Caribbean Cream profit upgrade

Kremi GapnCaribbean Creams profit upgraded to show a 62 percent increase to $56.8 million or 15 cents per share above the 2014 earnings, according the audited financial statements compiled by KPMG, the company’s new auditors.
The comparative 2014 results were $35 million after a small tax expense. The interim report had profit for the year at $49 million on slightly higher sales than the audit report showed. The major area of change was lower administrative cost of $12 million in the audited accounts versus the preliminary figures. Caribbean Cream enjoyed an increase of 305 percent in profit in the final quarter to reach $25.7 million up from $6.4 million in 2014 quarter, according to the data in the audited accounts and third quarter interim results.
IC Insider is forecasting profit of 244 million for the 2016 fiscal year or 65 cents per share from increased sales revenues that will flow mainly from a 15 percent price increase effected just before the Christmas season.
The stock which was listed on the junior market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange in 2013 at an IPO price of $1, traded at $1.10 on Thursday and has moved up from 65 cents just before the release of the interim results.

Teas could have a good year

Jamaican Teas DoorJamaican Teas enjoyed good exports sales for the second quarter to March continuing the appreciable growth in the first quarter. Exports moved by 26.6 percent from $64 million to $81 million for the latest quarter and year-to-date $118 million moving to $184 million for an increase of 56 percent.
The strength in exports contributed to the overall increase in sales which moved from $259.2 million to $292.5 million, an increase of 12.8% in the quarter, helping to push profit to $20 million in the March quarter, a 19.8% increase from the comparable period in the prior year. Profit for the six months to March was $43 million, an increase of 16.2% compared to the related period in 2014.
Earnings per share is up to 26 cents for the six months and 12 cents for the quarter, with the expected completion of sale of units in the development property earnings could end up around 80 cents per share for the fiscal year, this could change depending on whether the company disposes of some of the equities it is holding. Sales for the six months to March 2015, are up 14.4 percent to $611 million from $534 million in the prior year.
Exports were helped considerably by the coming on board of a new distributor in the eastern cost of the United States which will see the company products being sold in Wall Mart stores during 2015. Exports were also helped by restoration of sales in the Florida area that was disrupted in the previous financial year from modification in distributorship in that area. Local sales in the manufacturing operations are ahead of the prior year but are not a buoyant as could be expected.

The Orchid property being developed that should add to Jamaican Teas' profits in 2015 & 2016.

The Orchid property being developed that should add to Jamaican Teas’ profits in 2015 & 2016.

The first phase of the real estate development comprising 29 houses has been completed with 5 houses remaining to be sold. Delivery of houses to buyers will commence shortly and should be completed by the end of the fiscal year.
The company’s investment portfolio showed encouraging increase in value, with gains of $12 million during the quarter and $14 million year to March, subsequently it has increased further with the growth in the local stock market.
Jamaican Teas borrowings are at $397 million at March, $310 million is long term, the group equity of $691 million, investments at March amounting to $126 million with cash funds of $27 million. On completion of sales of units in the development property there will be a sharp reduction in loans outstanding and or a build-up in cash.
Jamaican Teas is involved primarily in the production of ingredients for hot beverages, but also sells water and other ready to prepare food products as well as operators supermarkets and in the real estate development. The company is listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange junior market and last traded at $3.

Barita reports big profit jump

Barita280X150Brokerage house Barita Investments released half-year results showing profit of $130 million or 29 cents per share versus $105 million in 2014, the improvement came in the second quarter with profit of $84 million, or 19 cents per share, up from $48 million, fuelled by a big jump in investment gains, mostly from disposal of government of Jamaica securities.
Net interest income fell in the quarter as interest cost declined more slowly than the fall in income. For the quarter revenues climbed to 398 million from only $333 million in 2014 while operating expenses rose from $115 million to $128 million or 11 percent. Interest cost fell from $171 million to $151 million but interest income fell faster from $260 million down to $204 million, for a fall of $55 million thus squeezing net interest income from $88 million to $53 million.

