RJR down to 7 spot, Dolphin joins ICTOP10

Dolphin Cove returns to the ICInsider.com TOP10 list after a very long absence. The company’s half year results show a major upturn in fortunes, with prospects of good full year results. The stock replaces CAC2000 that slipped out of the top list.
Dolphin Cove reported a profit of US$1.24 million in the June quarter or 49 cents in Jamaican currency, thus wiping out the first quarter loss of US$155,000 and seems on target to generate around $3.3 million in profit for the year.
Last week’s number one Main Market stock – RJR, dropped to position 7 this week, with the price jumping to $3.50 from $2.25 last week. It could be out of the TOP10 next week if buying interest continues to come into the market, with the stock gaining 60 percent for the week and a respectable 91 percent for the year to date. That is not a bad performance for a stock sold for $1.10 in December last year and one that not many investors looked at until recent results were released. Interestingly, while many investors looked elsewhere, the smart money was laser focused on the future and the boom in revenues that was to come from growth in various areas of the economy that would increase advertising spend and push quarter profits to record levels. The smart money bought 52 million shares on April 6 last year, at an average of $1.33. On April 13, 95.4 million units were picked up and 67.7 million on April 27 at $1.26. The next big buy was August 17th, with 10 million units at $1.30 and 0n October 19 with 20 million units.
Outside the Junior and Main markets TOP10, investors should watch AMG Packaging and Sterling Investments.
After more than a year and a half at the top of the ICTOP10 listing Radio Jamaica finally broke lose this week, with the price hitting new daily 52 weeks’ highs and ended at $3.50 on Friday. The top three Main Market stocks are now headed by Berger Paints, with the potential to gain 277 percent, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 202 to 277 percent for the three, versus last weeks’ 200 to 300 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by Stationery and Office Supplies that fell on Friday to $5.75, from $7.43 last week and General Accident, with all three having the potential to gain between 221 percent and 295 percent, compared to 256 and 336 percent, last week.
Last week, a few companies’ profit results were highlighted; one that was not and came out with less than exciting profit numbers is Elite that is top of the Junior Market listing. The company came to the market with much promise but has failed to deliver on its promise. A close assessment of the June results shows an increase in revenue in each quarter in the last fiscal year over the prior quarter, suggesting that if the trend continues, the current fiscal year should see a big rise in revenues and profits. The paying of a dividend that is greater than the reported profit for the last fiscal year is an indication that things are likely to be better in the current year. The other factor is that EBITA is strong with a fairly stable depreciation charge of 20 percent of revenues.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market moved from 193 percent to 207 percent and Main Market stocks from 180 percent to 172 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 11.4 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 15.6, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6, with a 41 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best in the market but are likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
 IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

