More records for JSE main market

Mayberry Jamaican Equities traded for the first time after a successful IPO at $9.82 and NCB Financial traded at $102, for a gain of $1.48 to help to main market to new record high in early trading on Tuesday.
The Mayberry Jamaican Equities trade was for 1,000 units and resulted in a gain of $2.26 or 29.89 percent gain on the IPO price of $7.56. NCB traded just 35,991 shares.
With just 45 minutes of trading elapsing, the All Jamaican Composite Index advanced by 1,476.90 points to a record high of 342,356.79 and the JSE Index gained 1,345.62 points to close at 311,925.68. The Junior market was down by 17.75 points to 3,088.81.

NCB jumps out Indies in IC TOP 10

The main market of Jamaica Stock Market ended at a record close on Friday with NCB Financial jumping $3.01 to $100.01 as Jamaica’s largest financial group dropped out of the IC Insider.com’ Top 10 main market stock list.
NCB price jumped on Friday, as investors responded positively to the group’s June results and was replaced by Carreras at 9th position. NCB remains an excellent stock to hold for long term growth and increased dividends. In the Junior market Caribbean Producers rose to $5.80 and Medical Disposables to $5.51 to ease out of the top listing and were replaced by recent Initial Public Offer, Indies Pharma at number 9 and Jetcon at 10.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks averages 7.4 compared to an average PE for the overall market of 12, based on 2018 estimated earnings and the main market PE stands at 7.8 for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 13, a good indicator of the level of undervaluation of these stocks.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 37 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 40 percent to the market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

2 new IC TOP 10 listings

This weeks’ review comes against the back drop of the main market hitting a record high on Friday in the morning session and the Junior market continuing to eke out modest gains.
Unlike last week when there are several changes to the TOP stocks, there are only two new additions this week. Victoria Mutual Investments and Jamaican Teas are out of the TOP 10 with Berger Paints that fell in price to $18.76 and Caribbean Cream are back in the TOP 10 lists.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.
The past week saw a few results being posted and more are expected this week, including NCB Financial and Proven Investments that entered the TOP 10 last week, both are expected to report positive gains with NCB continuing from increases seen up to the second quarter and Proven that President, Christopher Williams informed IC Insider.com is performing well in all divisions, see Collapse of the JSE US market.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks averages 7.4 compared to an average PE for the overall market of 11.8, based on 2018 estimated earnings and the main market PE stands at 7.5 for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 12.5, this is a good indication of the level of undervaluation of these stocks.
IC Insider.com last week stated that there are warning signs of a tsunami that is on the way for the market. During last week one more sign came to the fore with a sharp drop in Treasury bill rates again, this coupled with scarcity of supply for many stocks. Investors seem to be going about their business as if prices will remain around current levels for a prolonged period. Late comers to buying stocks who try to join the party will find get stocks but at a much higher prices as the year rolls on and that is confirmed by technical indicators in both the Main and Junior markets.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 37 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 40 percent to the market.

Several changes to IC TOP stocks

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There are several changes to the TOP stocks, following an eventful week of trading on the Jamaican Stock Exchange, with the main market posting records on all five days and closing at record highs, on four of them.
Former TOP 10 Junior Market listing, Derrimon Trading ordinary share, traded at an all-time high of $23 during the week, while former TOP 10 main market listings also hit new highs during the week, these are Jamaica Broilers trading briefly at a record high of $33, PanJam Investment at $58.99 and Pulse Investments trading up to $3.50 and current TOP 10 listing, CAC2000 hits a new record high of $10.
The TOP 10 listings at the end of the week, have a number of changes. Caribbean Producers returns with after the price slipped back to $5.30 from $5.50 and Caribbean Cream that was shunned by investors based on poor 2018 full year results, jumped 29 percent to $6.25 following the release of the first quarter results, with profit rising 59 percent. Medical Disposables renters the TOP 10 as well as Elite Diagnostic, replacing AMG Packaging and Caribbean Flavours both with earnings downgrade. Proven Investments US dollar listed stock is now in the TOP 10 with the price closing down to 18 US cents during the week and Victoria Mutual Investments return to the list, replacing Salada Foods and Grace Kennedy that rose from $52 to $54.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks averages 6.7 compared to an average PE for the overall market of 11.4, based on 2018 estimated earnings and the main market PE stands at 7.8 for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 13, this is a good indication of the level of undervaluation of these stocks.
The sharp movement in the prices of some main market stocks this past week, encouraged by minimal supplies, is a warning sign of a tsunami that is on the way for the market. Late comers to buying stocks who try to join the party will find get stocks but at a much higher prices than weeks ago.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 41 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 40 percent to the market.

