Archives for April 2016

Watch their money not their words

Natalia Gobin-Gunter Chairman and Deputy Managing director inserting name strip to indicate listing of Key Insurance on the junior market.

Natalia Gobin-Gunter Chairman and Deputy Managing director inserting name strip to indicate listing of Key Insurance on the junior market.

Bank of Jamaica’s survey findings of perceptions of Present and Future Business Conditions in Jamaica reached the second highest levels in February 2016, since its inception in 2005. The data shows up the disparity of in how business executives think and what they do reflecting the real world, experience of a gulf between what people say they will do and what they in fact do. In the 2015 elections in Trinidad, 74 percent of voters indicated they were going to vote but 66.84 percent finally turned out to do so, while in Jamaica, pollsters said between 59 and 62 percent of the electorate were going to vote and only 48 percent did.
The survey findings of carried out amongst Jamaica’s business executives, show wild swings in their views on current conditions since the start of the data in 2005, while the index of future business conditions was far more predictive of actual business developments. The attached chart shows this up quite clearly. Other findings of the survey also points out that the top management of the various companies were was off the mark when it came to inflation, interest rates and the rate of exchange of the local dollar. One of the clearest measures to test what the executives say and do, is a comparison of the sentiments on business conditions and the performance of the stock market.
When it came time for the business community to put their money where their mouth is, it turned out to be vastly different from what they were saying in the Business Condition Survey. One measure of the business community’s bet on the future, is shown in the attached graph. The graph shows future expectations are is much more aligned with future business conditions than with current ones.
Grph BCon-stks 02-16What the business sector did, reflected itself in a much smoother monthly movement than what they said about the future. When it comes to money, the stock market reflects what people are doing with their money as opposed to what they say. The chart shows the movement in the all Jamaica Composite Index, plotted against the two business surveys published by the country’s central bank.
The movement of the stock market seems a better predictor of future expectations, than the surveys, as shown by the smoother movement of the stock market compared with the sentiments data. What is also true, is that the future expectations and the stock market movements are fairly closely aligned with each other.

Profits up 18% at Eppley

eppleyThe insurance premium financer Eppley, reported a 17.7 percent increase in profit after tax for the first quarter this year, of $10.6 million over the $8.7 million made in the first quarter of 2015. The profit resulted in earnings per share of $13.27 in the first three months to March this year.
The improved results emanated from interest income of $43 million, down from $44.94 million in the first quarter of 2015 while net interest income ended at $15.4 million compared with $15.95 million in the 2015 quarter. Other operating income ended at $11.64 million from $5 million in 2015.
Administrative expenses climbed a big 34 percent to $16.48 million from $12.3 million.
The Board approved a dividend of $9 per share payable on April 20 to ordinary shareholders on record as of April 11. The board disclosed that they expect to maintain this level of dividend each quarter, to be adjusted with the final quarterly dividend each year, to distribute the vast majority of annual earnings.
Rights Issue|Eppley will be issuing additional ordinary shares to fund the expansion of our business through a rights issue to existing shareholders who will be advised shortly of the terms of the issue.
Proceeds from the rights will improve the equity capital which now stands at a paltry $314 million and improve the debt to equity ratio which is heavily weighted towards medium term redeemable preference shares. Leverage was 3.2 times equity capital at the end of the quarter, with the average cost of debt at 10 percent. At the end of the quarter, cash was $164 million and net asset value of $394 per share, while invested funds consisting mainly of loans, leases and receivables amounted to $1.26 billion, with an average yield of 16%.
Eppley last traded at $505 on the junior market of the stock exchange and boast a PE of 6 based on projected earnings of $80 per share for 2016 which would result in earnings growing by 14 percent over 2015 out come.

JSE ends April positively – Friday

Mayberry Investments  traded  17.65m shares on the JSE on Friday.

Mayberry Investments traded 17.65m shares on the JSE on Friday.

Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Friday ended with increased volumes but with fewer securities trading than on Thursday. A total of 33 securities changed hands, accounting for 20,939,470 units valued at $79,091,226, in all market segments. The junior market accounted for 2,216,522 shares valued at $11,878,080 as 15 stocks in the overall market gained, 14 declined including 8 of the stocks rising and 3 declining, from the junior market.
The JSE Market Index that plummeted sharply by 2,934.82 points on Thursday, recovered just 527.92 points on Friday to end at 150,039.18. The all Jamaica Composite Index gained 590.41 points on Friday but in contrast to the drop of 3,282.21 points on Thursday as it closed at 166,630.36 and the JSE combined index that dived 2,789.11 points on Thursday enjoyed a slight increase by 94.38 points, to close at 160,357.96. The decline in the movement in the main market on Friday, breaks the four consecutive trading days that the indices gained prior to today out turn.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading showed 21 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 5 with lower offers.
At the end of market activities, Berger Paints gained 10 in trading 2,472 shares at $4, Cable & Wireless lost 2 cents and closed at $1.37 in trading 349,000 units, Caribbean Cement traded 83,248 shares but the price fell $1.44 to close at $26.56, Carreras rose 50 cents while trading 16,265 shares, to close at $63. Rebranded Gleaner Company, 1834 Investments, gained 1 cent to close at 99 cents in trading 101,900 shares, Jamaica Broilers had 25,000 units changing hands, to close with a loss of 35 cents at $14.15. Jamaica Stock Exchange traded 5,000 units and declined by $1, to close at $21, Kingston Wharves traded 21,644 shares to close at $11.15, with a loss of 5 cents, Mayberry Investments traded 17,650,039 shares but fell 2 cents to close at $3.30. JSE fn qts 29-04-16National Commercial Bank gained $1.20 while 180,965 shares traded, to close at $41, after the company released improved results for the March quarter, Pan Jamaican lost $1 to close at $88 with 4,860 shares changing hands. Radio Jamaica traded 94,200 shares and climbed 7 cents to close at $1.15. Sagicor Group gained 45 cents to end with 12,844 shares changing hands at $22.50, Scotia Group closed with a loss of $1, to end at $30 while 10,421 units changed hands, Supreme Ventures gained 1 cent and closed at $5.06 with 160,489 shares changing hands. Proven Investments closed with 8,677 ordinary shares trading at 20 US cents and JMMB Group 6% preference share ended with 62,630 units trading with a loss of 5 cents at $1.10.

More FX bought than sold – Friday

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Pound Trading in the Jamaican foreign exchange market saw dealers purchasing US$8 more than they sold on Friday, with trading levels back to normal, compared to over US$120 million dollar changing hands on Thursday. The rate of the local dollar saw a very slight erosion, climbing to $123.15 for the selling rate of the US dollar. The Jamaican dollar declined against the Canadian dollar and gained against the Pound.
The market closed with dealers buying the equivalent of US$33,671,447 and selling US$25,438,235, in contrast to US$123,767,068 purchased and US$123,055,349 sold on Thursday.
In US dollar trading, dealers bought US$30,487,529 compared to US$120,456,040 on Thursday, as the buying rate for the US dollar fell 53 cents to close at $122.37.FX trde sum 29-04-16 A total of US$24,056,712 was sold versus US$120,998,074 on Thursday with the selling rate rising 1 cent to $123.15. The Canadian dollar buying rate jumped $1.24 to end at $95.16 with dealers buying C$1,262,941 and selling C$580,684, at an average rate that rose 51 cents to $97.53. The rate for buying the British Pound fell 83 cents to $175.90 for the purchase of £1,478,725, while £475,362 was sold, as the rate dropped $2.70 to $177.03.
At the end of trading, the selling rate for Euro, rose 10 cents to close at J$139.34, from Thursday’s rate, according to data from Bank of Jamaica, while dealers purchased the European common currency at J$136.98 for a rise of 88 cents from Thursday’s rate. FX HL 29-04-16 The US dollar equivalent of other currencies traded amounts to US$76,225 being bought, while US$238,349 was sold.
Highs & Lows| Notable changes to the highest and lowest traded rates for the Jamaican dollar against the main currencies on Friday are, a rise of $9.16 in the lowest selling rate of the US dollar to end at $102.66, a fall of $1.50 in the highest buying rate of the Canadian dollar to $97.50 and a decline of $2.80 in the lowest selling rate to end at $87.20. A rise of $4.20 in the lowest selling rate to $172.20 for the British Pound.

Trading picked up on TTSE – Friday

Witco traded at a new high on the TTSE.

Witco traded at a new high on the TTSE.

