Devaluation pushed by NIR build out

Ja$5000Net inflows into Jamaica’s foreign exchange market amounted to US$167.5 million in September, in a month that usually results net outflows with the ending of the peak tourism summer months.
The heavy net inflows did not prevent the value of the Jamaican dollar from slipping during the month from a selling rate of J$127.57 to the US dollar to J$128.27 at the end of September.
For the entire month, there was only one trading day when there was less foreign exchange bought by dealers than the amount they sold with net sales of US$5 million. In contrast, for September 2015, net inflows amounted to just $6.5 million with 11 trading days of negative flows.
The net purchases for September bring the surplus from July to date to US$436 million.
In July and August, the NIR grew by $250 million to US$2.5 billion, well ahead of the target agreed with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), but the IMF is saying the central bank must continue to build up the NIR which is well off the target of the IMF.
The IMF states “Net international reserves (NIR) stood at US$2.4 billion at end-July, nearly US$500 million above the program target, while gross reserves stood at nearly 80 percent of the IMF’s reserve adequacy metric at end-2015. The BoJ’s FX market sales have declined in recent months, and the net FX purchases including the surrender requirement has been about US$388 million in 2016 (up to end-July).”

BOJ reserves climbs by US$250M in early August.

BOJ reserves climbs by US$250M in early August.

“International reserves remain somewhat below recommended prudential needs. Reserves are expected to reach around 85 percent of the IMF’s reserve adequacy (ARA) metric by end-2016, still below the recommended range of 100-150 percent. Moreover, a substantial share of the reserves accumulation was driven by international bond and central bank US dollar CD issuances. The BoJ should continue to steadily purchase FX from the market and limit FX sales to periods of high currency market volatility, while maintaining a market-determined and flexible exchange rate. To further develop the FX market and promote price discovery, the BoJ is working (with the help of IMF TA) on introducing a standard multiple price-auction mechanism for FX sales and purchases with the goal of eventually phasing out FX surrender requirements and using market-based auctions for FX sales and purchases.”
In October 2014 and January 2015 Bank of Jamaica required commercial banks to surrender, in total between thirty percent (30%) to thirty-five percent (35%) up from 25% to £0 percent of foreign currency purchases daily. The surrender requirement to the BOJ for cambios was increased by 5 percentage points to twenty-five percent (25%) of their daily gross foreign exchange purchases from commercial

Another record close for juniors – Friday

Paramount ended at a new all-time high of $19.50 with a rise of $2.

Paramount ended at a new all-time high of $19.50 with a rise of $2, after the company announced splitting the stock.

Trading on the Junior market ended with a fourth consecutive record at the close on Friday. The index measuring the emerging companies ended at a new high of 2,389.90 for a gain of 16.01 points but traded above the 2,400 points level for the first time, to 2,408.56 in the morning session.
At the close of trading, 7 stocks rose and 8 declined with 18 securities trading. Trading volume rose strongly from Thursday’s levels, ending with 3,440,359 units changing hands, 97 percent more than on Thursday, while the value traded declined by just 2 percent to $12,272,247 from $12,530,207, on Thursday.
Market activities ended with 8 securities closing with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 ending with lower offers as month window dressing may be at play.
ICI Jm sum 30-09-16In market activity, Cargo Handlers stock has not traded since it closed at $86.10 on September 12, the market closed with the bid at $87.05 to buy 105 units, next in line to buy is 393 shares at $87,with the next at $76.55, there were stocks offered for sale at the close. Shareholders at a recent extraordinary meeting approved a 10 for 1 stock split, to take effect from the close of business on October 21. Key Insurance remains under pressure with the offer at $2.20 to sell 1,000 units compared with the last sale of $2.49. There were no bids to buy the stock at the close.
In trading activity, CAC 2000 closed at $6.40 with 7,000 units changing hands, Caribbean Cream gained 2 cents with 285,819 shares changing hands to close at $9.29, Caribbean Flavours traded 640 units to end at $8.99 with a rise of 99 cents, Derrimon Trading lost 50 cents and closed with 10,000 shares at $3.50. Dolphin Cove dropped $1.20 to end at $12.50 after trading 10,000 shares, General Accident Insurance rose by 20 cents with 2,610,000 units changing hands at $2.40, Honey Bun traded 66,969 shares at $6.10 after falling 9 cents. Iron Rock Insurance traded 10,938 shares at $3.30, Jamaican Teas fell 10 cents in trading 23,874 shares to close at $3.90, Jetcon Corporation fell 19 cents with 30,651 units changing hands, to end at $4.51, ISP Finance rose 61 cents to end at an all-time high of $6.61 with just 200 shares changing hands. ICI jm trade 30-09-16Lasco Distributors closed with a loss of 14 cents as 229,084 units traded at $7.10, Lasco Financial ended with 8,000 shares changing hands at $3.30, after rising 12 cents, Lasco Manufacturing rose 5 cents and closed at $5.05 with 105,000 shares trading. Medical Disposables traded 1,500 shares to close at $4.36, Paramount Trading jumped $2 to a new all-time high of $19.50 with just 2,000 shares changing hands, Sweet River Abattoir fell 35 cents with 700 units trading to end at a 52 weeks’ low of $3.50 and tTech dropped $1.20 and ended with 37,984 shares changing hands at $5.30.

