Archives for August 2022

Big drop for JSE Main Market

Rising stocks were overwhelmed by those declining on the Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange as trading commenced in August, with only seven stocks rising while 35 declined on Tuesday as the volume and the value of stocks traded declined 62 percent versus trading on Friday, resulting in the market indices suffering a big fall.
The All Jamaican Composite Index dropped 5,179.08 points to 424,321.54, the JSE Main Index shed 3,817.87 points to close at 371,875.54 and the JSE Financial Index fell 1.16 points to settle at 88.48.
Trading touched 57 securities down from 59 on Friday, with just seven rising, 35 declining and 15 ending unchanged.
A total of 8,448,425 shares were exchanged for $63,984,241 versus 22,398,173 units at $169,689,057 on Friday. Trading averages 148,218 units at $1,122,531, compared to 379,630 shares at $2,876,086 on Friday. July closed with an average of 173,643 units at $1,683,017.
Transjamaican Highway led trading with 3.21 million shares for 38 percent of total volume followed by Carreras with 967,186 units for 11.4 percent of the day’s trade and Pulse Investments with 585,854 units for 6.9 percent market share.
The PE Ratio, a formula to ascertain appropriate stock values, averages 13.6 for the Main Market. The JSE Main and USD Market PE ratios are computed based on ICInsider.com’s forecasted earnings for companies with financial years ending up to the close of August 2023.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows 12 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one stock with a lower offer.
At the close, Berger Paints advanced 93 cents to end at $11.93 after finishing trading 794 shares, Caribbean Cement lost 94 cents in closing at $62.50, with 9,187 stock units clearing the market, Eppley Caribbean Property Fund fell $2 to close at $38 as 1,400 stocks changed hands. GraceKennedy slipped $1.24 to $98.75 after exchanging 76,175 units, Guardian Holdings rose $1 to $506 after trading 342 stock units, Jamaica Broilers dropped 75 cents in ending at $28.65 in an exchange of 8,036 stocks. Jamaica Producers shed $1.74 to end at $20.75 while exchanging 20,926 units, Jamaica Stock Exchange fell 61 cents to close at $18.88 in trading 58,185 shares, JMMB Group declined 49 cents to end at $42.50 after exchanging 226,136 units. Margaritaville gained $1 in closing at $22, with 5,776 shares crossing the market, Massy Holdings shed 88 cents to close at $90.10 after swapping 1,702 stocks, Mayberry Investments fell $1.06 to $9.63 with an exchange of 248,027 stock units. NCB Financial dropped $1 in closing at $96 in switching ownership of 22,306 stock units, Palace Amusement dropped $134 to $755, with 102 stocks changing hands, PanJam Investment lost 99 cents to end at $64 in exchanging 3,400 units. Portland JSX shed $1.49 to $8.51, with 3,405 shares crossing the exchange, Scotia Group declined $2.40 in closing at $34.07 with the swapping of 71,313 stock units, Seprod fell $1.93 after ending at $68.07, with 11,909 shares crossing the market. Stanley Motta lost 52 cents to end at $4.98, with 67,590 stocks clearing the market, Supreme Ventures shed $2.85 to close at $27.15 in trading 257,498 units, Sygnus Credit Investments fell 54 cents to close at $13.21 in exchanging 23,497 shares.
In the preference segment138 Student Living s preference share popped $10.45 in closing at a record high of $50.45 after trading 293 stocks and Productive Business Solutions 9.75% preference share rose $3.99 to end at $108.99, with 404 stock units crossing the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Trading jumps on the Trinidad Stock Exchange

