ICTOP10 stocks continue, with some sharp price movement during the past week, with VM Investments being the lead mover with a 16 percent rise, with a 12 percent increase for General Accident to $6.10, Medical Disposables rose 11 percent to $5.50 and Guardian Holdings popped 9 percent to $565.
VM Investment jumped 16% in the week
Berger Paints and Access Financial both gained 6 percent for the week. Access’ performance followed the release of half year results that showed good promise of a strong rebound in earnings for the current fiscal year. See ICInsider.com’s report on the results.
There are no additions to the ICTOP10 this week, but with several company results due this week, the markets could benefit from some.
The top three Main Market stocks are Berger Paints, Guardian Holdings and JMMB Group, with gains of 220 to 230 percent expected versus last weeks’ 216 to 254 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident, with a drying up of offers up to $7.24 and Lasco Financial, with all three having the potential to gain between 203 and 297 percent, from 228 percent and 281 percent, previously.
This week’s focus: QWI investments, one of ICInsdier.com TOP15 stocks for 2021, now boast a Net Asset Value of $1.43 at the end of the past week, the highest value since it was listed in 2019, but the stock is selling at 92 cents on the Main Market at a huge 36 percent discount to NAV, even as the composition of the portfolio suggests further increase in value is likely before the end of 2021. The NAV is up 23 percent from $1.16 at the end of December last year, just below the Junior Market gains for the year to date and well ahead of the Composite index rise. The stock price has increased by 19.4 percent from 77 cents at the end of 2020 to Friday. It seems that investors don’t buy into the concept of buying stocks when blood is in the streets.
Most of the top 2021 stocks will not make the top 10 in 2022, but some will. The IC 80/20 rule, with a long 40 year history, shows an average of only two of the TO10 stocks in a year repeat in the following one, while 4 out of 10 of the worst performing stocks will end up as TOP10 winners in the succeeding year.
Investors’ focus should now be on 2022 for the local stocks and the current year’s values to determine the appropriate values of each stock for a hold or fold decision.
PE ratio is revaluing, with the Main Market moving from 15.6 last week to 16 this week and the Junior Market from 13.2 to 13.7. This trend will continue as results are released and encourage increased investments in stocks that are now undervalued.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 202 percent last week to 191 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 169 percent to 159 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.7 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17 for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 7, with a 52 percent discount to that market’s PE.
The Junior Market can gain 52 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 25 percent based on an average PE of 17. Seven stocks representing 15 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from nine last week, indicating that many others will rise above the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16, which is 19 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 25 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 7.8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 12 stocks or 25 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 24, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on potential yearly winners; accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
