended trading 94,876 stock units with a loss of 2 cents at $3.98. KLE Group finished trading 30 cents higher at $3.30, with 196,224 shares changing hands, Knutsford Express closed 50 cents higher at $12, with an exchange of 16,106 shares, Lasco Distributors rose 55 cents to $4.05, with 11,320 shares trading, Lasco Financial concluded trading 15 cents higher at $5.40, with 118,389 stock units. Lasco Manufacturing finished with a loss of 5 cents at $3.85, trading 7,000 units, Paramount Trading closed at $3, in exchanging 17,120 shares and Stationery and Office finished trading of 30,000 stock units with a loss of 25 cents at $9. In the Junior Market preference segment, Eppley 8.25% concluded trading at $6, with 171,500 units changing hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Several stocks to watch this week

NCB Financial stock closed at $110 after hitting $125 on Friday.

The main stocks of interest this week are Stationery and Office Supplies, CAC 2000, NCB Financial, Caribbean Cream, Main Event and Wisynco, most of these have limited supplies.
Barita Investments that was highlighted as a stock with main stock to watch this past week, moved $12.95, to end at $18.50 after it traded as high as $19.50. The movement in the price resulted in Cornerstone more than doubling their investment in the company within a short time frame. While it is not listed as a lead stock to watch this week, the stock has much more room to grow over the coming months as demand increases and supplies decline as the potential for much increased profit unfolds.
Bulls pushed the Jamaican stock market, to new heights last week, with the main market having 12 straight days of record highs and the Junior Market moving to new highs as well.
The main moved within 1,600 points of the All Jamaica Composite Index 400,000 points last week but pulled back from what is a major resistance point. The supply of several of the main market stocks are extremely scarce and that is working in market favour to move much higher, before too long. There are several stocks priced well below the market’s average and that could encourage buying interest in them as well.
Investors should keep their eyes on a number of stocks as some may move and others may trade in a narrow band. NCB Financial closed on $110, could move higher but there is a big gap between the offer prices and the bids and this seems likely to maintain volatility in the price for a while.
Grace Kennedy may not be ready to break out of the $60 range as yet but it’s a stock to keep an eye on. Caribbean Cement keeps trading between $46 to $50, but there appears no real desire to move the price forward. Kingston Wharves has just 9,700 units on offer up to $75, with 200,000 on the bid at $68.51, so it could move back to the $75 price this week. Supply of JMMB Group have dried up and that could create the environment for the price to move higher.
An overall view of stocks indicates that the main market continues to be steered higher by an upward sloping support line as well the 45 and 125 day moving averages, lending support just below, but the 400,000 points resistance could likely stall the rally in the main market for a while. The Junior Market that traded recently at an all-time high, is being steered by an upward rising long-term support line and a golden cross. The golden cross is a very strong bullish long-term signal.

Everything Fresh down but not out

Everything Fresh is one of a hand full of initial public stock offers to be selling below the IPO price months after the issue. The stock that was over priced has only been partially helped by a big jump in 2018 half year profit.
The fall in the price was due to over pricing the initial offer and failure to provide more up to date information on the 2018 performance to the time of the IPO and to address developments with the margins. Even with improved results, the stock remains one of the higher priced units on the Junior Market, at a PE of 14 times this year’s pretax earnings and is in line with the market’s average.
Boosted by a big jump in profit margins, earnings after tax jumped 180 percent in the June quarter, to $26.5 million from $9.5 million in 2017. For the six months to June, profit climbed 99 percent to $38.6 million from $19.4 million in 2017. For the next five years, profit will be free of corporate taxes and in the second five years will pay taxes at half the regular rate.
Sales revenue rose 9.7 percent for the quarter, to $494 million from $451 million and increased 6 percent for the half year, to $969 million from $915 million in 2017.
Improvement in profit margin in the first half of the year that grew from 8 percent to 11 percent, increased further to 13 percent in the June quarter and was the major contributor for the sharp increase in profit. The Chairman, Gregory Pullen informed IC Insider.com, that the company took a deliberate decision in 2017 to go after certain clients with an introduction of low margins, with the expectation that they would be able to enjoy higher margins in 2018 onwards.

Everything Fresh two major owners and directors, Mr. & Mrs. Pullen.

The effect of the changes, operating profit rose 84 percent in the quarter, to $66 million from $36 million and increased 49 percent for the year to date, to $108 million from $72 million in 2017.
Sharp increase in administrative expenses by 38 percent to $28 million in the quarter and by 30 percent in the six months period to $54 million, kept the growth in the top line from filtering fully into profit. Marketing expenses associated the public of share issue added to cost in the period. Finance cost rose in the quarter, to $5 million from $4.3 million in 2017 and from $8.7 million to $9.3 million for the six months.
Earnings per share before tax came out at 5 cents for the quarter and 8 cents for the six months and should end the year at 15 cents for PE of 14 times 2018 earnings and 10 times 2019 projected earnings of 20 cents per share. The stock traded at $2.10 on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Friday.
Gross cash flow brought in $48 million but changes in working capital and inflows from the issue of shares, resulted in $213 million of cash funds as of June. A large portion of the share issue proceeds was received after the end of the quarter, the chairman’s report to shareholders stated.
At the end of June, shareholders’ equity climbed to $651 million from $225 million in 2017. Borrowings stood at just $107 million. Net current assets ended the period at $614 million inclusive of trade and other receivables of $503 million and cash and bank balances of $213 million. Current liabilities ended the period at $207 million.
The company is looking at three meat processing facility locally with a view to acquiring one and expects that discussions will conclude by the end of this year or early in 2019. The plan is to enable the manufacturing of products by them to sell directly to its clients at more competitive prices.