August commenced with trading jumping on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange on Tuesday, with the volume of stocks changing hands surging 794 percent and the value climbing 380 percent above Friday’s outcome after 18 securities traded similar to Friday, with six rising, five declining and seven remaining unchanged.
A total of 1,623,314 shares traded for $8,273,469 up sharply from 181,625 units at $1,724,281 on Friday. An average of 90,184 units traded at $459,637 compared to 10,090 shares at $95,793 on Friday. The average trade for July ended at 28,304 units for $283.023.
The Composite Index dipped 5.13 points to 1,385.79, the All T&T Index fell 12.53 points to 2,051.42 and the Cross-Listed Index rose 0.39 points to settle at 94.29.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows two stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close, Agostini’s dropped 10 cents to close at $45.75 in trading 21 shares, Angostura Holdings ended unchanged at $26.99 after exchanging 594 stock units, Clico Investment Fund fell 20 cents to end at $28.70 while 9,427 units changed hands. First Citizens Group finished at $49.99 after trading 8,884 stocks, FirstCaribbean International Bank advanced 4 cents to $5.06 with an exchange of 4,500 units, GraceKennedy shed 5 cents in closing at $5.40, with 650 shares crossing the exchange. Guardian Holdings remained at $27.26 with the swapping of 33,900 stock units, JMMB Group gained 3 cents to close at $2.34, with 1,668 stocks crossing the market, Massy Holdings slipped 5 cents to $5, with 353,604 stocks changing hands. National Enterprises declined 1 cent to end at $3.19 in exchanging 1,176,247 shares, National Flour Mills ended at $1.65 after transferring 21 units, NCB Financial Group popped 5 cents in ending at $5.30 in trading 6,914 stock units. Point Lisas finished at $3.39 with ten shares changing hands, Republic Financial Holdings popped 14 cents to close at $141.14 in an exchange of 575 stocks, Scotiabank rose 11 cents in closing at $77 in switching ownership of 6,789 stock units. Trinidad & Tobago NGL increased 1 cent in closing at $21.50, with 15,211 units crossing the market, Trinidad Cement remained at $3.81 with 120 units clearing the market and West Indian Tobacco ended unchanged at $23.40 while exchanging 4,179 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Falling prices dominant on JSE USD Market

Trading closed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange US dollar market on Tuesday, with the volume of stocks traded declining 86 percent at marginally less valued than on Friday, resulting in 11 securities traded, compared to 10 on Friday with no rising, six falling and five ending unchanged.
The JSE US Denominated Equities Index lost 0.78 points to end at 209.09.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock valuations, averages 8.7, The PE ratio uses ICInsider.com earnings forecasts for companies with financial years ending up to August 2023.
Overall, 243,827 shares were traded for US$33,140 compared to 1,735,411 units at US$33,791 on Friday. July ended with an average of 49,665 units for US$3,449.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ended with a bid higher than the last selling price and none with a lower offer.
At the close, First Rock Capital USD share ended at 6.5 US cents after an exchange of 75,715 shares, Margaritaville closed at 14.98 US cents after exchanging 148 units, MPC Caribbean Clean Energy remained at US$1.30 in exchanging two stock units. Proven Investments shed 0.25 of a cent in ending at 22.75 US cents after trading 118,758 stocks, Sterling Investments lost 0.13 of one cent to 1.95 US cents, with 11,599 stocks crossing the exchange, Sygnus Credit Investments USD share declined 0.87 of a cent to 11.12 US cents with the swapping of 1,061 stock units. Sygnus Real Estate Finance USD share fell 1 cent to close at 12 US cents, with 67 shares crossing the market and Transjamaican Highway dipped 0.08 of a cent in closing at 0.88 of one US cent with an exchange of 36,230 units.
In the preference segmentEppley 6% preference share lost 14.6 cents to end at US$1.15 in switching ownership of 110 stock units, JMMB Group 5.75% remained at US$2.05 with one stock clearing the market and JMMB Group 6% finished at US$1.10 in an exchange of 136 shares.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Junior market off to negative August start