CAC hits ICTOP10 as RJR stuns market

The leading Main Market ICInsider.com TOP10 listed Radio Jamaica stuns the market this week with blow out first quarter profit of $110 million that compares well with $171 million reported in the last fiscal year, profit could be higher but for a near $70 million provision for bad debt and would have put the result close to our first quarter profit forecast of it beating 2021 full year results.
The bad news is that many persons ignore ICInnsider.com’s forecast of great things to come from the company, with many chasing after it on Friday after the release of the results on Thursday. Some readers bought into the vision but not all. The good news is that, with projected earnings of 45 cents per share, there is much room for this stock to run. The other good news is that there is much more to be gained by owning the stock as the company completes projects that will boost revenues and grow profits in the years to come.
The last dividend paid was 2 cents in July of 2019; before that, 2 cents in September 2016 and 10 cents in September 2015, although profit was only 9 cents per share. A dividend seems due for September this year, and with profits up in the 2021 fiscal year and year to date, shareholders could be looking at an early Christmas present.
The RJR results came close to the end of earning season for the June quarter and stimulated strong buying in the stock, with 9.2 million shares changing hands on Friday, the highest since 8.25 million units were traded on the 19 of July, the second trading day after the company released full year’s results to March. Interest has been building in the stock from the full year release and could get stronger as ICInsider.com gathers that there is good buying interest in it.  
With those strong results and the promise of 45 cents per share to be earned for this year and 80 cents in the next year, one would be forgiven if they felt that RJR should be dislodged from the ICTOP10 listing. Well, the top three Main Market stocks are headed again by Radio Jamaica, but the potential gains rose from 296 percent to 300 percent, even as the price moved up to a 52 weeks’ closing high of $2.25 from $2.02 last week, due to upgrading in the earnings to 45 cents per share or $1.1 billion. RJR is followed by Berger Paints, with earnings per share upgraded to $2.45 and JMMB Group, with expected gains of 200 to 300 percent for the three, versus last weeks’ 191 to 296 percent.
CAC2000, a stock with little focus from investors replaces Jetcon Corporation in the Junior Market ICTOP10. Investors should keep watch on CAC2000, with the strong growth in the construction sector that could benefit them.
The PE Ratio of the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks trade at a 44 percent discount to the market average and Main Market stocks 54 percent, indicating the potential gains in these stocks compared with many of those outsides of them.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 221 percent and 295 percent compared to 256 and 336 percent, last week. Medical Disposables reported vastly improved revenues and profit for the June quarter even without reporting any income from acquiring the 60 percent majority ownership in Cornwall Enterprises. The price of General Accident has languished from last year, even as expansion pointed to improved results for them. They reported a profit of $166 million for the June quarter and $202 million for the half year with EPS of 16 cents and 20 cents respectively, putting them in line to exceed 60 cents for the full year with the last quarter usually the period with highest profits. Caribbean Brokers recorded increased revenues as well as increased expenses, some to promote products. Losses increased in the June quarter and half year, but late 2020 was the period that profit was reported. JMMB Group reported improved June results that more than doubled over 2020 even as cost rose faster than revenues.
This past week, the average gains projected for the Junior Market moved from 218 percent to 193 percent and Main Market stocks to 180 percent from 175 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 12.6 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17, for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.3, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.5, with a 46 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 38 percent and requires a rise of 63 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.9, just 54 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best in the market but are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
 IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report. 

More changes in ICTOP10 picks

Scotia Group headquarters

Scotia Group’s stock price slipped during the week from $42 at the end of the previous week and closed trading at $39.50 Friday and pushing it back into the Main Market ICTOP10 listing and in the process displaced Sterling Investments that reentered the list last week, these were the only changes in and out of the ICTOP10.
More mid-year results were released during the week but had little or no effect on prices as the markets seemed to have suffered from mediocre demand by investors, but there appears some added interest in Caribbean Cement and GraceKennedy.  
The PE Ratio of the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks trade at a 47 percent discount to the market average and Main Market stocks 54 percent, indications of the potential gains in these stocks compared with many of that are outside.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, continue to be Elite Diagnostic, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 256 percent and 336 percent compared to 221 and 287 percent, last week. Medical Disposables continues the addition of new products to its portfolio that will add revenues and profit going forward. The acquisition of the 60 percent majority ownership in Cornwall Enterprises, will result in economies of scale and an expanded portfolio to market nationally to an expanded clientele.
The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 191 to 296 percent, versus last weeks’ 184 to 296 percent. The Top10 Main Market leader Radio Jamaica continues to enjoy buying interest that is whittling away the supply of stocks on offer in the market. A barrage of new results are due this coming week as the final reporting day for the period will be Saturday this coming week.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market, moved from 207 percent last week, back to 218 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 175 percent from 173 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 12.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17, for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.3, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.5, with a 54 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 38 percent and requires a rise of 63 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.5, just 53 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best stocks in the market but ones that are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen months period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
 IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Change in ICTOP10 picks

