New ICTOP10 listings & more big gains

Long time Junior Market ICTOP10 listed Access Financial, finally broke away from resistance and jumped 31 percent for the week to $26.28, but traded at a 52 weeks’ high of $28 on Wednesday and just barely hung on to the top ten in the tenth spot.

Access Financial Services top performing ICTOP10 stock for the past week.

In the Main Market, Radio Jamaica rose 19 percent to $4.10, the 2021 ICTOP10 top performer, Caribbean Producers, climbed 5 percent and finally slipped out of the top 10 after a ride lasting more than a year and a gain of 573 percent, but the stock has more room for healthy gains.
Sagicor Group returns to the TOP10 Main Market and Stationery & Office Supplies returns to the Junior Market listing after an earnings upgrade, following a review of the forecasted numbers as the company continues to recover to pre-Covid-19 sales and  Fontana dropped out with a 4 percent rise, but has much more room to grow in 2022.
Junior Market Elite Diagnostic gained 10 percent to $3.50, Honey Bun rose 7 percent. AMG Packaging lost 10 percent to end at $3.05, Lasco Financial lost 8 percent, Caribbean Assurance Brokers fell 7 percent and General Accident slipped 5 percent.
The week ended with the supplies for some stocks becoming very limited, this applies to Access and Radio Jamaica. Newly listed Spur Tree Spices came in for profit taking on Thursday and Friday after the price peaked at $2.75 and closed the week at $2.15 a fall of 22 percent from the peak, which suggests suggesting more room for decline before the price bottoms. That could take it to around $1.95 based on declines from peak to through of some previous IPOs.
The sharp price movements in the Junior Market reduced the potential gains markedly, with the average increase projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks now at 119 percent versus 122 percent last week.
The top three stocks are Lasco Distributors followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Lasco Financial to gain between 131 and 150 percent, compared to 124 and 160 percent, previously.
The potential gains for Main Market stocks moved from 144 percent to this weeks’ 139 percent this week, with the top three stocks being Guardian Holdings followed by JMMB Group and Sygnus Credit Investments all projected to gain between 151 and 254 percent down from 161 and 257 percent last week.
After trading at a big discount to the Main Market for two years, the average PE for both the JSE primary markets have virtually merged around 16 times earnings multiple based on 2021 earnings, with the Junior Market looking poised to surpass the main Market soon. The difference in potential gains for both TOP10 listings shows the Junior Market with an average rise of 118 percent versus 139 percent for the Main Market. That is an indication that the Junior Market is priced slightly higher than the Main Market.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 16 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March last year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 9.2, with a 43 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 25 percent to March this year, based on an average PE of 20 and 6 percent based on an average PE of 17. Twelve stocks representing 29 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level averaging 25.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.5 just 15 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 21 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.7 representing a 47 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Record high for Trinidad stocks