Sales jump sharply at Main Event

Main Event backed with IC BUY RATED status

Growth in revenues while not an exact proxy for increased profits, is often a very good indicator of greater gains ahead. That may be exactly what is happening at the Junior market listed Main Event.
The results for the nine months to July show strong sales growth but flat profits. Revenues for the July quarter surged nearly 26 percent to $364 million, but profit fell 7 percent to $24.5 million from $26.3 million in 2017. For the nine months to July, profit was up just 4 percent to $105.5 million that flowed from a 13 percent rise in revenues to $1.07 billion, compared to net income of $101 million in 2017.
The company incurred increased cost as it seeks to expand its service offerings. The results to date suggest that the full year earnings will not vary much from the 2017 full year results of 37 cents. But 2019 could be a blow out year for them, if revenue growth seen so far for this year, continues into 2019.
Profit margin in the first half of the year, was held to the same level as in 2017, at 48 percent and declined in the July quarter to 45 percent from 49 percent in the 2017, the impact, operating profit rose just 15 percent in the quarter to $164 million from $143 million but fell to 14 percent for the year to date, to $512 million from $447 million in 2017.
Administrative expenses rose 20 percent to $111 million in the quarter and increased 15 percent in the nine months period to $311 million. Marketing and sales expenses increased by 44 percent to $15 million for the nine months. Depreciation rose 49 percent to $24 million in the quarter and increased 29 percent in the nine months to $69 million, an indication of increased capital spend to accommodate expansion and increased income. Finance cost was flat in the quarter, at $5.2 million and rose just 5 percent to $13.6 million for the nine months.
Earnings per share came out at 9 cents for the quarter and 37 cents for the nine months and should end the fiscal year around 40 cents. For 2019 earnings should be in the order of a string increase to 75 cents.
“Performance has been negatively impacted by write downs on trade receivables to align to reporting standard, IFRS 9, continued start up expenditure for new service offerings and cost with higher head counts and incentive compensation,” the Chairman Ian Blair and Chief Executive Officer reported to shareholders in their commentary accompanying the quarterly.
Gross cash flow brought in $175 million but growth in receivables, inventories, addition to fixed assets of $160 million, offset by net loan inflows and increased payables resulted in net cash flow ended at a negative $63 million and leaving $29 million in cash at the end of July. Shareholders’ equity stood at $551 million with borrowings at just $185 million, including amounts due to related parties. Net current assets ended the period at $141 million, inclusive of trade and other receivables of $304 million, cash and bank balances of $29 million. Current liabilities amounted to $209 million inclusive of short term borrowings.
The stock traded at $5.50 on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange with a relatively low PE ratio of 7.3 times 2018 earnings and is elevated to BUY RATED status.

Main Event & Stanley Motta in IC TOP 10

Main Event returns to IC TOP 10.

Main Event fell to $5.50 on Friday and climbed back into the Junior market IC TOP 10 stock listing, while Recently listed Stanley Motta climbed on board the main market list.
Moving on out of the top 10 are JMMB Group with a rise in the bid price to $32.70 and Caribbean Cream that closed the week at $7.90, from $6.50 last week. Both are worth watching for more gains in the coming week. Barita Investments and Berger Paints long time TOP 10 listees, moved up in price during the week but still remain in the list but could be out by the end of the coming week if current demand continues.
During the past week, the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, racked up more record closes but pulled back on sharply on Thursday and Junior market hit new highs during the week but dropped sharply on Friday due mainly to Lasco Distributors falling to $3.35 and Express Catering dropping to $6.40 before rebounding at the close.
Gains in the two markets are driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior Market rising to 14 and the main market to 14.5 as the valuation multiple grows with historically low interest rates and high liquidity abounding.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 9.3 up from 8.9 last week, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher and the main market PE is now 9.1, up from 8.8 last week, for the top stocks.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 35 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 38 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

Wisynco adds $2.5B in sugar & rum sales

Wisynco brand Wata to benefit from 3 new production that is now in operation.

