Treasury bill rates plunged

Treasury bill rates plunged at the latest auction to raise $1.4 billion for Government of Jamaica held today.
At the latest Treasury bill auction the rate on the 91 days bill declined by just over 58 basis points to just 1.9596 from to 2.544 percent at the June auction, while the 182 days instrument average rate dipped 65 basis points to 2.07 percent from 2.656 percent from the June Auction. The two offerings of $700 million each attracted a total of just over $6.2 billion up from $5.3 billion in June, an indication of continued high liquidity in the market. The latest fall in rate follows a recent 50 basis point drop in Bank of Jamaica’s (BOJ) overnight rate to 2 percent and is almost certain to trigger another cut in the BOJ overnight rate.
The continued fall in rates comes against the back ground of negative inflation of 0.3 percent for the first half of the year. The sharp fall in rates is bound to be reflected in increased demand for stocks and real estate going forward as investors seek higher returns on their investments. Technical indicators point to a big break out for local stocks starting in August and the recent fall in rates will be a critical fuel for it.

T-bill rates lowest on record – April

Jamaica’s Ministry of Finance newest office building

Treasury bill rates declined to the lowest level on record, in the latest auction of bills on Wednesday this week. Information out of the country’s central bank in March indicates that there are no records with lower rates.
Rates for the $700 million 182 days instrument on offer fell below 3 percent for the first time with the average ending at just 2.979 percent and the 91 days bill ended at an average slightly above 2.818 percent for the $700 million that was also on offer for the shorter duration.
A total of $2.56 billion chased after the amount offered for the shorter dated issue, while a total of $2.92 billion chased the amount for the longer dated issue.
In March, rates fell to 2.977 percent for the 91 days bill, as $2.54 billion went after $600 million offered and the 192 days closed at an average of 3.172 percent with $2.48 billion going after $600 million offered.

Treasury bill rates down again

Rates of Government of Jamaica Treasury bills which have been on the decline since March 2014 is down again in the latest issue dated October. Rates fell 13 basis points on the 182 days instruments as $1.043 billion chased the $400 million on offer to end at 6.23 percent in September the rates declined by 14 basis points.
Rates were down 7.7 basis points on the 91 days instrument compared to a fall of 14 basis point in September, the average rate is 61.3 percent for October as $579 million chased the $400 million on offer.
Tbill cht 20-5-15At the October 14th auction, the 28 days Treasury bill average rate came out at 6.195 percent compared with 6.228 percent at the September auction. Unlike August when $707 million chased $400 million on offer in October only $328.75 million went after the $400 million offered. All applicants were accepted at rates that ranged between 5.1 percent and 6.75 percent.

Investors rebuff T-bill offer

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MOFThe Treasury bills offer that closed on Wednesday saw investors rebuffing the government offering by refusing to bid for the full amount of $400 million offered to mature on Friday, 11 September 2015.
This is the first that this has happened for some time. Investors placed bids for only $305,006,100 for the $400 million offered while the government took up $305,005,500 but at a slightly higher rate of 6.2552 percent than obtained at the July auction. At the July auction the average was 6.217 percent. Full allotment was made for bids with yields ranging between 6 percent and 6.5 percent.
In June 2013 investors rebuffed government’s the 90 days and 182 days offers of Treasury bills. The three months issue that matured on 20 September 2013 for $400 million attracted just $284,330,500 and the six month issue that matured on 20 December 2013 for $400 million but attracted just $201,628,400.

Interest rates slip slightly

The lastest issue of Treasury bills saw a slight slippage in the rates investors will be getting from the government over the next three to six months.
Tbill cht 20-5-15The 6 months issue of Treasury bills maturing in November this year attracted $656.586 million and yielding an average of 6.714 percent, compared with 6.787 percent in April. The the 3 months’ bills are yeilding 6.568 percent versus 6.61 percent in April, the latter auction attracted bids of $655,977,500. Both issues offered bills of $400 million each.
Rates have been sliding on Treasury bills since March last year, there was a slight uptick in the rate out turn at the February auction. The pace of decline of the rates seems to have slowed, in this auction compared with earlier declines. Bank of Jamaica will probably have to lower CD rates to induce a faster decline with inflation for the year still subdued.

Treasury bill rates slide continue

Government of Jamaica Treasury bill rates, declined in the latest auction of the short-term debt instruments, opened today at the Bank of Jamaica offices. The 182 days instrument closed at its lowest level since May 2013 when it then cleared at 6.44 percent.
At today’s auction the average rate came in at 6.787 percent, down from 6.998 percent in March and the 91 days ended at 6.06 percent, a decline that is well down on the previous rate of 6.72765 percent. TB -4-15
The declines come against the background of consistently falling rates since the start of the second quarter last year, negative inflation and a cut this month in Bank of Jamaica’s CD rate, from 5.75 percent to 5.50 percent.
The implications of the fall include potential for lower lending rates down the road, stimulation of interest sensitive investments such as stocks and long term bonds and of course persons looking for income from fixed interest securities will be getting less income going forward than in the recent past.

30 days interest rate rise

MOFInterest rate increased for the latest Government of Jamaica Treasury Bills offering for April over the previous issue, in March this year, but by a relatively small amount of 0.04 percentage points.
The highest and lowest rates in the auction, suggest that investors expected rates to have eased rather than rise, with successful investors obtaining rates ranging from 6.1 percent to 6.74999 percent with an average rate 6.33979 percent, compared to the March auction with a high of 6.8 percent and a low of 6 percent and an average of 6.3 percent. Applications for $690,246,600 chased the $400,000,000 available on Wednesday, April 15 for Treasury Bills with a 30 days maturity of Friday May 15.

