JSE takes breather from record run – Wednesday

Mayberry Investments hit an all time high of $9 on Wednesday.

The Jamaica Stock Exchange took a break from ending at record close on Wednesday but advancing stocks just out-numbered decliners but the indices close lower.
At the close, the All Jamaican Composite Index declined by 926.88 points to 344,478.15 and the JSE Index dipped 844.49 points to close at 313,858.48.
Trading in the main market ended with 3,458,733 units valued at over $66,593,492 compared to 3,687,476 units valued at over $83,983,141, on Tuesday.
Market activities resulted in 27 securities trading including 2 in the US dollar market compared to 33 securities trading on Tuesday. At the end of trading, the prices of 11 stocks rose, 9 declined and 7 traded unchanged, including Grace Kennedy trading at an intraday high of $58 and Mayberry Investments trading at an all-time high of $9.
The day’s volume was led by, Sagicor Group with 898,949 units accounting for 25.99 percent of the main market volume, followed by 1834 Investments with 624,732 units, 18.06 percent of the day’s volume and Radio Jamaica with 498,490 units and 14.41 percent of the day’s volume.
Major price changes| Caribbean Cement jumped $2.30 to finish at $43.50, with 29,172 shares, Jamaica Broilers rose 55 cents to $25.50, with 48,642 stock units trading, JMMB Group fell $1 to end at $29.10, trading 37,485 shares. Mayberry Investments rose 29 cents to end $7.40 trading 68,254 shares, Salada Foods ended trading at $16.50, with 35,500 stock units, Scotia Group traded 351,092 units and gained $1.30 to end at $52.80, Seprod added $1 and finished trading at $33.01, with an exchange of just 277 shares and Supreme Ventures ended at $15.80, with 115,692 shares after rising by 30 cents.
Trading in the US dollar market closed with 5,754 units valued at US$5,330 as JMMB Group 6 percent preference share completed trading of 4,300 stock units and fell 1 cent to end at $1.04, Productivity Business Solution closed at 59 US cents trading 1,454 shares. The JSE USD Equities Index closed unchanged at 154.43.
Trading resulted in an average of 138,349 units valued at an average of $2,663,740 for each security traded. In contrast to 122,916 units for an average of $2,799,438 on Tuesday. For the month to date an average of 157,082 shares valued at an average of $2,241,849 versus 162,724 shares valued at an average of $2,114,773 on Tuesday. July closed with an average of 169,022 units valued at $3,514,756, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 3 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 closing with lower offers.

AJ Index new record of 345,405 points – Tuesday

The All Jamaican Composite Index of the Jamaica Stock Exchange traded at an intraday record high of 347,551.83 in the morning session but drifted lower to close just above 345,000 points for the second day in a row.
At the close, the All Jamaican Composite Index gained 354.82 points to end at a record close of 345,405.03 and the JSE Index advanced by 323.28 points to end at a record close of 314,702.97.
Trading in the main market ended with 3,687,476 units valued at over $83,983,141 compared to 4,818,830 units valued at $56,754,894, on Friday.
Market activities resulted in 33 securities trading including 3 in the US dollar market compared to 29 securities trading on Friday. At the end of trading, the prices of 11 stocks rose, 12 declined and 10 traded unchanged.
The day’s volume was led by, Scotia Group with 841,089 units for 22.81 percent of the main market volume, followed by Carreras with 764,451 units or 20.73 percent of the day’s volume and Radio Jamaica ended with 547,000 units and accounting for 14.83 percent of the day’s volume.
Major price changes| Berger Paints traded 8,650 shares with a gain of 74 cents to close at $20, Caribbean Cement lost 30 cents and finished at $41.20, with 171,284 shares, Grace Kennedy jumped $1.05 to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $57.05, trading with 122,139 shares, NCB Financial Group climbed $3 ended trading 45,133 shares, at $104, with 1834 Investments lost 15 cents traded at a 52 weeks’ low of 90 cents, with 18,000 shares. Mayberry Investments declined $1.14 to end $7.11 trading 24,638 shares, PanJam Investment concluded trading of 4,384 shares at $51.25, after slipping $1.30, Portland JSX climbed $1 and ended at $9, exchanging 20,000 units, Sagicor Real Estate Fund fell 50 cents to settle at $14.00, with 1,000 shares, Scotia Group traded 841,089 units and fell $1.50 to end at $51.50, Seprod lost 49 cents and finished trading at $32.01, with 2,500 shares. Sterling Investments gained 60 cents and closed at $14.10, with 13,727 shares, Supreme Ventures lost 30 cents and ended at $15.50, with 65,275 shares trading.
Trading in the US dollar market closed with 154,010 units valued at US$128,075 as JMMB Group 6% preference share completed trading of 115,000 stock units and gained 1 cent to end at $1.05, Proven Investments added 1 cent and closed at 20 US cents trading 38,800 shares and Sygnus Credit closed 10 US cents in trading 210 shares. The JSE USD Equities Index lost 0.71 points and closed at 154.43
Trading resulted in an average of 122,916 units valued at an average of $2,799,438 for each security traded. In contrast to 185,340 units for an average of $2,182,881 on Friday. For the month to date an average of 162,724 shares valued at an average of $2,114,773 versus 185,258 units traded for an average of $1,727,278 on Friday. July closed with an average of 169,022 units valued at $3,514,756, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 5 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 closing with lower offers.