Investors pushed the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange to record a high close of market activity on Friday as they moved the prices of 10 stocks up allowed four to slip and left five unchanged as the volume of shares trading, dipped while the value rose 33 percent compared to Thursday as stocks of 19 companies traded.
The Composite Index rose 17.67 points to close at a record high of 1,530.37, the All T&T Index rallied 36.19 points to an all-time high of 2,145.09 and the Cross-Listed Index shed 0.30 points to settle at 122.30.
A total of 312,597 shares traded for $16,361,645 compared to 360,139 units at $12,296,385 on Thursday. An average of 16,452 units traded at $861,139 compared to 18,955 shares at $647,178 on the prior day, with trading month to date averaging 45,699 units at $360,304 versus 47,878 units at $322,987. The average trade for December ended at 21,703 units at $306,768.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and none with a lower offer.
At the close, Agostini’s climbed $6 after ending at a 52 weeks’ high of $46 with an exchange of 19 shares, Angostura Holdings finished at $19.99 while exchanging 35 stocks, Clico Investment Fund rose 50 cents to $30, with 32,210 stock units changing hands. First Citizens Group popped $5.75 to end at $66, with 10,683 units clearing the market, FirstCaribbean International Bank remained at $6.14 trading 7,344 units, GraceKennedy increased by 2 cents in closing at $6.22 while exchanging 23,545 stocks. Guardian Holdings rallied 25 cents to close at $30.25 in exchanging 13,334 shares, Guardian Media lost 5 cents ending at $3.10 after 1,304 stock units crossed the exchange, L.J. Williams B share gained 4 cents to end at $1.84 trading 5,000 shares. Massy Holdings fell 25 cents to $106 as 122,818 stocks crossed the market, National Enterprises dropped 35 cents to close at $3.25 trading 61,793 stock units, National Flour Mills ended unchanged at $1.92 after 1,078 units changed hands. NCB Financial Group shed 4 cents in closing at $8.01 in switching ownership of 11,380 stocks, Prestige Holdings advanced 5 cents in ending at $7.05 in an exchange of 1,301 shares, Republic Financial Holdings popped $1.70 to $143 with the swapping of 25 units. Scotiabank gained $4.48 to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $74.98 after exchanging 7,524 stock units, Trinidad & Tobago NGL climbed $1.35 to end at $20 in trading 10,654 stocks, Trinidad Cement ended unchanged at $3.76, with 2,000 stock units passing through the market and West Indian Tobacco remained at $27.99 after 550 units changed hands.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Stocks pulled back on T&T Stock Exchange

Trading picked up Thursday with 41 percent more shares, passing through the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange valued 77 percent higher than in trading on Wednesday and resulted in more stocks falling than rising and the market indices dropping at the close of trading.
A total of 19 securities traded compared to 18 on Wednesday, with six stocks rising, eight declining and five remaining unchanged. The Composite Index shed 13.95 points to 1,512.70, the All T&T Index fell 27.67 points to 2,108.90 and the Cross-Listed Index inched 0.10 points higher to 122.60.
A total of 360,139 shares traded for $12,296,385 compared to 255,751 units at $6,952,251 on Wednesday. An average of 18,955 units traded at $647,178 compared to 14,208 shares at $386,236 previously, with trading month to date averaging 47,878 units at $322,987 versus 50,207 units at $296,887 on the previous trading day. The average trade for December amounts to 21,703 units at $306,768.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows two stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and none with a lower offer.
At the close, Agostini’s popped 50 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $40 while exchanging 100 shares, Angostura Holdings ended unchanged at $19.99 after exchanging 5,320 stocks, Ansa McAl advanced 20 cents to close at $59.50 trading 3,400 units. Ansa Merchant Bank dropped 48 cents in ending at $43.01, with 664 stock units clearing the market, Clico Investment Fund rallied 1 cent in closing at $29.50, with 47,771 units crossing the market, First Citizens Group dropped $5.66 to end at $60.25 in exchanging 1,634 stock units. FirstCaribbean International Bank shed 1 cent to $6.14, with 15 stocks changing hands, GraceKennedy fell 5 cents in closing at $6.20 with an exchange of 125,272 shares, Guardian Holdings finished at $30, with 21,435 units crossing the market. JMMB Group remained at $2.35 in trading 3,000 stocks, Massy Holdings climbed 13 cents in closing at $106.25 with the swapping of 19,517 shares, National Enterprises gained 9 cents to close at $3.60 in switching ownership of 28,510 stock units. NCB Financial Group rose 4 cents to $8.05 after trading 3,248 shares, Prestige Holdings lost 5 cents to end at $7 in an exchange of 500 stocks, Republic Financial Holdings shed $1.20 to $141.30 after an exchange of 40,344 units. Scotiabank ended unchanged at $70.50 with 280 stock units changing hands, Trinidad & Tobago NGL lost 95 cents in closing at $18.65 after exchanging 51,100 stocks, Unilever Caribbean fell 20 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ low $15.80 after trading 7,418 shares and West Indian Tobacco finished at $27.99 with the swapping of 611 units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

TTSE composite index closes at record high

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Market activity ended on Wednesday and resulted in slightly fewer stocks rising than falling at the close of trading, after 56 percent more shares were traded, with 41 percent higher value than on Tuesday at the close of the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange.