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Trading closed on the first day of activity in August on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Tuesday, with the volume of stocks traded declining 36 percent and the value 33 percent lower than on Friday with 42 securities trading versus 46 on Friday with 11 rising, 26 declining and five closing unchanged.
A total of 10,799,453 shares traded for $35,702,081 compared to 16,884,408 units at $53,033,472 on Friday. Trading averaged 257,130 shares at $850,050 in contrast to 367,052 shares at $1,152,902 on Friday. July closed with an average of 512,709 units at $2,574,304.
Fosrich led trading with 3.42 million shares for 31.7 percent of total volume, followed by Dolla Financial with 1.08 million units for 10 percent of the day’s trade and Jamaican Teas with 1.07 million units for 9.9 percent market share.
At the close, the Junior Market Index lost 13.95 points to 4,188.36. The PE Ratio, a measure of computing appropriate stock values, averages 12.5. The PE ratios of Junior Market stocks incorporate ICInsider.com projected earnings for companies with financial year end that falls between November this year and August 2023.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and five with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial shed 44 cents in ending at $22.55 after exchanging 5,100 shares, Cargo Handlers fell 35 cents to $13.60 after trading 3,900 units, Caribbean Assurance Brokers declined 20 cents to $2.40 after 281,964 stocks changed hands. Caribbean Cream lost 24 cents to close at $4.05, trading 6,301 stock units, Derrimon Trading dropped 11 cents to $2.50, with 164,998 units crossing the exchange, Dolla Financial declined 11 cents to close at $2.89 in exchanging 1,083,841 shares. Dolphin Cove shed 23 cents in closing at $15.70 in an exchange of 12,106 stock units, EduFocal fell 25 cents to $2.25, with 772,572 stocks clearing the market, Elite Diagnostic gained 38 cents to end at $3.59 with the swapping of 10,738 stocks. Everything Fresh lost 14 cents in ending at $1.20 with an exchange of 76,934 stock units, Fontana dropped 20 cents to $10 while exchanging 90,488 shares, Fosrich fell 14 cents to $3.25 in switching ownership of 3,424,259 units. Future Energy Source dropped 10 cents in closing at $5.60, with 396,453 stocks changing hands, iCreate shed 31 cents to end at $4.55 after exchanging 277,538 stock units, Iron Rock Insurance declined 31 cents to close at $2.96 in trading 6,350 units. Limners and Bards lost 26 cents in ending at $2.74, with 19,978 shares crossing the market, Main Event shed 30 cents to close at $7.50 after 13,033 units changed hands, Spur Tree Spices fell 10 cents to $4.10, with 319,755 stocks clearing the market. SSL Venture declined 10 cents in closing at $3.40 after an exchange of 243,894 shares, Stationery and Office Supplies increased $1.40 to end at $18.40 in trading 144,384 stock units, Tropical Battery dropped 13 cents in closing at $2.70 in exchanging 345,387 shares and tTech climbed 32 cents to close at $3.43 in an exchange of 20,502 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

JSE Main Market in big fall

JSE Main Market stocks gave up much ground on the first trading day of August and the Junior Market index slipped moderately as the volume and value of stocks trading in the overall market dipped on Tuesday and resulting in the JSE Combined Index a measure of the overall market, falling 3,695.18 points to 385,370.74.  
Trading ended, with 19,491,705 shares changing hands well down on Friday’s 41,017,992 shares changing hands in the overall market, with a value of $99.7 million, while the JSE USD market ended with the value of stocks traded at US$33,140.
At the close, the All Jamaican Composite Index dropped 5,179.08 points to 424,321.54, the JSE Main Index declined 3,817.87 points to close at 371,875.54 and the JSE USD market Index slipped 0.79 points to 209.09.
The market’s PE ratio ended at 23.2 based on 2021-22 earnings and 12.4 times those for 2022-23 at the close of trading.
Investors need pertinent information to successfully navigate many investment choices, in the local stock market. The ICInsider.com PE ratio chart and the more detailed daily report charts provide investors with regularly updated information to help decision-making.
Investors should use the chart to help make rational investment decisions by investing in stocks close to the average for the sector and not going too far from it unless there are compelling reasons to do so. This approach helps to remove emotions from investment decisions and put in on fundamentals while at the same time not being too far from the majority of investors. Investors who buy when the price of a stock is close to the average will find that they are not inclined to overpay for a stock.
The ICInsider.com PE Ratio chart covers all ordinary shares on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. It shows companies grouped on an industry basis, allowing easy comparisons between the same sector companies and the overall market.
The net asset value of each company is reported as a guide to assess the value of stocks based on this measure quickly. The chart also shows daily changes in stock prices and the percentage year to date price movement based on the last traded prices. Dividends payable and yields for each company are shown in the Main and Junior Markets’ daily report charts that show the closing volume for the bids and offers.
The EPS & PE ratios are based on 2021 and 2022 actual or projected earnings, excluding major one off items. The PE Ratio is the most popular measure used to determine the value of stocks.

 