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Mid-year results are now flowing unlike anything seen in the local market in recent years. Most companies reported gains in revenues and profits, but investors’ interest seems lukewarm in the aftermath of the results, even as interest in ICTOP10 number 1 stock, Radio Jamaica (RJR) continues to be robust as more investors turn their eyes to what is a major turnaround in fortunes.
GraceKennedy reported continued strong numbers, showing improvement in revenues and profit, so too did Caribbean Cement and Berger Paints. Investors don’t seem to buy into Berger’s major change in operations and the implication for profit from the major surge in revenues. Based on the six months numbers, the company’s earnings for 2021 is upgraded to $2 per share. All three Lasco companies reported improved revenues and profit for the June Quarter, but the stocks are stuck at prerelease prices.
Investors should ignore the lukewarm response now and accumulate some of these stocks to profit from later in the year when the inevitable buying comes in for them. Access Financial reported improved results for the June quarter after reporting modest gains in lending. NCB Financial also released results but the details suggest caution, with the performance being helped by onetime income or cost reduction. Jamaica Stock Exchange reported improved June quarter numbers, but improvement is not strong enough to justify the current price the stock trades at.
Sterling Investments returns to the TOP10 Main Market listing, after replacing Scotia Group that recorded a rise in its price from last weeks’ $38.75 to $42 at the close of trading on Friday. There are no changes in or out of the Junior Market list.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market, continue, with Elite Diagnostic, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 221 percent and 287 percent compared to 237 and 291 percent, last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 184 to 296 percent, versus last weeks’ 183 to 292 percent.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market, moved up from 202 percent last week, back to 207 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 173 percent from 164 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17, for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.4, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6 or 46 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 28 percent and requires a rise of 50 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.7, just 50 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best stocks in the market but ones that are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen months period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
 IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

 

#1 ICTOP10 pick to stun market

ICTOP10 number 1 stock, Radio Jamaica (RJR) price moved up 22 percent since releasing full year results recently, with the stock trading at the highest price in a year, it is set to lose the number one spot sooner than later. The company reported just 7 cents per share from reduced revenues. On the surface, the stock price should at best remain at the prerelease price around $1.70 level, but there is much more to those results that only a more detailed assessment would reveal.

Media house, RJR traded most shares on friday

Based on ICInsider.com research, investors should expect the first quarter profit to exceed the 2021 fiscal year results of $171 million on the way to record just under $1 billion in profit for 2022 to give investors a big payday.
RJR is the sort of stock that few would have on their buy list. After all, the company has not performed particularly well in recent years. Worse the Cocvid-19 pandemic made matters tough for them, with contraction in revenues and initially, reduced profit. What goes for RJR would apply to many of the ICInsider.com top stocks for 2021. ICInsider.com goes beyond the actual results to find important information that is not always useful to many but can provide guidance into the future and expose above average profit growth.
That is one reason why many of the selections at the start of the year have done well. Examples are as such, Caribbean Cream up 43 percent for the year to date started the year at the number 2 spot, Caribbean Producers the number 3 spot selection is up 82 percent, Main Event up 73 percent, Medical Disposables up just 12 percent, Stationery & Office Supplies 55 percent, Lumber Depot 116 percent and Mailpac 32 percent. Later, Future Energy Source was added to the list at the IPO stage and is up an impressive 110 percent. Additionally, Jetcon Corporation up 76 percent and Jamaican Teas 100 percent are not being counted. The Main Market with few overall winners for that market so far also produced winners from the TOP15 list, posted at the start of the year, Grace, Carreras, Caribbean Cement and Jamaica Broilers.
The TOP10 stocks are not always the best in the market but are most likely to be the best winners within a fifteen-month period. IC ranked stocks to filter out the big winners, allowing investors to focus on potentially big winners and help to keep out emotional attachments to stocks.
PanJam Investment earnings is downgraded to $4.50 per share and the stock moved out of the TOP10 Main Market listing and is replaced by Scotia Group, now in at tenth spot. There are no changes in or out of the Junior Market list.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market moved up from 183 percent last week back to 202 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 164 percent from 176 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market continue, with Elite Diagnostic heading the list, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with potential to gain between 237 percent and 291 percent compared to 233 and 242 percent last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 183 to 292 percent as RJR price rose and reducing its future potential growth, versus last weeks’ 181 to 379 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise 30 percent and requires a rise of 53 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 17 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 23 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.8, just 52 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.4, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just a 17 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 23 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.8 or 48 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Stunning results from ICTOP10 stocks

