Is Lumber Depot a buy?

After posting outlandish first quarter results that were boosted by inventory profit, Lumber Depot reported more down to earth profit in the second quarter of 5 cents per share, raising the half years earnings to 15 cents from profits in the October quarter of $35 million, down marginally from $36 million in 2020, with half year profit climbing 62 percent to $107 million from $66 million in 2020.

Lumber Depot dominated trading with

First quarter revenues grew an attractive 16 percent, but the second quarter revenues were flat, at $340 million bringing the half year sales to $760 million up 8.6 percent from $700 million for the similar period in 2020. “Revenues and profits for the three months ended October 2021, were directly affected by the lock-down period effected during the late summer that resulted in 17 lost sales days during the quarter and unprecedented disruptions to the construction planning and work cycle as well as to the supply chain for construction inputs. Against this backdrop, we are satisfied to have been able to maintain both revenues and profits for the second quarter at that same level as the prior year,” chairman, Jeffrey Hall advised shareholders in his report accompanying the quarterly.
Gross profit margin rose to 23 percent in the half year from 19.6 percent, while the 2021 second quarter saw gross profit falling to 18 percent versus 21 percent in 2020. Gross profit rose 28 percent from $137 million in the half year in 2020 to $176 million, while the 2021 October quarter saw gross profit just ahead of 2020, with $72 million versus $71 million.
Other income brought in $11 million for the half year compared to $5 million in 2020 and $9.5 million for the quarter versus $1.4 million being interest income in the 2020 quarter.
Administrative and other expenses slipped marginally in the half year to $73 million from $76 million last year and rose moderately from $39 million to $43 million for the quarter. Finance cost amounted to $5 million for the half year against $4.44 million in 2020 and the last quarter $2.2 million with the 2020 period amassing $1.9 million.

An unprecedential construction boom taking place in Jamaica

Gross cash flow brought in $112 million but growth in working capital, additions to fixed assets costing $164 million, resulted in negative funds flow of $28 million for the half year. At the end of October, shareholders’ equity stood at $402 million. No borrowed funds were used to finance the operation at the end of the period. Current assets ended the period at $329 billion including trade and other receivables of $51 million, cash and bank balances of $115 million. Invested funds amount to $119 million. Current liabilities ended the period at $228 million. Net current assets ended the period at $$101 million.
The Paul Scott’s, Stony Hill Investments recently acquired a major interest in the company, what could be in it for them some investors are asking.  Scott sees scope for expansion and growth, in what he considers a well-run company that is simple and easily understood. He feels that they are in a position to benefit from expansion of housing in the country.
ICInsider.com sees potential for major expansion, with Kingston, Portmore, Spanish Town prime areas for expansion focus and there is nothing to prevent them from expanding nationally at some point in time. Lumber Depot could benefit from the close linkage to the Musson Group that has large holdings of real estate within the group or indirectly in the investment companies that can purchase materials for repairs or expansion through them.
The full year results should end up around 30 cents assuming some pickup in sales in the second half. On this basis, the stock may be considered undervalued at the current trading price of around $3.

ICTOP10 winner up 369% to date

Caribbean Producers (CPJ) stock jumped 17 percent to close the week at a record high of $12.15 and now sits at fourth position in the Main Market TOP 10 with a lot more ground to cover before peaking.

Caribbean Producers traded 52 weeks’ high during the week following a near US$2 quarterly profit.

