Top 5 record first 100% gain

Paramount Trading closed at an all-time high of $29 last week and gained 107% since early september.

Paramount Trading closed at an all-time high of $29 last week and gained 107% since early september.

Paramount Trading entered the Top 5 junior market list from the start in September, by the second week the price jumped pushing it out of the top listing. This past week, the stock closed at $29, and gained 107 percent from the Top 5 entry price of $14.
With the stock to be split into 10 units for each one now in issue by mid November, the price seems set to go higher with the expansion into lubricant manufacturing expected to boost profit in the next full fiscal year.
There is no new entry to the Top 5 list this week for either the junior market or the main market list but price movements resulted in changes in positions.
A number of companies released results for the third quarter with some not providing figures that could help to improve the prices of the relevant stocks. One such is Caribbean Cement that reported a loss in the September quarter, the result of closure of the factory for 45 days for refurbishing of the kiln. This does not affect the strong prospects for 2017 that will benefit from lower cost resulting from a reduced work force and a more efficient plant and increase demand for cement to flow from a growing economy.Top 5 stks 4-11-16 AMG Packaging reported slightly better full year results to August with profit of $83 million versus $80 million but profit for the last quarter declined to $17 million from $27 million in 2015, the company incurred a loss of $41 million for the year from sales of just $2 million in the new tissue operation. Gross profit margin climbed to $177 million compared to $149 million with sales declining from $633 million down to $629 million but other cost rose from $72 million to $100 million.
The next in line to the Top 5 in the junior market are tTECH, Caribbean Producers, Jamaican Teas, Eppley and Medical Associates and in the main market are Palace, JMMB Group, National Commercial Bank, Pan Jamaican and Sterling Investments.

Medical Disposables up 52% exits TOP 5

Blue Power enters TOP 5 list.

Blue Power enters TOP 5 list.

Medical Disposables exited the IC Insider’s TOP 5 junior market list, with gains of 52 percent since it entered the list on September 9, at the number 1 spot. The stock rose to $5.62 during the past week but ended at $5.39.
Blue Power enters the list for the first time, with the price having fallen in the week to $20.50. Profits after tax increased by 101 percent to $37 million over the previous year. The contribution of Lumber Depot division to the after tax tally was $17 million ($7 million in 2015), while Blue Power division added $20 million ($12 million in 2015). Earnings per stock unit for the quarter doubled from 33 cents to 66 cents. Sales revenues rose 12 percent, from $302 million to $339 million. Gross profit margin climbed to 24.3 percent in the quarter from 21.3 percent in the similar quarter of 2015 and 20.82 percent for the last fiscal year.
Paramount Trading entered at the number 3 spot at $14, gained 71 percent having shot up to $24 and exited in the top list on the week ending September 16, Derrimon Trading entered with the price at $3.10 and hit $5, for a gain of 61 percent, the stock exited the list during the week ending October 14. General Accident entered the list at $2.10 for the week ending September 23 and has gained 43 percent, the company left the list during the week ending October 7.
 Watch NCB for the break out that is coming soon.

Watch NCB for the break out that is coming soon.

The TOP 5 main market stocks have seen only one change since the start. JMMB Group entered at $10 and now sits at $13.50, just below the Top 5. During the past week, Caribbean Cement closed at $33 and move to number 2 spot but Barita Investments slipped in price and took over the number 1 spot. The company reported a small loss of $81 million in the September quarter, having suffered a reduction in revenues in the order of $950 million with the year to date results coming in at $973 million or earnings per share of $1.14 versus $1.5 billion or earnings per share of $1.75 in 2015. Based on the latest results, the stock price is unlikely to move higher in the short term and may well pull back but investors ought to be focusing on results in 2017 when the restructuring of the company’s operations are fully reflecting in the results. Berger Paints rose to $6 and dropped to 4.
Just below the TOP 5 junior market stocks are tTech, Dolphin Cove, Medical Disposables, Jamaican Teas and Caribbean Cream.
In the main market stocks below the Top 5 are JMMB Group, followed by Palace Amusement, Sterling Investments, National Commercial Bank (NCB) and Pan Jamaican. Technically, NCB is at a break out point accordingly, investors should keep an eye on this one as the next move could be sharply to the upside with final year results due shortly. In 2015, the full year results were released on November 12, as such the results for 2016 could be out on November 10.

