Market activity ended on Monday and resulted in an equal number of stocks rising than falling at the close of trading, after trading 10 percent more shares, with a 34 percent higher value than on Friday, as the market indices inched up higher at the close of the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange.
Twenty securities traded against 18 on Friday, with rising and declining stocks ending with five each and 10 ended unchanged.
The Composite Index rallied 3.05 points to 1,521.20, the All T&T Index rose 5.80 points to 2,129.86 and the Cross-Listed Index popped 0.01 points to settle at 121.92. Overall 598,828 shares traded for $9,609,505 compared to 543,618 units at $7,179,353 on Friday.
An average of 29,941 units traded at $480,475 compared to 30,201 shares at $398,853 on Friday, with trading month to date averaging 74,359 units at $597,974 versus 86,697 units at $630,612 previously. The average trade for January amounts to 39,943 units at $369,498.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and none with a lower offer.
At the close, Agostini’s ended trading 77 shares at $46, Angostura Holdings declined 50 cents to $19.50 with 4,425 units crossing the market, Ansa McAl lost 25 cents to end at $58.75 after 85 stock units switched hands. inemaOne finished at $4 after exchanging 851 stocks, Clico Investment Fund advanced 50 cents in closing at $30 after trading 6,607 stock units, First Citizens Group rallied 25 cents to $64, with 343 stocks changing hands. GraceKennedy ended unchanged at $6.20, with 72,065 shares clearing the market, Guardian Holdings fell 25 cents to close at $29.75 while exchanging 7,635 units, JMMB Group gained 15 cents in closing at $2.50 in trading 424 units. Massy Holdings ended at $106 with the swapping of 26,169 shares, National Enterprises finished at $3.25 after exchanging 1,513 stock units, NCB Financial Group remained at $8 with 341,230 stocks changing hands. One Caribbean Media shed 5 cents to $4.15 with an exchange of 45 stock units, Point Lisas remained at $3.27 in exchanging 65,000 units, Republic Financial Holdings dropped 14 cents in ending at $142.86 after an exchange of 16,765 stocks. Scotiabank finished at $72.01, with 439 shares crossing the exchange, Trinidad & Tobago NGL climbed 47 cents to end at $19.97 in switching ownership of 15,454 shares, Trinidad Cement rose 5 cents in closing at $3.80 with an exchange of 38,019 units. Unilever Caribbean ended unchanged at $16 in exchange of 600 stock units and West Indian Tobacco finished at $26.06 trading 1,082 stocks.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Trinidad stocks inched higher on Monday
Profit climbs 24% in Q2 at Wisynco
Revenues at Wisynco Group jumped 19 percent for the quarter to December to $9.5 billion above the $8 billion for the similar quarter of the previous year while for the half year revenues were up 17 percent to $18.7 billion from $16 billion in 2020.
“We have seen a continued recovery in our Revenues with all Channels increasing at vibrant levels. Exports as well for the quarter were up 103 percent over the same quarter of the prior year. Our increased efforts and focus have resulted in improved results in this area and we have noticed wider consumer acceptance for our products in these important export markets.” William Mahfood, Chairman and Andrew Mahfood, Chief Executive Officer stated in their joint report to shareholders. “Exports have moved from 3 percent of overall sales to 5 percent,” the chairman informed ICInsider.com.
Gross Profit climbed 24.3 percent for the quarter to $3.3 billion from $2.7 billion in the same quarter of the previous year while it grew 18.6 percent from $5.6 billion to $6.6 billion. Improvement in gross margin from 33.3 percent for the 2020 December quarter to 34.8 percent helped to swell the gross profit and helped to drive net profit for the quarter as well as a smaller rise in margins from 34.6 percent to 35.2 percent contributed to improved numbers for the half year and bodes well for the second half. Selling, Distribution expenses grew at a slower pace than sales revenues at 17.6 percent to $1.74 billion for the quarter and 11.4 percent for the six months to $3.39 billion from $3 billion in 2020. Administrative expenses for the quarter rose by 6 percent to $357 million from $337 million in 2020 and for the year to date, they rose 6.4 percent from $691 million to $735 million in the prior year.