Positive FX inflows for Jamaica – Friday

FX_USPound2 Flows in and out of the Jamaican foreign exchange market ended with a surplus of US$10 million on Friday, bringing the net take for September to US$168 million. The impact on rates was mixed, with slippage in the value of the Jamaican dollar against the United States dollar, the British Pound and euro, while it gained against the Canadian dollar.
At the end of trading, the equivalent of all currencies bought by dealers amount US$36,697,304, while US$26,244,697 was sold compared to US$29,696,401 purchased and US$29,483,135 sold on Thursday.
In US dollar trading, dealers bought US$33,292,037 compared to US$26,609,238 on Thursday. The buying rate for the US dollar rose 9 cents to close at $127.59.ICI Fx sum 30-09-16 A total of US$25,030,676 was sold versus US$27,286,685 on Thursday, with the selling rate rising 7 cents to end at $128.27. The Canadian dollar buying rate dropped $1.77 to $95.08, with dealers buying C$985,077 and selling C$404,100 at an average rate that fell 60 cents to $97.31. The average rate for buying the British Pound rose 38 cents to $163.15 for the purchase of £1,534,021 while £481,891 was sold as the rate climbed 55 cents to end at $166.78.
At the end of trading, dealers sold €208,606 as the selling rate for the Euro, closed at $144.95 for rise of $1.03 from Thursday’s rate, according to data from Bank of Jamaica. Dealers purchased €557,430 of the European common currency at $142.19 after rising $3.88 from the rate on Thursday. The US dollar equivalent of other currencies traded, amounts to US$88,347 being bought and the selling of US$45,171.
ICI Fx h&l 30-09-16Highs & Lows| Changes to the highest and lowest traded rates for the US Dollar remain moderate but notable changes to rates for the three other regularly traded currencies in the foreign exchange market on Friday, include a fall of $2.40 in the highest buying rate of the Canadian dollar to $97.70. The highest buying rate of the British Pound jumped $1.58 to $168.18. Trading in the Euro resulted in a jump of $3.50 in the highest buying rate to $145 while the lowest selling rate fell $22.55 to $114.53.

Medical Disposables out Jetcon in – Top 5

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Jetcon 03-16Medical Disposables fell out of the Top 5 junior market selection during the past week, based on price movement, with the bid at $4.95 and Jetcon Corporation with the price at $4.51 returns, making it back into the top list by just inching ahead of General Accident.
The insurance company enjoyed strong buying during the past week and could slip out in the coming week. Medical Disposables still has more room for growth with the company expanding its product range. Derrimon Trading moved up to third spot after the stock traded at $4 during the week but pulled back to $3.50 by the close. Knocking at the Top 5 position in the junior market are tTech now that the price slipped to $5.30, Caribbean Flavours and Caribbean Cream with Paramount Trading just below.
Top 5 stks 30-9-16Stocks in the main market all remained in the Top 5 but positions have changed, the top attraction for the week is JMMB Group that climbed to $13 and sits just and now sits at number 5 spot having entered at the top spot last week. With the news of the group obtaining a banking license, the way may be clear for the price to surge a bit more in the coming week and most likely push it out of the top 5. Stocks peeping in at the Top 5 in the main market are Grace Kennedy, National Commercial Bank and Sterling Investments.
With the junior market trading at new records this past week, the attractive gains that were evident a few weeks ago are receding in the junior market with IC Insider data showing just 7 junior market stocks that could double by early 2017. That is in contrast to the main market that shows 15 stocks that could double or more than double. All that is reflected in the fact that the junior market is up 33 percent year to date, while the main market is up just 9 percent.

Record close for JSE stocks – Friday

The JSE Combined index closes at a new all-time high on Friday.

The JSE Combined index closes at a new all-time high on Friday.