First quarter profits surge 39%

Profit in the first quarter of this year surged 39 percent over the same period in 2021 for all listed companies on the Jamaica Stock Exchange, data released by the companies show a 21 percent increase in revenues.
The final numbers include results of Guardian Holdings, Massy Holdings two companies with primary listings in Trinidad as well as the recently listed Dolla Financial. Excluding results for the two Trinidad based companies, profit rose 49 percent for the rest, from a 26 percent rise in revenues.
Profits exclude exceptional one off items and do not include other comprehensive income. NCB Financial Group, JMMB Group and Scotia Group suffered major unrealized losses in their investment portfolio as a result of increased interest rates in 2022 while the two Mayberry companies saw a major reversal of investment losses incurred in 2021. The investment losses for the banking groups are shown in other comprehensive income and if included reduces the strong operating profit substantially.
Contributing to the strong rise in overall profit are companies that suffered losses or sharply reduced profits in the 2021 period and are recovering in 2022 from an economy that was mired in restrictions on trade within the local economy.
The results to date show the educational sector with just two companies growing by 1,880 percent but with a mere $12 million in profit, with revenues that grew 155 percent to $107 million. Medical & Pharmaceutical revenues rose a strong 30 percent to $1.43 billion with profits climbing 80 percent to $167 million. The  Restaurant sector’s profit rose 100 percent to $342,000, up from a loss of $184 million in 2021 as revenues rose 240 percent to $691 million. Banking profit is up 104 percent to $12.5 billion, from a 33 percent rise in revenues to $116 billion, with all the gains in profit flowing from NCB.
One of the more outstanding segments was Financial Services, with 20 companies delivering a 30 percent revenue increase to $57 billion and a 46 percent rise in after tax profit to $16.3 billion. Distribution revenues climbed 29 percent to $33.6 billion and profit rose 52 percent to $2.3 billion from just $1.5 billion last year.
Conglomerates were disappointing, with no growth in profits of $5.8 billion from a 13 percent rise in revenues to $113 billion and Manufacturing managed a 22 percent rise in profit to $4.8 billion from a 23 percent increase in revenues to $55 billion from $45 billion in 2021.
Media with just two entities delivered revenues of $1.75 billion up a mere 4 percent year over year but grew profit an attractive 68 percent to $152 million.
Revenues for the Insurance group rose just 3 percent to $86 billion and delivered a 17 percent increase in profits to $8.2 billion.
Revenues for Entertainment companies rose 23 percent to $13.5 billion with profit rising 130 percent to $1 billion with Supreme Ventures dominating with profit jumping 68 percent to $996 million.
Real Estate saw a 20 percent drop in profit from a 54 percent rise in revenues to $3.46 billion delivering a profit of $1.27 billion.
The Transportation sector saw a 71 percent increase in revenues at $10.6 billion delivering a 38 percent increase in profit to $1 billion.

100th listed company for Jamaica Stock Exchange

Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market will soon have its 46 listed company on its board soon, and the 100 listed company on the overall exchange, with the latest offering to the public set to open on August 12 and comes to market, solidifying and highlighting the change taking place in Jamaica’s economy where a young team of individuals with a bright idea can raise funds in the market with minimal fixed assets.
OneonOne Educational Services comes to market the prospectus states to sell 380 million shares to raise around $359 million net of cost. In reality, the issue is really for 271 million shares if the lenders convert their loans to shares. Only 121.25 million will be available to the bulk of applicants as the rest is earmarked for selected groups including 108.7 million due to investors currently holding convertible loans as such no new funds will be coming from this group of investors resulting in just $279 million in fresh capital being raised before expenses estimated $30 million. The offer will raise the number of issued capital from 1.52 billion shares to 1.9 billion.
The company has a lot in common with the recent listing of EduFocal both being in the education area using technology to deliver the service to customers thus keeping cost low and profit margins high, but it is more slanted currently in serving the corporate sector. The company that started operating in 2015 is highly profitable and benefitted from the lockdown of the economies in the Caribbean region in the aftermath of the discovery of covid-19 that resulted in schools and many businesses being closed or operating at a lower capacity.
The service is a fully remote educational technology which delivers personalized education primarily to enterprises, governments, and individuals across the Caribbean and Latin American region. The company appears to be a provider of technological infrastructure for itself and clients as opposed to be the primary supplier of learning information, as opposed to what the name suggests. In keeping with the change in service offering, the name seems set to be changed from that of educational services to one that is less restrictive in perception.
The founders have been able to win the support of some heavy hitters within the business community, with Michael G. Bernard, former CEO of Carreras holding the position of Chairman, Douglas Orane as the mentor.

