Trading slips and TTSE falters on Monday

Market activity ended on Monday with more securities trading, resulting in 65 percent fewer shares changing hands as 41 percent less than on money entered the market compared to Friday, on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange and leading to an equal number of stocks rising and falling and in slippage in the market indices.  
At the close, 21 securities traded compared to 18 on Friday, with four stocks each rising and declining and 13 traded unchanged.
The Composite Index dipped 1.99 points to close at 1,521.34, the All T&T Index lost 5.76 points to end at 2,128.20 and the Cross-Listed Index increased 0.29 points to settle at 122.21.
Some 126,559 shares traded, for $2,998,201 compared to 358,635 units at $5,091,172 on Friday. An average of 6,027 units traded at $142,721 compared to 19,924 at $282,843 on Friday. Trading month to date averaged 57,724 units at $293,923 versus 63,857 units at $311,856. The average trade for December amounts to 21,703 units at $306,768.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows five stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one stock with a lower offer.
At the close, Agostini’s traded 43 shares at $39, Angostura Holdings shed $2.49 after ending at $18.01 while exchanging 35,347 stock units, Ansa McAl fell 49 cents to $59.50 with 260 units changing hands. Calypso Macro Investment Fund remained at $16.65 in exchanging 709 stocks, Clico Investment Fund closed at $30 with an exchange of 6,798 units, Endeavour Holdings ended unchanged at $7.99 after swapping 4,615 shares. First Citizens Group declined $1 to close at $65 in an exchange of 155 stock units, FirstCaribbean International Bank popped 1 cent to end at $6.15 in trading 4,495 stocks, GraceKennedy finished at $6.20 with the swapping of 27,705 units. Guardian Holdings remained at $30 after 110 shares crossed the market, JMMB Group ended at $2.30, with 7,894 stock units changing hands, Massy Holdings remained at $106 with an exchange of 13,702 stocks. National Enterprises finished trading 2,667 stocks at $3.75, National Flour Mills finished switching of 340 shares at $1.95, NCB Financial Group remained at $8, with 10,474 stock units crossing the market. Prestige Holdings ended at $7.05 after trading 61 units, Republic Financial Holdings gained $1 to end at $141.25, with 10 stocks crossing the exchange, Scotiabank popped 50 cents to close at $70.50 after 399 shares crossed the exchange. Trinidad & Tobago NGL advanced 40 cents ending at $20 with the swapping of 9,904 stock units, Unilever Caribbean finished unchanged at $16 trading 809 units and West Indian Tobacco dropped 50 cents to end at a 52 weeks’ low of $27.50 after trading 62 stocks.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

The Main Market 15 for Investment2022

The 15 Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market companies that seem poised to score big in 2022 are shown below. As is the case in the past some of these stocks may do better than projected and some may not do a swell, others may take longer to deliver the returns depending on how investors react to new to come about the companies or the industry they operate in. an example of this is the financial sector that ICInsider.com gathers had some negative results from Jamaican bonds with the rise in interest rates and reduction in trading activity as interest rate changes in Jamaica and pending rate change in the overseas markets.
Radio Jamaica – Earnings per share is projected at 65 cents for the year to March 2023 but they should end up with 45 cents for the 2022 fiscal year. The stock rose sharply with a strong increase in volume, followed by strong June quarter profits, with the stock price hitting $4.80 at the peak in 2021.
Management has done an excellent job in turning around the operations in 2020 and the group is benefitting from a leaner operation as well as a boost in revenues in 2021 and beyond. With growth expected in the local economy over the next several years, revenues and profit should continue to hit new record levels. In addition, management continues to focus on increased efficiency, implementation of new technology in various aspects of the operation that will drive growth and profit. There are plans to extract revenues out of other assets that are not readily visible to the general public currently. Not to be missed is the impact an improving economy will have on increasing revenues as businesses increase advertising spend. Futuristically, with the digitization of the network, the company will be in a position to provide internet facilities to its customers as an additional potential income stream.

