NCB trades at J$170 on TTSE – Tuesday

NCB stock jumped to TT$8.93 on TTSE.

In market activity on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Tuesday NCB Financial climbed 98 cents to close at a record high of $8.93 or J$170.
At the close of trading 18 securities were active against 16 on Monday, with 5 advancing, 3 declining and 10 remaining unchanged on a day when both the volume a value of trading dropped sharply below Monday’s levels.
At close of the market, the Composite Index gained 2.90 points on Tuesday to 1,297.55. The All T&T Index rose 0.54 points to 1,695.51, while the Cross Listed Index added 0.73 points to close at 121.57.
Trading ended with 261,740 shares at a value of $3,498,832 compared to 812,542 shares at a value of $10,196,809 on Monday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with stock with the bid lower than the last selling price and 2 with lower offers.
Stocks closing with gainsFirst Citizens rose 1 cent and ended at $32.76, after exchanging 12,327 shares, JMMB Group rose 2 cents and completed trading at $1.77, after exchanging 3,185 shares, NCB Financial Group closed with a gain of 98 cents and ended with an exchange of 20,188 shares at 52 weeks high of $8.93, Trinidad & Tobago NGL gained 1 cent and ended at $29.16, after exchanging 100 shares and West Indian Tobacco finished trading 334 units and gained 25 cents to close at $95.50.
Stocks closing with losses| Calypso Macro Index Fund lost 4 cents to close trading of 200 shares at $15.81, Grace Kennedy closed with a loss of 15 cents at $2.85, with 11,501 stock units changing hands and Sagicor Financial shed 97 cents and settled at $9, with 41,002 stock units changing hands.
Stocks closing firm| Ansa Merchant ended trading at $38.26, after exchanging 262 shares, Clico Investments settled at $20.15, with 58,395 stock units changing hands, First Caribbean International Bank concluded trading of 99,014 units, at $8.05, Guardian Holdings closed at $18, with 10 units trading, Massy Holdings completed trading at $45, after exchanging 6,358 shares, National Enterprises settled at $8, with 500 stock units changing hands, Point Lisas settled at $3.70, trading 6,314 stock units, Republic Financial Holdings completed trading at $107, after exchanging 1,010 shares, Scotiabank concluded trading of 1,010 units at $64.74 and Unilever Caribbean settled at $23, with 30 stock units changing hands.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

JSE fails to hang on to record – Monday

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, surged to a new record high in early morning trading after just 7 minutes of the opening with the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index rising 5,319.88 to a record 435,784.80 points and briefly moved higher to more than 435,900 points before pulling back, at the close the index put on 2,407.17 points to 432,872.09.
The JSE index climbed 4,847.01 points to a record of 397,049.24 after 7 minutes of trading pulled back at the close but still put on 2,589.66 points to close at 392,202.23.
Market activity resulted in 3 securities trading at record highs but ended with 2 securities closing at record highs and one closing at 52 weeks’ ow, as 26 securities in the main and US dollar markets changed hands, compared to a 31 on Friday. At the end, prices of just 6 stocks rose, 15 declined and 5 remained unchanged.
The main market ended with just 843,989 units valued at $24,687,711 changing hands, compared with 12,946,386 units valued at $522,988,358 that were exchanged on Friday.
IC bid-offer Indicator|The Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 7 stocks ending with bids higher than the last selling prices and 2 closing with lower offers.
Trading resulted in an average of 33,760 units valued at over $987,508, in contrast to 446,427 shares valued at $18,034,081 on Friday. November closed, with an average of 405,528 valued at $7,755,942, for each security traded.
In main market activity, Barita Investments fell 50 cents to close of $27.50 after trading at new in  intraday record high of $31, with 19,020 shares changing hands, Caribbean Cement climbed $1.45 and finished trading of 2,755 shares at $44.95, Carreras concluded trading of 103,177 units at $9.10 after falling 40 cents, Grace Kennedy dropped $1.50 in trading of 34,081 shares at $56.50, Jamaica Stock Exchange fell 63 cents and closed at $9, trading 19,650 shares, Kingston Wharves fell $2.79 to $73, with 6,817 stock units changing hands. Mayberry Jamaica Equities lost 85 cents trading 7,993 shares in closing at $9.15, NCB Financial Group declined by $2.05 to end trading of 66,427 shares at $157, PanJam Investment dropped $4 to  $70, with an exchange of 13,890 stock units, Sagicor Group fell 50 cents to finish trading of 57,553 shares at $49.50, Scotia Group traded 14,660 shares and rose $2 to close at $57, Seprod added $2.40 trading of 27,970 shares, to close at $32.40.

