Archives for April 2021

Down day for TTSE stocks

Market activity ended on Tuesday, with the market declining after 81 percent fewer shares traded than on Monday, resulting in 20 securities changing hands compared to 17 on Monday, Trading ended, with no stock rising, five declining and 15 remaining unchanged at the close of the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange.

Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange Head Quarters

The Composite Index slipped 0.79 points to 1,342.83, the All T&T Index dipped 1.13 points to close at 1,784.79 and the Cross-Listed Index fell 0.06 points to settle at 121.90.
Overall, 78,980 shares traded, for $1,341,997 compared to 409,039 units at $2,606,837 on Monday.
An average of 3,949 units traded at $67,100 down from 24,061 at $153,343 on Monday. Trading month to date averages 10,326 units traded at $179,849 versus 10,817 units at $188,522. The average trade for March amounted to 12,610 units at $342,338.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows two stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.
At the close, Agostini’s ended trading 405 shares at $24.25, Angostura Holdings lost 7 cents to end at $15.42 after exchanging 960 units, Ansa Mcal shed 1 cent to end at $56.79 with an exchange of 35 stocks, Calypso Macro Investment Fund remained at $14.27 trading 500 units, Clico Investment Fund ended at $25.05, with 6,865 stocks crossing the market. First Citizens Bank stayed at $46.41 trading 2,887 stocks, FirstCaribbean International Bank closed at $6.74, with 1,823 units changing hands, Grace Kennedy traded 1,912 stock units at $5. Guardian Holdings ended at $25.60 with an exchange of 5,788 stock units, Guardian Media closed at $3.01 while exchanging 1,652 stocks, JMMB Group stayed at $1.81 after trading 27,705 shares. Massy Holdings remained at $64, with 85 units changing hands, National Flour stayed at $2.35 exchanging 6,860 shares, NCB Financial Group closed at $8.49 after exchanging 1,000 stocks. One Caribbean Media fell 39 cents to $4.50 trading 1,000 units, Republic Financial Holdings fell 10 cents to $132.26 in trading 3,225 units, Scotiabank traded stock units at $54.65. Trinidad & Tobago NGL shed 25 cents in closing at a 52 weeks’ low of $13.25, with 11,323 units crossing the market, Unilever Caribbean remained at $16.32 after an exchange of 2,500 units and West Indian Tobacco closed at $32.98 in trading 500 shares.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Declining sectors obscure export headway

Jamaicans have been talking about increased exports for a very long time; at best, the results have been mixed, with sharp declines in most traditional export products and new ones taking their places.

Image courtesy of dplanet/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

The mining sector comprising mostly bauxite and alumina, generated US$514 million or 36 percent less than the US$803 million in 2019, but that was just 4 percent lower than the amount earned in 2017. The closure of the alumina plant in Alpart towards the end of 2019 was the main contributor to the decline.
The country seems to be making some headway in increasing export earnings, with exports excluding sugar, coffee, scrap metals, mining and mineral exports, rising an attractive 61 percent since 2017.
The bright spots for exports are rums, up 38 percent in 4 years, yams, ackee, the three Bs – bread, biscuits, buns and cakes, sauces, beverages, chemicals and other domestic exports.