LASCO Manufacturing profit jumps 45%

Lasco canProfit jumped 45 percent to $363 million for the quarter ending September this year, from $250 million in the September 2015 quarter for LASCO Manufacturing from revenue of $2.2 billion, an increase of 29 percent over the 1st quarter, this year and 35 percent over the June quarter of 2015.
For the six months period ended September 2016, LASCO generated a net profit of $587 million, 18 percent above the previous year’s profit of $497 million.
Revenue increased 28 percent to September 2016 to $4 billion, over the same period last year resulting from increased production as part of the expansion of the manufacturing plant. Gross margin of $1.3 billion, was achieved compared to $1 billion, the previous year.
Expenses for the six months rose 23 percent to $585 million, compared to the same period last year, due mainly to increases in marketing and equipment maintenance expenses.
Lasco new drnks“Production at the Liquid Plant continues to grow steadily, and we will further increase our capacity to meet the market demand for our iCool line of beverages, by ramping up production with the installation of additional equipment by the end of the financial year. We continue to be optimistic and confident about the future for this product line with substantial profits to be realized” Robert Parkins, Managing Director, stated in a release with the results.
Perkins went on to say “The new Dry Plant at White Marl is now fully operational, and together with the existing Red Hills Road Dry Plant recorded an increase of 24 percent in profits over last year at the end of the 2nd quarter. New products will be introduced by the end of the year to enhance the product line which is projected to continue to realize significant sales and profits.”
“The Statement of Financial Position shows Property, Plant and Equipment moving from $3.5 billion, at the beginning of the financial year to $4.6 billion at the close of the 2nd quarter. This is due to approximately $1 billion, of assets associated with both the liquid and dry plants being transferred during the period from work in progress as a result of continuing commissioning of these operations.”
The company reported cash flows from operations of $1.5 billion including more than $600 million released from working capital of which $1.17 billion was spent on expanding the plant.
IC Insider is forecasting $1.8 billion in profit or 45 cents earnings for the full year to March next year and $3.7 billion or 90 cents per share for 2018. Lasco last traded at $5 on the junior market of Jamaica Stock Exchange.

Caribbean Cement tops Top 5

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CCC Gte Jetcon Corporation and Caribbean Cement sit atop the IC Insider’s Top 5 stocks with the best chance of rising on junior market and main market of the Jamaican Stock Exchange at the end of last week. Both stocks just edging out the number 2 by just a few points.
There were no new entrants in either lists but Caribbean Flavours swapped place with Medical Disposables that now sits at the number 5 spot. In the main market selections Caribbean Cement changed spots with Berger Paints with the latter enjoying a slight price gain while Cement suffered a mild decline in price. AMG Packaging last traded at $21 and seems a candidate for a stock split with limited supply and inadequate liquidity of the stock. Top 5 stks 21-10-16Blue Power that last traded at $24.50 and is outside the Top 5, is also in category of a potential stock split.
Derrimon Trading sits just below the Top 5 junior market stocks followed by Dolphin Cove CAC 2000, tTech and Caribbean Cream that dropped sharply this past week to $7.
Sitting below the Top 5 in the main market are, Palace, JMMB Group, National Commercial Bank, (NCB) Sterling Investments and Pan Jamaican Investments. Feedback from the market, is that NCB is in strong demand against a background of very limited supply and the price being severely undervalued.

Paramount best Top 5 performer

Paramount Trading having closed on Friday at $23.95 ended up as to top performing stock since IC Insider started the Top 5 selection list. Top 5 perf 14-10-16All selections recorded gains since they were identified as top stocks.
For the week ended on October 14, Jetcon Corporation emerged as the leader of the list of junior market stocks with the greatest potential gains followed by Access Financial Services, Derrimon Trading rose to over $4 and slipped off the list at the end of the week. Knocking at the door of the list are tTech and Dolphin Cove followed by Derrimon Trading.
Main market stocks all remained in the Top 5 but with changes in position with Barita Investments moving down to number 3 with the price moving to $4.65 and Berger Paints holding the top spot. Sitting just below the Top 5 are Palace Amusements. Top 5 stks 14-10-16JMMB Group, National Commercial Bank, Mayberry Investments and Sterling Investments all with potential gains over 100 percent.
IC Insider started the Top 5 selection as of September 9 and with just over a month having passed IC Insider looked at the performance of all the selections. Paramount Trading topped the list with a gain of 71 percent followed by 31 percent for Derrimon Trading and 27 percent for Medical Disposables in the junior market and a 48 percent gain for Barita Investments followed by a gain of 35 percent for JMMB Group.

