Major shake up of ICTOP10

The Jamaica stock market got hit in the past week as a new Initial Public offer of Regency Petroleum shares open to the public on Thursday. The market decline is now a very pronounced feature of the market as investors seek funds to invest in the new issue and pressure prices of existing stocks and provides opportunities for savvy investors to pick up stocks at depressed prices for the eventual rally after the IPO closes.

NCB Financial Group is now back in the ICTOP10

The pricing of the IPO issue does not provide enough likely gains for it to make the ICTOP10, but it is included in the Stocks to Watch as the price is expected to jump and deliver a decent profit.
In the past two weeks, several company results were released to the public, with varying outturns, some of which led to adjustments to earnings per share for the current fiscal year. Sterling Investments and VM Investments earnings were adjusted downward and fell out of the TOP 10 and were replaced by NCB Financial Group and Key Insurance. Earnings for Berger Paints and JMMB Group were also revised downward, but they remain in the Main Market TOP10. Access Financial and Iron Rock Insurance return to the Junior Market TOP10 as General Accident and Medical Disposables dropped out.
Seven stocks in the Junior Market TOP10 declined between 3 percent and 20 percent, with only one rising. The Main Market list had two stocks gaining for a second week and six declining between four and nine percent.
Notable price changes during the week include Paramount Trading that dropped 20 percent to an attractive $1.52, Elite Diagnostic and Lasco Financial dipping 10 percent to close at $3.35 and $2.71, respectively, Lasco Distributors lost 10 percent to $3.10 and Caribbean Cream fell 4 percent to $3.86.
In the Main Market, Guardian Holdings rose 10 percent to $550. VVM Investments dropped 7 percent to $4.07 while JMMB Group and 138 Student Living fell 9 percent to $34 and $4.50, respectively, Jamaica Broilers and VM Investments fell 7 percent to $26.35 and $4.07, respectively and Radio Jamaica lost 5 percent in closing at $1.91.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.6, well below the market average of 13.4. At the same time, the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.8 versus the market at 12, important indicator of the level of undervaluation of the ICTOP10 stocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 247 percent and the Main Market TOP10, an average now of 275 percent, to May 2023.
The Junior Market has 13 stocks representing a third of the market, with PEs from 15 to 30, averaging 20 compared with the above average of the market. The top half of the market has an average PE of 17. This data shows the extent of potential gains that the TOP 10 stocks possess. The situation in the Main Market is similar, with the 16 highest valued stocks priced at a PE of 15 to 90, with an average of 27 and 22.6 excluding the highest valued one and 19.4 for the top half excluding the highest valued stock.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

IPO jitters continue to hit Jamaican stocks

Investors put pressure on the prices of Jamaica Stock Exchange stocks on Friday as they seek funds to enter the latest IPO to hit the market, leading to an across the board decline in all three of the exchanges operated by the Jamaica Stock Exchange. The extent of the pullback shows up in the Combined Market index that is down 3,742.91 points in closing at 348,394.02.  
At the close, the JSE Main Index dropped 3,408.56 points in closing at 335,377.18, the Junior Market Index dropped 61.65 points to 3,871.96 while the All Jamaica Composite Index shed 2,975.20 points to 380,361.84 and the JSE US dollar market surged 29.58 points to end at 227.27.  
Trading ended, with 18,045,996 shares changing hands, for $116.96 million, versus $261.96 million, with 46,225,825 shares traded in all markets on the previous day. The JSE USD market ended with the value of stocks traded amounting to US$22,001 from US$6,828 Thursday.
The market’s PE ratio ended at 22.3 based on 2021-22 earnings and 12.2 times those for 2022-23 at the close of trading.
Investors need pertinent information to successfully navigate many investment options in the local stock market. The ICInsider.com PE ratio chart and the more detailed daily report charts provide investors with regularly updated information to help decision-making.
Investors should use the chart to help make rational investment decisions by investing in stocks close to the average for the sector and not going too far from it unless there are compelling reasons to do so. This approach helps to remove emotions from investment decisions and put in on fundamentals while at the same time not being too far from the majority of investors. Investors who buy when the price of a stock is close to the average will find that they are not inclined to overpay for a stock.
The ICInsider.com PE Ratio chart covers all ordinary shares on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. It shows companies grouped on an industry basis, allowing easy comparisons between the same sector companies and the overall market.
The net asset value of each company is reported as a guide to assess the value of stocks based on this measure quickly. The chart also shows daily changes in stock prices and the percentage year to date price movement based on the last traded prices. Dividends payable and yields for each company are shown in the Main and Junior Markets’ daily report charts that show the closing volume for the bids and offers.
The EPS & PE ratios are based on 2021 and 2022 actual or projected earnings, excluding major one off items. The PE Ratio is the most popular measure used to determine the value of stocks.

