Stocks got clobbered for a second day, with the All Jamaican Composite Index tumbling 7,500.40 points to 456,885.82, following on Monday’s more than 7,000 points fall. The JSE Main Index dropped 5,985.17 points to end at 419,563.41 and the JSE Financial Index shed just 1.18 points to 103.69 as activity ended on Tuesday on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market after the volume of shares exchange dived 50 percent, while the value surged 109 percent compared to Monday.
Trading ended with 50 securities compared to 51 on Monday, with 17 rising, 21 declining and 12 remaining unchanged. The PE Ratio, a measure that determines an appropriate relative value stocks, averages 16.9 based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings.
Trading concluded on Tuesday with 9,510,633 shares for $151,206,424 compared to 18,854,189 stock units at $72,201,390 on Monday. Wigton Windfarm accounted for 33.9 percent of total volume, with 3.22 million shares, to lead the volume traded, followed by QWI Investments 14.4 percent with 1.37 million units and Sagicor Select Financial Fund with 10.2 percent after an exchange of 972,238 units.
Trading averaged 190,213 units at $3,024,128, compared to 369,690 shares at $1,415,714 on Monday. Trading month to date averages 250,335 units at $3,911,541, in contrast to 253,353 units at $3,956,090 on Monday. May ended with an average of 439,937 units at $4,698,961.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading has 12 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close, Barita Investments declined $1.10 to $80 with an exchange of 700,191 shares, Caribbean Cement slipped 50 cents to $94.50 after clearing the market of 155,541 stock units, Grace Kennedy fell $1 to $96.95, with 43,336 units crossing the market. Guardian Holdings dropped $30 to end at a JSE low of $650 with the swapping of 46,888 stocks, Jamaica Broilers rose 78 cents to $36.03 in exchanging 24,814 units, Jamaica Producers declined $1.25 to $23.50 after investors transferred 32,054 stock units. Jamaica Stock Exchange dipped 32 cents to $17, trading 17,228 stocks, Mayberry Jamaican Equities popped 34 cents to $9.09 after switching ownership of 17,300 shares. NCB Financial rose $1 to $142 with 68,867 units changing hands, 138 Student Living lost 25 cents to end at $5 with the swapping of 10,165 shares, Palace Amusement spiked $149.73 to $1,500 after trading 208 units, PanJam Investment declined $2 to $65 with a transfer of 50,915 stock units. Pulse Investments lost 24 cents to close at $4.10 with 75,022 shares clearing the market, Sagicor Group rallied 69 cents to close at $57 in an exchange of 65,202 stock units, Salada Foods shed 62 cents to close at $8, with 57,825 stocks crossing the market. Seprod gained 99 cents to finish at $74.49 with the swapping of 175,821 shares, Supreme Ventures declined 95 cents in closing at $19.95 after an exchange of 53,982 stocks and Wisynco Group lost 20 cents to close at $15.75 in transferring 50,623 units.
In the preference segment, Eppley 8.25% spiked 80 cents in closing at $6.85 with 157 units changing hands and JMMB Group 7.15% – 2028 gained 20 cents to end at $3.25 in trading 65,000 stocks.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
JMMB moves to #2 in Main Market ICTOP10
The two main Jamaica Stock Exchange markets may have broken loose from the area of resistance, but they continue to be hemmed in around current trading levels, with Junior Market closing below last week’s close with three days of decline and the Main market had three days of decline but ended the week with a fall of points after recording a strong rise the previous week.
Caribbean Cream is back with earnings per share now at 70 cents for the current year, while Future Energy Source reached new highs during the week and is out of the IC Junior Market TOP10. In the Main Market, there was no change in the list, but earnings per share for JMMB Group is upgraded to $6 for the current year and the stock is now the second best main market stock, with potential to gain over 200 percent for the next twelve months.
There are still several stocks that are severely undervalued, with the scope to record above average gains up to the first half of 2022. This past week the average gains projected for the Junior stocks slipped from 207 percent last week to 204 percent and the Main Market stocks moved up from last week’s 166 percent up to 172 percent with the upgrading of JMMB earnings.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market continue to be Elite Diagnostic heading the list, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain from 254 to 276 percent, after the range fell from 247 to 300 percent last week. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by JMMB Group and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 171 to 379 percent versus last weeks’ 160 to 391 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently trades well below the target of 20 and the recent historical average of 17 for the period to March this year based on 2020 earnings. For the market to trade at the historical average, the PE Ratio would have to rise by 31 percent and require a rise of 52 percent to March 2022 to reach the targeted PE of 20.
The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average PE is a mere 6.8, just 51 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 17.1, a little distance from the 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting just an 11 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 17 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.9 or 46 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
New ICTOP10 entrants
In a week when the main and junior markets of the Jamaica Stock exchange broke loose from resistance, with the Junior Market just creeping away and the Main market surging more than 14,000 points up, as investors appear more bullish than they have been for some time.
Scotia Group, along with Caribbean Cream, fell out of the TOP10 based on downward revisions to their earnings for the coming financial year ends. Moving into the Junior Market TOP10 is ISP Finance with the price dropping to $15.60 on Friday and the Main Market listed, Berger Paints moving back in the TOP10 with the price at $13.85 on Friday.
JMMB Group came outwith solid results for the full year to March, leading to a revision of the projection for the 2022 fiscal year, making the stock a solid buy even after it rose 12 percent to $38.45 from $32.50 last week, Grace Kennedy jumped 5 percent from $94.97 last week to close at $99.46, PanJam Investment moved up 11 percent from $54.50 to $69 and Future Energy Sources closed the week at a 52 weeks’ high of $1.10, to be marginally up for the week from $1.07.
The average gains projected for the Junior Market slipped from 210 percent last week to 207 percent as the market slowly rises. The average projected gains for the Main Market stocks dropped last week from 170 to 166 percent as the market gained 3 percent for the week.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market continue to be Elite Diagnostic heading the list, followed by Medical Disposables and Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with the potential to gain between 247 to 300 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by PanJam Investments and JMMB Group, with expected gains of 160 to 391 percent.
The targeted PE ratio for the market remains an average of 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market. One reason why the Junior Market stocks have outperformed Main Market ones since last year can be seen from the big difference between the valuations of both markets, with the latter values close to maturity, based on present valuation metrics.
The Junior Market, with an average PE 13 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading well below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17, for the market to get to last year average, would require a 32 percent rise in the market, that would equate to a rise of 54 percent to March 2022 if it were to reach the targeted PE of 20. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 6.7 at just 51 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 17.1, a little distance from the 19 the market ended in March, suggesting just an 11 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 17 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.9 or 46 percent of the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.