Market activity ended on Monday with an increase in the number of active securities than the case previously, leading to a 21 percent rise in the volume of shares trading but a 22 percent fall in the value traded from Friday levels as the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market closed with rising stocks exceeding those declining by a decent margin at the conclusion of a moderate trading session.
The All Jamaican Composite Index climbed 2,000.74 points to 436,687.32, the Main Index climbed 2,047.08 points to close at 394,837.98 and the JSE Financial Index rose 1.04 points to 97.31.
Trading ended with 56 securities compared to 55 on Friday, with 25 rising, 16 declining and 15 ending unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a formula for computing appropriate stock values, averages 16.1. The PE ratio for the JSE Main and USD Market closing quotes are based on ICInsider.com earnings forecasts for companies with financial years, ending up to August 2022.
Trading ended with 9,677,118 shares changing hands for $54,894,824 versus 8,020,198 units at $70,531,082 on Friday. Wigton Windfarm led trading with 24.5 percent of total volume for an exchange of 2.37 million shares followed by JMMB Group 7.5% preference share with 19.9 percent for 1.92 million units, Transjamaican Highway accounted for 13.2 percent with 1.27 million units and Sagicor Select Financial Fund, 12.7 percent after trading 1.23 million units.
Trading averages 172,806 units at $980,265, compared to 145,822 shares at $1,282,383 on Friday and month to date, an average of 164,121 units at $1,179,777 versus 163,194 units at $1,201,059 on the previous trading day. December closed with an average of 479,143 units at $6,686,322.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows eight stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and four with lower offers.
At the close, Barita Investments shed 82 cents to end at $93.98 with 19,554 shares crossing the market, Caribbean Producers dipped 49 cents at $15.50 in trading 302,535 units, Eppley lost 50 cents to finish at $36 with an exchange of 318 stocks. Eppley Caribbean Property Fund declined $3.49 in closing at $37.51 in switching ownership of 281 stock units, First Rock Capital lost 35 cents to close at $10.20 with 12,241 shares crossing the market, GraceKennedy advanced $2 to $101 after exchanging 175,533 stock units. Guardian Holdings popped $9 to $525 with the swapping of 509 units, Jamaica Broilers advanced $1.24 to $28.74 in transferring 58,677 stocks, Jamaica Producers rose $1.15 to $23.35 after trading 1,890 stock units. Jamaica Stock Exchange rallied 90 cents to $17.40 with 4,835 shares changing hands, JMMB Group gained 50 cents to end at $38.60 after 140,283 units cleared the market, Kingston Wharves fell $2.97 to close at $39 in an exchange of 75,266 shares. Mayberry Investments gained 48 cents to finish at $7.98 in trading 12,601 stocks, Mayberry Jamaican Equities lost 37 cents after ending at $9 in switching ownership of 11,606 stock units, NCB Financial advanced $1 to $126 with an exchange of 8,902 shares. Palace Amusement climbed $17.32 to end at $997.99 with 38 units changing hands, PanJam Investment declined $2.90 to $63 with the swapping of 7,562 units, Portland JSX popped 45 cents to $8 with a transfer of 2,468 shares. Scotia Group advanced $1.39 to close at $36.40 after exchanging 103,819 stocks, Seprod declined $1.40 in closing at $62.10 in trading 3,736 stock units, Sygnus Credit Investments gained 47 cents to settle at $14.82 with a transfer of 46,820 shares. Sygnus Real Estate Finance fell $1.25 to $16.02 with 21,980 stocks changing hands, Victoria Mutual Investments rallied 41 cents to close at $6.79 with an exchange of 73,058 shares and Wisynco Group lost 39 cents to end at $17.51 in switching ownership of 60,431 units.
In the preference segment, JMMB Group 7.15% preference share due – 2028 rose 52 cents in closing at $3.05 with 450 stocks crossing the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
3 new ICTOP10 listings as Spur Tree exists
The Junior Market ICTOP10 stocks have three new listings in a week that saw Spur Tree Spices trading for the first time on Friday with the price climbing to $1.32 for a rise of 32 percent since the Initial Public offer at the end of 2021, there are no new Main Market listings.
