138SL 2016 profit could hit $80M

John Lee“Handing over of the buildings by the contractor will be in stages, scheduled for August 10, August 20 and mid-September. The Management team is now in place and support staff have been recruited to deliver a new experience in student living and to welcome the first batch of 576 students at 138 Student Living in early August 2015,” John Lee, Chairman of the company advised shareholders recently in the release of their June quarter financials.
Based on the completion the units, the company looks set to earn around $80 million in profit in its first full year of operating, well above a loss of $71 million that was projected in the prospectus. By year 2 profits should be hitting the $120 million mark or 30 cents per share, on the assumption that the exchange rate will remain relatively stable versus the US dollar.
Phase 1 of the Construction commenced September 2014 and is being financed by a joint $1.35B loan from Jamaica Mortgage Bank (JMB) and National Commercial Bank (NCB) and from proceeds of the public share issue of more than $500 million raised. Long term funding, by way of a bond, to repay the construction loan received from Jamaica Mortgage Bank and National Commercial Bank has been secured and will be paid on the completion of the buildings, Lee stated.
Construction of phase 2 consisting of another 576 rooms is scheduled to commence in September 2015 and will come into operation in August 2016. Negotiations have commenced with the preferred contractor which should lead to a final construction contract.
The company has signed a new concession agreement with UWI Mona for the restoration and

138 Student Living, artist impression of a block.

138 Student Living, artist impression of a block.

reconstruction of certain traditional halls, with the room count under this agreement totalling approximately 750, operational for a maximum period of 35 years. The Concession is being done under a 100 percent subsidiary, 138 SL Restoration.
The company incurred cost on construction of just over $1 billion up to June that was partially financed by $617 million in loans.
The company has not yet commenced operation, as such there is no income statement as all cost is capitalized as a part of the construction expenditure.
Profit or loss| The company had projected rental income of $335 million based on the exchange rate being at $122 by September 2015 and J$131 by September 2016. Nevertheless, rental income is more likely to be in the region of $320 million, assuming all rooms are rented for 12 months. On the plus side, the cost of electricity that was projected at $67 million may come in under that amount with the fall in the cost of electricity since last year. Interest cost was projected at $270 million but that seems to be far over the actual figure that is likely to be incurred and charged against income in the year to September 2015. Actual interest plus preference dividend chargeable against income in 2016 is likely to be the order of $100 million based on the amount borrowed to complete phase 1 and the issued preference shares of $168 million.

JSE poised to rise on Wednesday

PriceBalloons_KittisakFREEIMAGE280x150pxActivity on the Jamaica Stock Exchange picked up with one of the better trading days in terms of the number of securities being active. At the close there were 14 stocks rising, 8 declining as 39 securities changed hands, including 4 that closed at new 52 weeks’ high and ending in 4,671,007 units trading, valued at $73,832,092, in all market segments.
The changes in the market indices were very small with the JSE Market Index gaining just 13.43 points to 97,452.41, theJSE All Jamaican Composite index rising by 15.01 points to close at 107,864.54 but the JSE combined index declined by 4.07 points to end at 100,255.47.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows 14 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and just 3 with offers that were lower, a suggestion that advancing stocks should have the upper hand again on Wednesday.
JSE sum 23-6-15In trading, Cable & Wireless closed with 1,149,216 units trading to end at 45 cents, Carreras traded 321,462 shares and gained $2.19 to end at $50.50, Desnoes & Geddes gained 44 cents in trading 733,245 shares to close at $8. Gleaner ended with 108,114 shares changing hands but lost 8 cents at the close, Grace Kennedy had 26,700 units changing hands and put on 64 cents to $64, Jamaica Broilers gained 55 cents while trading 8,410 units to end at $6. JMMB Group ended with 20,085 shares trading unchanged at $7.50, Kingston Wharves put on 30 cents in closing at $7 having traded just 2,900 units. Mayberry Investments traded 252,867 shares to close at $2.60 after shedding 30 cents, National Commercial Bank lost 44 cents in trading 1,008,211 shares at $29.01 at the end. JSE fn qts 23-6-15 138 Student Living regained the 40 cents it lost recently to close at $4.40 with 20,000 units changing hands, Pan Jamaican dropped $2.70 with 59,230 units to close at $60.80, Proven Investments traded 305,252 shares between 22 US cents and the closing price of 19.01 US cents, for a slight gain at the end. Radio Jamaica closed with a gain of 30 cents to a new 52 weeks’ high of $3.50 with just 4,214 shares changing hands, Sagicor Group was up 55 cents with 191,448 units trading to end at $12.95, Sagicor Real Estate X Fund closed 1 cent higher at a new high of $8.01 after 4,000 shares were exchanged. Scotia Group had 95,808 units trading 10 cents higher at $23.25 and Scotia Investments traded 15,000 shares at $29.85 at the close.

