Caribbean Cream, with its Kremi brand of ice cream, reported disappointing second quarter results and fell out of the TOP 10 with full year earnings down to 65 cents, allowing Lumber Depot to return to the Junior Market ICTOP10. No other company moved in or out of the ICTOP10 stocks, valued at half that of the two overall markets.
Caribbean Cream half year’s results saw a modest 5 percent increase in sales in the second quarter, well below the first quarter increase of 28 percent, but cost rose above that of 2020, leaving a small profit of $7 million for the August quarter. The company’s management attributed the performance primarily to the no-movement days in operation during the quarter that curtailed sales. Knutsford Express returned to profit in the quarter of $9.2 million, from a loss in 2020 for the August quarter on improved revenues of $233 million from $122 million in 2020 but well off the $325 million in 2019. Paramount Trading had marginal movement in revenues for the August quarter of $369 million from $362 million in 2020, with a profit of $19 million versus $15 million in 2020.
Now that we are in the final quarter for 2021, many companies valuations will climb between now and early next year to further discount the current year’s earnings. Some stocks may therefore appear fully priced or close. Investors should keep eyes on both this and next year’s earnings to determine the appropriate valuation of each stock and whether to hold or fold.
The 80/20 rule of trading stocks should be ever present as the long 40 year history of the local market shows that only two out of each of the top ten stocks in a year repeat in the following while 4 out of 10 of the worst performing stocks end up as winners in the succeeding year. The lesson is that many of the top stocks for 2021 will not make it in 2022.
Elsewhere, in the Junior Market, AMG Packaging price bounced around in the week but closed at $1.93, Caribbean Assurance Brokers rallied 7 percent, from $1.63 to $1.75, Dolphin Cove rose from $9.69 to $10.25 and Stationery and Office Supplies moved up by 8 percent from $6 to $6.50.
In the Main Market, Guardian Holding fell from $577 to $550, Sygnus Credit Investment popped 5 percent from $16.96 to $17.80, to be up 11 percent in two weeks and Sterling Investments slipped 8 percent from $3.01 to $2.76. The latter two are flashing strong signals of higher prices ahead as active supplies on the sell side in the market are moderate.
The top three Main Market stocks are Caribbean Producers which is consolidating around $7, followed by Berger Paints and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 235 to 256 percent versus last weeks’ 219 to 264 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident and Access Financial. All three have the potential to gain between 220 and 300 percent, down from 230 percent and 304 percent previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 210 percent to 200 percent and Main Market stocks from 170 percent to 173 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE 13.4 based on ICInsider.com’s updated 2021-22 earnings and currently well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17, for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 6.8, with a 51 percent discount to that market’s PE.
The overall Junior Market can gain 49 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 27 percent based on an average PE of 17. Nine stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, up from five last week, indicating that many others will rise above the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.4, 23 percent less than PE of 19 at the ended of March and 30 percent below the targeted PE of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 7.7, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 10 stocks or 22 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple may be around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 is not intended to select the best stocks in the market but ones that are most likely to be the largest winners within a fifteen month period. ICInsider.com ranks stocks to highlight the winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winners, helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Watch these stocks that are expected to release quarterly financial statements this coming week, in addition to CPJ that is in demand and
In the Main Market,
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 203 percent to 210 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 180 percent to 170 percent.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 15.7, a little distance from 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 27 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 21 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6, with a 49 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20, but 12 stocks trade above a PE of 19, with most of them over 20, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times current year’s earnings.
ICInsider.com ranks stocks to highlight the winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winners, helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
So far to October, CPJ gained 90 percent and should exceed 100 percent this coming week and Caribbean Cream is up 67 percent ahead of second quarter results due in two weeks. Another TOP 15 stock this year, Caribbean Cement, surged on Friday to close at $120 after trading at a record high of $146.12, just short of IC Insde.com forecast in April this year in the report, captioned “Carib Cement Q1 profit triples” that the stock that last traded at $75 on the Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange is projected to get to $150 in the next twelve months.
Elsewhere, in the Junior Market, AMG Packaging fell from $2.10 to $1.70,
This past week, the average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 214 percent to 203 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 166 percent to 180 percent.
ICTOP10 is not intended to be a selection of the best stocks in the market but the most likely to be the biggest winners within fifteen months. ICInsider.com ranks stocks to separate the bigger winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potentially huge gains, helping to keep out emotional attachments to stocks that often result in the making of costly mistakes.