Caribbean Cream

Caribbean Cream delivered stunning positive results this past week with profit doubling, in line with ICInsider.com forecast and sent the stock up 25 percent to a 52 weeks’ high when it traded at $6.85 on Friday. The price is up 63 percent for the year to date but is set to clear $15, with projected earnings of 85 cents for the current year.
During the week, the Junior Market lost Caribbean Producers to the Main Market and the move attracted more trading in it, with Friday having the lowest volume of 104,442 and the highest 275,415 shares on the first day of the transfer, well up on the previous two days of 34,319 and 58,282 shares. The stock continues to move higher, with gains of 91 percent for the year to date.
tTech maintained last week’s price of $4.75 to return to Junior Market TOP10 this week, replacing Caribbean Producers that was the only new entrant to the JSE Main Market TOP10, replacing Jamaica Broilers.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market fell from 202 percent last week to 183 percent and Main Market stocks moved to 176 percent from 170 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are General Accident, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Elite Diagnostic, with potential to gain between 233 percent and 242 percent compared to 240 and 282 percent last week, as Elite price moved up by 15 percent to $3.60 following the announcement a proposed dividend consideration and a change in the Chief Executive. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and PanJam Investment, with expected gains of 181 to 379 percent versus last weeks’ 161 to 379 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 30 percent and requires a rise of 53 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would have to rise by 19 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 24 percent to get to the target of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 7.2., just 55 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.1, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just an 18 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 24 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6 or 47 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
This week’s focus: Results for Caribbean Cream with revenues up a solid 28 percent and profit doubling to $54 million, from $27 million with earnings of 14 cents per share, speak for themselves. Radio Jamaica is at a totally different level. The company delivered an 11.6 percent revenue rise in the March quarter and a profit of $44 million, pushing full year’s profit to $171 million of just 7 cents per share. The year’s performance comes against the backdrop of $366 million in what can be considered one off costs and in a year when revenues fell 7 percent. The 2022 results are set to be a stunner.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Grace & Jetcon are back ICTOP10

Jetcon Corporation returns the Junior Market TOP10 after the price slipped from $1.39 last week to $1.35 at the close of the week, replacing tTech that enjoyed a slight price bounce from $4.40 last week to $4.75 this week, while in the JSE Main Market Grace Kennedy returns after a week’s absence and replaces Jamaica Broilers that is now out.
Jamaica Broilers reported full year results, with profits of $2.3 billion up 67 percent from $1.4 billion in 2020 for earnings per share of $2.30. ICInsider.com now projects $3.30 earnings per share for the 2022 fiscal year and that is not enough to keep it in the TOP10.
The performance of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market continues to lag well behind the Junior Market, with the fall in the financial sector led by NCB Financial Group being a major drag on the main market, but values in the Junior Market are far more favourable than those in the main market and that is eloquently told by the average PE ratios of both markets.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market rose from 200 percent last week to 202 percent and Main Market stocks edged down from last week’s 171 percent to 168 percent.
The top three Junior Market stocks are Elite Diagnostic, Caribbean Ass. Brokers and General Accident, with potential gains between 240 and 282 percent, following the range of 223 and 287 percent last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 169 to 379 percent versus last weeks’ 188 to 385 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 12.9 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 32 percent and requires a rise of 53 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would need to rise by 11 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 17 percent to get to the target of 20.
The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.8, just 53 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 17, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just a 12 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 18 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.9 or 47 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Grace Kennedy exits ICTOP10 with record price