Berger Paints

Berger Paints – Earnings per share is projected at $2.25 for 2022. The stock is not every bodies’ favourite, but the company is coming back into its own and benefitting from rapid expansion in the construction sector. Expect continued growth to take place as it benefits from the booming housing market locally.
Guardian Holdings – Earnings per share is projected at J$90 for 2022. This stock has been beaten down in the Jamaican market, but it is selling at a much higher price in Trinidad. It is a very good company but has never gotten the valuation that it deserves. They are expected to continue to show profit growth which may falter from time to time based on the nature of their asset base and income stream. The decision of the directors to hold foolishly to the limited number of issued shares is hurting the price badly but they will learn that it is not in the best interest of investors to continue to do so. At that time the stocks will perform better.
JMMB Group – Earnings per share is projected at $7 for the year to March 2023. It is one of the more undervalued stocks on the market, the price is about 6 times earnings. The company has a great deal of room for above average growth in the future. The group’s exposure to doing business in the Dominican Republic is a huge market of 11 million relative to Jamaica, where it can expand in a major way, either by acquisitions or just expanding the current footprints. Historically, the stock tends to move sideways until early summer, if that holds there may be time to focus elsewhere and return to this one. Investors should think long about this one. The company gets permission to buy back shares and the directors set later in the second quarter this year to start doing that and it could mop a lot of selling pressure.

JMMB

Sygnus Credit Investment – Earnings per share is projected at $2.60 for the year to June 2023. At a PE ratio of 5.5 2023 earnings the stock is undervalued and is so based likely 2022 earnings of less than a PE of 10. It operates in a sector that is not well known to the investing public, but that is where above average gains can be made. Management is on target to extract optimal gains from the operations. An example of this is when they raise funds before listing, the planned rate of return was around 8 percent now in the range of 12 percent. The company announced the acquisition of a credit investment company in Puerto Rico that should close later in the year. This will help drive revenues and profit as it broadens its reach and be in a position to attract more capital to allow for greater expansion.
Sterling Investments – Earnings per share is projected at 45 cents for the year to December 2022. The stock is seriously undervalued but investors don’t care much about this one seeing it more as a dividend provider than one with capital growth potential. Earnings should approach 40 cents for 2021 and be higher in 2022. Revenues and profits will benefit from higher interest rates locally and overseas in 2022 that will enhance profitability.
In the year just ended, revenues totaled $185 million for the first nine months, 8.6 percent higher than the $170 million earned for the same period in 2020, driven primarily by increases in interest income and gains on the sale of debt securities. Total foreign exchange gains declined year on year, from $80 million for the 9 months ended September 2020 to $55 million for the nine months to September 2021 and seem set to reverse in the final quarter of the year. Net income totaled $105 million for the first months of 2021, higher by 10.9 percent than the $94 million for the same period in 2020.

Caribbean Producers traded 52 weeks’ high during the week following a near US$2 quarterly profit.

Caribbean Producers – Earnings per share is projected at J$2 for the year to June 2023. Cost cutting and a sharp rebound in the tourism sector with visitor arrivals just 20 percent down on November 2019 numbers augur very well for increased income and profit and the stock that was one of ICInsider.com’s 2021 picks with a 435 percent increase since the start of 2021. ICInsider.com puts the stock price at $40 for 2022 as the company reports record profits and completes the acquisition of an overseas business during the year. Investors should look to a big bounce in the December quarterly profits that should triple the US$1.6 million profit made in the September quarter as revenues for the last quarter of 2021 come in around US$35 million compared to US$25 million for the September quarter.
Caribbean Cement – Earnings per share is projected at $10 for 2022. The company was on target to earn around $8 per share last year but lower sales in the September quarter, due partly to the impact of several days when Jamaicans were not allowed to leave home and a very rainy period reduced sales volume. The stock was trading around the $115 range before the release of the third quarter results was knocked down to trade around the $100 level. The company announced a proposal for a management fee levy by Cemex at which time sellers pushed the price to the low $70 level. The selloff seems overdone, with the company having good prospects to go on to deliver good profits for investors as it benefits from the boom now taking place in the building industry.
This sector is set to continue to grow with government fiscal operations creating more space for the private sector thus taking pressure off interest rates and helping to keep them low to provide a continual stimulus for the sector and the wider economy.
VM Investments – Earnings per share is projected at 80 cents for 2022. The company had good results up to the September quarter, with revenues climbing a strong 33 percent for the September quarter and year to date and profit surging 82 percent in the third quarter and 69 percent year to date. One gather that many financial institutions had negative effects from the changes in interest rates during the December quarter as trading activities slowed thus generating less fee income than previously. The group is set to acquire a pool of mutual funds in the Eastern Caribbean with net assets around J$1.6 billion that will generate increased management fees as the company continues to look for growth going forward.