New record high for the TTSE Composite Index.

A total of 18 securities traded compared to 20 on Tuesday, with three rising, five declining and 10 remaining unchanged. The Composite Index popped 17.43 points to close at a record high of  1,526.65, the All T&T Index surged 33.72 points to 2,136.57 and the Cross-Listed Index ended unchanged at 122.50.
A total of 255,751 shares traded for $6,952,251 compared to 163,749 units at $4,916,412 on Tuesday. An average of 14,208 units traded at $386,236 compared to 8,187 at $245,821 on Tuesday, with trading month to date averaging 50,207 units at $296,887 versus 53,179 units at $289,510 on the prior trading day. The average trade for December amounts to 21,703 units at $306,768.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows two stocks ended with the bid higher than their last selling prices and one stock with a lower offer.
At the close, Agostini’s rose 50 cents to a 52 weeks’ high of $39.50 after exchanging 535 shares, Angostura Holdings ended at $19.99, with 2,855 stock units crossing the market, Ansa McAl shed 20 cents in closing at $59.30 after exchanging 1,313 stocks. Ansa Merchant Bank ended unchanged at $43.49 with the swapping of 1,115 units, Clico Investment Fund slipped 1 cent to end at $29.49 trading 12,279 stocks, First Citizens Group rallied $5.90 to $65.91 in an exchange of 492 units. GraceKennedy finished unchanged at $6.25, with 250 stock units clearing the market, Guardian Holdings dropped 33 cents to close at $30 while swapping 101,786 shares, JMMB Group finished unchanged at $2.35 after 3,200 stocks changed hands. Massy Holdings lost 12 cents to end at $106.12 in trading 16,179 shares, National Enterprises ended at $3.51 after an exchange of 6,750 stock units, NCB Financial Group remained at $8.01 after 65,394 units crossed the exchange. One Caribbean Media ended at $4.20 in switching ownership of 1,200 stock units, Republic Financial Holdings gained $1.25 in closing at $142.50 with an exchange of 217 units, Scotiabank finished trading of 1,500 shares at $70.50. Trinidad & Tobago NGL declined 40 cents to $19.60 in an exchange of 7,449 stocks, Unilever Caribbean remained at $16, with 16,237 stocks changing hands and West Indian Tobacco ended at $27.after trading 17,000 units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

TTSE market indices plunge

Rising stocks outpaced those declining on Tuesday but a big fall in the price of First Citizens Group push the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange into a big decline at the close of trading, after trading resulted in 29 percent more shares, changing hands with 66 percent higher value than Monday.
The market closed with 20 securities trading versus 21 on Monday, with nine rising, five declining and six ending unchanged. The Composite Index shed 12.12 points to 1,509.22, the All T&T Index lost 25.35 points to close at 2,102.85 and the Cross-Listed Index popped 0.29 points to settle at 122.50.
A total of 163,749 shares traded for $4,916,412 compared to 126,559 units at $2,961,338 on Monday. An average of 8,187 units traded at $245,821 compared to 6,027 at $142,771 on Monday. Trading month to date averaged 53,179 units at $289,510 against 57,724 units at $293,923 on the previous trading day. December ended with an average of 21,703 units at $306,768.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows five stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and none with a lower offer.
At the close, Agostini’s traded 151 shares at $39, Angostura Holdings gained $1.98 to end at $19.99 while exchanging 14 stocks, Ansa Merchant Bank fell 1 cent to close at $43.49 with an exchange of 200 stock units. Calypso Macro Investment Fund rallied 1 cent in closing at $16.66 after exchanging 1,451 units, Clico Investment Fund shed 50 cents in ending at $29.50 after an exchange of 74,705 shares, First Citizens Group dropped $4.99 to close at $60.01 after 1,500 stocks changed hands.  FirstCaribbean International Bank remained at $6.15, with 1,654 units crossing the exchange, GraceKennedy advanced 5 cents to $6.25, after trading 655 stock units, Guardian Holdings increased 33 cents to end at $30.33 with 200 stocks crossing the market. JMMB Group climbed 5 cents to $2.35 trading 5,341 shares, Massy Holdings popped 24 cents to close at $106.24, with 17,320 units changing hands, National Enterprises declined 24 cents to $3.51 after an exchange of 1,300 stock units. National Flour Mills lost 3 cents in closing at $1.92 after 2,200 units switched owners, NCB Financial Group rose 1 cent to end at $8.01 in switching ownership of 3,400 stock units, Prestige Holdings finished the trading of 100 shares at $7.05. Scotiabank finished at $70.50 in trading 6,641 stocks, Trinidad & Tobago NGL ended unchanged at $20, with 50 shares clearing the market, Trinidad Cement popped 1 cent to $3.76 with an exchange of 45,312 stocks. Unilever Caribbean remained at $16, with 485 stock units crossing the exchange and West Indian Tobacco advanced 49 cents to $27.99 with the swapping of 1,070 units.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Trading slips and TTSE falters on Monday

