NCB pushes All Jamaica within touch of 380K

NCB stock jumped to $124 in early trading on Wednesday.

NCB Financial traded up to $124 from $120 on Tuesday and help push the All Jamaica Composite Index to just less than 55 points from 380,000, at 11:38 in the morning session of the Jamaica Stock Exchange.
The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange traded at a new record territory on Wednesday morning a mere 3 minutes of opening passing and went on to yet a higher level at 5 minutes later while passing other records along the way to the recent high.
The All Jamaica Composite Index rose 3,015.46 points to 379,946.02 and the JSE Index gained 2,747.43 points to a record 346,173.52.
The Junior Market that slipped 33.18 points in earlier trading is now down just 4.45 to 3,364.67.
Sagicor Real Estate Fund traded the most share of just under 8.7 million units at $11.75. NCB Financial now trades at $122 with the bid at the last sale price.

All Jamaica trades at new intraday record

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange traded at a new record territory on Wednesday morning within 3 minutes of opening and went on to yet a higher level at 5 minutes later.
The Main market which has slipped back slightly since to be at 377,639.34 for the All Jamaica Composite Index for a gain over Tuesday’s close of 376,930.26. The All Jamaica Composite Index traded with a gain of 1,728.19 points to 378,658.45 and then went on to 378,793.40. The JSE Index rose 1,574.58 points to a record 345,000.67 and then went further to 345,123.62 for a total gain of 1,697.53.
The Junior Market Index slipped 33.18 points to 3,335.94 Derrimon Trading pulled back to $2.75 from $3 and Paramount Trading fell to $2.60 from $2.75 from the close on Tuesday.

NCB pushes All Jamaica to intraday record

NCB stock jumped to $120 in early trading on Tuesday.

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange appears to be trading in a new record territory on Tuesday Morning with NCB Financial pushing the market indices much higher than at Monday’s close.
At this stage of trading it is unclear exactly where the indices are as NCB opened at $199.01, just seconds after the market opened, but that trade was cancelled as it was outside the 30 percent range permitted by the Exchange in a day. At the time of writing, the records have the All Jamaica Composite Index up 5,408.08 points to 378,261.05. The JSE Index surged 4,927.37 points to a record 344,638.58. The price for NCB Financial used to compute the index is $120.65 but that is just over $1.65 too high, as such the main market indices is about 1,500 points overstated but that would still mean that the indices would be trading at new record territory beating the previous high of 375,307.08 reached last week.
The Junior Market that hit a new closing high on Monday has retreated by 21.92 points to 3,370.66.

NCB Financial still key stock to watch

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NCB closed $2 higher on Friday.