Audrey Tugwell Henry Scotia group’s CEO

Scotia Group -Earnings per share is projected at $3.65 for the year to October 2022. The group has been focusing on restructuring its operations to fit the new way of banking that relies less on physical branches than before. That has led to some branch closures and changes to services provided. This will result in reduced operating costs that will start to show in the current year.
The advent of Covid-19 in 2020 led to increased nonperforming loan provisions and a contraction in lending, with loans net of loan provisioning, falling from $221 billion in October 2020 to $209 billion in 2021 and declining from $216 billion at the end of July 2021. The fall in the loan growth should be reversed in 2022 with expansion in the local economy and continued buoyancy in the building market. Additionally, interest rates were kept to a minimum in the local economy that result in reduced interest income but with the Bank of Jamaica hike rates from half a percent to the range of 4 percent, the group will generate much increase in interest income. The increased rates could add around $9 billion to revenues in a full year and increase profit.
Investors should be focusing on the medium term prospects than on the recent past that was negatively affected by short term developments that won’t last.
PanJam Investment – Earnings per share is projected at $8 for the year. A diversified group, with focus on the property market commercial and more recently the hotel sector, liquid investments managed directly by themselves and through its 30 percent associate, Sagicor Group. Investment in the stock is likely to deliver good long term returns, but the stock seems undervalued currently with quite a bit of upside potential.
For the quarter ending September last year, profit attributable to shareholders amounted to $2.5 billion, up from $1.5 billion in 2020 and $4.8 billion for the nine months versus $2 billion in 2020, resulting in Earnings per stock unit for the quarter of $2.33 and $4.52 for the nine that should push the full year results around $7 placing the stock that traded at $66 at the end of December as undervalued at a PE of 9.6 compared to the market average of just over 16.

Christopher Williams, Proven Investments CEO.

Proven Investments – Earnings per share is projected at 0.28 US cents for the year to March 2023. Proven stock has not performed over the past year but it could do so this year as acquisitions made recently, starts to contribute to improvement in revenues and profit. Investors would recall that the company raised fresh capital in late 2020 amounting to US$29 million in addition to sums raised a year or two before that was not fully utilized to acquire new business that would deliver a rate of return on investment that was much greater than cash funds. During the last year, the company closed on some acquisitions that are set to contribute to increased profits and enhanced earnings per share. The company also plans to rationalize some of the geographically diverse holdings to generate economies of scale and thus improve profitability further.
Grace Kennedy – Earnings per share is projected at $12 for the year. Earnings of $12 may appear steep, but that is possible, with continued growth in the food division and recovery in the financial sector as well as strong economic recovery in the main markets it operates in. regardless the stock is currently undervalued and will be a good vehicle for long term growth.
QWI Investments – Earnings per share is projected at 88 cents for the year to September 2022. The numbers appear rich but ICInsider.com expects Access Financial Services to come into its own in the current year and drive its stock price well into the $50 region or more and along with other excellent holdings of QWI that are poised to deliver great returns during the year. The stock was one of the better performers on the Main Market last year with a rise of 14 percent and the NAV increasing 21.5 percent. Last year NCB Group had a block of shares on sale that pressured the price for months but those are taken out and the company may be in a position to buy back shares as such 2022 is likely to be a year of improving fortunes.

