Stocks mostly dropped in market activity on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market ended on Tuesday following a 12 percent increase in the volume of stocks traded after investors pumped in 715 percent more money into stocks compared with trading on Monday, resulting in the trading of 58 securities compared to 57 on Monday, with 15 rising, 30 declining and 13 ending unchanged.
All of 25,780,894 shares were traded for $362,794,152 versus 22,921,329 units at $44,514,498 on Monday.
Trading averaged 444,498 shares at $6,255,072, compared with 402,129 shares at $780,956 on Monday and month to date, an average of 423,498 units at $3,541,814, compared with 402,129 units at $780,956, previously. April closed with an average of 264,549 units at $1,409,410.
Carreras led trading with 12.08 million shares for 46.9 percent of the day’s volume followed by Wigton Windfarm with 3.31 million units for 12.8 percent of the day’s trade, GraceKennedy with 3.04 million units for 11.8 percent market share, Sagicor Select Financial Fund with 2.79 million units for 10.8 percent and Transjamaican Highway with 2.24 million units for 8.7 percent of total volume.
The All Jamaican Composite Index fell 6,576.29 points to finish at 373,543.17, the JSE Main Index dropped 5,785.97 points to close at 334,626.31 and the JSE Financial Index dipped 0.37 points to 77.41.
The PE Ratio, a formula used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.5 for the Main Market. The JSE Main and USD Market PE ratios are based on the last prices of stocks and earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies with the financial year ending between November 2022 and August 2023.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows eight stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, Berger Paints rallied 49 cents in closing at $8.10, with 569 shares crossing the market, Carreras fell 55 cents to end at $8.20 after an exchange of 12,078,900 units, GraceKennedy shed $2.15 to finish at $77.85., with investors transferring 3,041,968 stocks. Guardian Holdings dropped $10 to close at $480 as investors traded 1,004 stock units, Jamaica Producers declined $1.47 to $20.51 with an exchange of 61,044 units, Jamaica Stock Exchange fell 98 cents to $13.30 with 45,574 stocks crossing the market. JMMB Group shed $1.42 to end at $30 after an exchange of 47,384 shares, Kingston Wharves dipped 75 cents to end at $33 with 189 stock units clearing the market, Massy Holdings lost 50 cents to end at $89.50 with a transfer of 202 stock units. Pan Jamaica Group advanced $4.43 to $56.43 in trading 19,440 stocks, Seprod dropped $9 to end at $65.01 with the swapping of 17,786 units, Stanley Motta lost 74 cents to close at $4.81 with 100,101 shares crossing the market. Supreme Ventures lost 35 cents in closing at $27.75 with 73,409 stock units changing hands and Sygnus Real Estate Finance shed $1.59 to end at $10.20 after swapping 3,022 units.
In the preference segment, Eppley 5% preference share popped 98 cents to $22.98 trading 5 shares, Eppley 7.50% preference share lost 69 cents to close at $6.90 in switching ownership of 2,754 stocks, Jamaica Public Service 7% dropped $20 after ending at $109 with 2,248 shares crossing the exchange and 138 Student Living preference share rose $9.50 in closing at a 52 weeks’ high of $104.50 in a transfer of 2 stocks.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
iCreate in ICTOP10 Image Plus EPS jumps
The markets are changing, with the Main Market up for three consecutive weeks but the Junior Market meandering for the last four weeks. Against this backdrop, there was one change to the TOP10, with iCreate coming in and Dolla Financial falling out, but Dolla and Honey Bun, that slipped out the previous week, sit immediately below the TOP10.
There were no significant winners for the past week in both markets’ TOP10 as losers dominated. The Junior market had Consolidated Bakeries falling 11 percent to $2.17 and general Accident down 10 percent to $5.40 and Lasco Distributors down 3 percent, with the stock selling at just 5.5 times 2023 estimated earnings and only 8.5 times the company’s nine month results. By any stretch, the stock is considerably undervalued and there are more profits to come in the current fiscal year.
Main Market stocks had a 13 percent fall in Key Insurance after the price closed at $3.08, Berger Paints contracted by 9 percent to $7.54 and 138 Student Living slipped 5 percent to $5.03, while Jamaica Broilers rose just 3 percent to $37.
