Trading picked up on Wednesday on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, with a 66 percent jump in the volume of stocks traded with the value climbing 52 percent over that on Tuesday with investors trading in 44 securities similar to Tuesday and ended with prices of 18 rising, 14 declining and 12 closing unchanged.
Investors traded 7,960,577 shares for $17,940,729, up from 4,787,609 units at $11,820,076 on Tuesday.
Trading averaged 180,922 shares at $407,744 compared with 108,809 shares at $268,638 on Tuesday with the month to date, averaging 267,964 units at $2,829,487 compared with 273,803 stock units at $2,991,921 on the previous day, which is well up on March, with an average of 509,288 units at $1,071,868.
Jamaican Teas led trading with 1.95 million shares for 24.5 percent of total volume followed by Lumber Depot, with 1.51 million units for 18.9 percent of the day’s trade and Image Plus Consultants with 879,036 units for 11 percent market share.
At the close, the Junior Market Index fell 7.59 points to 3,692.92.
The PE Ratio, a measure of computing appropriate stock values, averages 11.6. The PE ratios of Junior Market stocks are computed using the last traded stock price in conjunction with ICInsider.com’s projected earnings for the financial years ending between November 2023 and August 2024.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close, Blue Power dipped 40 cents to close at $2.03 with investors transferring 11,729 shares, Cargo Handler lost 20 cents after ending at $13.50 and investors trading 1,000 stock units, Dolphin Cove popped 32 cents in closing at $15.32 after exchanging 184 stocks. Elite Diagnostic gained 20 cents to close at $2.60, with 9,873 units changing hands, Everything Fresh shed 6 cents to end at $1.45 after investors exchanged 11,885 units, Express Catering dropped 8 cents to $5.42 with a transfer of 98,289 stocks. General Accident rose 50 cents in closing at $5.50 after an exchange of 53,052 shares, Honey Bun declined 16 cents to end at $6.32 with 1,439 stock units changing hands, Image Plus Consultants fell 11 cents after ending at $1.89, with 879,036 units crossing the market. ISP Finance popped $1.99 to close at $21.50 while exchanging just 10 shares, Jamaican Teas climbed 15 cents to $2.25 in trading 1,952,779 stock units, Knutsford Express declined 54 cents in closing at $10.55, with 12,002 stocks crossing the market. Lasco Distributors increased 11 cents to end at $2.42 with the swapping of 155,467 units, Lasco Manufacturing advanced 39 cents to $4.05 in an exchange of 31,717 stock units, Main Event lost 51 cents to close at $13.49 as investors exchanged 7,268 stocks. Medical Disposables gained 14 cents to end at $5.14, with 1,212 shares crossing the exchange and Regency Petroleum rose 6 cents in closing at $2.45 after a transfer of 144,832 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Honey Bun rises 8% to exit ICTOP10
The Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange recorded solid gains during the past week as the Main Market declined, resulting in three solid gains for the ICTOP10 Junior Market stocks and just one notable move in the performance of the ICTOP10 Main Market as General Accident added 18 percent to its value to be the best performing stock for the week.
The Junior Market had one change in the TOP10 as Honey Bun moved out for a second time in weeks with a rise of 8 percent, allowing Dolla Financial to come in at number 10. Dolla is likely to enjoy a doubling in profit for the current year, having expanded the loan portfolio dramatically since taking on the billion dollar loan. Investors in the stock can look forward to healthy gains in the stock price during the year.
Main Event, one of the previous week’s top performers that exited the Top 10 with a 6 percent gain to close at $12.95, keeps on rolling on and climbed another 13.5 percent this week to $14.70, up 63.5 percent for the year to date as investors continue to applaud the company’s performance by buying up the stocks as they see more profits to come this year, with the economy fully opened up for entertainment.
The other major price movements during the week were a 9 percent rise for Lasco Distributors, that ended at $2.36 and Honey Bun, up 8 percent to $6.57. There are only two stocks with losses of two percent or less.
In the Main Market, only three stocks recorded declines, but Berger Paints was the only stock with a meaningful move, gaining 8 percent to $8.30.