The Junior Market recovered all of its Covid-19 related loss and more in hitting its highest level this week, since the first week of December 2019, helped by a number of ICInsider.com Top stocks of which 6 recorded gains between 69 percent and 81 and two over 100 percent, with the market up 29 percent for 2021 to date.
At the close of the week, tTech entered the Junior Market TOP10 and ISP Finance fell out after the price of the latter climbed from $17.98 to $22.43 and in the Main Market long time TOP10 candidate Grace Kennedy finally slipped out with a record breaking price of $105.98 for a 64 percent rise since January, allowing Sterling Investments to return to the TOP10.
The Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market has not performed as well as the Junior Market, with the fall in the financial sector led by NCB Financial Group, but there are a few individual stocks that continue to deliver gains in 2021 and a few that possess the potential to move decidedly higher.
This past week the average gains projected for the Junior Market slipped from 204 percent last week to 200 percent and Main Market stocks edged down from last week’s 172 percent to 171 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite, Caribbean Assurance and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 223 and 287 percent, following the range of 254 to 276 percent last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 171 to 379 percent versus last weeks’ 188 to 385 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 as well as the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the Junior Market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 31 percent and requires a rise of 54 percent to reach the targeted PE of 20 by March 2022. Main Market stocks would need to rise by 11 percent to hit a PE of 19 and 17 percent to get to the target of 20.
The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.8, just 53 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.9, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just an 11 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 17 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.8 or 45 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

JMMB moves to #2 in Main Market ICTOP10

The two main Jamaica Stock Exchange markets may have broken loose from the area of resistance, but they continue to be hemmed in around current trading levels, with Junior Market closing below last week’s close with three days of decline and the Main market had three days of decline but ended the week with a fall of points after recording a strong rise the previous week.
Caribbean Cream is back with earnings per share now at 70 cents for the current year, while Future Energy Source reached new highs during the week and is out of the IC Junior Market TOP10. In the Main Market, there was no change in the list, but earnings per share for JMMB Group is upgraded to $6 for the current year and the stock is now the second best main market stock, with potential to gain over 200 percent for the next twelve months.
There are still several stocks that are severely undervalued, with the scope to record above average gains up to the first half of 2022. This past week the average gains projected for the Junior stocks slipped from 207 percent last week to 204 percent and the Main Market stocks moved up from last week’s 166 percent up to 172 percent with the upgrading of JMMB earnings.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market continue to be Elite Diagnostic heading the list, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain from 254 to 276 percent, after the range fell from 247 to 300 percent last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 171 to 379 percent versus last weeks’ 160 to 391 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 31 percent and require a rise of 52 percent to March 2022 to reach the targeted PE of 20.
The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.8, just 51 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 17.1, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just an 11 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 17 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.9 or 46 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

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Junior Market sets for record 4,230 points?

The Junior Market closed the week at 3,367.03 points with gains of near 28 percent for the overall market for the year to date and 66 percent from the 2020 low of 2,031.79 points on March 18 last year and now sits just 8 percent below the historical high for the market of 3,662.94 points back October 14, 2019.
The market was only above Friday’s close for one day in early January last year when the index closed at 3,378.20 points on January 3 and one day in June this year.
In the process, Lumber Depot gained 111 percent for the year, followed by Fosrich, 109 percent, Jamaican Teas 97 percent, Jetcon 96 percent, Stationery and Office Supplies, 76 percent, Express Catering 71 percent, Main Event 66 percent, Lasco Manufacturing and Caribbean Cream 41 percent.
The growth for the year to date would result in a 60 percent increase for the full year if the current trend continues and would see the market index rising to a record high of 4,230 points to sit just around the next area of resistance. That level would equate with an average PE of 16 times 2021 earnings and suggest that the current rally is likely to continue at a measured pace, similar to the rise from the 2020 low point.

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