The leading Main Market ICInsider.com TOP10 listed Radio Jamaica stuns the market this week with blow out first quarter profit of $110 million that compares well with $171 million reported in the last fiscal year, profit could be higher but for a near $70 million provision for bad debt and would have put the result close to our first quarter profit forecast of it beating 2021 full year results.
The bad news is that many persons ignore ICInnsider.com’s forecast of great things to come from the company, with many chasing after it on Friday after the release of the results on Thursday. Some readers bought into the vision but not all. The good news is that, with projected earnings of 45 cents per share, there is much room for this stock to run. The other good news is that there is much more to be gained by owning the stock as the company completes projects that will boost revenues and grow profits in the years to come.
The last dividend paid was 2 cents in July of 2019; before that, 2 cents in September 2016 and 10 cents in September 2015, although profit was only 9 cents per share. A dividend seems due for September this year, and with profits up in the 2021 fiscal year and year to date, shareholders could be looking at an early Christmas present.
The RJR results came close to the end of earning season for the June quarter and stimulated strong buying in the stock, with 9.2 million shares changing hands on Friday, the highest since 8.25 million units were traded on the 19 of July, the second trading day after the company released full year’s results to March. Interest has been building in the stock from the full year release and could get stronger as ICInsider.com gathers that there is good buying interest in it.
With those strong results and the promise of 45 cents per share to be earned for this year and 80 cents in the next year, one would be forgiven if they felt that RJR should be dislodged from the ICTOP10 listing. Well, the top three Main Market stocks are headed again by Radio Jamaica, but the potential gains rose from 296 percent to 300 percent, even as the price moved up to a 52 weeks’ closing high of $2.25 from $2.02 last week, due to upgrading in the earnings to 45 cents per share or $1.1 billion. RJR is followed by Berger Paints, with earnings per share upgraded to $2.45 and JMMB Group, with expected gains of 200 to 300 percent for the three, versus last weeks’ 191 to 296 percent.
CAC2000, a stock with little focus from investors replaces Jetcon Corporation in the Junior Market ICTOP10. Investors should keep watch on CAC2000, with the strong growth in the construction sector that could benefit them.
The PE Ratio of the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks trade at a 44 percent discount to the market average and Main Market stocks 54 percent, indicating the potential gains in these stocks compared with many of those outsides of them.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 221 percent and 295 percent compared to 256 and 336 percent, last week. Medical Disposables reported vastly improved revenues and profit for the June quarter even without reporting any income from acquiring the 60 percent majority ownership in Cornwall Enterprises. The price of General Accident has languished from last year, even as expansion pointed to improved results for them. They reported a profit of $166 million for the June quarter and $202 million for the half year with EPS of 16 cents and 20 cents respectively, putting them in line to exceed 60 cents for the full year with the last quarter usually the period with highest profits. Caribbean Brokers recorded increased revenues as well as increased expenses, some to promote products. Losses increased in the June quarter and half year, but late 2020 was the period that profit was reported. JMMB Group reported improved June results that more than doubled over 2020 even as cost rose faster than revenues.
This past week, the average gains projected for the Junior Market moved from 218 percent to 193 percent and Main Market stocks to 180 percent from 175 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 12.6 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17, for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.3, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.5, with a 46 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 38 percent and requires a rise of 63 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. 
The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.9, just 54 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best in the market but are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