Christopher Levy – Jamaica Broilers President and Chief Executive.

Jamaica Broilers – Earnings per share is projected at $3 for the year to April 2023. The group has been expanding with a good degree of focus on the North American market.
For the year to October, last year’s group revenues for the six months amounted to $35.8 billion, 35 percent higher than the $26.5 billion achieved in the corresponding six months of the previous year. Gross profit for the six months increased less than the growth in revenues at 14 percent to $7.3 billion, Gross profit as a percentage of sales declined from 24 percent in the prior year to 20 percent. The decline is primarily attributable to increased input costs that were partially mitigated by the significant growth in the US business. For the six months ended 30 October 2021, the net profit after tax was $872 million, a 21 percent decrease versus the corresponding period in the prior year. The decrease is primarily due to foreign exchange gains of $290 million in the previous year, including in finance costs, compared to foreign exchange losses of $70 million in the current year. The prior year’s gains were mainly in the Haiti Operations where the Haitian Gourdes experienced significant revaluation against the US dollar. Operating profit of $1.7 billion was aligned with the prior year.

The case for Main Market stocks in 2022

Investors’ attention turned to the Junior Market in both 2020 and 2021 as that market provided better values for stocks and therefore greater opportunities to make higher profits. Projected earnings of the listed companies suggest that the situation is unlikely to change in 2022.
The Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange eked out a modest gain of 1.1 percent in the All Jamaica Composite index at the end of 2021, the index was 21.7 percent lower than the end of 2019.
The PE for the Main market is 14 times 2022 earnings compared to 16 based on 2021 earnings, that does not suggest a big uptick for the market with just a 14 percent increase expected in 2022 over 2021 that would push the index to 499,694 points, still well below the 559,853.26 points the market closed out 2019 at.
There are several stocks in the market, data suggest could more than double in 2022 and investor would be wise to not only pay attention but pick up some of these undervalued stocks in preparation for long term growth as the Jamaican economy rebounds and move into a new stage of long term positive growth that a number of these companies will benefit from.
Banks could be amongst the big performer as they shed the need for continued heavy provisioning of loans as well as grow their book of loans to deliver more income to profits. Added the increase in interest rates will help improve their net interest income.
ICInsider.com data indicates that there are 8 stocks that can double in the Main Market in 2022 into early 2023. 2021 finished with several stocks trading at or above 20 times earnings in the Main Market if that level of valuation continues into 2022 and is more widespread, then the gain in the market could exceed the above potential gains. In the final analysis, the market index is just a simple measure as to how the overall market is doing. It comes down to individual stocks that can do well and that is the case for ICInsider.com TOP15 stocks.

