The Jamaica Stock Exchange climbed more than 5,000 points after 25 minutes of opening with the All Jamaican Composite Index surging to just under 9,000 points from big resistance point of 400,000.
By just 4 minutes after 10 am, the All Jamaican Composite Index surging 5,502.66 points to a record 391,34026 points and JSE Index surged 5,013.54 points to a record 356,555.23. The Junior Market rose 2.53 points to a record 3,405.01.
The rise in the main market is due to large movement in Jamaica Broilers that traded at a new record of $33, NCB Financial that traded at $121, PanJam Investment trading at $57 and Scotia Group trading at $62.
All Jamaica less than 9000 points from 400K
September 18, 2018 by
Barita is stock to watch this week
September 17, 2018 by
The main stock of interest this week is Barita Investments that came into buying interest this past week leading the price to move to $12.95, this one seems headed higher in the short term as the supply that is on the market has been taken out with few stocks on offer now.
Bulls pushed the Jamaican stock market, to new heights last week, with the main market having 11 straight days of record highs and the Junior Market cleared the historical high reached in 2017, in the past week as well.
NCB Financial that was in the spotlight for the past two weeks, still has buying interest but seems to be having most bids around the $120 mark and may find it tough to break over the $130 mark where it traded during the past week.
While the stock is trading close the $130 mark in Jamaica, it is trading in Trinidad around J$115 and that may hold back the price from moving much higher locally until the price in the twin island state picks up. Scotia Group reported profit that showed gains, some of it was non-recurring income and exceptional foreign exchange gains that seems unlikely to repeat anytime soon.
While the supply of several of the main market stocks being scarce, the main market is just under 15,000 points from a major resistance level at 400,000 points and that could stymie much more movement in the short term, with some prices having moved quite a bit recently. There are several stocks priced well below the market’s average and that could encourage buying interest in them.
NCB stock closed at $129 on Friday.
Investors should keep their eyes on a number of stocks this week. NCB Financial that closed on $115, should move higher this week as demand continues to build and with limited supply on offer.
Grace Kennedy may not be ready to break out of the $60 range as yet but it’s a stock to keep an eye on. Caribbean Cement keeps trading between $46 to $50, but there appears no real desire to move the price forward. Kingston Wharves traded at a record high of $75 on limited volume in the past week but pulled back slightly to $72 at the close with a PE ratio of 46 is compared to a market average of 14.6. Supply of the stocks remain low, but some investors keep on buying. Sygnus Credit Investments picked up last week and moved back within a cent of the IPO price, buoyed by full year results of US$1.4 million. The PE ratio is 11.4, well below the market average of 14.6, that will encourage more interest in the stock. Jamaica Producers has very limited volume on offer and that could help buying at higher prices in spite of a PE of 28, twice the market average. Stanley Motta with a PE of 11 based on 2019 earnings has been recovering for the recent decline and is one to watch.
In the Junior Market, Indies Pharma, came in for continued buying that pushed the price to a record high of $4.10 on Friday against very limited supply. Some selling came into the market on Friday to ease the buying pressure on the price which could stick around the current level of $4 for a while. Bulls came in and bought out a big parcel of Access Financial that was on offer for weeks but the $50 level seems a barrier in the short term. Demand is building for Elite Diagnostic while supply has waned.
Jamaica Producers stock in demand in spite of high price.
General Accident could move higher as more demand comes in for it with limited selling, but investors may not want to be more aggressive with this stock at this time. If the company were to announce expansion into the Eastern Caribbean it may well make a difference.
Stocks with scarce supplies that could spring surprises include, Grace Kennedy, NCB Financial, Berger Paints, Caribbean Cement, Kingston Wharves, PanJam Investment, Sagicor Group, Salada Foods, Seprod and Scotia Group.
The Junior Market supplies continue to be limited for many of the listings. The list includes, Caribbean Flavours, Cargo Handlers, Derrimon Trading, Express Catering, General Accident, ISP Finance and Medical Disposables.