The Jamaica Stock Exchange all Jamaica Composite and the JSE Index failed to hold on to the record high hit during the morning session and fell back to close just over 500 points short of the record reached in February. The JSE Combined index hit a new closing record, bettering the level that it closed at on Thursday.
Trading ended with the prices of 14 securities gaining out of a total of 40 trading, while 14 declined in the overall market, including 7 stocks rising and 8 falling, in the junior market.
At the close 43,448,695 units valued at $912,734,040, changed hands, compared to the 3,849,357 units valued at $41,532,118 changing hands on Thursday. The junior market accounted for 3,440,359 units valued at $12,272,247 of the stocks traded.
At the close, the JSE Market Index climbed 427.61 points to end at 164,482.25. The all Jamaica Composite Index rose 478.22 points to close at 182,782.97 and the JSE combined index climbed 560.98 points, to end at 177,090.44 for a new record high.
ICI JSE sum 30-09-16In the morning session the markets traded in record territory with the all Jamaica Composite Index jumping 1,572.36 points to 183,877.11, the Jamaica Stock Exchange Market Index climbed 1,405.97 points to 165,460.61, the Jamaica Stock Exchange combined index surged 1,660.01 points to 178,189.47 and the junior market index rose 34.67 points to 2,408.56.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 20 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 with lower offers.In market activity, Barita Investments traded 6,740 shares to close at $4.20, Berger Paints rose 35 cents and closed at a 52 weeks’ high of $5.50 with 1,415 units changing hands, Cable & Wireless fell 2 cents and closed at 87 cents with 434,690 units changing hands, Caribbean Cement lost 1 cent in trading 18,700 shares to close at $30. Carreras exchanged 3,180 shares at $65.85, trading in 1834 Investments ended with 20,000 shares changing hands, 2 cents lower at $1.22, Grace Kennedy closed with 14,368 shares changing hands at $42.50, Jamaica Stock Exchange ended with a loss of $1 at $27 with 80,570 units trading.ICI JSE fn qt 30-09-16 JMMB Group jumped $1.50 in trading 139,118 units to close at $13, National Commercial Bank (NCB) traded 1,951,691 shares and gained 50 cents to end at $41.50, supply for NCB is drying up with only 97,550 on offer between $42 and $47 including 72,835 units at $45.50, Pan Jamaican Investments closed at $23.50 after trading 2,549,213 shares. Sagicor Group gained 1 cent in trading 28,272,885 shares to close at $23.81 and left just one sell order amounting to 2,000 shares at $25, in the market. The lack of supply for Sagicor could be a big signal of an upward movement for the stock, Sagicor Real Estate Fund rose 5 cents in trading 5,603,612 shares to close with at $10.25, Scotia Group lost 50 cents and closed at $31.50 with 890,433 shares changing hands and Seprod traded 1,258 shares to end at $22.

Stocks hit new highs early trading

Trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange, pushed the markets into new record territory, with the All Jamaica Composite index jumping 1,572.36 points to 183,877.11ici Int -30-9-16 beating the previous highest close of 183,366.39 reached in February while the junior market climbed into the 2,400 level for the first time.
Up to 10:45 am, the main trades are Caribbean Cream traded 136,819 units at $9.40 after trading at $9.70, General Accident Insurance had 600,000 units changing hands at $2.40, Lasco Distributors rose to $7.50 with 222,184 shares Honey Bun traded 66,969 shares at $6.10 and Paramount Trading moved to a new all-time high of $19.50 with just 2,000 shares.
At 10:45 am 26 securities traded, resulting in a volume of 1,383,211 shares changing hands carrying a value of $7,292,776. The average number of shares traded amounts to 53,200 units. Market activity resulted in 5 stocks falling while the prices of 10 securities rose.
The all Jamaica Composite Index jumped 1,572.36 points to 183,877.11. If the market ends trading close to this level, it would represent a new all time high for all three major indices. at mid morning the Jamaica Stock Exchange Market Index climbed 1,405.97 points to 165,460.61, the Jamaica Stock Exchange combined index surged 1,660.01 points to 178,189.47 and the junior market index gained 34.67 points to 2,408.56.