3 new ICTOP10 listings as Spur Tree exists

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The Junior Market ICTOP10 stocks have three new listings in a week that saw Spur Tree Spices trading for the first time on Friday with the price climbing to $1.32 for a rise of 32 percent since the Initial Public offer at the end of 2021, there are no new Main Market listings.
Other stocks that were in the spotlight this past week were ones that lasted off to record new all-time highs and include AMG Packaging, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Caribbean Producers and Dolphin Cove a TOP10 contender up to the week ending December 2, also hit a 52 weeks’ high of $23.50 this past week to be up more than 100% since it came into the top flight in August last year at $9.86.
With the rise in the price of Spur Tree Spices, the stock is one of four to move out of the TOP10, followed by Medical Disposables that 16 percent for the week and Caribbean Cream that reported terrible third quarter results with a loss being made in the period as revenues climbed 14 percent in the quarter. Coming into the TOP10 are Lumber Depot, Fontana and General Accident.
Junior Market, AMG Packaging rose a strong 45 percent, ahead of the first quarter results to November that showed profit after tax jumping a big 146 percent over 2020. Investors can expect more gains to come this coming week as the stock traded up $3.90 last week. Caribbean Assurance Brokers climbed to a new 52 weeks’ high during the week and closed $3.12 up 26 percent, Access Financial Services continues to seesaw and recovered 17 percent to $20 this past week and Elite Diagnostic gained 8 percent to $3.18.
The sharp price movements in the Junior Market reduced the potential gains markedly, with the average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks now 122 percent versus 148 percent last week.
The top three stocks are Access Financial Services followed by Lasco Distributors and Caribbean Assurance Brokers can gain between 124 and 160 percent, sharply down from 182 and 204 percent, previously.
Major Main Market TOP10 moving stocks are Caribbean Producers up 7 percent, to $15.99 and Radio Jamaica rallying 7 percent to $3.45 as increased buying interest came in for the stock.
The potential gains for Main Market stocks moved from 146 percent to this weeks’ 144 percent this week, with top three Main Market stocks being Guardian Holdings followed by JMMB Group and Radio Jamaica all projected to gain between 161 and 257 percent up from 199 and 258 percent last week.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 14.7 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 9.1, with a 38 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 36 percent to March this year, based on an average PE of 20 and 16 percent based on an average PE of 17. Eleven stocks representing 26 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level averaging 25.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.4, just 16 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 22 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.5 representing a 48 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Slippage for Trinidad and Tobago stocks

Market activity ended Friday on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange and resulted in more stocks rising than falling after trading 94 percent fewer shares, with a 71 percent fall in value, compared to Thursday.
A total of 18 securities traded versus 19 on Thursday, with five rising, four declining and nine remaining unchanged. The Composite Index declined 2.05 points to 1,523.33, the All T&T Index fell 3.85 points to 2,133.96 and the Cross-Listed Index shed 0.02 points to settle at 121.92.
Some 358,635 shares traded for $5,091,172 compared to 5,990,305 units at $17,772,507 on Thursday. An average of 19,924 units traded at $282,843, down from 315,279 at $935,395 on Thursday. Ttrading month to date averages 63,857 units at $311,856 down from 68,831 units at $315,141. The average trade for December was 21,703 units at $306,768.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and two stocks with lower offers.
At the close, Agostini’s gained 50 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $39, after 2,361 shares crossed the market, Angostura Holdings rallied 50 cents ending at a 52 weeks’ high of $20.50 after trading 950 stock units, Ansa McAl ended unchanged at $59.99 with an exchange of 1,096 stocks. Clico Investment Fund remained at $30 in exchanging 7,188 units, First Citizens Group shed 75 cents to close at $66 with 1,347 stock units changing hands, FirstCaribbean International Bank slipped 1 cent in closing at $6.14, with 1,794 shares crossing the exchange. GraceKennedy climbed 4 cents to $6.20, with 22,295 stocks changing hands, Guardian Holdings finished at $30 in switching ownership of 12,254 units, JMMB Group ended at $2.30 in an exchange of 13,700 stock units. Massy Holdings remained at $106 after exchanging 7,256 shares, National Enterprises rose 25 cents in closing at $3.75 while exchanging 250 stocks, NCB Financial Group ended unchanged at $8 trading 238,640 units. Prestige Holdings increased 5 cents to close at $7.05 in trading 535 stock units, Republic Financial Holdings remained at $140.25, with 800 stocks clearing the market, Scotiabank declined 25 cents to $70 with the swapping of 3,538 units. Trinidad & Tobago NGL ended unchanged at $19.60 trading 14,953 shares, Unilever Caribbean closed at $16 after exchanging 8,652 stocks and West Indian Tobacco dropped 11 cents in closing at 52 weeks’ low of $28 while exchanging 20,026 shares.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Spike in trading activity pushes Trinidad stocks to record high