More choices for investors

Barita

There were times, not so long ago, when things in the local financial markets were much simpler than they are now. Well up to just a few years ago there were only three unit trust companies operating and about 6 or 7 schemes. At the end of 2014 there were 22 different unit trust offerings and currently there are 27.
NCB Capital Markets added two new ones this year and Barita has just launched two new ones. By the end of 2015 the field is likely to get even more crowded with a number of institutions already indicating that they will be launching new schemes, included are JMMB Securities and Stocks and Securities. Part of the reason for the mush rooming of these schemes is occasioned by the dictates of the IMF and the World Bank who considered the risk financial institutions were taking by issuing repos using government securities as the flip side of the trades as too high and could pose major problems to the financial system. The result is a change in the rules that now require smaller amounts of funds to be routed through managed schemes, where the liability is left with the investors rather than the financial institutions, as is now the case. The market has also changed, with investors looking for a greater number of opportunities to invest in.
Barita Unit Trust is the latest entity to launch new schemes, bringing their suite of schemes to 6 in April. The latest are; the Barita US$ FX Growth Portfolio which invests mainly in international equity, and the Barita JA$ Real Estate Portfolio which invests primarily in commercial and residential buildings for lease or sale.
The US$ FX Growth Portfolio is a US Dollar denominated equity portfolio with investments in foreign currency ordinary and preference shares of countries within the Commonwealth, Caricom and the United States and may extend to other sovereign governments as prescribed by the Financial Services Commission and the Bank of Jamaica. A minimum purchase of 100 units is required to open an account, the current price per unit is US$1.

Barita Property Fund invested in 138 Student Living shares

Barita Property Fund invested in 138 Student Living shares

The real estate portfolio is JA$ denominated with investments in commercial or residential buildings for lease or sale and may also become financiers of real property developments and or participate in construction or financing of such structures.
Real Estate Portfolio investments must be held for a minimum of three years with a moratorium of 6 months’ notice required for encashment of the investment. At the launch, the managers stated that the fund has started off with an investment in 138 Student Living shares that are listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange (JSE). A minimum purchase of 100 units is required to open an account and the current price is $5,000 per unit.
How the new funds will perform is left to time. What is known is the Cameron Burnett who is associated with the US dollar equity fund, has been investing in the overseas’ market for several years successfully, the fund should benefit from his experience. Hopefully, they will be able to navigate what is set to be a choppy period ahead for the US stock market, with interest rates set to go up.
Locally, real estate values should grow at an increasing pace as the government keeps the target of a balance fiscal operation firmly in sight and be committed to achieving it, which will lead to lower interest rates and higher asset values.
Barita Unit Trust is a subsidiary of Barita Investments a JSE listed stock.

JSE near 20 months’ high

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RED STRIPE  factThursday’s activity on the Jamaica Stock Exchange, ended with big gains in the main market indices, as heavily weighted National Commercial Bank traded as high as $24, Desnoes & Geddes end at $5.50, Kingston Wharves closed up at $6.50 and Sagicor Group gained 10 cents. At the end, the prices of 8 stocks rose 5 declined as 21 securities changed hands, with 3,414,320 units trading, valued at $11,037,316, in all market segments.
Main Market| The JSE Market Index gained 922.34 points to 81,141.21, the JSE All Jamaican Composite index rose 1,031.22 points to close at 89,437.94, the highest since July 15, 2013 and the JSE combined index gained 841.81 points to close at 82,939.38.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows 5 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 stocks with offers that were lower.