Lower Q2 profit for Scotia Group

Scotia Group reported a 19 percent rise in half profit to $6.76 billion after tax, but that clouds the fall in profit for the second quarter to April that fell marginally thanks to a big jump in loan provisioning of $560 million compared to a small recovery of $6 million in the January quarter.
The half year earnings are bolstered by a gain on sale of subsidiary of $753 million.
Shareholders don’t have much to cheer about except that loan losses are within the range of that of 2017 along with a few other good developments. Net interest income fell to $6.2 billion from $6.5 billion in April 2017 quarter, Insurance revenues fell from $1.1 billion to $707 million. Cost were contained well, with salaries and benefits declining from $2.84 billion in 2017 to $2,46 billion in the April quarter while other operating costs, rose marginally from $1.76 billion to $1.86 billion.
Year to date, net interest income moved from 13.17 billion to $12.82 billion while loan impairment fell sharply from $975 million to $564 million. Net fee income declined from $4.4 billion to $4.1, but gains from foreign exchange trading activities delivered $1.66 billion versus $1.1 billion in 2017. While the half year figures show a bit of positive signs, investors should be focused on more recent developments, as these are more likely to point the way forward.
The group made modest progress in increasing loans, the most important asset for a bank. At the end of April, loans grew to $171 billion from $166.5 billion at the end of 2017 fiscal year, the increase is twice the growth rate between April last year and the year end. Investment securities rose from $120 billion at the end of October in 2017 to $131.6 billion and cash resources from $116.5 billion to $126.2 billion, at a  much faster pace than increased in lending. Deposits by the public moved from $260.6 billion to $383 billion.

David Noel new Scotia Group’s CEO.

Scotia ended with earnings per share of $1.08 for the quarter and $2.17 for the half year, including the one-off capital gains from sale of the former subsidiary. A dividend of 48 cents per share was declared by the board, payable on July 18.
The strongest positive for the group is that they currently lend out just about 52 percent of deposited funds by its customers, leaving much room to grow loans whenever that time comes around.
The stock traded on the Jamaica Stock Exchange and closed at $53 but with these results, further movement up is going to be very challenging in the short term and leaves NCB Financial as the banking group of choice for investors seeking growth in stock price.

NCB Q2 profit rises 22% before tax

 

NCB Head Quarters in Kingston Jamaica.

NCB Financial Group recorded an increase of 17 percent in net profit of $11 billion for the six months ended March 2018 over the prior year, pretax profit for the six months was up just 1 percent.
Profit for the March quarter before taxation, rose a strong 22 percent over the similar quarter in 2017 to $8.26 billion but with taxation more than doubling profit after tax climbed just 9 percent to $6.4 billion.
Net operating income grew 22 percent to $35.3 billion over the prior year and 26 percent for the latest quarter. Improvements in foreign currency and investment activities 109 percent in the quarter to $4 billion and by 97 percent in the six months period to $7.2 billion. Net interest income increasing by $1.3 billion or 9 percent and was driven by the consolidation of Clarien Group (CGL). Net fee and commission income grew by 11 percent or $749 million, mainly as a result of higher transaction volumes for point of sale and e-commerce channels, increased investment banking and pension fee income and the consolidation of CGL. Operating Expenses excluding loan loss provision rose 30 percent to $24.5 billion for the half year and 29 percent to $11.5 billion for the quarter.
The Group’s loans and advances, net of provision for credit losses, increased by $127 billion or 61 percent to $334 billion to March. In addition to the consolidation of CGL, the president Patrick Hylton reported that “there was growth in all business segments’ loan portfolios: retail up 22 percent, corporate up 11 percent and credit card receivables up 25 percent. Nonperforming loans totalled $15 billion up from $5.9 billion at the end of March 2017.” The increase was due to the inclusion of CGL which has a non-performing loan ratio of 9.9 percent.
NCB declared a dividend of 70 cents stock unit. The dividend is payable on May 28, for stockholders on record at May 11. The stock closed at $95 on the Jamaica Stock Exchange before the results were released.

