Jamaica Producers Q3 profit doubles

Jamaica Producers former headquarters in Kingston Jamaica

Profit surged 102 percent in the September quarter, to $330 million from $164 million in 2019 for shareholders of Jamaica Producers. For the nine months to September, profit jumped 66 percent to $959 million from $578 million in 2019 on the back of a modest rise in revenues.
Sale revenues rose just 5 percent for the quarter, to $5.22 billion from $4.96 billion but gained a stronger 8 percent for the year to date, to hit $15.4 billion from $14.3 billion in 2019. The third-quarter revenues grew more slowly than second-quarter revenues, which increased 12 percent to $5.4 billion over the 2018 period and net profit attributable to shareholders increased then by 52 percent to $399 million.
The group’s main activities are port terminal operations, logistics, food and juice manufacturing, the cultivation, marketing and distribution of fresh produce, land management and the holding of investments. The group has operations in the UK, Europe, Jamaica and some other Caribbean countries.
The current year is not the only one that profits jumped sharply for the group. In 2018, profit attributable to the Group’s shareholders rose 66.5 percent for the June quarter over that of 2017 and 65 percent for the half-year from revenues that grew 20 percent and 25 percent, respectively. The group had significant growth in profit from ongoing operations in 2017 over 2016 with negligible profit from operations.
Improvement in profit margin in the half of the year to 34 percent from 31 percent in 2018 continued at the same pace in the September quarter with 34 percent from 29 percent in 2018 and for the year to September, 34 percent from 30 percent in 2018. The improved margin helped push gross profit up 24 percent in the quarter to $1.76 billion from $1.42 million and rose 23 percent for the year to date, to $5.3 billion from $4.3 billion in 2019.
Selling, administration and other operating expenses rose 18 percent to $958 million in the quarter and increased 14 percent in the nine months to $2.8 million. Finance cost declined in the quarter, to $78 million from $89 million in 2018 and from $234 million to $277 million for the nine months.
Earnings per share (EPS) came out at 29.4 cents for the quarter and 85.5 cents for the nine months. EPS should end the fiscal year ending December to $1.25 with a PE ratio of 17 at the price of $21.50 it last traded on the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange and is in line with the average for main market stocks. The net asset value ended at $12.30, with the stock selling at 1.75 book value.
Gross cash flow brought in $3.7 billion, growth in receivables, investment transactions, purchase of fixed assets and the paying of $125 million in dividends resulted in cash funds at the ending at $927 million. At the end of September, shareholders’ equity stood at $14 billion, with borrowings at just $6 billion. Net current assets ended the period at $6.4 billion inclusive of trade and other receivables of $9 million, cash and bank balances of $927 million. Current liabilities stood at $3.2 billion at the end of September.
Jamaica Producers is a buy for the medium to long term.

Two new entries to IC TOP 10

Back in IC TOP 10

The vast majority of listed companies on the Jamaica Stock Exchange will be releasing quarterly results by the end of the week and that could result in significant price movements for some. The major moves should apply mostly in the Junior Market that has several undervalued stocks.
The main market TOP 10 has two new additions this week with Pulse Investments surging back into the list with robust first-quarter results, suggesting that profit for the year could reach 50 cents per share.  Scotia Group also returned to the top flight while Eppley and Proven Investments exited the listing. There was no change to the Junior Market TOP 10 list.
The top three Junior Market stocks continue to be led by Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 254 percent, followed by Iron Rock Insurance with a potential rise of 232 percent and Main Event with 221 percent.
Radio Jamaica remains the lead stock with projected gains of 170 percent, followed by Carreras in the number two spot with likely increases of 106 percent and Berger Paints with projected growth of 95 percent is next.
The main market closed the week with the overall PE of 17.6, up from 17.2 and the Junior Market at 12.1 from 11.8, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7.5, with the main market PE at 10.6.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 38 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 40 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. The increased values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.
This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

Main Event leaps into IC TOP 10

Main Event revenues growing nicely profit stalls.

Overall price movement on the Jamaica Stock Exchange was steadier ahead of the month-end but some stocks recorded notable price movements as the JMMB Group APO remained opened.
Main Event shot into the Junior Market TOP 10 list this week in the number 3 position with a switch to earnings for 2020 fiscal year. The company came under selling pressure recently with profit declining in the July quarter although revenues climbed a strong 29 percent over the outturn for the similar quarter in 2018. The company managed to record a modest increase in its nine months profit with earnings per share of 36 cents. If the growth in revenues maintains the trend for 2019 in 2020 and management controls cost that was out of line in 2019, then the company should go on to record a strong increase in profit in the 2020 fiscal year that starts this month.
Honey Bun returns to the Junior Market TOP 10 stocks while Caribbean Flavours and Access Financial with an earnings downgrade, following release of the six months results, are out of the IC TOP 10. Over in the main market, Eppley moved in at the expense of Scotia Group with the price climbing to $58.99 on Friday.
The top three Junior Market stocks, continue to be led by Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 237 percent, followed by Iron Rock Insurance with potential gains of 233 percent followed by Main Event with 226 percent.
Radio Jamaica remains the lead stock with projected gains of 176 percent, followed by Carreras in the number two spot with likely gains of 128 percent and Jamaica Broilers with projected growth of 107 percent is next.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE of 17.8, up from 17.2 and the Junior Market at 12.1 from 11.8, based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7.8 with the main market PE at 10.7 from 10.8 for the previous week.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 37 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 38 percent to the overall market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

