The Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange just inched higher at the close of trading on Monday with the Junior Market Index rising a mere 0.38 points to close at 3,113.66.
The market closed with 25 securities changing hands, resulting in an exchange of 1,343,967 units valued at $5,105,838 compared to 1,109,020 units valued at $4,743,095 on Friday from trading in 26 stocks.
Market activities, saw the prices of 8 securities rising, 7 falling and 10 remaining unchanged. Lasco Manufacturing traded at an intraday 52 weeks’ low of $2.95 but closed at $3.05.
Trading ended with an average of 53,759 units for an average of $204,233 in contrast to 42,655 units for an average of $182,427 on Friday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 204,672 units at a value of $1,149,992, versus 221,591 units at a value of $1,256,019, previously. November, ended with an average of 190,475 units valued at $653,358 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 8 stocks ended with higher bids than their last selling price and 6 with lower offers.
At the close of the day’s activity, Access Financial closed at $50.50, trading 100 shares, AMG Packaging ended at $1.70, after 90,000 stock units were traded, Blue Power concluded trading of 12,926 units with a loss of 13 cents at $6.20, Cargo Handlers settled 10 cents higher at $15, with an exchange of 6,060 shares, Caribbean Cream ended trading of 6,600 shares at $5.40. Caribbean Producers finished trading 208,181 units, with a loss of 10 cents at $5.30, Derrimon Trading ended with a loss of 2 cents at $2.55, trading 236,354
shares, Eppley settled at $9, with 1,765 units changing hands, Express Catering ended trading 36,313 shares with a loss of 10 cents at $7.50. FosRich Group traded 6 cents higher at $3.85, with an exchange of 45,100 shares, Everything Fresh gained 3 cents in trading 132,000 shares to close at $1.30, Honey Bun ended at $3.50, with an exchange of 17,196 units, Indies Pharma traded 14,760 shares and added 6 cents to close at $3.20, Jamaican Teas settled at $3.70, with an exchange of 4,434 shares, Jetcon Corporation ended trading 17,400 stock units at $3. Key Insurance traded 30,823 units at $4, Knutsford Express closed $1.50 higher at $11.50, with an exchange of 34,985 shares, Lasco Distributors ended with a loss of 15 cents at $3.75, trading 254,188 shares, Lasco Financial concluded trading 1,400 stock units with a loss of 90 cents down to $4. Lasco Manufacturing finished 3 cents higher at $3.05, with 101,942 units after trading at a low of $2.95, Main Event settled with a loss of 60 cents at $5.90, with 19,374 shares changing hands, Medical Disposables ended trading of 10,445 shares, with a rise of 10 cents to close at $6.50, SSL Venture Capital traded 47,156 shares and ended at $2, Stationery and Office finished trading with 12,314 stock units with a rise of 40 cents to $8.50 and tTech ended at $5.19, as 2,151 shares were traded.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.
Relative stability descends on IC Top 10
The volatility in the Jamaican stock market seems to have ended with the closure of the very popular Fontana IPO.
The main market rose towards the end of the week while the junior market declines have slowed sharply. IC Insider.com expects the usual Christmas rally to take hold and drive prices higher, ahead of 2019.
The attractively underpriced Fontana would be a sure pick for the TOP 10 list but it seems unlikely to be listed before January.
Lasco Financial came re-entered the TOP 10 last week is out having risen from $4.15 to $4.90 at week end. Replacing it is Jamaican Teas that could get a boost from gains in their equity
portfolio. In the main market TOP 10, Sagicor Group that came into the list this past week, is now out and is replaced by Sterling Investments that fell in price at the end of the week to $4 from $4.49 the week before.
The main market closed the week with the overall PE remains at 15.7, the PE of the Junior Market remains at 15.8. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 8.8 and the main market PE is now 9.8. The top Junior Market stocks are selling at a discount of 13 percent to those of the main market stocks even as the overall average PE for both markets are almost equal. This is
an indication that there may be more gains to be had from these Junior market stocks than those in the main market.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 44 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 37 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE
for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.
No inflation
Fall in the price of fuel and appreciation of the Jamaica dollar helped in pushing inflation down in November with data out of Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN) showing zero inflation.
According to Statin, the result was influenced by a 0.3 percent increase in the index for the division Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages. This was as a result of higher prices for vegetables, starchy foods and fruits but was tempered by a 0.8 percent decline in the division Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels due mainly to reduced rates for electricity despite the increased rates for water and sewage. The Transport division declined by 0.7 percent as a result of a decrease in the price for petrol. The calendar year-to-date inflation was 3.5 percent while the movement in the index for the fiscal year-to-date was 3.8 percent and the movement for the past 12 months comes out at 4.1 percent.
Scotia hikes dividend