Regency IPO opens next week

Another Junior Market listing now looms on the horizon with Regency Petroleum Co. Limited based on Westmoreland offering up to 287,157,354 Ordinary Shares for sale at $1 each. The offer opens on Thursday, November 24 and should bring the total junior Market listings to 48 and the number of companies to 47.
Only 115,196,354 shares will be available for subscription by the public, with the rest of 171,961,000 shares reserved as follows – 55.5 million for Employees & Key Strategic Partners, 100 million for GK Investments to convert loan balance and 16.46 million for Associates Loan Conversion.
The company half year results to June show revenues of $332 million up from $248 million in 2021 with profit after tax of $51 million versus $35 million in 2021 and put the earnings per share for this year at 98 cents, with the PE at 10 times this year’s pretax earnings versus the Junior Market average of just over 12, but below the peak of recent new issues of 15 to 20. ICInsider.com expects the offer to close quickly after opening.
Revenues in 2021 amounted to $607 million compared with $194 million in 2020 and just $45 million in 2019, with a profit of $59 million in 2021 after taxation of $18 million up from $14 million with tax or $3 million in 2020.
The company’s operations span Jamaica as a petroleum marketing company licensed to distribute bulk petroleum products. The company was founded by Andrew Williams, Chief Executive Officer. Revenues are currently generated revenue from sales of LPG Cooking Gas, Automotive Petroleum and Transportation of gasoline.
Shareholders’ Equity amounts to $111 million at the end of June this year.

Sharp trading bounce on Jamaica Stock Exchange

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Trading bounced sharply on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Thursday, with the JSE USD Market climbing to a yearly high after recording a rise of 31.4 percent for the year to date, but the Main and Junior markets suffered sharp and helped to push the Combined Market indices down 4,923.38 points to 352,136.93 at the close.  
The JSE Main Index dropped 4,895.36 points to 338,875.74, the Junior Market Index dropped 38.65 points to 3,933.61, while the All Jamaica Composite Index dived 6,059.36 points to 383,337.04 and the JSE US dollar market surged 14.05 points to end at 256.85.
Trading ended, with 46,225,825 shares changing hands, for $261.96 million, versus $124.6 million, with 31,805,998 shares traded in all markets on the previous day. The JSE USD market ended with the value of stocks traded amounting to US$6,828 from US$1,384 on Wednesday.
The market’s PE ratio ended at 22.4 based on 2021-22 earnings and 12.2 times those for 2022-23 at the close of trading.
Investors need pertinent information to successfully navigate many investment options in the local stock market. The ICInsider.com PE ratio chart and the more detailed daily report charts provide investors with regularly updated information to help decision-making.
Investors should use the chart to help make rational investment decisions by investing in stocks close to the average for the sector and not going too far from it unless there are compelling reasons to do so. This approach helps to remove emotions from investment decisions and put in on fundamentals while at the same time not being too far from the majority of investors. Investors who buy when the price of a stock is close to the average will find that they are not inclined to overpay for a stock.
The ICInsider.com PE Ratio chart covers all ordinary shares on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. It shows companies grouped on an industry basis, allowing easy comparisons between the same sector companies and the overall market.
The net asset value of each company is reported as a guide to assess the value of stocks based on this measure quickly. The chart also shows daily changes in stock prices and the percentage year to date price movement based on the last traded prices. Dividends payable and yields for each company are shown in the Main and Junior Markets’ daily report charts that show the closing volume for the bids and offers.
The EPS & PE ratios are based on 2021 and 2022 actual or projected earnings, excluding major one off items. The PE Ratio is the most popular measure used to determine the value of stocks.