Grace set to make big price leap

Grace Kennedy traded at a 52 weeks’ high on JSE on Friday..

The Jamaica stock market is at an interesting stage, with supply of many stocks offered for sale, getting more scarce by the day, while interest rates are at their lowest levels in Jamaica’s history but are most are valued  at levels when interest rates were in the teens.
The main market has gained 8,387.30 points in July, and is now a record high as of Friday with gains of 9,486.57 since the start of July, thus mirroring the start of the usual summer rally on the Jamaica Stock Exchange, while the Junior Market continues to bounce and is now at a 9 months’ high.
Liquidity is very high and forcing interest rates lower as investors try to place funds on hands. As liquidity rise in the market supply of stocks is on the decline. Some of stock with scarce supplies include Grace Kennedy that has just one offer priced at $80 when the market closed on Friday, NCB Financial that is now trading over $100 is not far behind with limited offers. It has been years that the supply of Grace stock has been this low and suggest a big upward price move.

The All Jamaica Composite index now braking out of a narrow upward sloping channel going back to November 2017.

Berger Paints, Caribbean Cement, JMMB Group, Kingston Wharves, PanJam Investment, Sagicor Group, Seprod and Scotia Group with only 362,000 units on offer are amongst some that have very limited supplies being offered for sale on the market. But the main market is not the only segment with limited supplies.Over in the Junior market where demand is not as great as in 2017, supplies are limited for many of the listings. The list includes, Blue Power, Caribbean Flavours, Cargo Handlers, Derrimon Trading, Express Catering, Caribbean Cream, Medical Disposables and Stationery and Office Supplies. Caribbean Producers closed trading at $5.80 at the end of the previous week and ended this past week at $6.22 and may well go higher this coming week as it closed with a bid at $6.20. A number of these stocks could lead the break out of the markets in a big way when investors on a whole come to the realization that with interest rates now below 2 percent,

Medical Disposables profit jumps 49 percent before foreign exchange loss in Q1.

that the old accepted PE ratio of 10 being reasonable to value stocks, is no longer accepted and that ratios of 20 to 30 will become the norm going forward. Investors only need to look at stocks in in Trinidad and Tobago where PEs have been in the 20 level for years to understand where we will be heading in the not too distant future.
The main market continues to be steered higher by an upward sloping support line as well the 45 and 125 day moving averages, lending support just below the index and the Junior Market that is at a 9 month high, is being steered by an upward rising long term support line and the start of a golden cross.