Bulls pushed he Jamaican stock market, to new heights last week, with more gains expected this week with the strong likelihood that the Junior Market will clear the historical high reached in 2017..
NCB Financial played an important role in the market movement last week for the main market and Derrimon Trading chipped in for the Junior Market, these were not the only contributors to the gains in in the market last week.
Investors should keep their eyes on a number of stocks this week. NCB that closed on $115, should move higher this week as demand continues to build and with limited supply on offer. Scotia Group last trade was at $59.50 but the price could pull back before they release results for the July quarter on Wednesday. Those results could set the stage for price movements over the next few weeks. With PE ratios rising even a modest increase in profits could see the price moving into record territory.
Grace Kennedy may not be ready to break out of the $60 range as yet but it’s a stock to keep an eye on. Caribbean Cement keeps trading between $46 to $50, but there appears no real desire to move the price forward. Kingston Wharves closed the past week at a record high of at $68.50 and seems poised to move higher but the PE ratio of 44 is compared to a market average of 14, is scary. Supply of the stock remains low, with just two offers of 6,813 shares are displayed. Sygnus Credit Investments picked up last week buoyed by full year results in line with expectations of US$1.4 million. Demand should carry over into the current week and could lift the price further. Jamaica Producers has very limited volume on offer mostly in the higher $20 region while demand is building at $19 and just below.
In the Junior market, Indies continue with strong demand existing for the stock, with news of potential acquisition and new products, the stock is worth watching for more gains. Demand is building for Elite Diagnostics while supply has waned. General Accident could move higher as more demand comes in for it with limited selling, but investors may not want to be more aggressive with this stock at this time. If the company were to announce expansion into the Eastern Caribbean it may well make a difference.
Caribbean Flavours continues to slowly move higher and could do the same this week. There is no certainty the Derrimon Trading will rise any higher now that the price is in the mid three to four dollar level but must be watched. Medical Disposables, should be on the watch list for investors.
Stocks with scarce supplies that could spring surprises include Grace Kennedy, NCB Financial, Berger Paints, Caribbean Cement, Kingston Wharves, PanJam Investment, Sagicor Group, Salada Foods, Seprod and Scotia Group.
The Junior Market supplies continue to be limited for many of the listings. The list includes, Caribbean Flavours, Cargo Handlers, Derrimon Trading, Express Catering, General Accident, Caribbean Cream, Medical Disposables and Stationery and Office Supplies.
An overall view of stocks indicates that the main market continues to be steered higher by an upward sloping support line as well the 45 and 125 day moving averages, lending support just below. The Junior Market now at a 15 months’ high, is being steered by an upward rising long-term support line and a golden cross. The golden cross is a very strong bullish long-term signal.

3 new additions to IC TOP 10 stocks

Main Event is back in TOP 10.

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, racked up 6 consecutive days of record close on Friday, while the Junior market closed the week just 63 points short of the record close in 2017.
The gains in the two markets is driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior Market rising from to 13 and the main market from 13.7 last week to 13.7 and 14 respectively, this week. Recent movement in the PE suggest that average PE for the market will end 2018 around 18 and 20 by the end of January as conditions continue to favour stocks as the preferred investment of choice along with real estate.
The Top 10 has three changes at the end of the week as movement in prices was the sole factor influencing the change. Caribbean Producers and Main Event dropped sharply in price on Friday and reentered the top list. While Caribbean Producers declined due partially to lower full year’s profit than was expected butt should recover as improved results for the 2019 fiscal year should be enhance with efficiency improvements, the sharp decline in the price from $7 to $5.20 of Main Event on modest volume of less than 7,000 shares is unclear, except for a bid gap between where some demand was and the offers. Access Financial and Fosrich Group dropped out of the Junior Market TOP 10 after rising in price and Sygnus Credit Investments having risen by 50 cents to $12.50 regained enough ground to be pushed out of the top list and allowed Berger Paints to return to the list.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 8.7 up from 8.5 last week, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher. The latest valuation compares to an average PE for the overall market of 13.7, based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE is now 8.5 and is the same level as last week, for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 14.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 36 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 39 percent to the market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

