10 TOP JSE main market stocks for 2017

It is not always that main market stocks are more attractive buys than those in the junior market, but that is what is happening currently. Strong gains, in 2016 to end of January this year, in junior market companies, resulted in Jamaica Stock Exchange main market having stocks with better values than in the junior market.
The end result is that unlike other years when the junior market stocks tended to outperform those of in the main market by a ratio of 2 to 1, this year could see both markets gaining roughly the same.
The big question, of course, is what will be the accepted PE of the market? Currently, while the average for 2016 is 17 for the main market and the ratio based on 2017 estimated earnings is 11, with 11 stocks selling above this level, Jamaica Producers and Kingston Wharves have PE ratios over 30 times 2017 earnings.
The main market faces turbulence currently as the market is sitting just below a major resistance level around 243,000 points on the All Jamaica Index. If it can overcome this level, then it will encounter resistance around the 265,000 mark.
The TOP 10 list includes 4 financial sector stocks, two communication stocks and two from the manufacturing sector.
Cable & Wireless has made considerable progress in recent years, moving from major annual losses to a stage where they reported a small profit in fiscal year 2016 to March and should break even for the nine months to December, the new financial year end. Revenues have been climbing at double digit pace and should increase even more with the upturn in economic activity and with more persons being employed. The company recently raised rates on a number of its services that should help move revenues upwards. They have also made considerable recovery in their cellular customer base and have expanded it, generating increased revenues as a result. IC Insider.com forecast calls for a profit in 2017 with growth in 2018 as well.
On this basis, the stock is set to make solid gains. The only factor preventing that is a strong possibility that the parent company may move with an offer for the minority shares that would place a cap on the upside.
Radio Jamaica is under selling pressure as investors ignore the fundamentals and an improving economy that could result in increased profits and growth in the stock. The merger with the Gleaner was predicated a great deal on cost cutting. The group is doing just that and should benefit from a stronger marketing team and from increased advertising as businesses augment their advertising spend.
Caribbean Cement cut cost sharply in 2016 and saw growth in local sales for the first six months. However, closure of the plant for upgrading resulted in lost sales in the third quarter but sales recovered in the fourth quarter. Going into 2017, the cost savings should reduce operating cost and boost gross profit margins. Increased economic activity and lower cost of capital is leading to an uptick in the construction sector and consequently, an increase in demand for cement. The stock remains highly undervalued and has room for major gains ahead.

Barita is one of the top IC Insider’s stock for growth over the next 12 months in the main market.

Barita Investments has more than doubled in price since the start of September 2016, partly due to the 2016 results, but more on prospects of improved results for the 2017 fiscal year. The quality of the earnings improved markedly with fees and commission income tripling while net interest grew sharply from $118 million to $158 million for the September quarter, heralding healthy growth in these areas in 2017. Barita is set to benefit from appreciation in the value of the assets of unit trusts, especially in the equity-linked unit that will boost fee income. The company will also benefit from increased value to its equity portfolio that should grow sharply, allowing the company to realise investment gains that should add to profits. The equity linked unit trust fund should also enjoy healthy inflows from new investors as local stocks record gains and encourage new investors to use the unit trust as a viable vehicle for their investment funds.
Pulse Investments reported earnings of $1.35 last year and 32 cents for the September quarter that places the stock in the undervalued category even as the price climbed to $7.10 recently. It could go higher, but a bit of the earnings flow from revaluation surplus on property and that may cause some investors to discount the earnings. In a very bullish market, that may not matter much, for many investors. One positive, is that the cash flow statement shows cash inflows growing at a much higher level than in 2015.

Keith Duncan, Group Chief Executive Officer of JMMB.

