Dealers sold US$34,873,810 on Friday for 4 cents more than they did on Thursday with the rate closing at J$112.87 to One US dollar
The Canadian dollar fetched $1.27 less than the previous day as customers bought C$625,477 at J$104.89 and £1,926,6160 was sold at J$192.08, 59 cents higher than on Thursday
J$ slips against US$ & British Pound
July 25, 2014 by
Scotia Group pushes All Jamaica Index by 1,786.85
July 25, 2014 by
Broker house Scotia Investments was the only buyer of the 875,724 Scotia Group shares that change hands in Friday’s trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. The prices of the stocks rose to close at $20, but traded as high as $20.99.
For the overall market, the prices of 11 stocks rose and 8 declined as 26 securities changed hands, resulting in 5,240,852 shares trading, valued at $35,553,505.
Main Market indices| The main indices closed sharply higher in Friday’s trading as heavily weighted Scotia Group, jumped to close at $20 by the end of trading. The JSE Market Index surged 1,598.01 points to 71,711.80 and the JSE All Jamaican Composite index exploded by 1,786.85 points to close at 78,895.01.
National Commercial Bank that released results after trading on Thursday, closed up by 6 cents to $18.06 while trading 51,599 shares and closed with a bid of $18.11 to buy 116,978 units.
NCB Profit grows set for $4.80 EPS for year
July 24, 2014 by
National Commercial Bank reported impressive results for the nine months ended June 2014 compared with the nine months ended June last year. Net profit reported is $8.8 billion, an increase of 29 percent, or $2 billion for the nine months. For the latest quarter, net profit of $2.9 billion was made, an increase of 29 percent, from $2.27 billion in June 2013.
Earnings per stock unit amounted $3.56 and is set to get to $4.80 per share for the full year. Gross revenues of $42 billion increased 17 percent, or $6 billion from $36 billion generated in 2013.
As impressive as the results may appear two things have to be borne in mind, one is that in 2013 a large charge was incurred flowing from government of Jamaica debt swap, and the segment accounts show a mixed picture with just four out of the seven segments contributed to the improvement, as the others, recorded declines for the nine months. On the plus, was a $550 million reduction in loan loss provision, from $1.78 billion to $1.24 billion, with this year’s June quarter being $357 million or roughly half of what it was in 2013.
Staff cost a bit item, is up a bit, year over year, but part of that was due to the general insurance company coming into the group, for a part of the year. A more telling picture is seen form the quarter over quarter figures of $2.86 billion versus $2.7 billion for June 2013 quarter, which was marginally up.
Loans| Loans and advances, totaling $152 billion net of provision for credit losses at June 2014, grew by 12 percent, or $16.8 billion, compared to the loan portfolio as at June 30, 2013. Non-performing loans totaled $7.8 billion as at June 2014 ($6.6 billion at June 2013) and represented 5 percent of the gross loans compared to 4.8 percent as at June last year.
Deposits| Customer deposits were $205 billion, up 19 percent or $33 billion over the prior year. The increase was driven by growth in fixed deposits and savings portfolios, which increased by 65 percent and 10 percent respectively, over the prior year.
Capital| The Group’s stockholders’ equity stood at $78 billion, up 12 percent over the prior year.
The stock traded last at $18 and puts the PE ratio, at just 3.7 times the current year’s results. NCB declared another dividend of 35 cents per share, bringing the total in the last twelve months to $1.18. NCB remains a strong IC Insider buy rated stock.
Sweet River Abattoir & Supplies is not that sweet
July 24, 2014 by
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Sweet River Abattoir & Supplies Company Limited is a company the majority of Jamaican are unlikely to know. Well their profile will get a lift, with the release of a prospectus offering up to 46,633,000 Ordinary Shares to the public, at the invitation price of $3.86 each.
The subscription will open on Tuesday 12th August and is scheduled to close on Tuesday 26th August 2014 .The Company is seeking to raise $180 million from the IPO, to be used in reduction of bank loans, construction completion of the new factory facility in Westmoreland, installation of a solar energy generation system, working capital; and payment of the expenses of the Invitation. The minimum amount to be raised to facilitate listing on the junior market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, is $50 million
Up to 20,763,000 Reserved Shares in the Invitation are for priority applicants. Brokers and advisor for the deal are, MoneyMasters Limited and VM Wealth Management Limited.