Market activity ended on Monday with more securities trading, resulting in 65 percent fewer shares changing hands as 41 percent less than on money entered the market compared to Friday, on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange and leading to an equal number of stocks rising and falling and in slippage in the market indices.  
At the close, 21 securities traded compared to 18 on Friday, with four stocks each rising and declining and 13 traded unchanged.
The Composite Index dipped 1.99 points to close at 1,521.34, the All T&T Index lost 5.76 points to end at 2,128.20 and the Cross-Listed Index increased 0.29 points to settle at 122.21.
Some 126,559 shares traded, for $2,998,201 compared to 358,635 units at $5,091,172 on Friday. An average of 6,027 units traded at $142,721 compared to 19,924 at $282,843 on Friday. Trading month to date averaged 57,724 units at $293,923 versus 63,857 units at $311,856. The average trade for December amounts to 21,703 units at $306,768.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows five stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one stock with a lower offer.
At the close, Agostini’s traded 43 shares at $39, Angostura Holdings shed $2.49 after ending at $18.01 while exchanging 35,347 stock units, Ansa McAl fell 49 cents to $59.50 with 260 units changing hands. Calypso Macro Investment Fund remained at $16.65 in exchanging 709 stocks, Clico Investment Fund closed at $30 with an exchange of 6,798 units, Endeavour Holdings ended unchanged at $7.99 after swapping 4,615 shares. First Citizens Group declined $1 to close at $65 in an exchange of 155 stock units, FirstCaribbean International Bank popped 1 cent to end at $6.15 in trading 4,495 stocks, GraceKennedy finished at $6.20 with the swapping of 27,705 units. Guardian Holdings remained at $30 after 110 shares crossed the market, JMMB Group ended at $2.30, with 7,894 stock units changing hands, Massy Holdings remained at $106 with an exchange of 13,702 stocks. National Enterprises finished trading 2,667 stocks at $3.75, National Flour Mills finished switching of 340 shares at $1.95, NCB Financial Group remained at $8, with 10,474 stock units crossing the market. Prestige Holdings ended at $7.05 after trading 61 units, Republic Financial Holdings gained $1 to end at $141.25, with 10 stocks crossing the exchange, Scotiabank popped 50 cents to close at $70.50 after 399 shares crossed the exchange. Trinidad & Tobago NGL advanced 40 cents ending at $20 with the swapping of 9,904 stock units, Unilever Caribbean finished unchanged at $16 trading 809 units and West Indian Tobacco dropped 50 cents to end at a 52 weeks’ low of $27.50 after trading 62 stocks.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