Profit before Taxation surged 84.6 percent for the quarter to $1.5 billion, over the $836 million in the comparative quarter for the prior year and includes an exchange gain of $280 million compared to an exchange loss of $26 million for the 2020 quarter. Profit before taxation for the half year jumped 51.6 percent to $2.8 billion compared to $1.9 billion in the prior year.
After provision for taxes, Wisynco recorded net profits attributable to stockholders of $1.2 billion, or 31c per share for the quarter, 74 percent greater than the $688 million earned for the prior year and the six months net profit rose from $1.54 billion to $2.13 billion, with 57 cents in earnings per share.
Cash inflows from operations were $2.9 billion, up from $2.45 billion in 2020.
Shareholders’ Equity stood at $17 billion, with borrowings at $1.9 billion. Current Assets ended the quarter at $16 billion up from $13 billion the previous year and Current Liabilities stood at $5.6 billion compared to $4.6 billion at the end of 2020. Cash funds and short term investments ended the period at $9.6 billion up from $6.9 billion in 2020, Mahfood points to this amount and suggests that it is not contributing much to profits. The conclusion is that the company will be on the watch for viable acquisitions to provide a better rate of return.
The board declared an interim dividend of 20c per share, up from the 10 cents per share interim dividend declared in January 2021. The dividend will be paid on March 1, to shareholders on record on February 15. The stock trades ex-dividend February 14, 2022.
“We started to see a better turnaround in the operations from the middle of last year,” William Mahfood advised ICInsider.com. He felt that improved service to customers and increased attention paid to the cost were contributing factors as well. Mahfood indicated that January was a strong month for the group and hopes that it will carry through for the rest of the quarter. Although only around 10 percent of revenues go directly into the hotel sector, there is evidence of a strong rebound in tourism in the sector that is contributing to the resurgence in sales.
ICInsider.com projection is for earnings of $1.30 for the current year ending in June and $1.75 for the next fiscal year. The stock climbed from $17.75 before the release of the results after the market closed on Thursday to $20 at the close on Friday for a PE ratio of 15 and 11 times next year’s earnings.
More changes for ICTOP10 listings
The Junior Market closed at record highs on each of the last seven days, fueled by an upsurge in trading, with several days ending with all listed securities trading driving the volume and value traded upwards to levels not seen in months and resulting in several stocks reaching new 52 weeks’ highs.
The Main Market showed some bullishness this past week with the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index climbing 6,525.97 points to the highest level since late October last year. More than two thirds of the gains came on Friday helped by gains by heavyweights, Sagicor Group putting on $1, Scotia Group popping $1.60 and Wisynco jumping $2.25 after reporting strong increased profit for the December quarter.
The Junior Market Index is up a remarkable 16.3 percent for the year to Friday that is more than half of all of the 2021 gains, with the average rise in prices even greater at 19 percent. That quick upward movement is equivalent to an annualized gain of 194 percent and may result in investors questioning its sustainability.
Spur Tree Spices seems to have reached a peak for now but the previously last listed Junior Market stock, Future Energy, gained new life and sprinted to an all-time high of $4.50, no doubt driven by investors’ views that the increased price of gasoline will drive up sales and margins. While sales will rise in dollar terms margin may not. The party was not only for the gasoline supplier, Fontana in the TOP10 for the week ending the 21st of January at $7.40 hit new record highs this week up to $12.49 for an increase of 69 percent in a matter of weeks.
Two high performing stocks pulled back this week Dolphin Cove hit a record high of $30 during the week but pulled back to $22 on Friday while former ICTOP10 listed Caribbean Producers hit a record high of $25.99 earlier in the week, pulled back to $16 on Thursday before closing the week at $17.85. December results should be out for this stock during the coming week and will have benefitted from the resurgence in tourist arrivals.
Medical Disposables gained 12 percent this past week to end at $7.55 and exited the Junior Market TOP10 listing, with Elite Diagnostic having traded at a 52 weeks’ high of $4.40 two weeks ago and ended the previous week at $3.73, suffered more losses this past week and is back to the TOP10. In the Main Market, Scotia Group rose nine percent to $37.50 and was replaced in the TOP10 by Jamaica Broilers.