JMMB Group is undervalued, period. The group is expanding and recording increasing profit and should end with earnings around $3 for the 2018 fiscal year with the eps for 2017 looking like $2.50.
Berger Paints had a very good run to December last year, with strong gains in profit as revenues grew attractively. Growth should continue into 2018 fiscal year, helped by increased building activity and an improving economy. Dividend payment should be high, thus boosting yields.
Scotia Investments should benefit in much the same way as Barita Investments. The investment bank reported earnings of $1.27 for the October quarter and IC Insider.com forecast is $4.96 for 2017. The increase should benefit from widening net interest income, as interest rates soften and more funds generated are added to the pool of interest earning pool as well as from growth in unit trust funds that will engender higher fee income, in addition to robust stock market activities that will also enhance fee income for the brokerage arm. On the negative side, the revaluation now taking place in the local currency could negatively affect earnings from trading in this area.
Carreras is one of the few stocks that have languished at the old price while many others have recorded active gains. The company just announced an interim payment of $2.20 bringing the payment since August last year to $5.40. The full year’s amount is likely to be in the order of $7.60 for a yield on the current price of 11.5 percent. This yield will not last as investors are going to eventually push it downward by bidding the price up as an income substitute. IC Insider’s forecast is for earnings of $9 per share for the 2018 fiscal year. The stock may well languish at current levels for a while. The longer it stays the better for those investors who may want to add it to their portfolio.
National Commercial Bank reported impressive profit results for their December quarter with a jump of 49 percent to $3.56 billion with earnings per share ending at $1.45, up from 96 cents in 2016. IC Insider.com forecast earnings of $8 per share for the current year. NCB declared an increase in its interim dividend payment from 50 cents in 2016 to 60 cents per ordinary stock unit payable in February. The payment represents 42.76 percent of the first quarter profits and is an indication of future payment.

Persons associated with this article may have an interest in the companies commented on.

More 1834 Investments delays

Glnr 2Having not published the December 2015 quarterly report as required by the Jamaica Stock Exchange rules, 1834 Investments (formerly The Gleaner Company Limited) who previously advised of a delay in reporting the March 2016 before the end of June, now promises the release of the audited accounts of the company by July 31, 2016.
The companies release comes against the background of an IC Insider report on the further delay in a posting on Tuesday.
According to the release which was issued and posted July 5, 2016 at 3:57 pm, the company stated, “as previously advised, the restructuring activities of the company during 2015, coupled with the change in financial year-end, and close of the merger transaction with Radio Jamaica Limited in March 2016, have necessitated an extensive revision to how the company’s accounts are compiled, reviewed and presented in order to distinguish between the continuing operations of 1834 and the discontinued media operations.”
“1834 Board is aware that shareholders are anxious to see the company’s financial results; however, 1834 is taking time to ensure the total accuracy of the accounts.1834 also advises that the audit review exercise is substantially complete and every effort is being made to finalize the accounts for release in advance of July 31, 2016.”
Radio Jamaica last week also indicated that their 12 months results are further delayed resulting from the merger.
Whether, the companies make the revised deadlines, the Jamaica Stock Exchange is not looking pretty in the messy situation of the failure for the Gleaner to release the 2015 numbers. The question now to be asked, should these companies shares still be trading with an unclear financial picture, occasioned by the long delays and the uncertainty resulting therefrom.

Where are the 1834 Investments results?

Gleaner & RJR execs signing merger agreement earlier in 2015

Gleaner & RJR execs signing merger agreement earlier in 2015

The rules of the Jamaica Stock Exchange require, listed companies to submit quarterly interim financial report within 45 days of each quarter. In the case where a company opts to release an audited account within 60 days of the year-end, they can opt in lieu of a quarterly report within 45 days.
1834 Investments Limited (formerly The Gleaner Company Limited) did not release the usual December quarter report as such investors have been deprived of important information on the company. The stock exchange has fallen down badly on this one in not requesting it. No good reason has been given why it was not released.
Apparently the exchange regulatory arm expected that the 15 months report to March this would have been released to let the matter go away but it has not. First out of the block towards the end of May, 1834 Investments advised the Jamaica Stock Exchange that the Audited Annual Financial Accounts for March, 2016 will be late and unavailable for publication by May 30, 2016. 1834 anticipates that it should be available for publication on or before June 30, 2016. Bad news for investors and bad news for the capital market. The matter gets worse, the end of June has now gone and with July well advanced but there are no results released and no advisory on the JSE website or in the newspapers as to the new deadline. Nearly seven months have elapsed since the last report was released.
In the past several companies have changed their year end, as recently as late last year Desnoes & Geddes and Access changed their but provided investor with results for all relevant quarters, but the Gleaner Company who changed theirs to March from December did not do so.
It is well past the time for the Jamaica Stock Exchange act to protect the investing public.

