Cross over Kingston

The line pointing to the top right hand of the picture was created by the jet heading for Honduras and the one from bottom right to top left is heading to Miami. Kingston Harbour is in the direction of the right of the picture


Coming off a weekend of rest and church going an early morning cross appeared and prominently sat over the hills of Jamaica’s capital, Kingston on Monday remaining over the city for quite some time, was captured by ICInsider.com on camera as it was found to be quite intriguing.

was this a sign of significance or just a quirk of nature? What caused it? An Avianca Airbus 320 flying at 38,000 feet flew over Kingston to Miami from Bogota Columbia, minutes before an Amerijet International, Boeing 767 jet flying from San Juan, Porto Rico to San Pedro Sula, Honduras, passed over Kingston moving in a south west direction at a height of 39,000 feet. Both aircrafts left vapor trails, resulting in the cross over Kingston.

Vapor trails might look like smoke or steam, but they are clouds of tiny ice crystals which come from the aircraft’s engines. 

Bad news for Jamaica’s tourism sector


The much heralded bounce in tourism traffic into Jamaica never occurred in January, with traffic down compared with last year for the same period according to data released by Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico operators of Jamaica’s two major international airports. Passenger traffic through Montego Bay’s Sangster International Airport, the major gateway into Jamaica decreased 7.3 percent, compared to January 2024.

In the meantime, Kingston’s Norman Manley airport enjoyed a solid 12.6 percent bounce to 167,000 passengers from 148,300 in 2024. The increase was not enough to offset the sizable fall in the country’s second city.
Sangster International accounted for 456,200, down from 491,900 last year, for a decline of 35,700 or around 18,000 visitors. Montego Bay would have seen a drop with Bascobel being serviced by daily flights out of Miami that would still not be a major factor in the decline.
The decline in January is worse than the 5.6 percent fall in December, with 467,400 passengers versus 495,000 in 2023, while Kingston slipped in 2025 from a 13.8 percent increase in December, last year to 177,400 versus 155,900 in 2023. The decline in January if it continues into other months will ripple through the Jamaican economy and linkage sectors and those dependent on them.
Passenger traffic represents incoming and outgoing individuals passing through the airports, with the monthly movements giving a strong indication of changes in tourism visitor arrivals.

Trading gains for the Junior Market                


Trading picked up on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Friday, with a modest rise in the volume of stocks traded accompanied by a 92 percent surge in value up from Thursday with the number of securities traded rising to 43 securities from 39 on Thursday and ending with rising prices beating out those declining by a notable margin and ending with prices of 23 rising, 15 declining and five ending unchanged.

The market closed with trading of 5,057,362 shares at $11,180,391 compared with 4,942,890 units at $5,833,637 on Thursday. Trading averaged 117,613 shares valued $260,009 compared with 126,741 stocks at $149,580 on Thursday with the month to date, averaging 411,720 stocks for $1,236,825 compared to 442,793 stock units at $1,340,027 on the previous day and November  ending with an average of 309,920 shares at $766,307.
Derrimon Trading led trading with 826,221 shares for 16.3 percent of total volume followed by Kintyre Holdings with 634,117 units for 12.5 percent of the day’s trade and Fosrich with 630,700 stock units for 12.5 percent market share.
At the close of trading, the Junior Market Index popped a modest 5.41 points to settle at 3,691.77. The Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows two stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and four with lower offers.
The Junior Market ended trading with an average PE Ratio of 12.9, based on last traded prices in conjunction with earnings projected by ICInsider.com for financial years ending around August 2025.
At the close of the market, AMG Packaging rose 8 cents to end at $2.84 with investors dealing in just 2 units, Blue Power sank 35 cents to $4.70 with 2,195 units crossing the market, Caribbean Assurance Brokers  rallied 44 cents to $2.96 with traders dealing in just 141 shares. Dolphin Cove popped $1 to $18.50 and ended up closing with 90,173 stock units changing hands, Everything Fresh climbed 13 cents to finish at $2.23 with investors trading 3,182 shares, Express Catering increased 10 cents to close at $3.30 in an exchange of 153 units. Future Energy slipped 14 cents to $3.71 after the trading of 168,274 stocks, Honey Bun advanced 99 cents to finish at $8.50 after a transfer of 5,021 stock units, Indies Pharma gained 11 cents and ended at $3.44 with 177,340 shares passing through the market. Jamaican Teas rose 9 cents to end at $2.19 with 3,841 units crossing the exchange, Knutsford Express advanced by 15 cents to end at $12.90 with 16,005 stocks changing hands, Lasco Financial popped 14 cents to close at $1.64 in an exchange of 769 stock units. Lumber Depot fell 18 cents to $2.56 with 81,776 shares clearing the market, Mailpac Group climbed 15 cents and ended at $2.75 after an exchange of 47,072 units, ONE on ONE Educational shed 7 cents to close at 93 cents with investors trading 62,969 stocks. Regency Petroleum increased 7 cents to finish at $3.08 after an exchange of a mere 3 stock units, Spur Tree Spices gained 12 cents to close at $2 with investors swapping 109,972 shares, Stationery and Office Supplies lost 11 cents to end at $1.47 with 333,087 units switching owners and tTech dipped 10 cents to $2 as investors exchanged 41,385 stocks.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Transjamaican dominates JSE USD Market