The Main Market 15 for Investment2022

The 15 Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market companies that seem poised to score big in 2022 are shown below. As is the case in the past some of these stocks may do better than projected and some may not do a swell, others may take longer to deliver the returns depending on how investors react to new to come about the companies or the industry they operate in. an example of this is the financial sector that ICInsider.com gathers had some negative results from Jamaican bonds with the rise in interest rates and reduction in trading activity as interest rate changes in Jamaica and pending rate change in the overseas markets.
Radio Jamaica – Earnings per share is projected at 65 cents for the year to March 2023 but they should end up with 45 cents for the 2022 fiscal year. The stock rose sharply with a strong increase in volume, followed by strong June quarter profits, with the stock price hitting $4.80 at the peak in 2021.
Management has done an excellent job in turning around the operations in 2020 and the group is benefitting from a leaner operation as well as a boost in revenues in 2021 and beyond. With growth expected in the local economy over the next several years, revenues and profit should continue to hit new record levels. In addition, management continues to focus on increased efficiency, implementation of new technology in various aspects of the operation that will drive growth and profit. There are plans to extract revenues out of other assets that are not readily visible to the general public currently. Not to be missed is the impact an improving economy will have on increasing revenues as businesses increase advertising spend. Futuristically, with the digitization of the network, the company will be in a position to provide internet facilities to its customers as an additional potential income stream.

Berger Paints

Berger Paints – Earnings per share is projected at $2.25 for 2022. The stock is not every bodies’ favourite, but the company is coming back into its own and benefitting from rapid expansion in the construction sector. Expect continued growth to take place as it benefits from the booming housing market locally.
Guardian Holdings – Earnings per share is projected at J$90 for 2022. This stock has been beaten down in the Jamaican market, but it is selling at a much higher price in Trinidad. It is a very good company but has never gotten the valuation that it deserves. They are expected to continue to show profit growth which may falter from time to time based on the nature of their asset base and income stream. The decision of the directors to hold foolishly to the limited number of issued shares is hurting the price badly but they will learn that it is not in the best interest of investors to continue to do so. At that time the stocks will perform better.
JMMB Group – Earnings per share is projected at $7 for the year to March 2023. It is one of the more undervalued stocks on the market, the price is about 6 times earnings. The company has a great deal of room for above average growth in the future. The group’s exposure to doing business in the Dominican Republic is a huge market of 11 million relative to Jamaica, where it can expand in a major way, either by acquisitions or just expanding the current footprints. Historically, the stock tends to move sideways until early summer, if that holds there may be time to focus elsewhere and return to this one. Investors should think long about this one. The company gets permission to buy back shares and the directors set later in the second quarter this year to start doing that and it could mop a lot of selling pressure.

JMMB

Sygnus Credit Investment – Earnings per share is projected at $2.60 for the year to June 2023. At a PE ratio of 5.5 2023 earnings the stock is undervalued and is so based likely 2022 earnings of less than a PE of 10. It operates in a sector that is not well known to the investing public, but that is where above average gains can be made. Management is on target to extract optimal gains from the operations. An example of this is when they raise funds before listing, the planned rate of return was around 8 percent now in the range of 12 percent. The company announced the acquisition of a credit investment company in Puerto Rico that should close later in the year. This will help drive revenues and profit as it broadens its reach and be in a position to attract more capital to allow for greater expansion.
Sterling Investments – Earnings per share is projected at 45 cents for the year to December 2022. The stock is seriously undervalued but investors don’t care much about this one seeing it more as a dividend provider than one with capital growth potential. Earnings should approach 40 cents for 2021 and be higher in 2022. Revenues and profits will benefit from higher interest rates locally and overseas in 2022 that will enhance profitability.
In the year just ended, revenues totaled $185 million for the first nine months, 8.6 percent higher than the $170 million earned for the same period in 2020, driven primarily by increases in interest income and gains on the sale of debt securities. Total foreign exchange gains declined year on year, from $80 million for the 9 months ended September 2020 to $55 million for the nine months to September 2021 and seem set to reverse in the final quarter of the year. Net income totaled $105 million for the first months of 2021, higher by 10.9 percent than the $94 million for the same period in 2020.

Caribbean Producers traded 52 weeks’ high during the week following a near US$2 quarterly profit.