Scotia Investments put on $2.05 on Thursday.

Scotia Investments put on $2.05 on Thursday.

Gains| Stocks gaining with last traded prices, at the end of trading in the main market are, Desnoes & Geddes trading 55,000 units, gained 50 cents to end at $5.50. Jamaica Broilers closed with 26,000 units, 3 cents higher to $4.05, Jamaica Money Market Brokers closed with 79,568 ordinary shares changing hands, with a 20 cents increase to $7.10, Kingston Wharves ending with 699,136 shares, closed 75 cents higher to $6.50, Pan Jamaican Investment finished with 20,000 shares trading, while adding 1 cent to $53.51. Sagicor Group in closing with 2,000 units ended with an increase of 10 cents to $10.50, Scotia Investments finished with only 1,000 shares trading as the price jumped $2.05 to $25.05 and Supreme Ventures closing with 16,800 shares and increase 18 cents to end at $2.
Firm| The stocks in the main market to close without a change in the last traded prices are, Gleaner ending with 2,007,266 units trading at 85 cents. Grace Kennedy finishing with 1,000 shares at $60.51, followed by 138 Student Living, closing with only 2,500 units at $4.40, Radio Jamaica ending with 1,200 shares changing hands to close at $1.35 and Scotia Group finishing with 20,450 shares trading at $21.
JSE sum 26-2-15 Declines| The last traded prices of stocks with losses at the end of trading in the main market are, Berger Paints concluding trading with 49,151 shares changing hands, to close down by 2 cents at $1.55. Caribbean Cement closing with 20,172 units trading as the price slipped 25 cents to $2.60, Carreras ending trading with 17,074 shares trading lower by 45 cents to $44.05, National Commercial Bank in having 40,112 shares changing hands, closed 15 cents lower at $22 after trading at a new intraday 52 weeks’ high of $24.

Insider sold 2.77m Student Living shares

138 photo 11-14Newly listed 138 Student Living advises that a related party sold 2,775,000 of the company’s shares on January 30, 2015. T
he shares traded at $4.40 and realised $12,210,000. When the company went public in December last year, some of the initial investors offered shares they owned to the public which was packaged with the public offer. Shares offered by the company were taken up in full, but those by shareholders were only partially bought by the public.
A related party to a directors sold 250,000 Jamaica Broilers Group’s shares on February 2, 2015, the Company advised the Jamaica Stock Exchange.

2 new highs, 7 stocks rise 2 declined

138 Student Living closed at a new high on Friday

138 Student Living, the stock closed at a new high on Friday

Friday’s activity on the Jamaica Stock Exchange, resulted in the prices of 2 stocks making new all-time highs as 7 stocks rose and only 2 declined. A total of 18 securities changed hands, ending in 5,219,205 units trading, valued at $27,852,702, in all market segments.
Main Market| The JSE Market Index lost 176.81 points to 76,539.17, the JSE All Jamaican Composite index fell/ decline 197.68 points to close at 84,292.66 and the JSE combined index gained declined 40.34 points to close at 78,413.24.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator maintains a bullish stance with 10 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 stocks with offers that were lower.
Gains| Stocks gaining with last traded prices, at the end of trading in the main market are, Carreras finishing with 129,395 shares while gaining 80 cents to close at $39.50. Recently listed, 138 Student Living ending with 2,775,000 units 30 cents higher, at a new all-time high of $4.40 and Proven Investments closed with 100,000 shares while gaining 0.04 cents 21 US cents.
JSE sum 30-1-15 Firm| The stocks in the main market to close without a change in the last traded prices are, Cable & Wireless having 557,504 units trading at 50 cents. Caribbean Cement closed with 18,006 shares changing hands at $2.36, Desnoes & Geddes finished with 284,000 units trading to end at $4.90, Grace Kennedy finished with 4,665 units traded at $62, Jamaica Producers had 287 shares changing hands at $17. Pan Jamaican Investment ending with 1,100 units trading, to end at $52.01, Sagicor Group ending with 224,299 shares trading at $10 and Scotia Investments closed with 287 shares trading at $23.
Declines| The last traded prices of stocks with losses at the end of trading in the main market are, Supreme Ventures in trading 104,000 units and lost 15 cents in closing at $2 and National Commercial Bank closing with 27,860 shares trading lower by 10 cents to $19.90.
Preference| Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.50% preference share traded 5,700 shares trading at $2 and Proven Investments 8% preference share traded 391,000 units traded at $5