David Noel new Scotia Group’s CEO.
Scotia Group delivered below par performance in that final quarter of the 2018 fiscal year, with profit falling to just $1.6 billion from $3.36 billion in 2017.
The quarterly results, however, is not an indication for what can be expected for the 2019 fiscal year as one time fall in revenues and in some cases, expenses are unlikely to be reflected for the full year to come. In keeping with expected pick up in profit the banking group hiked their dividend from the usual 48 cents per share to 51 cents in their latest announcement. Based on Scotia’s long held policy, when dividends are raised it is usually an indication that future dividend payments will continue at the elevated level for the ensuing period. Investors in the stock can therefore look forward to at least $2.04 cents for all of 2019. That will be a return on the latest stock price of $54.01 of 3.8 percent. Dividends paid in 2018 amounted to $1.92 per share. The total amount of dividends to be paid in January will be $1.59 billion which is alomost all the profit reported for teh quarter. The dividend will be paid on January 18, 2019, with the ex-dividend date set for December 24.
Republic knocks TTSE index – Friday

Republic Bank
Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange market activity on Friday ended with the All T&T Index dropping 17.50 points as Republic Financial Holdings traded as low as $100 and ended with an average fall in price of $5.43 to inflict serious one day damage to the index.
At close of the market, the Composite Index declined 0.87 points to 1,292.45, the All T&T Index lost 17.50 points to 1,675.41, while the Cross Listed Index remained unchanged to close at 122.97.
Trading ended with 13 securities changing hands, the same as on Thursday. Market activity led to 4 securities advancing, 3 declining and 6 remaining unchanged on a day when the volume a value of trading increased above Thursday’s levels. Trading ended with 113,059 shares at a value of $1,694,615 compared to 56,112 shares at a value of $1,242,837 on Thursday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 3 stock with bids higher than the last selling price and 4 with lower offers.
Stocks closing with gains| First Citizens gained 15 cents and settled at $33.15, after exchanging 564 shares, National Flour increased by 1 cent and completed trading 34,395 units at $1.65, Trinidad & Tobago NGL ended with a gain 3 cents and settled at $29.24, after exchanging 1,474 shares and West Indian
Tobacco finished 33 cents higher and completed trading 3,206 units at $95.40.
Stocks closing with Losses| Mora Ven Holdings traded 3,000 shares after falling 48 cents to end at a closing 52 weeks’ low of $12, Republic Financial Holdings shares fell 6 cents and ended at $107, after trading as low as $101 in exchanging 540 shares and Scotiabank closed with a loss of 25 cents and completed trading 165 units at $64.41.
Stocks closing firm| Clico Investments ended at $20.20, with 54,175 stock units changing hands, Grace Kennedy ended at $3.05, with 262 stock units changing hands, Guardian Holdings completed trading 2,333 units, at $17, JMMB Group closed at $1.77, after exchanging 9,700 shares, One Caribbean Media ended at $10.50, after exchanging 1,935 shares and Prestige Holdings completed trading of 4,310 units at $7.50.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.
Strong food & insurance sales gains at Grace