FCIB 2nd Caribbean bank to abort US listing

 

FirstCaribbean aborts IPO for NYSE listing.

Firstcaribbean International Bank (FCI) announced that they have withdrawn their planned initial public offering ahead of its plan to list on the New York Stock Exchange.
The Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange advised today, that they received notice from FCI advising of the withdrawal of the US registered public offering and listing of its shares on the NYSE in view of market conditions at this juncture. FCI had filed a registration statement in December 2017 relating to this public offering and proposed listing on the NYSE under the symbol “FCI”.
The company is the second Caribbean based banking group to have moved forward with plans to list on that stock exchange. The first was NCB Group in 2013, incurring a $680 million hit from the costs relating to aborted Initial Public Offering (IPO) in the 2013 fiscal year to September, according to the company’s audited financial statements.
The banking group was attempting to raise fresh capital in the international market, during the turbulent period ahead of the country reaching an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The amount involved was written off against income thus helping to depress profits for the year.

NCB lost $700M in its aborted NYSE IPO plans in 2013.

Since then NCB has gone on to report record profits in 2017 with a 28 percent increase in the first quarter to December last year. At the same time FCIB that struggled for several years as it was battered by Caribbean countries in deep recession only saw a rebound in fortunes in recent years.
In 2013, the FCIB group adjusted profit was just US$35 million rising to $83 million in 2014 and onto $123 million the following year then $143 million in 2016 and $151 million last year, but revenues have just barely grown as loans have stagnated with US$6.36 billion in 2017 from US$6.3 billion in 2013.

JSE majors add 2,000 points – Wednesday

Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange main market ended with the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index recovering an additional 2,016.95 points to close at 324,446.16 on Wednesday after regaining 3,026.80 of the nearly 7,000 points lost on Tuesday to end at 322,429.21 as advancing stocks edged out declining ones.
The JSE Index regained an added 1,837.67 points to end at 295,607.13 after rising 2,757.76 on Wednesday in clawing back from more than 6,000 points plunge on Tuesday.
At the close, 28 securities traded, the same number as on Tuesday and ended with the prices of 13 stocks rising, 10 falling and 5 trading firm, in the main and US dollar markets.

Cable & Wireless Head quarters.

At the close of trading, Jamaica Broilers rose 99 cents to end at $21, Grace Kennedy lost 96 cents to $48, Kingston Wharves rose $1.48 to $40, NCB Financial Group traded with a loss of 99 cents at $96.52 and Scotia Group recovered $1.50 to $52.
Main market activity ended with 22,695,573 units valued at over $68,289,795 compared to 84,503,992 units valued at $180,560,263 on Tuesday. At the close of trading, Cable & Wireless closed with 16,941,044 shares trading amounting to 74.64 percent followed by Ciboney Group with 3,146,042 units and 13.86 percent and Wisynco Group with 1,207,289 units 5.32 percent.
Trading resulted in an average of 872,907 shares valued at $2,626,531, for each security traded, compared to 3,129,777 shares valued at $6,687,417 on Tuesday. The average for the month to date is 1,296,927 shares with a value of $5,228,826 and previously 1,355,881 shares with a value of $ 5,651,699. In contrast, March closed with an average of 626,526 units with an average value at $20,492,207 for each security traded.
The US dollar market closed on Wednesday with Proven Investments trading 547,109 units valued at over $109,430 and closed with a loss of 2 cents at 20 US cents. Trading ended with the market index falling 9.33 points, to close at 163.97.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 8 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 6 with a lower offers.
For more details of market activities see – Cable & Wireless grabs 75% of JSE trades – Wednesday.