Scotia Group pushes market down sharply

SCot Bnk signThe Jamaica Stock Exchange main market indices fell back sharply on Tuesday as suggested in yesterday’s commentary with Scotia Group being the main mover of the index. Today the banking group stocks closed at $20.25 well off the close on Monday added to the fall National Commercial Bank stock price also fell and helped pulled down the indices.
Trading activity saw moderate activity for the first time in 138 Student Living, in both ordinary and preference shares helping the overall market in recording prices gain for 8 stocks and decline in 4 as 23 securities changed hands, ending in 1,347,407 units trading, valued at $7,189,700, in all market segments.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows 14 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 stocks with offers that were lower.
Main Market| The JSE Market Index gained points to , the JSE All Jamaican Composite index fell/ rose/ decline points to close at and the JSE combined index gained declined by points to close at
JSE 6-1-15f Gains| Stocks gaining with last traded prices, at the end of trading in the main market are, trading for the first time, since listing in December, 138 Student Living ordinary shares, ended trading with 5,000 units to gain 10 cents on the IPO price, to close at $4.10. Grace Kennedy closed with only 135 shares changing hands to gain 1 cent at $61.01 and Radio Jamaica had 20,000 shares with the price rising 15 cents at $1.30.
Firm| The stocks in the main market to close without a change in the last traded prices are, Cable & Wireless closing with 191,250 shares trading at 48 cents, Carreras finished with 14,640 shares changing hands to close at $37. Desnoes & Geddes ended with 3,798 shares changing hands at $4.90, Jamaica Broilers closed with 2,350 shares at $4.10, Kingston Wharves with 1,400 shares changing hands, closed at $6, Proven Investments finished with 35,000 shares at 20.5 US cents and Sagicor Real Estate Fund ended with 2,000 shares trading at $7.02.
NCB1 Declines| The last traded prices of stocks with losses at the end of trading in the main market are, National Commercial Bank closing with 7,430 units trading, the price slipped 34 cents to $18.65. Sagicor Group finished with 266,000 shares trading lower by 2 cents at $9.98, Scotia Group ended with 36,488 shares trading $2 lower at $20.25 and Supreme Ventures ended trading with 30,000 shares changing hands to close 24 cents lower at $1.76.
Preference| Jamaica Money Market Brokers 8.75% preference shares traded 601,215 units to end at $3,Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.50% preference shares traded 21,781 units at $2 and 138 Student Living Variable Preference share closed with 11,000 shares trading with a gain of 10 cents t0 $5.10 on the IPO price.

138 Student Living gets money

138 photo 11-14138 Student Living Jamaica received the full amount they sough from the capital market, when the initial public offer, was fully taken up at the close of the offer, on Thursday 4 December, JMMB Securities Ltd reported to the Jamaica Stock Exchange.
According to a release from the brokers “all of the Ordinary Shares and Preference Shares offered for subscription by the Company, valued at $500m in the aggregate were fully taken up. All Applicants will receive a full allotment of the amounts that they applied for.”
The Company offered 82,900,000 Ordinary Shares at $4 each and initially, 33,680,000 subject to an option to increase the amount up to 60,000,000 Cumulative Redeemable Preference Shares at $5. In addition shareholders of the company offered for sale 15,716,667 ordinary shares at $4 each to raise $62.8 million and received $31.3m.
The Company will now apply to the Jamaica Stock Exchange for the listing of the Ordinary Shares and the Preference Shares on the Main Market of the JSE.