Karl Lewin at the launch of Barita's newest unit trust funds

Karl Lewin at the launch of Barita’s newest unit trust funds

Gross Interest Income of $434 million for the half year to March was 17 percent below the prior year’ six months, while interest expense for the period was $319 million, 5 percent less than the previous year. The declining spread is partly due what the company stated as, “50 percent of bonds held being variable rate instruments and declined faster than on the liability side that are mostly fixed.”
Revenues from our non-interest income for the six months were above prior year with $309 million compared to $141 million with fees and commission income being 88 percent above prior year at $79 million with significant improvements coming from the revenues of the Barita Unit Trusts Management Company. Additionally, trading gains improved by 813 percent at $179 million compared to $21 million in the prior year, due to gains from sales of government of Jamaica bonds that enjoyed gains as Jamaican bonds started to attract renewed interest. Depreciation of the Jamaican Dollar and trading gains amounted to $42 million year to date down from $72 million in 2014.
“Operational costs for the 6 months period to March increased by 14 percent when compared to the same period last year. Over the same period, staff costs increased by 12 percent, triggered primarily by additional human resources and remuneration adjustments,” the company reported.
Administrative costs were 16 percent higher for the same period last year; the main contributors being our financial support of the Education Foundation and client support expenses.
Looking forward, earnings look set to reach at least 50 cents per share for the year and could be more, depending on the continued buoyancy in the stock market that should help lift commission income from trading for clients, increased stock market prices will increase the asset base of the equity lined unity trusts and generate more fee income. The revaluation in the Jamaican dollar in to March has been reversed thus restoring gains in this area. The decline experienced in interest rate spread may slow but that is unclear at this stage with rates on BOJ Certificate of deposits having fallen and Treasury bill rates continuing to decline.
The quarter ended with equity of $1.86 billion and total assets of $13.37 billion. The stock which is listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange and last traded at $2.50 up from $1.95 prior to the release of the results.

Cargo Handlers a nice income generator

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Cargo Handlers stock has passed the $22 mark but could well go higher based on the earnings being generated. For the six months to March the Montego Bay based company racked up profit of $78.6 million, 52 percent higher than in 2014 and $38.47 million, up by 48.4 percent over the similar quarter of 2014.
CargoHandlers280X150The good net income came from operating revenues that were up 29.8 percent in the quarter to 62.7 million and 126.2 million in the six months an increase of 29.5 percent. Expenses were kept well below revenues growth at $26.16 for the quarter versus $22.5 million and for the year to date $49.3 million compared with $48 million.
Earnings per share for the quarter is 92 cents and $1.89 for the six months, the company is well on its way to rake in $4 per share for the year ending September.
The company had cash funds of $138 million at the end of March owes very little to creditors with an equity base of $231 million.
The company is primarily involved in stevedoring services and haulage of fuel and the shares trade on the junior market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange and has gained 39 percent since the start of the year.
The company paid an interim dividend per share of $1.25 on March 11, 2015 and $1.30 on September 16, 2014.

ANSA Merchant Bank profit up 70%

Ansa-Mcal-group_logo280x150ANSA Merchant Bank and its subsidiaries reported a 70 percent increase in profit for the first quarter to March this year, compared to the first quarter of 2014. The quarter ended with consolidated operating profit of $53.8 million versus $31.6 million for the similar 2014 quarter and resulted in earnings of 50 cents per share, up from 26 cents in 2014. In 2014 the group reported earnings of $2.43 per share for the twelve months but should exceed that level in 2015.
The stock is listed on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange and last traded at $38.91, with a PE of 16 based on 2014 results and less, based on what the latest numbers are suggesting, in terms of full year profit for 2015. Examination of the 2013 and 2014 results, show no clear pattern of consistency quarter over quarter for earnings, but the last quarter of the year appears to be one in which profit tends to exceed $1.20 per shares, accordingly, the 2015 earnings could be around $3 per share and if achieved would result in a PE of 13.
The Banking segment produced earnings before tax of $33 million for the first quarter representing a 5 percent increase over the first quarter of 2014. Mutual Funds performed better in the reported quarter compared to 2014 with a small profit of $949,000 versus an $8 million loss, in 2014. The general insurance business produced net earnings of $22.7 million in the quarter, a 47 percent increase over the prior year. The life insurance business experienced a loss in of $2.2 million but an improvement over the loss of $7.2 million in the similar quarter of 2014.
Revenues climbed 21.3 percent to reach $172 million while expenses rose by a more sedate 7.3 percent to hit $118.3 million and helping to push up the profits
The equity capital stood at $1.9 billion at the end of March and total assets of $6.7 billion. ANSA McAl a Trinidad Company owns 82.48 percent of ANSA Marchant Bank group.