Trading took a big leap forward on Thursday as the volume of stocks exchanged surged 2,530 percent above the 227,809 units at $3,415,464 on Wednesday to 5,990,305 shares valued 423 percent more at $17,772,507 at the close of the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange.
At the close of the market, 19 securities traded compared to 17 on Wednesday, with four rising, eight declining and seven remaining unchanged. The Composite Index popped 1.51 points to a record close of 1,525.38, the All T&T Index popped 2.81 points to end at a record high of 2,137.81 and the Cross-Listed Index inched 0.02 points higher to 121.94.
An average of 315,279 units traded at $935,395 compared to 13,401 at $200,910 on Wednesday, with trading month to date averaging 68,831 units at $315,141 versus 35,384 units at $230,963. The average trade for December amounts to 21,703 units at $306,768.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and none with lower offers.
At the close, Agostini’s rallied $1 in closing at a 52 weeks’ high of $38.50 after trading 5,868 shares, Angostura Holdings remained at $20, with an exchange of 31,966 stocks, Ansa McAl rose 49 cents to close at $59.99, with 820 units crossing the exchange. Ansa Merchant Bank popped 40 cents to end at a 52 weeks’ high of $43.50, with 1,180 stock units clearing the market, Clico Investment Fund finished unchanged at $30 in trading 10,377 shares, First Citizens Group declined 24 cents to $66.75 in exchange of 58 units. FirstCaribbean International Bank ended at $6.1 after 31,662 stock units crossed the market, GraceKennedy shed 4 cents to close at $6.16 in exchanging 102,614 stocks, Guardian Media finished unchanged at $3.15 while trading 100,000 shares. JMMB Group ended at $2.30 in switching ownership of 4,783,185 stock units, Massy Holdings lost 25 cents to close at $106 with an exchange of 1,431 units, National Flour Mills remained at $1.95, with 5,768 stocks changing hands. NCB Financial Group finished trading 99,013 stock units at $8, One Caribbean Media dropped 24 cents in ending at $4.20 after 4,968 units changed hands, Point Lisas fell 37 cents to $3.25 after exchanging 770,759 shares. Scotiabank dropped $4.70 to close at $70.25 with the swapping of 567 stocks, Trinidad & Tobago NGL advanced 79 cents in closing at $19.60 in an exchange of 11,097 stocks, Unilever Caribbean lost 15 cents to end at $16 after exchanging 19,017 stock units and West Indian Tobacco fell 27 cents ending at a 52 weeks’ low of $28.11 trading 9,955 units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Quiet bullishness overhangs Trinidad Stock Exchange

A quiet bullishness appears around the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange since late 2021 and continues into the new year with prices of selected stocks hitting 52 weeks’ high on a frequent basis, with market activity on Wednesday ending with two stocks trading at 52 weeks’ high and resulted in more stocks rising than falling at the close after trading 63 percent more shares, with 251 percent higher value than Tuesday.
As was the case on Tuesday, 17 securities changed hands, with eight rising, two declining and seven remaining unchanged. The Composite Index increased 2.29 points to close at 1,523.87, the All T&T Index climbed 3.42 points to 2,135.00 and, the Cross-Listed Index advanced 0.15 points to settle at 121.92.
A total of 227,809 shares traded, for $3,415,464 compared to 139,988 units at $972,176 on Tuesday. An average of 13,401 units traded at $200,910 compared to 8,235 at $57,187 on Tuesday and trading month to date averaging 35,384 units at $230,963 versus 38,423 units at $235,117. The average trade for December amounts to 21,703 units at $306,768.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and two stocks with lower offers.
At the close, Agostini’s jumped $1.50 to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $37.50 with the swapping of 18 shares, Ansa McAl remained at $59.50 after trading 2,048 stock units, Clico Investment Fund ended unchanged at $30 after an exchange of 400 units. Endeavour Holdings ended at $7.99, with 2,000 shares changing hands, First Citizens Group increased 1 cent in closing at $66.99, with an exchange of 1,512 stock units, FirstCaribbean International Bank rose 1 cent to close at $6.15 after a transfer of 5,500 shares. GraceKennedy popped 5 cents to $6.20 after exchanging 10,065 stocks, Guardian Holdings remained at $30 while exchanging 10,592 units, Guardian Media gained 10 cents in ending at $3.15, with 300 shares traded. Massy Holdings declined 24 cents to end at $106.25, with 3,511 stock units crossing the market, National Enterprises fell 25 cents ending at $3.50 in an exchange of 13,495 units, National Flour Mills ended at $1.95 after exchanging 23,032 stocks. NCB Financial Group finished trading 137,101 shares at $8, Republic Financial Holdings climbed 3 cents to close at $140.25, with 6,000 stocks clearing the market, Scotiabank advanced $4.95 in closing at a 52 weeks’ high of $74.95 after 1,976 stock units crossed the exchange. Trinidad & Tobago NGL rallied 3 cents to close at $18.81 after exchanging 10,054 units and West Indian Tobacco ended at $28.38 in switching ownership of 205 units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Declining stocks dominate on Trinidad exchange