CPJ started the year in the Junior Market TOP 15 at $2.89 in the number three spot, with a price target of $13, is now up by 369 percent since the start of the year based on projected earnings of 65 cents, since then ICInsider.com upgraded earnings to $1.65 for the current year with a new price target between March and July next year of $33.
Barring some unusual events, CPJ now the leading stock on the overall Jamaica Stock Exchange will most likely end the year way out front and well above Future Energy, another ICTOP10 winner with gains of 254 percent to date.
Lumber Depot dropped out of the Junior Market top 10 and Jetcon Corporation returned to the TOP10. There were no additions to the Main market TOP10 for the week.
Other notable TOP10 movers this week are; Lasco Distributors that rose 9 percent in closing at $3.28 and Honey Bun up 5 percent to $9.50, but Caribbean Assurance Brokers slipped 8 percent to $2.40 from $2.60 at the close of the previous week. In the Main Market, other than Caribbean Producers, Sygnus and Pan Jam Investment fell 4 percent.
For the week ahead investors should watch for a possible move higher, CPJ that could hit $15 with dwindling supply now on offer below $14.50 when the market closed on Friday. RJR is another worth watching with a limited supply under $3.50 during Friday there is relatively only moderate selling overall, but buying remains tepid.
The top three Main Market stocks, this week with CPJ dropping to number four are Guardian Holdings still in the lead followed by Radio Jamaica that returned in second spot and JMMB Group in the third spot with all projected to gain between 178 and 257 percent from 213 to 253 percent last week.
The Junior Market top three stocks changed a bit during the week, with AMG Packaging leading, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with Access Financial Services moving from the second spot to the third position. All three can gain between 167 and 240 versus 167 and 238 percent, previously.
This week’s focus: Why Lumber Depot is a stock to watch for the future? After posting outlandish first quarter results that were boosted by inventory profit, the company reported what appear to be normal profit in the second quarter of 5 cents per share and raised the half years earnings to 15 cents. While first quarter revenues grew 16 percent, the second quarter was flat, suggesting that full year results should end up around 25 cents or a little above that. On this basis, the stock may be considered a bit undervalued. With Paul Scott’s Stony Hill Capital Limited taking a controlling interest in it, what could be in it for them. There is good scope for expansion and growth, first within Kingston, Portmore, Spanish Town and nationally. Other factors include the fact that the Musson Group has large holdings of real estate owned directly by the group or indirectly in the investment companies that can purchase materials for repairs or expansion through them.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks slipped from 150 percent last week to 149 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 159 percent to this weeks’ 155 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 14.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 40 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 19 percent based on an average PE of 17. Seven stocks representing 17 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, similar to last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the months ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.2, some 17 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 23 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and  25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Honey Bun in General Accident exits ICTOP10

General Accident rose 7 percent to close at $6.40 and slipped out of the TOP 10 while Honey Bun jumped into the Junior Market top 10, while Main Market stocks were pretty steady with movements not exceeding 2 percent for the week in a week when Main Market indices closed the week higher than it started with the Junior Market slipping from the start of the week.
Notable TOP10 movers this week are; AMG Packaging rose 9 percent in closing at $2.07 from $1.90 at the previous week’s close and Lumber Depot rose 18 percent to $3.25. Medical Disposables lost 5 percent of its value to close the week at $6 and Caribbean Assurance Brokers dived 13 percent to $2.60.
The top three Main Market stocks remained unchanged at the close of the week, with Guardian Holdings still in the lead, followed by Caribbean Producers and JMMB Group, projected to gain between 213 to 253 percent, as was the case last week.
The Junior Market top three stocks changed a bit during the week, with AMG Packaging leading, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with Access Financial Services moving from second spot to third position. All three can gain between 167 and 238 versus 162 percent and 268 percent previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 142 percent last week to 150 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 157 percent to this weeks’ 159 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 14.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average PE.
The Junior Market can gain 42 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 21 percent based on an average PE of 17. Ten stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from seven last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.8, which is 20 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 27 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 51 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 17 stocks or 36 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and  25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