Big bounce in Fosrich profit

FosRich profits rose sharply in 2018

Fosrich Group reported profit of $30 million for the June quarter, an increase of 630 percent over the $4 million reported for the prior year’s reporting period.
Profit before tax climbed to $60.6 million for the half year to June, for an increase of 144 percent over the $25 million for the similar period in 2017 and by an increase of 234% over the post-tax profit of $18 million, reported for the prior reporting period.
Having listed on the Jamaica Stock exchange Junior market in 2017, profits are now free form taxes for a period of 5 years. Earnings per stock unit ended at 12 cents for the half year and 6 cents for the quarter and should end up just around 27 to 30 cents, if the trend continues.
During the second quarter, the company enjoyed an 18.7 percent hike in income to $320 million, from $270 million for the prior year. For the half year, sales revenues were just up by 5 percent to $592 million from $565 million in 2017.
Gross profit for the quarter, rose 23 percent to $141 million from $115 million, in the prior reporting period and for the six months to June gross profit increased just 6 percent to $269 million. Gross profit margin slipped from the first quarter to 44 percent with the margin for the six months ending at 45 percent. Other income for the year-to-date benefited from foreign exchange gains of $15 million.
Administrative expenses fell $14 million for the half year, to $198 million and slipped just slightly for the quarter to $102 million from $103 million. According to the Managing Director, Cecil Foster, “the decrease was driven primarily by efficiencies gained from the management of staff and related costs, reductions in selling and marketing expenses, reduced insurance costs and reductions in damaged goods write-off and warranty expenses. The cost savings were partially offset by increases in staff training, legal and professional fees, rent and bank charges,” management indicated.
Finance cost for the year-to-date was $28.5 million compared to $19.6 million for the prior reporting period, but rose 68 percent in the June quarter to $17.5 million. “This increase is being driven by a new working capital line of credit obtained to assist with the financing of operations. This new facility was obtained at more favourable rates than the previous bank facilities,” Foster advised, in his commentary on the interim results.
Inventories rose sharply from $625 million in December to $808 million in June, receivables declined to $148 million from $156 million. Amounts due to creditors fell sharply from $297 million as of December to just $35 million. The company paid off amounts due on overseas line of credit thus reducing foreign exchange risk. The switch contributed to a sharp rise in loans from $384 million to $795 million.
“The company continues to closely manage inventory balances and the supply-chain, with a view to ensuring that inventory balances being carried are optimised, relative to the pace of sales, the time between the orders being made and when goods become available for sale, to avoid both overstocking and stock-outs. Monitoring is both at the individual product level and by product categories,” foster advised shareholders.
Part of the loans was on lent to an affiliated company that is completing an apartment complex on Shortwood Road, the managing director confirmed to IC Insider.com. The financials show $243 million due form them. The amount due incurs interest at 12.5 percent rate, Foster stated. The line allowed the company to stock up on some commodities at low prices relative to what normally obtains in the trade.
Shareholders’ equity now stands at $670 million, up from the $609 million at December 2017. Fosrich trades on the Junior Market at $2.80 on Tuesday, just around 10 times earnings.

NCB Financial remains on high alert

The Jamaican stock market, scaled new heights last week, helped by NCB Financial hitting a record high of $115, as supply of the stock being sold remains limited.
More buying came in for the stock on Friday and investors should be on the watch again as the price could go higher during the current week.
Grace Kennedy is another of the main market stocks to keep an eye on, as it slowly tries to move higher. Caribbean Cement moved back to $50, on Friday and could go further in this week as increased demand came in for the stock. It clearly one to watch but investors will need to determine if Friday’s move is a part of the usual month end window dressing. Kingston Wharves closed at $61.80 but traded as high as $65, supply remains low, thus favouring further price gains, even as the stock is carries by far the highest PE in the market. Watch for Scotia Group that should be releasing third quarter results, this week Thursday and Sygnus Credit Investments that posted full year results in line with expectations of US$1.4 million.
In the Junior market, Indies continue with strong demand existing for the stock, with news of potential acquisition and new products, the stock is worth watching for more gains. General Accident could move higher as more demand comes in for it with limited selling.
Caribbean Flavours seems to be following its parent, Derrimon Trading, continuing to rise with limited volume on sale currently. Medical Disposables, declined during the previous week, recovered last week and .should be moving higher going forward, continue to watch this one, as well as Derrimon Trading that has contracted to distribute products of a Trinidad producer.

Kingston Wharves jumped to close at $60 on Tuesday.

Stocks with scarce supplies that could spring surprises include Barita Investments, Grace Kennedy, NCB Financial, Berger Paints, Caribbean Cement, Kingston Wharves, PanJam Investment, Sagicor Group, Salada Foods, Seprod and Scotia Group. The main market is not the only segment with limited supplies. The Junior Market supplies continue to be limited for many of the listings. The list includes, Caribbean Flavours, Cargo Handlers, Derrimon Trading, Express Catering, General Accident, Caribbean Cream, Medical Disposables, Stationery and Office Supplies and tTech.
An overall view of stocks indicates that the main market continues to be steered higher by an upward sloping support line as well the 45 and 125 day moving averages, lending support just below. The Junior Market now at a 15 months’ high, is being steered by an upward rising long-term support line and a golden cross. The golden cross is a very strong bullish long-term signal.