Medical Disposables back in IC TOP 10

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Medical Disposables back in IC TOP 10

The main market of Jamaica Stock Exchange ended at a record close on Friday and the Junior Market closed at a 9 months’ high as the markets keep moving higher resulting changes to the IC TOP 10.
At the close on Friday, Proven Investments ended at 19 US cents and fell out of the top list and is replaced by Victoria Mutual Investments. Jetcon Corporation and Paramount Trading dropped out of the top flight, to be replaced by Fosrich Group and Medical Disposables. IC insider.com lowered profit forecast for Paramount with the company showing only a small profit of less than a million dollars in the fourth quarter compared to nearly $11 million in 2017 after gross profit rose 29 percent or $28 million. Jetcon squeezed out by price changes, elsewhere Medical Disposables rose to $5.80 but made it back in the list with strong profit out turn for the first quarter to June and an upgrade of earnings for the full year, of 65 cents per share from 60 cents.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks averages 7.4 compared to an average PE for the overall market of 12, based on 2018 estimated earnings and the main market PE stands at 8 for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 13, a good indicator of the level of undervaluation of these stocks.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 38 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 40 percent to the market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

Record 345,208 points close for AJI – Friday

Chart showing the All Jamaica Composite Index in upward move from December 2017 and now at the highest closing level ever.

The All Jamaican Composite Index of the Jamaica Stock Exchange closed above 345,000 points for the first time ever but fell short of the record high of 345,208.15 reached in the early morning session on Thursday.
At the close, the All Jamaican Composite Index gained 980.10 points to end at a record close of 345,050.21 and the JSE Index advanced by 892.98 points to a record close at 314,379.69. The move on Friday is the fifth straight record close for the market since the previous week Friday.
Trading in the main market ended with 4,818,830 units valued at $56,754,894, compared to 4,999,824 units valued at $34,788,166 on Thursday.
Market activities resulted in 29 securities trading including 3 in the US dollar market compared to 31 securities trading on Thursday. At the end of trading, the prices of 9 stocks rose, 9 declined and 11 traded unchanged.
The day’s volume was led by, Jamaica Stock Exchange trading 1,993,806 shares for 41.38 percent of the day’s traded volume Mayberry Equities closed trading with 469,705 units or 9.75 percent of shares trading and Radio Jamaica ended trading with 389,089 units and accounting for 8.07 percent of the day’s volume.
Major price changes| Carreras traded 333,862 shares but lost 30 cents to close at $9, Caribbean Cement rose 49 cents and finished at $41.50, with 119,028 shares, Kingston Wharves concluded trading at $52.50, with 8,815 shares after gaining 40 cents. Mayberry Investments jumped $1.25 to a 52 weeks’ high of $8.25 trading 118,800 shares and after pulling back from $8.40 earlier in the day, PanJam Investment concluded trading of 7,340 shares at $52.55, after rising $1.55 and Scotia Group traded 349,178 units and rose 8 0 cents to end at $53.
Trading in the US dollar market closed with 40,481 units valued at US$10,641 as JMMB Group 6 percent preference share completed trading of 3,000 stock units and fell 1 cents to end at $1.04, Productive Business Solution ended trading 1,000 shares to close at 59 US cents and Proven Investments closed at 19 US cents trading 36,481 shares. The JSE USD Equities Index close unchanged at 155.14.
Trading resulted in an average of 185,340 units valued at an average of $2,182,8811 for each security traded, in contrast to 185,179 units valued at an average of $1,288,451 on Thursday. For the month to date an average of 185,258 units traded for an average of $1,727,278. July closed with an average of 169,022 units valued at $3,514,756, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 4 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 closing with lower offers.