ICTOP10 CaribAssurance jumps 21%, AMG drops 16%

Caribbean Assurance Brokers rose 21 percent to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $2.98 for the week, while AMG Packaging fell 16 percent in closing at $1.90, with most Junior Market stocks declining for the week. Main Market stocks were pretty steady, with movements not exceeding 4 percent for the week even as the market indices fell just over 6,500 points or 1.5 percent. On the other hand, the Junior Market gave up 31 points or one percent.
The other notable large TOP10 movers this week are; AMG Packaging, with a loss of 16 percent in closing at $1.90 from $2.25 at the previous week’s close after it fell from $2.40 at the end prior week and Caribbean Cream rose 2 percent to $5.70.  Access Financial Services slipped 6 percent to $19.50, Elite Diagnostic dropped 7 percent on top of the 8 percent fall last week to $2.97 and General Accident lost 9 percent in closing at $6, Lasco Distributors and Lumber Depot lost 5 percent each. On Friday, the latter declined as Mayberry Jamaica Equities sold off their holdings to Stony Hill  Investments.
In the Main Market, Caribbean Producers added another 3 percent to the 15 percent increase last week to close at $10.36 and Proven Investments was up 4 percent. PanJam Investment dropped from $73 9 to $68 to reenter the TOP10, with Carreras dropping out of the Main Market TOP10. In the Junior Market, the price of Medical Disposables slipped from $6.72 last week to $6.30 this past week and swapped back its spot with Dolphin Cove, with the price of the latter closing at $13, up marginally from $12.90.
The top three Main Market stocks are Guardian Holdings, Caribbean Producers and JMMB Group, projected to gain between 213 to 253 percent expected versus last weeks’ 214 to 254 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are AMG Packaging, followed by Access Financial Services and Lasco Distributors. All three can gain between 162 and 268 percent, up from 150 percent and 211 percent previously.
This week’s focus:  Lumber Depot stock was under pressure since the release of the first quarter results in September, with price slipping from $3.18 days after the release to below $3. Now that Mayberry sold off their holdings, the stock may be allowed to move up unless other top holders resume selling. The stocks have the potential to record strong price appreciation and the company has good long term prospects for growth and expansion. With earnings per share projected at 35 cents for the current year and the price under $3 with a PE of just 8, there is much upside potential in the short term.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 142 percent last week to 151 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 159 percent to this weeks’ 157 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 14.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 43 percent discount to that market’s average PE.
The Junior Market can gain 40 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 9percent based on an average PE of 17. Ten stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from seven last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.7, which is 21 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 27 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.1, representing a 51 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 17 stocks or 36 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and  25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Two changes to ICTOP10 listings

The two major Jamaica Stock Exchange markets meandered all week, closing the past week with the Junior Market rising moderately and the Main Market recovering 5,228 points of the more than 12,000 lost on the last two trading days in the previous week as prices of Caribbean Cement, NCB Financial and Scotia Group rose.
Against the above backdrop, there were few changes to the ICTOP10 stocks at the week’s close. Scotia Group jumped 9 percent to end at $37.97 for the week and gave way to Carreras to return to the Main Market TOP10 after a long absence, with the price at $8.10 and projected earnings at 80 cents. The Junior Market lost Medical Disposables with the price closing at $6.72, up 29 percent for the week, allowing General Accident came in to replace it with the price at $6.60 and just edging out Fontana, with both having similar potential gains of 97 percent.
Big TOP10 movers for the week are AMG Packaging lost 6 percent in closing at $2.25 from $2.40 last week, Caribbean Cream fell 4 percent to $5.60, Elite Diagnostic dropped 8 percent to $3.20, Caribbean Assurance Brokers rose 6 percent to $2.47 and Dolphin Cove rose 3 percent to land at $12.90 after it a 52 weeks’ high of $14 on Thursday, new coronavirus making the news seemed to have induced selling on Friday.  In the Main Market, Caribbean Producers jumped 15 percent to close at $10, up from $8.61 and Radio Jamaica gained 8 percent to $3.30.
The top three Main Market stocks are Guardian Holdings, Caribbean Producers and JMMB Group, projected to gain between 214 to 254 percent expected versus last weeks’ 212 to 283 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are AMG Packaging, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Access Financial Services. All three can gain between 150 and 211 percent, down from 154 percent and 207 percent previously.
There are many undervalued stocks in the market, with the average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 145 percent last week to 142percent and Main Market stocks moved from 163 percent to this week’s 159 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 14.5 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the March 2020 historical average of 17, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.4, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average PE.
The Junior Market can gain 38 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 17 percent based on an average PE of 17. Ten stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from seven last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.1, which is 18 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 24 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple could be around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners; accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Four additions to ICTOP10 listings

