NCB Capital stock talk

NCB Capital Markets (NCBCM) recommends that investors maintain focus on stocks of companies with diversified revenue streams by operations, geography and currency in its latest recommendations on the Jamaican stock market.
According to the brokerage house, main market companies tend to have more mature operations, stronger fundamentals and are likely to pay more attractive dividends for investors heavily dependent on cash flows. This should form the core of a moderate investor’s equity portfolio. Investors with the appropriate risk appetite should also take a closer look at some Junior Market stocks given that the potential for growth is greater than their main market counterparts. More aggressive investors should also consider taking an active approach to stock market investing by crystalizing gains on stocks that are trading above their fair value estimates, with a view to re-enter at more favourable prices in the near term.

Jamaica Broilers is a recommended buy by NCBCM

Interestingly, there are only three stocks recommended as buys, with six stocks placed on the sell list.
NCBCM recommends investors buy Jamaica Broiler with a forward price of $24, JMMB Group with a forward price of $23.80 and PanJam Investment with a forward price of $43.63.
The brokerage house is recommending selling Caribbean Cement, based on their assessment that the fair value price for the cement producer is $29.92 which is below the current price of $29.99, also on the sell list is Honey Bun, that they are saying that the PE ratio and price to book multiples for Junior Market manufacturing companies were used to derive a fair value estimate of HONBUN with a forward price of $3.70. Jamaica Producers is on the sell list as well with a forward price of $12.99 based on a price to book valuation, Mayberry Investments’ forward price is put at $3.95 and therefore a sell NCBCM says. The fair value of Scotia Group is estimated at $46.48, which is below the current price. The projected dividend yield of 3.5% is not sufficient to offset expected capital loss the NCB Financial brokerage arm says.

Scotiabank is a recommended sell by NCBCM

Stocks that are recommended as holds are Carreras based on the justified P/E and Dividend Discount Model resulted in valuation for Carreras up to $113.91 per share. Kingston Wharves forward price is $29.24, close to existing market price and Sagicor Group with fair value estimate of $34.21.
Ratings Definitions| BUY: The company has sound or improving fundamentals that should allow it to outperform the broader market over the next 12 months. The risk factors to achieving price targets are minimal.
HOLD: We believe the stock is fairly valued at the current price. The company may have issues affecting fundamentals that could take some time to resolve. The risk factors to achieving price targets are moderate. Some volatility is expected.
SELL: The stock is overpriced relative to the soundness of the company’s fundamentals and long-term prospects or the stock is fully priced.

Berger investors rebuffing Ansa offer

Berger Paints traded at a high as $11.55 on Tuesday.

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange closed trading with 25 securities changed hands, with declining stocks just edging out advancing ones, while 3 stocks traded in the US dollar market.
The market closed with 9 stocks advancing and 11 declining based on the price the trade took place.
Some noted trades include Berger Paints that continues to trade above the price on $10.88 offered by Ansa Coatings to acquire the minority holdings. Investors continue to rebuff the offer by buying the stock at the close at $11 with 153,142 shares changing hands, up to $11.55 and a low of $10.85. The stock closed with a bid to buy 103,462 units at $11 and just 2,935 units offered at $11.70 and few shares offered close to this range.
Some other trades of note are Jamaica Producers 4 million unit trade with the price dropping nearly $1 and a $3.75 jump in the price of Seprod.
At the close of market activity, Barita Investments traded at $8.15, having lost 85 cents with 4,900 units, Cable and Wireless lost 3 cents to close at $1.05 with 18,708 shares, Caribbean Cement traded $2 lower to $28 with only 240 units, Carreras closed at record high of $11.50, gaining 25 cents with 223,703 shares trading, Grace Kennedy fell 99 cents and settled at $42.01 with 11,117 shares. Jamaica Broilers closed at $16.04, losing 86 cents with just 200 units, Jamaica Producers dropped 99 cents to $15.01 exchanging 4,075,641 shares, Jamaica Stock Exchange ended with a loss of 65 cents at $6.35 with 5,000 units, JMMB Group closed at $21 trading 14,000 shares. Kingston Properties closed at $7 with 598,296 shares changing hands, Kingston Wharves exchanged 1,500 units at $32, Mayberry Investments gained 20 cents, closing at $4.70 with 11,020 shares, NCB Financial Group traded 98 cents higher to $89.98 with 42,825 shares, 1834 Investments rose 10 cents and closed at $1.40 with 3,480 units. PanJam Investment gained $1.43, closing at $35.50 with 103,000 shares, Pulse Investments closed at $1.40, losing 30 cents with 58,680 shares trading, after the company released audited accounts showing lower profit in 2017 than in 2016, due mainly to the treatment of taxation. Sagicor Group closed with gains of 50 cents at $34.50 trading 8,700 shares, Sagicor Real Estate Fund closed at $11, after gaining 38 cents with 2,747 units, Salada Foods fell 50 cents, trading at $8 with 9,000 shares, Scotia Group closed $1 higher to $51 exchanging 147,026 shares, Seprod advanced $3.75 to $33 with 16,309 shares, Supreme Ventures closed 10 cents lower to $11 exchanging 145,884 shares. Productive Business Solution US ordinary share closed at 65 US cents trading 48,360 units, Proven Investments US ordinary share traded 27,635 units at 24 US cents, JMMB Group US 6% preference share exchanged 8,617 units at US$1.12, Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.25% preference share closed at $2.50 with 650 units and JMMB Group 7.5% preference share lost 4 cents, closing at $1.15 with 100,000 units.