Access, Fosrich, JMMB now in IC TOP 10

Both the Jamaica Stock Exchange, main and Junior markets reached higher levels during the past week, with the main market hitting a series of new record highs. The coming weeks should see more gains as investors seek out opportunities as fixed interest returns have tanked.
The Top 10 has 3 changes, with Medical Disposables and Caribbean Producers moving out and making space for Access Financial and Fosrich Group in the Junior Market and JMMB Group coming in for is Berger Paints, with the latter jumping to $21.50 by the end of the week from $18 the week before.
Access Financial produced decent June quarter results with profit rising 16 percent to $217 million from $188 million for the 2017 quarter. The company is in the process of another acquisition, this time overseas, this should continue to help boost profit going forward. Fosrich posted good second quarter results and is on target to reach IC Insider.com’s forecasted earnings of 30 cents per share. Fosrich too, could be making an acquisition later this year, or early 2019, unofficial, but credible reports suggest. JMMB Group posted good first quarter results with a 59 percent increase in net profit. Some of the strong gains came from the relatively sharp fall in the value of the Jamaican dollar in the period that is not expected to continue.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks average 8.5 up marginally from 8.4 last week, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher. The latest valuation compares to an average PE for the overall market of 13, based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE is now 8.5 and is up from 8, last week, for the top stocks, compared to a market average of 13.7, a clear indication of the level of potential gains that can be made by owning these stocks. Work done by IC Insider.com suggests that the PE ratio is likely to end 2018 around 16 to 18 times earnings, as investors continue to upgrade the multiple they are prepared to pay for stocks, which would lift prices sharply over the next several months from current levels. The latest government bond offer with a 4.58 years tenor, was heavily oversubscribed, resulting in rates dropping to 3.95 percent, suggesting that investors are satisfied that the economic policies will continue to lead to low inflation for a considerable time. These rates suggest more funds will be going into stocks as liquidity remains high in the financial system.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 35 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 38 percent to the market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

Rising stock prices dragging PEs higher

The bulls have taken control of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, driving the main market to several new record highs during the past week with All Jamaica Index hitting more than 352,000 points last week Friday and jumping more than 6,000 points on Tuesday morning this week to more than 356,400 points and hitting a high of 363,496.
At the same time, the Junior Market now trades at a 15 months’ high. The bullishness has also raised the PE ratio of the market higher since the start of July. The average PE for the overall Junior Market is now 13, based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE, is now an average of 13.7. At the start of July, the PE ratios, were at 11 for the Junior Market and 13 for the main market. At the end of 2017, the average PEs were at 13.5 and 15 respectively, based on 2017 earnings.
The PE is the most used tool in valuing stocks. in order to compare the value of one stock versus another, as such paying attention to this most important measure is critical to success in the stock market. PE ratios are not static and will change as profit and interest rates change. Profit will drive a stock to an expected or accepted PE but interest rates will change PE depending on whether rates and rising or falling. For several years Jamaican became used to a PE of 10 being the norm. That was when interest rates were in the teens now that rates are down sharply from that level PE will rise but its taken quite some time for that to happen. Investors are slowly recognizing that to participate in a growing economy and rising profits that they have to pay more to buy the shares of the listed companies.
The attached chart suggests that the average PE ratio is likely to end 2018 around 16 TO 17 times earnings, as investors continue to gradually upgrade the multiple they are prepared to pay for stocks, which would lift prices sharply over the coming months, from current levels.
Treasury bill rates now under 2 percent and government 4 years bods clearing at 3.95 percent and with a chronic shortage of many of the stocks, continuing to put upward pressure on prices, the PE ratios will move higher, investors should be taking their cue from this development.
The movement of the markets PE to the range mentioned above would translate to and increase around 25 percent rise in the market for the rest of the year and would result in full year gains of 40 to 50 percent in main and Junior markets for the year.