Lasco Distributors jumped 15 percent to $3.73 ahead of third quarter results due out shortly and General Accident moved up 7 percent to $6.50, while Honey Bun and Jetcon Corporation both rose 5 percent in the week. AMG Packaging rose 3 percent to end at $3.70 and so did Caribbean Assurance Brokers that closed at $3.10.
Guardian Holdings climbed 5 percent to close at $575, JMMB Group held on to a 2 percent rise for the week and traded at a 52 weeks’ high of $44.61 on Friday but closed at $41.99. Pan Jam Investment and Radio Jamaica settled with a 5 percent rise for the week, while Proven Investment lost 8 percent to close at US$0.21 and Sygnus Credit Investments slipped 4 percent to $15.23.
The sharp price movements in the Junior Market over the recent past weeks reduced the potential gains markedly, with the average increase projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks now at 104 percent versus 114 percent last week and is now lower than the Main Market at 128 percent.
The top three stocks are Caribbean Assurance Brokers followed by Lasco Financial and Lasco Distributors to gain between 114 and 126 percent, compared to 128 and 148 percent, previously.
The potential gains for Main Market stocks moved from 131 percent to this weeks’ 128 percent, with the top three being JMMB Group followed by Guardian Holdings and Sygnus Credit Investments all projected to gain between 165 and 186 percent from 155 and 193 percent last week.
After trading at a big discount to the Main Market for two years, the average PE for both the JSE primary markets has virtually merged just below 17 times 2021 earnings.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 16.8 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently below the target of 20 and now virtually at the average of 17 that was achieved at the end of March last year. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 9.8, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average. That means there is a lot of room for the TOP10 stocks to run between now and the end of March.
The Junior Market can gain 19 percent to March this year, based on an average PE of 20 that would take the index to 4,700 points. About a third of Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, averaging around 23.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.4 just 16 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 22 percent below the target of 20 to March this year. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.9 representing a 46 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
JSE USD stocks moved higher on Friday
Trading on Friday, ended with the volume of shares trading falling 65 percent, with a 29 percent lower value than on Thursday, at the close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange US dollar market, resulting in more stocks rising than falling.
Trading ended with six securities changing hands, compared to seven on Thursday with prices of four rising, two declining. The JSE US Denominated Equities Index gained 6.68 points to end at 204.79.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.3. The PE ratio calculation uses ICInsider.com earnings forecasts for companies with the financial year up to August 2022.
A total of 82,839 shares traded for US$12,251, down from 239,208 units at US$17,234 on Thursday. Trading averaged 13,807 units at US$2,042, compared to 34,173 shares at US$2,462 on the previous day and the month to date averages 49,137 shares at US$2,612 compared to 59,737 units at US$2,783 on Thursday. January ended with an average of 91,572 units for US$7,142.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows no stock ended with the bid higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, First Rock Capital USD share rallied half of a cent after ending at 7 US cents in an exchange of 27,000 shares, Margaritaville added 3 cents to close at 18 US cents in trading 118 stock units, Productive Business Solutions rose 16 cents to US$1.16 trading 1,703 stocks. Proven Investments fell 0.8 of a cent in closing at 21.2 US cents after an exchange of 33,587 units, Sygnus Credit Investments USD share dipped 0.1 of a cent to 12.85 US cents, with 9,000 units crossing the market and Transjamaican Highway gained 0.05 of a cent to 0.88 of one US cent with an exchange of 11,431 stocks.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Rising stocks dominate in Trinidad
Investors changed course in trading activity on Friday on Thursday, pushing the majority of stocks with price changes upwards on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange and resulting in nine stocks rising, two declining and seven remaining unchanged after trading 85 percent fewer shares, with 43 percent lower value than Thursday.
Trading ended with 18 securities changing hands compared to 16 on Thursday. The Composite Index rose 3.06 points to 1,518.15, the All T&T Index increased 3.65 points to end at 2,124.06 and the Cross-Listed Index advanced 0.34 points to settle at 121.91.