Transjamaican Highway dominated trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange US dollar market on Tuesday, with the stock price hitting a new record high as the volume of stocks commanded the majority of the traded volume in the market following a 169 percent rise in the overall volume traded with a 62 percent greater value than on Monday, resulting from an exchange of nine securities, compared with 10 on Monday with prices of three rising, two declining and four ending unchanged.

The market closed with an exchange of 1,575,237 shares for US$53,490 up from 585,154 stocks at US$33,029 on Monday.
Trading averaged 175,026 shares at US$5,943 compared to 58,515 stocks at US$3,303 on Monday, with a month to date average of 208,221 stock units at US$9,959 down from 210,370 stocks at US$10,219 on the previous day and October that ended with an average of 426,617 units for US$11,189.
The US Denominated Equities Index rallied 6.74 points to wrap up trading at 247.48. The Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ending with a bid higher than the last selling price and two with lower offers.
The PE Ratio, one of the best known measures used to determine appropriate stock values, averages 7.2. The PE ratio is calculated based on last traded prices divided by projected earnings, computed by ICInsider.com for companies with financial year ending around August 2025.
At the close, First Rock Real Estate USD share remained at 2.53 US cents in trading 279 shares, Margaritaville slipped 0.01 of a cent and ended at 8 US cents after a transfer of 81,474 stocks, Proven Investments ended at 11 US cents with traders dealing in 17,598 shares. Sterling Investments remained at 1.55 US cents as investors exchanged 2,000 stock units, Sygnus Credit Investments ended at 7 US cents with 17,618 shares crossing the market, Sygnus Real Estate Finance USD share advanced 0.57 of a cent to end at 4.37 US cents after an exchange of 149 stock units and Transjamaican Highway popped 0.28 of one cent to a record high of 2.99 US cents with 1,455,697 units crossing the market.
In the preference segment, Productive Business Solutions 9.25% preference share gained US$1 and ended at US$10 after investors trading 72 stocks and Sygnus Credit Investments US 8% sank 36 cents to end at US$10 with 350 shares changing hands.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Murders poised for 22 year low with unemployment at record low


Murders in Jamaica have plunged sharply in recent months, data from the Jamaica Constable force shows, putting the rate at an annualized level of under 1,000 per annum, levels the trend in 2024 suggest is possible for 2025 as increased employment and low unemployment is helping in a major way in aiding the reduction as indicated by historical data.