Caribbean Producers – Earnings per share is projected at J$2 for the year to June 2023. Cost cutting and a sharp rebound in the tourism sector with visitor arrivals just 20 percent down on November 2019 numbers augur very well for increased income and profit and the stock that was one of ICInsider.com’s 2021 picks with a 435 percent increase since the start of 2021. ICInsider.com puts the stock price at $40 for 2022 as the company reports record profits and completes the acquisition of an overseas business during the year. Investors should look to a big bounce in the December quarterly profits that should triple the US$1.6 million profit made in the September quarter as revenues for the last quarter of 2021 come in around US$35 million compared to US$25 million for the September quarter.
Caribbean Cement – Earnings per share is projected at $10 for 2022. The company was on target to earn around $8 per share last year but lower sales in the September quarter, due partly to the impact of several days when Jamaicans were not allowed to leave home and a very rainy period reduced sales volume. The stock was trading around the $115 range before the release of the third quarter results was knocked down to trade around the $100 level. The company announced a proposal for a management fee levy by Cemex at which time sellers pushed the price to the low $70 level. The selloff seems overdone, with the company having good prospects to go on to deliver good profits for investors as it benefits from the boom now taking place in the building industry.
This sector is set to continue to grow with government fiscal operations creating more space for the private sector thus taking pressure off interest rates and helping to keep them low to provide a continual stimulus for the sector and the wider economy.
VM Investments – Earnings per share is projected at 80 cents for 2022. The company had good results up to the September quarter, with revenues climbing a strong 33 percent for the September quarter and year to date and profit surging 82 percent in the third quarter and 69 percent year to date. One gather that many financial institutions had negative effects from the changes in interest rates during the December quarter as trading activities slowed thus generating less fee income than previously. The group is set to acquire a pool of mutual funds in the Eastern Caribbean with net assets around J$1.6 billion that will generate increased management fees as the company continues to look for growth going forward.

Audrey Tugwell Henry Scotia group’s CEO

Scotia Group -Earnings per share is projected at $3.65 for the year to October 2022. The group has been focusing on restructuring its operations to fit the new way of banking that relies less on physical branches than before. That has led to some branch closures and changes to services provided. This will result in reduced operating costs that will start to show in the current year.
The advent of Covid-19 in 2020 led to increased nonperforming loan provisions and a contraction in lending, with loans net of loan provisioning, falling from $221 billion in October 2020 to $209 billion in 2021 and declining from $216 billion at the end of July 2021. The fall in the loan growth should be reversed in 2022 with expansion in the local economy and continued buoyancy in the building market. Additionally, interest rates were kept to a minimum in the local economy that result in reduced interest income but with the Bank of Jamaica hike rates from half a percent to the range of 4 percent, the group will generate much increase in interest income. The increased rates could add around $9 billion to revenues in a full year and increase profit.
Investors should be focusing on the medium term prospects than on the recent past that was negatively affected by short term developments that won’t last.
PanJam Investment – Earnings per share is projected at $8 for the year. A diversified group, with focus on the property market commercial and more recently the hotel sector, liquid investments managed directly by themselves and through its 30 percent associate, Sagicor Group. Investment in the stock is likely to deliver good long term returns, but the stock seems undervalued currently with quite a bit of upside potential.
For the quarter ending September last year, profit attributable to shareholders amounted to $2.5 billion, up from $1.5 billion in 2020 and $4.8 billion for the nine months versus $2 billion in 2020, resulting in Earnings per stock unit for the quarter of $2.33 and $4.52 for the nine that should push the full year results around $7 placing the stock that traded at $66 at the end of December as undervalued at a PE of 9.6 compared to the market average of just over 16.

Christopher Williams, Proven Investments CEO.

Proven Investments – Earnings per share is projected at 0.28 US cents for the year to March 2023. Proven stock has not performed over the past year but it could do so this year as acquisitions made recently, starts to contribute to improvement in revenues and profit. Investors would recall that the company raised fresh capital in late 2020 amounting to US$29 million in addition to sums raised a year or two before that was not fully utilized to acquire new business that would deliver a rate of return on investment that was much greater than cash funds. During the last year, the company closed on some acquisitions that are set to contribute to increased profits and enhanced earnings per share. The company also plans to rationalize some of the geographically diverse holdings to generate economies of scale and thus improve profitability further.
Grace Kennedy – Earnings per share is projected at $12 for the year. Earnings of $12 may appear steep, but that is possible, with continued growth in the food division and recovery in the financial sector as well as strong economic recovery in the main markets it operates in. regardless the stock is currently undervalued and will be a good vehicle for long term growth.
QWI Investments – Earnings per share is projected at 88 cents for the year to September 2022. The numbers appear rich but ICInsider.com expects Access Financial Services to come into its own in the current year and drive its stock price well into the $50 region or more and along with other excellent holdings of QWI that are poised to deliver great returns during the year. The stock was one of the better performers on the Main Market last year with a rise of 14 percent and the NAV increasing 21.5 percent. Last year NCB Group had a block of shares on sale that pressured the price for months but those are taken out and the company may be in a position to buy back shares as such 2022 is likely to be a year of improving fortunes.