Medical Disposables returns to Top 5

Medical Disposables back in TOP 5

Medical Disposables back in TOP 5

Medical Disposables returned to the Top 5 junior market selection at the end of the past week, based on price closing at $4.50, while Caribbean Flavours entered with the price having fallen to $8.
Jetcon Corporation closing at $4.51, was squeezed out by Medical Disposables while General Accident enjoyed strong buying during the past two weeks and rose to $2.65 and moved well out of the Top 5.
Medical Disposables still has more room for growth with the company expanding its product range but supply of the stock has dried up. Derrimon Trading closed the week at $3.65, moving it to third spot. Knocking at the Top 5 position in the junior market are Jetcon, tTech and Caribbean Cream trading just below.
Top 5 stocks in the main market underwent changes with JMMB Group that entered the list for the week ended September 9, gained 50 percent since, to move off the list and replaced by Grace Kennedy, entering at number 4. Radio Jamaica that was top of the list last week rose to $1.70 and sits at number 5 at the close on Friday.
Stocks peeping in at the Top 5 in the main market are National Commercial Bank, Mayberry Investments and Sterling Investments.
With the junior market trading at new records this past week, the attractive gains that were evident a few weeks ago are receding in the junior market with IC Insider’s data showing just 7 junior market stocks that could double by early 2017. That is in contrast to the main market that shows 18 stocks that could double or more than double.

BUY RATED Jetcon & Paramount jump 52%

Paramount Trading gained 52% in September and is up 622% since BUY RATED.

Paramount Trading gained 52% in September and is up 622% since BUY RATED.


Jetcon Corporation and Paramount Trading were the top performing BUY RATED stocks in September, jumping 52% in the month, followed by Medical Disposables up by 39 percent. In the main market, Barita Investments with a gain of 35 percent leads the majors.
JMMB Group is the second best main market performer with a rise of 31 percent, following IC Insider listing the stock as one of the Top 5 selection on September 9 and recent announcement of it getting a commercial banking license.
Berger Paints is now IC Insider’s BUY RATED listed, with the company benefiting from an improving environment that will keep cost down and encourage increased revenues and profit. IC Insider’s forecast is for earnings of $1 per share for the current year ending March 2017. For the full year to March 2016, revenues grew by 11 percent and material cost input fell as a percentage of sales to 46 percent versus 48 percent in 2015 while profit climbed 82 percent from 31 cents per share to 57 cents.
Performance to date. Jamaica Stock Exchange with gains of 1,250 percent since entering the BUY RATED list, is the top performing stock, followed by Caribbean Cement with gains of 1,067 percent. JSE will be splitting the stock into 5 shares and that could move the price up a bit in the short term, buying at these levels could be risky in the short term, not so for Caribbean Cement, that could easily double in a few months. The next highest main market selection is Jamaica Broilers Group with 186 percent gain and is now expected to market perform. Sagicor Group gained 163 percent and seems heading higher with no supply to sell now visible in the market that now has just one offer to sell.
For top all round gains, the junior market that is up 33.4 percent in 2016 to date is the place to have been, with 15 of the 18 selections gaining over 100 percent and one with 77 percent. Buy Rated upd 30-9-16The top performer is Caribbean Cream with gains of 793 percent overall and 28 percent in September and seems heading higher with $15 seems a likely target over the next few months. Paramount Trading gained 622 percent, with expansion taking place and a stock split to be approved at the October AGM, there is much more room for growth. AMG Packaging is up 472 percent and will head higher with expansion into tissue paper production. The company is adding more brands to its tissue operations and plans on adding more tissue production machines as well upgrading carton box machines, to improve efficiency. In the junior market, recent additions ISP Finance and Jetcon have gained 166 percent and 100 percent respectively, both have room for more growth. Knutsford Express Hold rating, has been lifted with prospects of long-term growth baked into its profit performance.
Prices are consolidating on the Trinidad & Tobago Market with few compelling buys currently.

Medical Disposables out Jetcon in – Top 5

Jetcon 03-16Medical Disposables fell out of the Top 5 junior market selection during the past week, based on price movement, with the bid at $4.95 and Jetcon Corporation with the price at $4.51 returns, making it back into the top list by just inching ahead of General Accident.
The insurance company enjoyed strong buying during the past week and could slip out in the coming week. Medical Disposables still has more room for growth with the company expanding its product range. Derrimon Trading moved up to third spot after the stock traded at $4 during the week but pulled back to $3.50 by the close. Knocking at the Top 5 position in the junior market are tTech now that the price slipped to $5.30, Caribbean Flavours and Caribbean Cream with Paramount Trading just below.
Top 5 stks 30-9-16Stocks in the main market all remained in the Top 5 but positions have changed, the top attraction for the week is JMMB Group that climbed to $13 and sits just and now sits at number 5 spot having entered at the top spot last week. With the news of the group obtaining a banking license, the way may be clear for the price to surge a bit more in the coming week and most likely push it out of the top 5. Stocks peeping in at the Top 5 in the main market are Grace Kennedy, National Commercial Bank and Sterling Investments.
With the junior market trading at new records this past week, the attractive gains that were evident a few weeks ago are receding in the junior market with IC Insider data showing just 7 junior market stocks that could double by early 2017. That is in contrast to the main market that shows 15 stocks that could double or more than double. All that is reflected in the fact that the junior market is up 33 percent year to date, while the main market is up just 9 percent.