All Jamaica leaps to record 363,496

The Jamaica Stock Exchange continues to scale new heights on the last trading day of August as the bulls take control of the market. At midday the All Jamaican Composite Index has surged more than 8,829 points to pass 363,000 points.
The All Jamaican Composite Index has jumped 8,829.47 points to an intraday high 363,496.38 and the JSE Index surged 8,044.65 points to a record 331,186.28. The Junior Market index rose 36.05 points to 3,253.63.
NCB Financial had jumped earlier to a record $115 from a close of $113 on Thursday, to make the first big move on the index, but Caribbean Cement climbed to $50 from $46.50 on Thursday, Sagicor Group rose from $38.05 to $39.75 while Kingston Wharves jumped from $63 to a record $65 and helped push sharply higher beyond the 363,000 mark.
In the Junior Market, Derrimon Trading having just over 1 million shares trading at $24 and Caribbean Producers traded 1.26 million shares at $6.50.

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ohromí – proč si řidiči se zkušenostmi dávají pod kola pytle Tajemství slavných kuchařů : 10 tipů a triků z kuchařských pořadů Libido bude jako za mlada: psycholog dal cenné rady ženám, které stárnou Potřete matraci jedlou sodou a nechte ji hodinu působit: nebudete věřit, co se stane potom Alexander Vasiljev prozradil hlavní tajemství, jak ušetřit peníze za nákupy oblečení Tohle tajemství znají jen mazané hostitelky – proto si doma dávají sáčky z obchodu do lahve 5 nejčastějších chyb, které ničí sazenice: dělá je mnoho dachařů a pak toho litují Moudré hospodyňky čistí pračku pomocí pleny: jednoduché a pohodlné – žádný rozruch Rekreanti piští nadšením – na pozemku nejsou komáři a komáři: vezměte si papír a kávu Nevylévejte zbytky vína: 8 využití v domácnosti a kuchyni Nevyhazujte plastová víčka: 12 způsobů využití v domácnosti i v k V showroomu vám o nich neřeknou: odborníci pojmenovali nevyléčitelné ‚nemoci‘ čínských aut Nervozita je hračka: 3 způsoby, jak snížit stres v práci Lékař 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ramínka + 1 taška: věčný problém s nedostatkem místa ve skříni je vyřešen během 30 sekund Nevyhazujte bublinkovou fólii: 9 užitečných způsobů, jak ji využít v domácnosti a v domácnosti Nahradí všechny brýle: kupte si jen takový doplněk – hlavní trend pro léto 2023 Zapište si do sešitu: 5 hlavních tradic pro nový rok jsou jmenovány – pak se určitě stane zázrak Přikrmte fialky sladkým produktem z vaší kuchyňské skříňky: budou dlouho a bujně kvést Mult mai mult decât resturi alimentare: de ce nu ar trebui să arunci niciodată cojile de ouă Ținuta unei femei a dus la concediere: Nu crede că este nepotrivită Cum să îndepărtezi zgârieturile de pe geamurile mașinii: 2 trucuri pe care le poți folosi chiar tu Un tânăr de 18 ani a câștigat 250 de milioane de coroane daneze după ce și-a cumpărat primul bilet de loterie Noul burger de la McDonald’s devine viral: Vezi de ce îl adoră clienții! 