If the above is achieved, it would put murders in line to match the 976 cases in 2003 and the lowest in more than two decades. If the security forces make further inroads the social malady, the numbers next year could fall well below the 2003 outcome.
For the period to November 9, this year murders dropped a significant 20.5 percent compared to the similar period in 2023. The latest date shows continuing acceleration in the fall from 14.5 percent up to July 6. Earlier in the year the number of murders per day was over three and is now running around 2.67 percent, still high but moving in the right direction.
The economy is cooperating with crime reduction, by delivering low unemployment and less potential recruits for criminal activities. Historical data shows a strong relationship between increased unemployment and increased murders starting in late 1990s and the reverse is now taking place with low unemployment.
Unemployment rose sharply between in 1977 as the economy contracted significantly, accompanied by capital and human flight. The unemployment rate of just over 11.2 percent in 1975 jumped to 23.8 percent in 1977 and to 27.7 percent in 1979 and remained around 26 percent to 1989, with a few years of modest fall. From 1990 the unemployment numbers started to moderate as can be seen from the chart, but increased murders had just started to climb in 1990 a 15 year lag from the sharp jump in unemployment that provided a greater pool of recruits for criminal activities for several years.
Except for 1980, when murders climbed to 889 amidst a bitter general election, murders were kept below 500 per year until 1990 when it hit 542 and gradually climbed to a high of 1,683 in 2009 with 2005 not far behind with 1,674 and 2017 with 1,647 as employment worsened.

Steady trading on Trinidad Exchange Friday

Rising stocks edged those declining at the end of trading on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange on Friday, following a 66 percent drop in the volume of stocks traded with the value jumping 64 percent over that on Thursday resulting in an exchange of 17 securities compared with 15 previously and ending with prices of five stocks rising, four declining and eight ended firm. with three closing at 52 weeks’ lows.

The market closed with 215,622 shares traded valued at $7,340,236, compared with 627,993 stock units being exchanged for $4,466,868 on Thursday.

An average of 12,684 shares were traded at $431,779 compared with 41,866 units at $297,791 on Thursday, with trading month to date averaging 44,469 shares at $326,805 compared with 47,131 units at $318,014 on the previous day and an average for September of 19,319 shares at $151,318.

The Composite Index dropped 0.17 points to end trading at 1,038.63, the All T&T Index slipped 0.33 points to 1,553.98, the SME Index remained at 88.01 and the Cross-Listed Index closed unchanged at 68.18.

Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows five stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.

At the close of the week, Agostini’s ended at $62.50 after a transfer of just one stock unit, Ansa Merchant Bank remained at $41.19 in trading 4 shares, First Citizens Group gained 2 cents in closing at $40.42 with a transfer of 1,652 units. FirstCaribbean International Bank dipped 55 cents and ended at $7.20, with 39 stocks crossing the market, GraceKennedy popped 4 cents to close at $3.69 in switching ownership of 15,980 shares, Guardian Holdings climbed 25 cents to finish at $13.25 with investors trading 148 units. JMMB Group rose 5 cents to $1.06 in an exchange of 80 stocks, Massy Holdings rallied 5 cents in closing at $3.55 with 111,568 stock units crossing the market, National Enterprises ended at $2.95 in trading 1,384 shares. National Flour Mills remained at $1.70 after an exchange of 28 stock units, NCB Financial ended at $2.30 with 14,403 units changing hands, Prestige Holdings remained at $10.50 as investors exchanged 10 stocks. Republic Financial ended at $111.92 after 60,002 shares passed through the market, Scotiabank remained at $56 with 454 units crossing the exchange, Trinidad & Tobago NGL fell 5 cents in closing at a 52 weeks’ low of $4.75 with investors swapping 8,602 stocks. Unilever Caribbean skidded 24 cents and ended at a 52 weeks’ low of $10.26 in an exchange of 1,197 stock units and West Indian Tobacco lost 1 cent to end at a 52 weeks’ low of $6.50 with traders dealing in 70 shares.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Trading drops on Trinidad Exchange


Trading dropped on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange on Wednesday, with the volume of stocks traded declining 24 percent, with a 30 percent lower value than for the outturn on Tuesday, resulting in just 11 securities trading compared with 13 on Tuesday and ending with prices of only one stock rising, six declining and four ended firm.