Junior Market trading rise index down

Trading on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange ended on Tuesday with 23 securities changing hands, resulting in an exchange of 2,266,563 units valued at $14,319,936 compared to only 807,449 units valued at $4,046,825 on Monday.
At the close, the Junior Market Index declined by 7.96 points to close at 3,061.94 even as the prices of 9 advanced, 7 declined and 6 remained unchanged at the last prices all stocks were traded.
Trading ended with an average of 98,546 units for an average of $622,606 in contrast to 50,466 units for an average of $252,927 on Monday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 152,558 units, valued at $681,272 and 157,059 units valued at an average of $686,161, previously. In contrast, August closed with average of 234,437 units valued at $1,295,260 for each security traded.
Trading ended with the market sentiments looking mixed for tomorrow’s trading activity as 4 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 with lower offers.
At the close of the market the volume of stocks changing hands and their last traded price are: Blue Power traded at $45, with 3,000 stocks changing hands, CAC 2000 ended with a loss of 5 cents at $7.35, with 100 units, Caribbean Cream finished with a loss of 20 cents at $6.30, with 1,400 shares, Cargo Handlers closed 20 cents higher at $11.20, with 3,042 units, Caribbean Producers rose 10 cents to $3.90, with 2,000 stock units. Consolidated Bakeries concluded trading 10 cents higher to $2.40, with 12,549 units, Derrimon Trading closed at $8.90, with 5,000 stocks trading, Express Catering concluded trading 40 cents higher at $4.50, with 48,077 units, General Accident settled at $3, with 13,955 units, Honey Bun closed 15 cents higher at $4.05, with 3,005 stocks, Iron Rock traded at $2.80, with 5,019 units. Jamaican Teas finished at $4.20, with 13,087 units, Jetcon Corporation traded 22 cents higher at $4.50, with 110,977 shares, Knutsford Express ended with a loss of 40 cents at $14.50, with 19,271 stocks, Key Insurance finished 25 cents higher at $4, with 10,000 shares. KLE Group rose 2 cents to $2.96, with 70,600 units, Lasco Distributors concluded trading with a rise of 20 cents to $6.80, with 1,700,000 shares, Lasco Financial settled at $3.99, with 7,803 units, Lasco Manufacturing traded with a loss of 20 cents at $4, while trading 59,908 shares. Main Event closed with a loss of 13 cents at $5.62, with 9,404 units, Paramount Trading fell 20 cents to $2.70, with 10,850 stock units, Stationery and Office settled with a loss of 10 cents at $4.75, with 156,871 units and Eppley 9.5 percent preference share settled at $7.25, with 645 stock units.

Berger buyout offer extended

Berger Paints is worth more than $20 per share.

Ansa Coatings International, the major shareholder in Berger Paints Jamaica, announced an extension of their offer to acquire minority shares in the company to October 9.
No other change has been made to the offer and no reasons have been given for the extension.
It may be that the circular containing the recommendation of the directors having just been released at the end of last week would not have given enough time for some shareholders to respond to the recommendations. It is also an indication that the majority of the shareholders are not buying into the price being offered. If they were it would be expected that the extension notice would have mentioned a high level of acceptance and so encourage others to do likewise.
Berger’s minority shareholders are being offered $10.88 for each share, but the price has been consistently above this price for most of 2017 while the value based on earnings and market valuation being in the $20 range.