Trading in the US dollar market amounted to 40,224 units valued at over $8,569 as Proven Investments lost 1 cent and ended trading at 21 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index closed with a rise of 0.87 points to close at 168.55.

Trading climbs on Junior Market on Monday

Trading on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange ended on Monday with 21 securities changing hands, resulting in an exchange of 9,644,867 units valued at $21,232,867 compared to 4,790,864 units valued at $10,989,252 from 26 securities trading on Friday.
At the close of market activities, the prices of 7 securities advanced, 7 declined and 7 remained unchanged resulting in the Junior Market Index declining by 5.10 points to close at 3,177.23.
Trading ended with an average of 459,279 units for an average of $1,011,089 in contrast to 184,264 units for an average of $422,664 on Friday. November ended with an average of 190,475 units valued at $653,358 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 7 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and just 1 with a lower offer.
 At the close of the market, Access Financial closed at $50.50, trading 380 shares, AMG Packaging ended 2 cents higher at $1.82, with 12,927 stock units changing hands, Caribbean Cream ended trading 11,455 shares, at $5.30, Caribbean Producers finished trading with 2,600 units and rose 5 cents higher to $5.40, Derrimon Trading ended at $2.80, in exchanging 6,215 shares. Elite Diagnostic gained 1 cent to end at $3.12, with 1,200 stock units changing hands, Express Catering ended trading with 4,380 shares after rising 65 cents to close at $7.75, General Accident closed 13 cents higher at $3.63, with 2,000 shares trading, Indies Pharma traded 20,690 shares to close at $3.10, Jamaican Teas settled at $3.80, with 160,698 shares changing hands. Jetcon Corporation ended trading at $3.99, with an exchange of 5,000 stock units, Key Insurance traded 1,071,023 units and rose 35 cents to $4.50, Lasco Distributors ended 20 cents higher at $4, with an exchange of 3,700 shares, Lasco Financial concluded trading of 31,600 stock units with a loss of 20 cents at $4.80. Lasco Manufacturing finished with a loss of 10 cents at $3.30, trading 33,300 units, Main Event settled with a loss of 10 cents at $6.35, with an exchange of 6,313 shares, SSL Venture Capital lost 2 cents in trading 6 million shares to end at $1.74, Stationery and Office finished trading 210 stock units with a loss of 32 cents down to $8.20, Sweet River closed at $3.50, with 100 units changing hands and tTech fell 19 cents to $5.11, with the trading of 902 shares. In the junior market preference segment, Derrimon Trading 9% ended with a loss of 10 cents at $2.10, with 2,270,174 stock units trading.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Carib Cement locks in $170M in FX gains

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Carib Cement could earn $5.30 in 2019.

Caribbean Cement secured a Jamaican dollar denominated loan from National Commercial Bank amounting to J$3.076 billion and available in United States Dollars. The report from the company advised that Board of Directors approved the facility on November 30 the same day the facility was received.
The company advised that the proceeds from the revolving Loan Facility were received on November 30 and will be used to pay related party debt denominated in United States Dollars, diversifying the sources of funds for the company. Throughout its term, the Loan Facility will also be used for general corporate purposes, reports Caribbean Cement.
The facility is an unsecured revolving loan facility for five years at a fixed interest rate of 7.45 percent per annum.
Cement owed the parent company $11.09 billion plus $1 billion due short term as of September, the September interim results show. The amounts were contracted in US dollars and resulted in devaluation losses of $464 million. Since September, the exchange rate swung in favour of the Jamaican dollar by over J$7. Carib Cement will enjoy a big foreign exchange gain and a reduction in the amount due on the loan to around US$65 million as a result of the revaluation of the local dollar, once NCB facility fund is used to pay down the loan from the ultimate parent company. As of today, the exchange rate is JS$127.4623 to the US dollar and on September 30, the average rate was $134.6486, a gain of more than J$7. The amount received for the loan amounts to just over US$24 million and has cut J$174 million from the devaluation losses incurred in the September quarter. The revaluation of the Jamaican dollar to date have reversed another $470 million in losses incurred on the amount of the loan that will not be paid off, with the combined savings being $640 million.
The facility, will allow the company to pay down the overseas loan from cash flow from its operations in the order of J$4-5 billion per annum. By the end of 2019, the foreign loan exposure should be reduced sharply.

NCB Financial hits record TT$8.50 – Monday

NCB stock jumped to TT$8.50 on TTSE.