Other stocks that were in the spotlight this past week were ones that lasted off to record new all-time highs and include AMG Packaging, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Caribbean Producers and Dolphin Cove a TOP10 contender up to the week ending December 2, also hit a 52 weeks’ high of $23.50 this past week to be up more than 100% since it came into the top flight in August last year at $9.86.
With the rise in the price of Spur Tree Spices, the stock is one of four to move out of the TOP10, followed by Medical Disposables that 16 percent for the week and Caribbean Cream that reported terrible third quarter results with a loss being made in the period as revenues climbed 14 percent in the quarter. Coming into the TOP10 are Lumber Depot, Fontana and General Accident.
Junior Market, AMG Packaging rose a strong 45 percent, ahead of the first quarter results to November that showed profit after tax jumping a big 146 percent over 2020. Investors can expect more gains to come this coming week as the stock traded up $3.90 last week. Caribbean Assurance Brokers climbed to a new 52 weeks’ high during the week and closed $3.12 up 26 percent, Access Financial Services continues to seesaw and recovered 17 percent to $20 this past week and Elite Diagnostic gained 8 percent to $3.18.
The sharp price movements in the Junior Market reduced the potential gains markedly, with the average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks now 122 percent versus 148 percent last week.
The top three stocks are Access Financial Services followed by Lasco Distributors and Caribbean Assurance Brokers can gain between 124 and 160 percent, sharply down from 182 and 204 percent, previously.
Major Main Market TOP10 moving stocks are Caribbean Producers up 7 percent, to $15.99 and Radio Jamaica rallying 7 percent to $3.45 as increased buying interest came in for the stock.
The potential gains for Main Market stocks moved from 146 percent to this weeks’ 144 percent this week, with top three Main Market stocks being Guardian Holdings followed by JMMB Group and Radio Jamaica all projected to gain between 161 and 257 percent up from 199 and 258 percent last week.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 14.7 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 9.1, with a 38 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 36 percent to March this year, based on an average PE of 20 and 16 percent based on an average PE of 17. Eleven stocks representing 26 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level averaging 25.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.4, just 16 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 22 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.5 representing a 48 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
ICTOP10 scaling new highs
Main Market TOP10 stock, Sagicor Group price fell to $52.31 to return to the TOP10 after closing the previous week at $58 and replaced by Scotia Group that slipped from $36 to $35.50 as both the Main and Junior Markets displayed some bullish signs in the past week, with Caribbean Producers hitting a record high of $15 and gained 436 percent in just over a year.
Other big news for the week was the continued rise of ICTOP10 Main Market stock, Caribbean Producers that closed the week with a gain of 15 percent at a record high of $15 and is now in the sixth spot with the potential to gain another 120 percent in months. Radio Jamaica rose 7 percent for the week to $3.23 and Guardian Holdings rose 5 percent.
Junior Market AMG Packaging rose 6 percent but could climb higher with the first quarter results to November, due this coming week and the company is also expected to announce a dividend. Lasco Financial put on 7 percent to land at $3.20, Elite Dynastic gained 4 percent to $2.95, Caribbean Assurance Brokers climbed as high as $2.75 during the week but closed down at $2.48 for a 3 percent gain, and Access Financial Services fell 10 percent to $17.08 and Lasco Distributors lost 6 percent to $3.20.
Elsewhere, investors in the Spur Tree Spices Initial Public offer will receive just over 11.76 percent of the shares they applied for in the heavily oversubscribed issue that is sure to drive the stock price with a big bang in the first week of trading which should be ahead of the end of January.
The top three Main Market stocks, this week are Guardian Holdings followed by JMMB Group and Radio Jamaica all projected to gain between 199 and 258 percent up from 183 and 261 percent last week.
The Junior Market’s top three stocks for the week are Access Financial Services followed by AMG Packaging and Caribbean Assurance Brokers. All three can gain between 182 and 204 percent versus 174 and 218 percent, previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks is 148 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 152 percent to this weeks’ 146 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 14.8 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of just 8.2, with a 45 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 35 percent to March this year, based on an average PE of 20 and 15 percent based on an average PE of 17. Ten stocks representing 26 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level and averaging 25.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.4, just 16 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 22 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.4 representing a 49 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.