A total of 543,618 shares traded for $7,179,353 compared to 3,682,320 units at $12,609,856 on Thursday. An average of 30,201 units traded at $398,853 compared to 230,145 shares at $788,116 on previous day, with trading month to date averaging 86,697 units at $630,612 versus 105,529 units at $707,865. The average trade for January amounts to 39,943 units at $369,498.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
In trading, Agostini’s advanced $1 to $46 while exchanging 485 shares, Angostura Holdings increased 1 cent to end at $20 after exchanging 13,370 units, Ansa McAl climbed 25 cents to $59 in exchanging 5,406 stocks. Clico Investment Fund gained 50 cents to close at $29.50, with 30,273 stock units crossing the market, First Citizens Group rose 75 cents to end at $63.75 after trading 642 shares, FirstCaribbean International Bank lost 1 cent to end at $6.13 with 1,000 units changing hands. GraceKennedy popped 10 cents in closing at $6.20 in an exchange of 74,135 stocks, Guardian Holdings rallied 25 cents to $30 in trading 150 stock units, JMMB Group gained 5 cents to close at $2.35 after exchanging 27,237 stocks. Massy Holdings remained at $106 in switching ownership of 15,994 shares, National Flour Mills dropped 3 cents to $1.87, with 5,000 units changing hands, NCB Financial Group finished at $8 with 344,072 stock units clearing the market. Republic Financial Holdings ended unchanged at $143 after 1,061 stocks crossed the exchange, Scotiabank finished at $72.01 with the swapping of 604 stock units, Trinidad & Tobago NGL ended unchanged at $19.50 with an exchange of 23,846 units. Trinidad Cement remained at $3.75 after trading 235 shares, Unilever Caribbean advanced 5 cents to end at $16 with an exchange of 90 stock units and West Indian Tobacco finished at $26.06 trading 18 shares.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
More declines for Trinidad stocks
Price movements were mostly down at the close of trading on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange on Thursday as the volume of shares exchanged surged 293 percent valued 38 percent more than on Wednesday.
The number of securities traded remained 16 as was the case on Wednesday, with two rising, six declining and eight remaining unchanged. The Composite Index slipped 1.40 points to 1,515.09, the All T&T Index declined 6.39 points to end at 2,120.41 and the Cross-Listed Index rose 0.55 points to settle at 121.57.
A total of 3,682,320 shares traded for $12,609,856 up from 937,553 units at $9,155,489 on Wednesday. An average of 230,145 units traded at $788,116 compared to 58,597 shares at $572,218 on the previous day, with trading month to date, averaging 105,529 units at $707,865 versus 53,059 units at $674,075. The average trade for January amounts to 39,943 units at $369,498.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, Agostini’s lost $1 to end at $45, with100 shares changing hands, Angostura Holdings ended unchanged at $19.99 with the swapping of 64 units, Ansa McAl dropped 25 cents in closing at $58.75 after ownership of 550 stock units was shifted. Clico Investment Fund remained at $29, with 256 stocks crossing the market, First Citizens Group declined $1 to $63 trading 269 units, FirstCaribbean International Bank rose 14 cents to $6.14 after 100 stocks changed hands. GraceKennedy finished at $6.10 with an exchange of 48,271 shares, Guardian Holdings shed 25 cents to close at $29.75 after 7,980 stock units cleared the market, JMMB Group ended at $2.30 after exchanging 3,381,000 units. Massy Holdings remained at $106 while exchanging 18,240 stock units, NCB Financial Group finished at $8 in swapping 186,740 stocks, One Caribbean Media rallied 10 cents to $4.20 after exchanging 20,200 shares. Republic Financial Holdings finished at $143 in an exchange of 2,128 stock units, Scotiabank ended at $72.01 after trading at 475 stocks, Trinidad & Tobago NGL fell 49 cents to $19.50 with an exchange of 300 shares and West Indian Tobacco shed 54 cents to $26.06 in trading 15,647 units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.