 

JSE Main Market rose on Wednesday

The Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market enjoyed a modest bounce on Wednesday but the Junior Market and the JSE USD Market slipped at the close, the slippage was inadequate to prevent the Combined Market indices from closing 1,181.10 points higher at 357,060.31.  
At the end of trading, the JSE Main Index rose 1,525.74 points to 343,681.10, the Junior Market Index dropped 26.95 points to 3,972.26, while the All Jamaica Composite Index shed 453.12 points to 389,396.40 and the JSE US dollar market dipped 2.60 points to end at 242.80.
Trading ended, with 31,805,998 shares changing hands, for $124.6 million, versus $145.33 million, with 21,069,831 shares traded in all markets on the previous day. The JSE USD market ended with the value of stocks traded amounting to US$1,384 from US$65,957 on Tuesday.
The market’s PE ratio ended at 23.8. Based on 2021-22 earnings and 12.6 times those for 2022-23 at the close of trading.
Investors need pertinent information to successfully navigate many investment options in the local stock market. The ICInsider.com PE ratio chart and the more detailed daily report charts provide investors with regularly updated information to help decision-making.

Palace actually declined $75.12.

Investors should use the chart to help make rational investment decisions by investing in stocks close to the average for the sector and not going too far from it unless there are compelling reasons to do so. This approach helps to remove emotions from investment decisions and put in on fundamentals while at the same time not being too far from the majority of investors. Investors who buy when the price of a stock is close to the average will find that they are not inclined to overpay for a stock.
The ICInsider.com PE Ratio chart covers all ordinary shares on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. It shows companies grouped on an industry basis, allowing easy comparisons between the same sector companies and the overall market.
The net asset value of each company is reported as a guide to assess the value of stocks based on this measure quickly. The chart also shows daily changes in stock prices and the percentage year to date price movement based on the last traded prices. Dividends payable and yields for each company are shown in the Main and Junior Markets’ daily report charts that show the closing volume for the bids and offers.
The EPS & PE ratios are based on 2021 and 2022 actual or projected earnings, excluding major one off items. The PE Ratio is the most popular measure used to determine the value of stocks.

JSE Main market falls others rise

The Jamaica Stock Exchange Main market declined on Tuesday but the Junior Market and the JSE USD Market popped higher modestly at the close and helped in supporting the Combined Market indices that only declined 307.58 points to 355,879.31.  
At the close of the market, the JSE Main Index dipped 570.04 points to 342,155.36, the Junior Market Index popped 24.82 points to close at 3,999.21 points while the All Jamaica Composite Index fell 629.97 points to 389,849.52 and the JSE US dollar market put on 1.32 points to end at 245.40.
Trading ended, with 21,069,831 shares changing hands, for $145.33 million, versus $116.16 million, with 20,808,065 shares traded in all markets on the previous day. The JSE USD market ended with the value of stocks traded amounting to US$65,957 from US$23,622 on Monday.
The market’s PE ratio ended at 23.7. Based on 2021-22 earnings and 12.6 times those for 2022-23 at the close of trading.
Investors need pertinent information to successfully navigate many investment options in the local stock market. The ICInsider.com PE ratio chart and the more detailed daily report charts provide investors with regularly updated information to help decision-making.
Investors should use the chart to help make rational investment decisions by investing in stocks close to the average for the sector and not going too far from it unless there are compelling reasons to do so. This approach helps to remove emotions from investment decisions and put in on fundamentals while at the same time not being too far from the majority of investors. Investors who buy when the price of a stock is close to the average will find that they are not inclined to overpay for a stock.
The ICInsider.com PE Ratio chart covers all ordinary shares on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. It shows companies grouped on an industry basis, allowing easy comparisons between the same sector companies and the overall market.
The net asset value of each company is reported as a guide to assess the value of stocks based on this measure quickly. The chart also shows daily changes in stock prices and the percentage year to date price movement based on the last traded prices. Dividends payable and yields for each company are shown in the Main and Junior Markets’ daily report charts that show the closing volume for the bids and offers.
The EPS & PE ratios are based on 2021 and 2022 actual or projected earnings, excluding major one off items. The PE Ratio is the most popular measure used to determine the value of stocks.