Juniors up in moderate trading – Monday

In Junior Market trading on Monday activity fell sharply, compared to the levels on Friday. At the close of the market, just 16 securities changed hands, resulting in an exchange of only 807,449 units valued at $4,046,825.
On Friday trading resulted in 5,878,774 units valued at $26,350,771 on Friday. At the close of market on Monday, the Junior Market Index advanced by 34.84 points to close at 3,069.90 and the prices of 8 advanced, 4 declined and 4 remained with the prices unchanged.
Trading ended with an average of 50,466 units for an average of $252,927 in contrast to 326,599 units for an average of $1,463,932 on Friday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 157,059 units valued at $686,161 compared to 166,749 units valued at $725,546 previously. In contrast, August closed with average of 234,437 units valued at $1,295,260 for each security traded.
Trading ended with the market sentiments looking mixed with implications for the upcoming market activity on Tuesday as 4 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 with lower offers.
At the close of the market the volume of stocks changing hands and their last traded price are: Blue Power that closed 10 cents higher at $45, with 100 units and no stock on offer at the close, Consolidated Bakeries trading 30 cents higher at $2.30, with 72,800 shares. Derrimon Trading settled $1.90 higher at $8.90, with 5,449 units, Dolphin Cove climbed $2.80 to $16, with just 200 stocks trading, Eppley settled at $12, with 10,589 units, Express Catering traded with a loss of 40 cents at $4.10, with 80,070 stocks changing hands, General Accident concluded trading at $3, with 7,627 units. Jamaican Teas settled 40 cents higher at $4.20, with 5,000 stocks changing hands, Jetcon Corporation ended trading with a loss of 22 cents at $4.28, with 219,015 units, Knutsford Express closed at $14.90, with 1,729 stocks trading, Lasco Distributors closed with a loss of 1 cent at $6.60, with 212,100 shares. Lasco Financial settled at $3.99, with 53,901 units, Lasco Manufacturing finished with a loss of 1 cent at $4.20, with 23,413 stock units, Main Event traded 5 cents higher at $5.75, with 16,556 shares, Stationery and Office closed 10 cents higher at $4.85, with 98,500 stocks traded and tTech climbed $1.05 higher to $7.55, with 400 shares.

High price movements on Monday

NCBFG jumped $8.94 to $89 on Monday.

On a day of low trading activity 4 securities were dominant by movement in their prices on the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange as the market posted sizable gains in the indices.
Carreras rose 45 cents in closing at $11.25 with 205,850 shares after the 10 for 1 stock split, recently approved by shareholders. NCB Financial Group jumped $8.94 to $89 and Scotia Group recovered $4.95 of the loss on Friday to end at $50 and Caribbean Cement climbed $2.50 to $30.
At the close of market activity, Berger Paints slipped 50 cents to close at $11 with 60,411 shares, Cable and Wireless closed at $1.08, losing 2 cents with 146,795 stock units, Caribbean Cement advanced $2.50 to $30 with 2,000 units, Carreras rose 45 cents and closed at record high of $11.25 with 205,850 shares after the stock split, Ciboney Group lost 1 cent, trading 93,564 shares, closing at 16 cents, Grace Kennedy lost 50 cents and ended at $43 with 1,479 units. Jamaica Broilers gained 90 cents, closing at $16.90 with 42,927 shares, Jamaica Producers traded 205 units at $16, Jamaica Stock Exchange with gains of 65 cents, in closing at $7 with 1,370 units, JMMB Group closed at $21 exchanging 154,472 shares after trading as high as $23 in the morning session. Kingston Wharves ended with a loss of 40 cents at $32 with 3,142 units, Mayberry Investments gained 28 cents, in closing at $4.50 with 10,000 shares, NCB Financial Group traded $8.94 higher to $89 while exchanging 163,270 shares, 1834 Investments closed at $1.30 with 2,614,586 shares. PanJam Investment fell 43 cents, to close at $34.07 with 6,675 units, Pulse Investments closed at $1.70, losing 10 cents with 129,552 shares, Sagicor Group traded 29,148 stock units at $34, Sagicor Real Estate X Fund rose 2 cents, and closed at $10.62 with 3,000 units, Scotia Group closed $4.95 higher to $50 while exchanging 49,759 shares, Scotia Investments slipped 30 cents to $37 with 24,700 shares, Seprod exchanged 12,869 shares at $29.25 and Supreme Ventures closed 39 cents lower at $11.10 with 150,730 units. Productive Business Solution US ordinary shares closed at 65 US cents after gaining 5 cents trading 2,000 units, JMMB Group US 6% preference share traded 4,380 units at US$1.12, Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.25% preference share closed at $2.50 with 13,600 units, Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.5% preference share exchanged 645,775 units at $2 and Proven 8.25% cumulative redeemable preference share closed at $5.50 with 1,200 units.

JSE rebounds on limited trading – Monday

NCB Financial stock stock price recovered from the fall to $80.1 on Friday, to close at $89.