Christopher Levy – Jamaica Broilers President and Chief Executive.

Jamaica Broilers – Earnings per share is projected at $3 for the year to April 2023. The group has been expanding with a good degree of focus on the North American market.
For the year to October, last year’s group revenues for the six months amounted to $35.8 billion, 35 percent higher than the $26.5 billion achieved in the corresponding six months of the previous year. Gross profit for the six months increased less than the growth in revenues at 14 percent to $7.3 billion, Gross profit as a percentage of sales declined from 24 percent in the prior year to 20 percent. The decline is primarily attributable to increased input costs that were partially mitigated by the significant growth in the US business. For the six months ended 30 October 2021, the net profit after tax was $872 million, a 21 percent decrease versus the corresponding period in the prior year. The decrease is primarily due to foreign exchange gains of $290 million in the previous year, including in finance costs, compared to foreign exchange losses of $70 million in the current year. The prior year’s gains were mainly in the Haiti Operations where the Haitian Gourdes experienced significant revaluation against the US dollar. Operating profit of $1.7 billion was aligned with the prior year.

The case for Main Market stocks in 2022

Investors’ attention turned to the Junior Market in both 2020 and 2021 as that market provided better values for stocks and therefore greater opportunities to make higher profits. Projected earnings of the listed companies suggest that the situation is unlikely to change in 2022.
The Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange eked out a modest gain of 1.1 percent in the All Jamaica Composite index at the end of 2021, the index was 21.7 percent lower than the end of 2019.
The PE for the Main market is 14 times 2022 earnings compared to 16 based on 2021 earnings, that does not suggest a big uptick for the market with just a 14 percent increase expected in 2022 over 2021 that would push the index to 499,694 points, still well below the 559,853.26 points the market closed out 2019 at.
There are several stocks in the market, data suggest could more than double in 2022 and investor would be wise to not only pay attention but pick up some of these undervalued stocks in preparation for long term growth as the Jamaican economy rebounds and move into a new stage of long term positive growth that a number of these companies will benefit from.
Banks could be amongst the big performer as they shed the need for continued heavy provisioning of loans as well as grow their book of loans to deliver more income to profits. Added the increase in interest rates will help improve their net interest income.
ICInsider.com data indicates that there are 8 stocks that can double in the Main Market in 2022 into early 2023. 2021 finished with several stocks trading at or above 20 times earnings in the Main Market if that level of valuation continues into 2022 and is more widespread, then the gain in the market could exceed the above potential gains. In the final analysis, the market index is just a simple measure as to how the overall market is doing. It comes down to individual stocks that can do well and that is the case for ICInsider.com TOP15 stocks.