In market activity on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Monday NCB Financial traded at an intraday high of $8.50 but drifted back down to $7.95 at the close.
At the close of trading 16 securities were active against 12 on Friday, with 5 advancing, 6 declining and 5 remaining unchanged on a day when both the volume a value of trading increased above Friday’s levels.
At close of the market the Composite Index gained 16.56 points to 1,294.65. The All T&T Index rose 3.87 points to 1,694.97, while the Cross Listed Index added 4.05 points to close at 120.84.
Trading ended with 812,542 shares at a value of $10,196,809 compared to 611,620 shares at a value of $5,060,996 on Friday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 4 stocks with the bid lower than the last selling price and 2 with lower offers.
Stocks closing with gainsNational Enterprises rose 5 cents and completed trading 300 stock units at $8, Prestige Holdings closed with a gain of 15 cents to $7.50, with 220 units changing hands, Scotiabank concluded trading of 13,166 units with a rise of 8 cents to $64.74, Trinidad & Tobago NGL added 3 cents and concluded at $29.15, after exchanging 2,614 shares and West Indian Tobacco increased 25 cents and settled at $95.25, trading 700 units.
Stocks closing with losses| Clico Investments concluded trading with a loss of 5 cents at $20.15, with 35,930 stock units changing hands, First Citizens traded with a loss of 1 cent at $32.75, after exchanging 12,567 shares, Guardian Holdings closed with a loss of 1 cent and settled at $18, trading 378 units, NCB Financial Group declined by 5 cents and concluded trading at $7.95, after exchanging 43,502 shares up to an intraday record high of $8.50, Republic Financial Holdings shed 26 cents and ended at $107, exchanging 22,969 shares and Sagicor Financial lost 3 cents and completed trading at $9.97, with 375,798 stock units changing hands.
Stocks closing firm| First Caribbean International Bank settled at $8.05, with 151,350 units changing hands, JMMB Group ended market activity at $1.75, after exchanging 100,000 shares, LJ Williams B share ended at 75 cents, after trading 50,000 shares, Massy Holdings ended at $45, in exchanging 1,748 shares and Unilever Caribbean completed trading at $23, with 1,300 stock units changing hands.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Scotia & Stanley Motta now in IC Top 10

Two changes took place in the main market TOP 10 and one in the Junior Market as market activity pushed out some stocks from the list this past week.
Palace Amusement and Barita Investments had big price gains during the week and exited the main market top list while Honey Bun reported full year profit of 18 cents per share and dropped out of the top tier stocks but it still showed strong signs of better days ahead as it starts the new fiscal year with increased volume sales.

New Entrants this week are, Stanley Motta and Scotia Group for the main market and Jamaican Teas for the Junior Market. Barita Investments jumped to a record $28 on Friday as investors continue to bid up the stock with talk on the road of positive developments surrounding the company. This publication expects good gains from the company’s investment portfolio and the performance of the stock market should also result in growth in the equity-based unit trust and therefo re boost fee income. In addition, word out is that they have acquired an investment portfolio that will add to revenues. At the current price, a stock split also seems assured for 2019.
During the week news broke that Scotia Group had entered into an agreement to sell their insurance arm to Sagicor Financial, the news helped to drive prices of Scotia Group, Sagicor Group and PanJam Investment up and created excitement in the market.
The main market closed the week with the overall PE remains at 15.7, the PE of the Junior market is at 15.9. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 8.8 and the main market PE is now 9.5.

The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 45 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 39 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

All Jamaica hits record 435,785 points

In early morning trading after just 7 minutes of the opening the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index (AJI) rose 5,319.88 to a record 435,784.80 points and the JSE index climbed 4,847.01 points to 397,049.24.
Later on, the market briefly moved higher into the 435,900 points level on the AJI, but fell back to 435,061.21.
he market hit a record high follows on Thursday last week Barita Investments traded at a new high of $24.01, NCB Financial hit a record $160, PanJam Investment traded at $72, Sagicor Group at $51.95 haven risen sharply to a record high, but the bid is at $55 to buy 49,301 shares, Scotia Group trades at $60 and Seprod at $33.65.
The junior market continues under some selling pressure is not sharing in the strong gains of the more matured companies and declined by 2.81 points to 3,179.52 with just one stock trading so far.
In today’s trading Scotia Group is back at $60, along with Grace Kennedy that traded at $57, NCB and Supreme Ventures are the major contributors to the rise.

