Scotia Group eases into IC Top 10
Scotia replaced Berger Paints that was merely squeezed out to sit just outside the TOP 10 at the number 11 spot. Top 10 list movements were modest for the past week, following the previous week of volatility. In the Junior Market, Honey Bun sneaked into the TOP 10 by easing out Jamaican Teas in the process.
Scotia Group, reported flat profits for the nine months from normal ongoing operations. Gains from sales of Credi Scotia and exceptional foreign exchange gains in the July quarter push profit up well above that of 2017. Importantly, the best indicator going forward for increased profitability, is growth in loans. During the July quarter loans grew a strong 3.7 percent between April which works out at an attractive 15 percent per year that should equate to 25-30 percent profit growth in 2019 if the trend continues.
The main market closed the week with the overall PE slipping to 15.3 from 15.6 from the previous week, the PE of the Junior market remained unchanged at 5.5 from the prior week.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 9.3 and the main market PE is now 9.7.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 40 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 37 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.
Just one change in IC Top 10
Changes in IC Insider.com Top 10 list were modest for the past week which followed a previous week of volatility.
tTech moved back in price to $6 from $5 and moved out of the Junior Market TOP stocks to be replaced by Caribbean Producers that fell to $6 from $6.80 at the end of the previous week. These were the only movement in and out of the TOP 10.
Investors should keep an eye open for former Top stock, NCB Financial that should be releasing full year results and announcing final dividend for 2018, on Thursday
The main market closed the week with the overall PE slipping to 15.6 from 15.4 from the previous week, the PE of the Junior market moved up to 15.4 from 15.4 at the close of the prior week.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 9.2 and the main market PE is now 9.9.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 41 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 37 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.
There will be no Market Watch report for this week.
Shake up in IC Insider Top 10
Volatility was the order for the Jamaican stock market for the past week as the market indices bounced around as declining stocks were plentiful as the Junior Market ended with three changes and the main market two.
The Junior Market lost Access Financial that closed the week at $49 from $45.50 to start the week. Iron Rock Insurance that climbed to $4.82 from $4.50 and Lasco Manufacturing that inched up to $3.60 from $3 exited as well. Coming into the Junior Market TOP 10 are Elite Diagnostic, Dolphin Cove and Lasco Distributors.
Caribbean Cement reported third quarter results with lower profit for the nine months than for 2017 but foreign exchange losses was the main factor. The exchange rate has now reversed and that should turnaround the negative impact by the end of the year, nevertheless IC insider.com downgraded full year earnings to $3.53 per share, resulting in the stock dropping out of the main market TOP 10 along with JMMB Group that rose back to $34 from $32. The moves allowed Barita Investments that fell to $18 and Salada Foods that slipped to $21.50 to re-enter the top list.
The main market closed the week with the overall PE slipping to 15.4 from 16 from the previous week, the PE of the Junior market moved up to 15.4 from 16.4 at the close of the prior week.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 9.1 and the main market PE is now 9.6.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 41 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 37 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.
There will be no Market Watch report this week.
Major shake up in Junior Market Top 10
The Junior market tumbled 5 percent during the past week and shook up the TOP 10 stock list resulting in Caribbean Cream that fell out of the list last week coming back in along with tTech, Jamaica Teas and Lasco Manufacturing with a fall in price to $3, also returned to the TOP list.
Medical Disposables moved up in price from $6.50 to $7.20 at the end of the week to exit the TOP 10. Honey Bun inched up in price and was eased out and so was Dolphn Cove that moved into the list last week and Lasco Distributors this past week. In the main market Barita Investments hit a new high during the week and moved on to be replaced by JMMB Group that closed the week at $32 after opening at $35.01.
Iron Rock moved back into the TOP 10, last week reported a small profit of $1 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $14 million in the 29017 third quarter and a loss of $7.6 million for the nine months versus a loss of $60 million in 2017. Caribbean Cream fell at the end of the week to $5 is now showing potential gains of 160 percent and follows Paramount with 173 percent, that reported lower first quarter profits of $7 million compared to $34 million in 2017, from increased revenues but with a foreign exchange loss eating up $18 million of the 2018 income. In the main market Caribbean Cement with potential gains of 120 percent leads the main market stocks in attractiveness, followed by Wisynco with likely gains of 114 percent.
The main market closed the week with the overall PE slipping to 16 from 16.3 from the previous week, the PE of the Junior market moved up to 16.4 from 15.8 at the close of the prior week.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 9.2 and the main market PE is now 9.8.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 44 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 39 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.
Barita could spike higher this week
The main market of the stock exchange ended the week at another record close with a number of individual stocks hitting new highs but this coming week could well be more challenging, investors have to bear in mind that the supplies for several stocks are very limited and could result in big price movements as happened last week.
