The volume and value of stocks trading rose on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Tuesday, with the volume traded rising 15 percent and the value 34 percent more than on Thursday with all 48 listed securities trading compared with 40 on Thursday and ended with 13 rising, 23 declining and 12 unchanged but the Junior Market Index climbed 4.58 points to 3,703.49.
Investors traded 7,914,653 shares for $21,222,090, up from 6,861,944 units at $15,792,093 on Thursday.
Trading averaged 164,889 shares at $442,127, compared to 171,549 shares at $394,802 on Thursday, with the month to date averaging 478,177 units at $8,244,708 from 568,767 stock units at $10,500,876 on the previous trading day. March closed with an average of 509,288 units at $1,071,868.
Image Plus Consultants led trading with 1.80 million shares for 22.7 percent of total volume followed by Limners and Bards with 1.30 million units for 16.4 percent of the day’s trade and Future Energy Source with 1.24 million units for 15.7 percent of the day’s trade.
The PE Ratio, a measure of computing appropriate stock values, averages 10.9. The PE ratios of Junior Market stocks are computed using the last traded stock price in conjunction with ICInsider.com’s projected earnings for the financial years ending between November 2023 and August 2024.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ended with the bid higher than the last selling price and two with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial fell 19 cents to $24.48, with 11 shares changing hands, AMG Packaging gained 15 cents to close at $3.09 as 11 stocks passed through the market, Caribbean Cream shed 19 cents after ending at $3.30 in an exchange of 421 stock units, Dolla Financial declined 11 cents in closing at $2.66 while exchanging 934,838 units, Dolphin Cove dropped 47 cents to end at $14.50, with 365 shares crossing the market, EduFocal lost 20 cents in ending at $2.10 and closed after 32,352 stocks changed hands, Express Catering rose 73 cents to end at $5.45 in switching ownership of 93,642 stock units, Fontana dipped 22 cents in closing at $8.10 with an exchange of 31,836 units, Future Energy Source rallied 10 cents to $4.20 after a transfer of 1,239,044 stocks, General Accident shed 34 cents to close at $4.71, with 7,577 shares crossing the exchange, Honey Bun lost 64 cents to close at $6.11 in trading 38,283 units, Indies Pharma popped 29 cents to $3.19 with investors transferring 7,807 stock units, ISP Finance declined $3.30 to $18.70 after trading 7,961 stock units, KLE Group climbed 17 cents in closing at $1.86 with the swapping of one unit, Knutsford Express advanced 78 cents to $11.78 as investors traded 11,914 stocks, Lasco Distributors dipped 20 cents after ending at $2.43, with 23,512 shares crossing the market, Limners and Bards dipped 28 cents in closing at $2.20 after exchanging 1,298,592 units, Main Event fell 56 cents to close at $11.70 with 9,992 shares clearing the market, Stationery and Office Supplies increased 13 cents to $14.15 in an exchange of 3,539 stock units and tTech lost 26 cents to end at $2.29 with a transfer of 13,291 stocks.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Steady JSE USD Market
Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange US dollar market ended on Tuesday, with the volume of stocks changing hands declining by 57 percent with a 14 percent lower value than on Thursday, and resulting from trading in eight securities, compared to nine on Thursday with four rising and four declining.
Overall, 299,535 shares were traded for US$25,772 compared with 694,591 units at US$29,863 on Thursday.
Trading averaged 37,442 shares at US$3,221, compared with 77,177 shares at US$3,318 on Thursday, with a month to date average of 66,592 shares at US$3,393, down from 74,634 units at US$3,440 on the previous day. March ended with an average of 172,829 units for US$12,793.
The US Denominated Equities Index increased by 0.04 points to close at 219.95.
The PE Ratio, a measure used in computing appropriate stock values, averages 8.7. The PE ratio is computed based on the last traded price of each stock divided by projected earnings forecasts done by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending between November 2022 and August 2023.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows two stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and none with a lower offer.
At the close, Margaritaville popped 0.24 of a cent to close at 10 US cents after exchanging 2,300 shares, Productive Business Solutions rose 7.52 cents to US$1.7365 in switching ownership of 29 units, Proven Investments shed 2.5 cents in closing at 16.5 US cents with 132,027 stock units clearing the market, Sterling Investments fell 0.12 of a cent to 1.87 US cents after 11,563 stocks crossed the market, Sygnus Credit Investments declined 0.04 of a cent after ending at 9.4 US cents and trading 3,131 stocks and Transjamaican Highway dipped 0.01 of a cent to 1 US cent after a transfer of 150,000 shares.
In the preference segment, JMMB Group 5.75% rallied 7.88 cents to close at US$2.20 with an exchange of 20 units and JMMB Group 6% gained 3 cents after ending at US$1.08 and closed with trading of 465 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Nice gains for ICTOP10 stocks, Purity returns
The Main and Junior Markets did not maintain the sharp bounce of the previous week, but most ICTOP10 Junior Market stocks ended with gains. In contrast, the Main Market ended with mostly modest losses, with 138 Student Living rising 5 percent to $5.30 and JMMB Group declining by 5 percent to $31.49, all other changes in the Main Market were two percent or less.