ICTOP10 stocks have four new listings this week as recent profit results led to revisions to earnings, as a result, the Junior Market lost General Accident and Stationery & Office Supplies, while Berger Paints and PanJam Investment exited the Main Market ICTOP10.
General Accident inched from $6.60 last week to $6.70 this week, but earnings were revised downwards to 65 cents for the year, helping it exit the TOP10.  New to this week’s ICTOP10 are the Junior Market’s Medical Disposables, with the price falling 23 percent to $5.20 from $6.78 last week and Caribbean Cream. Sygnus Credit Investments dropped out of the TOP10 the previous week and returns with the price dropping 17 percent from $18.90 down to $15.66 this past week, while Proven Investments also returns.
Big TOP10 movers this week are AMG Packaging up 41 percent in closing at $2.40 from $1.70 last week, Dolphin Cove leapt 22 percent to land at $12.50. In the Main Market, Caribbean Producers dipped 15 percent to close at $8.61 as some selling came in for the stock and Radio Jamaica has an analysts briefing on Tuesday coming and dropped 13 percent to an attractive entry of $3.06, with revenues and profit climbing over the last fiscal year’s outturn.
The top three Main Market stocks are Caribbean Producers, Guardian Holdings and JMMB Group, which are projected to gain between 212 to 283 percent expected versus last weeks’ 227 to 261 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Caribbean Assurance Brokers, followed by AMG Packaging and Lasco Distributors. All three can gain between 154 and 207 percent, down from 209 percent and 253 percent previously.
The latest results show that there are many undervalued stocks, but investors should focus on these stocks that could show good earnings growth in 2022.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 185 percent last week to 145 percent and Main Market stocks remains unchanged at 163 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 14.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the March 2020 historical average of 17, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.3, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average PE.
The Junior Market can gain 42 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 21 percent based on an average PE of 17. Nine stocks representing 22 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from seven last week, indicating that many others will rise towards 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.5, which is 23 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 29 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 52 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

4 new ICTOP10 stocks to make you money

After some weeks with no change to the ICTOP10 stocks, this week has four changes following two stocks that rose in price to drop out of the top listings and two significant earnings upgrades.

Caribbean Producers traded 52 weeks’ high during the week following a near US$2 quarterly profit.

Medical Disposables jumped 23 percent this week and 60 percent for the year to date and fell out of the TOP10. The fallout follows strong results to September, with revenues climbing 48.6 percent in the quarter to $936 million and 42 percent for the six months to $1.6 billion with a profit of $21 million in the quarter versus a loss of $6 million in 2020 and $47 million for the half year from a loss of $13 million in 2020. Lasco Distributors replaced the stock after the price fell to $3.25 on Friday. Out of the Main Market comes Sygnus Credit Investments that closed the week with a rise of 5 percent to $18.90, Grace Kennedy with earnings adjusted downward and Proven with a modest price rise.
AMG Packaging with earnings per share upgraded to 30 cents now heads ICTOP10 Junior Market stocks. The company has completed the expansion of its factory, the installation of the new machine expected by January next year. The new machine is expected to reduce operating costs and provide capacity to increase production, using either virgin or recycled paper. In the Main Market, Caribbean Producers with the price up 261 percent for the year to date, received a major earnings upgrade to J$1.65 per share from $1.20, following the release of first quarter results. PanJam Investments and Sagicor Group, with earnings upgraded and Scotia Group with a fall in price to $34.05, return to the ICTOP10.
During the past week, Caribbean Brokers jumped 30 percent to close at $2.32 after hitting $2.96 on Thursday, following the company’s surprise to the market with outstanding results for the nine months to September. Elite Diagnostic rose 15 percent ahead of the release of the first quarter results that show increased sales over the June quarter and ended with a loss of $500,000 in the quarter versus a $10million loss in 2020, but the company generated cash inflows of $27 million for the quarter, slightly more than the dividend they recently paid. General Accident rose 8 percent ahead of quarterly results, Stationery & Office Supplies gained 7 percent, following improved nine months results. In the Main Market, Caribbean Producers jumped 24 percent following a big spike in September quarterly profit, but the stock has much more to do with earnings upgraded to J$1.65 per share for the year. Proven rose 6 percent, the rest were mostly downhill with a 10 percent fall for Guardian Holdings, VM Investments fell 7 percent and Radio Jamaica slipped 8 percent as investors reacted hurriedly to half year results that show the company is on track to reach ICInsider.com forecast of 45 cents per share.
The top three Main Market stocks are Guardian Holdings, Berger Paints and Caribbean Producers. These stocks are projected to gain between 227 to 261 percent expected versus last weeks’ 220 to 230 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are AMG Packaging, Elite Diagnostic, followed by Lasco Financial. All three can gain between 209 and 253 percent, from 203 percent and 297 percent previously.
This week’s focus:  Earnings season is over, with a few more companies to post results. They were many positives to take from the results published so far, with many companies reporting increases for the latest quarter and the year to date. By all account, Caribbean Producers results must be the most outstanding, moving from a loss in 2020 to record first quarter profits and promise of much more. NCB Financial is worth a good look with strong fourth results that reflect improving net interest income and recovery from some poor quarters previously. Significantly, loans, the best indicator for future profits, grew a robust 16 percent for the year. Watch NCB.
The latest results show that there are many undervalued stocks, but investors should focus on these stocks that could deliver good earnings growth in 2022.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 191 percent last week to 185 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 159 percent to 163 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.6 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17 for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 7.1, with a 53 percent discount to that market’s average PE.
The Junior Market can gain 47 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 25 percent based on an average PE of 17. Six stocks represent 15 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from seven last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.5, which is 23 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 29 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 51 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 12 stocks or 25 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners. Accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