Declining stocks doubled those rising at the close of market activity on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange on Tuesday and resulted in a big drop in volume and value of stocks trading compared to Monday.
Seventeen securities traded, down from 21 on Monday, with five rising, 10 declining and two closing unchanged.
The Composite Index popped 0.95 points to 1,521.58, the All T&T Index rose 2.58 points to 2,131.58 and the Cross-Listed Index lost 0.11 points to settle at 121.77.
A total of 139,988 shares traded, for $972,176 in contrast with, 2,793,605 units at $10,485,578 on Monday. An average of 8,235 units traded at $57,187 versus 133,029 at $499,313 on Monday, and month to date averaging 38,423 units at $235,117 compared to 43,264 units at $263,655. The average trade for December ended 21,703 units at $306,768.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows five stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one stock with a lower offer.
At the close, Agostini’s spiked $1 in closing at a 52 weeks’ high of $36 after exchanging 56 shares, Ansa McAl ended at $59.50, with 239 units changing hands, Clico Investment Fund remained at $30 after exchanging 550 stock units. First Citizens Group slipped 1 cent to $66.98 while exchanging 14 stocks, FirstCaribbean International Bank shed 1 cent in ending at $6.14 with an exchange of 25,210 stock units, GraceKennedy fell 5 cents to $6.15 after trading 200 shares. Guardian Holdings rose 25 cents to end at $30 in switching ownership of 98 units, JMMB Group gained 3 cents to close at $2.30, with 42,800 stocks changing hands, L.J Williams B share lost 4 cents to close at $1.80 in trading 964 shares. Massy Holdings declined 1 cent to $106.49 after trading 1,500 units, National Enterprises dipped 1 cent in closing at $3.75, with 42,816 stocks clearing the market, NCB Financial Group declined 1 cent in ending at $8 with the swapping of 10,000 stock units. Point Lisas climbed 47 cents to $3.62 in exchanging 500 stocks, Scotiabank rose $1 to close at $70, with 425 stock units crossing the exchange, Trinidad & Tobago NGL lost $1.21 to end at $18.78 with 210 shares changing hands. Unilever Caribbean shed 4 cents to land at $16.15 in an exchange of 13,600 units and West Indian Tobacco fell 12 cents to $28.38 after trading 806 units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Trading picks up in Trinidad