Coming tomorrow – Rum exports

10 days of uninterrupted gains

Stocks prices gained on Monday, with the market rising for the tenth consecutive trading day as the market continues to build on its recent break from the triangular formation that constrained its upward movement up to recently. The market closed with the volume of shares exchanged dropping 44 percent with a 55 percent loss in value compared to Friday when trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market ended.
Trading was halted towards the original close after the trading platform encountered problems, closing market activity until minutes to 3 pm ahead of the close for the day.
The All Jamaican Composite Index rose 873.62 points to 443,164.19 but went as high as 445,002.01 in the early morning session. The Main Index advanced 804.80 points to 403,647.40 and the JSE Financial Index gained 0.12 points to settle at 100.56.
Trading ended with 52 securities similar to Friday and closed with prices of 20 stocks rising, 16 declining and 16 remaining unchanged. The PE Ratio closed, based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings, averages 16.1.
Investors traded 7,978,781 shares trading for $49,570,730 compared to 14,183,739 units at $110,730,479 on Friday. Sagicor Select Financial Fund led trading with 24 percent of total volume for an exchange of 1.91 million shares followed by Transjamaican Highway with 18.1 percent for 1.45 million units and Wigton Windfarm with 11.1 percent for 882,395 units.
Trading averaged 153,438 units at $953,283, down from 272,764 shares at $2,129,432 on Friday. Month to date trading averages 230,425 units at $1,514,180, in contrast to 235,024 units at $1,554,972 on Friday. March averaged 354,304 units at $2,543,232.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows nine stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.
At the close, Caribbean Cement advanced $2.95 to close at a 52 weeks’ closing high of $75.95 with 196,318 shares crossing the market, Eppley ended $2.74 higher at $34.74 in switching ownership of 1,297 stock units, Eppley Caribbean Property Fund declined $4 to $40 with 300 units crossing the exchange. Jamaica Producers rose 50 cents to close at $28.50 in the trading of 12,166 shares, Jamaica Stock Exchange gained 38 cents to finish at $17.99 in exchanging 23,230 stocks. JMMB Group shed 49 cents in ending at $32.50 finishing with a transfer at 39,539 shares Key Insurance fell 38 cents to $5.60 after an exchange of 268,004 stock units. Kingston Wharves lost 20 cents to end at $43.60 with 14,639 shares changing hands, Margaritaville finished $2 higher at $30 with the swapping of 2,736 units, Palace Amusement climbed $70 in closing at $940 in an exchange of 112 stocks, PanJam Investment advanced $3 to $66 after a transfer of 3,241 units, Pulse Investments lost 20 cents to close at $4.20 in switching ownership of 592,233 shares. Salada Foods gained 43 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $6.93 in the trading of 118,708 stock units. Scotia Group gained 60 cents to end at $42.50 after exchanging 53,675 units, Seprod fell 50 cents to $82 with the swapping of 6,856 stocks and Victoria Mutual Investments gained 52 cents to end at $6.45 with 254,746 stock units changing hands.
In the preference segment, JMMB Group 7.25% shed 33 cents to close at $2.50 in trading 48 stocks and JMMB Group 7.15% – 2028 lost 30 cents to close at $2.70 in exchanging 501 stock units.
In the corporate bond market, Guardian Holdings bond due 2025 traded 49,995,000 units and lost $3.01 to end at $101.28.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Fesco dominates Junior Market

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Newly listed Future Energy Source (Fesco) dominated trading on the Junior Market for the second trading day with just under 87 percent of the volume, with the price rising to $1.16 in early trading before pulling back, later on, to end at a record close of $1.09.
Traders exchanged 23,395,893 shares for $32,100,797 compared to 26,069,242 units at $47,035,182 on Friday.
Fesco led trading with 86.8 percent of total volume, with 20.30 million shares followed by Jamaican Teas 4 percent of the day’s trade with 934,196 units, while Fontana trading of 390,567 shares secured 1.7 percent of the overall volume.
Trading ended with 38 securities changing hands compared to 34 on Friday and concluded with the prices of 15 stocks rising, 14 declining and nine remaining unchanged.
The Junior Market Index climbed 23.96 points to settle at 3,174.51 after breaking through the 3,200 mark at the opening of the market and peaking at 3,203,03 after 9 minutes into trading. The PE Ratio based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings averaged 12.8.
Trading averaged 615,681 units at $844,758 in contrast to 766,742 at $1,383,388 on Friday. Trading month to date, averages 253,496 units at $690,037, compared to 227,626 units at $678,986 on Friday. March closed with an average of 252,633 units at $733,196.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows two stocks ended with bids higher than the last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, AMG Packaging slipped 7 cents to $1.72 trading 35,100 shares, Blue Power fell 7 cents to $3.73 with a transfer of 15,653 units, CAC 2000 rose 50 cents to $10 trading 9 stocks. Caribbean Assurance Brokers fell 16 cents to $1.94, with an exchange of 89,429 stock units, Caribbean Cream lost 10 cents to close at $6.19 with 4,064 shares changing hands, Caribbean Flavours fell 9 cents to $2.21 with 92,235 units traded. Caribbean Producers declined 5 cents to end at $3.85 with a transfer of 5,051 stocks, Elite Diagnostic gained 10 cents to settle at $3.10 with 2,000 stock units passing through the market, Fontana advanced 24 cents to $5.99 with an exchange of 390,567 shares.