ICTOP10 stocks make big gains

ICTOP10 stocks continue, with some sharp price movement during the past week, with VM Investments being the lead mover with a 16 percent rise, with a 12 percent increase for General Accident to $6.10, Medical Disposables rose 11 percent to $5.50 and Guardian Holdings popped 9 percent to $565.

VM Investment jumped 16% in the week

Berger Paints and Access Financial both gained 6 percent for the week. Access’ performance followed the release of half year results that showed good promise of a strong rebound in earnings for the current fiscal year. See ICInsider.com’s report on the results.
There are no additions to the ICTOP10 this week, but with several company results due this week, the markets could benefit from some.
The top three Main Market stocks are Berger Paints, Guardian Holdings and JMMB Group, with gains of 220 to 230 percent expected versus last weeks’ 216 to 254 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident, with a drying up of offers up to $7.24 and Lasco Financial, with all three having the potential to gain between 203 and 297 percent, from 228 percent and 281 percent, previously.
This week’s focus:  QWI investments, one of ICInsdier.com TOP15 stocks for 2021, now boast a Net Asset Value of $1.43 at the end of the past week, the highest value since it was listed in 2019, but the stock is selling at 92 cents on the Main Market at a huge 36 percent discount to NAV, even as the composition of the portfolio suggests further increase in value is likely before the end of 2021. The NAV is up 23 percent from $1.16 at the end of December last year, just below the Junior Market gains for the year to date and well ahead of the Composite index rise. The stock price has increased by 19.4 percent from 77 cents at the end of 2020 to Friday. It seems that investors don’t buy into the concept of buying stocks when blood is in the streets.
Most of the top 2021 stocks will not make the top 10 in 2022, but some will. The IC 80/20 rule, with a long 40 year history, shows an average of only two of the TO10 stocks in a year repeat in the following one, while 4 out of 10 of the worst performing stocks will end up as TOP10 winners in the succeeding year.
Investors’ focus should now be on 2022 for the local stocks and the current year’s values to determine the appropriate values of each stock for a hold or fold decision.
PE ratio is revaluing, with the Main Market moving from 15.6 last week to 16 this week and the Junior Market from 13.2 to 13.7. This trend will continue as results are released and encourage increased investments in stocks that are now undervalued.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 202 percent last week to 191 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 169 percent to 159 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.7 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17 for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 7, with a 52 percent discount to that market’s PE.
The Junior Market can gain 52 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 25 percent based on an average PE of 17. Seven stocks representing 15 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from nine last week, indicating that many others will rise above the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16, which is 19 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 25 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 7.8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 12 stocks or 25 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 24, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on potential yearly winners; accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