Record close for JSE – Thursday

The All Jamaican Composite Index of the Jamaica Stock Exchange surged to more than 345,000 points in the early morning session on Thursday but failed to hold on at that level but still managed to end at a new record close.
At the close, the All Jamaican Composite Index held on to just 119.17 points of the early gains to end at a record closing high of 344,070.11 and the JSE Index clung to 108.58 points to end at record closing high of 313,486.71.
Trading in the main market ended with 4,999,824 units valued at over $34,788,166 compared to 34,917,482 units valued at $108,176,982 on Tuesday.
Market activities resulted in 31 securities trading including 4 in the US dollar market compared to 29 securities trading on Tuesday. At the end of trading, the prices of 14 stocks rose, 8 declined and 9 traded unchanged.
The day’s volume was led by, Mayberry Investments trading 1,003,340 shares to close at $7, after it traded at an intraday 52 weeks’ high of $7.60 JMMB Group 7.5% preference share closing at $1, in trading 952,000 shares and Mayberry Equities closed trading at $8.50 with 522,731 shares trading.
Major price changes| Grace Kennedy traded at an intraday 52 weeks’ high of $56.70 but ended trading at a 52 weeks’ closing high of $56.01. Jamaica Producers rose 30 cents to $17, trading 5,988 stock units, Mayberry Equities lost 55 cents trading 522,731 shares to end at $8.60, PanJam Investment concluded trading 51,973 shares at $51, after falling $1.54, Sagicor Group shed 40 cents and settled at $38.10, with 21,574 shares trading, Scotia Group traded 13,284 units and rose $1.10 to end at $52.20 and Sterling jumped $1.50 and finished trading at $13.50, with 2,952 shares changing hands.
Trading in the US dollar market closed with 98,429 units valued at US$87,029 as JMMB Group 6 percent preference share completed trading 80,000 stock units at $1.05, Margaritaville ended trading 10,524 shares to close at 16.9 US cents and Proven Investments rose 1 cent to 19 US cents trading 5,105 shares. The JSE USD Equities Index rose 1.62 points to 155.14.
Trading resulted in an average of 185,179 units valued at an average of $1,288,451 for each security traded. In contrast to 1,342,980 units for an average of $4,160,653 on Tuesday. July closed with an average of 169,022 units valued at $3,514,756, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 7 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 closing with lower offers.

AJI crosses 345,000 mark

The main market of the Jamaica Stock exchange jumped to a new record high in early morning trading on Thursday with All Jamaican Composite Index crossing the 345,000 points mark for the first time.
Having traded at a number of record intraday highs on Friday and closing at a new end of day record, with more than 3,000 points rally, the All Jamaican Composite Index advanced by 1,257.21 points to a record high of 345,208.15 and the JSE Index gained 1,145.46 points to close at 314,523.59, a new record high as well. The Junior Market was down by 7.16 points to 3,094.98.
On Friday, the All Jamaican Composite Index jumped 3,071.05 points to close at a record of 343,950.94 and the JSE Index climbed 2,798.07 points to close at 313,378.13.

JSE jumps 3000 points to record close – Tuesday

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange hit several new record highs throughout the trading session on Tuesday and ended with strong gain to close just below the 344,000 points level.
At the close, the All Jamaican Composite Index jumped 3,071.05 points at 343,950.94 and the JSE Index climbed 2,798.07 points to close at 313,378.13. Earlier in trading session, the All Jamaica hit a new intraday high of 341,987.04 points and the JSE Index 311,588.81.
Trading in the main market ended with 34.917.482 units valued at $108,176,982 versus 2,332,453 units valued at $28,665,085 on Monday.
Market activities resulted in 29 securities trading including 3 in the US dollar market compared to 31 securities trading on Friday. At the end of trading, the prices of 15 stocks rose, 8 declined and 6 traded unchanged.
The day’s volume was led by, JMMB Group 7.5% preference trading 27,800,000 shares at 99 cents, Jamaica Stock Exchange closing at $7.30, with 2,972,200 shares, and Carreras concluding trading at $9.47 with 1,071,337 units.
Major price changes| Carreras concluded trading at $9.47, after rising 47 cents with 1,071,337 units, Grace Kennedy jumped $3 to $56 in trading 161,314 shares, Jamaica Broilers rose 40 cents to $25.90, trading 9,471 stock units. JMMB Group climbed $1.90 and ended at $29.90, exchanging 1,700 shares, Mayberry Equities traded with a gain of $1.59 to end the day at $9.15 with 963,295 units trading, Sagicor Group gained 50 cents and settled at $38.50, with 14,775 shares, Scotia Group traded 57,671 units but fell $1 to end at $51.10 and Seprod shed $1.50 and finished trading at $32.50, with 2,529 shares changing hands.
Trading in the US dollar market closed with 7,827 units valued at US$6,500 as JMMB Group completed trading at $1.05 with 5,586 stock units and Productivity Business ended trading with a gin of 9 cents at 59 US cents with 541 shares changing hands and Proven Investments lost 1 cent to 18 US cents with 1,700 shares trading The JSE USD Equities Index rose 5.76 points to 153.52.
Trading resulted in an average of 1,342,980 units valued at over $4,160,653, in contrast to 80,429 shares valued at $988,451 on Monday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts 169,022 units valued at $3,514,756 compared to 173,907 units valued at $3,499,633 on Friday. June closed with an average of 250,168 shares with a value of $5,895,281, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 12 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 closing with lower offers.