 

Fall for all JSE markets

All markets of the Jamaica Stock Exchange declined on Monday and ended with the Junior Market suffering a big decline and helping to lead the Combined Market indices into falling 1,300 points to 356,186.89.  
At the close of the market, the JSE Main Index slipped 1,347.77 points to 342,725.40, the Junior Market Index dropped 60.44 points to close at 3,974.39 points while the All Jamaica Composite Index fell 1,886.79 points to 390,479.49 and the JSE US dollar market slipped 3.43 points to end at 244.08.
Trading ended, with 20,808,065 shares changing hands, for $116.16 million, versus $173.17 million, with 32,031,909 shares traded in all markets on the previous day. The JSE USD market ended with the value of stocks traded amounting to US$23,622 from US$17,809 on Friday.
The market’s PE ratio ended at 23.3. Based on 2021-22 earnings and 12.6 times those for 2022-23 at the close of trading.
Investors need pertinent information to successfully navigate many investment options in the local stock market. The ICInsider.com PE ratio chart and the more detailed daily report charts provide investors with regularly updated information to help decision-making.
Investors should use the chart to help make rational investment decisions by investing in stocks close to the average for the sector and not going too far from it unless there are compelling reasons to do so. This approach helps to remove emotions from investment decisions and put in on fundamentals while at the same time not being too far from the majority of investors. Investors who buy when the price of a stock is close to the average will find that they are not inclined to overpay for a stock.
The ICInsider.com PE Ratio chart covers all ordinary shares on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. It shows companies grouped on an industry basis, allowing easy comparisons between the same sector companies and the overall market.
The net asset value of each company is reported as a guide to assess the value of stocks based on this measure quickly. The chart also shows daily changes in stock prices and the percentage year to date price movement based on the last traded prices. Dividends payable and yields for each company are shown in the Main and Junior Markets’ daily report charts that show the closing volume for the bids and offers.
The EPS & PE ratios are based on 2021 and 2022 actual or projected earnings, excluding major one off items. The PE Ratio is the most popular measure used to determine the value of stocks.

PBS jumps ICTOP10 with 89% gain

Productive Business Solutions surged 45 percent to close at US$2 from US$1.38 at the close of the previous week and dropped out of the TOP10, having entered at the beginning of April at $1.06 and has now recorded a gain of 89 percent. Caribbean Assurance Brokers slipped out of the Junior Market TOP10 following a downgrade of earnings per share with the release of nine months’ results.
138 Student Living made it back in the Main Market TOP 10 following reporting strong full year results with the promise of more in 2023 as students return to on campus training and Medical Disposables returns to the Junior Market list.
The Junior Market had five top 10 stocks gaining between 4 percent and 14 percent, with two declining over five percent. The Main Market list had only two stocks gaining from 10 and 45 percent with five losses but with four ranging from 4 to 9 percent.
Notable price changes during the week include Lasco Distributors rising 14 percent to $3.10, General Accident and Lasco Financial popped 10 percent to close at $5.05 and $3, respectively, Elite Diagnostic was up 6 percent to $3.72 and Caribbean Cream rose 4 percent to $4. Caribbean Assurance Brokers lost 8 percent to close the week at $2.39, following the release of nine months results that rose 33 percent to 40 cents, with the crucial third quarter results being flat in contrast to solid growth in the first half of the year.
In the Main Market, Productive Business Solutions rose 45 percent during the week to $2, followed by Radio Jamaica, that jumped 10 percent to $2. VVM Investments dropped 9 percent to $4.39 while Caribbean Producers slipped 5 percent to $12.33, Berger Paints also dipped 5 percent and ended at$10.40 and Guardian Holdings fell 4 percent to $500.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.3, well below the market average of 13.4. At the same time, the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 6.2 versus the market at 12.4, an important indicator of the level of undervaluation of the ICTOP10stocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 224 percent and the Main Market TOP10 an average now of 298 percent, to May 2023, following an upgrading of Guardian Holdings earnings per share to $173.50 from $92 previously.
The Junior Market has 14 ; stocks representing a third of the market, with PEs from 16 to 38, averaging22 compared with the above average of the market. The top half of the market has an average PE of 18. This data shows the extent of potential gains that the TOP 10 stocks possess. The situation in the Main Market is similar, with the 15 highest valued stocks priced at a PE of 15 to 80, with an average of 28 and 24.3 excluding the highest valued one and 22.5 for the top half excluding the highest valued stock.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners. Accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Lasco, Medimpex losses appeal vs Pfizer