JSE profit surged – 2016 could be big

JSE 1Jamaica Stock Exchange reported a huge jump in first quarter earnings showing profit of $87 million or 62 cents, up from a loss of $3 in 2014, after tax. Revenues jumped from $82 million to $253 million, on the back of 10 fold increase in cess, due to primarily to the transfer of ownership of the controlling interest in Scotia Group, from the Canadian parent, to one set up to own the Caribbean entities directly.
Total cess income jumped to $161 million compared to only $15 million. Access Financial managing director switched ownership of his shares to a company, resulted in a transaction over the exchange of $1 billion and Pan Jamaican Investments had a $1.3 billion transaction in March. While the latter two unusual transactions would have increased the cess around $12 million, the cess for Scotia Group is estimated by IC Insider at around $120 million, leaving around $40 million as cess from normal ongoing operational activities. Trading values grew by 27 percent in the first quarter, including the two transactions in March. Fee income which rose by 67 percent would have been partially impacted by the big one off transactions, but increased value traded and a slight increase in listing fees would also have helped.
In the second quarter to mid May trading has increased 333 percent to $2.6 billion, the amount is equal to the total value traded for the entire second in 2014. The increased value of trading will lead to increased fees. In the 2014 second quarter, income from cess was only $10 million and fee income $45.5 million. Not only will the cess rake in more funds from the increased volume of trading now on the way but also from an increase in the rate charged for cess over the 2014 level.
While the increased trading activity so far will lead to increased fees for the second quarter, the potential income will be no more than around $100-120 million and will be sufficient to produce a profit for the quarter and help in lifting profit for the full year beyond $1 per share.
Looking forward, with more unit trust schemes being set up there will be more demand for stocks to satisfy the demand of equity funds. The Stock Exchange is poised to take over repo trading and acting as the registrar for them and result in additional fee income is going in the not too distant future, also of great import is that rising stock values increases the base for listing fees to be levied in 2016.
The exchange has cash and investments of $500 million with a working capital ratio of 2:1 and equity of $650 million. The stock remains IC Insider BUY RATED and is now available at $3.50 which it traded at on Friday, but won’t remain that way forever and investors should be buying this one for big long-term gains.

Honey Bun sweetens profits

HoneyBun_280x150Honey Bun continues to recover from poor results for 2014 with a 20 percent sales growth in the second quarter of the current financial year and an increase in gross profits of 24 percent compared with the corresponding period last year.
Profits also benefited from improvement in gross profit margins which increased to 43.6 percent in the quarter from 42.3 percent in 2014 and came in at 44.4 percent for the six months, up from 44.07 percent. earnings per share ended at 50 cents for the six months and the company should go on to increase this in the remaining quarters.
The improved revenue picture translated into profit before taxes rising 145 percent over the prior year for the quarter of $30.5 million. The increase was partially due to the normalizing of distribution costs compared to 2014 when there were disruptions to this aspect of the business. For year to date sales revenues increased 16 percent to and profits climbed 41.6 percent to $47 million. Sales and profit would have benefited from the Easter falling to the end of the quarter. The company usually have a poor September quarter with lower revenues than for the others.
Administrative cost rose marginally in the quarter to $44.79 million, in 2014 Honey Bun incurred $43.98 million in this category and for the six months $89.85 million versus $85.24 million. Selling & distribution costs rose to $32 in the quarter from $30 min 2014 and for the six months $62.3 million compared with $52.9 million. “Exports increased by 43 percent for the quarter and by 66 percent year to date over the corresponding periods’, management indicated.
The company’s equity stood at $356 million while cash and investments grew to $61 million, receivables of $72 million were slightly up on 2014 levels while inventories kept steady at $45 million and payables declined to $56 million from $64 million in 2014.
The company’s stock last traded on the junior market at $1.90 but now has a bid at $2.35 to buy 12,000 units.

Access Q1 profit jumps 72%

AccessBuilding320pxA fifteen percent jump in revenues at Access Financial Services saw profit before tax almost doubling to $157.6 million, up from $79 million in 2014. After providing $20 million for corporation taxes Access ended with $137 million profit or 50 cents per share for an increase of 72 percent. The good fortune did not all come from ongoing income and expenditure as loan losses fell from $39 million in the March 2014 first quarter to only $3 million in the latest quarter. Gains from the purchase of loan portfolios from Appliance Traders and Proven Investments resulted in a one off profit of $11 million. These acquisitions increased loans on the books to $1.5 billion from $1.1 billion at March 2014 and the profit pushed the equity capital to $900 million.
For the full year earnings should touch $2 per share, the stock is priced at $15.10 with a potential PE of 7.5, with its growth potential and limited available shares on the market, this valuation may be considered low.
Proven Investments who bought out the Mayberry Holdings last year December, is laughing all the way to the bank for having picked up the block of shares at a bargain price of $9 each.
Access is a junior market listed company on the Jamaica Stock Exchange and is primarily involved in payroll based lending.