Interest rates on Bank of Jamaica CDs dipped again at this past week’s auction that, which saw the average rate slipping to 8.21 percent from 8.41 percent at the previous week’s auction. Over the past five months, inflation has been running at less than one percent per annum, which has set the stage for BOJ to act quickly to slash interest rates, a positive development for the market.
The Junior Market’s long history of rising around a month before the release of quarterly results and declining shortly after results are released seems to be starting with a rise of 108 points in the market index this past week, with the supply of some stocks falling sharply.
Honey Bun’s fall from the TOP10 Junior Market list is not the end of the road for this outstanding performer with increased investors’ interest with an expected jump in revenues and profits for the first quarter with the Easter coming at the beginning of April versus the 17th of April last year as well as improvement of gross profit margin that slipped previous year. ICInsider.com expects the price to increase by up to 200 percent this year.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.5, well below the market average of 13.7, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.9 compared with the market at 11.6. The differences are important indicators of the level of likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 246 percent and the Main Market TOP10 by an average of 273 percent, by May 2024, based on 2023 forecasted earnings.
The Junior Market has 13 stocks representing 27 percent of the market, with PEs from 15 to 27, averaging 19, well above the market’s average. The top half of the market has an average PE of 16, suggesting this may be the current lowest fair value for Junior Market stocks.
The 16 highest valued Main Market stocks are priced at a PE of 15 to 114, with an average of 31 and 21 excluding the highest PE stocks and 20 for the top half excluding the stocks with the highest valuation.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market, but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks will likely deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Honey Bun in ICTOP10 as Purity jumps 24%
The Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange recorded solid gains during the past week as the Junior Market declined but that did not show up in the ICTOP10 stocks performance as Junior Market stocks ended with gains and losses with the average gains outdoing declines while the Main Market ended with modest price changes in a week when Consolidated Bakeries (Purity) was the star performer with a 24 percent rise to $2.50.
The Junior Market had one change in the TOP10 as Main Event rose 6 percent to $12.95 and moved out of the TOP10, allowing Honey Bun to return after falling out the previous week.
Other major price movements in this past week were a 4 percent rise for Everything Fresh to $1.46, a 17 percent fall to $2.15 for Lasco Distributors and 4 percent decline for Image Plus to $1.95. Trading in Image Plus never resulted in more gains during the week following the previous week’s healthy move as selling continued at the same pace as the week before while buyers seem to have pulled back.
In the Main Market, Key Insurance rose 5 percent to $3.65, while Sygnus Credit Investments fell 5 percent to $11.40 as Guardian Holdings, Berger Paints and JMMB Group declined by 4 percent to $475, $7.70 and $30.31 respectively.
Interest rates on Bank of Jamaica CDs dipped again at this past week’s auction with the average rate slipping to 8.41 percent from 8.49 percent, at the previous week’s auction, with BOJ quarantining $104 billion. At the same time the foreign exchange market enjoyed buoyant flows with more funds entering the market each day than the amount dealers sold.
Another fact worth noting is that the Junior Market has a long history, with the market starting to rise around a month before the release of quarterly results and declining shortly after results are released.
Honey Bun’s return to the TOP10 Junior Market list this past week should enjoy increased investors’ interest with an expected jump in revenues and profits for the first quarter with the Easter coming at the beginning of April versus the 17th of April last year as well as improvement of gross profit margin that slipped last year.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.5 well below the market average of 13.5, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.7 compared with the market at 11.2. The differences are important indicators of the level of likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 255 percent and the Main Market TOP10 an average of 276 percent, to May 2024, based on 2023 forecasted earnings.
The Junior Market has 11 stocks representing 23 percent of the market, with PEs from 15 to 28, averaging 20, well above the average of the market. The top half of the market has an average PE of 16, suggesting that this may be a logical value for junior market stocks currently.
The 16 Main Market stocks with the highest value are priced at a PE of 15 to 115, with an average of 31 and 20 excluding the highest PE stocks and 20 for the top half excluding the stocks with the highest valuation.
The above average shows the extent of potential gains for the TOP 10 stocks.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.