Massive BOJ FX sale on Thursday

BOJ 3 Bank of Jamaica intervention into the foreign exchange market pushed trading well over the US$100 million market on Thursday, that did not stop the local currency form declining, as it moved even closer to $120 to the US dollar. The selling rate for the Jamaican dollar moved up by 3 cents on Thursday, meanwhile the highest rate fell to $123.26 on Thursday from J$124.12 on Wednesday.
Purchases by dealers of foreign currencies on saw buying of the equivalent of US$124,150,664 in stark contrast to US$26,434,145 on Wednesday, while they sold the equivalent of US$118,010,252, previously US$32,677,054.
In US dollar trading , dealers bought US$121,494,099 compared to US$23,310,357 on Wednesday. The buying rate for the US dollar is up 76 cents to $118.44 and US$116,060,844 was sold versus US$31,118,844 on Wednesday, the selling rate rose 3 cents to close at $118.62.FX sum 10-9-15 The Canadian dollar buying rate rose 11 cents to $86.97, with dealers buying C$990,249 and selling C$713,506, at an average rate that climbed 72 cents to $89.81. The rate for buying the British Pound gained 80 cents to $179.58 for the purchase of £1,220,729, while £784,302 was sold, at an average rate that rose 31 cents to end at $182.58. At the end of trading, it took J$132.43 to purchase the Euro, a fall of 3 cents from Wednesday’s rate, according to data from Bank of Jamaica, while dealers purchased the European common currency at J$129.45, a decline from Wednesday’s rate of 35 cents. Other currencies bought, amounted to the equivalent of US$78,385, while the equivalent of US$201,993 was sold.
Highs & Lows| The highest and lowest rates for trading the US dollar all declined on Thursday. The highest buying rate dropped $1.70 to $117.60, FX H&L 10-9-15the lowest buying rate fell 67 cents to $96.19, the highest selling rate lost 86 cents to end at $123.26 and the lowest selling rate dived $19.15 to $96.15. The highest buying rate for the Canadian dollar climbed 50 cents to $91, the lowest buying rate is up 66 cents to $71.63 and highest selling rate fell 50 cents to end at $92.50, the lowest selling rate added $1.30 to end at $86.30. The highest buying rate for the British Pound, climbed 50 cents to $183.20, the lowest buying rate jumped 87 cents to $147.28, the highest selling rate dropped $1.83 to $186.92 and the lowest selling rate remained unchanged at $176.

JSE trading resumes

Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange that was suspended resumed at 3pm is will close at 3:30PM, since resumption a big block of Gleaner shares that was hanging over the market traded at $1.90 with 19 million units changing hands. Jamaica Producers also traded 171,230 units at $18.

Trading breaks down at JSE Thursday

Trading activities on the Jamaica Stock Exchange was suspended resulting from technical issues the exchange advised IC Insider. According to the information the system went down at around 12:15 PM the last traded took place at mid-day. No trading is currently taking place but there is expectation that it should resume, once the problems are resolved. In the past resumption of trading usually goes on for a period equal to the suspension.
JSE Intra 10- 09-15upThe market has so far have trading in 20 securities with a volume of 3,152,924 units, with 2 stocks declining and 1rising. Trading activity resulted the JSE Market Index falling 91.60 points to 98,704.31. The JSE All Jamaican Composite index fell 102.38 points to 109,263.89 and the JSE combined index slipped 21.98 points to be at 102,037.60. The junior market rose 7.11 points to 990.60.
The main trades so far are Cable & Wireless with 1,012,688 units at 48 cents, Carreras traded 379,430 at $50.25, National Commercial Bank had 136,629 units trading at $30, Proven Investments 1,208,025 units trading was at 19.5 US cents and Scotia Group have 134,944 shares trading at $24.12.

PNM wins T&T elections with 23 seats

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PNM logoPNM is now predicted to take 23 of the 41 seats in the Trinidad and Tobago in today’s general elections. They are leading in 23 seats at 12 pm in the twin island state with more than 50 percent of the votes counted.
Most pollsters predicted the PNM would take the elections within the range of victory now that seems likely. A few pollster called it wrong for the winner. The election outcome is essentially based on racial origin of the population with the PNM winning mostly in areas with black population and the UNC winning in the centre of the country with mostly Indian population. The outgoing government in 2010 won 29 out of the 41 seats that make up the parliament.

Remittance inflows flat in May

US$ 100Total remittance inflows for Jamaica for May this year was just barely up over May 2014, increasing by less than a million dollars to end the month at US$190 million over the corresponding month last year.
Net remittance flows did better, with US$175 million realized, an increase of US$4 million or 2 percent over the corresponding period of 2014. For the first five months of 2015, total remittance inflows amounted to US$905 million, an increase of US$18 million or 2 percent over the similar 2014 period. Net remittances for the first 5 months of the year were US$812 million, an increase of US$16 million or 2 percent over the 2014 period, Bank of Jamaica reported.