Trading ended with 14 active securities changing hands on Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Friday with 4 stocks gaining and 4 declining while 6 remained unchanged, while 1 closed at 52 weeks’ high and 2 at 52 weeks’ lows. Trading ended with 1,162,914 shares valued at $13,060,503 changing hands.
The Composite Index declined by 1.14 points to close at 1,125.23, the All T&T Index eased 2.47 points to close at 1,799.00 and the Cross Listed Index advanced by 0.03 points to end at 59.97.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator ended with 6 stocks with the bid higher than the last selling prices and 9 with offers that were lower.
Gains| Sagicor Financial Corporation gained 3 cents and closed with 33,285 shares valued at $582,378 changing hands, at $7.13, Point Lisas rose 4 cents to end at $3.94 with 212 shares changing hands. Trinidad Cement rose 1 cent to close $3.36 with 597,415 shares valued at $2,006,665 changing hands and West Indian Tobacco traded 361 shares to close at 52 weeks’ high of $126.35 after rising 5 cents.
Losses| Clico Investments Fund traded 208,749 shares and lost 10 cents, to end at $22.60, Guardian Holdings had 30,265 shares valued at $393,447 changing hands, to end 25 cents lower at $13.TTSE 29-4-16 Massy Holdings lost 71 cents to close at 52 weeks’ low of $51.50 with 5,083 shares changing hands and Republic Financial Holdings declined by 1 cent to close at $108.99, with 25 shares changing hands, at a 52 weeks’ low.
Firm Trades| Ansa Merchant Bank traded 200 units at $39.50, Firstcaribbean International Bank traded 5,035 shares to end at $6.52, Grace Kennedy traded 9,064 shares at $5.15, National Enterprises closed with 182 shares changing hands at $11.35. Scotia Investments closed with 2,500 shares trading at $1.62 and Trinidad and Tobago NGL traded at $19.52 with 270,538 shares valued at $5,280,915 changing hands.

3 Lascos dominate on Friday

The Lasco companies traded the most shares on Friday.

The Lasco companies traded the most shares on Friday.

Trading on the junior market saw more stocks rising than declining, but a fall of $1.30 in the price of Lasco Manufacturing resulted in the junior market index falling by 38.55 points to end at 2,064.85 as the three Lasco listed companies accounted for the bulk of the volume for the day. .
There were 12 active securities trading, with 8 advancing and 3 declining. At the close, 9 stocks closed with bids higher than the last selling prices and 3 ended with lower offers. Volume traded is 2,216,522 shares valued at $11,878,080.
At the end of trading in a market, AMG Packaging traded 16,841 shares at $13, Caribbean Cream traded 68,200 units to gain 15 cents and end at $4.35, Honey Bun rose 20 cents to end at $17.20 with 305 shares trading. Iron Rock Insurance traded at $3.35 at the close while 8,800 shares changed hands, with a gain of 5 cents,JM Trdng Sht 29-4-16 Jamaican Teas traded 25,571 shares and fell 1 cent to end at $3.99, Jetcon Corporation gained 20 cents to end at $2.90 while only 500 units traded. Knutsford Express traded 9,600 shares but fell $2.10 to $16.80, Lasco Distributors rose 35 cents and ended at $7.60 with 998,711 shares trading, Lasco Financial gained 15 cents to close at $3.15 with 569,195 shares changing hands. Lasco Manufacturing fell $1.30 to close at $3.55 with 488,299 shares trading, Medical Disposables rose by 10 cents in trading 30,000 shares to close at $3.20 and tTech ended with 500 units changing hands to end with a gain of 27 cents at $4.45.

Mayberry 17m trade – Friday

Mayberry Investments dominated trading with 17,605,039 shares but the price declined to $3 in JSE intra 29-04-16the mid-morning session on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. Other trades of import are Lasco Distributors with 684,917 units at $7.20 and Lasco Financial Services 422,346 units at $3.
After 90 minutes of trading, on Friday, the average volume traded amounts to 657,664 units per active stock, compared to an average of 149,862 units traded in the mid-morning session on Thursday. A total of 30 securities accounting for 19,729,923 shares changed hands as 7 stocks gained and 11 declined.
The market saw the all Jamaica Composite Index gained 623.18 points to 166,663.13, the JSE Market Index rose 557.22 points to 150,068.48, the JSE combined index ended with a rise of 116.53 points to 160,380.11 and the junior market index declined 39.14 points to 2,064.26.

Guardian acquisition near complete

NCB hqtrNational Commercial Bank’s agreement November 2015 to purchase a 29.99 percent stake in Guardian Holdings Limited is much closer to completion with approval given by the two most important countries in the region.
According to a note in NCB’s March quarter results “the approvals in Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago have been obtained, but a few others remain to be received but a few others remain to be received, following which it is expected that the transaction will be completed.”
The acquisition of the shares will be done through a private sale of shares from a group of large shareholders. The successful completion of the transaction required regulatory approval from territories in which both entities operate.
NCB reported profit for the six months ended March of $6 billion or $2.44 per stock unit an increase of $594 million or 11 percent and for the quarter profit of $3.6 billion was realised or earnings per share of $1.47. The group is on target to enjoy earnings for the full year, in the region of $5.50 per share.