Ricardo Allen CEO of One to One

The Company was founded by Ricardo Allen, Rory White, Stephen Barnes and Christopher Rochester, to deliver large-scale personalized education through the utilization of advances in learning technology which employs sophisticated statistical algorithms, the prospectus states. They were later joined by R. Danvers Williams, Michael Bernard, Douglas Orane, John Bailey, Ian Forbes and the C.B. Facey Foundation and Sagicor Group through the Sagicor Sigma Funds.
As the date of this Prospectus, it is the intention of the Company to use the proceeds to further capitalize on the demand for its services across the region and to deliver on key long-term strategic contracts by continuing to invest in software development to meet the demand for their services.
In the past, the company provided contracts that involved one-time income and recurring annual income that have an average contract length of three years – which continued to generate revenues in 2021 along with a new product “Class-room in a Box” to provide offline content to individuals and schools. As of August 2021, 63 percent of the Company’s revenue was gained through these Business to Business contracts, and 37 percent through the Company’s end user consumers business line.
For the financial year 2020, a net profit of $55.4 million was generated compared to a loss of $9.7 million in 2019. The increase in profits the company states was due to new contracts acquired in response to the COVID-19 pandemic by providing services to the education sectors in Jamaica and other Caribbean territories. For 2021 net profit increased 21.75 percent to $67.5 million over 2020. The Company says it was able to negotiate long-term contracts with clients which provide stability in revenues.
Revenues moved from $27.8 million in 2017 to $269 million in 2021 with the latter rising a significant $104 million over the $128.5 million in 2020. Revenues for 2019 ended at $36 million. For the nine months to May this year, revenues rose 24 percent to $194 million over the similar period in 2021, with a profit of $49 million pretax, up from $15 million in 2021.
The company projects revenues to hit $334 million by the end of the financial year to August with pretax profits of $105 million which would equate to earnings per share of 6.9 cents, with profits being free of taxation when listed on the Junior Market. The company states that the projected fourth quarter revenues of $140 million include existing contracts that are scheduled to produce $101 million in revenues over the 3-month period to August 2022 and an additional $39 million in revenues which are expected from the conversion of deals that are within the sales pipeline, from all indication the company seems on track to achieve this target with the fourth quarter appearing to reflect seasonality in revenues.
The earnings work out at a PE ratio of 14.5 just above the market average of 12.9 Based on where recent IPOs are valued investors can look for a price after listing around $1.50 but investors have priced many of them closer to 30 times 2022 earnings in which case a price of $2 is not out of the reckoning.
A highly welcomed feature of the prospectus is the projected income statement that shows figures for the 2025 fiscal year. Looking further ahead, the Company projects to retain $160 million in current contracts and recurring users, representing 37 percent of 2023 projected revenue, which suggests revenues of $433 million and a profit of $141 million for earnings per share of 7.5 cents with a PE of 14.2. For the fiscal year 2025, revenues are projected to reach $662 million, with a profit of $180 million, but the outcome may be vastly different than forecast. The forecast ICInsider.com gathers may be conservative, with Junior Market IPO candidates in the past enjoying a big jump in business flowing from the publicity associated with the IPO. ICInsider.com expects the IPO will provide a bounce to the company’s business.
Negatives, at the end of May, receivables amounted to $127 million 65 percent of revenues or close to eight months of revenues, which is not good and could lead to a high level of bad debts in the future, there are no comments in the prospectus to explain the high level of debt due, but the audit statements shows very little provision for expected credit loss, suggesting that management and the auditors consider the amounts to be collectable. Information gleaned by this publication suggests that there is an amount of around $60 million of the amount that the payment is differed based on certain conditions being met.
Another negative is amounts due from directors of $22.5 million, which is up from $14.5 million in August 2021 and $8 million in 2020, increased each year since 2017 when it was at $994,627. The audited financial statements state that the amount “is unsecured, interest free and have no fixed repayment terms.” The income tax law will treat these amounts as liable to taxes as they could be regarded as a distribution, there is no indication of arrangements that are in place to have the amount repaid mentioned in the prospectus.
ICInsider.com does not see the reason for the loans being converted to shares being a part of the IPO rather than for the shares being issued prior to the IPO and therefore reflects a more publicly acceptable picture of the wider public getting a higher percent of the issue than how it is currently presented. All of the above presents a picture to the discerning public, a view of a board with the majority being young and inexperienced and a sign of weakness going forward if not addressed early.
The directors of the company are Michael Bernard, chairman, Ricardo Allen, John Bailey holds a University of South Florida MBA degree in Business Administration, Karen Vaz has a BA degree and is vice president of HR and Information Technology at PanJam Group, Andrew Tyrone Wilson has BSC in Banking and Finance, Mischa McLeod-Hines has an MBA degree and is Vice President Capital Markets – Sagicor Investments and Andrew Dr Carol Granston, Instructional Designer and has served in the field of Education and Training for over thirty years.
The listing of the shares will be within a week from the closing of the issue. The broker for the offer is Sagicor Investments.