Elsewhere, in the Junior Market, Stationery and Office Supplies pulled back to $5.76 from $6.60 at the end of the prior week. Access Financial fell to $18.75 from $21.49 last week, General Accident fell from $5.54 last week to $5.15, Medical Disposables slipped from $4.94 to $4.46, Caribbean Assurance fell from $1.80 to $1.66 and Caribbean Cream moved up to $6.60, from $6.05 last week.
The top three Main Market stocks are Berger Paints, followed by Guardian Holdings and JMMB Group, with expected gains of 208 to 263 percent for the three, versus last weeks’ 212 to 257 percent.
The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 6.5, with a 54 percent discount to that market’s PE. The overall Junior Market can gain 65 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 40 percent based on an average PE of 17.
ICTOP10 is a selection of stocks that are more likely to be the great winners within fifteen months and not necessarily the best in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks to separate the big winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potentially huge gains, helping to keep out an emotional attachment to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
Lumber Depot moved back into the ICTOP10 with the price pulling back under $3 and replaced tTech that enjoyed a price bounce from $4.20 last week to $4.50 this past week.
The top three Main Market stocks are, Berger Paints followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 212 to 257 percent for the three, versus last weeks’ 202 to 290 percent.
The TOP 10 trades at a PE of 6.9, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s PE and the potential to rise 67 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20.
ICInsider.com ranks stocks to filter out the bigger winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potentially huge winners, helping to keep out emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes being made.
Elsewhere, Future Energy Source, a former ICInsider.com BUY RATED stock that underwent a sharp pullback last week to $2.05 rose this past week to $2.51 as buying interest remains strong. Lumber Depot sits just below the ICTOP10 Junior Market stocks, after posting strong first quarter results that rose 140 percent over the 2020 first quarter, with ICInsider.com projecting earnings now at 35 cents per share, up from 27 cents previously, for the current year and the potential for the price to double into early 2022. Fontana reported increased earnings of $512 million, up from $277 million with earnings per share of 41 cents, just 4 cents below ICInsider.com forecast. Jamaica Broilers posted lower first quarter profit of $275 million, down from $383 million as the Jamaican and Haitian segments posted lower profits, but the USA segment enjoyed an 84 percent jump.
Scotia Group reported profit of $2.8 billion an increase of 81 percent over the depressed 2020 third quarter and slightly more than the $2.7 billion generated in the April quarter, the group seems on target to earn around $3.50 per share for the year.
The TOP 10 trades at a PE of 6.6, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s PE and the potential to rise 77 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20.
ICTOP10 stocks are not intended to be a selection of the best stocks in the market but are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. ICInsider.com ranks stocks to filter out the bigger winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potentially huge winners, helping to keep out emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes being made. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Elsewhere,
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market rose from 191 percent to 198 percent and Main Market stocks from 168 percent to 173 percent.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 15.6, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 22 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 28 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6, with a 51 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
ICInsider.com ranks stocks to filter out the bigger winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially huge winners and helping to keep out emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes being made.
The charting of the Junior and Main Market indices shows early signs of the markets bouncing from the mild summer correction. We may be seeing early signs of a longer term rebound, with the Main and Junior Markets closing at the highest levels this week since July 23.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident and Lasco Financial. All three have the potential to gain between 217percent and 283 percent, compared to 227 and 268 percent last week. Stationery and Office Supplies closed the previous week at $5.75 to sit at number 2 in the Junior Market list enjoyed a bounce in price to $6.50 and moved down to the 8th spot this week.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 15.6, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 12 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 28 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.7, with a 50 percent discount to that market’s average PE, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Dolphin Cove reported a profit of US$1.24 million in the June quarter or 49 cents in Jamaican currency, thus wiping out the first quarter loss of US$155,000 and seems on target to generate around $3.3 million in profit for the year.
The smart money bought 52 million shares on April 6 last year, at an average of $1.33. On April 13, 95.4 million units were picked up and 67.7 million on April 27 at $1.26. The next big buy was August 17th, with 10 million units at $1.30 and 0n October 19 with 20 million units.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by Stationery and Office Supplies that fell on Friday to $5.75, from $7.43 last week and General Accident, with all three having the potential to gain between 221 percent and 295 percent, compared to 256 and 336 percent, last week.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market moved from 193 percent to 207 percent and Main Market stocks from 180 percent to 172 percent.
The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6, with a 41 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
At the close of trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Wednesday, the market value for Barita is $99 billion and JMMB $75 billion, nearly 25 percent less than Barita. Why is the market pricing Barita at a steep premium to JMMB? Barita has only a small percentage of its stock in the public’s hands and therefore is enjoying a scarcity premium, while JMMB is far more liquid with more shares in the public’s hands.