Where are Gleaner’s Q4 results?

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Glnr 2IC Insider,
I get the impression that the Jamaica Stock Exchange (JSE) no longer balances shareholder interests with listed companies’ interests. Here’s what I mean.
1. Duke Corporation (PriceWaterHouse) failed to pay the Scotia Group’s dividend on April 15th, and claimed that they notified the public via print and electronic media on April 14th. They further claim that they notified the JSE at the same time. Up to today, no such notice has appeared on the JSE website.
2. Supreme Ventures announced a directors’ meeting for April 28th to consider a dividend payment. Despite the JSE rules requiring companies to inform the public of the result of such meetings, with 48 hours, so far, nothing has appeared on the JSE website about it.
3. Gleaner should have published 2015 results up to December, but chose to change their financial to March 31st (i.e. 5 quarters for 2015). No problem, but does that change eliminates their responsibility to publish information for the quarter ending December 2015? What could possibly justify shareholders being kept in the dark about the company’s financial information from October 2015 to March, 2016 – which will not be seen until the end of May, 2016?
A concerned investor.
IC Insider’s Comments
Your views are well founded. For example the issue of the non-reporting of Gleaners December quarterly result was discussed with the stock exchange. The RMOD department gave some flimsy excuse for not requiring it. The JSE rules require either audited accounts within 60 days of the year-end or quarterly report within 45 days of each quarter. Since Gleaner had shifted the year-end then the rules require that they must submit the quarterly to December within 45 days. Discussions were also held with the General Manager of the exchange who agreed that the quarterly is required. To date shareholders are still in the dark on the financial data. Why the Gleaner never saw it wise to keep their shareholders informed by releasing the data, is a big puzzle. After all, other companies in the past that changed year-ends have release the 4th quarter results. As recently as December, last year Access released theirs having changed their year-end to March.
There seems to be a failure in the system to appreciate that the maintenance of the integrity of the system is paramount to protecting investors while at the same time sending a clear message that the system works and can be relied on. Quite a bit of what is allowed to take place is inimical to the growth and development of the capital market.

JSE sharp jump to start May – Monday

JSE frnt 3 Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Monday ended with sharply reduced volumes compared the levels traded on Friday and in recent weeks and months, with 37 securities changed hands, accounting for only 1,377,118 units valued at a mere $23,284,334, in all market segments. The junior market accounted for 534,047 shares valued at $3,394,975 as 15 stocks in the overall market gained, 12 declined including 8 of the stocks rising and 3 declining, from the junior market.
At the close of trading there were 2 new 52 weeks’ closing highs in the junior market.
The JSE Market Index rose sharply by 3,461.33 points to end at 153,500.51. The all Jamaica Composite Index surged 3,871.05 points to JM Sum-02-5-16close at 170,501.41 and the JSE combined index jumped 4,179.76 points, to close at 164,537.72.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading showed 14 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 5 with lower offers.
At the end of market activities, Berger Paints traded 3,200 shares at $4, Cable & Wireless lost 2 cents and closed at $1.35 in trading 160,020 units, Caribbean Cement traded 7,498 shares but the price fell by 6 cents to close at $26.50, Carreras fell 50 cents while trading 6,000 shares, to close at $62.50. Rebranded Gleaner Company, 1834 Investments, gained 16 cent to close at $1.15 in trading only 833 shares, Jamaica Broilers had 14,350 units changing hands, to close at $14.15. JMMB Group fell by 50 cents in trading 6,250 shares to close at $9.50, Kingston Wharves traded just 1,000 shares to close with a gain of 85 cents at $11.15,MM Trdng Sht-02-5-16 Mayberry Investments traded 32,088 shares but gained 10 cents to close at $3.40. National Commercial Bank declined by 50 cents while 20,586 shares traded, to close at $40.50, Pan Jamaican closed at $88 with 2,616 shares changing hands. Radio Jamaica traded 34,500 shares and climbed 5 cents to close at $1.20, Sagicor Group fell 10 cents to end with 5,705 shares changing hands at $22.40, Scotia Group closed with a rise of 50 cents, to end at $30.50 while 491,344 units changed hands. Scotia Investments closed with 8,374 shares trading with a gain of 50 cents to $26, Seprod ended with 19,777 units trading with a loss of $1.30 at $15.60 and Supreme Ventures fell 6 cents and closed at $5 with 9,000 shares changing hands.