Wisynco expects better Q2

Wisynco held its AGM on Tuesday, November 26, at the Sam Mahfood Distribution Centre, Lakes Pen Road, St Catherine. The well attended meeting was updated on the financials for the 2018 fiscal year ending June and the 2018 first quarter by the managing director, Andrew Mahfood.
Mahfood spoke to the major developments during the year and the quarter including the successful IPO last year. Shareholders were informed on the full resumption of the storage facilities at the headquarters, with cold storage being the latest to come on stream. He stated that not much savings was expected in the switch. There will be cost savings in rental and from a more efficient operation with just one location than two.
The company reported sales revenue of $25.54 billion up 14.8 percent from $21.38 billion in 2017 and generated net profit of $3.29 billion compared to $2.45 billion in 2017. Attendees were informed by the managing director that the 2017 net profit included the one off income from the insurance claim amounting to $636 million before tax which relates to the fire that occurred in May 2016.
The installation of two new bottling lines and one new filler Mahfood told shareholders and guests, should result in 40 percent more efficiency, the lines allows for less packaging material being used to produce bottles and will also result in lower transportation costs. The new lines have created capacity to meet increased demand and facilitate increased exports sales. For the first quarter sales revenue grew

Shareholders at Wisynco 2018 AGM.

just over 12 percent to $6.8 billion but should rise faster in the second quarter with new products for distribution and increased production to meet market demand. Profit grew 15.7 percent to $779 million in the September quarter, from $698 million in 2017, with earnings per share for the quarter ending at 21 cents and is projected by IC Insider.com to reach $1.10 for the full year. Gross Profit also increased to $2.6 billion or 10.4 percent over the $2.3 billion achieved in the same quarter of the previous year. Gross Margin of 37.8 percent was slightly lower than the 38.4 percent for the 2017 first quarter due to the commissioning of the new beverage lines and the devaluation of the Jamaican Dollar, management indicated.
Selling, Distribution & Administrative Expenses for the quarter totaled $1.73 billion or 11.4 percent more than the $1.55 billion in 2017.
Both Andrew and William Mahfood seem very optimistic that the second quarter will show improved sales growth over the first quarter. The settling down of the new lines are major factors as well as continued economic growth in the Jamaican economy.
But the operations were not without problems. The operation of the new equipment took time to settle and this resulted in dislocation in supplying the marketplace with adequate supplies, which held back sales in the first quarter. That problem seems to have been resolved as sales have improved, the two Mahfood brothers told IC Insider and this will show up in increased sales in the second quarter and beyond. Distribution of the Rum Bar brand of spirits produced by Worthy Park Estates commenced in November. Sales from this is expected to reach $500 to $600 million per year, while the distribution of sugar will commence in 2019.

NCB share grows 10 times since 2014

NCB stock closed at $159.05 on Friday.

NCB Financial stock sold at a record $160 last week for a gain of 60 percent for the year to date. Added to this return, are dividend payments totaling $2.80. While investors are now enthused about the stock pushing to new heights, not so long ago they were not with it selling at just $17.
In November 2014, NCB shares were being sold at $17 on several days but the banking group was about to release record profits of $11.6 billion or earnings per share of $4.73, this compares to EPS of $3.49 in 2013. As late as November 2016, the shares were trading at $46 each, less than 10 times the 2014 profit per share. In just two years since, the stock gained 248 percent plus dividends paid and since late 2014, the capital appreciation is a staggering 941 percent. The truth is that the group is not finished yet delivering for investors. When they take majority ownership in Guardian Holdings investors should see major cost savings from rationalization and increased business with the expanded resources.

NCB Financial hits up on resistance at $160 & may find it difficult to break through to the next level at $200, 25% away.

Long term investors should hold on to their stocks for the big ride ahead to flow from acquisition and the impact that growth in the Jamaican economy will have on the operation.
The stock that traded at $160 this past week is currently trading around resistance level, if it breaks through meaningfully, the next major resistance is at $200 or 25 percent away from current price.

PE ratio most critical investment tool

The PE is the most common measure of valuing stocks and understanding it’s use is critical to successful investing. It is computed by dividing the price of a stock by the earnings for each share.
This is important since various companies have different earnings and number of issued share. Why is the measure important? Investors are buying an intangible which is future income, the PE tells how many years of profit or earnings investors have price into a company’s stock. For example, take the hottest stock around now – NCB Financial, this publication projects the group to generate earnings next year of $17.5 billion after tax or $12.50 per share. Based on the above price, the stock now sells for 12.7 times 2019 earnings. If the profit stagnates at these levels then it will take 12.5 years to recover an investment in the stock assuming all profits were paid out to shareholders.
Investors will compare this PE ratio of 12.7 with the overall market which is now at 16 as well as against other stocks. If other stocks are selling below the value of NCB then it may be better to go after those, all things being equal, they should provide a better return on investments.
While the PE is best used in the stock market it can be used in the money and real estate markets as well.

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