An overall view of stocks indicates that the main market continues to be steered higher by an upward sloping support line as well the 45 and 125 day moving averages, lending support just below, but the 400,000 points resistance could likely stall the rally in the main market for a while. The Junior Market now at an all-time high, is being steared by an upward rising long-term support line and a golden cross. The golden cross is a very strong bullish long-term signal.
Carib Producers returns to IC TOP 10
September 16, 2018 by
Caribbean Producers back in TOP 10
Caribbean Producers climbed back into the Junior market IC TOP 10 stock listing but there was no change to the main market list. Main Event dropped out of the top list having recovered from a big price fall in the previous week.
Caribbean Producers recently released full year results that were slightly lower than the year before but with a 10 percent rise in revenues. A lower profit margin by 2 percent and an increase of 10 percent in administrative and selling expenses resulted in lower profit but forecast suggest that earnings for 2019 should be up strongly to around 65 Jamaican cents. The company will have to report new results to see the likely increased earnings start to show up in the stock price.
During the past week, the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, racked up 5 consecutive days of record close on Friday and 11 record close in a row, while the Junior market closed the week for with two record close, for the first time since May 2017.
The gains in the two markets is driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior Market rising from to 13 and the main market from 13.7 last week to 13.7 and 14 respectively, this week. Recent movement in the PE suggest that average PE for the market will end 2018 around 18 and 20 by the end of January as conditions continue to favour stocks as the preferred investment of choice along with real estate.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 8.9 up from 8.7 last week, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher. 
The latest valuation compares to an average PE for the overall market of 14.3, based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE is now 8.8 and is the up from 8.5 last week, for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 14.6.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 38 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 40 percent to the market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period.
Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.
All Jamaica bolts to record 385,502
September 13, 2018 by
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JSE breaks several records in trading on Thursday morning
The All Jamaica Composite Index jumped to a new record shortly after trading opened on now trades at 385,137.38 but jumped 6,732.02 points to a record 385,502.72 points at 10:54 am.
The JSE index climbed 6,133.64 points to a record 351,236.58 points as a number of main market stocks traded at record prices and others recorded sizable gains to help push the market higher. The market crossed through several new highs in the morning with the first being at 9.35 at 381,944.28, followed by a series of other highs. The Junior Market added 32 points to trade at 3,388.43 after one hours trading.
More retreating for Junior Market
September 12, 2018 by
The Junior Market retreated from the record close when trading resumed on Tuesday, with the market index declining by 12.75 points to close at 3,356.37, back below the previous high of 2017.
Trading resulted in 25 securities, the same number that changed hands on Monday, leading to 12 advancing, 5 declining and 8 remaining unchanged.
Indies Pharma was the only security that closed at record high on Wednesday as investors exchanged 3,271,099 units valued at $12,971,060 in the overall market, compared to 2,700,219 units valued at $10,803,399 on Tuesday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading had 7 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices, 2 closed with lower offers.
Trading closed with an average of 130,844 units for an average of $518,842 in contrast to 108,009 units for an average of $432,136 on Tuesday. Trading for the month to date averages 806,685 units for an average of $4,908,371 and on the prior trading day, an average of 898,015 units for an average of $5,501,550. 
Trading in August, averaged 244,613 units at $1,348,298 for each security traded.