Major reversals in the closing prices Scotia Group, NCB Financial Group along with a rise in the price of Carreras after the 10 for 1 stock split, drove the Jamaica Stock Exchange indices sharply higher at the close on Monday.
At the end of trading, the All Jamaica Composite Index jump of 7,363.43 points after rising over 9,000 points in the first hour of trading and settled at 284,312.79. The JSE Market Index held on to a big rise of 6,708.92 points by the close to 259,041.12 after the index surged close to 9,000 points in early morning trading. The JSE US dollar market index rose 4.60 points to 191.28.
Trading was light resulting from 25 securities changing hands in the main market with 2 trading in the US dollar market, leading to 9 stocks advancing and 9 declining. The main market ended with 4,567,079 units valued at $32,966,262 changing hands compared to 58,667,241 units valued at $128,145,103 at the close on Friday. Trading in the US dollar market accounted for 6,380 units valued at US$6,206 bringing the total of all trades to J$33,779,196.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading in the main and US dollar markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 6 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 with lower offers.
The main market ended trading with an average of 182,683 units, for an average of $1,318,651 for each security traded, compared to an average of 2,256,432 units valued at $4,928,658 on Friday. The average volume and value for the month to date ended at 352,182 units with an average value of $$3,275,641 compared with an average of 367,951 units with an average value of $3,438,723 on the previous trading day. The average volume and value for August ended at 184,094 units with an average value of $4,336,090.

Scotia drops $6.95 & NCB $10.19 – Friday

NCB $10.19 on Friday.

Stocks advancing on the Jamaica Stock Exchange were edged out 11 declining stocks 10 on Friday, but that did not prevent the All Jamaica Composite Index tumbling by a record 10,134.09 points as investors pushed down the prices of Scotia Group to $45.05 within 2 minutes of the close and NCB Financial to $80.06.
The sharp fall in the market on Friday does not appear to be an indication that the upward climb in the market has ended. The 6 to 2 positive Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator suggests that the majority of prices could be rising on Monday.
At the close of market activity, Berger Paints gained of 50 cents, and closed at $11.50 with 28,241 shares, Cable and Wireless closed at $1.10, after falling 9 cents with 28,080 stock units changing hands, Caribbean Cement exchanged 7,900 units at $27.50, Carreras lost 3 cents and closed at $107.97 with 62,828 shares, Ciboney Group fell 3 cents trading 388,884 stock units at 17 cents, Grace Kennedy climbed $1.50 and ended at $43.50 with 6,005 units. Jamaica Broilers gained 25 cents, closing at $16 with 347,061 shares, Jamaica Producers traded $1 higher to $16 with 58,252 stock units, Jamaica Stock Exchange lost 16 cents to close at $6.35 with 536 units, JMMB Group with a loss of 20 cents, closed at $21 exchanging 147,249 shares. Kingston Properties exchanged 83,308 stock units at $7, Kingston Wharves climbed $1.55 to $32.40 with 13,777 shares, NCB Financial Group dropped a whopping $10.19, closing at $80.06 with 268,345 stock units, 1834 Investments ended with a loss of 4 cents at $1.30 with 2,384 units. PanJam Investment rose 65 cents and closed at $34.50 with 109,570 shares, Pulse Investments gained 10 cents, closing at $1.80 with 189,637 units, Radio Jamaica closed at $1.05, after gaining 1 cent with 2,039,632 shares, Sagicor Group traded 53 cents lower to $34 with 174,537 stock units, Sagicor Real Estate X Fund ended with a loss of 40 cents at $10.60 with 4,000 units, Scotia Group dropped $6.95 lower to $45.05 exchanging 306,497 shares, Sterling Investments gained 10 cents to close at $12 with 6,371 units and Supreme Ventures closed at $11.49 while gaining 69 cents with 24,710 shares changing ownership, Proven Investments US ordinary share closed at 23.99 US cents trading 219,700 units, Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.5% preference share exchanged 4,369,225 units at $2, JMMB Group 7.5% preference share closed at $1.19 with 112 units and Sagicor Bank Jamaica Class A 7.75% cumulative redeemable preference share gained 5 cents to close at $1.05 with 50,000,000 units traded.

3 junior companies dominate trading

Jetcon was the leading trade on Friday with more than 3 million shares.