Confused T&T poll findings

PNM logoUNC logoThe latest information out of the twin island state of Trinidad and Tobago, show a mixed picture for the general election outcome on Monday. The only consensus is that the results will be close. That contrast with poll findings from a survey conducted by H.H.B. & Associates carried out on behalf of Guardian Media and published last week Sunday.
According to that poll, the People’s National Movement (PNM) is leading the race in voter support with just eight days to go before the election, with 37 per cent of respondents said the PNM, while 30 per cent said the PP/UNC. The undecided respondents accounted for 31 per cent, while two per cent said Independent Liberal Party. These findings are exactly in line with recent election turn out which is just under 70 percent, with the undecided not ending up voting.
According to a report by the Guardian today, H.H.B & Associates, which conducted the Guardian Media Ltd (GML) poll, is projecting a PNM victory, with the opposition party taking 22 seats and the PP capturing 19. UNC crwdThe newspaper did not say if the forecast was based on new data. The poll numbers of last week is unlikely to result in such a close race. IC Insider, last week forecasted that based on the above support, the PNM would win with 31 seats, if the poll numbers held up.
The Guardian is also stating that the latest, Nigel Henry/Solution by Simulation (SBS) pre-election tracking poll suggests a close race between the ruling People’s Partnership and the opposition People’s National Movement (PNM) in the general election tomorrow. The poll suggests that both parties are capable of winning 18 seats with five constituencies still too close to call. Poll results project that the winning party is likely to capture 21 or 22 seats.
This finding contrasted with the North American Caribbean Teachers Association (Nacta) poll by Dr Vishnu Bisram, which predicted yesterday that the PP would win 21 seats, the PNM 18 seats, with two marginal seats up in the air. The UWI Constitutional Affairs and Parliamentary Studies Unit (Capsu) poll released last week also found that the PP is leading in five marginal seats in the election race. TT electionsSolution by Simulation tracking poll by Nigel Henry projected yesterday that the PP was leading by 38 per cent, the PNM had 36 per cent, and 25 per cent were undecided. That would result in a voter turnout of 74 percent, a level that Trinidad and Tobago has not seen since 1961.
In the 2010 elections, the turnout was 69.45 percent, 66.03 percent in 2007 and 69.64 percent in 2002, next closet to these was 1991 with 65.76 percent. Based on the pattern of recent years it would be surprising if the turnout exceeded 70 percent and that could make a huge difference to the final election results.
Dr Vishnu Bisram, in his Nacta poll, said the percentage of undecided voters had shrunk considerably from a month ago, from “a high of 31 per cent to just six percent now,” and they could very well decide the outcome of the election.

GOJ collects more spends less

MOFThe government of Jamaica spent less on interest, capital projects and collected more tax revenues but received less grants from April to July this year.
This development resulted in the actual deficit being $8 billion less than budgeted.
Tax revenues were $3 billion more than planned and grants $1.5 billion less than expected but interest cost mainly of foreign debt resulted in savings of $4 billion while $4.3 billion less was expended on the capital projects. The critical primary surplus was $4 billion ahead of forecast of $23.7 billion.

31 seats for PNM poll suggests

PNM logoThe voters in the twin island state of Trinidad and Tobago go to the polls on Monday, September 7 in general election to elect a new government with polls showing a possible massive victory for the main opposition party, the PNM. The incumbent, the People’s Party Coalition – United National Congress (PP/UNC) won the last election with 29 out of the 41 seats that makes up the parliament. A recent opinion poll shows the governing party trailing the main opposition party by a large percentage.
If the actual results of the elections are close to what the poll indicates, it would amount to a massive victory for the PNM, with approximately 54 percent to the (PP/UNC) 43 percent of the popular votes. The PNM is likely to garner 31 or 76 percent of the 41 seats up for grabs, IC Insider calculations show. Two of the 31 seats are very marginal and could go either way.
The recent poll was conducted by H.H.B. & Associates was carried out on behalf of Guardian Media Ltd. According to the poll results, the People’s National Movement (PNM) is leading the race in voter support with just eight days to go before the election with 37 per cent of respondents said the PNM, while 30 per cent said the PP/UNC. The undecided respondents accounted for 31 per cent, while two per cent said Independent Liberal Party.
The poll was conducted between August 22 and 28, through the regional corporations in Trinidad. A random sample of 1,000 persons were surveyed.

Polls suggest big win for T&T PNM

PNM logoUNC logoThe voters in the twin island state of Trinidad and Tobago go to the polls on Monday, September 7 in general election to elect a new government. The incumbent, the People’s Party Coalition – United National Congress (PP/UNC) has been in government since May 2010 is said to be trailing in recent public opinion polls conducted by H.H.B. & Associates Ltd for Guardian Media Ltd.
According to the poll results, the People’s National Movement (PNM) is leading the race in voter support with just eight days to go before the election, with 37 per cent of respondents said they would vote for the PNM, while 30 per cent said they will vote PP/UNC. The undecided respondents accounted for 31 per cent, while two per cent said they supported the Independent Liberal Party.
The poll was conducted between August 22 and 28 using a random sample of 1,000 person.
If the actual results of the elections are close to what the polls indicate it would amount to a massive victory for the PNM with approximately 54 percent of the to the (PP/UNC) 43 percent of the popular votes.

Big drop in Business Confidence

The perception of present and future business conditions fell sharply in the latest survey conduction on behalf of Bank of Jamaica in July. Deterioration was registered in both surveys among respondents relative to the previous survey.
Grhp Crrt B con 7-15Notably, the index of present business conditions fell sharply to 130.3 from 166.9 in the previous survey. The index of future business conditions declined to 135.2 from 148.3 in the previous survey.
The result for July is the worse since September 2014 at 123.6 for current conditions and August 2014 for future business conditions at 119.4. Both confidence levels have broken the upward movement by breaking the trend line going back to October 2013, a negative sign, suggesting the likelihood of further declines ahead. The negative development seems to be showing up in the performance of the local stock market which has stagnated over the 108,000 points on the all Jamaica Index, in spite of a fall in interest rates initiated by the country’s central bank.
Grph fut BCon 7-15Notwithstanding, the declines in the recent indices of perceptions of present and future business conditions, they have displayed a general upward trend since the April 2013 survey, bank of Jamaica stated in the report. Of course that upward trend is now broken as indicated above.
The drop in the confidence levels is probably tied in with the depreciation of the Jamaican dollar in during June and July. At the start of June the exchange between the Jamaican dollar and the US was $116.13 reaching $116.98 at the end of the month and closed out July at $117.42.

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