4 stocks rise on TTSE 2 fall – Thursday

Market activity on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange ended Thursday, with 14 securities trading, against 15 on Wednesday, with 4 stocks advancing, 2 declining and 8 remaining unchanged.
Trading volume remained low, resulting in 293,550 shares valued at $2,488,584 changing hands, compared to 186,626 shares valued at $3,719,226 on Wednesday.
At close, the Composite Index gained 0.84 points on Thursday to 1,263.90, the All T&T Index rose 1.95 points to 1,700.29, while the Cross Listed Index shed 0.04 points to close at 111.63.
IC bid-offer Indicator|At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 1 stock with the bid lower than the last selling price and 5 with lower offers.
Gains| Clico Investments closed with an increase of 1 cent and completed trading at $20.16, with 24,533 units, First Citizens finished 19 cents higher and concluded at a 52 weeks’ high of $32.70, after exchanging 2,000 shares, JMMB Group rose 1 cent and ended at $1.86, with 39,000 stock units changing hands and Sagicor Financial added 4 cents and completed trading at $7.80, with 47,615 units.
Losses| Ansa McAl shares fell 5 cents and completed trading at a 52 weeks’ low of $59.95, with 19 units changing hands and First Caribbean International Bank closed with a loss of 15 cents at $9.35, after exchanging 59,150 shares.
Firm Trades| Grace Kennedy ended trading at $3.15, with 99,926 units, Massy Holdings ended at $47, with 250 stock units changing hands, National Flour settled at $1.68, after exchanging 1,824 shares, Republic Financial Holdings ended at $101.58, with 600 stock units changing hands, Scotiabank settled at $62.56, after exchanging 3,480 shares. Trinidad & Tobago NGL concluded trading at $27.25, after exchanging 11,138 shares, Trinidad Cement ended at $2.60, with 4,000 stock units changing hands and West Indian Tobacco settled at $88.55, after exchanging just 15 shares.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Jamaica’s company taxes jump 23%

Corporate taxes continue to be a star performer for Jamaica government revenues, having increased their input by a strong 23 percent over forecast, to February.
According to the government fiscal report, businesses paid $34 billion in corporate taxes to February or just over $6 billion more than projected. In spite of that level of performance, PAYE contributed more in taxes, at $48 billion even as government raised the threshold to $1.5 billion for individuals and cutting around $25 billion in the individual tax bill.
Corporations will be making big payments in March that should hike the amount they will pay for the fiscal year to be well ahead of the February figure. The forecast at the start of the fiscal year, was for a total take of $50.6 billion compared to $46 billion for 2016. The forecast for 2018/19 is for an intake of $63.9 billion or an increase of 26 percent over the 2018 forecast. If the trend for the just concluded fiscal year holds to March, the projected increase for the new fiscal would be just around $3 billion.

Scotia Group to contribute most to 2017/18 corporate taxes

Other areas performing well above budget projections include, Travel taxes up by 12.5% to $17.5 billion, GCT on local goods and services 4.8 percent to $83 billion, Education taxes up 6 percent to $24 billion and special consumption taxes on local goods up 10 percent to $26 billion.
Listed companies will contribute around $21 billion to the corporate tax take for the just concluded fiscal year according to data taken from financial statements. The bulk of the listed companies’ contribution will come from Scotia Group with $5.7 billion, NCB Financial $5 billion, Sagicor Group $2.9 billion, Carreras just over $1 billion, Grace Kennedy around $1 billion, JPSCo and JMMB Group just under $1 billion. Other billion dollar contributors should include Desnoes and Geddes and Wray and Nephew.