Technical chart shows NCB Financial heading to $155 but it traded at new high of $134 during the past week which is not very far from the target of potential resistance. Whether it goes higher during the coming days is anyone’s guess but it is worth watching. Caribbean Cream moved up to $7.90 from $6.16 at the end of the previous week. The company posted better profit results in the August quarter but with less gains than in the first, as administrative cost rose to negate some of the top line growth. Those results may be unlikely to move the stock forward in the short term.
The Junior Market continues to inch forward as it appears that investors are waiting on results. They got Caribbean Cream and Paramount Trading at the end of week, but no major upward price movement is expected.
The indicators point to continued increased interest in the main market stocks with a number of them are high on the list to watch for this week with less indications that Junior Market stocks will move upwards in droves anytime soon. Stocks of interest this week are Grace Kennedy, Barita Investments with limited supply and technical indicators pointing to a price of $22.50 initially before going on to $27.50. Berger Paints, Jamaica Producers has very little stock offered for sale and that could result in a sharp spike in price at any time, Mayberry Jamaican Equities (MJE), Mayberry Investments that will benefit from increased profit of MJE, NCB Financial, Wisynco Group that has gone back above the $10 price level, CAC2000 that is very scarce, Main Event and Stationery and Office Supplies that seem to have exhausted selling at $09.50 with $10 being the possible next level. A number of these have limited supplies for sale.
With the average PE of the market now at a comfortable 16 times 2018 earnings, stocks valued less than the market average could see increased interest as investors look for bargains.
Grace Kennedy seems ready to break out of the $60 range as there is no big supply on offer now and during the past
week, it traded as high as $75. Caribbean Cement keeps trading between $46 and $50, but there appears no real desire to move the price forward, this one could be negatively affected by foreign exchange losses in the September quarter. Kingston Wharves has always had limited supply, so it could move higher going forward, even the valuation is rich. Supply of JMMB Group has dried up and that could create the environment for the price to continue to move higher, it is also one of the lower valued stock in the main market. Investors need to bear in mind that the price is currently at a resistance level at $37, so it may move sideways with an upward bias for a while, unless strong buying pushes over this level.
An overall view of stocks indicates that the main market continues to be steered higher by an upward sloping support line as well the 45 and 125 day moving averages, lending support just below. The Junior Market is being guided by an upward rising long-term support line and a golden cross. The golden cross is a very strong bullish long-term signal, but market needs fuel of rising profits.
Grace, Proven, Access & Iron Rock in TOP 10
Decline in the prices of three stocks during the week and gains by others resulted in changes to the IC Insider.com TOP 10 list this week.
Grace Kennedy pulled back to $59.50 and Proven Investments down to 21 US cents and Access Financial falling, with the offer at $45.50, Dolphin Cove and Iron Rock declining to $4.50 moved into the top stock list, taking the place of Sagicor Group that moved up to $42.55 and Salada Foods that moved up to $24.95 in the main market, while Caribbean Cream that fell to $6.16 to enter last weeks’ list moved up in price to $7.68 and with a slight downgrade to earnings to 65 cents per share, fell out of the top list and Caribbean Producers climbed to $7 and is also out.
The main hit new historical highs on Friday resulted in the overall PE for the main market rising to 16.3 up from 15.8 from the previous week, the PE of the Junior market remained unchanged at 15.8.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 9.5 and the main market PE is now 9.9, marginally higher than the prior week’s level, as the market continues to see an upward revaluation of the multiple.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 40 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 39 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.
Watch NCB & Kremi this week
The main market of the stock exchange closed the week with two of the highest daily increases in the market index ever, a clear sign that investors want stocks to buy and the supply remains very limited and putting the bulls in control.
The moves last week in the main market and since the start of August has set the stage for several stocks to be on the move this week.
The Junior Market continues to inch forward as it appears that investors are waiting on results. They should get Caribbean Cream this week and that should be a strong set of results as the company benefits from lower raw material cost compared to the first quarter when profits jumped 59 percent.
The indicators point to continued increased interest in the main market stocks with a number of them are high on the list to watch for this week. Stocks of interest this week are Grace Kennedy, Barita Investments, Berger Paints, Mayberry Jamaican Equities, NCB Financial, Wisynco, Caribbean Cream, CAC 2000, Main Event and Stationery and Office Supplies, many of these have limited supplies for sale.
With the average PE of the market now approaching a comfortable 16 times 2018 earnings, stocks valued less than the market average could see increased interest as investors look for bargains.
NCB Financial went sideways for around two weeks but bids started building close to the closing prices last week and that could help it move higher this week. Barita had a relatively strong day on Friday with 261,000 shares trading, leaving only a minute amount of 6,200 units on offer at $25.