JSE Majors down again on Wednesday

Exchange place The main indices of the Jamaica Stock Exchange fell again on Wednesday with 40 securities changing hands, in all market segments and ended with 13 stocks rising and 20 declining. Trading accounted for 7,303,091 units valued at $119,963,779 changing hands in all markets with the junior market accounting for 898,831 units valued at $4,498,985 changing hands.
The JSE Market Index suffered a loss of 587.05 points to end at 149,350.58, the all Jamaica Composite Index fell 656.54 points to 165,860.26 and the JSE combined index declined 530.26 points, to close at 157,213.08.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, JSE Sum 13-04-16the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading showed 9 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 6 with lower offers.
At the end of the market activities, Barita Investments ended with 20,617 units traded, to close at $3.30, with a loss of 20 cents, Berger Paints traded only 2,300 shares to lose 20 cents and closed at $3.80, Cable & Wireless rose 8 cents to $1.21 in trading 1,222,482 units. Caribbean Cement dropped $2.61 to close at $19.89 with 1,335,571 shares changing hands Carreras ended trading only 66,741 shares to end $1 lower at $65, Ciboney gained 4 cents to close at 21 cents with 74,000 shares changing hands, Grace Kennedy lost $1 and closed with 41,858 shares changing hands at $80.JSE fn qts 13-04-16 Jamaica Broilers traded 27,750 units to close at $14.50. Jamaica Stock Exchange traded 13,110 shares but lost 50 cents to end at $19, JMMB Group had 10,352 shares changing hands at $9.75 after easing by 25 cents, National Commercial Bank fell by 4 cents with 1,817,770 shares changing hands to close at $40.01. Pan Jamaican Investment traded 17,626 shares to close at $90, Sagicor Group ended with 13,200 shares changing hands at $23. Scotia Group traded 8,700 shares to close with a gain of 50 cent at $30, Supreme Ventures gained 50 cents to close at $5.50 with 30,000 units changing hands, Proven Investments ordinary shares traded 62,418 units to end at 16 US cents and the JMMB Group 7.50% preference share fell 13 cents in trading 1,611,098 units at $1.07.

More JSE stocks up than down – Monday

JSe online logo Prices on the Jamaica Stock Exchange were mixed on Monday but with more gains than losses. On Monday 37 securities changed hands, in all market segments and ended with 12 stocks rising and 6 declining.
The market closed with 4,039,547 units valued at $84,778,917 changing hands in all markets. The junior market accounted for 1,018,853 units valued at $4,061,844 changing hands.
The JSE Market Index suffered a mild loss of 55.30 points to end at 152,935.03, the all Jamaica Composite Index fell 61.84 points to end at 169,868.99 and the JSE combined index gained 49.20 points, to close at 160,575.86.
JSE Sum 11-04-16 IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading showed 12 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and only 2 with lower offers.
At the end of the market activities, Barita Investments surprisingly traded 62,383 shares to gain 25 cents and closed at $3.50, Cable & Wireless rose 8 cents to $1.09 in trading 22,817 units, Carreras ended trading 421,078 shares to end at $65. 1834 investments traded 43,000 shares with a loss of 10 cents at $1.50, Grace Kennedy closed with 231,970 shares changing hands at $80, Jamaica Broilers traded 55,156 units to close at $14.50. JMMB Group had 94,770 shares changing hands at $10, Kingston Wharves traded 2,965 shares to close at $11.50, JSE fn qts 11-04-16Mayberry Investments added 30 cents to close at $4 with 32,500 shares changing hands, National Commercial Bank ended with 125,198 shares changing hands to close at $40.01. Radio Jamaica traded just 22,321 shares and recovered the 6 cents it lost of Friday, to close at $1.15, Sagicor Group rose 30 cents and ended with 917,593 shares changing hands at $24. Scotia Group traded 10,448 shares to close at $32.90 after rising $2.90, Supreme Ventures slipped 5 cents to close at $4.95 with 45,179 units changing hands, Proven Investments ordinary shares traded 179,009 units to end at 16 US cents. JMMB Group 7.50% preference share traded 293,449 units at $1.20 after recovering 3 cents and the Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.50% preference share traded 452,187 units at $2.15.