Treasury rates at 18 months low

MOFThe latest results for Treasury bill auctions, show a decline in the interest rates on all three instruments offered to the public. Importantly, the 182 days note fell to the lowest level, since June 2013, when the rate was 7.12 percent.
At the latest auction dated December 19, 2014, the average rate on 28 days instrument, ended at 6.38 percent. The rate fell from sharply, from 6.71 percent in November and 6.826 percent in October as $686 million chased the $400 million on offer.
Investors, demand for the 91 days Treasury bills offered, continued to climb, dropped to only $531 million from to $1.042 billion for the November auction. Demand for the longer-term 182 days instrument, was for $942 million for the latest auction in which the amounts available was $400 million for all three Treasury bills on offer.
The Treasury bill for the 91 days period, Friday, December 19 to mature on Friday, March 20 next year, attracted an average yield of 6.956 percent a moderate fall from November’s 7.052 percent, and 7.336 percent in October and 7.46952 percent, at the September auction. At the August auction the average rate out turn was 7.46767 percent. The yield for July was an average of 7.63643 percent, for the June issue 7.65893 percent and 8.2 percent in May, for the Treasury bill of same duration.
Tbill 12-14The offer of 182 days duration, maturing on June 19, 2015, attracted $925 million for the $400 million on offer resulting in an average interest rate yield of 7.14 percent, down from 7.387 percent at the November’s auction. At the October auction the average rate declined to 7.73187 percent from 7.99887 percent, at the September auction, 8.11578 percent, in August, 8.21982 percent at the July’s auction and 8.36502 percent for the June issue, of the same duration. At the May auction, the rate came out at 8.932 percent.

Producers’ improving performance

Jamaica Producers HQ in Kingston Jamaica

Jamaica Producers HQ in Kingston Jamaica

Revenues climbed an impressive 30 percent, for Jamaica Producers Group for the June quarter this year over 2013, to $2.39 billion. Net profit attributable to shareholders was $104 million, a 42 percent increase relative to the same period last year.
For the half year to June, net profit attributable to shareholders was $138 million, a 13 percent decline, compared with the similar period in 2013. This year’s performance only had $17 million of gain on sales of fixed assets and investments compared with $105 million in 2013. The 2013 result was negatively affected by $36 million in restructuring cost, there was no such charge this year, resulting in the quality of earnings from ongoing operations being better than in 2013.
Europe| In the 2014 second quarter, the Europe division earned revenues of $1.78 billion and pre-tax profits of $167 million, a 33 percent increase in revenues and 196 percent increase in pre-tax profits relative to the 2013 second quarter. Europe is still facing tough economic conditions, resulting in further monetary easing recently, leading to the Euro slipping sharply in value. This development could negatively affect Producers profit for the rest of the year. The results for 2015 could benefit from the monetary easing as the economy could benefit from the stimuli. The local currency could stay stable for some time thus robbing it of the gains make due to currency slippage in the first half of the year.
JP Tropical Division includes businesses located in the Caribbean that faced particularly challenging production and trading environment that adversely affected margins. The division experienced a loss during the 2014 second quarter of $43 million compared to a profit of $27 million for the same period in the prior year, although revenue grew 25 percent. The loss to JP shareholders is $20 million.
jamaica_producers+Tropicallogo150x150JP Tropical Foods experienced growth in its snack foods product lines, particularly in the USA and UK markets. During the quarter, we launched a new tropical snack brand of plantain and cassava chips for the Dominican Republic market.
Gross profit climbed slower than operating revenues at 24.7 percent in the June quarter to $549 billion but was in line with revenues in the year to date period with gross profit rising 17.8 percent to $977 million.
Subsequent to the quarter the group acquired 11.59 percent more Kingston Wharves shares raising its stake to approximately 42 percent to become an even more dominant shareholder of the company. The rate of return on this latest investment is likely to be around 8 percent, or just slightly better than government of Jamaica current Treasury bill rate. But Producers’ focus would be on the longer term growth prospects that will accrue from the expansion of the port, and the increased business that they expect, especially with the opening of an expanded Panama Canal.
The main activities of the group are juice and food manufacturing, the cultivation, marketing and distribution of fresh produce locally, logistics, land management and the holding of investments.
Finances|At the end of June, the group had debt close to $1.2 billion, that should rise with the acquisition of the Kingston Wharves share purchase, as it was partially funded by borrowed money. Equity stood at $5.9 billion and they had cash funds and investments of $987 million. Current assets to current liability was below norm, at $2 billion to $1.5 billion.
Encouraging results| The results for 2014 so far is encouraging, importantly, Jamaica Producers is adding new products to the existing lines, both in the Caribbean and Europe, this is one of the surest ways of improving profitability as it is less costly to add new lines as much of the overheads cost are already built into the system. This is clearly a stock to be watched.

Treasury bill rates edge down

JamaicanMoney280x150The Government of Jamaica Treasury bill offer for the period Friday, July 25 maturing on Friday, October 24 this year for duration of 91 days, attracted bids of $732,981,900 for the $400,000,000 available.
The yield cane out at an average of 7.63643 percent. The result represents a small reduction from the 7.65893 percent yield, emanating out of the previous issue of a similar duration in June. In May, the rate was 8.2 percent for the Treasury bill of same duration. $832,672,600 went after the 400,000,000 Treasury bill instrument on offer. The offer which is of 182 days duration, matures on January 23 next year and will generate an average interest rate yield of 8.21982 percent versus the 8.36502 percent for the June issue of the same duration. At the May Treasury bill auction, the rate came out was 8.932 percent.

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