 Fosrich dropped 50 cents to $6 with 36,236 units changing hands, Indies Pharma rose 6 cents to $4.25 with 72,206 stocks traded, Iron Rock Insurance dropped $1.05 to $2.95 with a transfer of 1,850 stock units. Jamaican Teas lost 9 cents to end at $3.51 with 934,196 shares passing through the market, Jetcon Corporation gained 5 cents to close at 83 cents with an exchange of 11,700 units, Mailpac Group rose 12 cents to $3.54 with 88,702 stock units changing hands. Main Event jumped 65 cents to $4.70 with 13,526 shares traded, Medical Disposables rose 9 cents to $4.19 with a transfer of 68,372 stock units, Paramount Trading increased by 11 cents to $1.41 with investors switching ownership of 40,000 units and tTech advanced 19 cents to $4.60 with 568 shares crossing the exchange.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

JSE USD market stocks mostly rose on Monday

Trading on Monday, ended with the market rising after trading 97 percent fewer shares than on Friday, on the US dollar market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, after four securities changed hands, compared to six on Friday, with three rising, none declining and one ending unchanged.
The JSE USD Equity Index gained 2.13 points to end at 213.73, up 14.7 percent for the year to date. The average PE Ratio ends at 13 based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings.
Overall, 32,091 shares traded for US$2,549, down from 1,081,879 units at US$80,306 on Friday.
Trading averaged 8,023 units at US$637, in contrast to 180,313 shares at US$13,384 on Friday. Trading averaged 81,028 units for the month to date at US$6,478 in contrast to 84,309 units at US$6,741 on the prior trading day. March ended with an average of 68,746 units for US$13,137.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ended with the bid higher than the last selling price and two with lower offers.
At the close, First Rock Capital gained 0.5 of a cent in closing at 9 US cents while exchanging 10,000 shares, Proven Investments ended at 26 US cents after trading 5,457 stocks, Sygnus Credit Investments advanced 1.08 cents to 15.08 US cents after 500 stock units changed hands and Transjamaican Highway rose 0.05 of a cent to close at 0.95 of a US cent, with 16,134 stocks changing hands.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Steady trading for TTSE on Monday

Market activity ended on Monday, with the market index slipping after trading 264 percent more shares than on Friday, resulting in slightly more stocks rising than falling at the close of trading on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange.

Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange Head Quarters

At the close, 17 securities traded compared to 16 on Friday, with prices of five rising, four declining and eight ending unchanged. The Composite Index slipped 0.56 points to 1,343.62, the All T&T Index declined 1.09 points to 1,785.92 and the Cross-Listed Index closed unchanged at 121.96.
Overall, 409,039 shares traded for $2,606,83  compared to 112,369  at $2,756,173 on Friday.
An average of 24,061 units traded at $153,343 versus 7,023 at $172,261 on Friday. An average of 10,817 units traded at $188,522  the month to date versus 9,890 units at $190,983. The average trade for March was 12,610 units at $342,338.  
The Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows no stock ending with the bid higher than the last selling price and two with lower offers.
At the close, Agostini’s dropped 15 cents in ending at $24.25 after trading 272 shares, Angostura Holdings remained at $15.49 trading 40 stock units, Clico Investment Fund climbed 5 cents to close at $25.05, with 8,285 stocks crossing the market, First Citizens Bank shed 4 cents ending at $46.41 and exchanging 3,850 units. FirstCaribbean International Bank settled at $6.74 with the swapping of 875 shares, Guardian Holdings remained at $25.60, with 1,599 stock units clearing the market, Guardian Media settled at $3.01, after 6,230 units crossed the market. JMMB Group shed 1 cent to end at $1.81 while exchanging 36,610 shares, Massy Holdings closed at $64 in trading 2,650 stocks, National Enterprises climbed 1 cent to $3, with 132,054 units changing hands. National Flour Mill increased 1 cent to $2.35 trading 128,600 shares, One Caribbean Media rose 1 cent to $4.89 with an exchange of 61,700 stock units, Republic Financial Holdings remained at $132.36 in exchanging 3,131 shares. Scotiabank stayed at $54.65 with the swapping of 3,657 units, Trinidad & Tobago NGL shed 36 cents to end at a 52 weeks’ low of $13.50 trading 17,186 shares, Unilever Caribbean settled at $16.32 in exchanging 500 stock units and West Indian Tobacco gained 6 cents in closing at $32.98, with 1,800 shares changing hands.

 Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

The stars in Jamaica’s export world

Jamaica’s export earnings fell in 2020 from US$1.516 billion to US$1.165 billion, but it was not all bad news on the export front. Excluding mining that fell sharply due partially to the closure of the Alpart alumina plant and a fall in re-exports of mineral and fuels, other exports actually increased as a group but not anything like the fall in other major items.

Coffee exports have fallen but could recover

Export data released recently by the Statistical Institute of Jamaica shows the dramatic change that occurred on the export front with the traditional products giving way to new ones. Traditional Exports excluding mineral fuels earned just US$18.85 million down from US$16 million in 2019 and a fall of 44 percent from US$33 million earned in 2017, due primarily to a 43 percent fall in the export of coffee.
Export earnings from manufacturing, agriculture, and mineral fuels exceed the mining sector in 2020, accounting for 56 percent of exports compared to 51 percent in 2017 and 47 percent in 2019, but excluding mineral fuels, the rest of exported products accounted for US$430 million for 37 percent of exports earning in 2020 compared to US$382 million or 35 percent in 2017 and 27 percent with US$416 million in 2019, the decline in sugar, coffee and scrap metals were the main contributors to the slower growth. Excluding the three products along with mining and mineral fuel, exports would have risen an attractive 61 percent since 2017.
For example, sugar, bananas, cocoa are now shadows of their former glory. In their places come yams, now the leading agricultural export, followed by ackee and coffee. Sugar that was said to be king at one stage, generated just US$6.5 million in export earnings last year, bananas brought in a mere US$726,000 citrus US$383,000 and cocoa US$348,000.

Coming tomorrow – Declining sectors obscure export headway.

A Supreme dip of 18% in Q1

Profit for Supreme ventures dipped 18 percent in the March 2021 quarter, to $602 million, from $737 million in 2020 from Sale revenues that rose 5.7 percent to $10.7 billion from $10.1 billion in 2021.
Growth in revenues disguises an 8 percent or $400 million dip in revenues for the lottery segment and a $1 billion jump in sports betting.
Gross profit slipped 8.8 percent to $2 billion from $2.3 billion in 2020 as direct cost rose 11 percent from $7.8 billion to $8.7 billion and gross profit margin slipped to 18.84 percent in the 2021 March quarter, from 22.68 percent. Selling, administrative and other expenses rose marginally to $1.32 billion, from $1.30 million in 2020.
Finance cost ended at just $12 million in the quarter, while taxation came in at $163 million from $272 million in 2020.
The company has four reporting segments; Lottery, Sports Betting that includes horseracing, Pin Codes, and Other. During the quarter, the Lottery segment generated revenues of $4.6 billion versus $4.99 billion in 2020, with profit falling 32 percent to $630 million compared to $928 million in 2020. Sports Betting raked in revenues of $3 billion versus $2 billion in 2020 and transformed a $4 million profit into a profit of $246 million in 2021, Pin Codes generated income of $2.95 billion in 2021 with a profit of $46 million versus revenues of $3 billion in 2020 and profit of $69 million and the Other segment had revenues of $125 million with a loss of $155 million compared to revenues of $83 million and with a small $3 million loss in 2020.
Earnings per share came in at 22.46 cents for the quarter, down from 28 cents for 2020. The lottery segment delivered an increase in revenues of 9.6 percent to $5.13 billion, up from $4.68 billion for the similar period in 2019, but the gains were nullified in the first quarter of 2021. With the company now faces increased competition, that could be one reason for the fall in revenues for this segment and is a matter to be closely watched as it could worsen going forward for the rest of the year.

Supreme Ventures traded at $16 on Friday.

Gross cash flow brought in $965 million, but additions to fixed assets and acquisition of subsidiary and the paying of $738 million in dividends resulted in a net outflow of $1.34 billion. At the end of March, shareholders’ equity stood at $4 billion, with borrowings at just $5.9 million. Net current assets ended the period at $7.1 billion, including cash funds of $4.97 billion, with Payables of $3.45 billion.
The company has declared an interim ordinary dividend of 20 cents per stock payable on May 21 to shareholders on record at May 7, with the ex-dividend date of May 6.
The stock traded at $16 on the Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, with a PE ratio of 16 times 2021 projected earnings of $1. There is the view that earnings to come, will show that the projection is too low.