Stock split for Paramount Trading

Paramount puts stock split resolution to AGM in October.

Paramount puts stock split resolution to AGM in October.

Paramount Trading is putting a resolution for a sub-division of share capital at its upcoming annual general meeting slated for Saturday October 29.
No recommendation is being put to the shareholders as to the level of the split. The timing and extent of the split is proposed to be left for the directors of the company to determine. The resolution included on the agenda of the annual general meeting and included in the company’s annual report states: “That each of the issued ordinary stock units in the capital of the company be sub-divided in accordance with the Articles of Incorporation of the company, into such number of stock units as may be prescribed by the Board of Directors.”
Based on the current stock price of $17.50 and lack of supply, the split seems likely to be in the order of 5 or 6 to 1. The top 10 shareholders of Paramount own just over 95 percent of the 154.24 million shares issued by the company.

Stunning 47% increased Scotia profit

Scotia hq 25 9-14 Scotia Group reported a stunning in net earnings jumping 47 percent for the third quarter to $3.3 billion over the 2015 July quarter. For the nine months, net earnings jumped 36.7 percent to $8.2 billion. Total comprehensive income for shareholders of the group ended at $9.3 billion for the nine months ended July 2016 up 10.5 percent from $8.8 billion.
For the third quarter, total comprehensive income of declined from $4.4 billion to $3.66 billion.
The results translate to earnings per share of $1.07 cents in the July quarter and $2.64 for the nine months, with full year’s earnings set to end around $3.90 and would put the PE at 7.8 versus an average of 9 based on estimated 2016 earnings for the main market valuation.
President and CEO of the banking group, Jackie Sharp, in a report to shareholders, commenting on the performance stated, “We continue to show strong performance this year, resulting from the execution of our strategic initiatives to grow revenues and reduce operating costs. All business lines showed good volume growth year over year, as we continued to meet our customer’s diverse needs. Our loan portfolio, after allowance for impairment losses, grew by $15.2 billion or 10.2 percent year over year. Customer Deposits also increased by $42.4 billion or 20.8 percent year over year. Funds under management in our wealth business grew by $15.9 billion or 14.9 percent year over year.”

Jackie Sharp - CEO Scotia Group

Jackie Sharp – CEO Scotia Group

Total revenues excluding impairment losses on loans for the nine months ended July 2016 was $28.8 billion, representing an increase of $2.46 billion above prior year. The positive movement was achieved through increased volumes and improved non-interest revenue, which cushioned the impact of reduced margins. Net interest income after impairment losses for the period was $17.6 billion, $670 million above the same period in 2015. This was due to an increase in net interest income of $745 million, resulting from growth in loan volumes, particularly our Retail loans, Residential Mortgages and Small Business portfolios, coupled with lower levels of wholesale funding. Impairment losses on loans increased by $75 million when compared with the same period last year.
Other revenue for the nine months ended July 2016 amounted to $10 billion, an increase of $1.7 billion or 20.6 percent compared to the same period last year. This was due to growth in net fee and commission income from increased transaction volumes on our deposit and payment services, credit card and merchant service business segments, as well as higher foreign currency gains.”
Sharp went on the further state “Operating Expenses amounted to $15.6 billion over the nine months ended July 31, 2016, a decrease of $464 million or 2.9 percent compared to prior year. Salary related expenses declined by $400 million, which offset higher operating expenses of $276 million. There was also a decline in asset tax of $330 million.”
Loans, after allowance for impairment losses amounted to $163.9 billion as at the end of the 2016 quarter, while nonperforming loans totalled $4.4 billion, representing 2.7 percent of total gross loans down from 3.1 percent last year. Total customer liabilities represented by deposits, securities sold under repurchase agreements, and policyholders’ funds grew to $350 billion, an increase of $35.3 billion or 11.2 percent compared to July 2015. A significant portion of the growth was reflected in core deposits, which grew by 20.8 percent year over year the company stated.
The stock that traded at $30.50 on the Jamaica Stock Exchange is undervalued and importantly with strong growth in the third quarter and increased growth in the loan portfolio as well as a pickup in economic growth in Jamaica augurs well for strong growth in profits going forward. Note need to be taken of a possible fall in foreign exchange gains an area that grew sharply in the July quarter by 127 percent to $1.17 billion.
The group declared another dividend of 45 cents per share and seems set to pay total dividend for the fiscal year of $1.80 providing an attractive yield of 6 percent.

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