Grace new HQ close to the end of construction in downtown Kingston
Grace Kennedy reported net profit attributable to shareholders of $3.26 billion for the year to September compared with $3.3 billion in 2017 on strong gains in Food and Insurance segments. For the September quarter, the group earnings of $1.06 billion was realized, down from $1.5 billion.
The current quarter’s result is negatively impacted by one off expenses.
Segment results show declines in the Money transfer business with segment results down to $2.34 billion from $2.46 billion in 2017. Banking was flat with results of $401 million but both Insurance and Food trading recorded healthy increases. Food reported $1.35 billion in 2017 and climbed a strong 12.5 percent to $1.52 billion and Insurance jumped a robust 22.7 percent from $508 million to $734 million.
When adjusted for non-recurring gains in 2017 and one-time expenses of $236 million in the September 2018 quarter, profit for the nine months would have been greater by approximately $600 million.
For the nine-months, the Company revenues rose 7 percent to $73.8 billion but climbed a healthier 11 percent to $25.46 billion for the September quarter, over the same period in 2017. Group Chief Financial Officer, Frank James, informed IC Insider.com that the savings from the rationalisation exercise will generate savings considerable higher than the cost, due partially to some former employees being retired and not incurring separation cost.
Operating cost rose faster than revenues, with an increase of 13 percent to $24.6 billion for the

Group Chief Executive Officer, Don Wehby.
Shareholders’ equity increased of $3.2 billion to $48.4 billion over 2017. Loans receivables remained flat at $26.4 billion compared to $26.58 billion in September 2017 and is down from $27.55 billion at the end of 2017. At the end of the period total assets increased $7.3 billion to $137 billion since September in 2017 and liabilities rose by a smaller $3 billion to $86.44 billion.
In speaking to the recent performance, Group Chief Executive Officer, Don Wehby, affirmed, “The Company is investing strategically for future growth and efficiency to achieve this objective. We are seeing a 12.6 percent increase in profit over prior period, with the one-off adjustments, and we expect continued growth based on our strategy.”
Since 2018, the Group embarked on a programme which aims to improve its return on investment and shareholder value. The process involves a review of its overall organizational design, cost structure, and business processes at all levels resulting in restructuring which affected a number of positions in August. In expounding further Wehby stated, “Although the restructuring costs of $236 million impacted the quarter’s performance, I am confident that the Company will realize the benefits of this in subsequent periods.”
Grace pays an interim dividend of 50 cents per stock unit on December 13, bringing dividends to date to $1.35 per stock unit of more than $1.3 billion.
Wehby and the group’s chairman Gordon Shirley in their report to shareholders stated that Grace Kennedy anticipates continued growth for the fourth quarter, subsequent to the quarterly report the group announced changes in their Florida distribution with an investment in the company that manufactures it patties that will take over Graces distribution and warehousing in that area. The new arrangement will mean less cost and more profits for Grace.
IC Insider.com projects earnings is $4.80 for the current fiscal year to December and $6 for 2019. The stock is listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange and trades at $60 for a PE of 12.5 times current year’s estimated earnings versus an average for the market in the region of 15, with a premium of a mere 20 percent above net book value per share and seems undervalued, currently. The stock looks like a good long term investment.
The directors of
The 

previously. November closed, with an average of 405,528 valued at $7,755,942, for each security traded.
$1 to close at $24.70, Jamaica Stock Exchange rose 55 cents to close at $10.05, in trading 104,874 shares, JMMB Group added $1 in trading 25,977 shares to close at $34. Kingston Wharves finished at $75.30, after falling by 70 cents in trading 4,300 stock units, NCB Financial Group rose $2.09 in ending trading of 743,620 shares at $147.10, PanJam Investment rose $2 to close at $72, with an exchange of 25,544 stock units, Sagicor Real Estate Fund rose 30 cents to close at $10.50, with 462,923 shares changing hands, Salada Foods gained $1 and ended trading of just 100 stock units at a record close of $31 and Scotia Group dropped $1.99 in trading 35,026 units to close at $54.01.

to close at $3.14, Jetcon Corporation ended trading 24,100 stock units with a loss of 15 cents to close at $3, Knutsford Express closed with a loss of 50 cents at $10, in trading 3,996 shares, Lasco Distributors ended at $3.90, with an exchange of 78,050 shares. Lasco Financial concluded trading of 233,319 stock units, at $4.90, Lasco Manufacturing finished trading with a loss of 10 cents at $3.02, with 52,011 units, Main Event settled at 50 cents higher at $6.50, after 6,698 shares traded, Medical Disposables ended trading of 80,000 shares, to end at $6.40, SSL Venture Capital traded 98,000 shares and rose 18 cents to end at $2 and Stationery and Office finished trading 29,949 stock units with a loss of 45 cents to $8.10. In the junior market preference segment, Eppley ended trading 145,636 shares at $6.