The Junior Market had one change in its TOP10 list as Iron Rock Insurance and Image Plus climbed 13 percent to $2.27 and $2.03, respectively, while Main Event and Honey Bun rose 5 percent to $12.26 and $6.75, respectively, with the only sizable decline being a 9 percent fall for Tropical Battery to $1.90.
Image Plus never benefitted from any serious IPO bounce seems to be finally finding buying interest and closed the past week with 159,904 shares on the bid at $2.02, 160,746 at $2 and just over 800,000 between $1.90 and $1.95, with 25,987 stocks on offer at $2.03, 81,709 at $2.05 with one big offer of 1.72 million units at S2.50 with smaller offers before the this. There has been healthy trading in the stock recently, with trading of 824,526 units on Thursday. Trading on Wednesday saw 1,153,255 shares changing hands in the stock, with 910,000 units on Tuesday and 1.75 million shares on Monday, which seems to have cleared out a great deal of overhang in the market.
Update on interest rate developments. A number of developments taking place in the economy are worth watching. Following last week’s $35 billion Bank of Jamaica CD auction that saw the average rate coming in at 8.49 percent, this week’s auction saw an offer of $34 billion, with the average rate remaining the same as the previous week with fewer funds chasing the offered amount. Another positive development is the average inflation rate running at 45 percent less than the same time last year and averaging 2.4 percent per annum since November last year. Foreign exchange inflows have been strong, with the NIR growing at $66 million in February and 220 million in March, putting it at a record end of month level as initial data suggest that tourism arrivals and foreign exchange generated by that industry exceed the similar period in 2019, the last year without the impact of covid-19 negatively affecting the sector. On top of those positive developments, corporate profits are expected to enjoy a good bounce for the majority of companies for the first quarter.
The Junior Market has a long term pattern, with the market starting to rise around a month before quarterly results are due and declining shortly after results are released. This is a pattern worth noting that can be built into investment decisions to improve returns.
Dropping from the TOP10 Junior Market list this past week was Honey Bun, but investors should expect a big jump in revenues and profits for the first quarter, with the Easter coming at the beginning of April versus the 17th of April last year, as well as an improvement of gross profit margin that slipped up last year.
Returning to the TOP10 is Consolidated Bakeries in the number 3 spot. The company is projected to report a solid first quarter profit, with the Easter holidays coming at the start of April compared with April 17 last year and ensuring that mostly all Easter bun sales will be reported in the March quarter unlike 2022. The company reported a profit in 2022 a big improvement over a loss in the previous three years. ICInsider.com projects earnings of 40 cents for 2023 and 75 cents for 2024 with the company benefitting from a full recovery of the local economy and increase efficiency and reduction in borrowings. At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE
Main Market TOP 10 is 5.6, well below the market average of 13.5, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.7 compared with the market at 11.1. The differences are important indicators of the likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 256 percent and the Main Market TOP10, an average of 271 percent, to May 2024, based on 2023 forecasted earnings.
The Junior Market has 10 stocks representing 21 percent of the market, with PEs from 15 to 29, averaging 19, well above the market’s average. The top half of the market has an average PE of 15, suggesting this may be a logical value for junior market stocks.
The 16 stocks with the highest value in the Main Market stocks are priced at a PE of 15 to 115, with an average of 30 and 19 excluding the highest PE stocks and 19 for the top half excluding the stocks with the highest valuation.
The above average shows the extent of potential gains for the TOP 10 stocks.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market, but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks will likely deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Gains for JSE USD Market
Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange US dollar market ended on Thursday, with the volume of stocks changing hands rising 193 percent but valued 17 percent lower than on Wednesday and resulted in trading of nine securities, compared to six on Wednesday, with four rising, three declining and two ending unchanged.
A total of 694,591 shares were traded for US$29,863 compared with 236,678 units at US$35,767 on Wednesday.
Trading averaged 77,177 units at US$3,318 compared with 39,446 shares at US$5,961 on Wednesday, with the month to date averaging 74,634 shares at US$3,440 compared to 73,490 units at US$3,495 on the previous day. trading in March averaged 172,829 units for US$12,793.
The US Denominated Equities Index rallied 9.57 points to 219.91.
The PE Ratio, a measure used in computing appropriate stock values, averages 8.9. The PE ratio is computed based on the last traded price of each stock divided by projected earnings forecasts done by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending between November 2022 and August 2023.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices than the last selling prices and none with a lower offer.
At the close, First Rock Real Estate USD share advanced 0.01 of a cent to 6.38 US cents, with 431,901 shares crossing the market, Margaritaville lost 1.72 cents to close at 9.76 US cents as investors exchanged 2 units, MPC Caribbean Clean Energy remained at 69.77 US cents and closed trading with 140 stocks changing hands, Productive Business Solutions declined 6.87 cents to US$1.6613, with an exchange of 25 stock units, Proven Investments dipped 0.5 of a cent to 19 US cents after trading 61 units, Sygnus Credit Investments ended at 9.44 US cents in switching ownership of 161 shares, Sygnus Real Estate Finance USD share gained 0.18 of one cent to close at 7.18 US cents with one unit passing through the market and Transjamaican Highway added 0.01 of a cent in closing at 1.01 US cents, with 262,275 stocks clearing the market.
In the preference segment, Productive Business 9.25% preference share climbed 50 cents to US$13 after an exchange of 25 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.