Stocks are being prepped to rally, with early signals that interest rates will be declining across the board sooner than later. This stems from the continued slide of rates on BOJ CDs since March, that saw the rate falling by 23 percent to 8.11 percent against a background where inflation since November last year is running at less than one percent per annum.
At the week’s close, Image Plus released full year results showing profit after tax jumping 125.6 percent to $213 million or 21 cents per share. ICInsider.com revised earnings for the current fiscal year to 35 cents from 30 cents previously.
The Junior Market’s long history of rising around a month before the release of quarterly results and declining shortly after results are released seems to be starting with a rise of 108 points in the market index this past week, with the supply of some stocks falling sharply.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.4, well below the market average of 13.8, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.9 compared with the market at 11.6. The differences are important indicators of the level of likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 257 percent and the Main Market TOP10 by an average of 280 percent to May 2024, based on 2023 forecasted earnings.
The Junior Market has 11 stocks representing 23 percent of the market, with PEs from 15to 27, averaging 21, well above the market’s average. The top half of the market has an average PE of 17, suggesting that this may currently be the lowest fair value for Junior Market stocks.
The 18 highest valued Main Market stocks are priced at a PE of 15 to 115, with an average of 29 and 20 excluding the highest PE stocks and 20 for the top half excluding the stocks with the highest valuation.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market, but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Honey Bun rises 8% to exit ICTOP10
The Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange recorded solid gains during the past week as the Main Market declined, resulting in three solid gains for the ICTOP10 Junior Market stocks and just one notable move in the performance of the ICTOP10 Main Market as General Accident added 18 percent to its value to be the best performing stock for the week.
The Junior Market had one change in the TOP10 as Honey Bun moved out for a second time in weeks with a rise of 8 percent, allowing Dolla Financial to come in at number 10. Dolla is likely to enjoy a doubling in profit for the current year, having expanded the loan portfolio dramatically since taking on the billion dollar loan. Investors in the stock can look forward to healthy gains in the stock price during the year.
Main Event, one of the previous week’s top performers that exited the Top 10 with a 6 percent gain to close at $12.95, keeps on rolling on and climbed another 13.5 percent this week to $14.70, up 63.5 percent for the year to date as investors continue to applaud the company’s performance by buying up the stocks as they see more profits to come this year, with the economy fully opened up for entertainment.
The other major price movements during the week were a 9 percent rise for Lasco Distributors, that ended at $2.36 and Honey Bun, up 8 percent to $6.57. There are only two stocks with losses of two percent or less.
In the Main Market, only three stocks recorded declines, but Berger Paints was the only stock with a meaningful move, gaining 8 percent to $8.30.
Interest rates on Bank of Jamaica CDs dipped again at this past week’s auction that, which saw the average rate slipping to 8.21 percent from 8.41 percent at the previous week’s auction. Over the past five months, inflation has been running at less than one percent per annum, which has set the stage for BOJ to act quickly to slash interest rates, a positive development for the market.
The Junior Market’s long history of rising around a month before the release of quarterly results and declining shortly after results are released seems to be starting with a rise of 108 points in the market index this past week, with the supply of some stocks falling sharply.
Honey Bun’s fall from the TOP10 Junior Market list is not the end of the road for this outstanding performer with increased investors’ interest with an expected jump in revenues and profits for the first quarter with the Easter coming at the beginning of April versus the 17th of April last year as well as improvement of gross profit margin that slipped previous year. ICInsider.com expects the price to increase by up to 200 percent this year.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.5, well below the market average of 13.7, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.9 compared with the market at 11.6. The differences are important indicators of the level of likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 246 percent and the Main Market TOP10 by an average of 273 percent, by May 2024, based on 2023 forecasted earnings.
The Junior Market has 13 stocks representing 27 percent of the market, with PEs from 15 to 27, averaging 19, well above the market’s average. The top half of the market has an average PE of 16, suggesting this may be the current lowest fair value for Junior Market stocks.
The 16 highest valued Main Market stocks are priced at a PE of 15 to 114, with an average of 31 and 21 excluding the highest PE stocks and 20 for the top half excluding the stocks with the highest valuation.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market, but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks will likely deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.