Market activity ended on Tuesday, with the volume of shares trading declining 71 percent less and the value plunged 68 percent lower than Friday on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market as rising stocks exceeded those declining and sent the market indices substantially higher by the close.
The All Jamaican Composite Index jumped 3,803.79 points to 431,871.33, the JSE Main Index spiked 3,178.62 points to close at 390,131.58 and the JSE Financial Index rose 0.12 points to settle at 95.60.
Trading ended with 54 securities up from 51 on Friday, with 25 rising, 21 declining and eight closed unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a formula for computing appropriate stock values, averages 16.2. The PE ratios in the JSE Main and USD Market closing quotes are based on earnings forecasts by ICInsider.com for companies with financial years ending between the current year and August 2022.
Just 4,038,953 shares traded for $65,415,335 down from 13,887,175 units at $205,378,180 on Friday. Transjamaican Highway led trading with 654,165 shares for 16.2 percent of total volume followed by Pulse Investments with 552,036 units for 13.7 percent of the day’s trade and Wigton Windfarm 452,476 units with 11.2 percent market share.
Trading averages 74,795 units at $1,211,395, down from 272,298 shares at $4,027,023 on Friday and month to date, an average of 409,305 units at $4,372,756, compared to 429,488 units at $4,563,497 on Friday. Trading in November averaged 233,949 units at $2,695,416.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows 14 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, Barita Investments climbed $2.46 to $92.48 after exchanging 86,288 stock units, Berger Paints dipped $1.20 to $12.50 in an exchange of 9,154 units. Caribbean Cement fell 99 cents to $71.01 in trading 19,492 stocks, Caribbean Producers popped $1.51 to end at $13.49 after 155,338 units changed hands, Eppley gained $1.77 to end at $36, with 155 shares clearing the market. Guardian Holdings rallied 50 cents to $510 after trading 1,599 stock units, Jamaica Producers dropped $1.52 to $21.93 in exchanging 272,747 stocks, Jamaica Stock Exchange dropped 50 cents to close at $17 with the swapping of 20,976 stocks. JMMB Group lost 26 cents in closing at $38.19 while exchanging 54,023 units, Mayberry Investments rallied 86 cents to $8.86 after 110,577 stock units passed through the exchange, Mayberry Jamaican Equities shed 49 cents to $9 in switching ownership of 8,218 shares. NCB Financial spiked $2.50 to close at $124, with 217,511 units crossing the market, 138 Student Living declined 40 cents to close at $3.84, with 101 shares changing hands, Pulse Investments increased 28 cents to end at $4.88 trading 552,036 stocks, Sagicor Group rose $1.90 in closing at $54.90, with 49,413 stock units crossing the market. Sagicor Real Estate Fund climbed 50 cents to close at $8.50 with an exchange of 20,250 shares, Scotia Group dropped $1.75 to $35.75 trading 116,304 shares, Seprod declined $1.70 to $62.30, with 8,951 stocks clearing the market. Sygnus Credit Investments fell 40 cents to $14.50 after an exchange of 24,904 stock units, Sygnus Real Estate Finance rallied 79 cents in closing at $16 with 3,548 units changing hands and Wisynco Group fell 25 cents to $16.65 in exchanging 13,797 stock units.
In the preference segment, JMMB Group 7.25% popped 41 cents to $3.17 in an exchange of 200 shares.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Spur Tree Spices joins ICTOP10
The big news for the market for the past week was the release of the prospectus of the long-awaited Initial Public offer of Spur Tree Spices priced at $1 per share at PE of 8.7 based on earnings before tax and propelling the stock in this week’s Junior Market ICTOP10. Investors should also see the prospectus release for Jamaica Fibreglass Products this week or next.
Spur Tree pushed Jetcon Corporation out of the TOP10, with the latter enjoying a 9 percent price rise to 99 cents. Over in the Main Market TOP10, Sagicor Group rose just 2 percent to close at $53.