The prospectus states that the majority of the shareholders of the Company are pig farmers, some with capacity to substantially increase through-put.
Sweet River in 2012, took a strategic decision to modernize the plant. The Company acquired lands in the Sweet River area of Westmoreland to establish a state of the art abattoir with expanded capacity along with administrative offices and warehousing facilities.
Sweet River planned factory facilities nearing completion in Westmoreland
The company indicates that they are the third largest supplier of pork within the market with approximately twenty-four percent (24%) market share. The Company’s main customers include Grace Food Processors Limited, Caribbean Producers Jamaica Limited, and Hamilton’s Smoke House (a subsidiary of Jamaica Broilers Group).
A pig has the capacity to provide between twelve and eighteen cuts. Currently Sweet River produces twelve cuts from each pig. The Company sources approximately 60 percent of its pigs from ten contract farmers with the remaining coming from some 395 small farmers across ten parishes in Jamaica.
Profit & revenues|In the first year of operations as at March 2010, Sweet River generated revenues of $239 million. For the financial year ending March 2011, revenues fell to $181 million, which is attributed to a shortage of pigs which affected the company’s ability to supply the market. By March 2012, the company enjoyed revenues of $207 million. Revenues rose to $311 million for the financial year to March, 2014.
Profit before taxes increased from $564,000 for the year ending March 2010 to $21 million at March 2014 and was flat with the $22.6 million generated in 2013.
With 51 million shares in issue currently earnings per share works out at 40 cents, placing a valuation of 9.4 times historical earnings. This is well above the junior market valuation. Value based on a book value works out at 3 times book, again a very high valuation. There are other weaknesses. The unknown company and the vast majority of the directors, a one man auditor that is unknown to the investing public and the absence of audited accounts for the March 2014. Serious investors are unlikely to be drawn to this issue for sometime.
Treasury bill rates edge down
July 23, 2014 by
The Government of Jamaica Treasury bill offer for the period Friday, July 25 maturing on Friday, October 24 this year for duration of 91 days, attracted bids of $732,981,900 for the $400,000,000 available.
The yield cane out at an average of 7.63643 percent. The result represents a small reduction from the 7.65893 percent yield, emanating out of the previous issue of a similar duration in June. In May, the rate was 8.2 percent for the Treasury bill of same duration. $832,672,600 went after the 400,000,000 Treasury bill instrument on offer. The offer which is of 182 days duration, matures on January 23 next year and will generate an average interest rate yield of 8.21982 percent versus the 8.36502 percent for the June issue of the same duration. At the May Treasury bill auction, the rate came out was 8.932 percent.
Carreras to consider another dividend payment
July 23, 2014 by
Carreras advised the stock exchange that a dividend payment will be considered at a meeting to be held on July 30, 2014 by the board. This should be the regular quarterly dividend which is usually paid in August.
Carreras last declared a special capital cash distribution of $1.34 per stock unit to be paid on July 31, 2014 to stockholders on July 18, 2014 with the Ex-dividend date July 16, 2014. The funds are out of proceeds received from the liquidation of a subsidiary, pending the granting of a transfer tax exemption pursuant to the Transfer Tax Act the company said in a release to the Jamaica Stock Exchange. The special capital cash distribution will brings the total payments the company made to shareholders since August last year to $8.89.
A special capital cash distribution of $1.18 was paid in January this year, the company also paid an interim dividend of $1.75 per stock unit on June 26, $1.62 per share. On March 13 they paid a dollar per share as well as in August and November last year.
Knutsford & AMG Packaging – Buy Rated
July 16, 2014 by
The buy rated list now has Knutsford Express, and AMG Packaging is moved back into the list. One Caribbean Media is moved to the Watch List as its valuation moved up considerably from when we crowned it BUY RATED in 2013.
Knutsford Express is moved in based on good May quarter revenue and profit growth which augurs well for profit going forward and AMG Packaging continued growth in sales flowing from increased volumes and a near doubling in profit in the May quarter and partial recover in profit margins. Jamaica junior market listed Caribbean Cream, posted strong gains in profit for its first quarter to May, to reinforce the Buy Rating placed on them.
In Trinidad ScotiaBank was removed from the watch list, with much lower profits reported in their second quarter.