Grace Kennedy seems ready to break out of the $60 range as there is no big supply on offer now and during the past week, it traded as high as $75. Caribbean Cement keeps trading between $46 and $50, but there appears no real desire to move the price forward, this one could be negatively affected by foreign exchange losses in the September quarter. Kingston Wharves has always had limited supply, so it could move higher going forward, as can be seen from the big jump on Friday to $83 at 52 times 2018 earnings the valuation is rich. Supply of JMMB Group have dried up and that could create the environment for the price to continue to move higher, it is also one of the lower valued stock in the main market. Investors have gradually sucked out most of the supply of Stationery and Office Supplies, below $10 and the price could move to the $10 level during the course of the week.
An overall view of stocks indicates that the main market continues to be steered higher by an upward sloping support line as well the 45 and 125 day moving averages, lending support just below. The Junior Market that traded recently at an all-time high, is being guided by an upward rising long-term support line and a golden cross. The golden cross is a very strong bullish long-term signal.
Kremi surges to top IC TOP 10
Investors pushed Caribbean Cream down to $6.16 on Friday to surge to the top of the list this week, while Stanley Motta was pushed down to $4.50 to reenter this Top 10 stock list.
JMMB Group jumped sharply to close at a new record high of $37 on Friday and was pushed out of the top tier main market list while Iron Rock shot to a record $5 and dropped out of the Junior Market listing. The market could be making a big mistake with Stanley Motta that is clearly undervalued. IC Insider.com upgraded Caribbean Cream earnings to 85 cents from 70 cents with a sharp fall in the price of milk solids since May by nearly 24 percent that should cut the direct input cost of producing ice cream.
Gains in the two markets are driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior and main market, both rising to 15.8 as of Friday, up from just over 15 last week, as the valuation multiple grows with historically low interest rates and high liquidity abounding in the financial market.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 9.2 and the main market PE is now 9.4, just marginally lower than the prior week’s level, even as the market continues to see an upward revaluation of the multiple.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 42 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 40 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.
Watch Grace this week
The main stocks of interest this week are Grace Kennedy, Stationery and Office Supplies, CAC 2000, NCB Financial, Caribbean Cream, Main Event, Wisynco and Berger Paints, most of these have limited supplies.
With the average PE of the market now exceeding a comfortable 15 times 2018 earnings and rising, stocks valued less than the market average, could see increased interest as investors look for bargains.
Bulls continue to push the Jamaican stock market, to new heights last week as low interest rates and good profits help push investors into stocks against the back ground of limited selling.
The supply of several of the main market stocks are extremely scarce and that is working in market favour to move much higher, before too long. There are several stocks priced well below the market’s average and that could encourage buying interest in them as well.
NCB Financial went sideways for around two weeks but bids started building close to the closing prices last week and that could help it move higher this week.
Grace Kennedy seems ready to break out of the $60 range as there is no supply on offer now. Caribbean Cement
keeps trading between $46 and $50, but there appears no real desire to move the price forward. Kingston Wharves has always had limited supply, so it could move higher going forward. Supply of JMMB Group have dried up and that could create the environment for the price to move higher.
An overall view of stocks indicates that the main market continues to be steered higher by an upward sloping support line as well the 45 and 125 day moving averages, lending support just below, but the 400,000 points resistance could likely stall the rally in the main market for a while. The Junior Market that traded recently at an all-time high, is being steered by an upward rising long-term support line and a golden cross. The golden cross is a very strong bullish long-term signal.
JMMB & Honey Bun now in IC TOP 10
Honey Bun and Medical Disposables are in this week’s Top 10 Junior Market stocks replacing Main Event and CAC2000. In the main market, Sygnus Credit and JMMB Group are back in the top tier stocks and out goes Stanley Motta and Sterling Investments.
Sterling Investments, a very long time TOP 10 listing hit a record $22.50 this past week, as investors continued to applaud the recently announced 3 for 1 stock split. In the Junior Market, CAC2000 closed at $15 and ended trading with no stock on offer. The stock seems poised for stock split, to create more liquidity and is set to trade higher this week with buying orders in for 139,000 shares at $15. The price of Stanley Motta climbed to $5.27 during the week from $4.81 in the previous week and exited the main market list.
Barita Investments and Berger Paints, long time TOP 10 listees, moved up in price during the week but still remain in the listing at position 7 and 9 respectively and could be out by the end of this week, if current demand continues.
Gains in the two markets are driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior Market rising to 15 and the main market to 15.3 as the valuation multiple grows with historically low interest rates and high liquidity abounding in the financial market.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks, average 9.3, similar to last week’s level, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher, the main market PE is now 9.5, up from 9.1 last week, for the top stocks.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 38 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be, at 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 38 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.
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