3 new ICTOP10 listings as Spur Tree exists

The Junior Market ICTOP10 stocks have three new listings in a week that saw Spur Tree Spices trading for the first time on Friday with the price climbing to $1.32 for a rise of 32 percent since the Initial Public offer at the end of 2021, there are no new Main Market listings.
Other stocks that were in the spotlight this past week were ones that lasted off to record new all-time highs and include AMG Packaging, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Caribbean Producers and Dolphin Cove a TOP10 contender up to the week ending December 2, also hit a 52 weeks’ high of $23.50 this past week to be up more than 100% since it came into the top flight in August last year at $9.86.
With the rise in the price of Spur Tree Spices, the stock is one of four to move out of the TOP10, followed by Medical Disposables that 16 percent for the week and Caribbean Cream that reported terrible third quarter results with a loss being made in the period as revenues climbed 14 percent in the quarter. Coming into the TOP10 are Lumber Depot, Fontana and General Accident.
Junior Market, AMG Packaging rose a strong 45 percent, ahead of the first quarter results to November that showed profit after tax jumping a big 146 percent over 2020. Investors can expect more gains to come this coming week as the stock traded up $3.90 last week. Caribbean Assurance Brokers climbed to a new 52 weeks’ high during the week and closed $3.12 up 26 percent, Access Financial Services continues to seesaw and recovered 17 percent to $20 this past week and Elite Diagnostic gained 8 percent to $3.18.
The sharp price movements in the Junior Market reduced the potential gains markedly, with the average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks now 122 percent versus 148 percent last week.
The top three stocks are Access Financial Services followed by Lasco Distributors and Caribbean Assurance Brokers can gain between 124 and 160 percent, sharply down from 182 and 204 percent, previously.
Major Main Market TOP10 moving stocks are Caribbean Producers up 7 percent, to $15.99 and Radio Jamaica rallying 7 percent to $3.45 as increased buying interest came in for the stock.
The potential gains for Main Market stocks moved from 146 percent to this weeks’ 144 percent this week, with top three Main Market stocks being Guardian Holdings followed by JMMB Group and Radio Jamaica all projected to gain between 161 and 257 percent up from 199 and 258 percent last week.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 14.7 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 9.1, with a 38 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 36 percent to March this year, based on an average PE of 20 and 16 percent based on an average PE of 17. Eleven stocks representing 26 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level averaging 25.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.4, just 16 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 22 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.5 representing a 48 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Slippage for Trinidad and Tobago stocks

Market activity ended Friday on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange and resulted in more stocks rising than falling after trading 94 percent fewer shares, with a 71 percent fall in value, compared to Thursday.
A total of 18 securities traded versus 19 on Thursday, with five rising, four declining and nine remaining unchanged. The Composite Index declined 2.05 points to 1,523.33, the All T&T Index fell 3.85 points to 2,133.96 and the Cross-Listed Index shed 0.02 points to settle at 121.92.
Some 358,635 shares traded for $5,091,172 compared to 5,990,305 units at $17,772,507 on Thursday. An average of 19,924 units traded at $282,843, down from 315,279 at $935,395 on Thursday. Ttrading month to date averages 63,857 units at $311,856 down from 68,831 units at $315,141. The average trade for December was 21,703 units at $306,768.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and two stocks with lower offers.
At the close, Agostini’s gained 50 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $39, after 2,361 shares crossed the market, Angostura Holdings rallied 50 cents ending at a 52 weeks’ high of $20.50 after trading 950 stock units, Ansa McAl ended unchanged at $59.99 with an exchange of 1,096 stocks. Clico Investment Fund remained at $30 in exchanging 7,188 units, First Citizens Group shed 75 cents to close at $66 with 1,347 stock units changing hands, FirstCaribbean International Bank slipped 1 cent in closing at $6.14, with 1,794 shares crossing the exchange. GraceKennedy climbed 4 cents to $6.20, with 22,295 stocks changing hands, Guardian Holdings finished at $30 in switching ownership of 12,254 units, JMMB Group ended at $2.30 in an exchange of 13,700 stock units. Massy Holdings remained at $106 after exchanging 7,256 shares, National Enterprises rose 25 cents in closing at $3.75 while exchanging 250 stocks, NCB Financial Group ended unchanged at $8 trading 238,640 units. Prestige Holdings increased 5 cents to close at $7.05 in trading 535 stock units, Republic Financial Holdings remained at $140.25, with 800 stocks clearing the market, Scotiabank declined 25 cents to $70 with the swapping of 3,538 units. Trinidad & Tobago NGL ended unchanged at $19.60 trading 14,953 shares, Unilever Caribbean closed at $16 after exchanging 8,652 stocks and West Indian Tobacco dropped 11 cents in closing at 52 weeks’ low of $28 while exchanging 20,026 shares.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

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