During the week, AMG Packaging rose 3 percent to $2.12, Access Financial Services climbed 7 percent to $20.95, Lasco Distributors rose 6 percent to $3.47, but Elite Diagnostic and Honey Bun both fell 10 percent to $2.71 and $8.55, respectively and Caribbean Cream fell 4 percent to $5.70.
The public offer for Spur Tree Spices shares opens on Wednesday this week and should be heavily oversubscribed, with closure likely by the end of the week.
This week, the top three Main Market stocks are Guardian Holdings, followed by JMMB Group and Radio Jamaica, all projected to gain between 183 and 261 percent, up from 178 and 257 percent last week.
The Junior Market top three stocks changed a bit during the week, with AMG Packaging leading, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with Access Financial Services moving from the second spot to the third position. All three can gain between 158 and 230 percent versus 167 and 240 percent previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 149 percent last week to 151 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 155 percent to this weeks’ 154 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 14.4 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 44 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 39 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 18 percent based on an average PE of 17. Eleven stocks representing 26 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, similar to last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the months ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.1, some 18 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 24 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.1, representing a 51 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 13 stocks or 28 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners; accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
ICTOP10 winner up 369% to date
Caribbean Producers (CPJ) stock jumped 17 percent to close the week at a record high of $12.15 and now sits at fourth position in the Main Market TOP 10 with a lot more ground to cover before peaking.
CPJ started the year in the Junior Market TOP 15 at $2.89 in the number three spot, with a price target of $13, is now up by 369 percent since the start of the year based on projected earnings of 65 cents, since then ICInsider.com upgraded earnings to $1.65 for the current year with a new price target between March and July next year of $33.
Barring some unusual events, CPJ now the leading stock on the overall Jamaica Stock Exchange will most likely end the year way out front and well above Future Energy, another ICTOP10 winner with gains of 254 percent to date.
Lumber Depot dropped out of the Junior Market top 10 and Jetcon Corporation returned to the TOP10. There were no additions to the Main market TOP10 for the week.
Other notable TOP10 movers this week are; Lasco Distributors that rose 9 percent in closing at $3.28 and Honey Bun up 5 percent to $9.50, but Caribbean Assurance Brokers slipped 8 percent to $2.40 from $2.60 at the close of the previous week. In the Main Market, other than Caribbean Producers, Sygnus and Pan Jam Investment fell 4 percent.
For the week ahead investors should watch for a possible move higher, CPJ that could hit $15 with dwindling supply now on offer below $14.50 when the market closed on Friday. RJR is another worth watching with a limited supply under $3.50 during Friday there is relatively only moderate selling overall, but buying remains tepid.
The top three Main Market stocks, this week with CPJ dropping to number four are Guardian Holdings still in the lead followed by Radio Jamaica that returned in second spot and JMMB Group in the third spot with all projected to gain between 178 and 257 percent from 213 to 253 percent last week.
The Junior Market top three stocks changed a bit during the week, with AMG Packaging leading, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with Access Financial Services moving from the second spot to the third position. All three can gain between 167 and 240 versus 167 and 238 percent, previously.
This week’s focus: Why Lumber Depot is a stock to watch for the future? After posting outlandish first quarter results that were boosted by inventory profit, the company reported what appear to be normal profit in the second quarter of 5 cents per share and raised the half years earnings to 15 cents. While first quarter revenues grew 16 percent, the second quarter was flat, suggesting that full year results should end up around 25 cents or a little above that. On this basis, the stock may be considered a bit undervalued. With Paul Scott’s Stony Hill Capital Limited taking a controlling interest in it, what could be in it for them. There is good scope for expansion and growth, first within Kingston, Portmore, Spanish Town and nationally. Other factors include the fact that the Musson Group has large holdings of real estate owned directly by the group or indirectly in the investment companies that can purchase materials for repairs or expansion through them.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks slipped from 150 percent last week to 149 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 159 percent to this weeks’ 155 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 14.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 40 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 19 percent based on an average PE of 17. Seven stocks representing 17 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, similar to last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the months ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.2, some 17 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 23 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.