Big gains in Buy Rated stocks

TCL posted the highest gains of 172% of all IC Insider's Buy Rated selections

TCL posted the highest gains of 172% of all IC Insider’s Buy Rated selections

Profitable investing is not always about current fads but more so about selection and where possible timing of entry and exit. The Market Watch list is mean to help investors to identify some of the stocks with the best prospects for capital gains.
IC Insiderreports on the listing from time to time do investors can see the movements in the individual stocks. In 2014, the Trinidad companies were out performing those in Jamaica and worse most of the junior market stocks that took a hammering, as interest rates climbed up to the first quarter of 2014. Much has changed since then and now stocks in Jamaica are beating the performance of those in Trinidad. BUY Rated fn 4-15IC insider’s selections have been doing well for JSE main market but so well for the juniors.
There have been 5 winners and 9 losers in the junior market providing an average loss of just 2 percent. The JSE main market has 12 winners, so far and 4 losers, for an average gain of 22 percent and TTSE has an average gain of 11 percent with 7 winners and 6 losers. Two previous winners were removed from the Trinidad list.
A number of the Jamaican companies are reporting strong results for the first quarter of 2015 this bodes well for stock prices, the same can’t be said for the Trinidad companies that are mostly reporting flat profits. The other critical factor is that interest rates have been rising in Trinidad which is negative for stocks and they are falling in Jamaica which has already given stocks a big shot in the arm. Currently investors are focused on the bigger main market stocks but the junior will come into their own later on.
NCB has gained 65 percent since last year’s low but should head much higher, Carib Cement with very strong first quarter result should be well up from the $3 it close at on Tuesday. Trinidad is clearly not the place for much investment, unless ones eyes are on the longer term future.

Why NCB deserved a look then?

NCB closed at a new 52 weeks' high on of $26.50 on Wednesday

NCB closed at a new 52 weeks’ high on of $26.50 on Wednesday

National Commercial Bank (NCB) closed on the 28th of April at $28, that is up a strong 65 percent form the price of $17 in May last year. With the realisation that the stock was heavily undervalued, in June last year IC Insider had this to say about the stock.
The shares may not be trading in droves recently with the price tending to trade around $17 since early May but investors may be missing a great buying opportunity with a stock that is seriously undervalued.
In Trinidad the stock closed as low as TT$1.04 recently but has moved up to $1.10 on Friday and seems poised to go higher. The bid in Trinidad on Friday’s close was $1.10 (J$19.20) to buy 22,933 units with an offer of 26,000 units at $1.14. On Wednesday the stock traded 69,456 units at $1.08 and gained 2 cents in the process. On Friday 21,322 traded in Jamaica at $18.01 each and 1,396,013 on Thursday between $17 and $18.03. Wednesday saw 21,595 units being traded between $17.30 and $19. One important factor is that the stock is not in great supply.
JamaicanMoney280x150But it’s the order book on the Jamaica Stock Exchange that is sending a strong message to buy coupled with is 2014 being a year when the results should help stimulate the stock price higher. There are only 280,000 shares on offer in the market but the buying interest is not particularly strong. With the pickup in trading in Trinidad, the price in Jamaica could get a lift and with third quarter results to June which are due in the last week in July, that could strengthen investor’s appetite for the stock and give it a badly needed push.
IC Insider forecasts earnings of $5 per share for the current year (2014), so far NCB reported earnings of $2.38 for the first 6 months of the fiscal year. Well NCB went on the report $4.73 per share for the year to September but it took a long time for the stock to rise. Like good cream, goods stocks will eventually rise. Not only has the stock posted strong gains, investors in it have had a very good payment with increased dividends. Interesting while all the potential was there, there are investors who sold around the $17 price level and moved into Alibaba, it being the rage then. The returns of the former speaks volumes about investing in what is known and buying undervalued stocks as Alibaba has gone nowhere since last year while NCB has grown and is heading higher yet.