At the close of trading, Access Financial closed $1.50 higher at $47.50, in exchanging 1,019 shares, Blue Power concluded trading of 32,929 units, 25 cents higher at $6, CAC 2000 finished of 7,000 shares at $9, Caribbean Flavours traded just 164 stock units, with a loss of 57 cents to $19.30, Caribbean Producers closed at $6, after exchanging 107,764 units. Consolidated Bakeries closed 5 cents higher at $2.50, with 100,000 shares changing hands, Derrimon Trading ended at $3, with an exchange of 815,062 shares, Elite Diagnostic finished 28 cents higher at $3.44, with 33,983 stock units trading, Everything Fresh gained 1 cent in trading 52,166 shares to end at $2.44, Express Catering ended trading at $8.18, with 160,774 shares changing hands. FosRich Group traded 15 cents higher at $3.05, with an exchange 127,726 shares, General Accident closed 15 cents higher at $4.40, trading 22,360 shares, Honey Bun ended 10 cents higher at $4, with 39,029 units, Indies Pharma gained 5 cents with 958,728 shares changing hands to end at a record close of $3.65,
Iron Rock concluded trading 30 cents higher at $3.50, with an exchange of 106,550 shares. Jetcon Corporation ended trading 300 stock units at $3.95, Knutsford Express closed at $11.50, in the swapping of 800 shares, Lasco Distributors ended with a loss of 5 cents at $4, with 363,914 shares changing hands, Lasco Financial concluded trading 13 cents higher at $5.90, after 110,176 stock units traded. Lasco Manufacturing finished with a loss of 2 cents at $3.99, with 36,000 units, Main Event settled with a loss of 4 cents at $5.98, trading 134,500 shares, Medical Disposables ended trading at $6.70, with 6,500 shares, Paramount Trading ended with a loss of 15 cents at $2.60, with 33,655 shares changing hands and Stationery and Office finished trading 29 cents higher at $8.99, with 10,000 stock units. In the Junior Market preference segment, Eppley 9.5% finished at $6, with 10,000 shares trading.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.
NCB pushes All Jamaica within touch of 380K
September 12, 2018 by
NCB stock jumped to $124 in early trading on Wednesday.
The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange traded at a new record territory on Wednesday morning a mere 3 minutes of opening passing and went on to yet a higher level at 5 minutes later while passing other records along the way to the recent high.
The All Jamaica Composite Index rose 3,015.46 points to 379,946.02 and the JSE Index gained 2,747.43 points to a record 346,173.52.
The Junior Market that slipped 33.18 points in earlier trading is now down just 4.45 to 3,364.67.
Sagicor Real Estate Fund traded the most share of just under 8.7 million units at $11.75. NCB Financial now trades at $122 with the bid at the last sale price.
All Jamaica trades at new intraday record
September 12, 2018 by
The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange traded at a new record territory on Wednesday morning within 3 minutes of opening and went on to yet a higher level at 5 minutes later.
The Main market which has slipped back slightly since to be at 377,639.34 for the All Jamaica Composite Index for a gain over Tuesday’s close of 376,930.26. The All Jamaica Composite Index traded with a gain of 1,728.19 points to 378,658.45 and then went on to 378,793.40. The JSE Index rose 1,574.58 points to a record 345,000.67 and then went further to 345,123.62 for a total gain of 1,697.53.
The Junior Market Index slipped 33.18 points to 3,335.94 Derrimon Trading pulled back to $2.75 from $3 and Paramount Trading fell to $2.60 from $2.75 from the close on Tuesday.
NCB pushes All Jamaica to intraday record
September 11, 2018 by
NCB stock jumped to $120 in early trading on Tuesday.
At this stage of trading it is unclear exactly where the indices are as NCB opened at $199.01, just seconds after the market opened, but that trade was cancelled as it was outside the 30 percent range permitted by the Exchange in a day. At the time of writing, the records have the All Jamaica Composite Index up 5,408.08 points to 378,261.05. The JSE Index surged 4,927.37 points to a record 344,638.58. The price for NCB Financial used to compute the index is $120.65 but that is just over $1.65 too high, as such the main market indices is about 1,500 points overstated but that would still mean that the indices would be trading at new record territory beating the previous high of 375,307.08 reached last week.
The Junior Market that hit a new closing high on Monday has retreated by 21.92 points to 3,370.66.
NCB Financial still key stock to watch
September 10, 2018 by
NCB closed $2 higher on Friday.
Bulls pushed he Jamaican stock market, to new heights last week, with more gains expected this week with the strong likelihood that the Junior Market will clear the historical high reached in 2017..