IC TOP 10 steady in market volatility

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The main market slipped on each trading day, this past week with the market index dropping more than 11,000 points and has corrected nearly 8 percent from the peak in August while the Junior Market fell 65 points but the TOP 10 stocks had one change.  
Jetcon Corporation rose in price by the end of the week to $1.99 from $1.85 at the close of the previous week and dropped out of the Junior Market TOP 10, while CAC2000 moved back into the top 10 at the number ten spot.
Market activity resulted in no change to the top three Junior Market stocks, leaving Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 233 percent as the leader, followed by Iron Rock with potential gains of 233 percent and Jamaican Teas with 167 percent.
Radio Jamaica closed the week down at $1.80 from $1.99 with projected gains of 178 percent, up from last week’s 151 percent and remains the leading undervalued main market stock. Carreras is the number two stock with likely gains of 129 percent and Berger Paints with projected gains of 95 percent is next.
The main market closed the week with the overall PE of 17.2 and the Junior Market at 11.8 based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average is at 7.8 and the main market PE fell to 10.8 from 11.1 for the previous week.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 34 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 37 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

42% gain pushes MPC out of IC TOP 10

Infrequent trader MPC Caribbean Clean Energy after just six weeks on the TOP 10 main market chart with the price at $134 dropped out this week, with the price hitting $190 for a gain of 42 percent.
MPC was the only stock leaving the main market listing and is replaced by Stanley Motta with the stock price dropping to $5.50. Jetcon Corporation returns to the Junior Market after General Accident rising to $8 and falling to the 13th position on the overall Junior Market ranking.
Market activity resulted in no change to the top three Junior Market stocks, leaving Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 240 percent as the leader, followed by Iron Rock with potential gains of 204 percent and Jamaican Teas with 158 percent.
Increased investors’ interest pushed the price of Radio Jamaica to $1.99 with projected gains now down to 151 percent from last week’s 213 percent but still remains the leading main market stock with potential gains. Carreras sits at the number two spot with likely gains of 125 percent and Jamaica Broilers with projected gains of 100 percent is next.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE of 17.3, inching up from 17.2 for the previous week and the Junior Market rose to 12 from 11.1 last week based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average rose to 7.9 from 7.7 and the main market PE remains at 11.1.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 34 percent to the average for Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 36 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

Financials & entertainers join IC TOP 10

Scotia Group joins IC TOP 10

The past week saw declines in the markets with the main market falling on each trading day while the Junior Market was up and down. Against that background, three new listings made it to the TOP 10 lists.
Buy Rated Junior Market stocks have two new entrants this week with Dolphin Cove price dropping to $9 and Access Financial trading at $35 joining the list while Honey Bun with the price rising to $6.50 and CAC2000 that rose to $13.50 exiting the top listing. Scotia Group dropped back to $57.10 from $61.50 at the end of the previous week and returns to the main market TOP 10 list at the expense of Stanley Motta.
Market activity resulted in no change to the top three Junior Market stocks, leaving Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 240 percent as the leader, followed by Iron Rock Insurance with potential gains of 201 percent and Medical Disposables with 186 percent.
Radio Jamaica (RJR) share price that slipped during the previous week to a low of $1.35 and closed that week at $1.60, climbed further this past week with increased investors’ interest that pushed the price to $1.80 with projected gains to 213 percent, to remain the leading main market stock. Carreras sits at the number two spot with likely gains of 125 percent and Jamaica Broilers with projected gains of 100 percent is next.  Berger Paints slipped to the fourth spot with a downward revision of earnings to $1.80 for the year.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE of 17.2, inching up from 17.1 for the previous week and the Junior Market remaining unchanged at 11.1 based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average remains at 7.7 and the main market PE at 11.1, up from 10.4 at the close of the previous week.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 31 percent to the average for the Junior Market stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 36 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