A new junior record on – Thursday

JM sign Trading on the Junior market ended with a third consecutive record high Thursday as the closed at a new high of 2,373.89 for a gain of 7.58 points as 4 stocks rose and 2 declined with just 10 securities that trading.
Trading volume and value rose from Wednesday’s levels, ending with 1,742,459.00 units changing hands, 129 percent more than on Wednesday, while the value traded climbed by 224 percent to $12,530,207, from $3,870,697 on Wednesday.
Market activities ended with 10 securities closing with bids higher than their last selling prices and 4 ending with lower offers. Month end is a period when some bids increase to show stronger close than for a few days before with valuation of portfolios based on the higher bids.
ICI Jm sum 29-09-16In market activity Cargo Handlers stock has not traded since it closed at $86.10 on September 12, the market closed with the bid at $91 to buy 3,000 units, with no units offered for sale, next in line to buy is 6,540 shares at $89, there were stocks offered for sale at the close. The company at a recent extraordinary meeting approved a 10 for 1 stock split, to take effect from the close of business on October 21. Key Insurance remains under pressure with the offer at $2.30 to sell 30,000 units compared with the last sale of $2.49. There were no bids to buy the stock at the close.
Blue Power closed at $25 with 12,400 units changing hands, Caribbean Cream lost 23 cents with 31,000 shares ICI jm trade 29-09-16changing hands to close at $9.27, C2W traded 37,949 shares to close at 24 cents, Honey Bun with 3,050 shares changing hands and closed at $6.19 with a gain of 19 cents. Jetcon Corporation had just 2,200 units changing hands, to end at $4.70, KLE Group ended at $2.10 with 48,500 shares changing hands after rising by 24 cents, Knutsford Express traded 10,500 units to close at $24 after shedding 48 cents, Lasco Distributors closed with a gain of 24 cents as 1,610,495 units traded at $7.24. Lasco Financial ended with 11,739 shares changing hands at $3.18, after rising by 13 cents, Lasco Manufacturing closed at $5 with 9,565 shares trading.

Jamaican stocks at all-time high – Thursday

Stocks Stocks on the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange rose with sizable gains at the close of trading on Thursday. Prices in the overall closed at a new record high, as the JSE combined index surged to a new high for 2016 as advancing stocks overpowered declining ones 3 to 1.
Trading ended with the prices of 13 securities gaining out of a total of 29 trading, while 4 declined in the overall market, including 3 stocks rising and 5 falling, in the junior market.
At the close 3,849,357 units valued at $41,532,118, changed hands, compared to the 3,098,446 units valued at $40,569,011 changing hands on Wednesday. The junior market accounted for 759,344 units valued at $3,870,697 of the stocks traded.
ICI JSE sum 29-09-16At the close, the JSE Market Index climbed 943.55 points to end at 164,054.64. The all Jamaica Composite Index rose 1,055.21 points to close at 182,304.75 and the JSE combined index climbed 952.95 points, to end at 176,529.46 for a new record high, surpassing the record reached in February.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading show a sharp rise to 22 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 6 with lower offers.
In market activity, Berger Paints closed at $5.15 with 1,019 units changing hands, Cable & Wireless fell 1 cent and closed at 89 cents with 95,807 units changing hands, Caribbean Cement rose 81 cents in trading 2,000 shares to close at $29.20, Carreras exchanged 8,597 shares at $65.85. Trading in 1834 Investments ended with 43,451 shares changing hands 2 cents higher at $1.24, Grace Kennedy closed with 2,265 shares changing hands at $42.50, ICI JSE fn qt 29-09-16Jamaica Broilers had 19,210 shares changing hands to end at $14.60 after rising 5 cents, Jamaica Producers closed at $8.40 with 1,349 units trading. Jamaica Stock Exchange ended at $28 with 7,839 units trading, JMMB Group climbed 60 cents in trading 1,239,331 units to close at $11.50, Sagicor Group declined by 20 cents in trading 391,564 shares to close at $23.80, Sagicor Real Estate Fund traded 114,328 shares to close with at $10.20. Scotia Group climbed $1.70 and closed at $32 with 10,731 shares changing hands, Seprod rose 10 cents in trading 129,305 shares to end at $22, Supreme Ventures rose 5 cents to close at $4.65 with 12,000 shares. Proven Investments traded 9,700 ordinary shares to close at 20 US cents after gaining 1.5 cents.

JSE majors jump on Wednesday

JSE mm Index Stocks on the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange rose with sizable gains at the close of trading on Wednesday with four digit gains in the main indices as over advancing stocks gained the upper hand at the close.
Trading ended with the prices of 13 securities gained out of a total of 41 trading, while 9 declined in the overall market, including 3 stocks rising and 5 falling, in the junior market.