NCB Financial played an important role in the market movement last week for the main market and Derrimon Trading chipped in for the Junior Market, these were not the only contributors to the gains in in the market last week.
Investors should keep their eyes on a number of stocks this week. NCB that closed on $115, should move higher this week as demand continues to build and with limited supply on offer. Scotia Group last trade was at $59.50 but the price could pull back before they release results for the July quarter on Wednesday. Those results could set the stage for price movements over the next few weeks. With PE ratios rising even a modest increase in profits could see the price moving into record territory.
Grace Kennedy may not be ready to break out of the $60 range as yet but it’s a stock to keep an eye on. Caribbean Cement keeps trading between $46 to $50, but there appears no real desire to move the price forward. Kingston Wharves closed the past week at a record high of at $68.50 and seems poised to move higher but the PE ratio of 44 is compared to a market average of 14, is scary. Supply of the stock remains low, with just two offers of 6,813 shares are displayed. Sygnus Credit Investments picked up last week buoyed by full year results in line with expectations of US$1.4 million. Demand should carry over into the current week and could lift the price further. Jamaica Producers has very limited volume on offer mostly in the higher $20 region while demand is building at $19 and just below.
In the Junior market, Indies continue with strong demand existing for the stock, with news of potential acquisition and new products, the stock is worth watching for more gains. Demand is building for Elite Diagnostics while supply has waned. General Accident could move higher as more demand comes in for it with limited selling, but investors may not want to be more aggressive with this stock at this time. If the company were to announce expansion into the Eastern Caribbean it may well make a difference.
Caribbean Flavours continues to slowly move higher and could do the same this week. There is no certainty the Derrimon Trading will rise any higher now that the price is in the mid three to four dollar level but must be watched. Medical Disposables, should be on the watch list for investors.
Stocks with scarce supplies that could spring surprises include Grace Kennedy, NCB Financial, Berger Paints, Caribbean Cement, Kingston Wharves, PanJam Investment, Sagicor Group, Salada Foods, Seprod and Scotia Group.
The Junior Market supplies continue to be limited for many of the listings. The list includes, Caribbean Flavours, Cargo Handlers, Derrimon Trading, Express Catering, General Accident, Caribbean Cream, Medical Disposables and Stationery and Office Supplies.
An overall view of stocks indicates that the main market continues to be steered higher by an upward sloping support line as well the 45 and 125 day moving averages, lending support just below. The Junior Market now at a 15 months’ high, is being steered by an upward rising long-term support line and a golden cross. The golden cross is a very strong bullish long-term signal.
3 new additions to IC TOP 10 stocks
September 10, 2018 by
Main Event is back in TOP 10.
The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, racked up 6 consecutive days of record close on Friday, while the Junior market closed the week just 63 points short of the record close in 2017.
The gains in the two markets is driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior Market rising from to 13 and the main market from 13.7 last week to 13.7 and 14 respectively, this week. Recent movement in the PE suggest that average PE for the market will end 2018 around 18 and 20 by the end of January as conditions continue to favour stocks as the preferred investment of choice along with real estate.
The Top 10 has three changes at the end of the week as movement in prices was 
the sole factor influencing the change. 
Caribbean Producers and Main Event dropped sharply in price on Friday and reentered the top list. While Caribbean Producers declined due partially to lower full year’s profit than was expected butt should recover as improved results for the 2019 fiscal year should be enhance with efficiency improvements, the sharp decline in the price from $7 to $5.20 of Main Event on modest volume of less than 7,000 shares is unclear, except for a bid gap between where some demand was and the offers. Access Financial and Fosrich Group dropped out of the Junior Market TOP 10 after rising in price and Sygnus Credit Investments having risen by 50 cents to $12.50 regained enough ground to be pushed out of the top list and allowed Berger Paints to return to the list.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 8.7 up from 8.5 last week, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher. 
The latest valuation compares to an average PE for the overall market of 13.7, based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE is now 8.5 and is the same level as last week, for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 14.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 36 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 39 percent to the market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year.
Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.