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Vedeți răspunsul expertului O familie și-a predat câinele de 3 ani la un adăpost: Nu vei ghici niciodată motivul Bărbat pe punctul de a intra pe ușa din fața casei sale: Deodată este atacat de ceva foarte neașteptat Foarte puțini oameni își dau seama de acest lucru: Pentru asta sunt proiectate de fapt mânerele mașinii dumneavoastră Era mică cât o unghie când a găsit-o în plimbarea ei prin pădure O femeie supraponderală a rezervat două locuri în avion: A refuzat să împartă locul cu un băiețel de 1 an Personalul unui supermarket își exprimă frustrarea față de clienți: Mă enervează A fost filmată o scenă înfricoșătoare în casa chiriașului: A stat treaz toată noaptea de teamă că se va întoarce cu o altă armă A vrut doar să spele rufe: Apoi a făcut o descoperire șocantă Expertul dezvăluie: Unde să vă amplasați detectoarele de fum Vezi video: Sărutul din reclama la ciocolată stârnește indignare Esther nu-și lasă fiul de 15 ani să se angajeze: Motivul te va surprinde Mașina de spălat este plină de bacterii: un truc simplu face posibilă eradicarea lor în cel mai scurt timp August locuiește într-o rulotă care nu pare cine știe ce: stai să vezi interiorul Oamenii de știință au găsit, în sfârșit, explicația pentru calendarul mayaș Bărbatul avea dureri de cap puternice și chiar pierderea vederii: Când a fost scanat, medicii au descoperit ceva neașteptat Sunt un expert în călătorii: Nu ar trebui să faci niciodată un duș înainte de un zbor de dimineață devreme Tragedie: Un bărbat și un copil au murit într-un incendiu într-un apartament Nu turnați niciodată apă clocotită în chiuvetă: Iată un mesaj important pentru toți cei care o fac A primit un mesaj de la soțul ei: și-a dat seama imediat că ceva nu era în regulă Secretul întunecat dezvăluit: Porsche a ascuns acest lucru Un bărbat toarnă o linguriță de ulei de măsline într-un iaz – puțini sunt cei care cunosc acest fenomen Nu doar din cauza prețului: de ce ar trebui să călătoriți doar cu bagaj de mână Cei mai mulți oameni nu-și dau seama de acest lucru: Această setare epuizează bateria iPhone-ului dumneavoastră Un turist a comandat un sandviș la un restaurant din Italia: Când a văzut nota de plată, nu i-a venit să creadă ce vede Presară orez peste ștergarul umed: Când vei vedea ce se întâmplă, vei face la fel Adolescentă trimisă acasă pentru o ținută nepotrivită: Nu a înțeles de ce și și-a asumat consecințele Vizită la Urgențe după descoperirea unui șoc în produsul Rema 1000: Acum iubitul are un avertisment Tiffany a slăbit 45 kg în timp record: A renunțat la un anumit lucru Linda, în vârstă de 23 de ani, se plânge că este prea bogată și provoacă furie: ‘Îmi cumpără prea multe lucruri Un bărbat își pierde cheile de la mașină: Când s-a întors la mașină, a avut un șoc imens Un bărbat a ajuns de urgență la spital cu insuficiență multiplă de organe: Acum medicii avertizează copiii și adolescenții O femeie și-a pierdut piciorul după ce a rămas blocată în scara rulantă a unui aeroport O femeie a comandat o cafea la McDonald’s – dar ceea ce a urmat i-a dat fiori pe șira spinării Angajata unei bănci a avut parte de șocul vieții ei: N-o să-ți vină să crezi ce i-a oferit această femeie El adaugă un ingredient în mașina de spălat la fiecare 4 săptămâni.săptămână: Așteptați să vedeți cum se întâmplă magia Un băiat de 12 ani, acuzat de medici că a dramatizat prea mult simptomele: La scurt timp, a rămas paralizat Anders și Torben au fost în direct la televizor: în timp ce casa era jefuită Comoară neașteptată descoperită sub covor: O femeie se bucură de descoperire Când ar trebui să decorați pentru Crăciun? Aceasta este data perfectă, potrivit experților Mașina de spălat este plină de bacterii: cu acest truc ingenios le puteți eradica în cel mai scurt timp Foarte puțini oameni își dau seama de acest lucru: Aceasta este semnificația culorii buretelui de bucătărie