Market activity picked up on Monday on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange, resulting in 140 percent more shares trading, with a 156 percent higher value than Friday, as the market closed with falling stocks beating rising ones on a two to one ratio.
A total of 21 securities traded up from 12 on Friday, with four rising, eight declining and nine ending unchanged. The Composite Index gained 0.48 points to end at 1,520.63, the All T&T Index fell 0.89 points to close at 2,129.00 and the Cross-Listed Index added 0.27 points to settle at 121.88.
Overall, 2,793,605 shares traded, for $10,485,578 compared to 1,164,654 units at $4,097,849 on Friday. An average of 133,029 units traded at $499,313 up from 97,055 at $341,487 on Friday, with trading month to date averaging 43,264 units at $263,655 versus 21,087 units at $205,435. The average trade for December amounts to 21,703 units at $306,768.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one stock with a lower offer.
At the close, Agostini’s gained $1 to end at $35, after 300 shares crossed the market, Angostura Holdings ended unchanged at $20, with 5,451 stock units changing hands, Ansa McAl remained at $59.50 in an exchange of 45 units. CinemaOne shed 5 cents to close at $4.20 in trading 250 stocks, Clico Investment Fund finished at $30 after exchanging 7,180 units, First Citizens Group dipped 1 cent in closing at $66.99 after an exchange of 200 stock units. FirstCaribbean International Bank closed at $6.15 in exchanging 3,000 stocks, GraceKennedy fell 4 cents to $6.20 in switching ownership of 931 shares, Guardian Holdings lost 25 cents to end at $29.75 trading 7,338 shares. JMMB Group dropped 3 cents to close at $2.27 with the swapping of 2,435,193 units, Massy Holdings finished unchanged at $106.50 with an exchange of 4,819 stocks, National Enterprises advanced 35 cents to $3.76 trading 10,122 stock units. National Flour Mills ended unchanged at $1.95, with 5,385 stocks crossing the exchange, NCB Financial Group popped 1 cent to end at $8.01 after trading 274,066 shares, One Caribbean Media ended unchanged at $4.44 while exchanging 18,010 stock units. Republic Financial Holdings plunged $4.76 to $140.22, with 8,574 units clearing the market, Scotiabank dropped $1 to $69 after the trading of 1,563 stocks, Trinidad & Tobago NGL slipped 1 cent in closing at $19.99 after exchanging 10,508 units. Trinidad Cement rose 1 cent to $3.75 trading 325 stock units, Unilever Caribbean finished unchanged at $16.19 in exchanging 245 shares and West Indian Tobacco remained at $28.50, with 100 shares crossing the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

ICTOP10 scaling new highs

Main Market TOP10 stock, Sagicor Group price fell to $52.31 to return to the TOP10 after closing the previous week at $58 and replaced by Scotia Group that slipped from $36 to $35.50 as both the Main and Junior Markets displayed some bullish signs in the past week, with Caribbean Producers hitting a record high of $15 and gained 436 percent in just over a year.

Sagicor Group back in ICTOP10.

Other big news for the week was the continued rise of  ICTOP10 Main Market stock, Caribbean Producers that closed the week with a gain of 15 percent at a record high of $15 and is now in the sixth spot with the potential to gain another 120 percent in months. Radio Jamaica rose 7 percent for the week to $3.23 and Guardian Holdings rose 5 percent.
Junior Market AMG Packaging rose 6 percent but could climb higher with the first quarter results to November, due this coming week and the company is also expected to announce a dividend. Lasco Financial put on 7 percent to land at $3.20, Elite Dynastic gained 4 percent to $2.95, Caribbean Assurance Brokers climbed as high as $2.75 during the week but closed down at $2.48 for a 3 percent gain, and Access Financial Services fell 10 percent to $17.08 and Lasco Distributors lost 6 percent to $3.20.
Elsewhere, investors in the Spur Tree Spices Initial Public offer will receive just over 11.76 percent of the shares they applied for in the heavily oversubscribed issue that is sure to drive the stock price with a big bang in the first week of trading which should be ahead of the end of January.
The top three Main Market stocks, this week are Guardian Holdings followed by JMMB Group and  Radio Jamaica all projected to gain between 199 and 258 percent up from 183 and 261 percent last week.
The Junior Market’s top three stocks for the week are Access Financial Services followed by AMG Packaging and Caribbean Assurance Brokers. All three can gain between 182 and 204 percent versus 174 and 218 percent, previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks is 148 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 152 percent to this weeks’ 146 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 14.8 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of just 8.2, with a 45 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 35 percent to March this year, based on an average PE of 20 and 15 percent based on an average PE of 17. Ten stocks representing 26 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level and averaging 25.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.4, just 16 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 22 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.4 representing a 49 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

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