138 Student Living long term inflation play

Artist's drawing of apartment blocks of 138 Student Living

Artist’s drawing of apartment blocks of 138 Student Living


The growing population of university students, attending colleges within the Kingston area means a steady demand for affordable accommodation for students. Apart from Jamaicans, there are many overseas’ students attending the universities and in need of accommodation.
Historically, the Mona Heights homeowners utilized their helpers’ quarters to accommodate many youngsters and generate added income at the same time. These were very popular with students, as they were within walking distance of the colleges. The university’s population has grown vastly, since the 1960s and seventies, when these units could have provided a decent supply of rooms for the community. According to 138 Student Living Jamaica Limited who are seeking capital to build out the development of 1,584 student residence units, there is currently a shortage of on – campus student accommodation at the UWI Mona campus, which has in total 3,356 rooms for student accommodation. In the 2013/14 academic year, 5031 first year students applied for the 1,678 available allocated rooms for first year students. The remaining rooms were allocated to returning students. Helping to push demand is that enrolment at Mona has nearly doubled since 2001 moving from 8,758 students to 16,518 in 2013, 138 Students Living states.
The company is partnering with UWI Mona, under the Concession Agreement to construct and manage 1,584 rooms. The UWI guarantees 90% occupancy of the constructed units in any 51 – week period for as long as the Concession Agreement is in place, which is currently contemplated to be a minimum of 30 years and a maximum of 65 years.
Opening|Effective November 27, the Company invites applications for up to 82,900,000 Ordinary Shares at $4 each and initially, 33,680,000 subject to an increase up to 60,000,000 Cumulative Redeemable Preference Shares at $5.
jmmb150x150The issue is underwritten by JMMB, the Underwriter, who has given an irrevocable commitment to subscribe for any of the 82,900,000 Ordinary Shares and/or the 13,680,000 Preference Shares that are not taken up by Applicants on the Closing Date of the Invitation up to a maximum of $400M. The existing shareholders are also selling 15,716,667 units. The offers will close on Thursday, 4 December 2014. With the ordinary share issue have been fully underwritten it is expected that the directors will be making the application to the Jamaica Stock Exchange the Ordinary Shares and the Preference Shares on the Main Market.
138 stndt liv 11-14The preference shares| Cumulative preferential dividends will be paid at a rate equal to the Government of Jamaica 180 days Weighted Average Treasury Bill Yield plus 3% per annum (WATBY + 3%). Dividends will accrue from the issue date, and paid on the 4th anniversary. Thereafter dividends will accrue and be due and payable semi-annually. With 182 days Treasury bills rate is now at 7.385 percent the yield initially will be just over 10 percent, but that is sure to decline within months and could remain pretty low going forward as the country sorts out its economy and enter a period of economic stability. The listing will provide a market for investors to quit early, if they so desire, the question then will be at what price?
The Company is a special purpose real estate investment company. It was established by the Founder, its majority shareholder K Limited, which is a company owned and controlled by the Chairman of the Company John Lee former PriceWaterhouse Partner and his immediate family members inclusive of his wife Director Marrynette Lee. Under the direction of John Lee and Marrynette Lee, K Limited has in the past 7 years developed a number of multiple – residential accommodation complexes comprising over 100 units in the aggregate, in and around Kingston and Saint Andrew.
138 photo 11-14Future income| On the positive side, it could be a good dividend payer with the potential for steady revenues due the demand for housing at UWI and the agreement they have with UWI re guaranteed income. The real payoff will be long term as interest cost falls while revenues grow.
The projections are for a loss in 2016 of $71 million and profit of $28.4 million in 2017, then $161 million in the following year and $269 million in 2019. The projection factors in very high levels of debt servicing cost that exceeds 50 percent of projected income. That of course is going in the opposite direction to what is happening to interest rates currently and could redound to the benefit of investors with increased profits, if interest rates decline. That is assuming the company is not tied into high fixed interest rates on loans to fund the development, as Jamaica comes to grips with its high interest cost, which it seems poised to do, with government’s focus on wiping out high fiscal deficits and reduction in its debt load. At November 13, the company had incurred $436 million in construction of the units so far.
The overall project, to cost $4.4 billion, is to be funded by $3.8 billion of debt and would make the company highly leveraged with long-term capital of just over $900 million. While the company could and should raise added equity capital going forward, the projection for high debt funding, could delay or derail the full build out of the units in the time frame expected which is up to 2017 as such the forecasted.

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