Trading picked up on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange traded on Friday with 18 securities changing hands, resulting in an exchange of 5,878,774 shares valued at $26,350,771, up from 2,134,693 units valued at $9,319,098 on Thursday.
The sharp increase in trading was due mainly to three companies, Jamaican Teas with 739,063 units, Jetcon Corporation 3,090,635 stock units and recently listed Stationery and Office with 1,647,399 shares.
At the close of market activities, the prices of 6 advanced, 9 declined and 3 remained with prices unchanged resulting in the Junior Market Index declined by 17.64 points to close at 3,035.06.
Trading ended with an average of 326,599 units for an average of $1,463,932 in contrast to 112,352 units for an average of $490,479 on Thursday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to units 166,749 valued at $725,546, and on the previous trading day 150,764 units with an average value of $651,708. In contrast, August closed with average of 234,437 units valued at $1,295,260 for each security traded.
Trading ended with the market sentiments looking mixed for Monday having implications for the next day trading activity as 6 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 4 with lower offers.
At the close of the market the volume of stocks changing hands and their last traded price are: Access Financial that closed at $46.50, with 2,705 shares, CAC 2000 settling 10 cents higher at $7.40, with 250 units. Caribbean Cream gained 10 cents to end at $6.50, with 5,000 shares, Express Catering ended 9 cents higher at $4.50, with 7,800 units, General Accident settled at $3, with 1,777 shares, Iron Rock lost 18 cents at $2.80, with 1,500 shares, Jamaican Teas closed with a loss of 20 cents at $3.80, with 739,063 units, Jetcon Corporation concluded trading 24 cents higher at $4.50, with 3,090,635 stocks changing hands. KLE Group closed 44 cents higher at $2.94, with 55,000 shares, Knutsford Express lost 10 cents to end at $14.90, with 6,555 units, Lasco Distributors concluded trading with a loss of 18 cents at $6.61, with 70,283 shares, Lasco Financial finished trading with a loss of 6 cents at $3.99, with 30,270 stock units. Lasco Manufacturing settled with a loss of 39 cents at $4.21, with 10,872 shares, Medical Disposables settled at $5, with 80,000 stock units, Main Event concluded trading with a loss of 30 cents at $5.70, with 91,016 shares, Stationery and Office finished with a loss of 5 cents at $4.75, with 1,647,399 stocks changing hands, tTech traded with a loss of $1.10 at $6.50, with 20,000 stocks changing hands and Derrimon Trading preference traded 1 cent higher at $2.01, with 18,649 stock units.

Scotia Group drops $2

Scotia Group price dropped as nine months results were soft.

Trading picked up on Thursday with value of trading increasing sharply over the low level on Wednesday, but the most prominent stock in the last two weeks, Scotia Group fell in response to lower than expected profits leading to a fall in the market indices.
The number of securities trading ended at 23 compared to 28 on Wednesday but the volume traded rose well ahead of Wednesday’s level at 6,273,419 units versus 2,295,944 units.
At the close of the market the volume of stocks changing hands and prices they last traded at, are Berger Paints exchanging 64,088 shares at $11, Cable and Wireless rising 9 cents, to $1.15 with 151,475 units, Caribbean Cement closing at $27.50 and losing 50 cents with 181,572 shares, Carreras closed at $108 with 20,739 stock units, Grace Kennedy with a loss of 5 cents, to end at $42 trading 1,480,399 shares. Jamaica Broilers dropped $1.05 to $15.75 with 696,244 shares, with investors reacting negatively to lower profit in the first quarter to July, with Net Profit from continuing operations coming in at $212.6 million versus $401.3 million. Jamaica Stock Exchange gained 2 cents to close at $6.51 with 288,079 shares, followed by JMMB Group that closed at $21.20, with a loss of 30 cents in exchanging 44,432 shares. Kingston Wharves ended with gains of 37 cents at $30.85 with 4,100 units, Mayberry Investments dropped 58 cents to $4.22, with 4,488 units, NCB Financial Group closed 25 cents higher to $90.25 with 44,389 shares, 138 Student Living traded 8,350 units at $4.75. PanJam Investment lost 40 cents to $33.85 with 400 units, Pulse Investments lost 5 cents, closing at $1.70 with 27,523 shares, Radio Jamaica fell by 16 cents, ending at $1.04 with 1,534,960 shares, Sagicor Group traded $1.28 higher to $34.53 with 32,438 stock units, Salada Foods gained 50 cents, ending at $8.50 trading 75,000 shares, Scotia Group closed $2 lower to $52 exchanging 182,331 units, Sterling Investments lost 10 cents to close at $11.90 with 264,322 shares, Supreme Ventures closed at $10.80, losing 20 cents with 5,722 units. Productive Business Solution US ordinary shares traded 6,820 units at 60 US cents, Proven Investments US ordinary shares closed at 23.99 US cents, with gains of 0.99 US cent, in exchanging 300,227 units and Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.5% preference share traded 855,271 units at $2.