More losses for JSE – Thursday

JSE frnt vw 2 - Copy The Jamaica Stock Exchange lost more ground on Thursday with the combined index slipping 379 points. The main market continued to lose altitude but technical indicators point to a bottom not being too far away. On Thursday 31 securities changed hands, in all market segments ended with 9 stocks rising and 15 declining. One US market stock, traded at an intraday 52 weeks’ low.
The market closed with 4,962,606 units valued at $68,438,047 changing hands in all markets. The junior market accounted for 785,366 units valued at $2,423,588 changing hands.
The JSE Market Index dropped 484.50 points to end at 149,798.18, the all Jamaica Composite Index dropped 541.85 points to end at 166,360.83 and the JSE combined index fell 379.21 points, to close at 157,037.38.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicatorJSE Sum 07-04-16 reading was 13 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 with lower offers.
At the end of the market activities, Berger Paints traded 62,542 units but fell 26 cents to end at $3.50, Cable & Wireless sunk 4 cents to 96 cents in trading 2,100,134 units, Caribbean Cement lost 10 cents with just 18,082 shares changing hands to end at $23.90, Carreras lost $1.14 in trading 23,000 shares to end at $65. Grace Kennedy closed with 286,469 shares changing hands at $80 after losing 20 cents, Jamaica Broilers traded 323,265 units to close at $14.70, after rising 20 cents. JMMB Group had 11,750 shares changed hands at $10, Kingston Wharves gained 20 cents in trading 89,288 shares to close at $11.50, National Commercial Bank fell 50 cents with 169,634 shares changing hands, to close at $40.50,JSE fn qts 07-04-16 Pan Jamaican Investments traded 41,878 shares to close at $93. Radio Jamaica with the largest trade of 51,800 shares but lost 10 cents to close at $1.15, Sagicor Group fell 50 cents and ended with 34,000 shares changing hands at $23.10, Sagicor Real Estate Fund traded 100,500 shares to close at $10.02. Scotia Group traded 336,878 shares to close at $30.50 after rising by 50 cents, Supreme Ventures slipped 14 cents to close at $4.86 with 32,376 units changing hands, Proven Investments ordinary shares traded 483,600 units to end at 17.5 US cents, up from 17.47 cents previously, but only after it traded at a 52 weeks’ low of 15 cents. At the close there are only 4 bids to buy the stock for 15 cents down to 10 cents.

Big RJR trade on JSE – Wednesday

RJR traded 149M shares on Wednesday.

RJR traded 149M shares on Wednesday.