Big jump in Jamaica’s FX trades – Thursday

FX_USPound Trading jumped sharply in the Jamaican foreign exchange market on Thursday with over US$120 million dollar changing hands for an unusually high level of trading. The rate of the local dollar saw further erosion climbing to $123.14 for the selling rate for the US dollar. The Jamaican dollar declined against the Pound and gained against the Canadian dollar.
The market closed with dealers buying the equivalent of US$123,767,068 and selling US$123,055,349, in contrast to US$40,752,667 purchased and US$33,016,027 sold on Wednesday.
In US dollar trading, dealers bought US$120,456,040 compared to US$33,016,150 on Wednesday, as the buying rate for the US dollar rose 74 cents to close at $122.90. A total of US$120,998,074 was sold versus US$31,727,298 on Wednesday with the selling rate rising 3 cents to $123.14. FX trde sum 28-04-16The Canadian dollar buying rate declined by 17 cents to end at $93.92 with dealers buying C$883,954 and selling C$612,031, at an average rate that fell 33 cents to $97.02. The rate for buying the British Pound fell 3 cents to $176.73 for the purchase of £1,759,249, while £830,527 was sold, as the rate rose $1.16 to $179.73.
At the end of trading, the selling rate for Euro, rose 28 cents to close at J$139.24, from Wednesday’s rate, according to data from Bank of Jamaica, while dealers purchased the European common currency at J$136.10 for a rise of 26 cents from Wednesday’s rate. The US dollar equivalent of other currencies traded amounts to US$105,669 being bought, while US$362,915 was sold.
FX HL 28-04-16Highs & Lows| Notable changes to the highest and lowest traded rates for the Jamaican dollar against the main currencies on Thursday are, a fall of $6.53 in the lowest selling rate of the US dollar to end at $93.50, a fall of $3.78 in the lowest buying rate of the Canadian dollar to $73 and a rise of $2 in the lowest selling rate to end at $90. A fall of $1 in the highest buying rate for the British Pound to $180.50, a rise of $1.72 in the highest selling rate to $185.76 and a rise of $1 in the lowest selling rate to $168.

Big losses for JSE – Thursday

Mayberry Investments  traded  most shares on the JSE with 2,315,000 units.

Mayberry Investments traded most shares on the JSE with 2,315,000 units.

Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange slumped on Thursday with 35 securities changing hands and accounting for 10,054,395 units valued at $70,280,951, in all market segments. The junior market accounted for 3,938,670 shares valued at $14,970,710 as 14 stocks gained, 14 declined including 8 of the stocks rising and 2 declining, from the junior market.
The JSE Market Index plummeted 2,934.82 points to end at 149,511.26, the all Jamaica Composite Index dropped 3,282.21 points to 166,039.95 and the JSE combined index dived 2,789.11 points, to close at 160,263.58. The decline in the movement in the main market on Thursday, breaks the four consecutive trading days that the indices gained prior to today out turn.
JSE Sum 28-04-16 IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading showed 19 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 5 with lower offers. The higher bids jumped sharply, but that is most likely associated with month end widow dressing.
At the end of market activities, Berger Paints traded 19,399 shares at $3.90, Cable & Wireless closed at $1.39, in trading 1,517,355 units, Caribbean Cement traded 29,736 shares and rose $2 to close at $28, Carreras fell 50 cents while trading 1,805 shares, to close at $62.50. Slimmed down Gleaner Company, now rebranded as 1834 Investments, lost 2 cents to close at a 52 weeks low, of 98 cents, Hardware and Lumber had 10,240 shares trading with a loss of 55 cents at $12.50, Jamaica Broilers had 22,805 units changing hands, to close with a gain of 50 cents at $14.50. Jamaica Stock Exchange traded 15,000 units and rose $1, to close at $22, JMMB Group traded 23,873 shares and shed 50 cents to end at $10, Kingston Wharves traded 6,174 shares to close at $11.20, with a loss of 10 cents, Mayberry Investments traded 2,315,000 shares but fell 58 cents to $3.32, National Commercial Bank lost 20 cents in trading 589,045 shares, to close at $39.80. JSE fn qts 28-04-16rPulse Investments traded 185,515 shares with a fall of 30 cents to close at $2.50, Radio Jamaica traded 94,200 shares and climbed 7 cents to close at $1.15, Sagicor Group fell 15 cents to end with 605,440 shares changing hands at $22.05, Sagicor Real Estate Fund traded 25,645 shares to close at $10.15 after falling 10 cents, Scotia Group closed with a loss of $2.99 to end at $31 while 20,164 units changed hands, Scotia Investments traded 115,465 shares to close at $25.50 and Supreme Ventures closed at $5.39 with 240,047 shares changing hands for a loss of 34 cents, Proven Investments closed with 24,500 ordinary shares trading and gained 2 US cents to 20 US cents and JMMB Group 7.50% preference shares ended with 1500,00 units trading at $1.04.

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