The market closed with 368,863 shares trading for $1,621,840, compared with 483,026 stock units exchanging for $2,302,345 on Tuesday.

An average of 33,533 shares were traded at $147,440 compared with 37,156 stock units at $177,103 on Tuesday, with trading month to date averaging 47,551 shares at $318,627 compared with 48,422 units at $330,328 on the previous day and an average for September of 19,319 shares at $151,318.

The Composite Index slipped 1.29 points to end at 1,040.44, the All T&T Index declined 1.48 points to 1,557.48, the SME Index remained at 88.01 and the Cross-Listed Index dipped 0.15 points to close trading at 68.18.

Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows seven stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.

At the close of market activities, Ansa McAl advanced $2.79 to finish at a 52 weeks’ high of $62.79 in trading 13 stock units, CinemaOne remained at $5.50 after 10 shares passed through the market, First Citizens Group fell 1 cent to $40.40 after an exchange of 3,870 stocks. GraceKennedy sank 5 cents in closing at $3.65 after investors ended trading 4,969 units, Massy Holdings ended at $3.55 with 301,168 shares changing hands, National Flour Mills shed 1 cent to close at $1.70 in an exchange of 2,012 units. NCB Financial sank 15 cents to a 52 weeks’ low of $2.15 with investors trading 30,413 stocks, Prestige Holdings remained at $10.50 with a transfer of 77 stock units, Republic Financial dipped 92 cents in closing at a 52 weeks’ low of $111 with 786 shares passing through the exchange. Scotiabank lost 40 cents to finish at $56 with investors trading 987 units and West Indian Tobacco ended at $6.51 after a transfer of 24,558 stocks.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

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Trading jumps on the Trinidad Exchange

Stocks inched higher at the close of trading on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange on Tuesday, after a 251 percent jump in the volume of stocks traded valued 251 percent more than on Monday, resulting from trading of 13 securities similar to Monday and ending with prices of three stocks rising, four declining and six ended firm.

The market closed with trading of 483,026 stock units for $2,302,345 compared to 137,750 stock units at $656,605 on Monday.

An average of 37,156 shares were traded at $177,103 compared with 10,596 units at $50,508 on Monday, with trading for the month to date averaging 49,255 shares with an average of $336,072 compared with 50,232 units at $348,909 on the previous day and an average for September of 19,319 shares at $151,318.

The Composite Index popped 0.58 points higher to 1,041.73, the All T&T Index increased 1.12 points to wrap up trading at 1,558.96, the SME Index remained unchanged at 88.01 and the Cross-Listed Index remained unchanged at 68.33.

 Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows seven stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.

At the close of trading, Agostini’s popped 50 cents and ended at $62.50 in an exchange of 89 stock units, Angostura Holdings ended at $16 with investors dealing in 2,284 shares, CinemaOne fell 40 cents to close at $5.50 in an exchange of 10 units. First Citizens Group slipped 2 cents to $40.41 with investors trading 1,324 stocks, JMMB Group remained at $1.03 and closed with an exchange of 388,700 shares, Massy Holdings shed 3 cents to end at $3.55 with a transfer of 1,400 stocks. National Flour Mills lost 5 cents in closing at $1.71 with investors swapping 450 stock units, NCB Financial remained at $2.30 in switching ownership of 57,463 stocks, Prestige Holdings ended at $10.50 with traders dealing in 2,581 shares. Republic Financial rallied 1 cent to finish at $111.92 with 13,033 units changing hands, Scotiabank remained at $56.40 after exchanging 2,087 shares, Trinidad Cement rose 11 cents to end at $2.72 in trading 6,271 units and West Indian Tobacco ended at $6.51 as investors exchanged 7,334 stocks.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated .

ICTOP10 reshuffle with one new stock

The Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange slipped 2.3 percent in value in the past week while the Junior Market lost 2.2 percent, primarily due to declines in prices of Cargo Handlers, Caribbean Cream, Express Catering and Indies Pharma. The Main Market was hit with a 13 percent drop in the value of NCB Financial Group shares.

With the decline in the price of NCB Financial, the stock is so close to the TOP10 and is now peeping in but could be a struggle before moving sustainably upwards. The demand for the stock is weak currently and the price could be trading in the $40 region. Technical reading suggests a $45 price is not far-fetched before in finding a bottom.
At the end of the week, Dolla Financial rose 12 percent to $2.80 followed by Access Financial closing at $21.96 after gaining 10 percent and tTech up 8 percent to $2.70.
Caribbean Cream and Consolidated Bakeries lost 11 percent each to close at $3.35 and $2.00 respectively and AMG Packaging declined by 5 percent to $3.02. In the Main Market, Berger Paints rose 7 percent to $8.40 to be the leading mover followed by 138 Student Living up 6 percent to $4.09. There are no major declining stocks in the ICTOP10.
Guardian Holdings moved up on the JSE TOP10 listing, with earnings per share revised from $71 to $92 helped by a fall in the price at the close of the week. Price gain for Access Financial resulted in it moving from the 5th spot last week out of the list this week and Caribbean Assurance Brokers moved into the listing, following price slippage during the week.
Lasco Financial Services returns to the Junior Market TOP10, replacing Dolla Financial rising appreciably during the week. The Main Market had no changes.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market ICTOP 10 stands at 4.9, well below the market average of 13.9 and the Junior Market TOP10 sits at 6.9, just over half of the market, with an average of 12.5.
The Main Market ICTOP10 is projected to gain an average of 319 percent by May 2025, based on 2024 forecasted earnings and providing better values than the Junior Market with the potential to achieve 211 percent over the same period.
In the Main Market ICTOP 10, a total of 17 of the most highly valued stocks representing 33 percent of the Main Market are priced at a PE of 15 to 92, with an average of 29 and 19 excluding the highest PE ratios, and a PE of 23 for the top half and 16 excluding the stocks with overweight values.
In the Junior Market IC TOP10 are 10 stocks, or 21 percent of the market, with PEs ranging from 15 to 20, averaging 18, well above the market’s average. The average PE for the top half of the market is 17, possibly the lowest fair value measure for stocks currently.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market, but this is not always so. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks will likely deliver the best returns on or around May 2025 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Jamaican workers not as scarce as thought

Jamaica’s labour market is not as tight as previously thought, according to data on the employed labour force released by the Statistical Institute of Jamaica, this week.

Jamaica’s labour market has more capacity than previously thought.

The number of persons in the labour force jumped by 109,000 since October last year to 1.486 million up from 1.378 million last year, even as persons under 15 years old are now excluded from the data.  The unemployment rate climbed to 80,700 persons for an unemployment rate of 5.4 percent compared to 57,300 or 4.2 percent last October, with 29,000 more persons employed in January this year, with a participation rate of 68.9 percent compared to 65.5 percent based on the October 2023 report.
“The changes reflect the latest international standards and approved guidelines in labour statistics proposed by the ILO, ensuring that the More data provided by the Institute remains relevant and comparable nationally and internationally,” Statin stated.
To be classified as unemployed, an individual must now meet the following three conditions: Absence of employment, Active job-seeking and Availability for work.
“Employment in this new framework is more narrowly defined as work performed for pay or profit. As a result, activities such as own-use production work, volunteer work and unpaid trainee work are now excluded,” Statin said. Persons under 15 years old are no longer included in the workforce, with the base now 15 years and over.
There were 100,700 young persons in the 15 to 24 age group who were not employed, not enrolled in educational activities or currently in training.
The number of persons outside the labour force declined to 669,400 compared to 725,000 in October last year.
While the labour force increased in 2024, the population used to compute the employment rate is down to 2.733 million in 2024 versus 2.746 million in October last year.
The reference week for the survey has moved from the last full week of the previous quarter to the first full week of the current quarter.