At the close 3,098,446 units valued at $40,569,011, changed hands, compared to the 3,375,381 units valued at $114,125,679 changing hands on Tuesday. The junior market accounted for 759,344 units valued at $3,870,697 of the stocks traded.
ICI JSE sum 28-09-16At the close, the JSE Market Index garnered 1,178.43 points to end at 163,111.09. The all Jamaica Composite Index rose 1,317.90 points to close at 181,249.54 and the JSE combined index climbed 1,138.30 points, to end at 175,576.51.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading showed 15 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 with lower offers.
In market activity, Berger Paints gained 4 cents to close at $5.15 with 500 units changing hands, Cable & Wireless closed at 90 with 197,033 units changing hands, Caribbean Cement dropped 30 cents in trading 33,165 shares to close at $29.20, Carreras exchanged 46,014 shares at $65.85 to gain 85 cents. 1834 Investments traded 207,766 shares at $1.22, Grace Kennedy rose 50 cents and closed with 152,808 shares changing hands at $42.50, Jamaica Broilers had 19,108 shares changing hands to end at $14.55, Jamaica Producers closed at $8.40 with 41,793 units trading. Jamaica Stock Exchange ended at $28 with 3,600 units trading, JMMB Group traded 32,634 units to close at $10.90, ICI JSE fn qt 28-09-16Margaritaville Turks traded 120,000 shares to close at 23.5 US cents after gaining 0.50 cent, Mayberry Investments traded 28,428 but fell 15 cents in closing at $3.70, National Commercial Bank rose 80 cents to $41 with 15,162 shares changing hands. Pan Jamaican Investment traded 84,575 shares to close $23.50 after rising 19 cents, Sagicor Group rose 30 cents in trading 220,817 shares to close at $24, Sagicor Real Estate Fund traded 8,000 shares to close with at $10.20, Scotia Group climbed $1.30 and closed at $30.30 with 10,100 shares changing hands. Scotia Investments closed at $26 with 8,800 shares changing hands, Supreme Ventures lost 20 cents to close at $4.60 with 22,100 shares. Proven Investments traded 468,600 ordinary shares to close at 18.5 US cents after declining by 0.49 cents, JMMB Group 7.50% preference share traded 100,000 units at $1.10 and Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.50% preference share traded 482,849 units at $2.13.

Another junior record close – Wednesday

Medical Disposables closed at a new high on Wednesday.

Medical Disposables closed at a new high on Wednesday.

Trading on the Junior market was greater than the levels on Tuesday as the closed at yet another 52 weeks’ high. The advanced decline ratio was negative less on a day that had one less security trading than the previous day.
The market closed with 3 stocks rising, while 5 declined out of 13 securities that traded. The junior index gained 4.42 points, to close at a record 2,366.31 and is up 31.9 percent ahead of the close of 2015.
Trading volume and value rose from Tuesday’s levels, ending with 759,344 units changing hands, 54 percent more than on Tuesday, while the value traded climbed by 71 percent to $3,870,697, from $2,264,166 on Tuesday.
ICI Jm sum 28-09-16Market activities ended with 5 securities closing with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 ending with lower offers.
Cargo Handlers stock has not traded since it closed at $86.10 on September 12, the market closed with the bid at $90 to buy 3,000 units, with no units offered for sale, next in line to buy is 6,540 shares at $89, there were stocks offered for sale at the close. Key Insurance remains under pressure with the offer at $2.30 to sell 30,000 units compared with the last sale of $2.49. There were no bids to buy the stock at the close.
AMG Packaging lost 1 cent in ending trading at $17.51 with 591 units changing hands, Blue Power closed at $25 with 8,500 units changing hands, Caribbean Cream gained 50 cents with 32,400 shares changing hands to close at $9.50, Consolidated Bakeries slipped 5 cents in trading 37,949 shares to close at $2.45. General Accident fell 10 cents and ended at $2.20 with 52,600 shares changing hands,ICI jm trade 28-09-16 Honey Bun with 16,248 shares changing hands and closed at $6, Jetcon Corporation had just 30,993 units changing hands, to end at $4.70, Lasco Distributors closed with a loss of 5 cents as 130,170 units traded at $7. Lasco Financial ended with 124,025 shares changing hands at $3.05, after declining by 17 cents, Lasco Manufacturing rose 2 cents and closed at $5 with 252,795 shares trading. Medical Disposables traded 44,073 shares to end at a new record high of $4.36 trading as high as $4.60 but gained just 1 cent at the close, Sweet River Abattoir with 24,000 units traded with a rise of 1 cent to end at $3.85 and tTech ended with 5,000 shares changing hands at $6.50.