The Jamaican Court of Appeal on Friday handed down its judgement on the Lasco Distributors and Medimpex appeal of the judgement received by the lower court against Pfizer. The court dismissed the appeals and awarded cost to Pfizer.

Lasco

According to the Court of Appeal, the learned judge awarded Lasco approximately $273.3 million and Medimpex, approximately $170,8 million in damages. Those figures included interest on the various sums that comprised the award. Lasco and Medimpex were both dissatisfied with their respective awards and, in separate appeals, sought to have this court increase them.
Pfizer resisted both appeals, which were consolidated and heard together. Although the appellants have filed numerous grounds of appeal, the essence of their respective complaints is that the learned judge erred in calculating the size of the amlodipine market, the potential growth of that market,  miscalculating the market share for the respective versions of amlodipine sold by each of the appellants, adopting an inappropriate market scenario and applying an inappropriate discount to the market scenario that she adopted. She also had a misunderstanding of the post-injunction sales scenarios for the respective versions of amlodipine sold by the appellants and applied an inappropriate rate of interest to the respective awards of damages.
Lasco Distributors is listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market.
The latest award would be highly disappointing for Lasco who had claimed some US$300 million initially and would have collected a fraction of that amount.

PBS pushes JSE USD markets flying

Productive Business Solutions (PBS) stock jumped 45 percent to a record US$2 on Friday from a close of US$1.38 on Thursday and resulted in an 18.5 percent surge in the market index to 247.51 points. The JSE Main Market ended with mixed results with mild slippage in the All Jamaica Composite and the Combined Market indices as the Junior Market suffered another decline as trading picked up on Thursday’s outturn.
At the close of the market, the JSE Combined Market Index fell 70.38 points to 357,993.78, the JSE Main Index popped 156.36 points to 344,073.17, the Junior Market Index dropped 23.88 points to close at 4,034.83 points while the All Jamaica Composite Index fell 282.96 points to 392,366.28 and the JSE US dollar market jumped 38.74 points to end at 247.51.
Trading ended, with 32,031,909 shares changing hands, for a mere $173.17 million, versus $113.18 million, with 19,817,542 shares traded in all markets on the previous day. The JSE USD market ended with the value of stocks traded amounting to US$17,809 from US$16,127 on Thursday.
The market’s PE ratio ended at 23.8 based on 2021-22 earnings and 12.6 times those for 2022-23 at the close of trading.
Investors need pertinent information to successfully navigate many investment options in the local stock market. The ICInsider.com PE ratio chart and the more detailed daily report charts provide investors with regularly updated information to help decision-making.
Investors should use the chart to help make rational investment decisions by investing in stocks close to the average for the sector and not going too far from it unless there are compelling reasons to do so. This approach helps to remove emotions from investment decisions and put in on fundamentals while at the same time not being too far from the majority of investors. Investors who buy when the price of a stock is close to the average will find that they are not inclined to overpay for a stock.
The ICInsider.com PE Ratio chart covers all ordinary shares on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. It shows companies grouped on an industry basis, allowing easy comparisons between the same sector companies and the overall market.
The net asset value of each company is reported as a guide to assess the value of stocks based on this measure quickly. The chart also shows daily changes in stock prices and the percentage year to date price movement based on the last traded prices. Dividends payable and yields for each company are shown in the Main and Junior Markets’ daily report charts that show the closing volume for the bids and offers.
The EPS & PE ratios are based on 2021 and 2022 actual or projected earnings, excluding major one off items. The PE Ratio is the most popular measure used to determine the value of stocks.

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