Stocks & Securities executed the bulk of the 148,818,235 Radio Jamaica shares that traded on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Wednesday, with a value of $186 million. At the market continued to lose altitude, with the majority of stocks trading declining by more than a 2 to 1 ratio on Wednesday as 36 securities changed hands, in all market segments. The market ended with 9 stocks rising and 21 declining. One junior market stock traded at an intraday high.
The market closed with 153,740,039 units valued at $225,415,956 changing hands in all markets. The junior market accounted for 2,838,527 units, valued at $11,128,849 changing hands.
The JSE Market Index dropped 1,921.08 points to end at 150,282.68, the all Jamaica Composite Index dropped 2,148.48 points to 166,902.68 and the JSE combined index plunged 2,346.74 points, to close at 157,416.59.
JSE Sum 06-04-16r IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading was 8 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 6 with lower offers.
At the end of the market activities, Cable & Wireless sunk to $1 in trading 1,046,100 units, to close with a 7 cents loss, Caribbean Cement dropped $1 with just 250 shares changing hands to end at $24, Carreras added $1.12 in trading 6,526 shares to end at $66.14. The Gleaner Company, now renamed 1834 Investments and owns the non-media assets of the company, traded 15,000 units to close with a loss of 17 cents at a new low of $1.60. Grace Kennedy closed with 23,026 shares changing hands at $80.20 after losing $1.70 cents, Jamaica Broilers traded 71,240 units to close at $14.50, after falling 10 cents, Jamaica Producers traded 5,000 shares at $31. JMMB Group rose 30 cents as 24,730 shares changed hands at $10, Kingston Wharves traded 51,000 shares to close at $11.30, JSE fn qts 06-04-16National Commercial Bank rose 49 cents with 108,051 shares changing hands to close at $41, Pan Jamaican Investments traded 15,826 shares to close at $93. Radio Jamaica with the largest trade of 149 million shares but lost 18 cents to close at $1.25, Sagicor Group fell 40 cents and ended with 333,131 shares changing hands at $23.60, Sagicor Real Estate Fund gained 2 cents in trading 45,610 shares to close at $10.02. Scotia Group traded 205,685 shares to close at $30, Scotia Investments fell $2.85 with only 916 shares changing hands to end at $25.10. Supreme Ventures rose 5 cents to close at $5 with 10,390 units changing hands, Proven Investments ordinary shares traded 112,700 units to end at 17.47 US cents down from 17.50 cents previously.

More losses for JSE on Tuesday

Exchange place The Jamaica Stock Exchange suffered more losses on Tuesday with declining stocks having the upper hand on advancing stocks as 42 securities changed hands, in all market segments. The market ended with 8 stocks rising and 20 declining. One of the stock rising closed at 52 week’s high.
The market closed with 4,118,840 units valued at $45,574,795 changing hands in all markets. The junior market accounted for 1,469,331 units, valued at $8,265,286 units changing hands.
The JSE Market Index fell 385.51 points to end at 152,203.76, the all Jamaica Composite Index dropped 431.14 points to end at 169,051.16 and the JSE combined index lost 1,317.86 points, to close at 159,763.33.
JSE Sum 05-04-16 IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading was 7 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 9 with lower offers.
At the end of the market activities, Cable & Wireless traded 426,546 units, to close with a 13 cents loss at $1.07, Caribbean Cement dropped $2 with 11,217 shares changing hands to end at $25, Carreras lost $1.08 in trading 10,055 shares to end at $65.02. Ciboney traded 312,673 shares but lost 2 cents to end at 16 cents, 1834 Investments, formerly Gleaner Company, traded 6,188 units to close with a loss of 23 cents at $1.77. Grace Kennedy closed with 18,330 shares changing hands at $81.90 after losing 10 cents, Jamaica Broilers traded 405,577 units to close at $14.60, after rising 10 cents, JMMB Group dropped $1.20 as 11,401 shares changed hands at $9.70, Kingston Wharves traded 50,500 shares to close at $11.30. Mayberry Investments ended trading 46,068 shares to end at $4. JSE fn qts 05-04-16National Commercial Bank lost 74 cents with 21,967 shares changing hands to close at $40.50, Pan Jamaican Investments traded 34,232 shares to close at $93, Radio Jamaica traded 87,952 shares but lost 3 cents to close at $1.43. Sagicor Group gained 50 cents and ended with 668,797 shares changing hands at $24, Sagicor Real Estate Fund traded 6,093 shares to close at $10. Scotia Group traded 15,505 shares to close at $30, Scotia Investments fell $2.85 with only 916 shares changing hands to end at $25.10. Supreme Ventures closed at $4.95 with just 4,867 units changing hands, Proven Investments ordinary shares traded 295,325 units to end at 17.5 US cents up from 17 cents previously and JMMB Group 5.75% preference share traded 180,000 units but gained 14 cents to close at $1.20.