Q1 profit falls 13% at JBG

Profit at Jamaica Broilers Group fell 13 percent in the July quarter to $361 million from $413 million in 2018 but IC Insider.com computations point to strong gains in profit for the year ending in April 2020 as revenues rise and costs are contained below inflation.
At the same time, profit attributable to shareholders dropped 8 percent to $368 million from $399 million in 2018 even as gross profit increased slightly over 2018 from $3.18 billion to $3.32 billion as sale revenues rose 9 percent to $13 billion, from $12 billion in the corresponding quarter in 2018.
Cost of sales increased 11 percent for the quarter, to $10 billion from $9 billion in 2018 resulting in gross profit margin in the quarter declining to 25 percent from 26 percent in 2018. Distribution cost rose just 2 percent to $445 million from $436 million in the corresponding quarter in 2018. Operating profit increased by 2 percent to $679 million from $665 million in 2018. Finance income fell sharply by 88 percent to $36 million from $300 million in the corresponding period in 2018.

Jamaica Broilers chicken

Administrative expenses remained flat at $2.3 billion, but Finance cost, declined by 7 percent to $299 million from $324 million in 2018 and corporate taxes fell a sharp 76 percent to $55 million.
The group’s segment results were mixed, with foreign exchange losses and political and economic volatility in Haiti negatively impacting the results. The Jamaica segment produced $8.4 billion in revenues, but just slightly above the $8.24 billion generated in 2018 profit resulting in a 9 percent fall in segment profit of $764 million. Operations in Haiti produced $19 million in profit compared to $60 million in the previous year from a fall in revenues from $595 million down to $530 million. Profit from the US operations climbed by 11 percent to $333 million from $ 300 million in 2018 as revenues climbed to $4.34 billion from $3.3 billion in 2018.
Gross cash flows from brought in $650 million but after a dividend payment in the quarter amounted to $212 million and other long term liabilities of $720 million, cash inflows ended at $316 million and that pushed cash and equivalent to $3.65 billion. At the end of July, shareholders’ equity stood at $15 billion with borrowings at just $7 billion. Current assets ended the period at $22 billion inclusive of receivables of $4 billion and inventories of $7 billion, cash and bank balances of $4 billion and current liabilities of $13 billion.
Earnings per share came out at 35.81 cents for the quarter. IC Insider.com is forecasting $3.50 per share for PE of 10 times the current year’s earnings and earnings of $5 for the 2021 fiscal year.

Sygnus Credit a stock to watch

Image courtesy of suphakit73/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Sygnus Credit Investment a relatively new player in the financial market saw a 171 percent jump in interest income from US$1 million in 2018 to US$3 million for the financial year to June 2019.
Established in 2017, Sygnus is a credit investment company that provides credit financing to medium size business in the Caribbean
The impact on profit was not as dramatic as the gains in revenues, with profit rising 44 percent to US$2 million from US$1.4 million in 2018. The major reason for profit lagging revenue is three major items.  Fair value gains on investment fell from $644,000 in 2018 to just $135,000 in 2019 while the Management fee rose 288  percent from US$182,368 in 2018 to US$707,175 and net foreign exchange loss moved from US$50,000 in 2018 to US$219,000. Management fees were lower in the preceding financial year as the investment management waived them manager in the first half of that year.
The near-full deployment of US$20 million of funds on hand at the start of the year, into higher-yielding investments in the form of loans, was the major contributing factor to the growth in interest income.
Other operating and administrative expenses rose 214 percent to US$1.3 million in the year from US$415,000. Accounting expenses increased by 79 percent to US$37,323. The results for the final quarter were affected negatively by major turn about-turn in foreign exchange movements with a gain of $856,000 in the third quarter moving to a loss of $219,000 in the fourth quarter. Additionally, while interest income for the third quarter was $979,000 it slipped to just $728,000 in the final quarter, most likely due to change in the value of the Jamaican dollar. The effect of those changes is that a $1 million profit for the third quarter was not reproduced in the final quarter, even with more funds deployed in higher income-generating assets than the securities they were in before. The profit for the final quarter came out at just $124,000, well off from the fourth-quarter profit.  Going forward, the company will be using borrowed funds to supplement its resources that will help in boosting revenues, profit and allowed for growth in its business.
Sygnus paid US$954,000 in dividends leaving shareholders’ equity at US$37.6 million, $34 million was lent to customers and $3 million was held in liquid assets that were available for lending. Earnings per share came out at 0.59 US cents for the financial year-end compared to 0.85 US cents for the 2018 financial year.
IC Insider.com forecasts earnings of 15 US cents or J$2 per share. The stock traded at $23.70 on the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange with a PE ratio of 12 times 2020 earnings making it a good buy.