 

Another record close for JSE stocks – Monday

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange closed at a new record high on Monday at the end of a moderate trading session, following Friday’s record closing high, as technical indicators points to the market hitting over 380,000 points before hitting major resistance.
At the close, the All Jamaican Composite Index advanced by 444.90 points at 340,879.89 and the JSE Index gained 405.35 points to close at 310,580.06. Earlier in trading session, the All Jamaica hit a new intraday high of 341,987.04 points and the JSE Index 311,588.81.
Trading in the main market ended with 2,332,453 units valued at $28,665,085 compared to 5,657,684 units valued at $158,095,077 on Friday.
Market activities resulted in 31 securities trading including 2 in the US dollar market compared to 25 securities trading on Friday. At the end of trading, the prices of 13 stocks advanced, 11 declined and 7 traded unchanged.
The day’s volume was led by, Radio Jamaica with 649,627 shares, Carreras with 596,249 units and 1834 Investments Limited with 250,000 units.
Major price changes| Barita Investments gained 51 cents to end at $9.51 trading 938 shares, Berger Paints traded just 200 shares changing hands, with the price falling 50 cents to $19, Grace Kennedy added 40 cents to $53, with 18,100 stock units trading, Jamaica Broilers lost 50 cents and closed trading at $7.50 trading 6,857 shares. JMMB Group traded 173,185 shares but fell 50 cents to $28, Kingston Wharves jumped $1.95 to $52.05 in trading 5,534 units, NCB Financial Group rose 51 cents in trading 90,387 shares at $100.52, Proven Investments fell 50 cents trading 12,235 shares at $26, Sagicor Real Estate Fund settled at $14.50, after slipping 45 cents in trading 35,365 shares, Salada Foods jumped $3.39 to end at $15.89, exchanging just 370 units, Scotia Group gained 60 cents in trading 10,980 units at $52.10 and Seprod finished trading at $34.00, after jumping $1.99 with 11,556 shares changing hands.
Trading in the US dollar market closed with 170,635 units valued at US$27,064 as Proven Investments rose 1 cent to 19 US cents with 112,235 shares trading and Sygnus Credit Investments closed with 58,400 units trading at 10 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index rose 3.05 points to 147.76.
Trading resulted in an average of 80,429 units valued at an average of $988,451 for each security traded. In contrast to 245,986 units for an average of $6,873,699 on Friday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts 169,022 units valued at $3,514,756 compared to 173,907 units valued at $3,499,633 on Friday. June closed with an average of 250,168 shares with a value of $5,895,281, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 3 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 5 closing with lower offers.

NCB jumps out Indies in IC TOP 10

The main market of Jamaica Stock Market ended at a record close on Friday with NCB Financial jumping $3.01 to $100.01 as Jamaica’s largest financial group dropped out of the IC Insider.com’ Top 10 main market stock list.
NCB price jumped on Friday, as investors responded positively to the group’s June results and was replaced by Carreras at 9th position. NCB remains an excellent stock to hold for long term growth and increased dividends. In the Junior market Caribbean Producers rose to $5.80 and Medical Disposables to $5.51 to ease out of the top listing and were replaced by recent Initial Public Offer, Indies Pharma at number 9 and Jetcon at 10.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks averages 7.4 compared to an average PE for the overall market of 12, based on 2018 estimated earnings and the main market PE stands at 7.8 for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 13, a good indicator of the level of undervaluation of these stocks.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 37 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 40 percent to the market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.