The Jamaican BUY rated stocks overall did not do well but signs are showing that the usual summer recover is at hand. In addition IC Insider gathers that a least one big investor is looking to buy stocks now. Coupled with that, the two companies mentioned above, show that profits may be on the improve for Jamaican companies, and with likely stability not far off for the Jamaican dollar, above average gains can only be made in stocks.
AMG profit up 93% in Q3
July 16, 2014 by
Junior market listed company, AMG Packaging, enjoyed increased revenues and profits in the May quarter than they did in the same period, the previous year.
Revenues rose 36 percent in the quarter, to $151.6 million and 40 percent in the nine months to May, to reach $442.4 million, but profits were up by a very strong 93 percent in the quarter to $13.37 million from $6.9 million in 2013, and just moderately better in the year to date period, with $36.87 million versus $35.5 in 2013. Units sold increased by an impressive 23.4 percent, management sated in a release accompanying the results.
There is a noted build-up of inventory from $93 million to $174 million which would be a combination of rising import cost resulting from the devaluation of the local currency, as well as a hedge against continued devaluation and the need for more inventory to service increased demand for the company’s products.
While profit is up, an area of concern is the slippage in the gross profit margin, with the latest quarter, coming in at 25.95 percent, down from 31.19 percent in 2013, and for the nine months, it fell from 34.62 percent in 2013, to 24.20 percent in 2014.
For the three months, gross profit grew by 17.95 percent, much slower than the sales growth. For the nine months, the growth was a mere 6 percent. Fall in administrative cost from $13.38 million to $10.6 million in the May quarter and a decline in the nine months period, from $32.98 million down to $30 million, helped in boosting net profit. Other areas of cost savings, include finance by $4.4 million and depreciation $2.5 million, for the nine months.
Return on equity is around 18 percent, down from 20 percent in 2013 and could be accepted as being good, but there appear to be room for improvement. Receivables are up by $19.5 million over the company’s previous fiscal year ending of August, and so too is amounts in payables, climbing by $63 million, which seems to be helping to fund the inventory build while cash is down from $34 million to $8 million.
The continued increase in volume sales and cost containment augurs well for profit improvement going forward. With increased through put, unit cost of production will fall, allowing more growth in gross profit to flow into overall profits. AMG has to continue to grow its business by continued strong volume growth, to become a more cost competitive producer with lower unit cost.
IC Insider’s forecast for 2014 is 60 cents per share and $1.20 for 2015 on the assumption that volume sales continue close to current growth levels. The stock has been restored to the Buy Rated list, based on the forecast for 2014 and 2015.
Phillips & Wynter kill inflation in Jamaica
July 15, 2014 by
Many Jamaicans may be feeling the negative effect of the economic pressures the country is undergoing. One area in which it is seen, is the official data on inflation as the overall measure of consumer price movements, went virtually nowhere, in June.
Inflation in Jamaica is set to hit the lowest level, in years if the trend for the first six months of the year continues. According to data put out by the Statistical Institute of Jamaica, the inflation rate for June is 0.1 percent, when compared to the index for May 2014. This is 0.9 percentage points lower, than the 1.0 percent recorded for May this year. The lower movement was mainly due, to a decline in the cost of electricity which resulted in the index for the group ‘Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels’ moving down by 4.2 percent. This fall was tempered by an increase of 3.6 percent, due to an increase in the cost of water. Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages rose by 0.6 percent. Upward movement in the prices of ‘Meat, ‘Milk, Cheese and Eggs’ and ‘Bread and Cereals’ were the chief contributors.
The movement in the index for June 2014 resulted in a calendar year- to-date inflation rate of 2.5 percent.
Mean quarterly inflation rate for the second quarter of 2014 was 1.1 percent, 0.3 percentage points lower than the first quarter which had an inflation rate of 1.4 percent.
Investment special issue coming shortly
July 15, 2014 by
Many investors may not be aware of it, but the local stock market is poised for a huge rally, interest rates are poised to fall and stability return to the forex market. No one really knows exactly when the local stock market will start the powerful run, but it could well be in the second half of this year.
There are big investors out in the market trying to get blocks of shares. Many others pocketed some at attractive prices earlier and stocks are scares as we write. The Investor’s Choice special issue covers, investment opportunities, in real estate, stocks in Trinidad and Jamaica, unit trusts investments and the best performing ones, money market the economy and more and will be off the press in days. Investors Choice is the publication that can best be used as a tool to help investors identify some of the best investments opportunities out there now. To purchase a copy call 926-2204.