Bun & Teas in IC TOP 10 BUY RATED

Buy Rated Junior Market stocks have two new entrants this week with Honey Bun and Jamaican Teas returning to the top listing. Both companies’ fiscal year ended September, with earnings for the 2020 fiscal year, used in valuing them.
The new listings are expected to benefit from growth in the core business, with Honey Bun continuing to benefit above the norm from the expansion of the factory late last year and new products being manufactured while Jamaican Teas could benefit from investment gains from the portfolio of QWI Investments.
Dropping from the Junior Market TOP 10 are Elite Diagnostic and Express Catering.  There were no changes to the main market TOP 10.
Market activity, left Caribbean Producers with projected gains of 240 percent as the leading Junior Market stock with likely gains, followed by Iron Rock Insurance with potential gains of 204 percent and Medical Disposables with projected gains of 184 percent.
Radio Jamaica (RJR) share price slipped during the week to a low of $1.35 but bounced to close the week at $1.60, pushing projected gains to 213 percent, to remain the leading main market stock. RJR is benefiting from increasing revenues, resulting from a more buoyant economy, the rollout of new services, the signing of an agreement with Flow that will add to revenues without the added cost and lower costs in a number of areas, with more to come. Carreras sits at the number two spot with projected gains of 125 percent with the price slipping a bit during the week and Berger Paints with projected gains of 115 percent in next.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE of 17.1 down from 17.7 the previous week and the Junior Market is at 11.1 from 11.7 based on current year’s earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7.7 compared to 7.9 the previous week and the main market PE remains at 10.4.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 31 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 39 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March next year. Projected earnings, along with the PE ratio for each company’s current fiscal year are used in determining potential gains with the likely gains ranked in descending order with highest-ranked being the most attractive. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have an interest in the securities commented on.

General Accident acquisition to boost results

General Accident head quarters

The junior Market listed General Accident acquired a 55 percent stake in Motor One Insurance, a Trinidadian based company, with a large branch network throughout Trinidad.
Motor One, is said to be one of Trinidad and Tobago’s smaller general insurance companies but the acquisition provides General Accident with a ready platform expand in the Trinidad market into motor vehicle and catastrophic insurance business in the Caribbean twin-island state which is said to be over 40 percent larger than the general insurance market in Jamaica. The acquisition will provide a platform for the local company to expand in the wider region and importantly, into Guyana where the economy is already growing strongly with the country set to benefit even more from the near term production of oil but that seems a bit off for now.
The acquisition, “is an important first step in our wider regional growth strategy which we believe will increase economies of scale, spread our risk and significantly enhance shareholder value,” General Accident’s chairman, Paul Scott stated in the release announcing the purchase.
General Accident is having a good two-year run, with rising income and profit, in 2016 revenues from core business hardly changed but investment income rose and helped to push pretax profit up by a third. In 2017, net underwriting revenues grew 28 percent over 2016 and by 22.6 percent in 2018 over 2017but profit declined 42 percent for 2017 and rose 50 percent in 2018 but was still below the pretax profit delivered in 2016. The company’s profit performance in the 2019 June quarter improved 31 percent to $104 million from $80 million in 2018 after tax and for the six months period by 42 percent to $135 million from $95 million in 2018.
Gross premiums written, rose 59 percent for the quarter to $4 billion from $2.4 billion and by 41 percent for the year to date to $7 billion from $5 billion in 2018.
Net premium earned rose 25 percent in the quarter to $503 million from $403 million and climbed 29 percent for the year to date to $989 million from $767 million in 2018. Commission expense increased 15 percent in the quarter to $116 million from $100 million and by 20 percent for the year to date to $260 million from $216 million in 2018 while commission income rose 14 percent in the quarter to $170 million from $149 million in 2018 and for the half-year, it rose 21 percent to $406 million. Investment and other income fell 18 percent in the half-year to $117 million from $143 million and rose 22 percent to hit $111 million.
Management expenses increased 26 percent to $227 million in the quarter and 19 percent in the six-month period to $419 million. Claims grew 28 percent to $339 million in the quarter and 23 percent in the half-year to $633 million. Other operating expenses increased in the quarter to $23 million from $11 million in 2018 and from $21 million to $35 million for the six-month period.
Gross cash flow from operating activities brought in $922 million, but net of amounts due to reinsurers and co-insurers and other working capital movements reduced cash provided by operating activities to $363 million. General Accident paid dividends of $150 million during the year and ended with cash and investments of $3.3 billion, up from $2.7 billion at the end of June 2018. At the end of June, shareholders’ equity stood at $2.2 billion. Total assets ended the period at $7.9 billion inclusive of dues from reinsurers and co-insures of $2 billion, cash and bank balances of $190 million and liabilities of $6 million.
Earnings per share came out at 0.10 cents for the quarter and 0.13 cents for the six months. IC Insider.com is forecasting 80 cents per share for the full year for a PE of 8 times earnings.

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