Wisynco Group, is set to lose revenues and profit with the ban on single use plastic straws and Styrofoam but the contract to distribute sugar and rum manufactured by Worthy Park should add $2.5 billion to revenues.
The sugar and rum revenues will more than make up for the cut in revenues of approximately $1 billion per year and profits by an insignificant $70 million information released by the company to Jamaica Stock Exchange suggests.
Investors in the company’s stock could not get enough after it listed in December last year, driving it to a high of $13.81 for a then rich PE of more than 20. With the PE below 10 times the current year’s earnings and set to go to 20 by 2019, investors are dumping the stock at a PE of 8. But now they should be holding and buying more, as the stock has few that are likely to deliver better returns in the next twelve months.
According to the company, plastic straws represent less than 0.1 percent of the Company’s revenue and Styrofoam represents 4 percent of the company’s revenue and approximately 3 percent of the company’s net income. Investors seem to be concerned about the impact of the ban on the company’s operations and profit. With earnings of 62 cents for the 2018 fiscal year and 15 cents in the June quarter, investors may not be seeing a boost in profit to come to warrant holding the stock.

Wisynco Group

IC Insider.com spoke with the company’s CEO William Mahfood, advises of a number of positive developments that bode well for the future fortunes of the group. The company on Friday released information on a new distribution agreement with Worthy Park Estate (WPEL) for the distribution of WPEL’s spirits and sugar. Wisynco advised that the distribution of WPEL’s spirits will commence on November 1 and will include the ‘Rum-Bar’ and Worthy Park Estate brands of spirits. The distribution of WPEL’s sugar will commence on January 1, 2019, the start of the new sugar crop.

The new products could add around $750 million to gross profit. According to Mahfood the company has just added three new production lines to alleviate production capacity constraint and is expected to help increase sales around 20 percent. The expanded capacity will facilitate expanded production of Wata, carbonated products and juices. “New process has cut the production cost of plastics by more than 50 percent and this will result in significant cost savings,” Mahfood said. Importantly, Mahfood expects revenues from existing product lines to be up 20 percent for the fiscal year. Add to that, revenues from the new contract resulting in revenues probably increasing 30 percent in the period ahead.
IC Insider.com projects profit of approximately $4 billion or earnings per share of $1.10 and that should push the stock to $20 in 2019. IC Insider.com is placing the BUY RATED stamp on the stock.

NCB continues to bounce around on JSE

NCB Financial stock closed at $110 after hitting $125 on Friday.

NCB Financial share price bounced around on Friday similar as it was on Thursday. Seconds after opening, the price was driven to $125, pushing the market sharply up, but it continued to bounce around during the day and finally ended at $110.
The market closed, with the All Jamaica Composite Index gaining a mere 5.04 points to 386,583.74 and the JSE Index rose just 4.59 points to 352,221.51. Market activities resulted in 31 securities trading, including 1 in the US dollar market compared to 29 securities trading on Thursday.
At the end of trading, the prices of 13 stocks rose, 11 declined and 7 closed, unchanged. JMMB Group traded at 52 weeks’ high of $34.50 and PanJam Investment hit a high of $59 but they both closed lower at the close.
The main market ended with 10,467,731 units valued at $82,276,433 compared to 2,861,546 units valued at $139,051,316 changing hands on Thursday.
The day’s volume was led by, JMMB Group 7.5% preference share with 5,971,000 units, 57 percent of total volume traded, followed by Carreras with 1,556,951 units and 14.87 percent of main market volume and Wisynco Group with 983,953 units 9.4 percent of the day’s volume.
Trading resulted in an average of 348,924 units valued at over $2,742,548, in contrast to 105,983 shares valued at $5,150,049 on Thursday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 376,915 shares valued $4,149,025, compared to 378,872 shares valued $4,253,986 traded on the immediately preceding trading day. August closed, with an average of 224,564 shares valued at $4,310,285, for each security traded.
In the main market activity, Berger Paints rose 50 cents to close at $22 trading 7,934 shares, Caribbean Cement lost $1.95 and finished trading 1,513 shares at $48, Jamaica Broilers jumped $1.24 in traded 83,050 stock units, to close at $32.49, Jamaica Producers lost $2.45 and finished trading 204,445 units at $24.55, Kingston Wharves jumped $4 and finished at $72.50, with 3,112 stock units changing hands, Mayberry Investments shed 30 cents and settled at $8, exchanging 213,025 units, Sagicor Group fell $1.25 to settle at $38, in the exchange of 108,965 shares, Sagicor Real Estate Fund lost $1 to settle at $11.00, with 176,754 shares. Seprod finished trading at $46.80, after falling 20 cents trading 9,397 shares, Stanley Motta lost 30 cents to end trading of 14,100 stock units at $4.80, Supreme Ventures gained 34 cents and ended at $16.45, trading 160,439 shares, Sygnus Credit Investments traded just 1,934 shares and rose 71 cents to close at $13 and Wisynco Group lost 15 cents to finish at $8.85, with 983,953 units changing hands.
Trading in the US dollar market closed with 14,159 units valued at $3,109 as Proven Investments was the sole stock trading at 22 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index lost 0.16 points to close at 166.94.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Choice bid-offer indicator reading is very strong for continuation of the market’s rally and shows 8 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 closing with lower offers.

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