Fesco jumps ICTOP10 with 33% gains

Future Energy Source commenced trading on the Junior Market on Friday and closed with a 33 percent gain from the 80 cents public offer price offer to close at $1.06. Its performance saw it slipping from the ICTOP10 list but with room for more growth based on expected 2021/2 earnings.
Future Energy Source was replaced by Main Event, with the latter falling from $4.74 last week to $4.05 this week. The Main Market TOP 10 saw no change to companies on the list. The bullish tone of the Junior Market was joined by the Main Market this past week, with the latter now breaking out of a narrow channel it was trading in for some time, as this publication suggested would happen soon.
The markets made more gains in the past week, with the Main Market recording its ninth day of unbroken gains on Friday, but technical signals suggest a continuation of the rally.
Watch these stocks over the next few weeks, Barita Investments, Caribbean Cement, Grace Kennedy, Jamaica Producers, NCB Financial, PanJam Investment and Sagior Group.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are headed by Elite Diagnostic, followed by Medical Disposables and Jetcon Corporation, with the potential to gain between 285 to 300 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by PanJam Investment and VM Investments, with expected gains of 174 to 388 percent.
Added to the technical indicators is a limited supply of shares for some companies. One such is Caribbean Cream that currently has few offers on the board. The same goes for Elite Diagnostic, Stationery and Office Supplies, Lasco Financial, Main Event, ISP Financial, Cargo Handlers. In the Main Market, its Berger Paints, Jamaica Producers and Radio Jamaica.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, the likelihood is for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months.
The Junior Market, with an average PE 12.9 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading well below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17; this represents another 32 percent rise in the market that would equate to a rise of 50 percent to March 2022. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 5.8 at just 45 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16, some distance from the 19 the market ended March at, suggesting a 19 percent rise from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.5 or 47 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 247 percent and 178 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Fesco jumps 33% on listing debut

Freshly listed Future Energy Source dominated market activity with just over 75 percent of the total volume traded with a record closing price of $1.06 or 33 percent gain on the opening price of 80 cents after the total volume traded jumped 487 percent and the value, 157 percent above Thursday outturn at the close of the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Friday.
The market index ended with a gain of 13.99 points at 3,150.55, with an increase of 19 2 percent year to date. Trading ended with 34 securities changing hands compared to 35 on Thursday and closed with the prices of 12 stocks rising, 14 declining and eight closing unchanged. The PE Ratio, based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings, averages 12.9.
The market closed with an exchange of 26,069,242 shares for $47,035,182 upon the 4,442,267 units at $18,272,766 on Thursday. Following the volume leader are Lasco Distributors with 6.9 percent for 1.8 million units, Fosrich 4.4 percent with 1.15 million units and Fontana with 2.3 percent for 589,842 shares changing hands.
Trading averaged 766,742 units at $1,383,388 in contrast to 126,922 at $522,079 on Thursday. Trading month to date averages 227,626 units at $678,986, up from 190,819 units at $630,894 on Thursday. March closed with an average of 252,633 units at $733,196.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows two stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and none with lower offers.
At the close, Caribbean Cream rose 79 cents to $6.29, with 5,065 shares crossing the market. Caribbean Producers lost 10 cents in closing at $3.90, with an exchange of 324,420 stock units, Elite Diagnostic shed 14 cents to close at $3 in the transferring of 69,628 units, Everything Fresh ended 5 cents lower at $1 with the swapping of 700 units. Express Catering rose 34 cents to $4.45 in trading 91,353 shares, Fontana lost 5 cents to close at $5.75 with 589,842 stocks changing hands, Fosrich fell 48 cents, ending at $6.50 in switching ownership of 1,150,146 shares. Future Energy Source advanced 26 cents to end at a record $1.06 with 19,680,813 stocks crossing the market, Indies Pharma picked up 7 cents to close at $4.19 trading 89,595 shares. Iron Rock Insurance rose 20 cents to $4 with 5,263 shares crossing the market, Jamaican Teas gained 10 cents to close at $3.60 in the swapping of 577,253 shares, Jetcon Corporation ended 6 cents lower at 78 cents after 4,000 stock units cleared the market, Lasco Manufacturing rose 75 cents in closing at a 52 weeks’ closing high of $5.45 with a transfer of 49,020 stocks. Lumber Depot carved out a gain of 2 cents to close at $2.49 after trading 505,232 units, Mailpac Group declined 8 cents to close at $3.42 with 305,323 stock units changing hands and Main Event dropped 40 cents to end at $4.05 after trading 36,163 stocks.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.