ICTOP10 Dolphin Cove jumps 25%

The highlights of the week for ICTOP10 stocks is the price movement of stocks, with the big moves being Dolphin Cove with a recovery of 25 percent back to $10.25 and 14 percent for Access Financial in the Junior market and 21 percent rise, with the Junior market closing over the 3,400 points level for the first time since July and is now close to a two year’s high. Caribbean Producers to $8 after it hit an all-time high of $9 on Wednesday to be up 186 percent for the year to Friday.
Sygnus Credit Investment gave back the 5 percent increase last week to end at $17.80. Berger Paints and Proven Investments both gave up 3 percent during the week, while Junior Market Lasco Financial gave up six percent at the end of the week in closing at $3.05 and Caribbean Assurance Brokers lost three percent, from $1.79 to $1.74 as Medical Disposables rose four percent to $4.95 after hitting an intraday high of $5.80 on Friday and Lumber Depot rose four percent to $2.97.
There are no additions to the ICTOP10 this week, but with company results increasingly appearing, the markets could benefit from some of them. Caribbean Cement released third quarter results and investors responded negatively to them with the third quarter profit, down sharply from bot 2020 third quarter and the previous two quarters. The stock propped higher to close the week at $114 after it fell to almost $100. This stock now looks like one for 2022 as it seems fully valued based on probable results for 2021. Jamaica Stock Exchange released third quarter numbers with higher 2021 income and profit helped considerably by two big one off type trades in August and September, as such, investors should be careful that they do not read too much into those results about exciting prospects.  Mayberry Investments released results for the year to September with profit up for the nine months from a loss of $664 million to a profit of $513 million and a profit of $224 million, down from $298 million in September 2020 quarter. Other comprehensive income that is positive for the nine months rising from a fall of $5 billion in 2020 to a surplus of $1.2 billion but a loss of $861 million for the September 2021 quarter. The company will be paying a hefty dividend of 32 cents per share. The company will be paying a hefty dividend of 32 cents per share. Lasco Manufacturing and Lasco Distributor reported second quarter results. The former enjoyed a 13 percent increase in revenues to $4.65 billion and a 6 percent rise in profit to $782 million after increased taxation in the period versus a lower rate in 2020. The distributing company enjoyed a 15 percent rise in revenues to $11.6 billion and a 14 percent fall in after tax profit to $197 million.
As 2021 slowly crawls to a close, the focus should be on 2022 and the current year’s values to determine the appropriate valuation of each stock for a hold or fold decision. Most of the top 2021 stocks will not make the top 10 in 2022, but some will. The IC 80/20 rule, with a long 40 year history, shows an average of only two of the top ten stocks in a year repeat in the following one, while 4 out of 10 of the worst performing stocks will end up as TOP 10 winners in the succeeding year.
The top seven stocks so far, with gains of 52 to 231 percent, are; Future Energy, Jamaican Teas, Fosrich, ISP Finance, Lumber Depot, Express Catering and Honey Bun. In the Main market, Caribbean Cement, Caribbean Producers, Salada Foods, Radio Jamaica and Grace.
The top three Main Market stocks are Guardian Holdings, Berger Paints and JMMB Group, with expected gains of 216 to 254 percent versus last weeks’ 238 to 264 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market have undergone a metamorphose with only are Elite Diagnostic, remaining in the top three this week and is followed by General Accident and Lasco Financial, with all three having the potential to gain between 228 and 281 percent, from 238 percent and 287 percent, previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 213 percent last week to 202 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 173 percent to 169 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.2 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17 for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 6.8, with a 52 percent discount to that market’s PE.
The overall Junior Market can gain 51 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 29 percent based on an average PE of 17. Seven stocks representing 15 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from nine last week, indicating that many others will rise above the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.6, which is 22 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 28 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 7.8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 12 stocks or 25 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. The TOP10 is a selection of stocks that are most likely to deliver the largest gains within fifteen months. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on possible increases for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Mayberry Jamaica shed 50m Lumber shares

Lumber Depot dominated trading with

Lumber Depot, the 2019 spinoff of the Junior Market listed Blue Power, reported record first quarter results to July, with profit of $72 million, up from $30 million in 2020, with earnings per share of 10 cents and attracted increased buying in the stock as the results hit the exchange on September 8.
Mayberry Jamaican Equities (MJE) pounced on the renewed buying interest and sold just under 50 million units in the market up to October 20.MJE slashed their holdings of 181,538,726 shares, with 25.7 percent of total issued capital at the end of July to 132,468,464, but they remained the largest shareholder at 18.76 percent.
Over the same period, Blue Power Group, the second largest shareholder, reduced their 101,989,250 holdings to 14.4412 percent to 98,989,250 or 14.02 percent. Blue power in January held 113,989,250 shares, with a 16.14 percent holding.  Kenneth Benjamin, a director of Blue Power, holdings in January of 49.95 million rose to 59,954,650 units or 8.4893 percent but slipped to 58.4 million in October.
Since October 20, the average daily trade in the stock has been 773,546 units, with the lowest trade, 522,227, on the 21 of the month.